FinalSun, Oct 18, 2026Watch on B1G+

Indiana def. Washington 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Washington 66.7% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 18, 3:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Indiana won at Washington 3-0 (25-22, 25-18, 25-21) on Sun, Oct 18, 2026. Indiana's Isabel Clark led with 12 kills, and Teodora Kričković added 10 digs.

Data through · final Oct 18

Set123Sets
IND2525253
WASH2218210

Match story · written from the play-by-play

The upset: Indiana, a 33% pick, over Washington.

2 stretches decided it. Percentages are Indiana's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. RallyIQ had Washington at 67% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Indiana 8–10 Washington

    Down 8–10, Indiana scored 6 straight to lead 14–10.

    Indiana 29% → 46%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · Indiana 6–7 Washington

    6 straight Indiana points turned a 6–7 deficit into a 12–7 lead.

    Indiana 78% → 93%

Washington above 50Indiana belowMax swing 4.0%

IndianaWashington

Sideout %
Indiana 66.1·Washington 54.1
Break %
Indiana 45.9·Washington 33.9
Hitting
Indiana .303·Washington .149
Longest run
Indiana 6·Washington 5

Jaidyn Jager
2 of her kills came in the stretches above. 10 K, .381, 11 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Washington above 50 · Indiana below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+4.0% INDrally 136 · set 3

Biggest swing: 4.0% to Indiana — set 3, IND 18-16 WASH. Ace by Audrey Jackson. WASH win probability 15% → 11%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

IND 39.8%60.2% WASH

Indiana wins

3-0
8.7%
3-1
14.5%
3-2
16.6%

Washington wins

3-0
17.3%
3-1
23.0%
3-2
19.9%
IND break %
40.8% vs this opp
WASH break %
42.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Ace by Audrey Jackson

    Set 3 · IND 18-16 WASH · IND 85% → 89%

  2. 02

    Ace by Hannah Leftridge on Simona Mateska

    Set 3 · IND 20-17 WASH · IND 89% → 93%

  3. 03
    Jaidyn JagerKill+3.9%

    Kill by Jaidyn Jager (set by Hannah Leftridge)

    Set 3 · IND 17-16 WASH · IND 81% → 85%

  4. 04
    Avry TatumKill+3.6%

    Kill by Avry Tatum (set by Teodora Kričković)

    Set 1 · IND 24-21 WASH · IND 49% → 53%

  5. 05
    Avry TatumKill+3.5%

    Kill by Avry Tatum (set by Teodora Kričković)

    Set 1 · IND 23-20 WASH · IND 47% → 51%

  6. 06
    Ella BoersemaKill+3.5%

    Kill by Ella Boersema (set by Teodora Kričković)

    Set 2 · IND 10-7 WASH · IND 61% → 65%

  7. 07
    Katy WesselsKill+3.5%

    Kill by Katy Wessels (set by Andrea Fabikovicova)

    Set 3 · IND 15-16 WASH · WASH 18% → 22%

  8. 08
    Julia HuntAttack error+3.4%

    Attack error by Julia Hunt

    Set 1 · IND 25-22 WASH · IND 51% → 55%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312222.4551000102113
39321.2860023006312
310221.3811109000011
34210.20000040052.56.5
33410-.10010000052.55.5
3205.40029221000215
3000–023000002
3000–110210001
3000–512930001
3000–102100000
Team totals401389.303397113850201075
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39629.10302103111.512.5
36211.36410020010.56.5
3102.5002211701224
3149-.333002201223
3000–000500000
22416-.125300200002
39017.5290002002110
3000–212920001
2113.000000000001
2000–000000000
2000–000000000
11011.000011100213
1216.167001100002
Team totals321894.1492858317310861

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 IND · WASH 5

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 6 INDWASH 3

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 4 INDWASH 2

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 6 INDWASH 5

Bars above the line = Washington leads, below = Indiana leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Indiana

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%8/14
56%9/16
2
89%8/9
27%3/11
3
78%7/9
46%6/13
4
78%7/9
22%2/9
5
46%6/13
57%8/14
6
63%5/8
55%6/11
All
66%41/62
46%34/74

Washington

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%8/17
40%4/10
2
58%7/12
38%5/13
3
64%7/11
22%2/9
4
70%7/10
22%2/9
5
40%6/15
30%3/10
6
56%5/9
45%5/11
All
54%40/74
34%21/62

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

136 rallies

#IND-WASHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1INDWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.6
21-1WASHINDAttack errSamantha Destler+1.7
31-2INDWASHKillKaty Wesselsset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.6
42-2WASHINDServe errAndrea Fabikovicova+1.7
53-2INDINDAttack errKaty Wessels+2.5
63-3INDWASHKillAddie Kanouffset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.7
74-3WASHINDKillAvry Tatumset Teodora Kričković+1.9
84-4INDWASHServe errAvry Tatum+1.8
94-5WASHWASHBlockedElla Boersemablk Julia Hunt+2.4
105-5WASHINDKillJaidyn Jagerset Teodora Kričković+1.8
115-6INDWASHKillAddie Kanouffset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.8
125-7WASHWASHAttack errElla Boersema+2.4
136-7WASHIND×3KillTeodora Kričkovićset Isabel Clark+1.7
147-7INDIND×3Attack errJulia Hunt+2.6
158-7INDIND×3AceAvery Freemanaced Kaitlyn Nguyen+2.8
168-8INDWASH×3Serve errAvery Freeman+2.0
178-9WASHWASH×3KillSimona Mateskaset Andrea Fabikovicova+2.7
188-10WASHWASH×3BlockedKeondreya Granberryblk Andrea Fabikovicova, Julia Hunt+2.6
199-10WASHIND×6KillJaidyn Jagerset Teodora Kričković+1.9
2010-10INDIND×6BlockedJulia Huntblk Keondreya Granberry, Isabel Clark+2.9
2111-10INDIND×6BlockedSimona Mateskablk Avry Tatum, Keondreya Granberry+3.1
2212-10INDIND×6Attack errSamantha Destler+3.2
2313-10INDIND×6AceTeodora Kričkovićaced Kaitlyn Nguyen+3.2
2414-10INDIND×6KillAvry Tatumset Hannah Leftridge+2.9
2514-11INDWASHKillAndrea Fabikovicovaset Samantha Destler+1.7
2615-11WASHINDKillIsabel Clarkset Hannah Leftridge+2.2
2715-12INDWASHAttack errKeondreya Granberry+1.7
2815-13WASHWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Samantha Destler+2.9
2916-13WASHINDKillKeondreya Granberryset Teodora Kričković+2.6
3016-14INDWASHKillKaty Wesselsset Andrea Fabikovicova+2.1
3117-14WASHINDKillAvry Tatumset Teodora Kričković+2.7
3217-15INDWASHKillAddie Kanouffset Andrea Fabikovicova+2.2
3318-15WASHINDKillJaidyn Jagerset Teodora Kričković+2.8
3419-15INDINDAttack errSamantha Destler+3.3
3519-16INDWASHBlockedIsabel Clarkblk Julia Hunt, Addie Kanouff+1.7
3620-16WASHINDKillIsabel Clarkset Teodora Kričković+2.4
3720-17INDWASHKillSamantha Destlerset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.6
3821-17WASHINDKillKeondreya Granberryset Teodora Kričković+2.4
3921-18INDWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.5
4021-19WASHWASHKillKaty Wesselsset Andrea Fabikovicova+3.1
4122-19WASHINDServe errJulia Hunt+3.4
4222-20INDWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Andrea Fabikovicova+2.2
4323-20WASHINDKillAvry Tatumset Teodora Kričković+3.5
4423-21INDWASHKillAddie Kanouffset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.9
4524-21WASHINDKillAvry Tatumset Teodora Kričković+3.6
4624-22INDWASHKillAddie Kanouffset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.4
4725-22WASHINDAttack errJulia Hunt+3.4
Set 2
10-1WASHWASHKillSimona Mateska+2.7
21-1WASHINDKillIsabel Clarkset Teodora Kričković+2.0
31-2INDWASHKillJulia Huntset Andrea Fabikovicova+2.0
42-2WASHINDKillKeondreya Granberryset Teodora Kričković+2.1
53-2INDINDBlockedSimona Mateskablk Avry Tatum, Keondreya Granberry+3.0
63-3INDWASHBlockedAvry Tatumblk Simona Mateska+2.1
74-3WASHINDKillJaidyn Jagerset Teodora Kričković+2.3
85-3INDINDBlockedSimona Mateskablk Avry Tatum, Ella Boersema+3.2
95-4INDWASHBlockedJaidyn Jagerblk Addie Kanouff, Katy Wessels+2.2
105-5WASHWASHAceSimona Mateskaaced Audrey Jackson+3.1
116-5WASHIND×3Serve errSimona Mateska+2.4
127-5INDIND×3Attack errKaty Wessels+3.3
138-5INDIND×3BlockedSamantha Destlerblk Teodora Kričković, Ella Boersema+3.3
148-6INDWASHServe errAvry Tatum+2.2
158-7WASHWASHAttack errElla Boersema+3.2
169-7WASHIND×4KillJaidyn Jagerset Audrey Jackson+2.6
1710-7INDIND×4KillElla Boersemaset Teodora Kričković+3.5
1811-7INDIND×4KillIsabel Clarkset Teodora Kričković+3.3
1912-7INDIND×4Bad setAndrea Fabikovicova+3.0
2012-8INDWASHKillAddie Kanouffset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.7
2113-8WASHINDKillIsabel Clarkset Teodora Kričković+2.2
2213-9INDWASHServe errAvery Freeman+1.7
2314-9WASHINDBad setAndrea Fabikovicova+2.3
2415-9INDINDKillIsabel Clarkset Hannah Leftridge+2.5
2515-10INDWASHServe errTeodora Kričković+1.3
2616-10WASHIND×3BlockedSimona Mateskablk Keondreya Granberry, Avry Tatum+1.8
2717-10INDIND×3KillJaidyn Jagerset Teodora Kričković+1.8
2818-10INDIND×3KillAvry Tatumset Teodora Kričković+1.2
2918-11INDWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Katy Wessels+0.5
3018-12WASHWASHAceAndrea Fabikovicovaaced Hannah Leftridge+1.0
3119-12WASHINDKillAvry Tatumset Teodora Kričković+1.2
3219-13INDWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Samantha Destler+0.7
3320-13WASHINDKillJaidyn Jagerset Teodora Kričković+1.1
3420-14INDWASHKillAddie Kanouffset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.5
3520-15WASHWASHAceKaitlyn Nguyenaced Hannah Leftridge+1.2
3621-15WASHINDServe errKaitlyn Nguyen+1.4
3721-16INDWASHKillSamantha Destlerset Kaitlyn Nguyen+0.7
3822-16WASHINDKillIsabel Clarkset Teodora Kričković+1.3
3923-16INDINDAttack errJulia Hunt+0.8
4023-17INDWASHKillMaija Howseset Kaitlyn Nguyen+0.2
4124-17WASHINDKillIsabel Clarkset Teodora Kričković+0.4
4224-18INDWASHServe errTeodora Kričković+0.1
4325-18WASHINDServe errJulia Hunt+0.2
Set 3
11-0INDIND×3AceTeodora Kričkovićaced Simona Mateska+2.3
22-0INDIND×3BlockedSimona Mateskablk Avry Tatum, Keondreya Granberry+2.3
33-0INDIND×3KillJaidyn Jagerset Teodora Kričković+2.4
43-1INDWASH×4KillAddie Kanouffset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.6
53-2WASHWASH×4AceSimona Mateskaaced Isabel Clark+2.3
63-3WASHWASH×4KillKaty Wesselsset Andrea Fabikovicova+2.3
73-4WASHWASH×4KillKylie Klecknerset Andrea Fabikovicova+2.3
84-4WASHINDKillIsabel Clarkset Teodora Kričković+1.7
94-5INDWASHAttack errAvry Tatum+1.7
105-5WASHINDKillKeondreya Granberryset Teodora Kričković+1.7
115-6INDWASHServe errHannah Leftridge+1.7
126-6WASHINDKillElla Boersemaset Teodora Kričković+1.8
136-7INDWASHServe errEmma Segal+1.8
147-7WASHIND×6KillJaidyn Jagerset Teodora Kričković+1.8
158-7INDIND×6BlockedMaija Howseblk Ella Boersema, Isabel Clark+2.7
169-7INDIND×6BlockedSimona Mateskablk Ella Boersema, Teodora Kričković+2.8
1710-7INDIND×6AceJaidyn Jager+2.8
1811-7INDIND×6KillIsabel Clarkset Hannah Leftridge+2.6
1912-7INDIND×6KillTeodora Kričkovićset Emma Segal+2.4
2012-8INDWASH×5BlockedElla Boersemablk Hayden Conner, Simona Mateska+1.4
2112-9WASHWASH×5AceHayden Conneraced Hannah Leftridge+2.3
2212-10WASHWASH×5KillKaty Wessels+2.6
2312-11WASHWASH×5BlockedIsabel Clarkblk Andrea Fabikovicova+2.9
2412-12WASHWASH×5KillKylie Klecknerset Andrea Fabikovicova+3.0
2513-12WASHINDKillIsabel Clarkset Ella Boersema+2.4
2614-12INDINDAceAvery Freemanaced Simona Mateska+3.3
2714-13INDWASHServe errAvery Freeman+2.2
2814-14WASHWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Andrea Fabikovicova+3.3
2915-14WASHINDKillIsabel Clarkset Jaidyn Jager+2.6
3015-15INDWASHAttack errAvry Tatum+2.5
3115-16WASHWASHKillKaty Wesselsset Andrea Fabikovicova+3.5
3216-16WASHIND×3KillAvry Tatumset Teodora Kričković+2.6
3317-16INDIND×3KillJaidyn Jagerset Hannah Leftridge+3.9
3418-16INDIND×3AceAudrey Jackson+4.0
3518-17INDWASHKillAddie Kanouffset Andrea Fabikovicova+2.6
3619-17WASHIND×3Serve errKaitlyn Nguyen+3.2
3720-17INDIND×3AceHannah Leftridgeaced Simona Mateska+4.0
3821-17INDIND×3BlockedKylie Klecknerblk Avry Tatum, Ella Boersema+3.2
3921-18INDWASHServe errHannah Leftridge+1.4
4021-19WASHWASHBlockedJaidyn Jagerblk Andrea Fabikovicova, Hayden Conner+3.0
4122-19WASHINDKillAvry Tatumset Teodora Kričković+3.2
4223-19INDINDKillElla Boersema+3.0
4323-20INDWASHServe errEmma Segal+1.0
4424-20WASHINDServe errKylie Kleckner+2.0
4524-21INDWASHKillHayden Connerset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.6
4625-21WASHINDServe errHayden Conner+1.4

Score shown after each rally, Indiana first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).