Final · 4 setsMon, Sep 7, 2026

AwayBIG-TEN

#21INDIndiana

3:1

HomeOVC

S INDSouthern Ind.

Indiana def. Southern Ind. 3–1

(25-15, 22-25, 25-15, 25-14)

Set	1	2	3	4*	Sets
IND	25	22	25	25	3
S IND	15	25	15	14	1

* Set 4: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

S IND above 50 · IND below

Biggest swing: 1.1% to Southern Ind. — set 4, IND 3-5 S IND. Attack error by Avery Daum. S IND win probability 4% → 5%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

IND 97.5%2.5% S IND

Indiana wins

3-0

64.4%

3-1

26.4%

3-2

6.7%

Southern Ind. wins

3-0

0.3%

3-1

0.7%

3-2

1.6%

IND break %: 51.2% vs this opp
S IND break %: 36.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Avery DaumAttack error+1.1%
Attack error by Avery Daum
Set 4 · IND 3-5 S IND · S IND 4% → 5%
02
S IND serverAce+1.1%
Southern Ind. ace on Jaidyn Jager
Set 3 · IND 3-3 S IND · S IND 6% → 7%
03
IND serverService error+1.0%
Indiana service error
Set 2 · IND 22-25 S IND · S IND 5% → 6%
04
IND serverService error+0.9%
Indiana service error
Set 3 · IND 4-4 S IND · S IND 6% → 7%
05
Mackenzie NettlesAttack error+0.9%
Attack error by Mackenzie Nettles
Set 3 · IND 6-4 S IND · IND 94% → 95%
06
Victoria GrayKill+0.9%
Kill by Victoria Gray (set by Teodora Kričković)
Set 4 · IND 5-5 S IND · IND 96% → 97%
07
S IND serverAce+0.9%
Southern Ind. ace on Sara Snowbarger
Set 2 · IND 19-23 S IND · S IND 5% → 6%
08
Avery DaumAttack error+0.9%
Attack error by Avery Daum
Set 4 · IND 2-3 S IND · S IND 3% → 4%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Indianaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
27Ella BoersemaMB	4	16	2	24	.583	1	0	2	2	0	0	5	2.5	18.5
24Jaidyn JagerOH	4	12	5	42	.167	0	1	4	21	2	0	1	0.5	13.5
23Victoria GrayMB	4	11	5	27	.222	2	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	11.5
1Sara SnowbargerOH	4	7	2	22	.227	2	1	4	11	1	0	2	1	9
12Teodora KričkovićS	4	5	0	11	.455	45	2	0	4	0	0	0	0	7
5Audrey JacksonDS	4	0	1	1	-1.000	2	0	0	7	2	0	0	0	0
18Avery DaumOH	4	7	2	19	.263	2	0	0	1	0	1	3	2.5	9.5
7Hannah LeftridgeDS	4	0	0	0	–	1	3	3	14	1	0	0	0	3
14Emma SegalDS	4	0	0	0	–	0	2	1	3	0	0	0	0	2
2Avery FreemanDS	4	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
15Sade IlawoleS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		58	17	146	.281	56	9	15	67	6	1	12	7	97

Southern Ind.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
6Ashby WillisOH	4	12	4	40	.200	1	1	1	18	3	1	0.5	13.5
7Carley WrightOH	4	9	8	31	.032	0	0	0	16	0	1	0.5	9.5
2Aysa ThomasS	4	3	0	7	.429	27	1	2	9	0	3	1.5	5.5
9Grace BachMB	4	1	0	3	.333	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	2
13Mackenzie NettlesOH	4	1	1	8	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
4Kerigan FehrL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	3	4	1	0	0	0
22Leah ColemanOH	4	5	6	34	-.029	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	5
17Aspen JankowskiS	4	0	0	0	–	1	3	2	3	0	0	0	3
5Audrey SmallL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	9	3	0	0	1
Team totals		31	19	123	.098	31	6	9	61	9	8	4	69

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 IND · S IND 5

Set 1

25-15

Longest run 5 INDS IND 5

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 INDS IND 5

Set 3

25-15

Longest run 6 INDS IND 3

Set 4*

25-14

Longest run 5 INDS IND 2

Bars above the line = Southern Ind. leads, below = Indiana leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Indiana

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	58%7/12	29%2/7
2	100%6/6	61%11/18
3	75%6/8	63%10/16
4	75%6/8	45%5/11
5	42%5/12	55%6/11
6	40%4/10	50%4/8
All	61%34/56	54%38/71

Southern Ind.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	47%7/15	33%3/9
2	35%7/20	30%3/10
3	50%6/12	14%1/7
4	56%5/9	14%1/7
5	44%4/9	50%5/10
6	67%4/6	69%9/13
All	46%33/71	39%22/56

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

166 rallies

Rally log

#	IND-S IND	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	S IND	S IND	Attack err	Jaidyn Jager		+0.4
2	0-2	S IND	S IND	Attack err	Ella Boersema		+0.5
3	1-2	S IND	IND	Serve err	S IND server		+0.3
4	2-2	IND	IND	Ace	IND server	aced Ashby Willis	+0.4
5	2-3	IND	S IND	Kill	Ashby Willis	set Aysa Thomas	+0.4
6	3-3	S IND	IND	Kill	Avery Daum	set Teodora Kričković	+0.3
7	3-4	IND	S IND	Serve err	IND server		+0.4
8	4-4	S IND	IND×3	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Teodora Kričković	+0.3
9	5-4	IND	IND×3	Attack err	Leah Coleman	blk Victoria Gray, Avery Daum	+0.4
10	6-4	IND	IND×3	Kill	Victoria Gray	set Teodora Kričković	+0.3
11	6-5	IND	S IND	Serve err	IND server		+0.3
12	7-5	S IND	IND	Kill	Victoria Gray	set Avery Daum	+0.2
13	8-5	IND	IND	Kill	Sara Snowbarger	set Teodora Kričković	+0.3
14	8-6	IND	S IND	Kill	Ashby Willis	set Aysa Thomas	+0.2
15	9-6	S IND	IND×3	Kill	Victoria Gray	set Teodora Kričković	+0.2
16	10-6	IND	IND×3	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+0.2
17	11-6	IND	IND×3	Attack err	Ashby Willis		+0.2
18	11-7	IND	S IND×5	Serve err	IND server		+0.1
19	11-8	S IND	S IND×5	Attack err	Victoria Gray		+0.2
20	11-9	S IND	S IND×5	Ace	S IND server	aced Audrey Jackson	+0.3
21	11-10	S IND	S IND×5	Attack err	Jaidyn Jager	blk Grace Bach, Aysa Thomas	+0.4
22	11-11	S IND	S IND×5	Ace	S IND server	aced Hannah Leftridge	+0.6
23	12-11	S IND	IND	Kill	Victoria Gray	set Teodora Kričković	+0.4
24	13-11	IND	IND	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Teodora Kričković	+0.5
25	13-12	IND	S IND	Serve err	IND server		+0.4
26	14-12	S IND	IND×5	Attack err	Carley Wright	blk Ella Boersema, Jaidyn Jager	+0.4
27	15-12	IND	IND×5	Kill	Avery Daum	set Teodora Kričković	+0.4
28	16-12	IND	IND×5	Attack err	Ashby Willis		+0.3
29	17-12	IND	IND×5	Ace	IND server	aced Audrey Small	+0.2
30	18-12	IND	IND×5	Attack err	Ashby Willis	blk Ella Boersema, Avery Daum	+0.1
31	18-13	IND	S IND	Attack err	Ella Boersema		+0.1
32	19-13	S IND	IND×4	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Teodora Kričković	+0.1
33	20-13	IND	IND×4	Bad set	Aysa Thomas		+0.1
34	21-13	IND	IND×4	Attack err	Leah Coleman	blk Ella Boersema, Avery Daum	+0.0
35	22-13	IND	IND×4	Attack err	Carley Wright		+0.0
36	22-14	IND	S IND	Attack err	Sara Snowbarger	blk Carley Wright, Grace Bach	+0.0
37	23-14	S IND	IND	Serve err	S IND server		+0.0
38	24-14	IND	IND	Kill	Victoria Gray	set Teodora Kričković	+0.0
39	24-15	IND	S IND	Serve err	IND server		+0.0
40	25-15	S IND	IND	Kill	Victoria Gray	set Teodora Kričković	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	IND	S IND	Kill	Ashby Willis	set Aysa Thomas	+0.2
2	1-1	S IND	IND×3	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+0.2
3	2-1	IND	IND×3	Attack err	Carley Wright	blk Ella Boersema, Sara Snowbarger	+0.2
4	3-1	IND	IND×3	Attack err	Carley Wright		+0.2
5	3-2	IND	S IND	Serve err	IND server		+0.1
6	4-2	S IND	IND	Attack err	Carley Wright		+0.1
7	4-3	IND	S IND	Kill	Carley Wright	set Aysa Thomas	+0.2
8	4-4	S IND	S IND	Kill	Mackenzie Nettles	set Aysa Thomas	+0.2
9	5-4	S IND	IND	Kill	Avery Daum	set Teodora Kričković	+0.2
10	5-5	IND	S IND	Kill	Leah Coleman	set Aysa Thomas	+0.2
11	6-5	S IND	IND	Serve err	S IND server		+0.2
12	7-5	IND	IND	Ace	IND server	aced Team	+0.2
13	7-6	IND	S IND	Serve err	IND server		+0.2
14	8-6	S IND	IND	Serve err	S IND server		+0.2
15	9-6	IND	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Ella Boersema	+0.2
16	9-7	IND	S IND	Serve err	IND server		+0.1
17	9-8	S IND	S IND	Ace	S IND server	aced Audrey Jackson	+0.2
18	10-8	S IND	IND	Serve err	S IND server		+0.2
19	10-9	IND	S IND	Kill	Ashby Willis	set Aysa Thomas	+0.2
20	10-10	S IND	S IND	Kill	Aysa Thomas	set Ashby Willis	+0.3
21	11-10	S IND	IND	Serve err	S IND server		+0.2
22	11-11	IND	S IND	Kill	Carley Wright	set Aysa Thomas	+0.3
23	12-11	S IND	IND	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Teodora Kričković	+0.2
24	13-11	IND	IND	Bad set	Aysa Thomas		+0.3
25	13-12	IND	S IND	Kill	Carley Wright	set Aysa Thomas	+0.2
26	14-12	S IND	IND	Kill	Victoria Gray	set Teodora Kričković	+0.2
27	14-13	IND	S IND×3	Kill	Leah Coleman	set Aysa Thomas	+0.2
28	14-14	S IND	S IND×3	Kill	Ashby Willis	set Aysa Thomas	+0.4
29	14-15	S IND	S IND×3	Kill	Ashby Willis	set Aysa Thomas	+0.5
30	15-15	S IND	IND	Kill	Teodora Kričković	set Audrey Jackson	+0.4
31	16-15	IND	IND	Kill	Teodora Kričković	set Victoria Gray	+0.4
32	16-16	IND	S IND×5	Kill	Ashby Willis	set Aysa Thomas	+0.4
33	16-17	S IND	S IND×5	Attack err	Victoria Gray		+0.6
34	16-18	S IND	S IND×5	Kill	Ashby Willis	set Aysa Thomas	+0.7
35	16-19	S IND	S IND×5	Kill	Aysa Thomas	set Aspen Jankowski	+0.8
36	16-20	S IND	S IND×5	Attack err	Jaidyn Jager	blk Ashby Willis, Aysa Thomas	+0.8
37	17-20	S IND	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+0.4
38	17-21	IND	S IND	Serve err	IND server		+0.7
39	18-21	S IND	IND	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Teodora Kričković	+0.4
40	19-21	IND	IND	Kill	Ella Boersema		+0.7
41	19-22	IND	S IND×3	Kill	Ashby Willis	set Aysa Thomas	+0.8
42	19-23	S IND	S IND×3	Ace	S IND server	aced Sara Snowbarger	+0.9
43	19-24	S IND	S IND×3	Kill	Carley Wright	set Audrey Small	+0.5
44	20-24	S IND	IND×3	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Teodora Kričković	+0.1
45	21-24	IND	IND×3	Attack err	Leah Coleman	blk Avery Daum	+0.3
46	22-24	IND	IND×3	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Teodora Kričković	+0.5
47	22-25	IND	S IND	Serve err	IND server		+1.0
Set 3
1	1-0	S IND	IND	Attack err	Carley Wright		+0.7
2	1-1	IND	S IND	Kill	Carley Wright	set Aysa Thomas	+0.8
3	2-1	S IND	IND	Kill	Avery Daum	set Teodora Kričković	+0.7
4	3-1	IND	IND	Attack err	Leah Coleman		+0.8
5	3-2	IND	S IND	Serve err	IND server		+0.7
6	3-3	S IND	S IND	Ace	S IND server	aced Jaidyn Jager	+1.1
7	4-3	S IND	IND	Attack err	Leah Coleman		+0.7
8	4-4	IND	S IND	Serve err	IND server		+0.9
9	5-4	S IND	IND×4	Kill	Victoria Gray	set Teodora Kričković	+0.8
10	6-4	IND	IND×4	Attack err	Mackenzie Nettles		+0.9
11	7-4	IND	IND×4	Ace	IND server	aced Audrey Small	+0.7
12	8-4	IND	IND×4	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+0.6
13	8-5	IND	S IND	Serve err	IND server		+0.5
14	8-6	S IND	S IND	Attack err	Victoria Gray		+0.8
15	9-6	S IND	IND	Kill	Sara Snowbarger	set Teodora Kričković	+0.6
16	10-6	IND	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+0.6
17	10-7	IND	S IND	Serve err	IND server		+0.5
18	10-8	S IND	S IND	Kill	Grace Bach	set Aysa Thomas	+0.8
19	11-8	S IND	IND	Serve err	S IND server		+0.7
20	11-9	IND	S IND	Kill	Ashby Willis	set Aysa Thomas	+0.7
21	12-9	S IND	IND×3	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Teodora Kričković	+0.7
22	13-9	IND	IND×3	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Avery Daum	+0.7
23	14-9	IND	IND×3	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+0.5
24	14-10	IND	S IND	Kill	Carley Wright	set Aysa Thomas	+0.4
25	15-10	S IND	IND×6	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Teodora Kričković	+0.4
26	16-10	IND	IND×6	Kill	Sara Snowbarger	set Teodora Kričković	+0.3
27	17-10	IND	IND×6	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Teodora Kričković	+0.2
28	18-10	IND	IND×6	Ace	IND server	aced Audrey Small	+0.1
29	19-10	IND	IND×6	Attack err	Carley Wright	blk Ella Boersema, Sara Snowbarger	+0.1
30	20-10	IND	IND×6	Attack err	Ashby Willis		+0.0
31	20-11	IND	S IND	Kill	Aysa Thomas	set Leah Coleman	+0.0
32	21-11	S IND	IND×3	Kill	Avery Daum	set Teodora Kričković	+0.0
33	22-11	IND	IND×3	Attack err	Leah Coleman		+0.0
34	23-11	IND	IND×3	Kill	Sara Snowbarger	set Avery Freeman	+0.0
35	23-12	IND	S IND	Attack err	Victoria Gray		+0.0
36	24-12	S IND	IND	Kill	Victoria Gray	set Teodora Kričković	+0.0
37	24-13	IND	S IND×3	Kill	Leah Coleman	set Aysa Thomas	+0.0
38	24-14	S IND	S IND×3	Kill	Ashby Willis	set Aysa Thomas	+0.0
39	24-15	S IND	S IND×3	Attack err	Sara Snowbarger	blk Aysa Thomas, Mackenzie Nettles	+0.0
40	25-15	S IND	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+0.0
Set 4
1	1-0	IND	IND	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Teodora Kričković	+0.6
2	1-1	IND	S IND	Attack err	Jaidyn Jager		+0.5
3	2-1	S IND	IND	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Teodora Kričković	+0.5
4	2-2	IND	S IND	Kill	Leah Coleman	set Aysa Thomas	+0.6
5	2-3	S IND	S IND	Attack err	Avery Daum		+0.9
6	3-3	S IND	IND	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Teodora Kričković	+0.6
7	3-4	IND	S IND	Attack err	Victoria Gray		+0.7
8	3-5	S IND	S IND	Attack err	Avery Daum		+1.1
9	4-5	S IND	IND×3	Kill	Sara Snowbarger	set Teodora Kričković	+0.7
10	5-5	IND	IND×3	Kill	Victoria Gray	set Teodora Kričković	+0.9
11	6-5	IND	IND×3	Kill	Sara Snowbarger	set Teodora Kričković	+0.8
12	6-6	IND	S IND	Kill	Carley Wright	set Aysa Thomas	+0.7
13	7-6	S IND	IND	Serve err	S IND server		+0.6
14	7-7	IND	S IND	Serve err	IND server		+0.7
15	8-7	S IND	IND×5	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Sara Snowbarger	+0.6
16	9-7	IND	IND×5	Ace	IND server	aced Ashby Willis	+0.7
17	10-7	IND	IND×5	Kill	Teodora Kričković	set Audrey Jackson	+0.6
18	11-7	IND	IND×5	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+0.4
19	12-7	IND	IND×5	Kill	Teodora Kričković	set Sara Snowbarger	+0.3
20	12-8	IND	S IND	Kill	Carley Wright	set Aysa Thomas	+0.2
21	13-8	S IND	IND	Kill	Sara Snowbarger	set Teodora Kričković	+0.3
22	14-8	IND	IND	Kill	Avery Daum	set Teodora Kričković	+0.2
23	14-9	IND	S IND	Kill	Ashby Willis	set Aysa Thomas	+0.2
24	15-9	S IND	IND	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Teodora Kričković	+0.2
25	15-10	IND	S IND	Kill	Leah Coleman	set Aysa Thomas	+0.2
26	16-10	S IND	IND	Attack err	Carley Wright		+0.2
27	16-11	IND	S IND	Kill	Carley Wright	set Aysa Thomas	+0.2
28	17-11	S IND	IND×3	Kill	Avery Daum	set Teodora Kričković	+0.2
29	18-11	IND	IND×3	Kill	Teodora Kričković	set Hannah Leftridge	+0.1
30	19-11	IND	IND×3	Ace	IND server	aced Ashby Willis	+0.1
31	19-12	IND	S IND	Attack err	Jaidyn Jager		+0.0
32	20-12	S IND	IND×3	Serve err	S IND server		+0.0
33	21-12	IND	IND×3	Kill	Victoria Gray	set Teodora Kričković	+0.0
34	22-12	IND	IND×3	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+0.0
35	22-13	IND	S IND	Attack err	Audrey Jackson		+0.0
36	22-14	S IND	S IND	Ace	S IND server	aced Jaidyn Jager	+0.0
37	23-14	S IND	IND×3	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Victoria Gray	+0.0
38	24-14	IND	IND×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
39	25-14	IND	IND×3	Ace	IND server	aced Kerigan Fehr	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Indiana first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.