Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 31, 2026Watch on B1G+

Michigan def. Indiana 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Indiana 50.7% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Michigan beat visiting Indiana 3-1 (25-23, 25-22, 22-25, 25-19) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. Michigan's Ella Demetrician led with 20 kills, and Meredith Martin added 15 digs.

Data through · final Oct 31

Set1234Sets
IND232225191
MICH252522253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

No. 19 Indiana fell to unranked Michigan.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Michigan's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Pre-match, Indiana was RallyIQ's 51% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Indiana 23–21 Michigan

    Michigan won 4 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 25–23 and lead 1–0. The match swung to Michigan.

    Michigan 37% → 69%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 2 · Indiana 21–21 Michigan

    3 straight Michigan points broke a 21–21 tie and made it 24–21.

    Michigan 69% → 86%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Indiana 0–0 Michigan

    Michigan scored 6 straight to open the set 6–0.

    Michigan 75% → 93%

Michigan above 50Indiana belowMax swing 10.2%

IndianaMichigan

Sideout %
Indiana 59.4·Michigan 64.4
Break %
Indiana 35.6·Michigan 40.6
Hitting
Indiana .235·Michigan .358
Longest run
Indiana 6·Michigan 6

Cymarah Gordon
16 kills on .379, 17.5 points; 3 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Michigan above 50 · Indiana below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+10.2% MICHrally 186 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.2% to Michigan — set 1, IND 23-25 MICH. Attack error by Jaidyn Jager. MICH win probability 58% → 69%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

IND 50.2%49.8% MICH

Indiana wins

3-0
12.6%
3-1
18.8%
3-2
18.8%

Michigan wins

3-0
12.4%
3-1
18.7%
3-2
18.7%
IND break %
40.6% vs this opp
MICH break %
40.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Jaidyn JagerAttack error+10.2%

    Attack error by Jaidyn Jager

    Set 1 · IND 23-25 MICH · MICH 58% → 69%

  2. 02
    Lydia JohnsonKill+10.2%

    Kill by Lydia Johnson (set by Camille Edwards)

    Set 1 · IND 23-24 MICH · MICH 48% → 58%

  3. 03
    Lydia JohnsonKill+7.7%

    Kill by Lydia Johnson (set by Camille Edwards)

    Set 1 · IND 23-23 MICH · MICH 41% → 48%

  4. 04

    Jaidyn Jager stuffed by Ece Senyapici & Lydia Johnson & Sydney Schnichels

    Set 2 · IND 21-23 MICH · MICH 74% → 81%

  5. 05
    Sydney SchnichelsAttack error+6.6%

    Attack error by Sydney Schnichels

    Set 1 · IND 23-21 MICH · IND 56% → 63%

  6. 06
    Jaidyn JagerBlock+5.9%

    Cymarah Gordon stuffed by Jaidyn Jager

    Set 2 · IND 21-21 MICH · IND 25% → 31%

  7. 07

    Kill by Sydney Schnichels (set by Morgan Burke)

    Set 1 · IND 21-21 MICH · MICH 43% → 49%

  8. 08
    Sydney SchnichelsAttack error+5.3%

    Attack error by Sydney Schnichels

    Set 1 · IND 21-19 MICH · IND 55% → 60%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413342.23801060010.514.5
410528.17902060212.514.5
410419.3160002032414
49116.5000001004211
46522.04500020111.57.5
4203.6674112100031.54.5
4000–410500001
4000–113400001
2116.000000000001
2000–000000000
2000–000000000
Team totals5119136.23546653606121289
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
420738.3421039200020
416529.37900010031.517.5
410015.66710010010.510.5
49422.2272017302110
45110.40000140052.57.5
4000–2701900000
410421.2861002032414
4112.0002702500001
4000–8011500000
3000–000010000
1000–000000000
Team totals7122137.35867095363139.597

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 IND · MICH 6

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 3 INDMICH 6

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 INDMICH 4

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 3 INDMICH 3

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 6 INDMICH 6

Bars above the line = Michigan leads, below = Indiana leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Indiana

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%11/22
18%2/11
2
58%11/19
45%9/20
3
43%9/21
27%4/15
4
60%9/15
50%9/18
5
90%9/10
36%5/14
6
89%8/9
25%3/12
All
59%57/96
36%32/90

Michigan

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%11/16
10%1/10
2
55%11/20
59%16/27
3
83%10/12
47%9/19
4
50%9/18
40%6/15
5
60%9/15
36%5/14
6
89%8/9
18%2/11
All
64%58/90
41%39/96

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

186 rallies

#IND-MICHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MICHINDKillAvry Tatumset Teodora Kričković+1.8
21-1INDMICHServe errTeodora Kričković+1.8
32-1MICHIND×3KillIsabel Clarkset Teodora Kričković+1.8
43-1INDIND×3BlockedElla Demetricianblk Keondreya Granberry+2.6
54-1INDIND×3AceHannah Leftridgeaced Ella Demetrician+2.5
64-2INDMICHServe errHannah Leftridge+1.6
75-2MICHIND×3Serve errCamille Edwards+1.8
86-2INDIND×3BlockedSydney Schnichelsblk Avry Tatum+2.4
97-2INDIND×3BlockedLydia Johnsonblk Jaidyn Jager+2.1
107-3INDMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Camille Edwards+1.2
118-3MICHINDServe errSydney Schnichels+1.5
128-4INDMICHKillEce Senyapiciset Camille Edwards+1.2
139-4MICHINDKillVictoria Grayset Teodora Kričković+1.5
1410-4INDINDBlockedLydia Johnsonblk Isabel Clark, Victoria Gray+1.8
1510-5INDMICHKillJenna Hanesset Camille Edwards+1.0
1610-6MICHMICHAttack errVictoria Gray+1.8
1711-6MICHINDKillIsabel Clarkset Teodora Kričković+1.5
1811-7INDMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+1.2
1912-7MICHINDBlockedSydney Schnichelsblk Keondreya Granberry, Teodora Kričković+1.5
2013-7INDINDKillKeondreya Granberry+1.8
2113-8INDMICH×6KillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.9
2213-9MICHMICH×6KillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+1.8
2313-10MICHMICH×6KillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+2.2
2413-11MICHMICH×6KillSydney Schnichelsset Meredith Martin+2.7
2513-12MICHMICH×6KillEce Senyapiciset Morgan Burke+3.2
2613-13MICHMICH×6KillSydney Schnichelsset Meredith Martin+3.6
2714-13MICHINDKillJaidyn Jagerset Teodora Kričković+2.6
2814-14INDMICHServe errHannah Leftridge+2.6
2914-15MICHMICHBlockedKeondreya Granberryblk Ece Senyapici, Sydney Schnichels+4.0
3015-15MICHINDBlockedEce Senyapiciblk Keondreya Granberry+2.7
3115-16INDMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+2.9
3216-16MICHINDKillAvry Tatumset Hannah Leftridge+2.8
3316-17INDMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+3.0
3417-17MICHINDKillJaidyn Jagerset Teodora Kričković+3.0
3518-17INDINDAceJaidyn Jageraced Sydney Schnichels+4.7
3618-18INDMICHBlockedIsabel Clarkblk Lydia Johnson+3.2
3719-18MICHINDKillAvry Tatumset Teodora Kričković+3.5
3819-19INDMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+3.4
3920-19MICHINDBlockedCymarah Gordonblk Isabel Clark+3.8
4021-19INDINDAttack errSydney Schnichels+5.3
4121-20INDMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+3.0
4221-21MICHMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Morgan Burke+5.9
4322-21MICHINDServe errMeredith Martin+4.8
4423-21INDINDAttack errSydney Schnichels+6.6
4523-22INDMICH×4KillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+3.2
4623-23MICHMICH×4KillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+7.7
4723-24MICHMICH×4KillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+10.2
4823-25MICHMICH×4Attack errJaidyn Jager+10.2
Set 2
11-0INDINDKillAvry Tatumset Teodora Kričković+2.6
21-1INDMICH×4KillJenna Hanesset Morgan Burke+1.8
31-2MICHMICH×4BlockedIsabel Clarkblk Cymarah Gordon, Ece Senyapici+2.7
41-3MICHMICH×4KillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+2.6
51-4MICHMICH×4KillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+2.6
62-4MICHIND×3KillAvry Tatumset Teodora Kričković+1.6
73-4INDIND×3Attack errCymarah Gordon+2.6
84-4INDIND×3KillKeondreya Granberryset Morgan Burke+2.8
94-5INDMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Morgan Burke+2.0
105-5MICHINDKillJaidyn Jagerset Teodora Kričković+1.9
115-6INDMICH×3KillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+2.0
125-7MICHMICH×3KillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+2.9
135-8MICHMICH×3KillElla Demetricianset Lydia Johnson+2.8
146-8MICHINDKillAvry Tatumset Teodora Kričković+1.8
156-9INDMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+2.0
167-9MICHINDKillVictoria Grayset Teodora Kričković+1.8
177-10INDMICHBlockedIsabel Clarkblk Lydia Johnson+2.0
188-10MICHINDKillVictoria Grayset Teodora Kričković+1.8
198-11INDMICHKillJenna Hanesset Morgan Burke+2.1
209-11MICHINDKillSara Snowbargerset Teodora Kričković+1.9
219-12INDMICHKillJenna Hanesset Morgan Burke+2.1
2210-12MICHINDKillAvry Tatumset Teodora Kričković+1.9
2311-12INDINDKillAvry Tatumset Teodora Kričković+3.2
2411-13INDMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+2.4
2512-13MICHINDKillKeondreya Granberryset Teodora Kričković+2.2
2612-14INDMICHKillEce Senyapiciset Camille Edwards+2.5
2713-14MICHIND×3KillJaidyn Jagerset Teodora Kričković+2.3
2814-14INDIND×3AceAvry Tatumaced Sydney Schnichels+3.8
2915-14INDIND×3KillVictoria Grayset Teodora Kričković+4.0
3015-15INDMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+2.7
3116-15MICHINDKillVictoria Grayset Teodora Kričković+2.9
3216-16INDMICHKillElla Demetricianset Teodora Kričković+2.9
3316-17MICHMICHKillElla Demetricianset Meredith Martin+4.4
3417-17MICHINDKillJaidyn Jagerset Audrey Jackson+3.0
3517-18INDMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+3.3
3618-18MICHINDServe errElla Demetrician+3.2
3718-19INDMICH×3KillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+3.5
3818-20MICHMICH×3Attack errKeondreya Granberry+5.0
3918-21MICHMICH×3BlockedSara Snowbargerblk Cymarah Gordon, Ece Senyapici+4.3
4019-21MICHIND×3KillAvry Tatumset Teodora Kričković+2.1
4120-21INDIND×3KillKeondreya Granberry+4.4
4221-21INDIND×3BlockedCymarah Gordonblk Jaidyn Jager+5.9
4321-22INDMICH×3KillSydney Schnichelsset Morgan Burke+4.8
4421-23MICHMICH×3BlockedJaidyn Jagerblk Ece Senyapici, Lydia Johnson, Sydney Schnichels+6.7
4521-24MICHMICH×3Attack errJaidyn Jager+4.7
4622-24MICHINDKillJaidyn Jagerset Teodora Kričković+1.2
4722-25INDMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+2.9
Set 3
10-1MICHMICHAttack errJaidyn Jager+1.7
21-1MICHINDKillKeondreya Granberryset Teodora Kričković+1.2
31-2INDMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+1.2
42-2MICHINDKillJaidyn Jagerset Teodora Kričković+1.2
53-2INDINDBlockedLydia Johnsonblk Victoria Gray, Jaidyn Jager+1.8
63-3INDMICH×3KillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+1.2
73-4MICHMICH×3KillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+1.8
83-5MICHMICH×3KillElla Demetricianset Meredith Martin+1.8
94-5MICHINDKillVictoria Grayset Teodora Kričković+1.2
104-6INDMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+1.3
115-6MICHINDKillJaidyn Jagerset Teodora Kričković+1.2
126-6INDINDAceJaidyn Jageraced Sydney Schnichels+1.9
136-7INDMICHKillJenna Hanesset Camille Edwards+1.4
147-7MICHINDKillVictoria Grayset Teodora Kričković+1.3
157-8INDMICHAttack errKeondreya Granberry+1.4
168-8MICHINDKillKeondreya Granberryset Teodora Kričković+1.4
178-9INDMICHServe errTeodora Kričković+1.4
189-9MICHIND×3KillKeondreya Granberryset Teodora Kričković+1.4
1910-9INDIND×3BlockedElla Demetricianblk Keondreya Granberry+2.1
2011-9INDIND×3Attack errCymarah Gordon+2.1
2111-10INDMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+1.4
2212-10MICHINDKillJaidyn Jagerset Teodora Kričković+1.5
2312-11INDMICHKillCamille Edwardsset Meredith Martin+1.4
2412-12MICHMICHKillEce Senyapiciset Camille Edwards+2.3
2513-12MICHINDKillAvry Tatumset Teodora Kričković+1.6
2613-13INDMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+1.6
2714-13MICHINDAttack errElla Demetrician+1.7
2815-13INDINDBlockedElla Demetricianblk Teodora Kričković, Victoria Gray+2.5
2915-14INDMICHKillJenna Hanesset Camille Edwards+1.6
3016-14MICHINDKillTeodora Kričkovićset Audrey Jackson+1.8
3116-15INDMICHKillElla Demetricianset Meredith Martin+1.6
3217-15MICHINDKillIsabel Clarkset Teodora Kričković+1.9
3317-16INDMICHBad setTeodora Kričković+1.7
3418-16MICHINDKillAvry Tatumset Teodora Kričković+2.0
3518-17INDMICHServe errHannah Leftridge+1.8
3619-17MICHINDKillAvry Tatumset Teodora Kričković+2.1
3719-18INDMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Camille Edwards+1.8
3820-18MICHINDKillVictoria Grayset Teodora Kričković+2.2
3920-19INDMICHKillElla Demetricianset Meredith Martin+1.9
4020-20MICHMICHKillElla Demetricianset Sydney Schnichels+3.5
4121-20MICHINDServe errEce Senyapici+2.8
4221-21INDMICHKillJenna Hanesset Camille Edwards+2.7
4322-21MICHINDKillVictoria Grayset Teodora Kričković+3.1
4423-21INDINDAttack errCymarah Gordon+4.4
4523-22INDMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+2.1
4624-22MICHINDKillKeondreya Granberryset Teodora Kričković+3.5
4725-22INDINDKillKeondreya Granberryset Teodora Kričković+2.7
Set 4
10-1INDMICH×6KillJenna Hanesset Morgan Burke+2.4
20-2MICHMICH×6KillJenna Hanes+3.5
30-3MICHMICH×6KillCymarah Gordonset Jenna Hanes+3.3
40-4MICHMICH×6KillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+3.1
50-5MICHMICH×6BlockedJaidyn Jagerblk Cymarah Gordon, Jenna Hanes+2.8
60-6MICHMICH×6Bad setAudrey Jackson+2.4
71-6MICHINDServe errElla Demetrician+1.4
81-7INDMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+1.7
92-7MICHINDKillTeodora Kričkovićset Audrey Jackson+1.4
102-8INDMICHKillEce Senyapiciset Morgan Burke+1.7
112-9MICHMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Ella Demetrician+2.0
123-9MICHINDAttack errCamille Edwards+1.1
133-10INDMICH×4KillSydney Schnichelsset Camille Edwards+1.4
143-11MICHMICH×4KillElla Demetricianset Meredith Martin+1.5
153-12MICHMICH×4Attack errKeondreya Granberry+1.1
163-13MICHMICH×4KillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+0.7
174-13MICHINDKillIsabel Clarkset Audrey Jackson+0.3
185-13INDINDKillIsabel Clarkset Camille Edwards+0.7
195-14INDMICHKillElla Demetricianset Sydney Schnichels+0.7
206-14MICHINDKillIsabel Clarkset Teodora Kričković+0.4
216-15INDMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+0.6
227-15MICHINDServe errMorgan Burke+0.4
237-16INDMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.6
248-16MICHINDServe errElla Demetrician+0.3
258-17INDMICHKillJenna Hanesset Morgan Burke+0.5
269-17MICHINDKillJaidyn Jagerset Teodora Kričković+0.3
279-18INDMICH×3KillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.5
289-19MICHMICH×3Attack errAvry Tatum+0.3
299-20MICHMICH×3Attack errAvry Tatum+0.2
3010-20MICHIND×6Serve errCamille Edwards·
3111-20INDIND×6Attack errElla Demetrician+0.1
3212-20INDIND×6Attack errLydia Johnson+0.2
3313-20INDIND×6BlockedElla Demetricianblk Keondreya Granberry+0.4
3414-20INDIND×6Bad setCamille Edwards+0.6
3515-20INDIND×6AceAudrey Jacksonaced Ella Demetrician+1.1
3615-21INDMICH×3KillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+1.2
3715-22MICHMICH×3BlockedIsabel Clarkblk Ece Senyapici, Lydia Johnson+0.9
3815-23MICHMICH×3BlockedIsabel Clarkblk Lydia Johnson+0.3
3916-23MICHIND×3KillKeondreya Granberryset Teodora Kričković+0.1
4017-23INDIND×3Attack errElla Demetrician+0.2
4118-23INDIND×3AceTeodora Kričkovićaced Carly Greskovics+0.4
4218-24INDMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+0.6
4319-24MICHINDKillAvry Tatumset Teodora Kričković+0.1
4419-25INDMICHAttack errAvry Tatum+0.3

Score shown after each rally, Indiana first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).