Final · 5 setsFri, Aug 28, 2026

AwaySOCON

2:3

HomeBIG-EAST

Butler def. Western Caro. 3–2

(25-22, 25-21, 19-25, 24-26, 15-13)

Set	1	2	3	4	5	Sets
W CAR	22	21	25	26	13	2
BUTLER	25	25	19	24	15	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

BUTLER above 50 · W CAR below

Biggest swing: 13.7% to Butler — set 5, W CAR 13-15 BUTLER. Kill by Raegan Durbin (set by Jersey Loyer). BUTLER win probability 86% → 100%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

W CAR 12.2%87.8% BUTLER

Western Caro. wins

3-0

1.7%

3-1

3.8%

3-2

6.7%

Butler wins

3-0

40.9%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

15.3%

W CAR break %: 37.5% vs this opp
BUTLER break %: 46.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Raegan DurbinKill+13.7%
Kill by Raegan Durbin (set by Jersey Loyer)
Set 5 · W CAR 13-15 BUTLER · BUTLER 86% → 100%
02
Zoe ZudansKill+11.7%
Kill by Zoe Zudans (set by Elise Gurley)
Set 4 · W CAR 26-24 BUTLER · W CAR 20% → 32%
03
Sarah KempfBad set+11.5%
Bad set by Sarah Kempf
Set 5 · W CAR 7-6 BUTLER · W CAR 33% → 44%
04
BUTLER serverAce+11.5%
Butler ace on Elise Gurley
Set 5 · W CAR 8-9 BUTLER · BUTLER 63% → 74%
05
Chase LemmingAttack error+10.2%
Attack error by Chase Lemming
Set 5 · W CAR 4-1 BUTLER · W CAR 48% → 59%
06
Samantha KranzlerAttack error+10.0%
Attack error by Samantha Kranzler
Set 5 · W CAR 8-10 BUTLER · BUTLER 74% → 84%
07
Elise WardAttack error+9.3%
Attack error by Elise Ward
Set 5 · W CAR 2-0 BUTLER · W CAR 38% → 47%
08
Aiyana HarrisAttack error+9.2%
Attack error by Aiyana Harris
Set 5 · W CAR 5-6 BUTLER · BUTLER 65% → 74%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Western Caro.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Ashlyn CobbOH	5	13	4	34	.265	0	1	6	13	1	0	2	1	15
22Zoe ZudansOH	5	12	5	45	.156	0	0	0	4	0	1	2	2	14
15Samantha KranzlerOH	5	9	9	32	.000	0	1	2	8	1	2	0	2	12
12Tatum SharpMB	5	6	3	26	.115	0	1	3	1	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
18Katie BoneyS	5	3	0	10	.300	39	2	2	13	0	0	4	2	7
7Aiyana HarrisMB	4	6	3	17	.176	0	0	0	2	0	1	5	3.5	9.5
2Halley TangL/DS	5	0	1	2	-.500	1	1	2	8	0	0	0	0	1
6Elise GurleyL/DS	5	0	0	3	.000	6	0	2	17	1	0	0	0	0
9Danielle WheatS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
20Eda YalçinkayaL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
3Brookelynn NanceMB	1	3	2	7	.143	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3
10Peri SubatOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		52	27	176	.142	46	6	18	68	4	4	16	12	107

Butlerhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
8Raegan DurbinOH	5	16	7	49	.184	0	0	1	11	0	0	1	0.5	16.5
11Sawyer JonesOH	5	10	7	29	.103	0	0	0	3	0	0	9	4.5	14.5
17Zoe McDonaldMB	5	9	4	17	.294	0	1	2	3	0	0	7	3.5	13.5
16Elise WardOH	5	9	5	32	.125	0	2	3	21	0	1	2	2	13
13Carly SlusserMB	5	4	2	12	.167	0	0	2	1	0	0	5	2.5	6.5
4Ava HunterS	5	0	0	1	.000	23	0	2	9	0	0	0	0	0
10Maria NixOH	5	8	2	16	.375	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	8
1Sarah KempfS	5	0	0	5	.000	19	0	1	6	0	0	0	0	0
5Jersey LoyerDS	5	0	0	3	.000	8	0	2	17	0	0	0	0	0
18Marin ThaxtonDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
3Chase LemmingOH	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		56	28	165	.170	51	4	14	72	6	1	24	13	108

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 W CAR · BUTLER 6

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 3 W CARBUTLER 4

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 3 W CARBUTLER 4

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 3 W CARBUTLER 4

Set 4

26-24

Longest run 5 W CARBUTLER 6

Set 5

13-15

Longest run 2 W CARBUTLER 3

Bars above the line = Butler leads, below = Western Caro. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Western Caro.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	52%14/27	31%5/16
2	71%12/17	54%15/28
3	85%11/13	45%10/22
4	59%10/17	27%4/15
5	60%9/15	31%4/13
6	47%9/19	31%4/13
All	60%65/108	39%42/107

Butler

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	61%14/23	56%15/27
2	42%13/31	33%7/21
3	73%11/15	35%6/17
4	69%9/13	33%5/15
5	64%9/14	40%6/15
6	82%9/11	31%4/13
All	61%65/107	40%43/108

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

215 rallies

Rally log

#	W CAR-BUTLER	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Jersey Loyer	+1.2
2	0-2	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	+1.0
3	0-3	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Sawyer Jones		+0.9
4	1-3	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Zoe Zudans	set Katie Boney	+0.7
5	2-3	W CAR	W CAR	Attack err	Sawyer Jones	blk Zoe Zudans, Aiyana Harris	+1.1
6	2-4	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	+0.8
7	2-5	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Ava Hunter	+1.0
8	3-5	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Aiyana Harris	set Katie Boney	+0.7
9	3-6	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	+0.7
10	4-6	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Ashlyn Cobb	set Katie Boney	+0.7
11	4-7	W CAR	BUTLER	Serve err	W CAR server		+0.7
12	4-8	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Halley Tang	blk Elise Ward, Zoe McDonald	+0.8
13	5-8	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Tatum Sharp	set Katie Boney	+0.6
14	6-8	W CAR	W CAR	Attack err	Maria Nix		+1.0
15	6-9	W CAR	BUTLER	Serve err	W CAR server		+0.8
16	6-10	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Maria Nix	set Sarah Kempf	+0.9
17	7-10	BUTLER	W CAR×3	Serve err	BUTLER server		+0.6
18	8-10	W CAR	W CAR×3	Attack err	Elise Ward		+1.1
19	9-10	W CAR	W CAR×3	Kill	Katie Boney	set Sarah Kempf	+1.3
20	9-11	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Sarah Kempf	+1.0
21	10-11	BUTLER	W CAR	Serve err	BUTLER server		+1.0
22	11-11	W CAR	W CAR	Attack err	Sawyer Jones		+1.7
23	11-12	W CAR	BUTLER	Serve err	W CAR server		+1.2
24	12-12	BUTLER	W CAR	Serve err	BUTLER server		+1.3
25	12-13	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Ava Hunter	+1.3
26	13-13	BUTLER	W CAR	Serve err	BUTLER server		+1.4
27	14-13	W CAR	W CAR	Kill	Samantha Kranzler	set Katie Boney	+2.2
28	14-14	W CAR	BUTLER	Attack err	Samantha Kranzler	blk Sawyer Jones, Zoe McDonald	+1.5
29	15-14	BUTLER	W CAR	Attack err	Zoe McDonald	blk Aiyana Harris, Ashlyn Cobb	+1.7
30	15-15	W CAR	BUTLER	Attack err	Samantha Kranzler		+1.6
31	16-15	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Tatum Sharp	set Katie Boney	+1.8
32	16-16	W CAR	BUTLER×4	Kill	Elise Ward	set Sarah Kempf	+1.7
33	16-17	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Attack err	Tatum Sharp	blk Elise Ward, Carly Slusser	+2.3
34	16-18	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Maria Nix	set Sarah Kempf	+2.0
35	16-19	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Elise Ward	set Jersey Loyer	+1.6
36	17-19	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Samantha Kranzler	set Katie Boney	+1.0
37	17-20	W CAR	BUTLER	Attack err	Tatum Sharp		+1.2
38	18-20	BUTLER	W CAR	Attack err	Elise Ward		+1.0
39	18-21	W CAR	BUTLER×3	Serve err	W CAR server		+1.2
40	18-22	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Aiyana Harris		+1.1
41	18-23	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Zoe Zudans	blk Sawyer Jones, Carly Slusser	+0.6
42	19-23	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Zoe Zudans	set Elise Gurley	+0.2
43	20-23	W CAR	W CAR	Attack err	Sawyer Jones	blk Zoe Zudans, Aiyana Harris	+0.5
44	20-24	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Jersey Loyer	+0.7
45	21-24	BUTLER	W CAR	Serve err	BUTLER server		+0.2
46	22-24	W CAR	W CAR	Attack err	Sawyer Jones	blk Samantha Kranzler	+0.7
47	22-25	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	+1.2
Set 2
1	0-1	W CAR	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Brookelynn Nance		+0.6
2	0-2	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Zoe Zudans		+0.7
3	0-3	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	+0.6
4	1-3	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Ashlyn Cobb	set Katie Boney	+0.5
5	1-4	W CAR	BUTLER	Serve err	W CAR server		+0.5
6	2-4	BUTLER	W CAR	Serve err	BUTLER server		+0.5
7	3-4	W CAR	W CAR	Attack err	Zoe McDonald	blk Samantha Kranzler	+0.8
8	3-5	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Maria Nix	set Sarah Kempf	+0.6
9	4-5	BUTLER	W CAR×3	Serve err	BUTLER server		+0.6
10	5-5	W CAR	W CAR×3	Attack err	Maria Nix		+1.0
11	6-5	W CAR	W CAR×3	Bad set	Sarah Kempf		+1.1
12	6-6	W CAR	BUTLER×3	Serve err	W CAR server		+0.7
13	6-7	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Ace	BUTLER server	aced Ashlyn Cobb	+1.0
14	6-8	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Bad set	Tatum Sharp		+0.9
15	7-8	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Tatum Sharp	set Katie Boney	+0.7
16	7-9	W CAR	BUTLER×3	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Sarah Kempf	+0.6
17	7-10	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Sawyer Jones		+0.8
18	7-11	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Sawyer Jones	set Zoe Zudans	+0.6
19	8-11	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Zoe Zudans	set Katie Boney	+0.4
20	8-12	W CAR	BUTLER	Serve err	W CAR server		+0.5
21	9-12	BUTLER	W CAR	Serve err	BUTLER server		+0.4
22	10-12	W CAR	W CAR	Ace	W CAR server	aced Team	+0.8
23	10-13	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	+0.6
24	11-13	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Zoe Zudans	set Katie Boney	+0.6
25	12-13	W CAR	W CAR	Kill	Samantha Kranzler	set Katie Boney	+1.1
26	12-14	W CAR	BUTLER	Attack err	Samantha Kranzler	blk Sawyer Jones, Zoe McDonald	+0.8
27	13-14	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Brookelynn Nance	set Katie Boney	+0.8
28	13-15	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+0.8
29	14-15	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Tatum Sharp	set Katie Boney	+0.9
30	14-16	W CAR	BUTLER	Serve err	W CAR server		+0.9
31	15-16	BUTLER	W CAR	Serve err	BUTLER server		+0.9
32	16-16	W CAR	W CAR	Kill	Zoe Zudans	set Katie Boney	+1.5
33	16-17	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Maria Nix	set Sarah Kempf	+1.1
34	17-17	BUTLER	W CAR	Attack err	Elise Ward		+1.2
35	17-18	W CAR	BUTLER×4	Kill	Sawyer Jones	set Ava Hunter	+1.2
36	17-19	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	+1.5
37	17-20	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Attack err	Brookelynn Nance		+1.2
38	17-21	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Attack err	Zoe Zudans	blk Sawyer Jones, Carly Slusser	+0.8
39	18-21	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Brookelynn Nance	set Katie Boney	+0.4
40	18-22	W CAR	BUTLER	Serve err	W CAR server		+0.6
41	18-23	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Ava Hunter	+0.4
42	19-23	BUTLER	W CAR×3	Kill	Brookelynn Nance	set Katie Boney	+0.1
43	20-23	W CAR	W CAR×3	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+0.4
44	21-23	W CAR	W CAR×3	Bad set	Ava Hunter		+0.8
45	21-24	W CAR	BUTLER	Serve err	W CAR server		+0.9
46	21-25	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe McDonald		+0.4
Set 3
1	0-1	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Sawyer Jones	set Ava Hunter	+0.4
2	1-1	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Tatum Sharp	set Katie Boney	+0.3
3	1-2	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Ava Hunter	+0.3
4	2-2	BUTLER	W CAR×3	Kill	Aiyana Harris	set Katie Boney	+0.3
5	3-2	W CAR	W CAR×3	Attack err	Carly Slusser		+0.5
6	4-2	W CAR	W CAR×3	Kill	Ashlyn Cobb	set Katie Boney	+0.5
7	4-3	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Jersey Loyer	+0.3
8	5-3	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Ashlyn Cobb	set Katie Boney	+0.4
9	6-3	W CAR	W CAR	Bad set	Ava Hunter		+0.6
10	6-4	W CAR	BUTLER×4	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Ava Hunter	+0.4
11	6-5	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Sarah Kempf	+0.5
12	6-6	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Attack err	Ashlyn Cobb		+0.5
13	6-7	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Jersey Loyer	+0.5
14	7-7	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Ashlyn Cobb	set Katie Boney	+0.4
15	7-8	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+0.3
16	8-8	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Ashlyn Cobb	set Elise Gurley	+0.4
17	9-8	W CAR	W CAR	Ace	W CAR server	aced Team	+0.6
18	9-9	W CAR	BUTLER	Serve err	W CAR server		+0.4
19	10-9	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Katie Boney		+0.5
20	10-10	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Sarah Kempf	+0.4
21	11-10	BUTLER	W CAR	Serve err	BUTLER server		+0.5
22	11-11	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Sawyer Jones	set Ava Hunter	+0.4
23	12-11	BUTLER	W CAR×3	Kill	Zoe Zudans	set Katie Boney	+0.5
24	13-11	W CAR	W CAR×3	Kill	Ashlyn Cobb	set Elise Gurley	+0.7
25	14-11	W CAR	W CAR×3	Kill	Aiyana Harris		+0.8
26	14-12	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	+0.5
27	15-12	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Zoe Zudans	set Katie Boney	+0.6
28	15-13	W CAR	BUTLER	Attack err	Aiyana Harris	blk Sawyer Jones, Zoe McDonald	+0.5
29	16-13	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Ashlyn Cobb	set Katie Boney	+0.6
30	16-14	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Maria Nix	+0.5
31	17-14	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Ashlyn Cobb	set Katie Boney	+0.7
32	17-15	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Maria Nix	set Sarah Kempf	+0.5
33	18-15	BUTLER	W CAR	Serve err	BUTLER server		+0.7
34	18-16	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Jersey Loyer	+0.5
35	19-16	BUTLER	W CAR×3	Kill	Zoe Zudans	set Katie Boney	+0.7
36	20-16	W CAR	W CAR×3	Bad set	Ava Hunter		+0.9
37	21-16	W CAR	W CAR×3	Ace	W CAR server	aced Team	+0.7
38	21-17	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Ava Hunter	+0.3
39	22-17	BUTLER	W CAR	Attack err	Raegan Durbin	blk Aiyana Harris, Katie Boney	+0.5
40	23-17	W CAR	W CAR	Attack err	Carly Slusser	blk Aiyana Harris	+0.4
41	23-18	W CAR	BUTLER	Serve err	W CAR server		+0.1
42	24-18	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Ashlyn Cobb	set Katie Boney	+0.2
43	24-19	W CAR	BUTLER	Bad set	Aiyana Harris		+0.0
44	25-19	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Ashlyn Cobb	set Elise Gurley	+0.1
Set 4
1	1-0	W CAR	W CAR×3	Bad set	Ava Hunter		+1.8
2	2-0	W CAR	W CAR×3	Attack err	Sawyer Jones		+2.0
3	3-0	W CAR	W CAR×3	Attack err	Raegan Durbin	blk Katie Boney, Tatum Sharp	+2.2
4	3-1	W CAR	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Tatum Sharp		+1.4
5	3-2	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Samantha Kranzler		+1.9
6	3-3	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Samantha Kranzler	blk Sawyer Jones, Zoe McDonald	+1.8
7	4-3	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Samantha Kranzler	set Elise Gurley	+1.5
8	4-4	W CAR	BUTLER×4	Attack err	Zoe Zudans	blk Zoe McDonald, Sawyer Jones	+1.3
9	4-5	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Katie Boney	+1.7
10	4-6	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+1.6
11	4-7	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Sarah Kempf	+1.3
12	5-7	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Tatum Sharp	set Katie Boney	+1.0
13	5-8	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Sarah Kempf	+1.0
14	6-8	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Zoe Zudans	set Katie Boney	+1.0
15	6-9	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Maria Nix	set Sarah Kempf	+1.0
16	7-9	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Zoe Zudans	set Katie Boney	+1.0
17	7-10	W CAR	BUTLER	Attack err	Ashlyn Cobb	blk Elise Ward	+1.0
18	8-10	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Aiyana Harris	set Katie Boney	+1.0
19	8-11	W CAR	BUTLER	Attack err	Samantha Kranzler		+1.1
20	9-11	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Samantha Kranzler	set Sawyer Jones	+1.1
21	9-12	W CAR	BUTLER	Serve err	W CAR server		+1.1
22	9-13	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Ashlyn Cobb		+1.3
23	10-13	BUTLER	W CAR×4	Attack err	Raegan Durbin	blk Katie Boney, Tatum Sharp	+0.8
24	11-13	W CAR	W CAR×4	Attack err	Sawyer Jones		+1.5
25	12-13	W CAR	W CAR×4	Attack err	Raegan Durbin	blk Tatum Sharp, Katie Boney	+2.0
26	13-13	W CAR	W CAR×4	Ace	W CAR server	aced Team	+2.5
27	13-14	W CAR	BUTLER	Serve err	W CAR server		+1.8
28	14-14	BUTLER	W CAR	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+1.9
29	15-14	W CAR	W CAR	Attack err	Zoe McDonald	blk Zoe Zudans	+3.1
30	15-15	W CAR	BUTLER	Serve err	W CAR server		+2.1
31	16-15	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Aiyana Harris	set Katie Boney	+2.4
32	16-16	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Sarah Kempf	+2.2
33	17-16	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Aiyana Harris	set Katie Boney	+2.6
34	18-16	W CAR	W CAR	Ace	W CAR server	aced Team	+3.9
35	18-17	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Maria Nix	set Sarah Kempf	+2.4
36	19-17	BUTLER	W CAR	Attack err	Elise Ward	blk Ashlyn Cobb, Aiyana Harris	+3.1
37	20-17	W CAR	W CAR	Bad set	Elise Ward		+4.1
38	20-18	W CAR	BUTLER×6	Kill	Elise Ward	set Ava Hunter	+2.1
39	20-19	BUTLER	BUTLER×6	Ace	BUTLER server	aced Team	+3.8
40	20-20	BUTLER	BUTLER×6	Attack err	Samantha Kranzler	blk Carly Slusser, Sawyer Jones	+4.3
41	20-21	BUTLER	BUTLER×6	Ace	BUTLER server	aced Samantha Kranzler	+4.3
42	20-22	BUTLER	BUTLER×6	Bad set	Tatum Sharp		+3.7
43	20-23	BUTLER	BUTLER×6	Attack err	Ashlyn Cobb	blk Raegan Durbin, Carly Slusser	+2.5
44	21-23	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Ashlyn Cobb	set Katie Boney	+1.1
45	21-24	W CAR	BUTLER	Serve err	W CAR server		+1.8
46	22-24	BUTLER	W CAR×5	Kill	Samantha Kranzler	set Halley Tang	+0.7
47	23-24	W CAR	W CAR×5	Attack err	Zoe McDonald		+2.6
48	24-24	W CAR	W CAR×5	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+7.0
49	25-24	W CAR	W CAR×5	Kill	Ashlyn Cobb	set Katie Boney	+8.6
50	26-24	W CAR	W CAR×5	Kill	Zoe Zudans	set Elise Gurley	+11.7
Set 5
1	1-0	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Samantha Kranzler	set Katie Boney	+6.2
2	2-0	W CAR	W CAR	Attack err	Elise Ward		+9.3
3	2-1	W CAR	BUTLER	Serve err	W CAR server		+5.9
4	3-1	BUTLER	W CAR	Attack err	Sawyer Jones		+7.2
5	4-1	W CAR	W CAR	Attack err	Chase Lemming		+10.2
6	4-2	W CAR	BUTLER×3	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Ava Hunter	+6.0
7	4-3	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Zoe Zudans	blk Zoe McDonald, Sawyer Jones	+9.1
8	4-4	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Sawyer Jones	set Ava Hunter	+9.2
9	5-4	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Katie Boney		+7.5
10	5-5	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Sawyer Jones	set Ava Hunter	+6.8
11	5-6	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Aiyana Harris		+9.2
12	6-6	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Zoe Zudans	set Katie Boney	+7.1
13	7-6	W CAR	W CAR	Bad set	Sarah Kempf		+11.5
14	7-7	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Maria Nix	set Sarah Kempf	+7.6
15	8-7	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Samantha Kranzler	set Katie Boney	+9.1
16	8-8	W CAR	BUTLER×3	Serve err	W CAR server		+8.2
17	8-9	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Ace	BUTLER server	aced Elise Gurley	+11.5
18	8-10	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Samantha Kranzler		+10.0
19	9-10	BUTLER	W CAR	Serve err	BUTLER server		+6.6
20	9-11	W CAR	BUTLER	Attack err	Samantha Kranzler		+7.6
21	9-12	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Sawyer Jones	set Jersey Loyer	+8.0
22	10-12	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Samantha Kranzler	set Katie Boney	+4.0
23	10-13	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Ava Hunter	+5.8
24	11-13	BUTLER	W CAR	Serve err	BUTLER server		+3.5
25	11-14	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Sawyer Jones	set Ava Hunter	+5.8
26	12-14	BUTLER	W CAR	Serve err	BUTLER server		+2.4
27	13-14	W CAR	W CAR	Ace	W CAR server	aced Team	+8.6
28	13-15	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Jersey Loyer	+13.7

Score shown after each rally, Western Caro. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.