Southern California def. Indiana 3-0 Volleyball (Oct 11)

FinalSun, Oct 11, 2026BTN

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Indiana 75.2% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 11, 12:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Southern California won at Indiana 3-0 (26-24, 25-19, 25-22) on Sun, Oct 11, 2026. Southern California's Abigail Mullen led with 11 kills.

Data through Nov 3, 4:00 PM CT · final Oct 11

Set	1	2	3	Sets
USC	26	25	25	3
IND	24	19	22	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Southern California beat Indiana from a 25% pre-match call.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Southern California's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Pre-match, Indiana was RallyIQ's 75% pick.

Turning point 1: Set 1 · Southern California 22–24 Indiana
4 of the last 4 rallies went to Southern California, enough to take the set 26–24 and lead 1–0.
Southern California 16% → 45%
Turning point 2: Set 3 · Southern California 7–10 Indiana
Southern California scored 6 straight to turn a 7–10 deficit into a 13–10 lead.
Southern California 67% → 86%
Turning point 3: Set 3 · Southern California 16–17 Indiana
Down 16–17, Southern California scored 6 straight to lead 22–17.
Southern California 72% → 98%

Indiana above 50Southern California belowMax swing 10.2%

Southern CaliforniaIndiana

Sideout %: Southern California 61.2·Indiana 52.7
Break %: Southern California 47.3·Indiana 38.8
Hitting: Southern California .277·Indiana .206
Longest run: Southern California 6·Indiana 4

Adonia Faumuina
5 kills on .083, 7 points; 2 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Indiana above 50 · Southern California below

Biggest swing: 10.2% to Southern California — set 1, USC 26-24 IND. Attack error by Avry Tatum. IND win probability 65% → 55%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

USC 23.9%76.1% IND

Southern California wins

3-0

4.2%

3-1

8.2%

3-2

11.6%

Indiana wins

3-0

27.9%

3-1

29.0%

3-2

19.1%

USC break %: 37.6% vs this opp
IND break %: 42.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Avry TatumAttack error+10.2%
Attack error by Avry Tatum
Set 1 · USC 26-24 IND · USC 35% → 45%
02
Leah Ford&Adonia FaumuinaBlock+8.9%
Avry Tatum stuffed by Leah Ford & Adonia Faumuina
Set 1 · USC 25-24 IND · USC 26% → 35%
03
Adonia FaumuinaKill+7.9%
Kill by Adonia Faumuina (set by London Wijay)
Set 1 · USC 24-24 IND · USC 18% → 26%
04
Sara SnowbargerKill+5.7%
Kill by Sara Snowbarger (set by Teodora Kričković)
Set 1 · USC 22-24 IND · IND 78% → 84%
05
Avry Tatum&Keondreya GranberryBlock+5.6%
London Wijay stuffed by Avry Tatum & Keondreya Granberry
Set 1 · USC 21-22 IND · IND 72% → 78%
06
Sara SnowbargerAttack error+5.6%
Attack error by Sara Snowbarger
Set 3 · USC 19-17 IND · USC 80% → 86%
07
Abigail MullenKill+5.4%
Kill by Abigail Mullen (set by Milly McGee)
Set 1 · USC 21-20 IND · USC 26% → 31%
08
Leah FordKill+5.3%
Kill by Leah Ford (set by Lilli Etter)
Set 3 · USC 18-17 IND · USC 75% → 80%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Southern Californiaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Abigail MullenOPP	3	11	3	27	.296	1	0	2	9	0	0	4	2	13
7Leah FordMB	3	8	0	11	.727	1	2	2	0	0	0	6	3	13
8Mia TvrdyMB	3	10	1	21	.429	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	2.5	12.5
2London WijayOH	3	6	5	26	.038	3	1	2	6	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
24Milly McGeeS	3	1	1	3	.000	31	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	1
17Paisley DouglasL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
1Adonia FaumuinaOH	3	5	4	12	.083	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	2	7
6Taylor DeckertL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	1	0	1	8	0	0	0	0	1
40Addison TownsendL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16Lilli EtterS	1	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		42	14	101	.277	38	4	8	31	3	1	18	10	76

Indianahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
24Jaidyn JagerOH	3	11	7	33	.121	0	0	0	4	0	1	0.5	11.5
13Avry TatumOPP	3	7	3	18	.222	1	1	3	2	0	5	2.5	10.5
77Keondreya GranberryMB	3	6	2	11	.364	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	8
27Ella BoersemaMB	3	4	3	12	.083	0	1	2	1	0	3	1.5	6.5
12Teodora KričkovićS	3	4	0	4	1.000	31	1	2	10	0	2	1	6
1Sara SnowbargerOH	3	5	4	13	.077	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
7Hannah LeftridgeDS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	10	1	0	0	0
23Victoria GrayMB	2	2	1	4	.250	0	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	2.5
5Audrey JacksonDS	2	0	0	1	.000	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
14Emma SegalDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0
6Isabel ClarkOH	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
15Sade IlawoleS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		40	20	97	.206	37	3	10	32	4	16	8	65

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 USC · IND 4

Set 1

26-24

Longest run 4 USCIND 3

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 5 USCIND 4

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 6 USCIND 3

Bars above the line = Indiana leads, below = Southern California leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Southern California

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	41%9/22	61%11/18
2	64%7/11	36%4/11
3	88%7/8	22%2/9
4	55%6/11	45%5/11
5	86%6/7	60%9/15
6	75%6/8	40%4/10
All	61%41/67	47%35/74

Indiana

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	57%8/14	56%10/18
2	78%7/9	38%5/13
3	55%6/11	30%3/10
4	43%6/14	45%5/11
5	75%6/8	0%0/6
6	33%6/18	33%3/9
All	53%39/74	39%26/67

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

141 rallies

#	USC-IND	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	IND	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager		+2.0
2	0-2	IND	IND	Ace	Indiana		+1.8
3	1-2	IND	USC	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Milly McGee	+1.2
4	2-2	USC	USC	Kill	Mia Tvrdy	set Milly McGee	+2.1
5	2-3	USC	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+1.4
6	3-3	IND	USC	Kill	Mia Tvrdy	set Milly McGee	+1.4
7	4-3	USC	USC	Attack err	Sara Snowbarger		+2.3
8	4-4	USC	IND	Serve err	Southern California		+1.5
9	5-4	IND	USC	Kill	Adonia Faumuina	set Milly McGee	+1.6
10	6-4	USC	USC	Kill	Adonia Faumuina	set London Wijay	+2.5
11	6-5	USC	IND×3	Kill	Avry Tatum	set Teodora Kričković	+1.5
12	6-6	IND	IND×3	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Teodora Kričković	+2.4
13	6-7	IND	IND×3	Blocked	Adonia Faumuina	blk Ella Boersema, Teodora Kričković	+2.3
14	7-7	IND	USC	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Milly McGee	+1.6
15	8-7	USC	USC	Blocked	Ella Boersema	blk Leah Ford, Adonia Faumuina	+2.6
16	8-8	USC	IND	Kill	Sara Snowbarger	set Teodora Kričković	+1.7
17	9-8	IND	USC	Serve err	Indiana		+1.8
18	9-9	USC	IND	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Teodora Kričković	+1.7
19	9-10	IND	IND	Ace	Indiana		+2.6
20	10-10	IND	USC	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Milly McGee	+1.8
21	11-10	USC	USC	Blocked	Jaidyn Jager	blk Abigail Mullen, Mia Tvrdy	+2.9
22	11-11	USC	IND×3	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+1.8
23	11-12	IND	IND×3	Attack err	London Wijay		+2.8
24	11-13	IND	IND×3	Attack err	Milly McGee		+2.6
25	12-13	IND	USC	Kill	Mia Tvrdy	set Milly McGee	+1.6
26	12-14	USC	IND	Kill	Keondreya Granberry	set Teodora Kričković	+1.7
27	13-14	IND	USC	Kill	London Wijay	set Milly McGee	+1.7
28	13-15	USC	IND	Kill	Sara Snowbarger	set Teodora Kričković	+1.8
29	14-15	IND	USC	Kill	Adonia Faumuina	set Abigail Mullen	+1.8
30	14-16	USC	IND	Kill	Avry Tatum	set Teodora Kričković	+1.9
31	15-16	IND	USC	Serve err	Indiana		+1.8
32	15-17	USC	IND	Kill	Teodora Kričković		+2.0
33	16-17	IND	USC	Serve err	Indiana		+1.9
34	16-18	USC	IND	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Teodora Kričković	+2.1
35	17-18	IND	USC×3	Kill	Leah Ford	set Milly McGee	+2.0
36	18-18	USC	USC×3	Attack err	Jaidyn Jager		+3.8
37	19-18	USC	USC×3	Blocked	Keondreya Granberry	blk Mia Tvrdy, London Wijay	+4.4
38	19-19	USC	IND	Serve err	Southern California		+2.8
39	19-20	IND	IND	Attack err	Abigail Mullen		+4.4
40	20-20	IND	USC	Serve err	Indiana		+3.0
41	21-20	USC	USC	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Milly McGee	+5.4
42	21-21	USC	IND	Kill	Avry Tatum	set Teodora Kričković	+3.3
43	21-22	IND	IND	Blocked	London Wijay	blk Avry Tatum, Keondreya Granberry	+5.6
44	22-22	IND	USC	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Milly McGee	+3.6
45	22-23	USC	IND	Kill	Keondreya Granberry	set Teodora Kričković	+4.3
46	22-24	IND	IND	Kill	Sara Snowbarger	set Teodora Kričković	+5.7
47	23-24	IND	USC×4	Kill	Adonia Faumuina	set Milly McGee	+2.0
48	24-24	USC	USC×4	Kill	Adonia Faumuina	set London Wijay	+7.9
49	25-24	USC	USC×4	Blocked	Avry Tatum	blk Leah Ford, Adonia Faumuina	+8.9
50	26-24	USC	USC×4	Attack err	Avry Tatum		+10.2
Set 2
1	1-0	USC	USC	Blocked	Jaidyn Jager	blk Mia Tvrdy, Abigail Mullen	+3.0
2	2-0	USC	USC	Ace	Southern California		+3.2
3	2-1	USC	IND×4	Blocked	London Wijay	blk Teodora Kričković, Keondreya Granberry	+2.0
4	2-2	IND	IND×4	Attack err	Abigail Mullen		+3.0
5	2-3	IND	IND×4	Kill	Keondreya Granberry	set Hannah Leftridge	+2.9
6	2-4	IND	IND×4	Attack err	Mia Tvrdy		+2.7
7	3-4	IND	USC	Kill	Mia Tvrdy	set Milly McGee	+1.8
8	3-5	USC	IND	Kill	Keondreya Granberry	set Teodora Kričković	+1.8
9	4-5	IND	USC	Attack err	Avry Tatum		+1.8
10	5-5	USC	USC	Ace	Southern California	aced Hannah Leftridge	+3.1
11	5-6	USC	IND	Kill	Sara Snowbarger	set Teodora Kričković	+2.0
12	6-6	IND	USC	Kill	Mia Tvrdy	set Milly McGee	+2.2
13	6-7	USC	IND	Kill	Avry Tatum	set Teodora Kričković	+2.1
14	7-7	IND	USC×3	Kill	Milly McGee	set London Wijay	+2.2
15	8-7	USC	USC×3	Kill	London Wijay	set Milly McGee	+3.6
16	9-7	USC	USC×3	Blocked	Ella Boersema	blk Leah Ford, Adonia Faumuina	+3.9
17	9-8	USC	IND	Kill	Teodora Kričković	set Hannah Leftridge	+2.3
18	9-9	IND	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+3.7
19	10-9	IND	USC×5	Kill	Leah Ford	set Milly McGee	+2.6
20	11-9	USC	USC×5	Attack err	Ella Boersema		+4.1
21	12-9	USC	USC×5	Kill	Leah Ford	set Milly McGee	+4.2
22	13-9	USC	USC×5	Kill	London Wijay	set Taylor Deckert	+3.9
23	14-9	USC	USC×5	Kill	London Wijay	set Milly McGee	+3.5
24	14-10	USC	IND	Blocked	Abigail Mullen	blk Jaidyn Jager, Victoria Gray	+1.7
25	15-10	IND	USC	Kill	Leah Ford	set Milly McGee	+2.4
26	16-10	USC	USC	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Leah Ford	+2.8
27	16-11	USC	IND	Serve err	Southern California		+1.3
28	17-11	IND	USC	Kill	Mia Tvrdy	set Milly McGee	+1.9
29	17-12	USC	IND×3	Serve err	Southern California		+1.2
30	17-13	IND	IND×3	Kill	Avry Tatum	set Teodora Kričković	+2.5
31	17-14	IND	IND×3	Kill	Avry Tatum	set Hannah Leftridge	+3.2
32	18-14	IND	USC	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Milly McGee	+3.0
33	18-15	USC	IND	Kill	Keondreya Granberry	set Teodora Kričković	+2.1
34	19-15	IND	USC	Serve err	Indiana		+3.0
35	20-15	USC	USC	Kill	Leah Ford	set Milly McGee	+3.4
36	20-16	USC	IND	Blocked	Adonia Faumuina	blk Ella Boersema, Avry Tatum	+1.3
37	21-16	IND	USC	Serve err	Indiana		+2.2
38	21-17	USC	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+1.1
39	22-17	IND	USC	Attack err	Jaidyn Jager		+2.0
40	22-18	USC	IND	Serve err	Southern California		+0.9
41	23-18	IND	USC	Serve err	Indiana		+1.8
42	23-19	USC	IND	Kill	Teodora Kričković	set Audrey Jackson	+0.6
43	24-19	IND	USC	Kill	Mia Tvrdy	set Milly McGee	+1.3
44	25-19	USC	USC	Kill	Mia Tvrdy		+0.5
Set 3
1	0-1	IND	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+2.5
2	1-1	IND	USC	Kill	London Wijay	set Milly McGee	+1.8
3	2-1	USC	USC	Kill	Mia Tvrdy	set Milly McGee	+2.8
4	2-2	USC	IND	Serve err	Southern California		+1.8
5	2-3	IND	IND	Kill	Avry Tatum	set Sara Snowbarger	+2.7
6	3-3	IND	USC	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Milly McGee	+1.8
7	3-4	USC	IND	Blocked	Adonia Faumuina	blk Avry Tatum, Keondreya Granberry	+1.8
8	4-4	IND	USC	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Milly McGee	+1.9
9	4-5	USC	IND×3	Kill	Victoria Gray	set Teodora Kričković	+1.8
10	4-6	IND	IND×3	Ace	Indiana	aced Adonia Faumuina	+2.6
11	4-7	IND	IND×3	Kill	Sara Snowbarger	set Teodora Kričković	+2.3
12	5-7	IND	USC	Serve err	Indiana		+1.5
13	6-7	USC	USC	Blocked	Sara Snowbarger	blk Leah Ford, Abigail Mullen	+2.6
14	6-8	USC	IND	Kill	Isabel Clark	set Teodora Kričković	+1.8
15	7-8	IND	USC	Kill	Leah Ford	set Milly McGee	+1.8
16	7-9	USC	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+1.9
17	7-10	IND	IND	Kill	Keondreya Granberry	set Teodora Kričković	+2.5
18	8-10	IND	USC×6	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Milly McGee	+1.6
19	9-10	USC	USC×6	Ace	Southern California		+2.8
20	10-10	USC	USC×6	Kill	Mia Tvrdy		+3.3
21	11-10	USC	USC×6	Blocked	Keondreya Granberry	blk Mia Tvrdy	+3.7
22	12-10	USC	USC×6	Attack err	Jaidyn Jager		+3.9
23	13-10	USC	USC×6	Attack err	Jaidyn Jager		+3.9
24	13-11	USC	IND×3	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Teodora Kričković	+2.2
25	13-12	IND	IND×3	Blocked	London Wijay	blk Avry Tatum, Ella Boersema	+3.7
26	13-13	IND	IND×3	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+3.9
27	14-13	IND	USC	Serve err	Indiana		+2.9
28	14-14	USC	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+2.7
29	15-14	IND	USC	Attack err	Sara Snowbarger		+3.0
30	15-15	USC	IND	Serve err	Southern California		+2.8
31	16-15	IND	USC	Serve err	Indiana		+3.2
32	16-16	USC	IND	Serve err	Southern California		+2.9
33	16-17	IND	IND	Attack err	Adonia Faumuina		+4.5
34	17-17	IND	USC×6	Kill	London Wijay	set Milly McGee	+3.1
35	18-17	USC	USC×6	Kill	Leah Ford	set Lilli Etter	+5.3
36	19-17	USC	USC×6	Attack err	Sara Snowbarger		+5.6
37	20-17	USC	USC×6	Ace	Southern California		+5.2
38	21-17	USC	USC×6	Blocked	Jaidyn Jager	blk Leah Ford, Adonia Faumuina	+4.2
39	22-17	USC	USC×6	Blocked	Victoria Gray	blk Leah Ford, Abigail Mullen	+2.7
40	22-18	USC	IND	Kill	Teodora Kričković	set Sara Snowbarger	+0.8
41	23-18	IND	USC	Kill	Leah Ford	set Milly McGee	+1.6
42	23-19	USC	IND	Kill	Victoria Gray	set Teodora Kričković	+0.6
43	24-19	IND	USC	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Milly McGee	+1.2
44	24-20	USC	IND×3	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+0.3
45	24-21	IND	IND×3	Blocked	London Wijay	blk Avry Tatum, Keondreya Granberry	+0.9
46	24-22	IND	IND×3	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Avry Tatum	+2.2
47	25-22	IND	USC	Kill	Taylor Deckert	set Milly McGee	+3.8

Score shown after each rally, Southern California first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Southern California def. Indiana 3–0

Southern California beat Indiana from a 25% pre-match call.