FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026

AwayMVC

0:3

HomeBIG-EAST

Seton Hall def. Illinois St. 3–0

(25-18, 25-19, 25-23)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
ILL ST	18	19	23	0
SETON	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

SETON above 50 · ILL ST below

Biggest swing: 7.9% to Seton Hall — set 3, ILL ST 23-25 SETON. Kill by Daria Safian (set by Gwen Adler). SETON win probability 92% → 100%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

ILL ST 69.6%30.4% SETON

Illinois St. wins

3-0

22.9%

3-1

26.7%

3-2

19.9%

Seton Hall wins

3-0

5.8%

3-1

10.7%

3-2

13.9%

ILL ST break %: 43.1% vs this opp
SETON break %: 39.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Daria SafianKill+7.9%
Kill by Daria Safian (set by Gwen Adler)
Set 3 · ILL ST 23-25 SETON · SETON 92% → 100%
02
Jillian GregoryKill+4.5%
Kill by Jillian Gregory
Set 3 · ILL ST 23-24 SETON · ILL ST 3% → 8%
03
Jillian GregoryAttack error+4.0%
Jillian Gregory stuffed by Madison Loiselle & Loukia Papadakos
Set 1 · ILL ST 15-17 SETON · SETON 35% → 39%
04
Mia ClyburnKill+3.8%
Kill by Mia Clyburn (set by Madison Loiselle)
Set 1 · ILL ST 15-18 SETON · SETON 39% → 42%
05
Samantha SheltonKill+3.6%
Kill by Samantha Shelton (set by Emilee Fuller)
Set 3 · ILL ST 20-23 SETON · SETON 93% → 96%
06
ILL ST serverAce+3.5%
Illinois St. ace on Samantha Shelton
Set 1 · ILL ST 15-15 SETON · ILL ST 65% → 68%
07
Ruth ZieglerAttack error+3.4%
Attack error by Ruth Ziegler
Set 2 · ILL ST 5-9 SETON · SETON 62% → 65%
08
Samantha SheltonKill+3.3%
Kill by Samantha Shelton (set by Gwen Adler)
Set 1 · ILL ST 16-20 SETON · SETON 43% → 46%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Illinois St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Jillian GregoryOH	3	9	3	22	.273	1	1	2	3	1	0	0	0	10
1Ruth ZieglerOPP	3	10	2	21	.381	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	10
6Logan GrevengoedMB	3	4	5	10	-.100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
14Jillian FerrillOH	3	3	3	17	.000	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
9Ella CraggsS	3	1	1	2	.000	7	0	2	4	0	0	0	0	1
15Addisyn PohlMB	2	0	2	4	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
16Abby ReckOH	3	2	1	5	.200	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	3
5Samantha BunchS	3	0	0	0	–	2	2	1	4	0	0	0	0	2
21Audrey ClarkS	3	1	1	2	.000	15	0	1	6	0	0	0	0	1
17Peyton TurnerDS	3	1	0	1	1.000	3	0	0	7	0	0	0	0	1
10Oliwia CaputaOH	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	4	1	0	0	0	0
7Sidney WrightMB	2	6	1	10	.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6
3Ella KohnenS	1	0	0	0	–	5	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
2Emilija ArsicOH	1	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		37	20	96	.177	36	4	10	33	4	1	2	2	60

Seton Hallhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Samantha SheltonOH	3	8	2	19	.316	1	1	2	6	1	0	2	1	10
20Daria SafianOH	3	10	1	18	.500	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	10
1Loukia PapadakosMB	3	6	0	7	.857	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	8
4Alondra VillanuevaOH	3	6	2	23	.174	0	1	2	5	0	0	0	0	7
6Mia ClyburnMB	3	4	0	5	.800	0	0	3	1	0	0	2	1	5
15Gwen AdlerS	3	1	0	2	.500	18	1	2	3	0	0	0	0	2
13Madison LoiselleOH	3	4	1	13	.231	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	5
14Emilee FullerS	3	1	0	1	1.000	12	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	1
11Rylee NelsonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	6	1	2	10	1	0	0	0	1
3Kennedy CumminsL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
10Rylee WooldridgeOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		40	6	88	.386	38	4	12	33	4	1	8	5	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 ILL ST · SETON 6

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 2 ILL STSETON 3

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 2 ILL STSETON 3

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 4 ILL STSETON 6

Bars above the line = Seton Hall leads, below = Illinois St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Illinois St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	44%8/18	43%6/14
2	64%7/11	20%2/10
3	78%7/9	42%5/12
4	40%6/15	22%2/9
5	60%6/10	40%4/10
6	60%6/10	14%1/7
All	55%40/73	32%20/62

Seton Hall

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%9/15	42%5/12
2	80%8/10	56%10/18
3	58%7/12	36%4/11
4	86%6/7	25%2/8
5	60%6/10	57%8/14
6	75%6/8	40%4/10
All	68%42/62	45%33/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

135 rallies

Rally log

#	ILL ST-SETON	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	ILL ST	ILL ST	Attack err	Daria Safian		+2.2
2	2-0	ILL ST	ILL ST	Attack err	Alondra Villanueva		+2.1
3	2-1	ILL ST	SETON	Kill	Loukia Papadakos	set Gwen Adler	+1.4
4	3-1	SETON	ILL ST	Kill	Ruth Ziegler	set Ella Craggs	+1.4
5	3-2	ILL ST	SETON	Serve err	ILL ST server		+1.5
6	4-2	SETON	ILL ST	Kill	Logan Grevengoed	set Ella Craggs	+1.5
7	4-3	ILL ST	SETON	Kill	Daria Safian	set Gwen Adler	+1.5
8	5-3	SETON	ILL ST	Serve err	SETON server		+1.5
9	5-4	ILL ST	SETON×3	Kill	Madison Loiselle	set Emilee Fuller	+1.5
10	5-5	SETON	SETON×3	Kill	Samantha Shelton	set Emilee Fuller	+2.4
11	5-6	SETON	SETON×3	Attack err	Logan Grevengoed	blk Mia Clyburn, Samantha Shelton	+2.6
12	6-6	SETON	ILL ST	Kill	Jillian Gregory	set Audrey Clark	+1.8
13	6-7	ILL ST	SETON	Serve err	ILL ST server		+1.9
14	7-7	SETON	ILL ST	Serve err	SETON server		+1.8
15	7-8	ILL ST	SETON	Serve err	ILL ST server		+2.0
16	8-8	SETON	ILL ST	Kill	Ella Craggs	set Oliwia Caputa	+1.9
17	8-9	ILL ST	SETON×3	Kill	Daria Safian	set Gwen Adler	+2.0
18	8-10	SETON	SETON×3	Kill	Daria Safian	set Gwen Adler	+3.0
19	8-11	SETON	SETON×3	Ace	SETON server	aced Team	+3.0
20	9-11	SETON	ILL ST	Kill	Ruth Ziegler	set Ella Craggs	+1.8
21	10-11	ILL ST	ILL ST	Kill	Jillian Ferrill	set Jillian Gregory	+2.9
22	10-12	ILL ST	SETON	Attack err	Addisyn Pohl		+2.3
23	10-13	SETON	SETON	Attack err	Jillian Ferrill		+3.2
24	11-13	SETON	ILL ST	Attack err	Samantha Shelton		+1.9
25	12-13	ILL ST	ILL ST	Kill	Peyton Turner	set Audrey Clark	+3.0
26	12-14	ILL ST	SETON	Attack err	Sidney Wright		+2.4
27	13-14	SETON	ILL ST	Kill	Logan Grevengoed	set Audrey Clark	+2.2
28	13-15	ILL ST	SETON	Kill	Mia Clyburn	set Emilee Fuller	+2.5
29	14-15	SETON	ILL ST	Serve err	SETON server		+2.3
30	15-15	ILL ST	ILL ST	Ace	ILL ST server	aced Samantha Shelton	+3.5
31	15-16	ILL ST	SETON×3	Bad set	Audrey Clark		+2.7
32	15-17	SETON	SETON×3	Attack err	Jillian Gregory	blk Madison Loiselle, Loukia Papadakos	+4.0
33	15-18	SETON	SETON×3	Kill	Mia Clyburn	set Madison Loiselle	+3.8
34	16-18	SETON	ILL ST	Kill	Sidney Wright	set Audrey Clark	+2.1
35	16-19	ILL ST	SETON×3	Kill	Samantha Shelton	set Rylee Nelson	+2.8
36	16-20	SETON	SETON×3	Kill	Samantha Shelton	set Gwen Adler	+3.3
37	16-21	SETON	SETON×3	Kill	Loukia Papadakos		+2.3
38	17-21	SETON	ILL ST	Serve err	SETON server		+0.9
39	17-22	ILL ST	SETON	Kill	Daria Safian	set Gwen Adler	+1.5
40	17-23	SETON	SETON	Attack err	Addisyn Pohl		+1.1
41	18-23	SETON	ILL ST	Kill	Ruth Ziegler	set Ella Craggs	+0.2
42	18-24	ILL ST	SETON	Serve err	ILL ST server		+0.5
43	18-25	SETON	SETON	Attack err	Ella Craggs		+0.2
Set 2
1	0-1	SETON	SETON	Kill	Samantha Shelton	set Gwen Adler	+2.9
2	0-2	SETON	SETON	Attack err	Logan Grevengoed	blk Loukia Papadakos	+3.1
3	1-2	SETON	ILL ST	Kill	Jillian Ferrill	set Audrey Clark	+2.0
4	1-3	ILL ST	SETON	Kill	Loukia Papadakos	set Gwen Adler	+2.2
5	1-4	SETON	SETON	Attack err	Logan Grevengoed		+3.2
6	2-4	SETON	ILL ST	Kill	Logan Grevengoed	set Audrey Clark	+2.0
7	2-5	ILL ST	SETON	Attack err	Jillian Gregory		+2.3
8	2-6	SETON	SETON	Attack err	Audrey Clark		+3.2
9	3-6	SETON	ILL ST	Serve err	SETON server		+1.9
10	4-6	ILL ST	ILL ST	Kill	Jillian Gregory	set Peyton Turner	+3.0
11	4-7	ILL ST	SETON	Serve err	ILL ST server		+2.4
12	5-7	SETON	ILL ST	Kill	Ruth Ziegler	set Ella Craggs	+2.1
13	5-8	ILL ST	SETON	Serve err	ILL ST server		+2.5
14	5-9	SETON	SETON	Attack err	Ruth Ziegler		+3.4
15	6-9	SETON	ILL ST	Kill	Ruth Ziegler	set Peyton Turner	+2.0
16	6-10	ILL ST	SETON	Kill	Samantha Shelton	set Emilee Fuller	+2.4
17	6-11	SETON	SETON	Kill	Emilee Fuller	set Samantha Shelton	+3.1
18	7-11	SETON	ILL ST	Serve err	SETON server		+1.7
19	7-12	ILL ST	SETON	Kill	Loukia Papadakos	set Emilee Fuller	+2.2
20	8-12	SETON	ILL ST	Serve err	SETON server		+1.7
21	8-13	ILL ST	SETON	Kill	Daria Safian	set Rylee Nelson	+2.3
22	9-13	SETON	ILL ST	Kill	Jillian Gregory	set Oliwia Caputa	+1.7
23	9-14	ILL ST	SETON	Kill	Loukia Papadakos	set Gwen Adler	+2.3
24	10-14	SETON	ILL ST	Serve err	SETON server		+1.7
25	10-15	ILL ST	SETON×3	Kill	Alondra Villanueva	set Rylee Nelson	+2.3
26	10-16	SETON	SETON×3	Kill	Madison Loiselle	set Emilee Fuller	+2.6
27	10-17	SETON	SETON×3	Kill	Madison Loiselle	set Rylee Nelson	+1.9
28	11-17	SETON	ILL ST	Kill	Jillian Gregory	set Ella Craggs	+0.8
29	11-18	ILL ST	SETON	Kill	Mia Clyburn	set Emilee Fuller	+1.3
30	12-18	SETON	ILL ST	Serve err	SETON server		+0.7
31	12-19	ILL ST	SETON	Serve err	ILL ST server		+1.2
32	13-19	SETON	ILL ST	Attack err	Madison Loiselle	blk Jillian Ferrill, Addisyn Pohl	+0.6
33	14-19	ILL ST	ILL ST	Kill	Logan Grevengoed	set Peyton Turner	+1.4
34	14-20	ILL ST	SETON	Attack err	Jillian Ferrill		+1.6
35	15-20	SETON	ILL ST	Attack err	Samantha Shelton		+0.8
36	16-20	ILL ST	ILL ST	Kill	Abby Reck	set Audrey Clark	+1.9
37	16-21	ILL ST	SETON	Kill	Samantha Shelton	set Gwen Adler	+2.1
38	16-22	SETON	SETON	Attack err	Logan Grevengoed		+1.7
39	17-22	SETON	ILL ST	Serve err	SETON server		+0.5
40	18-22	ILL ST	ILL ST	Kill	Ruth Ziegler	set Audrey Clark	+1.3
41	18-23	ILL ST	SETON	Kill	Daria Safian	set Gwen Adler	+1.7
42	18-24	SETON	SETON	Ace	SETON server	aced Oliwia Caputa	+1.0
43	19-24	SETON	ILL ST	Kill	Jillian Gregory	set Audrey Clark	+0.1
44	19-25	ILL ST	SETON	Kill	Daria Safian	set Gwen Adler	+0.3
Set 3
1	0-1	ILL ST	SETON×4	Kill	Daria Safian	set Rylee Nelson	+1.8
2	0-2	SETON	SETON×4	Kill	Alondra Villanueva	set Gwen Adler	+2.6
3	0-3	SETON	SETON×4	Attack err	Ruth Ziegler		+2.6
4	0-4	SETON	SETON×4	Kill	Alondra Villanueva	set Gwen Adler	+2.6
5	1-4	SETON	ILL ST	Serve err	SETON server		+1.6
6	1-5	ILL ST	SETON	Kill	Loukia Papadakos	set Gwen Adler	+1.9
7	2-5	SETON	ILL ST	Kill	Sidney Wright	set Audrey Clark	+1.6
8	2-6	ILL ST	SETON	Kill	Alondra Villanueva	set Gwen Adler	+1.9
9	3-6	SETON	ILL ST	Kill	Jillian Gregory	set Ella Craggs	+1.6
10	3-7	ILL ST	SETON×6	Kill	Alondra Villanueva	set Emilee Fuller	+1.9
11	3-8	SETON	SETON×6	Ace	SETON server	aced Emilija Arsic	+2.5
12	3-9	SETON	SETON×6	Kill	Alondra Villanueva	set Emilee Fuller	+2.3
13	3-10	SETON	SETON×6	Attack err	Abby Reck		+1.9
14	3-11	SETON	SETON×6	Attack err	Emilija Arsic		+1.5
15	3-12	SETON	SETON×6	Attack err	Logan Grevengoed	blk Samantha Shelton	+1.2
16	4-12	SETON	ILL ST×4	Kill	Jillian Ferrill	set Ella Kohnen	+0.5
17	5-12	ILL ST	ILL ST×4	Kill	Ruth Ziegler	set Samantha Bunch	+1.1
18	6-12	ILL ST	ILL ST×4	Kill	Ruth Ziegler	set Ella Kohnen	+1.4
19	7-12	ILL ST	ILL ST×4	Ace	ILL ST server	aced Team	+1.7
20	7-13	ILL ST	SETON	Kill	Mia Clyburn	set Emilee Fuller	+1.6
21	7-14	SETON	SETON	Attack err	Jillian Ferrill	blk Madison Loiselle, Loukia Papadakos	+1.8
22	8-14	SETON	ILL ST	Kill	Ruth Ziegler	set Ella Kohnen	+0.9
23	8-15	ILL ST	SETON	Serve err	ILL ST server		+1.2
24	9-15	SETON	ILL ST	Kill	Sidney Wright	set Audrey Clark	+0.8
25	10-15	ILL ST	ILL ST	Kill	Jillian Gregory	set Audrey Clark	+1.6
26	10-16	ILL ST	SETON×3	Serve err	ILL ST server		+1.6
27	10-17	SETON	SETON×3	Attack err	Jillian Gregory		+1.6
28	10-18	SETON	SETON×3	Kill	Daria Safian	set Gwen Adler	+1.1
29	11-18	SETON	ILL ST	Kill	Sidney Wright	set Audrey Clark	+0.4
30	11-19	ILL ST	SETON	Kill	Gwen Adler	set Rylee Nelson	+0.7
31	12-19	SETON	ILL ST×4	Kill	Audrey Clark	set Abby Reck	+0.3
32	13-19	ILL ST	ILL ST×4	Bad set	Gwen Adler		+0.8
33	14-19	ILL ST	ILL ST×4	Attack err	Alondra Villanueva	blk Abby Reck	+1.2
34	15-19	ILL ST	ILL ST×4	Ace	ILL ST server	aced Kennedy Cummins	+1.7
35	15-20	ILL ST	SETON	Serve err	ILL ST server		+1.9
36	16-20	SETON	ILL ST	Kill	Jillian Gregory	set Ella Kohnen	+1.1
37	17-20	ILL ST	ILL ST	Ace	ILL ST server	aced Rylee Nelson	+2.4
38	17-21	ILL ST	SETON	Kill	Madison Loiselle	set Emilee Fuller	+2.5
39	18-21	SETON	ILL ST	Kill	Abby Reck	set Ella Kohnen	+1.5
40	18-22	ILL ST	SETON	Kill	Samantha Shelton	set Emilee Fuller	+2.5
41	19-22	SETON	ILL ST	Serve err	SETON server		+1.3
42	20-22	ILL ST	ILL ST	Kill	Ruth Ziegler	set Samantha Bunch	+3.1
43	20-23	ILL ST	SETON	Kill	Samantha Shelton	set Emilee Fuller	+3.6
44	20-24	SETON	SETON	Ace	SETON server	aced Jillian Gregory	+3.0
45	21-24	SETON	ILL ST×3	Kill	Sidney Wright	set Audrey Clark	+0.6
46	22-24	ILL ST	ILL ST×3	Kill	Sidney Wright	set Audrey Clark	+1.9
47	23-24	ILL ST	ILL ST×3	Kill	Jillian Gregory		+4.5
48	23-25	ILL ST	SETON	Kill	Daria Safian	set Gwen Adler	+7.9

Score shown after each rally, Illinois St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.