Illinois vs Indiana Volleyball: Illinois Wins 3-0 (Nov 8)

FinalSun, Nov 8, 2026B1G+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Indiana 56.5% · upsetLocked before first serve (Nov 8, 12:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Illinois won at Indiana 3-0 (29-27, 25-19, 28-26) on Sun, Nov 8, 2026. Alyssa Aguayo and Madi Miles led Illinois with 15 kills each; Indiana's Jaidyn Jager had a match-high 17.

Data through Nov 10, 6:20 PM CT · final Nov 8

Set	1	2	3	Sets
ILL	29	25	28	3
IND	27	19	26	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.414 on 29 swings: Madi Miles and Illinois edged Indiana.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are Illinois's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Indiana went in at 56% by RallyIQ.

Turning point 1: Set 1 · Illinois 21–20 Indiana
3 straight Indiana points turned a 20–21 deficit into a 23–21 lead.
Illinois 49% → 32%
Turning point 2: Set 1 · Illinois 26–26 Indiana
3 of the last 4 rallies went to Illinois, enough to take the set 29–27 and lead 1–0. The match swung to Illinois.
Illinois 43% → 63%
Turning point 3: Set 2 · Illinois 17–18 Indiana
Illinois scored 4 straight to turn a 17–18 deficit into a 21–18 lead.
Illinois 60% → 79%

Indiana above 50Illinois belowMax swing 10.4%

IllinoisIndiana

Sideout %: Illinois 64.9·Indiana 57.5
Break %: Illinois 42.5·Indiana 35.1
Hitting: Illinois .279·Indiana .167
Longest run: Illinois 4·Indiana 4

Alyssa Aguayo
2 of her kills came in the stretches above. 15 K, .382, 15.5 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Indiana above 50 · Illinois below

Biggest swing: 10.4% to Illinois — set 1, ILL 29-27 IND. Attack error by Isabel Clark. IND win probability 47% → 37%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ILL 46.7%53.3% IND

Illinois wins

3-0

11.2%

3-1

17.4%

3-2

18.2%

Indiana wins

3-0

13.9%

3-1

20.1%

3-2

19.2%

ILL break %: 41.0% vs this opp
IND break %: 41.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Isabel ClarkAttack error+10.4%
Attack error by Isabel Clark
Set 1 · ILL 29-27 IND · ILL 53% → 63%
02
Alyssa AguayoKill+10.1%
Kill by Alyssa Aguayo (set by Sophi Randall)
Set 1 · ILL 28-27 IND · ILL 43% → 53%
03
Jaidyn JagerAttack error+9.8%
Attack error by Jaidyn Jager
Set 1 · ILL 24-24 IND · ILL 33% → 43%
04
Alyssa AguayoKill+8.1%
Kill by Alyssa Aguayo (set by Kenna Phelan)
Set 3 · ILL 28-26 IND · ILL 92% → 100%
05
Paityn ChapmanKill+7.9%
Kill by Paityn Chapman (set by Sophi Randall)
Set 3 · ILL 26-25 IND · ILL 84% → 92%
06
Jaidyn JagerKill+7.7%
Kill by Jaidyn Jager (set by Teodora Kričković)
Set 3 · ILL 23-24 IND · IND 14% → 21%
07
Victoria GrayKill+7.0%
Kill by Victoria Gray (set by Teodora Kričković)
Set 1 · ILL 24-25 IND · IND 57% → 64%
08
Madi MilesKill+7.0%
Kill by Madi Miles (set by Sophi Randall)
Set 1 · ILL 25-25 IND · ILL 36% → 43%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Illinoisaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
19Alyssa AguayoOH	3	15	2	34	.382	1	0	1	6	1	0	1	0.5	15.5
4Paityn ChapmanOH	3	14	2	31	.387	0	0	2	11	0	0	1	0.5	14.5
11Kristina StarostenkoMB	3	5	2	11	.273	0	0	0	1	0	3	3	4.5	9.5
8Maya HarrisOH	3	0	0	2	.000	1	0	4	6	1	0	0	0	0
7Kenna PhelanS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	19	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	0
16Ashlyn PhilpotMB	1	0	3	3	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Madi MilesOH	3	15	3	29	.414	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	1	16
6Gabriella PitcelMB	3	2	3	8	-.125	0	3	0	1	0	1	0	1	6
10Sophi RandallS	3	0	1	3	-.333	26	0	1	2	0	1	1	1.5	1.5
18Talita GoncalvesL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	13	0	0	0	0	0
13Kenzie CoganL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		51	17	122	.279	50	3	9	48	2	6	6	9	82

Indianahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
24Jaidyn JagerOH	3	17	7	38	.263	1	0	0	13	0	4	2	19
6Isabel ClarkOH	3	10	4	33	.182	1	1	0	1	0	1	0.5	11.5
23Victoria GrayMB	3	4	4	14	.000	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	6
77Keondreya GranberryMB	3	4	4	11	.000	1	0	1	1	0	2	1	5
12Teodora KričkovićS	3	2	2	4	.000	34	0	0	4	0	0	0	2
13Avry TatumOPP	2	6	1	19	.263	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	6
5Audrey JacksonDS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	1	0	16	2	0	0	1
2Avery FreemanDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	3	0	0	0	0
7Hannah LeftridgeDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	2	1	0	0	0
14Emma SegalDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
27Ella BoersemaMB	1	1	1	4	.000	1	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	1.5
18Avery DaumOH	1	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
15Sade IlawoleS	1	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	23	126	.167	44	2	5	45	3	12	6	72

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 ILL · IND 4

Set 1

29-27

Longest run 4 ILLIND 4

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 4 ILLIND 3

Set 3

28-26

Longest run 4 ILLIND 3

Bars above the line = Indiana leads, below = Illinois leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Illinois

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	69%9/13	30%3/10
2	67%8/12	38%5/13
3	53%8/15	33%4/12
4	67%8/12	11%1/9
5	62%8/13	58%11/19
6	78%7/9	59%10/17
All	65%48/74	43%34/80

Indiana

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	73%8/11	33%4/12
2	62%8/13	33%4/12
3	89%8/9	47%7/15
4	53%8/15	27%3/11
5	44%8/18	38%5/13
6	43%6/14	27%3/11
All	57%46/80	35%26/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

154 rallies

#	ILL-IND	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	IND	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kenna Phelan	+1.8
2	1-1	ILL	IND	Attack err	Paityn Chapman		+1.8
3	2-1	IND	ILL	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Kenna Phelan	+1.8
4	2-2	ILL	IND×4	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+1.8
5	2-3	IND	IND×4	Kill	Avry Tatum	set Teodora Kričković	+2.6
6	2-4	IND	IND×4	Blocked	Ashlyn Philpot	blk Victoria Gray, Jaidyn Jager	+2.5
7	2-5	IND	IND×4	Blocked	Ashlyn Philpot	blk Victoria Gray, Jaidyn Jager	+2.4
8	3-5	IND	ILL	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Sophi Randall	+1.6
9	3-6	ILL	IND	Serve err	Illinois		+1.7
10	4-6	IND	ILL	Kill	Madi Miles	set Sophi Randall	+1.6
11	5-6	ILL	ILL	Blocked	Teodora Kričković	blk Kristina Starostenko	+2.6
12	5-7	ILL	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+1.9
13	5-8	IND	IND	Attack err	Kristina Starostenko		+2.6
14	6-8	IND	ILL×4	Kill	Madi Miles	set Sophi Randall	+1.7
15	7-8	ILL	ILL×4	Kill	Madi Miles	set Kenna Phelan	+2.7
16	8-8	ILL	ILL×4	Blocked	Isabel Clark	blk Paityn Chapman, Kristina Starostenko	+2.9
17	9-8	ILL	ILL×4	Blocked	Jaidyn Jager	blk Kristina Starostenko	+3.1
18	9-9	ILL	IND	Kill	Isabel Clark	set Teodora Kričković	+2.2
19	9-10	IND	IND	Ace	Audrey Jackson	aced Alyssa Aguayo	+3.1
20	10-10	IND	ILL	Kill	Kristina Starostenko	set Kenna Phelan	+2.2
21	10-11	ILL	IND	Kill	Avry Tatum	set Teodora Kričković	+2.3
22	10-12	IND	IND	Kill	Keondreya Granberry	set Teodora Kričković	+3.2
23	11-12	IND	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kenna Phelan	+2.1
24	11-13	ILL	IND	Kill	Avry Tatum	set Teodora Kričković	+2.3
25	12-13	IND	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kenna Phelan	+2.2
26	13-13	ILL	ILL	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Sophi Randall	+3.5
27	13-14	ILL	IND	Serve err	Illinois		+2.6
28	14-14	IND	ILL	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Sophi Randall	+2.6
29	14-15	ILL	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Audrey Jackson	+2.7
30	15-15	IND	ILL	Kill	Madi Miles	set Talita Goncalves	+2.7
31	15-16	ILL	IND	Kill	Victoria Gray	set Teodora Kričković	+2.8
32	15-17	IND	IND	Kill	Isabel Clark	set Teodora Kričković	+3.9
33	16-17	IND	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Sophi Randall	+2.5
34	16-18	ILL	IND	Kill	Isabel Clark	set Teodora Kričković	+2.9
35	17-18	IND	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kenna Phelan	+2.6
36	18-18	ILL	ILL	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Kenna Phelan	+4.5
37	18-19	ILL	IND	Serve err	Illinois		+3.4
38	19-19	IND	ILL	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Kenna Phelan	+3.4
39	19-20	ILL	IND	Kill	Isabel Clark	set Teodora Kričković	+3.7
40	20-20	IND	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kenna Phelan	+3.7
41	21-20	ILL	ILL	Attack err	Keondreya Granberry		+6.0
42	21-21	ILL	IND×3	Kill	Avry Tatum	set Teodora Kričković	+4.1
43	21-22	IND	IND×3	Attack err	Alyssa Aguayo		+6.7
44	21-23	IND	IND×3	Blocked	Ashlyn Philpot	blk Jaidyn Jager, Victoria Gray	+6.3
45	22-23	IND	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Sophi Randall	+3.1
46	22-24	ILL	IND	Kill	Avry Tatum	set Teodora Kričković	+5.2
47	23-24	IND	ILL	Kill	Madi Miles	set Sophi Randall	+2.8
48	24-24	ILL	ILL	Attack err	Jaidyn Jager		+9.8
49	24-25	ILL	IND	Kill	Victoria Gray	set Teodora Kričković	+7.0
50	25-25	IND	ILL	Kill	Madi Miles	set Sophi Randall	+7.0
51	25-26	ILL	IND	Serve err	Sophi Randall		+7.0
52	26-26	IND	ILL	Kill	Madi Miles	set Sophi Randall	+7.0
53	26-27	ILL	IND	Kill	Teodora Kričković	set Jaidyn Jager	+7.0
54	27-27	IND	ILL×3	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Sophi Randall	+7.0
55	28-27	ILL	ILL×3	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Sophi Randall	+10.1
56	29-27	ILL	ILL×3	Attack err	Isabel Clark		+10.4
Set 2
1	0-1	ILL	IND	Serve err	Maya Harris		+1.9
2	1-1	IND	ILL	Attack err	Jaidyn Jager		+1.9
3	1-2	ILL	IND	Kill	Keondreya Granberry	set Teodora Kričković	+1.9
4	1-3	IND	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Hannah Leftridge	+2.7
5	2-3	IND	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kenna Phelan	+1.8
6	3-3	ILL	ILL	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Sophi Randall	+2.8
7	3-4	ILL	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+2.0
8	3-5	IND	IND	Kill	Victoria Gray	set Teodora Kričković	+2.8
9	4-5	IND	ILL	Kill	Gabriella Pitcel	set Sophi Randall	+1.9
10	5-5	ILL	ILL	Blocked	Victoria Gray	blk Gabriella Pitcel	+2.9
11	5-6	ILL	IND	Kill	Avry Tatum	set Teodora Kričković	+2.1
12	6-6	IND	ILL×3	Kill	Madi Miles	set Sophi Randall	+2.1
13	7-6	ILL	ILL×3	Blocked	Jaidyn Jager	blk Sophi Randall, Kristina Starostenko	+3.1
14	8-6	ILL	ILL×3	Ace	Gabriella Pitcel	aced Hannah Leftridge	+3.2
15	8-7	ILL	IND×3	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+2.1
16	8-8	IND	IND×3	Kill	Isabel Clark	set Teodora Kričković	+3.2
17	8-9	IND	IND×3	Kill	Isabel Clark	set Teodora Kričković	+3.3
18	9-9	IND	ILL×3	Kill	Madi Miles	set Sophi Randall	+2.3
19	10-9	ILL	ILL×3	Attack err	Isabel Clark		+3.4
20	11-9	ILL	ILL×3	Attack err	Jaidyn Jager		+3.5
21	11-10	ILL	IND	Kill	Isabel Clark	set Teodora Kričković	+2.3
22	11-11	IND	IND	Blocked	Madi Miles	blk Keondreya Granberry, Isabel Clark	+3.5
23	12-11	IND	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kenna Phelan	+2.6
24	12-12	ILL	IND	Kill	Isabel Clark	set Teodora Kričković	+2.6
25	12-13	IND	IND	Attack err	Kenna Phelan		+3.8
26	13-13	IND	ILL×3	Kill	Kristina Starostenko	set Kenna Phelan	+2.7
27	14-13	ILL	ILL×3	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Maya Harris	+4.0
28	15-13	ILL	ILL×3	Attack err	Keondreya Granberry		+4.0
29	15-14	ILL	IND	Kill	Keondreya Granberry	set Teodora Kričković	+2.6
30	16-14	IND	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kenna Phelan	+3.0
31	16-15	ILL	IND	Kill	Teodora Kričković	set Keondreya Granberry	+2.7
32	17-15	IND	ILL	Attack err	Teodora Kričković		+3.1
33	17-16	ILL	IND×3	Attack err	Madi Miles		+2.8
34	17-17	IND	IND×3	Attack err	Sophi Randall		+4.6
35	17-18	IND	IND×3	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Avery Freeman	+4.9
36	18-18	IND	ILL×4	Serve err	Avery Freeman		+3.4
37	19-18	ILL	ILL×4	Attack err	Victoria Gray		+5.3
38	20-18	ILL	ILL×4	Kill	Madi Miles	set Sophi Randall	+5.3
39	21-18	ILL	ILL×4	Ace	Gabriella Pitcel	aced Audrey Jackson	+4.6
40	21-19	ILL	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+2.3
41	22-19	IND	ILL×4	Kill	Madi Miles	set Alyssa Aguayo	+3.5
42	23-19	ILL	ILL×4	Attack err	Avry Tatum		+3.2
43	24-19	ILL	ILL×4	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Talita Goncalves	+1.5
44	25-19	ILL	ILL×4	Attack err	Victoria Gray		+0.3
Set 3
1	1-0	IND	ILL	Blocked	Ella Boersema	blk Alyssa Aguayo, Kristina Starostenko	+1.4
2	1-1	ILL	IND	Kill	Keondreya Granberry	set Teodora Kričković	+1.4
3	2-1	IND	ILL	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Kenna Phelan	+1.4
4	2-2	ILL	IND	Serve err	Paityn Chapman		+1.4
5	2-3	IND	IND	Attack err	Gabriella Pitcel		+2.0
6	3-3	IND	ILL	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Sophi Randall	+1.4
7	3-4	ILL	IND	Kill	Ella Boersema	set Teodora Kričković	+1.5
8	4-4	IND	ILL×4	Kill	Madi Miles	set Sophi Randall	+1.5
9	5-4	ILL	ILL×4	Kill	Madi Miles	set Sophi Randall	+2.2
10	6-4	ILL	ILL×4	Blocked	Victoria Gray	blk Madi Miles	+2.2
11	7-4	ILL	ILL×4	Blocked	Jaidyn Jager	blk Sophi Randall	+2.1
12	7-5	ILL	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Sade Ilawole	+1.4
13	8-5	IND	ILL	Kill	Madi Miles	set Sophi Randall	+1.5
14	8-6	ILL	IND	Serve err	Illinois		+1.4
15	9-6	IND	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kenna Phelan	+1.6
16	9-7	ILL	IND×3	Serve err	Illinois		+1.4
17	9-8	IND	IND×3	Blocked	Alyssa Aguayo	blk Keondreya Granberry, Ella Boersema	+2.2
18	9-9	IND	IND×3	Attack err	Kristina Starostenko		+2.4
19	10-9	IND	ILL	Kill	Kristina Starostenko	set Kenna Phelan	+1.8
20	10-10	ILL	IND	Kill	Isabel Clark	set Teodora Kričković	+1.7
21	10-11	IND	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Ella Boersema	+2.5
22	11-11	IND	ILL	Serve err	Hannah Leftridge		+1.8
23	11-12	ILL	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+1.8
24	12-12	IND	ILL	Kill	Gabriella Pitcel	set Sophi Randall	+1.9
25	12-13	ILL	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+1.9
26	12-14	IND	IND	Blocked	Gabriella Pitcel	blk Victoria Gray, Jaidyn Jager	+2.7
27	13-14	IND	ILL	Serve err	Sade Ilawole		+1.8
28	14-14	ILL	ILL	Ace	Gabriella Pitcel	aced Audrey Jackson	+2.8
29	14-15	ILL	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Sade Ilawole	+2.1
30	14-16	IND	IND	Attack err	Madi Miles		+2.9
31	15-16	IND	ILL	Blocked	Jaidyn Jager	blk Kristina Starostenko	+1.9
32	16-16	ILL	ILL	Kill	Kristina Starostenko	set Sophi Randall	+3.1
33	16-17	ILL	IND	Kill	Isabel Clark	set Sade Ilawole	+2.3
34	17-17	IND	ILL	Kill	Kristina Starostenko	set Sophi Randall	+2.3
35	18-17	ILL	ILL	Attack err	Keondreya Granberry		+3.6
36	18-18	ILL	IND	Serve err	Maya Harris		+2.5
37	19-18	IND	ILL	Attack err	Keondreya Granberry		+2.8
38	20-18	ILL	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kenna Phelan	+3.9
39	20-19	ILL	IND×3	Attack err	Paityn Chapman		+2.3
40	20-20	IND	IND×3	Attack err	Gabriella Pitcel		+4.1
41	20-21	IND	IND×3	Ace	Isabel Clark	aced Maya Harris	+4.6
42	21-21	IND	ILL	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Talita Goncalves	+3.2
43	22-21	ILL	ILL	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo		+5.3
44	22-22	ILL	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+3.6
45	23-22	IND	ILL	Serve err	Keondreya Granberry		+4.5
46	23-23	ILL	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+4.2
47	23-24	IND	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Teodora Kričković	+7.7
48	24-24	IND	ILL	Serve err	Emma Segal		+5.4
49	24-25	ILL	IND	Kill	Jaidyn Jager	set Isabel Clark	+5.4
50	25-25	IND	ILL	Kill	Madi Miles	set Sophi Randall	+5.4
51	26-25	ILL	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Sophi Randall	+7.9
52	26-26	ILL	IND	Kill	Victoria Gray	set Teodora Kričković	+5.6
53	27-26	IND	ILL	Attack err	Isabel Clark		+5.6
54	28-26	ILL	ILL	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Kenna Phelan	+8.1

Score shown after each rally, Illinois first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Illinois def. Indiana 3–0

.414 on 29 swings: Madi Miles and Illinois edged Indiana.