FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026

AwayBIG-TEN

#16INDIndiana

0:3

HomeACC

#7LOUISLouisville

Louisville def. Indiana 3–0

(25-20, 25-12, 25-11)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
IND	20	12	11	0
LOUIS	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

LOUIS above 50 · IND below

Biggest swing: 1.1% to Indiana — set 1, IND 1-0 LOUIS. Chloe Meester stuffed by Keondreya Granberry. LOUIS win probability 92% → 90%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

IND 8.5%91.5% LOUIS

Indiana wins

3-0

1.1%

3-1

2.5%

3-2

4.8%

Louisville wins

3-0

47.3%

3-1

31.3%

3-2

12.9%

IND break %: 36.4% vs this opp
LOUIS break %: 46.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Chloe MeesterAttack error+1.1%
Chloe Meester stuffed by Keondreya Granberry
Set 1 · IND 1-0 LOUIS · IND 8% → 10%
02
Ella BoersemaAttack error+0.9%
Ella Boersema stuffed by Chloe Chicoine & Hannah Sherman
Set 1 · IND 1-2 LOUIS · LOUIS 91% → 92%
03
Keondreya GranberryKill+0.8%
Kill by Keondreya Granberry (set by Teodora Kričković)
Set 2 · IND 5-4 LOUIS · IND 4% → 5%
04
LOUIS serverAce+0.8%
Louisville ace on Hannah Leftridge
Set 1 · IND 1-3 LOUIS · LOUIS 92% → 93%
05
LOUIS serverAce+0.7%
Louisville ace on Jaidyn Jager
Set 2 · IND 6-7 LOUIS · LOUIS 95% → 96%
06
Kalyssa BlackshearKill+0.7%
Kill by Kalyssa Blackshear (set by Nayelis Cabello)
Set 1 · IND 1-1 LOUIS · LOUIS 90% → 91%
07
Hannah ShermanKill+0.7%
Kill by Hannah Sherman (set by Nayelis Cabello)
Set 1 · IND 1-4 LOUIS · LOUIS 93% → 94%
08
Keondreya GranberryAttack error+0.6%
Keondreya Granberry stuffed by Hannah Sherman
Set 2 · IND 6-8 LOUIS · LOUIS 96% → 97%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Indianaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
24Jaidyn JagerOH	3	7	8	31	-.032	0	3	4	3	0	1	0.5	7.5
27Ella BoersemaMB	3	7	8	19	-.053	1	1	1	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
23Victoria GrayMB	3	5	2	13	.231	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	6
77Keondreya GranberryMB	3	3	3	13	.000	0	0	4	1	2	1	2.5	5.5
1Sara SnowbargerOH	3	2	0	7	.286	0	0	1	1	1	1	1.5	3.5
12Teodora KričkovićS	3	0	1	5	-.200	22	0	4	0	0	2	1	1
5Audrey JacksonDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
14Emma SegalDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
7Hannah LeftridgeDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	5	2	0	0	0	0
2Avery FreemanDS	2	0	0	0	–	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
18Avery DaumOH	1	2	0	4	.500	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
Team totals		26	22	92	.043	25	7	26	7	3	8	7	43

Louisvillehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Chloe ChicoineOH	3	11	2	22	.409	0	0	0	7	1	2	2	13
2Chloe MeesterOH	3	10	3	20	.350	0	3	2	1	0	0	0	13
24Kalyssa BlackshearOPP	3	9	2	21	.333	0	0	0	1	0	4	2	11
11Hannah ShermanMB	3	2	1	4	.250	0	0	0	0	1	4	3	5
8Nayelis CabelloS	3	3	0	4	.750	26	1	2	6	0	1	0.5	4.5
44Brooke BultemaMB	3	0	1	3	-.333	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	1
22Blair ThiebaudS	3	1	1	2	.000	3	1	1	1	0	1	0.5	2.5
6Hannah KennyS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	1	4	0	0	0	1
21Payton PetersenL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	6	1	0	9	0	0	0	1
3Kamden SchrandL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	0
54Elli StreckerMB	1	2	0	3	.667	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3
4Addison MakunMB	1	1	1	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
10Elsi KarjanlahtiL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17Molly UrbanL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		39	11	81	.346	37	7	6	36	2	16	10	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 3 IND · LOUIS 7

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 3 INDLOUIS 4

Set 2

12-25

Longest run 2 INDLOUIS 6

Set 3

11-25

Longest run 2 INDLOUIS 7

Bars above the line = Louisville leads, below = Indiana leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Indiana

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	37%7/19	40%4/10
2	33%6/18	30%3/10
3	40%6/15	14%1/7
4	50%4/8	25%2/8
5	80%4/5	20%1/5
6	50%4/8	20%1/5
All	42%31/73	27%12/45

Louisville

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	58%7/12	50%5/10
2	70%7/10	67%14/21
3	100%6/6	68%13/19
4	63%5/8	38%3/8
5	100%4/4	50%4/8
6	80%4/5	43%3/7
All	73%33/45	58%42/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

118 rallies

Rally log

#	IND-LOUIS	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	IND	IND	Attack err	Chloe Meester	blk Keondreya Granberry	+1.1
2	1-1	IND	LOUIS×4	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.7
3	1-2	LOUIS	LOUIS×4	Attack err	Ella Boersema	blk Chloe Chicoine, Hannah Sherman	+0.9
4	1-3	LOUIS	LOUIS×4	Ace	LOUIS server	aced Hannah Leftridge	+0.8
5	1-4	LOUIS	LOUIS×4	Kill	Hannah Sherman	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.7
6	2-4	LOUIS	IND	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Teodora Kričković	+0.5
7	2-5	IND	LOUIS	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.5
8	3-5	LOUIS	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+0.5
9	3-6	IND	LOUIS	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.5
10	3-7	LOUIS	LOUIS	Kill	Nayelis Cabello	set Hannah Kenny	+0.6
11	4-7	LOUIS	IND	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Teodora Kričković	+0.4
12	4-8	IND	LOUIS×3	Serve err	IND server		+0.4
13	4-9	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Kill	Chloe Meester	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.5
14	4-10	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Kill	Chloe Meester	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.4
15	5-10	LOUIS	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+0.2
16	5-11	IND	LOUIS	Serve err	IND server		+0.2
17	5-12	LOUIS	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Meester	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.3
18	6-12	LOUIS	IND	Kill	Victoria Gray	set Teodora Kričković	+0.1
19	6-13	IND	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Meester	set Payton Petersen	+0.2
20	7-13	LOUIS	IND	Kill	Sara Snowbarger	set Teodora Kričković	+0.1
21	8-13	IND	IND	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Teodora Kričković	+0.3
22	8-14	IND	LOUIS	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Payton Petersen	+0.3
23	9-14	LOUIS	IND	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Teodora Kričković	+0.2
24	9-15	IND	LOUIS	Attack err	Jaidyn Jager		+0.3
25	9-16	LOUIS	LOUIS	Ace	LOUIS server	aced Keondreya Granberry	+0.2
26	10-16	LOUIS	IND	Kill	Keondreya Granberry	set Teodora Kričković	+0.1
27	10-17	IND	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.2
28	11-17	LOUIS	IND×3	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Ella Boersema	+0.1
29	12-17	IND	IND×3	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+0.3
30	13-17	IND	IND×3	Kill	Victoria Gray	set Teodora Kričković	+0.4
31	13-18	IND	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.4
32	14-18	LOUIS	IND	Kill	Victoria Gray	set Teodora Kričković	+0.3
33	14-19	IND	LOUIS	Kill	Nayelis Cabello	set Payton Petersen	+0.4
34	15-19	LOUIS	IND	Serve err	LOUIS server		+0.3
35	15-20	IND	LOUIS×3	Kill	Chloe Meester	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.4
36	15-21	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.3
37	15-22	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Ace	LOUIS server	aced Sara Snowbarger	+0.1
38	16-22	LOUIS	IND×3	Kill	Keondreya Granberry	set Teodora Kričković	+0.0
39	17-22	IND	IND×3	Attack err	Chloe Meester	blk Keondreya Granberry, Ella Boersema	+0.1
40	18-22	IND	IND×3	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.2
41	18-23	IND	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Meester	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.3
42	19-23	LOUIS	IND	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Teodora Kričković	+0.1
43	20-23	IND	IND	Attack err	Kalyssa Blackshear	blk Jaidyn Jager, Sara Snowbarger	+0.4
44	20-24	IND	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.5
45	20-25	LOUIS	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.2
Set 2
1	1-0	LOUIS	IND	Serve err	LOUIS server		+0.5
2	1-1	IND	LOUIS	Attack err	Ella Boersema		+0.5
3	2-1	LOUIS	IND	Kill	Victoria Gray	set Teodora Kričković	+0.5
4	2-2	IND	LOUIS	Kill	Nayelis Cabello	set Payton Petersen	+0.5
5	2-3	LOUIS	LOUIS	Attack err	Victoria Gray		+0.6
6	3-3	LOUIS	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+0.5
7	3-4	IND	LOUIS	Serve err	IND server		+0.5
8	4-4	LOUIS	IND	Serve err	LOUIS server		+0.5
9	5-4	IND	IND	Kill	Keondreya Granberry	set Teodora Kričković	+0.8
10	5-5	IND	LOUIS	Serve err	IND server		+0.5
11	6-5	LOUIS	IND	Attack err	Brooke Bultema	blk Sara Snowbarger	+0.6
12	6-6	IND	LOUIS×3	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.6
13	6-7	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Ace	LOUIS server	aced Jaidyn Jager	+0.7
14	6-8	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Attack err	Keondreya Granberry	blk Hannah Sherman	+0.6
15	7-8	LOUIS	IND	Kill	Sara Snowbarger	set Hannah Leftridge	+0.5
16	7-9	IND	LOUIS×4	Kill	Hannah Sherman	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.5
17	7-10	LOUIS	LOUIS×4	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Payton Petersen	+0.6
18	7-11	LOUIS	LOUIS×4	Kill	Chloe Meester	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.5
19	7-12	LOUIS	LOUIS×4	Kill	Chloe Meester	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.3
20	8-12	LOUIS	IND	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Teodora Kričković	+0.2
21	9-12	IND	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Avery Freeman	+0.4
22	9-13	IND	LOUIS×6	Serve err	IND server		+0.3
23	9-14	LOUIS	LOUIS×6	Attack err	Ella Boersema	blk Hannah Sherman, Chloe Chicoine	+0.4
24	9-15	LOUIS	LOUIS×6	Attack err	Jaidyn Jager	blk Hannah Sherman, Kalyssa Blackshear	+0.2
25	9-16	LOUIS	LOUIS×6	Attack err	Jaidyn Jager	blk Hannah Sherman, Kalyssa Blackshear	+0.2
26	9-17	LOUIS	LOUIS×6	Attack err	Victoria Gray		+0.1
27	9-18	LOUIS	LOUIS×6	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Payton Petersen	+0.0
28	10-18	LOUIS	IND	Serve err	LOUIS server		+0.0
29	11-18	IND	IND	Attack err	Hannah Sherman	blk Victoria Gray, Teodora Kričković	+0.0
30	11-19	IND	LOUIS×6	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.1
31	11-20	LOUIS	LOUIS×6	Attack err	Teodora Kričković		+0.0
32	11-21	LOUIS	LOUIS×6	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.0
33	11-22	LOUIS	LOUIS×6	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.0
34	11-23	LOUIS	LOUIS×6	Attack err	Jaidyn Jager	blk Brooke Bultema, Kalyssa Blackshear	+0.0
35	11-24	LOUIS	LOUIS×6	Attack err	Jaidyn Jager	blk Kalyssa Blackshear, Brooke Bultema	+0.0
36	12-24	LOUIS	IND	Kill	Victoria Gray	set Teodora Kričković	+0.0
37	12-25	IND	LOUIS	Serve err	IND server		+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	IND	LOUIS×7	Kill	Chloe Meester	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.2
2	0-2	LOUIS	LOUIS×7	Attack err	Ella Boersema		+0.3
3	0-3	LOUIS	LOUIS×7	Attack err	Ella Boersema		+0.2
4	0-4	LOUIS	LOUIS×7	Ace	LOUIS server	aced Jaidyn Jager	+0.2
5	0-5	LOUIS	LOUIS×7	Ace	LOUIS server	aced Jaidyn Jager	+0.1
6	0-6	LOUIS	LOUIS×7	Attack err	Ella Boersema		+0.1
7	0-7	LOUIS	LOUIS×7	Attack err	Jaidyn Jager		+0.1
8	1-7	LOUIS	IND	Serve err	LOUIS server		+0.1
9	2-7	IND	IND	Attack err	Chloe Chicoine	blk Keondreya Granberry	+0.1
10	2-8	IND	LOUIS×5	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.1
11	2-9	LOUIS	LOUIS×5	Attack err	Ella Boersema	blk Chloe Chicoine	+0.1
12	2-10	LOUIS	LOUIS×5	Attack err	Ella Boersema		+0.1
13	2-11	LOUIS	LOUIS×5	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.0
14	2-12	LOUIS	LOUIS×5	Attack err	Keondreya Granberry		+0.0
15	3-12	LOUIS	IND	Attack err	Chloe Chicoine		+0.0
16	3-13	IND	LOUIS	Serve err	IND server		+0.0
17	4-13	LOUIS	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+0.0
18	4-14	IND	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.0
19	4-15	LOUIS	LOUIS	Attack err	Jaidyn Jager	blk Elli Strecker, Nayelis Cabello	+0.0
20	5-15	LOUIS	IND	Attack err	Chloe Meester	blk Victoria Gray, Teodora Kričković	+0.0
21	5-16	IND	LOUIS	Kill	Elli Strecker	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.0
22	6-16	LOUIS	IND	Attack err	Addison Makun		+0.0
23	7-16	IND	IND	Attack err	Kalyssa Blackshear		+0.0
24	7-17	IND	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Meester	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.0
25	8-17	LOUIS	IND	Serve err	LOUIS server		+0.0
26	8-18	IND	LOUIS	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Blair Thiebaud	+0.0
27	9-18	LOUIS	IND	Kill	Avery Daum	set Teodora Kričković	+0.0
28	9-19	IND	LOUIS	Kill	Addison Makun	set Blair Thiebaud	+0.0
29	9-20	LOUIS	LOUIS	Attack err	Keondreya Granberry		+0.0
30	10-20	LOUIS	IND	Kill	Avery Daum	set Teodora Kričković	+0.0
31	10-21	IND	LOUIS×3	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Blair Thiebaud	+0.0
32	10-22	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Ace	LOUIS server	aced Hannah Leftridge	+0.0
33	10-23	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Kill	Blair Thiebaud	set Hannah Kenny	+0.0
34	11-23	LOUIS	IND	Attack err	Blair Thiebaud		+0.0
35	11-24	IND	LOUIS	Kill	Elli Strecker	set Blair Thiebaud	+0.0
36	11-25	LOUIS	LOUIS	Attack err	Jaidyn Jager	blk Blair Thiebaud, Elli Strecker	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Indiana first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.