Final · 5 setsThu, Oct 1, 2026Watch on BTN

Wisconsin def. Indiana 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Wisconsin 67.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 1, 7:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Wisconsin beat visiting Indiana 3-2 (25-19, 25-14, 22-25, 20-25, 15-8) on Thu, Oct 1, 2026. Wisconsin's Audrey Flanagan led with 17 kills, and Anna Bardaro added 16 digs.

Data through · final Oct 1

Set12345Sets
IND1914252582
WISC25252220153

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.441 on 34 swings: Audrey Flanagan and Wisconsin edged Indiana.

The match turned twice; each line shows Wisconsin's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Wisconsin at 67%.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 5 · Indiana 2–2 Wisconsin

    Wisconsin scored 3 straight to go from 2–2 to a 5–2 lead.

    Wisconsin 59% → 82%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · Indiana 6–8 Wisconsin

    Wisconsin scored 4 straight to stretch an 8–6 lead to 12–6.

    Wisconsin 80% → 99%

Wisconsin above 50Indiana belowMax swing 8.8%

IndianaWisconsin

Sideout %
Indiana 58.5·Wisconsin 68.5
Break %
Indiana 31.5·Wisconsin 41.5
Hitting
Indiana .222·Wisconsin .302
Longest run
Indiana 4·Wisconsin 5

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Wisconsin above 50 · Indiana below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+8.8% WISCrally 198 · set 5

Biggest swing: 8.8% to Wisconsin — set 5, IND 2-4 WISC. Kill by Audrey Flanagan (set by Charlie Fuerbringer). WISC win probability 65% → 74%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

IND 19.5%80.5% WISC

Indiana wins

3-0
3.1%
3-1
6.5%
3-2
9.9%

Wisconsin wins

3-0
32.1%
3-1
30.4%
3-2
18.1%
IND break %
35.4% vs this opp
WISC break %
41.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Audrey Flanagan (set by Charlie Fuerbringer)

    Set 5 · IND 2-4 WISC · WISC 65% → 74%

  2. 02
    WisconsinAce+7.8%

    Wisconsin ace on Sara Snowbarger

    Set 5 · IND 2-5 WISC · WISC 74% → 82%

  3. 03
    Victoria GrayKill+7.1%

    Kill by Victoria Gray (set by Jaidyn Jager)

    Set 5 · IND 6-8 WISC · IND 13% → 20%

  4. 04
    Jaidyn JagerAttack error+6.8%

    Attack error by Jaidyn Jager

    Set 5 · IND 6-10 WISC · WISC 86% → 92%

  5. 05

    Jaidyn Jager stuffed by Jaela Auguste & Charlie Fuerbringer

    Set 5 · IND 4-8 WISC · WISC 83% → 90%

  6. 06

    Kill by Decelise Champion (set by Charlie Fuerbringer)

    Set 5 · IND 2-3 WISC · WISC 59% → 65%

  7. 07
    Avry TatumKill+6.1%

    Kill by Avry Tatum (set by Teodora Kričković)

    Set 5 · IND 2-2 WISC · IND 35% → 41%

  8. 08
    IndianaService error+6.0%

    Indiana service error

    Set 5 · IND 6-9 WISC · WISC 80% → 86%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
516736.2500442000020
5161248.083211100010.517.5
511227.3330003202112
58218.3330311002112
5408.5005401810215
2057-.714000101222
5000–200600000
5000–004510000
5000–3031540000
48014.57100000010.58.5
1000–000000000
Team totals6328158.22261814518110691
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
517234.4410128210119
511119.5260000102112
56114.357000100639
5216.1674710110031.54.5
54518-.056000220004
34310.10000020031.55.5
5000–6201600002
5000–010500001
46215.267011900218
3205.40002000010.54.5
3316.333000210003
2000–000000000
1002.00000001010.50.5
Team totals5516129.302538356811810107

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 IND · WISC 5

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 2 INDWISC 5

Set 2

14-25

Longest run 2 INDWISC 4

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 4 INDWISC 3

Set 4

25-20

Longest run 4 INDWISC 3

Set 5

8-15

Longest run 2 INDWISC 4

Bars above the line = Wisconsin leads, below = Indiana leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Indiana

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%14/25
25%4/16
2
56%10/18
19%3/16
3
53%10/19
23%3/13
4
71%10/14
29%4/14
5
75%9/12
40%6/15
6
50%9/18
50%9/18
All
58%62/106
32%29/92

Wisconsin

SlotSideout %Break %
1
76%13/17
42%8/19
2
75%12/16
52%13/25
3
77%10/13
44%8/18
4
67%10/15
33%5/15
5
56%9/16
33%5/15
6
60%9/15
36%5/14
All
68%63/92
42%44/106

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

198 rallies

#IND-WISCSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1INDWISCAttack errJaidyn Jager+1.5
21-1WISCINDKillJaidyn Jagerset Teodora Kričković+1.6
31-2INDWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.6
42-2WISCINDBlockedDecelise Championblk Sara Snowbarger, Keondreya Granberry+1.6
53-2INDINDKillSara Snowbarger+2.5
63-3INDWISCServe errIndiana+1.7
74-3WISCINDKillElla Boersemaset Teodora Kričković+1.8
84-4INDWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.7
94-5WISCWISCAceWisconsinaced Hannah Leftridge+2.5
105-5WISCINDKillTeodora Kričkovićset Audrey Jackson+1.7
115-6INDWISCServe errIndiana+1.7
126-6WISCINDKillJaidyn Jagerset Teodora Kričković+1.8
137-6INDINDAceIndianaaced Eva Travis+2.8
147-7INDWISCAttack errJaidyn Jager+1.8
157-8WISCWISCAttack errKeondreya Granberry+2.7
168-8WISCINDBlockedDecelise Championblk Jaidyn Jager, Keondreya Granberry+1.9
178-9INDWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.9
188-10WISCWISCAttack errKeondreya Granberry+2.7
199-10WISCINDKillAvry Tatumset Teodora Kričković+1.8
2010-10INDINDBlockedLynney Tarnowblk Keondreya Granberry+2.9
2110-11INDWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.0
2210-12WISCWISCAceWisconsinaced Sara Snowbarger+2.9
2311-12WISCINDKillSara Snowbargerset Teodora Kričković+1.9
2411-13INDWISC×3KillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.0
2511-14WISCWISC×3Attack errAvry Tatum+2.7
2611-15WISCWISC×3BlockedAvry Tatumblk Audrey Flanagan+2.2
2712-15WISCINDAttack errAudrey Flanagan+1.2
2812-16INDWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.5
2913-16WISCINDKillSara Snowbargerset Teodora Kričković+1.2
3014-16INDINDAttack errJaela Auguste+2.4
3114-17INDWISCServe errIndiana+2.0
3215-17WISCINDKillElla Boersemaset Teodora Kričković+1.7
3315-18INDWISCAttack errJaidyn Jager+2.0
3415-19WISCWISCAttack errKeondreya Granberry+2.4
3516-19WISCINDKillJaidyn Jagerset Teodora Kričković+1.2
3617-19INDINDKillAvry Tatumset Teodora Kričković+2.5
3717-20INDWISC×5KillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.2
3817-21WISCWISC×5BlockedKeondreya Granberryblk Lynney Tarnow, Grace Lopez+2.4
3917-22WISCWISC×5AceWisconsinaced Emma Segal+1.4
4017-23WISCWISC×5KillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.6
4117-24WISCWISC×5Attack errAvry Tatum+0.2
4218-24WISCINDKillAvry Tatumset Teodora Kričković·
4319-24INDINDAceIndianaaced Audrey Flanagan+0.1
4419-25INDWISCAttack errKeondreya Granberry+0.1
Set 2
11-0WISCINDKillVictoria Grayset Teodora Kričković+1.4
21-1INDWISC×4KillGrace Lopezset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.3
31-2WISCWISC×4Attack errAvry Tatum+2.0
41-3WISCWISC×4AceWisconsinaced Teodora Kričković+1.9
51-4WISCWISC×4KillGrace Lopezset Anna Bardaro+1.7
62-4WISCINDKillJaidyn Jagerset Teodora Kričković+1.1
72-5INDWISC×4KillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.2
82-6WISCWISC×4KillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.6
92-7WISCWISC×4AceWisconsinaced Hannah Leftridge+1.3
102-8WISCWISC×4Attack errAvry Tatum+1.1
113-8WISCINDServe errWisconsin+0.6
123-9INDWISCKillGrace Lopezset Anna Bardaro+0.7
134-9WISCINDKillElla Boersemaset Teodora Kričković+0.6
144-10INDWISCServe errIndiana+0.7
155-10WISCINDKillSara Snowbargerset Hannah Leftridge+0.6
165-11INDWISC×3KillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.7
175-12WISCWISC×3BlockedJaidyn Jagerblk Grace Lopez, Lynney Tarnow+0.8
185-13WISCWISC×3KillEva Travisset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.6
196-13WISCINDKillElla Boersemaset Teodora Kričković+0.3
206-14INDWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.4
217-14WISCINDKillVictoria Grayset Teodora Kričković+0.2
227-15INDWISCAttack errAvry Tatum+0.3
238-15WISCINDKillVictoria Grayset Teodora Kričković+0.2
249-15INDINDKillSara Snowbargerset Teodora Kričković+0.5
259-16INDWISCKillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.5
269-17WISCWISCKillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.4
2710-17WISCINDKillAvry Tatumset Teodora Kričković+0.2
2810-18INDWISCKillCharlie Fuerbringerset Anna Bardaro+0.3
2910-19WISCWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.2
3011-19WISCINDServe errWisconsin+0.1
3111-20INDWISCKillEva Travisset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
3212-20WISCINDKillElla Boersemaset Teodora Kričković+0.1
3312-21INDWISCKillCharlie Fuerbringerset Anna Bardaro+0.1
3413-21WISCINDAttack errGrace Lopez·
3513-22INDWISCKillGrace Lopezset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
3613-23WISCWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer·
3714-23WISCINDKillTeodora Kričkovićset Jaidyn Jager·
3814-24INDWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Anna Bardaro·
3914-25WISCWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Anna Bardaro·
Set 3
11-0INDINDKillJaidyn Jagerset Teodora Kričković+1.2
21-1INDWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.8
32-1WISCINDKillAvry Tatumset Teodora Kričković+0.8
42-2INDWISCKillGrace Lopezset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.8
52-3WISCWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.2
63-3WISCINDKillSara Snowbargerset Teodora Kričković+0.8
73-4INDWISCKillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.8
84-4WISCINDAttack errEva Travis+0.8
94-5INDWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.8
105-5WISCINDAttack errEva Travis+0.9
116-5INDINDAttack errEva Travis+1.4
126-6INDWISCServe errIndiana+0.9
137-6WISCINDKillTeodora Kričkovićset Hannah Leftridge+1.0
147-7INDWISCKillGrace Lopezset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.9
158-7WISCINDKillJaidyn Jagerset Teodora Kričković+1.0
168-8INDWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.9
178-9WISCWISCBad setTeodora Kričković+1.4
189-9WISCINDKillJaidyn Jagerset Teodora Kričković+1.0
199-10INDWISCKillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.0
2010-10WISCINDKillSara Snowbargerset Teodora Kričković+1.0
2110-11INDWISCKillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.0
2211-11WISCINDServe errWisconsin+1.0
2312-11INDINDAceIndianaaced Halle Thompson+1.6
2412-12INDWISC×3Serve errIndiana+1.1
2512-13WISCWISC×3Attack errElla Boersema+1.6
2612-14WISCWISC×3Attack errJaidyn Jager+1.5
2713-14WISCINDKillSara Snowbargerset Teodora Kričković+1.0
2813-15INDWISCKillNatalie Wardlowset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.1
2914-15WISCIND×4KillJaidyn Jagerset Teodora Kričković+1.0
3015-15INDIND×4AceIndianaaced Madison Quest+1.8
3116-15INDIND×4AceIndianaaced Audrey Flanagan+2.0
3217-15INDIND×4Bad setCharlie Fuerbringer+2.0
3317-16INDWISCBlockedJaidyn Jagerblk Natalie Wardlow, Madison Quest+1.2
3418-16WISCINDKillJaidyn Jagerset Teodora Kričković+1.5
3519-16INDINDKillAvry Tatumset Teodora Kričković+2.0
3619-17INDWISCKillNatalie Wardlowset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.0
3719-18WISCWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.0
3820-18WISCINDKillAvry Tatumset Teodora Kričković+1.7
3920-19INDWISCAttack errSara Snowbarger+1.4
4020-20WISCWISCKillJaela Auguste+2.5
4121-20WISCINDKillAvry Tatumset Teodora Kričković+2.0
4221-21INDWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.9
4322-21WISCINDKillAvry Tatumset Teodora Kričković+2.3
4423-21INDINDAceIndianaaced Eva Travis+3.3
4523-22INDWISCKillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.5
4624-22WISCINDKillSara Snowbargerset Teodora Kričković+2.7
4725-22INDINDBlockedEva Travisblk Teodora Kričković, Ella Boersema+2.2
Set 4
10-1WISCWISCAceWisconsinaced Hannah Leftridge+2.8
21-1WISCINDKillJaidyn Jagerset Teodora Kričković+1.9
31-2INDWISCServe errIndiana+1.9
42-2WISCINDKillAvry Tatumset Teodora Kričković+1.9
53-2INDINDBlockedGrace Lopezblk Sara Snowbarger, Victoria Gray+3.1
63-3INDWISCBad setTeodora Kričković+2.0
73-4WISCWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+3.0
84-4WISCIND×3KillVictoria Grayset Teodora Kričković+2.0
95-4INDIND×3KillSara Snowbargerset Teodora Kričković+3.2
106-4INDIND×3KillAvry Tatumset Teodora Kričković+3.3
116-5INDWISCServe errIndiana+2.1
127-5WISCIND×3Attack errAudrey Flanagan+2.3
138-5INDIND×3AceIndiana+3.4
149-5INDIND×3AceIndianaaced Jaela Auguste+3.3
159-6INDWISCServe errIndiana+1.9
1610-6WISCIND×4KillElla Boersemaset Teodora Kričković+2.3
1711-6INDIND×4Attack errEva Travis+3.0
1812-6INDIND×4KillJaidyn Jagerset Teodora Kričković+2.6
1913-6INDIND×4KillJaidyn Jagerset Teodora Kričković+2.0
2013-7INDWISCKillHalle Thompsonset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.0
2114-7WISCINDKillJaidyn Jagerset Teodora Kričković+1.4
2214-8INDWISCKillHalle Thompsonset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.9
2315-8WISCINDKillJaidyn Jagerset Teodora Kričković+1.3
2415-9INDWISCKillDecelise Championset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.9
2515-10WISCWISCBlockedJaidyn Jagerblk Lynney Tarnow, Decelise Champion+1.8
2616-10WISCINDKillAvry Tatumset Teodora Kričković+1.7
2716-11INDWISCKillDecelise Championset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.1
2817-11WISCINDKillVictoria Grayset Teodora Kričković+1.6
2917-12INDWISCServe errIndiana+1.0
3018-12WISCINDKillElla Boersemaset Teodora Kričković+1.6
3119-12INDINDKillSara Snowbargerset Teodora Kričković+1.5
3219-13INDWISC×3KillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.5
3319-14WISCWISC×3BlockedSara Snowbargerblk Jaela Auguste, Charlie Fuerbringer+1.3
3419-15WISCWISC×3Attack errElla Boersema+1.9
3520-15WISCINDAttack errDecelise Champion+2.0
3621-15INDINDBlockedHalle Thompsonblk Teodora Kričković, Ella Boersema+1.8
3721-16INDWISC×3KillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.6
3821-17WISCWISC×3AceWisconsinaced Hannah Leftridge+1.5
3921-18WISCWISC×3BlockedJaidyn Jagerblk Lynney Tarnow, Charlie Fuerbringer+2.4
4022-18WISCINDKillJaidyn Jagerset Teodora Kričković+2.7
4123-18INDINDAttack errCharlie Fuerbringer+2.2
4223-19INDWISCKillHalle Thompsonset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.5
4323-20WISCWISCBlockedJaidyn Jagerblk Lynney Tarnow, Decelise Champion+1.6
4424-20WISCINDKillVictoria Grayset Teodora Kričković+2.2
4525-20INDINDKillAvry Tatumset Teodora Kričković+0.5
Set 5
10-1INDWISCAttack errAvry Tatum+5.7
21-1WISCINDKillAvry Tatumset Teodora Kričković+5.9
31-2INDWISCServe errIndiana+6.0
42-2WISCINDKillAvry Tatumset Teodora Kričković+6.1
52-3INDWISC×3KillDecelise Championset Charlie Fuerbringer+6.2
62-4WISCWISC×3KillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+8.8
72-5WISCWISC×3AceWisconsinaced Sara Snowbarger+7.8
83-5WISCINDKillElla Boersemaset Teodora Kričković+4.6
93-6INDWISCServe errIndiana+5.4
104-6WISCINDKillTeodora Kričkovićset Audrey Jackson+4.7
114-7INDWISCServe errIndiana+5.6
124-8WISCWISCBlockedJaidyn Jagerblk Jaela Auguste, Charlie Fuerbringer+6.6
135-8WISCINDKillJaidyn Jagerset Teodora Kričković+3.4
146-8INDINDKillVictoria Grayset Jaidyn Jager+7.1
156-9INDWISC×4Serve errIndiana+6.0
166-10WISCWISC×4Attack errJaidyn Jager+6.8
176-11WISCWISC×4KillLynney Tarnow+4.3
186-12WISCWISC×4KillEva Travisset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.2
197-12WISCINDKillVictoria Grayset Teodora Kričković+0.6
207-13INDWISCKillEva Travisset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.2
217-14WISCWISCBlockedJaidyn Jagerblk Lynney Tarnow, Decelise Champion+0.5
228-14WISCINDKillAvry Tatumset Hannah Leftridge+0.1
238-15INDWISCKillDecelise Championset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Indiana first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).