FinalSun, Sep 6, 2026

AwayBIG-TEN

#21INDIndiana

0:3

HomeSEC

#22TENNTennessee

Tennessee def. Indiana 3–0

(25-23, 25-23, 25-16)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
IND	23	23	16	0
TENN	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

TENN above 50 · IND below

Biggest swing: 5.0% to Tennessee — set 1, IND 23-25 TENN. Indiana service error. TENN win probability 81% → 86%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

IND 24.6%75.4% TENN

Indiana wins

3-0

4.3%

3-1

8.4%

3-2

11.9%

Tennessee wins

3-0

27.3%

3-1

28.8%

3-2

19.3%

IND break %: 38.6% vs this opp
TENN break %: 43.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
IND serverService error+5.0%
Indiana service error
Set 1 · IND 23-25 TENN · TENN 81% → 86%
02
Kennedi RogersKill+4.9%
Kill by Kennedi Rogers (set by Raegan Burns)
Set 1 · IND 21-23 TENN · TENN 77% → 82%
03
Maggie DosticAttack error+4.0%
Maggie Dostic stuffed by Teodora Kričković & Keondreya Granberry
Set 1 · IND 19-19 TENN · IND 22% → 26%
04
Kennedi RogersKill+3.9%
Kill by Kennedi Rogers (set by Maggie Dostic)
Set 2 · IND 23-25 TENN · TENN 91% → 95%
05
Jalyn StoutKill+3.8%
Kill by Jalyn Stout (set by Caroline Kerr)
Set 1 · IND 21-22 TENN · TENN 73% → 77%
06
Victoria GrayAttack error+3.7%
Attack error by Victoria Gray
Set 1 · IND 17-18 TENN · TENN 73% → 76%
07
TENN serverAce+3.7%
Tennessee ace on Audrey Jackson
Set 1 · IND 17-17 TENN · TENN 69% → 73%
08
Victoria GrayAttack error+3.4%
Victoria Gray stuffed by Maggie Dostic
Set 1 · IND 17-19 TENN · TENN 76% → 80%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Indianaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
24Jaidyn JagerOH	3	10	3	26	.269	1	1	2	8	0	0	0	11
1Sara SnowbargerOH	3	7	3	21	.190	1	0	0	4	3	1	0.5	7.5
27Ella BoersemaMB	3	6	7	17	-.059	2	0	3	0	0	2	1	7
77Keondreya GranberryMB	3	6	2	13	.308	0	0	2	1	0	2	1	7
23Victoria GrayMB	3	4	2	12	.167	1	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	5.5
12Teodora KričkovićS	3	2	2	5	.000	24	0	1	12	0	2	1	3
7Hannah LeftridgeDS	3	1	0	1	1.000	2	0	0	5	2	0	0	1
5Audrey JacksonDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	0
14Emma SegalDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
2Avery FreemanDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
15Sade IlawoleS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		36	19	95	.179	32	1	11	34	6	10	5	62

Tennesseehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
0Kennedi RogersOH	3	19	8	41	.268	0	1	3	2	1	1	2	2	22
15Maggie DosticOH	3	6	3	15	.200	2	3	4	8	0	1	2	2	11
16Chelsea SuttonMB	3	7	1	13	.462	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	3	10
22Jolene OddoMB	3	2	1	6	.167	0	0	0	2	0	3	2	4	6
7Jalyn StoutS	3	4	2	16	.125	0	0	0	6	0	1	1	1.5	5.5
11Caroline KerrS	3	1	0	7	.143	32	2	2	10	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
13Raegan BurnsL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
14Sydney JaynesL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
1Emma FrietchL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		39	15	98	.245	37	6	10	35	1	7	12	13	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 IND · TENN 7

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 5 INDTENN 6

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 3 INDTENN 6

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 4 INDTENN 7

Bars above the line = Tennessee leads, below = Indiana leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Indiana

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	73%8/11	42%5/12
2	44%8/18	11%1/9
3	32%6/19	33%4/12
4	86%6/7	14%1/7
5	50%6/12	33%3/9
6	83%5/6	60%9/15
All	53%39/73	36%23/64

Tennessee

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	62%8/13	25%2/8
2	80%8/10	27%3/11
3	67%8/12	64%14/22
4	75%6/8	60%9/15
5	67%6/9	0%0/6
6	42%5/12	55%6/11
All	64%41/64	47%34/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

137 rallies

Rally log

#	IND-TENN	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	IND	IND	Kill	Keondreya Granberry	set Teodora Kričković	+2.1
2	1-1	IND	TENN	Kill	Chelsea Sutton	set Caroline Kerr	+1.4
3	2-1	TENN	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+1.5
4	3-1	IND	IND	Ace	IND server	aced Kennedi Rogers	+2.3
5	3-2	IND	TENN	Serve err	IND server		+1.5
6	4-2	TENN	IND	Serve err	TENN server		+1.7
7	4-3	IND	TENN	Attack err	Ella Boersema		+1.5
8	5-3	TENN	IND	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Teodora Kričković	+1.7
9	5-4	IND	TENN	Kill	Jalyn Stout	set Caroline Kerr	+1.6
10	6-4	TENN	IND	Attack err	Jolene Oddo	blk Sara Snowbarger, Victoria Gray	+1.8
11	6-5	IND	TENN	Kill	Kennedi Rogers	set Raegan Burns	+1.6
12	7-5	TENN	IND×5	Kill	Victoria Gray	set Teodora Kričković	+1.8
13	8-5	IND	IND×5	Attack err	Maggie Dostic		+2.6
14	9-5	IND	IND×5	Kill	Teodora Kričković		+2.6
15	10-5	IND	IND×5	Attack err	Kennedi Rogers		+2.4
16	11-5	IND	IND×5	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+2.1
17	11-6	IND	TENN	Kill	Maggie Dostic	set Caroline Kerr	+1.1
18	12-6	TENN	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+1.5
19	12-7	IND	TENN	Attack err	Ella Boersema	blk Chelsea Sutton, Maggie Dostic	+1.1
20	12-8	TENN	TENN	Ace	TENN server	aced Hannah Leftridge	+2.0
21	13-8	TENN	IND	Kill	Keondreya Granberry	set Teodora Kričković	+1.8
22	13-9	IND	TENN	Kill	Maggie Dostic	set Caroline Kerr	+1.3
23	13-10	TENN	TENN	Attack err	Ella Boersema	blk Kennedi Rogers, Chelsea Sutton	+2.3
24	14-10	TENN	IND	Attack err	Jalyn Stout		+2.0
25	15-10	IND	IND	Attack err	Jalyn Stout		+2.5
26	15-11	IND	TENN	Kill	Kennedi Rogers	set Caroline Kerr	+1.3
27	15-12	TENN	TENN	Kill	Kennedi Rogers	set Caroline Kerr	+2.3
28	16-12	TENN	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+2.1
29	16-13	IND	TENN	Kill	Kennedi Rogers	set Caroline Kerr	+1.6
30	17-13	TENN	IND	Kill	Sara Snowbarger	set Teodora Kričković	+2.2
31	17-14	IND	TENN×6	Kill	Jolene Oddo	set Caroline Kerr	+1.6
32	17-15	TENN	TENN×6	Attack err	Jaidyn Jager	blk Jolene Oddo, Caroline Kerr	+2.9
33	17-16	TENN	TENN×6	Attack err	Teodora Kričković		+3.4
34	17-17	TENN	TENN×6	Ace	TENN server	aced Audrey Jackson	+3.7
35	17-18	TENN	TENN×6	Attack err	Victoria Gray		+3.7
36	17-19	TENN	TENN×6	Attack err	Victoria Gray	blk Maggie Dostic	+3.4
37	18-19	TENN	IND	Serve err	TENN server		+2.2
38	19-19	IND	IND	Attack err	Maggie Dostic	blk Teodora Kričković, Keondreya Granberry	+4.0
39	19-20	IND	TENN	Kill	Kennedi Rogers	set Caroline Kerr	+3.0
40	20-20	TENN	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+3.1
41	20-21	IND	TENN	Kill	Maggie Dostic	set Caroline Kerr	+3.3
42	21-21	TENN	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+3.4
43	21-22	IND	TENN×3	Kill	Jalyn Stout	set Caroline Kerr	+3.8
44	21-23	TENN	TENN×3	Kill	Kennedi Rogers	set Raegan Burns	+4.9
45	21-24	TENN	TENN×3	Attack err	Ella Boersema		+3.1
46	22-24	TENN	IND	Kill	Keondreya Granberry	set Teodora Kričković	+0.8
47	23-24	IND	IND	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Teodora Kričković	+3.0
48	23-25	IND	TENN	Serve err	IND server		+5.0
Set 2
1	0-1	TENN	TENN	Kill	Chelsea Sutton	set Caroline Kerr	+1.5
2	1-1	TENN	IND	Kill	Teodora Kričković	set Hannah Leftridge	+1.1
3	1-2	IND	TENN	Serve err	IND server		+1.1
4	2-2	TENN	IND	Serve err	TENN server		+1.1
5	3-2	IND	IND	Kill	Sara Snowbarger	set Hannah Leftridge	+1.7
6	3-3	IND	TENN	Attack err	Ella Boersema		+1.2
7	4-3	TENN	IND	Serve err	TENN server		+1.3
8	5-3	IND	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Ella Boersema	+1.9
9	5-4	IND	TENN	Serve err	IND server		+1.2
10	6-4	TENN	IND×3	Attack err	Kennedi Rogers		+1.4
11	7-4	IND	IND×3	Kill	Sara Snowbarger		+2.0
12	8-4	IND	IND×3	Kill	Victoria Gray		+2.0
13	8-5	IND	TENN	Serve err	IND server		+1.2
14	9-5	TENN	IND	Kill	Sara Snowbarger	set Jaidyn Jager	+1.4
15	9-6	IND	TENN	Kill	Kennedi Rogers	set Caroline Kerr	+1.2
16	10-6	TENN	IND	Serve err	TENN server		+1.5
17	10-7	IND	TENN	Kill	Maggie Dostic	set Caroline Kerr	+1.2
18	11-7	TENN	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+1.5
19	11-8	IND	TENN	Kill	Caroline Kerr	set Maggie Dostic	+1.2
20	12-8	TENN	IND	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Teodora Kričković	+1.5
21	12-9	IND	TENN×6	Kill	Chelsea Sutton	set Caroline Kerr	+1.2
22	12-10	TENN	TENN×6	Attack err	Sara Snowbarger	blk Chelsea Sutton, Jalyn Stout	+2.0
23	12-11	TENN	TENN×6	Ace	TENN server	aced Sara Snowbarger	+2.2
24	12-12	TENN	TENN×6	Kill	Kennedi Rogers	set Caroline Kerr	+2.2
25	12-13	TENN	TENN×6	Kill	Chelsea Sutton	set Caroline Kerr	+2.2
26	12-14	TENN	TENN×6	Attack err	Keondreya Granberry		+2.0
27	13-14	TENN	IND	Serve err	TENN server		+1.4
28	13-15	IND	TENN	Kill	Chelsea Sutton	set Caroline Kerr	+1.5
29	13-16	TENN	TENN	Attack err	Jaidyn Jager	blk Jolene Oddo	+1.8
30	14-16	TENN	IND	Attack err	Kennedi Rogers	blk Victoria Gray, Ella Boersema	+1.1
31	14-17	IND	TENN	Serve err	IND server		+1.3
32	15-17	TENN	IND	Serve err	TENN server		+1.2
33	15-18	IND	TENN	Kill	Kennedi Rogers	set Caroline Kerr	+1.4
34	16-18	TENN	IND	Serve err	TENN server		+1.2
35	16-19	IND	TENN	Kill	Kennedi Rogers	set Caroline Kerr	+1.4
36	17-19	TENN	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Audrey Jackson	+1.2
37	17-20	IND	TENN	Kill	Kennedi Rogers	set Caroline Kerr	+1.5
38	17-21	TENN	TENN	Attack err	Jaidyn Jager	blk Jalyn Stout	+1.5
39	18-21	TENN	IND	Serve err	TENN server		+0.7
40	18-22	IND	TENN	Serve err	IND server		+1.0
41	19-22	TENN	IND	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Teodora Kričković	+0.6
42	19-23	IND	TENN	Kill	Kennedi Rogers	set Raegan Burns	+1.0
43	20-23	TENN	IND	Kill	Victoria Gray	set Teodora Kričković	+0.5
44	20-24	IND	TENN	Serve err	IND server		+0.9
45	21-24	TENN	IND×3	Kill	Victoria Gray	set Teodora Kričković	+0.3
46	22-24	IND	IND×3	Attack err	Kennedi Rogers	blk Victoria Gray, Teodora Kričković	+0.9
47	23-24	IND	IND×3	Attack err	Kennedi Rogers		+2.4
48	23-25	IND	TENN	Kill	Kennedi Rogers	set Maggie Dostic	+3.9
Set 3
1	1-0	IND	IND×4	Attack err	Maggie Dostic	blk Keondreya Granberry, Ella Boersema	+0.9
2	2-0	IND	IND×4	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Jalyn Stout	+1.0
3	3-0	IND	IND×4	Attack err	Chelsea Sutton		+1.0
4	4-0	IND	IND×4	Attack err	Kennedi Rogers		+1.0
5	4-1	IND	TENN	Kill	Chelsea Sutton	set Caroline Kerr	+0.6
6	5-1	TENN	IND	Kill	Keondreya Granberry	set Teodora Kričković	+0.7
7	5-2	IND	TENN	Kill	Maggie Dostic	set Caroline Kerr	+0.6
8	6-2	TENN	IND	Kill	Sara Snowbarger	set Teodora Kričković	+0.7
9	6-3	IND	TENN×3	Serve err	IND server		+0.6
10	6-4	TENN	TENN×3	Kill	Jolene Oddo		+1.0
11	6-5	TENN	TENN×3	Kill	Jalyn Stout	set Caroline Kerr	+1.0
12	7-5	TENN	IND	Kill	Hannah Leftridge	set Victoria Gray	+0.8
13	7-6	IND	TENN	Serve err	IND server		+0.7
14	8-6	TENN	IND	Kill	Sara Snowbarger	set Teodora Kričković	+0.8
15	9-6	IND	IND	Attack err	Kennedi Rogers		+1.2
16	9-7	IND	TENN	Kill	Kennedi Rogers	set Caroline Kerr	+0.7
17	9-8	TENN	TENN	Attack err	Teodora Kričković	blk Jolene Oddo	+1.1
18	10-8	TENN	IND×3	Attack err	Kennedi Rogers		+0.9
19	11-8	IND	IND×3	Kill	Keondreya Granberry	set Teodora Kričković	+1.2
20	12-8	IND	IND×3	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Sara Snowbarger	+1.2
21	12-9	IND	TENN	Kill	Kennedi Rogers	set Caroline Kerr	+0.7
22	12-10	TENN	TENN	Attack err	Sara Snowbarger	blk Maggie Dostic, Chelsea Sutton	+1.1
23	13-10	TENN	IND	Kill	Keondreya Granberry	set Teodora Kričković	+0.9
24	13-11	IND	TENN	Kill	Maggie Dostic	set Caroline Kerr	+0.8
25	13-12	TENN	TENN	Ace	TENN server	aced Sara Snowbarger	+1.2
26	14-12	TENN	IND	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Teodora Kričković	+1.0
27	14-13	IND	TENN×7	Kill	Chelsea Sutton	set Caroline Kerr	+0.9
28	14-14	TENN	TENN×7	Ace	TENN server	aced Sara Snowbarger	+1.3
29	14-15	TENN	TENN×7	Attack err	Ella Boersema	blk Kennedi Rogers	+1.3
30	14-16	TENN	TENN×7	Attack err	Keondreya Granberry	blk Chelsea Sutton	+1.2
31	14-17	TENN	TENN×7	Kill	Jalyn Stout	set Caroline Kerr	+1.1
32	14-18	TENN	TENN×7	Kill	Kennedi Rogers	set Caroline Kerr	+0.8
33	14-19	TENN	TENN×7	Ace	TENN server	aced Hannah Leftridge	+0.6
34	15-19	TENN	IND	Serve err	TENN server		+0.3
35	16-19	IND	IND	Kill	Sara Snowbarger	set Ella Boersema	+0.6
36	16-20	IND	TENN×6	Serve err	IND server		+0.6
37	16-21	TENN	TENN×6	Kill	Kennedi Rogers	set Caroline Kerr	+0.5
38	16-22	TENN	TENN×6	Kill	Kennedi Rogers	set Teodora Kričković	+0.3
39	16-23	TENN	TENN×6	Attack err	Sara Snowbarger		+0.1
40	16-24	TENN	TENN×6	Attack err	Ella Boersema	blk Kennedi Rogers, Jolene Oddo	+0.0
41	16-25	TENN	TENN×6	Kill	Kennedi Rogers	set Caroline Kerr	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Indiana first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.