Western Caro. vs Butler Volleyball: Butler Wins 3-2 (Aug 28)

Final · 5 setsFri, Aug 28, 2026 · Neutral site

2:3

Butler beat Western Caro. 3-2 (25-22, 25-21, 19-25, 24-26, 15-13) on Fri, Aug 28, 2026 at a neutral site. Butler's Raegan Durbin led with 16 kills, and Elise Ward added 21 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 3:00 PM CT · final Aug 28

Set	1	2	3	4	5	Sets
W CAR	22	21	25	26	13	2
BUTLER	25	25	19	24	15	3

Win probability

Butler above 50 · Western Caro. below

Biggest swing: 14.6% to Butler — set 5, W CAR 13-15 BUTLER. Kill by Raegan Durbin (set by Jersey Loyer). BUTLER win probability 85% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

W CAR 15.1%84.9% BUTLER

Western Caro. wins

3-0

2.2%

3-1

4.8%

3-2

8.0%

Butler wins

3-0

37.0%

3-1

31.3%

3-2

16.6%

W CAR break %: 38.4% vs this opp
BUTLER break %: 46.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Raegan DurbinKill+14.6%
Kill by Raegan Durbin (set by Jersey Loyer)
Set 5 · W CAR 13-15 BUTLER · BUTLER 85% → 100%
02
Zoe ZudansKill+12.1%
Kill by Zoe Zudans (set by Elise Gurley)
Set 4 · W CAR 26-24 BUTLER · W CAR 21% → 34%
03
ButlerAce+11.6%
Butler ace on Elise Gurley
Set 5 · W CAR 8-9 BUTLER · BUTLER 61% → 73%
04
Sarah KempfBad set+11.5%
Bad set by Sarah Kempf
Set 5 · W CAR 7-6 BUTLER · W CAR 35% → 46%
05
Samantha KranzlerAttack error+10.3%
Attack error by Samantha Kranzler
Set 5 · W CAR 8-10 BUTLER · BUTLER 73% → 83%
06
Chase LemmingAttack error+10.0%
Attack error by Chase Lemming
Set 5 · W CAR 4-1 BUTLER · W CAR 50% → 60%
07
Aiyana HarrisAttack error+9.4%
Attack error by Aiyana Harris
Set 5 · W CAR 5-6 BUTLER · BUTLER 63% → 73%
08
Elise WardAttack error+9.3%
Attack error by Elise Ward
Set 5 · W CAR 2-0 BUTLER · W CAR 40% → 49%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Western Caro.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Ashlyn CobbOH	5	13	4	34	.265	0	1	6	13	1	0	2	1	15
22Zoe ZudansOH	5	12	5	45	.156	0	0	0	4	0	1	2	2	14
15Samantha KranzlerOH	5	9	9	32	.000	0	1	2	8	1	2	0	2	12
12Tatum SharpMB	5	6	3	26	.115	0	1	3	1	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
18Katie BoneyS	5	3	0	10	.300	39	2	2	13	0	0	4	2	7
7Aiyana HarrisMB	4	6	3	17	.176	0	0	0	2	0	1	5	3.5	9.5
2Halley TangL/DS	5	0	1	2	-.500	1	1	2	8	0	0	0	0	1
6Elise GurleyL/DS	5	0	0	3	.000	6	0	2	17	1	0	0	0	0
9Danielle WheatS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
20Eda YalçinkayaL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
3Brookelynn NanceMB	1	3	2	7	.143	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3
10Peri SubatOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		52	27	176	.142	46	6	18	68	4	4	16	12	107

Butlerhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
8Raegan DurbinOH	5	16	7	49	.184	0	0	1	11	0	0	1	0.5	16.5
11Sawyer JonesOH	5	10	7	29	.103	0	0	0	3	0	0	9	4.5	14.5
17Zoe McDonaldMB	5	9	4	17	.294	0	1	2	3	0	0	7	3.5	13.5
16Elise WardOH	5	9	5	32	.125	0	2	3	21	0	1	2	2	13
13Carly SlusserMB	5	4	2	12	.167	0	0	2	1	0	0	5	2.5	6.5
4Ava HunterS	5	0	0	1	.000	23	0	2	9	0	0	0	0	0
10Maria NixOH	5	8	2	16	.375	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	8
1Sarah KempfS	5	0	0	5	.000	19	0	1	6	0	0	0	0	0
5Jersey LoyerDS	5	0	0	3	.000	8	0	2	17	0	0	0	0	0
18Marin ThaxtonDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
3Chase LemmingOH	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		56	28	165	.170	51	4	14	72	6	1	24	13	108

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 W CAR · BUTLER 6

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 3 W CARBUTLER 4

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 3 W CARBUTLER 4

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 3 W CARBUTLER 4

Set 4

26-24

Longest run 5 W CARBUTLER 6

Set 5

13-15

Longest run 2 W CARBUTLER 3

Bars above the line = Butler leads, below = Western Caro. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Western Caro.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	52%14/27	31%5/16
2	71%12/17	54%15/28
3	85%11/13	45%10/22
4	59%10/17	27%4/15
5	60%9/15	31%4/13
6	47%9/19	31%4/13
All	60%65/108	39%42/107

Butler

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	61%14/23	56%15/27
2	42%13/31	33%7/21
3	73%11/15	35%6/17
4	69%9/13	33%5/15
5	64%9/14	40%6/15
6	82%9/11	31%4/13
All	61%65/107	40%43/108

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

215 rallies

#	W CAR-BUTLER	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Jersey Loyer	+1.4
2	0-2	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	+1.2
3	0-3	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Sawyer Jones		+1.1
4	1-3	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Zoe Zudans	set Katie Boney	+0.8
5	2-3	W CAR	W CAR	Blocked	Sawyer Jones	blk Zoe Zudans, Aiyana Harris	+1.3
6	2-4	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	+0.9
7	2-5	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Ava Hunter	+1.1
8	3-5	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Aiyana Harris	set Katie Boney	+0.8
9	3-6	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	+0.8
10	4-6	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Ashlyn Cobb	set Katie Boney	+0.9
11	4-7	W CAR	BUTLER	Serve err	Western Caro.		+0.9
12	4-8	BUTLER	BUTLER	Blocked	Halley Tang	blk Elise Ward, Zoe McDonald	+1.0
13	5-8	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Tatum Sharp	set Katie Boney	+0.7
14	6-8	W CAR	W CAR	Attack err	Maria Nix		+1.2
15	6-9	W CAR	BUTLER	Serve err	Western Caro.		+0.9
16	6-10	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Maria Nix	set Sarah Kempf	+1.1
17	7-10	BUTLER	W CAR×3	Serve err	Butler		+0.7
18	8-10	W CAR	W CAR×3	Attack err	Elise Ward		+1.3
19	9-10	W CAR	W CAR×3	Kill	Katie Boney	set Sarah Kempf	+1.6
20	9-11	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Sarah Kempf	+1.2
21	10-11	BUTLER	W CAR	Serve err	Butler		+1.2
22	11-11	W CAR	W CAR	Attack err	Sawyer Jones		+1.9
23	11-12	W CAR	BUTLER	Serve err	Western Caro.		+1.4
24	12-12	BUTLER	W CAR	Serve err	Butler		+1.5
25	12-13	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Ava Hunter	+1.5
26	13-13	BUTLER	W CAR	Serve err	Butler		+1.6
27	14-13	W CAR	W CAR	Kill	Samantha Kranzler	set Katie Boney	+2.5
28	14-14	W CAR	BUTLER	Blocked	Samantha Kranzler	blk Sawyer Jones, Zoe McDonald	+1.7
29	15-14	BUTLER	W CAR	Blocked	Zoe McDonald	blk Aiyana Harris, Ashlyn Cobb	+2.0
30	15-15	W CAR	BUTLER	Attack err	Samantha Kranzler		+1.8
31	16-15	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Tatum Sharp	set Katie Boney	+2.1
32	16-16	W CAR	BUTLER×4	Kill	Elise Ward	set Sarah Kempf	+1.9
33	16-17	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Blocked	Tatum Sharp	blk Elise Ward, Carly Slusser	+2.6
34	16-18	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Maria Nix	set Sarah Kempf	+2.3
35	16-19	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Elise Ward	set Jersey Loyer	+1.9
36	17-19	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Samantha Kranzler	set Katie Boney	+1.2
37	17-20	W CAR	BUTLER	Attack err	Tatum Sharp		+1.4
38	18-20	BUTLER	W CAR	Attack err	Elise Ward		+1.2
39	18-21	W CAR	BUTLER×3	Serve err	Western Caro.		+1.5
40	18-22	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Aiyana Harris		+1.3
41	18-23	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Blocked	Zoe Zudans	blk Sawyer Jones, Carly Slusser	+0.7
42	19-23	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Zoe Zudans	set Elise Gurley	+0.2
43	20-23	W CAR	W CAR	Blocked	Sawyer Jones	blk Zoe Zudans, Aiyana Harris	+0.6
44	20-24	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Jersey Loyer	+0.8
45	21-24	BUTLER	W CAR	Serve err	Butler		+0.3
46	22-24	W CAR	W CAR	Blocked	Sawyer Jones	blk Samantha Kranzler	+0.9
47	22-25	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	+1.4
Set 2
1	0-1	W CAR	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Brookelynn Nance		+0.7
2	0-2	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Zoe Zudans		+0.9
3	0-3	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	+0.8
4	1-3	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Ashlyn Cobb	set Katie Boney	+0.6
5	1-4	W CAR	BUTLER	Serve err	Western Caro.		+0.6
6	2-4	BUTLER	W CAR	Serve err	Butler		+0.6
7	3-4	W CAR	W CAR	Blocked	Zoe McDonald	blk Samantha Kranzler	+0.9
8	3-5	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Maria Nix	set Sarah Kempf	+0.7
9	4-5	BUTLER	W CAR×3	Serve err	Butler		+0.7
10	5-5	W CAR	W CAR×3	Attack err	Maria Nix		+1.1
11	6-5	W CAR	W CAR×3	Bad set	Sarah Kempf		+1.3
12	6-6	W CAR	BUTLER×3	Serve err	Western Caro.		+0.9
13	6-7	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Ace	Butler	aced Ashlyn Cobb	+1.2
14	6-8	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Bad set	Tatum Sharp		+1.1
15	7-8	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Tatum Sharp	set Katie Boney	+0.8
16	7-9	W CAR	BUTLER×3	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Sarah Kempf	+0.8
17	7-10	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Sawyer Jones		+1.0
18	7-11	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Sawyer Jones	set Zoe Zudans	+0.8
19	8-11	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Zoe Zudans	set Katie Boney	+0.5
20	8-12	W CAR	BUTLER	Serve err	Western Caro.		+0.6
21	9-12	BUTLER	W CAR	Serve err	Butler		+0.5
22	10-12	W CAR	W CAR	Ace	Western Caro.		+1.0
23	10-13	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	+0.8
24	11-13	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Zoe Zudans	set Katie Boney	+0.7
25	12-13	W CAR	W CAR	Kill	Samantha Kranzler	set Katie Boney	+1.3
26	12-14	W CAR	BUTLER	Blocked	Samantha Kranzler	blk Sawyer Jones, Zoe McDonald	+1.0
27	13-14	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Brookelynn Nance	set Katie Boney	+1.0
28	13-15	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+1.0
29	14-15	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Tatum Sharp	set Katie Boney	+1.0
30	14-16	W CAR	BUTLER	Serve err	Western Caro.		+1.1
31	15-16	BUTLER	W CAR	Serve err	Butler		+1.1
32	16-16	W CAR	W CAR	Kill	Zoe Zudans	set Katie Boney	+1.8
33	16-17	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Maria Nix	set Sarah Kempf	+1.3
34	17-17	BUTLER	W CAR	Attack err	Elise Ward		+1.4
35	17-18	W CAR	BUTLER×4	Kill	Sawyer Jones	set Ava Hunter	+1.4
36	17-19	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	+1.8
37	17-20	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Attack err	Brookelynn Nance		+1.4
38	17-21	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Blocked	Zoe Zudans	blk Sawyer Jones, Carly Slusser	+1.0
39	18-21	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Brookelynn Nance	set Katie Boney	+0.5
40	18-22	W CAR	BUTLER	Serve err	Western Caro.		+0.7
41	18-23	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Ava Hunter	+0.5
42	19-23	BUTLER	W CAR×3	Kill	Brookelynn Nance	set Katie Boney	+0.1
43	20-23	W CAR	W CAR×3	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+0.4
44	21-23	W CAR	W CAR×3	Bad set	Ava Hunter		+0.9
45	21-24	W CAR	BUTLER	Serve err	Western Caro.		+1.2
46	21-25	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe McDonald		+0.6
Set 3
1	0-1	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Sawyer Jones	set Ava Hunter	+0.5
2	1-1	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Tatum Sharp	set Katie Boney	+0.4
3	1-2	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Ava Hunter	+0.3
4	2-2	BUTLER	W CAR×3	Kill	Aiyana Harris	set Katie Boney	+0.4
5	3-2	W CAR	W CAR×3	Attack err	Carly Slusser		+0.6
6	4-2	W CAR	W CAR×3	Kill	Ashlyn Cobb	set Katie Boney	+0.6
7	4-3	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Jersey Loyer	+0.4
8	5-3	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Ashlyn Cobb	set Katie Boney	+0.5
9	6-3	W CAR	W CAR	Bad set	Ava Hunter		+0.7
10	6-4	W CAR	BUTLER×4	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Ava Hunter	+0.4
11	6-5	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Sarah Kempf	+0.6
12	6-6	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Attack err	Ashlyn Cobb		+0.6
13	6-7	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Jersey Loyer	+0.6
14	7-7	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Ashlyn Cobb	set Katie Boney	+0.4
15	7-8	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+0.4
16	8-8	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Ashlyn Cobb	set Elise Gurley	+0.5
17	9-8	W CAR	W CAR	Ace	Western Caro.		+0.7
18	9-9	W CAR	BUTLER	Serve err	Western Caro.		+0.5
19	10-9	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Katie Boney		+0.5
20	10-10	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Sarah Kempf	+0.5
21	11-10	BUTLER	W CAR	Serve err	Butler		+0.6
22	11-11	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Sawyer Jones	set Ava Hunter	+0.5
23	12-11	BUTLER	W CAR×3	Kill	Zoe Zudans	set Katie Boney	+0.6
24	13-11	W CAR	W CAR×3	Kill	Ashlyn Cobb	set Elise Gurley	+0.9
25	14-11	W CAR	W CAR×3	Kill	Aiyana Harris		+0.9
26	14-12	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	+0.5
27	15-12	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Zoe Zudans	set Katie Boney	+0.7
28	15-13	W CAR	BUTLER	Blocked	Aiyana Harris	blk Sawyer Jones, Zoe McDonald	+0.6
29	16-13	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Ashlyn Cobb	set Katie Boney	+0.7
30	16-14	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Maria Nix	+0.6
31	17-14	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Ashlyn Cobb	set Katie Boney	+0.8
32	17-15	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Maria Nix	set Sarah Kempf	+0.6
33	18-15	BUTLER	W CAR	Serve err	Butler		+0.8
34	18-16	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Jersey Loyer	+0.6
35	19-16	BUTLER	W CAR×3	Kill	Zoe Zudans	set Katie Boney	+0.8
36	20-16	W CAR	W CAR×3	Bad set	Ava Hunter		+1.0
37	21-16	W CAR	W CAR×3	Ace	Western Caro.		+0.8
38	21-17	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Ava Hunter	+0.3
39	22-17	BUTLER	W CAR	Blocked	Raegan Durbin	blk Aiyana Harris, Katie Boney	+0.5
40	23-17	W CAR	W CAR	Blocked	Carly Slusser	blk Aiyana Harris	+0.4
41	23-18	W CAR	BUTLER	Serve err	Western Caro.		+0.1
42	24-18	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Ashlyn Cobb	set Katie Boney	+0.2
43	24-19	W CAR	BUTLER	Bad set	Aiyana Harris		·
44	25-19	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Ashlyn Cobb	set Elise Gurley	+0.1
Set 4
1	1-0	W CAR	W CAR×3	Bad set	Ava Hunter		+2.0
2	2-0	W CAR	W CAR×3	Attack err	Sawyer Jones		+2.2
3	3-0	W CAR	W CAR×3	Blocked	Raegan Durbin	blk Katie Boney, Tatum Sharp	+2.3
4	3-1	W CAR	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Tatum Sharp		+1.5
5	3-2	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Samantha Kranzler		+2.1
6	3-3	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Blocked	Samantha Kranzler	blk Sawyer Jones, Zoe McDonald	+2.0
7	4-3	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Samantha Kranzler	set Elise Gurley	+1.6
8	4-4	W CAR	BUTLER×4	Blocked	Zoe Zudans	blk Zoe McDonald, Sawyer Jones	+1.5
9	4-5	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Katie Boney	+1.9
10	4-6	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Sarah Kempf	+1.8
11	4-7	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Sarah Kempf	+1.5
12	5-7	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Tatum Sharp	set Katie Boney	+1.1
13	5-8	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Zoe McDonald	set Sarah Kempf	+1.1
14	6-8	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Zoe Zudans	set Katie Boney	+1.1
15	6-9	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Maria Nix	set Sarah Kempf	+1.2
16	7-9	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Zoe Zudans	set Katie Boney	+1.2
17	7-10	W CAR	BUTLER	Blocked	Ashlyn Cobb	blk Elise Ward	+1.2
18	8-10	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Aiyana Harris	set Katie Boney	+1.2
19	8-11	W CAR	BUTLER	Attack err	Samantha Kranzler		+1.2
20	9-11	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Samantha Kranzler	set Sawyer Jones	+1.2
21	9-12	W CAR	BUTLER	Serve err	Western Caro.		+1.3
22	9-13	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Ashlyn Cobb		+1.5
23	10-13	BUTLER	W CAR×4	Blocked	Raegan Durbin	blk Katie Boney, Tatum Sharp	+1.0
24	11-13	W CAR	W CAR×4	Attack err	Sawyer Jones		+1.7
25	12-13	W CAR	W CAR×4	Blocked	Raegan Durbin	blk Tatum Sharp, Katie Boney	+2.2
26	13-13	W CAR	W CAR×4	Ace	Western Caro.		+2.7
27	13-14	W CAR	BUTLER	Serve err	Western Caro.		+2.0
28	14-14	BUTLER	W CAR	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+2.1
29	15-14	W CAR	W CAR	Blocked	Zoe McDonald	blk Zoe Zudans	+3.3
30	15-15	W CAR	BUTLER	Serve err	Western Caro.		+2.3
31	16-15	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Aiyana Harris	set Katie Boney	+2.6
32	16-16	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Sarah Kempf	+2.4
33	17-16	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Aiyana Harris	set Katie Boney	+2.8
34	18-16	W CAR	W CAR	Ace	Western Caro.		+4.1
35	18-17	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Maria Nix	set Sarah Kempf	+2.5
36	19-17	BUTLER	W CAR	Blocked	Elise Ward	blk Ashlyn Cobb, Aiyana Harris	+3.3
37	20-17	W CAR	W CAR	Bad set	Elise Ward		+4.3
38	20-18	W CAR	BUTLER×6	Kill	Elise Ward	set Ava Hunter	+2.3
39	20-19	BUTLER	BUTLER×6	Ace	Butler		+4.0
40	20-20	BUTLER	BUTLER×6	Blocked	Samantha Kranzler	blk Carly Slusser, Sawyer Jones	+4.5
41	20-21	BUTLER	BUTLER×6	Ace	Butler	aced Samantha Kranzler	+4.6
42	20-22	BUTLER	BUTLER×6	Bad set	Tatum Sharp		+4.0
43	20-23	BUTLER	BUTLER×6	Blocked	Ashlyn Cobb	blk Raegan Durbin, Carly Slusser	+2.8
44	21-23	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Ashlyn Cobb	set Katie Boney	+1.2
45	21-24	W CAR	BUTLER	Serve err	Western Caro.		+2.0
46	22-24	BUTLER	W CAR×5	Kill	Samantha Kranzler	set Halley Tang	+0.8
47	23-24	W CAR	W CAR×5	Attack err	Zoe McDonald		+2.9
48	24-24	W CAR	W CAR×5	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+7.6
49	25-24	W CAR	W CAR×5	Kill	Ashlyn Cobb	set Katie Boney	+9.2
50	26-24	W CAR	W CAR×5	Kill	Zoe Zudans	set Elise Gurley	+12.1
Set 5
1	1-0	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Samantha Kranzler	set Katie Boney	+6.3
2	2-0	W CAR	W CAR	Attack err	Elise Ward		+9.3
3	2-1	W CAR	BUTLER	Serve err	Western Caro.		+6.0
4	3-1	BUTLER	W CAR	Attack err	Sawyer Jones		+7.2
5	4-1	W CAR	W CAR	Attack err	Chase Lemming		+10.0
6	4-2	W CAR	BUTLER×3	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Ava Hunter	+6.1
7	4-3	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Blocked	Zoe Zudans	blk Zoe McDonald, Sawyer Jones	+9.1
8	4-4	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Sawyer Jones	set Ava Hunter	+9.2
9	5-4	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Katie Boney		+7.6
10	5-5	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Sawyer Jones	set Ava Hunter	+7.0
11	5-6	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Aiyana Harris		+9.4
12	6-6	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Zoe Zudans	set Katie Boney	+7.3
13	7-6	W CAR	W CAR	Bad set	Sarah Kempf		+11.5
14	7-7	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Maria Nix	set Sarah Kempf	+7.8
15	8-7	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Samantha Kranzler	set Katie Boney	+9.2
16	8-8	W CAR	BUTLER×3	Serve err	Western Caro.		+8.4
17	8-9	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Ace	Butler	aced Elise Gurley	+11.6
18	8-10	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Samantha Kranzler		+10.3
19	9-10	BUTLER	W CAR	Serve err	Butler		+6.9
20	9-11	W CAR	BUTLER	Attack err	Samantha Kranzler		+8.0
21	9-12	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Sawyer Jones	set Jersey Loyer	+8.4
22	10-12	BUTLER	W CAR	Kill	Samantha Kranzler	set Katie Boney	+4.3
23	10-13	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Ava Hunter	+6.2
24	11-13	BUTLER	W CAR	Serve err	Butler		+3.8
25	11-14	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Sawyer Jones	set Ava Hunter	+6.3
26	12-14	BUTLER	W CAR	Serve err	Butler		+2.6
27	13-14	W CAR	W CAR	Ace	Western Caro.		+9.0
28	13-15	W CAR	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Jersey Loyer	+14.6

Score shown after each rally, Western Caro. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Butler def. Western Caro. 3–2