FinalThu, Sep 10, 2026

AwayBIG-WEST

0:3

HomeBIG-TEN

Indiana def. Cal Poly 3–0

(25-11, 25-16, 28-26)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
CALPLY	11	16	26	0
IND	25	25	28	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

IND above 50 · CALPLY below

Biggest swing: 3.1% to Indiana — set 3, CALPLY 25-26 IND. Kill by Victoria Gray (set by Teodora Kričković). IND win probability 94% → 97%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

CALPLY 20.5%79.5% IND

Cal Poly wins

3-0

3.4%

3-1

6.8%

3-2

10.3%

Indiana wins

3-0

31.1%

3-1

30.1%

3-2

18.4%

CALPLY break %: 36.3% vs this opp
IND break %: 42.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Victoria GrayKill+3.1%
Kill by Victoria Gray (set by Teodora Kričković)
Set 3 · CALPLY 25-26 IND · IND 94% → 97%
02
Kendall BeshearBad set+2.6%
Bad set by Kendall Beshear
Set 3 · CALPLY 26-28 IND · IND 97% → 100%
03
Emma FredrickKill+2.3%
Kill by Emma Fredrick (set by Alexis Haury)
Set 3 · CALPLY 24-23 IND · CALPLY 6% → 8%
04
Keondreya GranberryKill+2.3%
Kill by Keondreya Granberry (set by Teodora Kričković)
Set 3 · CALPLY 24-24 IND · IND 92% → 94%
05
Sara SnowbargerAttack error+2.3%
Attack error by Sara Snowbarger
Set 3 · CALPLY 25-24 IND · CALPLY 6% → 8%
06
Victoria GrayKill+2.3%
Kill by Victoria Gray (set by Teodora Kričković)
Set 3 · CALPLY 25-25 IND · IND 92% → 94%
07
Jaidyn JagerAttack error+2.1%
Jaidyn Jager stuffed by Kayla Murdoch & Charlotte Kelly
Set 2 · CALPLY 11-9 IND · CALPLY 13% → 15%
08
Kayla MurdochKill+2.0%
Kill by Kayla Murdoch (set by Teodora Kričković)
Set 1 · CALPLY 1-0 IND · CALPLY 20% → 22%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Cal Polyaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
1Emma FredrickOH	3	11	6	25	.200	1	0	2	5	2	0	0	11
16Kayla MurdochOH	3	9	3	20	.300	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	11
13Kendall BeshearOH	3	9	8	27	.037	1	0	3	2	0	0	0	9
15Charlotte KellyMB	3	2	2	5	.000	0	0	0	1	0	4	2	4
8Alexis HauryS	3	0	0	1	.000	25	0	0	6	0	0	0	0
12Breklyn PullingMB	2	0	0	4	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21Elif HurriyetL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	12	2	0	0	0
53Ella ScottL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
6Maren O'FarrellL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0
25Aveya StoneOH	1	1	1	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
3Samantha CallahanS	1	0	0	2	.000	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
2Chloe LelugeMB	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		33	20	87	.149	32	2	6	26	8	8	4	53

Indianahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
24Jaidyn JagerOH	3	14	4	25	.400	1	2	1	9	0	1	0.5	16.5
23Victoria GrayMB	3	9	2	13	.538	0	0	0	1	0	4	2	11
77Keondreya GranberryMB	3	6	0	9	.667	0	0	1	1	0	7	3.5	9.5
12Teodora KričkovićS	3	2	1	4	.250	34	2	2	5	0	4	2	6
1Sara SnowbargerOH	3	5	3	19	.105	0	0	1	3	1	0	0	5
5Audrey JacksonDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27Ella BoersemaMB	3	5	0	12	.417	0	0	0	1	0	6	3	8
7Hannah LeftridgeDS	3	0	0	0	–	3	2	2	8	1	0	0	2
14Emma SegalDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
2Avery FreemanDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
15Sade IlawoleS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	10	82	.378	39	8	8	28	2	22	11	78

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 CALPLY · IND 6

Set 1

11-25

Longest run 1 CALPLYIND 4

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 6 CALPLYIND 6

Set 3

26-28

Longest run 5 CALPLYIND 4

Bars above the line = Indiana leads, below = Cal Poly leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Cal Poly

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	37%7/19	63%10/16
2	70%7/10	0%0/7
3	58%7/12	36%4/11
4	58%7/12	13%1/8
5	45%5/11	0%0/7
6	33%4/12	17%1/6
All	49%37/76	29%16/55

Indiana

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	58%7/12	69%11/16
2	100%7/7	46%6/13
3	64%7/11	36%4/11
4	88%7/8	50%7/14
5	100%7/7	30%3/10
6	40%4/10	67%8/12
All	71%39/55	51%39/76

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

131 rallies

Rally log

#	CALPLY-IND	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	CALPLY	CALPLY	Kill	Kayla Murdoch	set Teodora Kričković	+2.0
2	1-1	CALPLY	IND×4	Kill	Keondreya Granberry	set Teodora Kričković	+1.2
3	1-2	IND	IND×4	Attack err	Kendall Beshear		+1.8
4	1-3	IND	IND×4	Attack err	Kayla Murdoch	blk Keondreya Granberry, Ella Boersema	+1.7
5	1-4	IND	IND×4	Attack err	Kayla Murdoch	blk Keondreya Granberry, Ella Boersema	+1.5
6	2-4	IND	CALPLY	Kill	Kayla Murdoch	set Emma Fredrick	+1.0
7	2-5	CALPLY	IND×3	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+1.0
8	2-6	IND	IND×3	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Alexis Haury	+1.3
9	2-7	IND	IND×3	Ace	IND server	aced Team	+1.1
10	3-7	IND	CALPLY	Kill	Charlotte Kelly	set Alexis Haury	+0.6
11	3-8	CALPLY	IND×4	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Teodora Kričković	+0.7
12	3-9	IND	IND×4	Attack err	Emma Fredrick		+0.8
13	3-10	IND	IND×4	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+0.6
14	3-11	IND	IND×4	Attack err	Emma Fredrick	blk Victoria Gray, Ella Boersema	+0.4
15	4-11	IND	CALPLY	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Alexis Haury	+0.2
16	4-12	CALPLY	IND	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Teodora Kričković	+0.3
17	5-12	IND	CALPLY	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Alexis Haury	+0.2
18	5-13	CALPLY	IND	Serve err	CALPLY server		+0.3
19	5-14	IND	IND	Kill	Teodora Kričković	set Hannah Leftridge	+0.2
20	6-14	IND	CALPLY	Kill	Kendall Beshear	set Alexis Haury	+0.1
21	6-15	CALPLY	IND	Kill	Victoria Gray	set Teodora Kričković	+0.1
22	7-15	IND	CALPLY	Kill	Kendall Beshear	set Alexis Haury	+0.1
23	7-16	CALPLY	IND×4	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+0.1
24	7-17	IND	IND×4	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+0.1
25	7-18	IND	IND×4	Ace	IND server	aced Elif Hurriyet	+0.1
26	7-19	IND	IND×4	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Hannah Leftridge	+0.0
27	8-19	IND	CALPLY	Serve err	IND server		+0.0
28	8-20	CALPLY	IND	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Teodora Kričković	+0.0
29	8-21	IND	IND	Ace	IND server	aced Elif Hurriyet	+0.0
30	9-21	IND	CALPLY	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Alexis Haury	+0.0
31	9-22	CALPLY	IND	Attack err	Emma Fredrick	blk Ella Boersema, Keondreya Granberry	+0.0
32	10-22	IND	CALPLY	Serve err	IND server		+0.0
33	10-23	CALPLY	IND	Kill	Victoria Gray	set Teodora Kričković	+0.0
34	11-23	IND	CALPLY	Kill	Kendall Beshear	set Alexis Haury	+0.0
35	11-24	CALPLY	IND	Kill	Victoria Gray	set Teodora Kričković	+0.0
36	11-25	IND	IND	Attack err	Kendall Beshear		+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	IND	IND	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Teodora Kričković	+1.4
2	1-1	IND	CALPLY	Kill	Kendall Beshear	set Alexis Haury	+0.9
3	1-2	CALPLY	IND	Serve err	CALPLY server		+0.9
4	2-2	IND	CALPLY	Kill	Charlotte Kelly	set Alexis Haury	+0.9
5	2-3	CALPLY	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+0.9
6	3-3	IND	CALPLY	Kill	Kayla Murdoch	set Alexis Haury	+1.0
7	3-4	CALPLY	IND	Kill	Victoria Gray	set Teodora Kričković	+0.9
8	4-4	IND	CALPLY	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Alexis Haury	+1.0
9	4-5	CALPLY	IND	Kill	Teodora Kričković	set Audrey Jackson	+1.0
10	5-5	IND	CALPLY	Kill	Kendall Beshear	set Alexis Haury	+1.0
11	5-6	CALPLY	IND×4	Kill	Victoria Gray	set Teodora Kričković	+1.0
12	5-7	IND	IND×4	Attack err	Kendall Beshear	blk Keondreya Granberry, Teodora Kričković	+1.4
13	5-8	IND	IND×4	Kill	Keondreya Granberry	set Teodora Kričković	+1.2
14	5-9	IND	IND×4	Ace	IND server	aced Maren O'Farrell	+1.0
15	6-9	IND	CALPLY×6	Serve err	IND server		+0.6
16	7-9	CALPLY	CALPLY×6	Attack err	Jaidyn Jager	blk Kayla Murdoch, Charlotte Kelly	+1.2
17	8-9	CALPLY	CALPLY×6	Attack err	Jaidyn Jager	blk Charlotte Kelly, Kayla Murdoch	+1.5
18	9-9	CALPLY	CALPLY×6	Kill	Kayla Murdoch	set Alexis Haury	+1.7
19	10-9	CALPLY	CALPLY×6	Attack err	Sara Snowbarger		+2.0
20	11-9	CALPLY	CALPLY×6	Attack err	Jaidyn Jager	blk Kayla Murdoch, Charlotte Kelly	+2.1
21	11-10	CALPLY	IND×6	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+1.2
22	11-11	IND	IND×6	Ace	IND server	aced Emma Fredrick	+2.0
23	11-12	IND	IND×6	Kill	Jaidyn Jager		+1.9
24	11-13	IND	IND×6	Attack err	Charlotte Kelly		+1.7
25	11-14	IND	IND×6	Attack err	Charlotte Kelly		+1.5
26	11-15	IND	IND×6	Attack err	Kendall Beshear	blk Ella Boersema, Keondreya Granberry	+1.2
27	12-15	IND	CALPLY	Serve err	IND server		+0.6
28	12-16	CALPLY	IND	Attack err	Emma Fredrick		+0.8
29	13-16	IND	CALPLY	Serve err	IND server		+0.6
30	13-17	CALPLY	IND	Attack err	Emma Fredrick		+0.8
31	13-18	IND	IND	Kill	Sara Snowbarger	set Teodora Kričković	+0.9
32	14-18	IND	CALPLY	Attack err	Victoria Gray		+0.4
33	14-19	CALPLY	IND×4	Kill	Sara Snowbarger	set Teodora Kričković	+0.5
34	14-20	IND	IND×4	Ace	IND server	aced Maren O'Farrell	+0.5
35	14-21	IND	IND×4	Kill	Sara Snowbarger	set Hannah Leftridge	+0.2
36	14-22	IND	IND×4	Ace	IND server	aced Team	+0.1
37	15-22	IND	CALPLY	Attack err	Sara Snowbarger		+0.0
38	15-23	CALPLY	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+0.0
39	15-24	IND	IND	Attack err	Kendall Beshear	blk Teodora Kričković, Victoria Gray	+0.0
40	16-24	IND	CALPLY	Kill	Kendall Beshear	set Alexis Haury	+0.0
41	16-25	CALPLY	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	CALPLY	IND	Kill	Keondreya Granberry	set Teodora Kričković	+0.5
2	1-1	IND	CALPLY	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Alexis Haury	+0.5
3	1-2	CALPLY	IND	Kill	Keondreya Granberry	set Teodora Kričković	+0.5
4	2-2	IND	CALPLY	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Elif Hurriyet	+0.5
5	2-3	CALPLY	IND	Kill	Sara Snowbarger	set Teodora Kričković	+0.5
6	3-3	IND	CALPLY	Kill	Kayla Murdoch	set Alexis Haury	+0.5
7	3-4	CALPLY	IND	Kill	Sara Snowbarger	set Jaidyn Jager	+0.5
8	3-5	IND	IND	Attack err	Emma Fredrick	blk Ella Boersema, Keondreya Granberry	+0.7
9	4-5	IND	CALPLY	Kill	Chloe Leluge	set Samantha Callahan	+0.5
10	4-6	CALPLY	IND×3	Bad set	Aveya Stone		+0.5
11	4-7	IND	IND×3	Attack err	Aveya Stone	blk Victoria Gray, Jaidyn Jager	+0.7
12	4-8	IND	IND×3	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+0.5
13	5-8	IND	CALPLY	Serve err	IND server		+0.3
14	5-9	CALPLY	IND×3	Serve err	CALPLY server		+0.4
15	5-10	IND	IND×3	Attack err	Kendall Beshear	blk Keondreya Granberry, Teodora Kričković	+0.4
16	5-11	IND	IND×3	Bad set	Emma Fredrick		+0.3
17	6-11	IND	CALPLY×5	Kill	Aveya Stone	set Kendall Beshear	+0.2
18	7-11	CALPLY	CALPLY×5	Kill	Kayla Murdoch	set Alexis Haury	+0.4
19	8-11	CALPLY	CALPLY×5	Kill	Kendall Beshear	set Alexis Haury	+0.5
20	9-11	CALPLY	CALPLY×5	Kill	Kayla Murdoch	set Alexis Haury	+0.7
21	10-11	CALPLY	CALPLY×5	Attack err	Jaidyn Jager	blk Charlotte Kelly, Kayla Murdoch	+0.8
22	10-12	CALPLY	IND	Kill	Keondreya Granberry	set Teodora Kričković	+0.6
23	11-12	IND	CALPLY	Kill	Kendall Beshear	set Alexis Haury	+0.6
24	11-13	CALPLY	IND	Serve err	CALPLY server		+0.6
25	12-13	IND	CALPLY×5	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Alexis Haury	+0.6
26	13-13	CALPLY	CALPLY×5	Kill	Kayla Murdoch	set Alexis Haury	+1.1
27	14-13	CALPLY	CALPLY×5	Attack err	Ella Boersema		+1.2
28	15-13	CALPLY	CALPLY×5	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Alexis Haury	+1.3
29	16-13	CALPLY	CALPLY×5	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Elif Hurriyet	+1.3
30	16-14	CALPLY	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+0.7
31	16-15	IND	IND	Attack err	Kayla Murdoch		+1.3
32	17-15	IND	CALPLY	Attack err	Victoria Gray		+1.0
33	18-15	CALPLY	CALPLY	Ace	CALPLY server	aced Sara Snowbarger	+1.4
34	18-16	CALPLY	IND	Kill	Victoria Gray	set Teodora Kričković	+0.7
35	19-16	IND	CALPLY	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Samantha Callahan	+1.0
36	19-17	CALPLY	IND	Serve err	CALPLY server		+0.7
37	20-17	IND	CALPLY	Kill	Kendall Beshear	set Samantha Callahan	+1.1
38	21-17	CALPLY	CALPLY	Ace	CALPLY server	aced Hannah Leftridge	+1.3
39	21-18	CALPLY	IND×4	Kill	Victoria Gray	set Teodora Kričković	+0.5
40	21-19	IND	IND×4	Attack err	Kendall Beshear		+1.1
41	21-20	IND	IND×4	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+1.6
42	21-21	IND	IND×4	Ace	IND server	aced Emma Fredrick	+2.0
43	22-21	IND	CALPLY	Serve err	IND server		+1.6
44	22-22	CALPLY	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+1.4
45	23-22	IND	CALPLY	Kill	Kayla Murdoch	set Alexis Haury	+1.8
46	23-23	CALPLY	IND	Serve err	CALPLY server		+1.7
47	24-23	IND	CALPLY	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Alexis Haury	+2.3
48	24-24	CALPLY	IND	Kill	Keondreya Granberry	set Teodora Kričković	+2.3
49	25-24	IND	CALPLY	Attack err	Sara Snowbarger		+2.3
50	25-25	CALPLY	IND	Kill	Victoria Gray	set Teodora Kričković	+2.3
51	25-26	IND	IND	Kill	Victoria Gray	set Teodora Kričković	+3.1
52	26-26	IND	CALPLY	Serve err	IND server		+1.9
53	26-27	CALPLY	IND	Attack err	Kendall Beshear	blk Victoria Gray, Teodora Kričković	+1.9
54	26-28	IND	IND	Bad set	Kendall Beshear		+2.6

Score shown after each rally, Cal Poly first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.