Final · 5 setsFri, Sep 4, 2026

AwaySOCON

3:2

HomeASUN

Western Caro. def. Bellarmine 3–2

(25-19, 18-25, 16-25, 27-25, 15-13)

Set	1	2	3	4	5	Sets
W CAR	25	18	16	27	15	3
BELLAR	19	25	25	25	13	2

RallyIQ model

Win probability

BELLAR above 50 · W CAR below

Biggest swing: 23.7% to Western Caro. — set 5, W CAR 15-13 BELLAR. Kill by Sophia Marini (set by Katie Boney). BELLAR win probability 24% → 0%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

W CAR 28.0%72.0% BELLAR

Western Caro. wins

3-0

5.2%

3-1

9.7%

3-2

13.1%

Bellarmine wins

3-0

24.7%

3-1

27.6%

3-2

19.7%

W CAR break %: 41.3% vs this opp
BELLAR break %: 45.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Sophia MariniKill+23.7%
Kill by Sophia Marini (set by Katie Boney)
Set 5 · W CAR 15-13 BELLAR · W CAR 76% → 100%
02
W CAR serverAce+22.2%
Western Caro. ace on Natalie Bland
Set 5 · W CAR 14-12 BELLAR · W CAR 64% → 86%
03
W CAR serverAce+21.5%
Western Caro. ace on Abbie Lyttle
Set 5 · W CAR 13-12 BELLAR · W CAR 42% → 64%
04
Natalie BlandAttack error+16.5%
Natalie Bland stuffed by Sophia Marini & Tatum Sharp
Set 5 · W CAR 12-12 BELLAR · W CAR 26% → 42%
05
Maddie CarnesAttack error+13.1%
Attack error by Maddie Carnes
Set 4 · W CAR 27-25 BELLAR · W CAR 28% → 41%
06
Mary HermanAttack error+11.0%
Attack error by Mary Herman
Set 4 · W CAR 25-24 BELLAR · W CAR 17% → 28%
07
Sophia MariniKill+10.5%
Kill by Sophia Marini (set by Elise Gurley)
Set 5 · W CAR 10-11 BELLAR · W CAR 17% → 28%
08
Mary HermanKill+10.3%
Kill by Mary Herman (set by Maddie Carnes)
Set 5 · W CAR 10-12 BELLAR · BELLAR 72% → 83%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Western Caro.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Ashlyn CobbOH	5	10	5	40	.125	0	1	2	13	0	0	2	1	12
12Tatum SharpMB	5	8	2	26	.231	1	0	0	1	0	0	7	3.5	11.5
22Zoe ZudansOH	5	9	5	39	.103	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	1	10
18Katie BoneyS	5	4	0	7	.571	42	0	0	12	0	0	6	3	7
15Samantha KranzlerOH	5	4	1	21	.143	1	0	1	17	2	0	0	0	4
11JoJo AbeytaMB	2	2	1	10	.100	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3
2Halley TangL/DS	5	1	0	1	1.000	1	2	0	10	4	0	0	0	3
6Elise GurleyL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	5	2	2	23	1	0	0	0	2
7Aiyana HarrisMB	4	8	1	15	.467	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
20Eda YalçinkayaL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	9	1	0	0	0	0
17Evelyn KeeferL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16Sophia MariniOH	2	7	1	10	.600	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	8
8Taylor BaggettOH	2	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Peri SubatOH	1	2	1	10	.100	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	2
Team totals		55	18	181	.204	51	5	6	91	8	1	20	11	101

Bellarminehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Natalie BlandOH	5	22	8	61	.230	3	2	4	23	2	0	2	1	25
1Mady YadenOH	5	23	8	67	.224	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	23
20Mary HermanMB	5	10	5	26	.192	1	1	3	8	0	2	3	3.5	14.5
3Erika SmithMB	5	9	1	18	.444	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	10.5
9Maddie HaganOH	5	7	2	18	.278	0	0	0	4	0	0	2	1	8
7Maddie CarnesS	5	2	3	9	-.111	59	1	1	12	0	0	0	0	3
12Abbie LyttleDS	5	0	0	0	–	2	3	4	9	1	0	0	0	3
11Abby JuliusOH	5	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
24Ava LongDS	5	0	0	2	.000	1	0	1	9	1	0	0	0	0
4Payton ParsonsL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	29	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		73	27	201	.229	69	8	14	99	5	3	8	7	107

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 W CAR · BELLAR 8

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 7 W CARBELLAR 3

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 5 W CARBELLAR 7

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 2 W CARBELLAR 8

Set 4

27-25

Longest run 5 W CARBELLAR 6

Set 5

15-13

Longest run 4 W CARBELLAR 2

Bars above the line = Bellarmine leads, below = Western Caro. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Western Caro.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%12/18	18%2/11
2	60%12/20	37%7/19
3	50%12/24	45%10/22
4	77%10/13	48%10/21
5	36%8/22	27%3/11
6	64%7/11	50%8/16
All	56%61/108	40%40/100

Bellarmine

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	75%12/16	29%4/14
2	57%12/21	33%6/18
3	50%11/22	43%9/21
4	63%10/16	48%10/21
5	44%8/18	50%9/18
6	100%7/7	56%9/16
All	60%60/100	44%47/108

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

208 rallies

Rally log

#	W CAR-BELLAR	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	BELLAR	W CAR	Kill	Zoe Zudans	set Katie Boney	+1.7
2	2-0	W CAR	W CAR	Kill	JoJo Abeyta	set Katie Boney	+2.2
3	2-1	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Mary Herman	set Maddie Carnes	+1.6
4	3-1	BELLAR	W CAR	Kill	Zoe Zudans	set Katie Boney	+1.8
5	3-2	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+1.6
6	3-3	BELLAR	BELLAR	Ace	BELLAR server	aced Elise Gurley	+2.2
7	4-3	BELLAR	W CAR	Kill	JoJo Abeyta	set Katie Boney	+1.8
8	4-4	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Erika Smith	+1.7
9	5-4	BELLAR	W CAR	Kill	Samantha Kranzler	set Katie Boney	+1.8
10	5-5	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Erika Smith	set Maddie Carnes	+1.7
11	6-5	BELLAR	W CAR×7	Kill	Tatum Sharp	set Katie Boney	+1.9
12	7-5	W CAR	W CAR×7	Kill	Katie Boney	set Ava Long	+2.5
13	8-5	W CAR	W CAR×7	Attack err	Mady Yaden	blk Katie Boney, Tatum Sharp	+2.6
14	9-5	W CAR	W CAR×7	Attack err	Mady Yaden		+2.5
15	10-5	W CAR	W CAR×7	Attack err	Erika Smith		+2.4
16	11-5	W CAR	W CAR×7	Kill	Zoe Zudans	set Katie Boney	+2.1
17	12-5	W CAR	W CAR×7	Kill	Tatum Sharp	set Katie Boney	+1.8
18	12-6	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Maddie Carnes	set Payton Parsons	+1.0
19	13-6	BELLAR	W CAR	Kill	Zoe Zudans	set Katie Boney	+1.4
20	13-7	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Maddie Carnes	set Natalie Bland	+1.0
21	14-7	BELLAR	W CAR	Attack err	Mary Herman	blk Katie Boney, JoJo Abeyta	+1.4
22	15-7	W CAR	W CAR	Attack err	Maddie Carnes		+1.3
23	15-8	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+0.7
24	15-9	BELLAR	BELLAR	Attack err	Ashlyn Cobb	blk Maddie Hagan, Mary Herman	+1.2
25	16-9	BELLAR	W CAR	Serve err	BELLAR server		+1.3
26	16-10	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Maddie Hagan	set Maddie Carnes	+0.8
27	17-10	BELLAR	W CAR	Kill	Ashlyn Cobb	set Katie Boney	+1.2
28	17-11	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Erika Smith	set Maddie Carnes	+0.8
29	18-11	BELLAR	W CAR	Kill	Ashlyn Cobb	set Katie Boney	+1.2
30	18-12	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+0.7
31	19-12	BELLAR	W CAR	Kill	Katie Boney	set Elise Gurley	+1.1
32	19-13	W CAR	BELLAR×3	Serve err	W CAR server		+0.6
33	19-14	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+1.2
34	19-15	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+1.7
35	20-15	BELLAR	W CAR	Kill	Tatum Sharp	set Katie Boney	+1.9
36	20-16	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+1.2
37	21-16	BELLAR	W CAR	Kill	Katie Boney	set Samantha Kranzler	+1.9
38	21-17	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+1.1
39	22-17	BELLAR	W CAR	Kill	Ashlyn Cobb	set Katie Boney	+1.8
40	23-17	W CAR	W CAR	Ace	W CAR server	aced Payton Parsons	+1.2
41	23-18	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Abbie Lyttle	+0.3
42	23-19	BELLAR	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+0.8
43	24-19	BELLAR	W CAR	Attack err	Natalie Bland		+1.3
44	25-19	W CAR	W CAR	Kill	Samantha Kranzler	set Katie Boney	+0.4
Set 2
1	1-0	W CAR	W CAR	Attack err	Mady Yaden	blk JoJo Abeyta, Ashlyn Cobb	+2.8
2	1-1	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+2.1
3	2-1	BELLAR	W CAR	Serve err	BELLAR server		+2.2
4	2-2	W CAR	BELLAR×3	Attack err	Mary Herman		+2.1
5	2-3	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Kill	Mary Herman	set Maddie Carnes	+2.7
6	2-4	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Attack err	JoJo Abeyta		+2.6
7	3-4	BELLAR	W CAR×5	Attack err	Natalie Bland		+2.0
8	4-4	W CAR	W CAR×5	Kill	Ashlyn Cobb	set Katie Boney	+2.9
9	5-4	W CAR	W CAR×5	Attack err	Mady Yaden		+3.1
10	6-4	W CAR	W CAR×5	Kill	Halley Tang	set Elise Gurley	+3.3
11	7-4	W CAR	W CAR×5	Kill	Tatum Sharp	set Katie Boney	+3.3
12	7-5	W CAR	BELLAR	Serve err	W CAR server		+2.3
13	7-6	BELLAR	BELLAR	Kill	Maddie Hagan	set Payton Parsons	+3.1
14	8-6	BELLAR	W CAR	Kill	Ashlyn Cobb	set Katie Boney	+2.7
15	9-6	W CAR	W CAR	Attack err	Natalie Bland		+3.5
16	9-7	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Maddie Hagan	set Maddie Carnes	+2.4
17	10-7	BELLAR	W CAR	Attack err	Natalie Bland	blk Tatum Sharp, Katie Boney	+2.8
18	10-8	W CAR	BELLAR×7	Kill	Maddie Hagan	set Maddie Carnes	+2.4
19	10-9	BELLAR	BELLAR×7	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+3.4
20	10-10	BELLAR	BELLAR×7	Attack err	Zoe Zudans		+3.5
21	10-11	BELLAR	BELLAR×7	Attack err	Ashlyn Cobb		+3.5
22	10-12	BELLAR	BELLAR×7	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+3.3
23	10-13	BELLAR	BELLAR×7	Kill	Erika Smith		+2.9
24	10-14	BELLAR	BELLAR×7	Kill	Erika Smith	set Maddie Carnes	+2.5
25	11-14	BELLAR	W CAR	Kill	Zoe Zudans	set Elise Gurley	+1.7
26	11-15	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+1.9
27	12-15	BELLAR	W CAR	Serve err	BELLAR server		+1.7
28	12-16	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+2.0
29	12-17	BELLAR	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Natalie Bland	+2.0
30	13-17	BELLAR	W CAR×3	Kill	Zoe Zudans	set Katie Boney	+1.2
31	14-17	W CAR	W CAR×3	Ace	W CAR server	aced Ava Long	+2.2
32	15-17	W CAR	W CAR×3	Kill	Samantha Kranzler	set Katie Boney	+3.0
33	15-18	W CAR	BELLAR×4	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+2.7
34	15-19	BELLAR	BELLAR×4	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+2.8
35	15-20	BELLAR	BELLAR×4	Attack err	Samantha Kranzler		+1.9
36	15-21	BELLAR	BELLAR×4	Ace	BELLAR server	aced Samantha Kranzler	+1.2
37	16-21	BELLAR	W CAR	Kill	Aiyana Harris	set Katie Boney	+0.5
38	17-21	W CAR	W CAR	Kill	Samantha Kranzler	set Katie Boney	+1.1
39	17-22	W CAR	BELLAR×3	Kill	Mary Herman	set Maddie Carnes	+1.3
40	17-23	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Ace	BELLAR server	aced Halley Tang	+0.8
41	17-24	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Ace	BELLAR server	aced Halley Tang	+0.3
42	18-24	BELLAR	W CAR	Kill	Ashlyn Cobb	set Katie Boney	+0.0
43	18-25	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+0.1
Set 3
1	1-0	BELLAR	W CAR	Kill	Aiyana Harris	set Katie Boney	+2.4
2	1-1	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Mary Herman	set Maddie Carnes	+2.3
3	1-2	BELLAR	BELLAR	Kill	Maddie Hagan		+2.9
4	2-2	BELLAR	W CAR	Kill	Ashlyn Cobb	set Katie Boney	+2.3
5	3-2	W CAR	W CAR	Kill	Ashlyn Cobb	set Katie Boney	+3.2
6	3-3	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Maddie Hagan	set Natalie Bland	+2.4
7	3-4	BELLAR	BELLAR	Attack err	Ashlyn Cobb	blk Natalie Bland, Erika Smith	+3.0
8	4-4	BELLAR	W CAR	Kill	Aiyana Harris	set Katie Boney	+2.4
9	4-5	W CAR	BELLAR	Attack err	Ashlyn Cobb	blk Erika Smith	+2.4
10	5-5	BELLAR	W CAR	Attack err	Natalie Bland		+2.5
11	6-5	W CAR	W CAR	Ace	W CAR server	aced Natalie Bland	+3.5
12	6-6	W CAR	BELLAR×8	Serve err	W CAR server		+2.5
13	6-7	BELLAR	BELLAR×8	Ace	BELLAR server	aced Halley Tang	+3.3
14	6-8	BELLAR	BELLAR×8	Attack err	Peri Subat		+3.1
15	6-9	BELLAR	BELLAR×8	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+2.8
16	6-10	BELLAR	BELLAR×8	Ace	BELLAR server	aced Halley Tang	+2.5
17	6-11	BELLAR	BELLAR×8	Attack err	Tatum Sharp		+2.1
18	6-12	BELLAR	BELLAR×8	Attack err	Tatum Sharp		+1.6
19	6-13	BELLAR	BELLAR×8	Kill	Erika Smith		+1.2
20	7-13	BELLAR	W CAR	Attack err	Mady Yaden	blk Katie Boney, Tatum Sharp	+0.7
21	7-14	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+0.9
22	8-14	BELLAR	W CAR	Kill	Zoe Zudans	set Katie Boney	+0.7
23	8-15	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Mary Herman	set Maddie Carnes	+0.9
24	8-16	BELLAR	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+0.8
25	9-16	BELLAR	W CAR	Serve err	BELLAR server		+0.4
26	9-17	W CAR	BELLAR	Attack err	Zoe Zudans		+0.6
27	10-17	BELLAR	W CAR	Attack err	Mary Herman		+0.4
28	11-17	W CAR	W CAR	Kill	Peri Subat	set Katie Boney	+0.7
29	11-18	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+0.8
30	11-19	BELLAR	BELLAR	Attack err	Taylor Baggett		+0.6
31	12-19	BELLAR	W CAR	Serve err	BELLAR server		+0.3
32	13-19	W CAR	W CAR	Attack err	Maddie Carnes		+0.6
33	13-20	W CAR	BELLAR×3	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+0.7
34	13-21	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Kill	Erika Smith		+0.5
35	13-22	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+0.2
36	14-22	BELLAR	W CAR	Kill	Peri Subat	set Halley Tang	+0.1
37	14-23	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Erika Smith	set Maddie Carnes	+0.1
38	14-24	BELLAR	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+0.0
39	15-24	BELLAR	W CAR	Serve err	BELLAR server		+0.0
40	16-24	W CAR	W CAR	Attack err	Mady Yaden	blk Katie Boney, Tatum Sharp	+0.0
41	16-25	W CAR	BELLAR	Serve err	W CAR server		+0.0
Set 4
1	0-1	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+1.8
2	1-1	BELLAR	W CAR×3	Attack err	Mary Herman		+1.9
3	2-1	W CAR	W CAR×3	Kill	Aiyana Harris	set Katie Boney	+2.6
4	3-1	W CAR	W CAR×3	Attack err	Mary Herman		+2.8
5	3-2	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+2.0
6	4-2	BELLAR	W CAR	Kill	Sophia Marini	set Katie Boney	+2.2
7	4-3	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+2.0
8	5-3	BELLAR	W CAR	Serve err	BELLAR server		+2.3
9	5-4	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Maddie Hagan	set Maddie Carnes	+2.1
10	5-5	BELLAR	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+2.8
11	6-5	BELLAR	W CAR	Kill	Tatum Sharp	set Katie Boney	+2.3
12	7-5	W CAR	W CAR	Kill	Tatum Sharp	set Payton Parsons	+3.1
13	7-6	W CAR	BELLAR	Serve err	W CAR server		+2.2
14	8-6	BELLAR	W CAR	Kill	Katie Boney	set Eda Yalçinkaya	+2.5
15	8-7	W CAR	BELLAR	Attack err	Zoe Zudans		+2.2
16	9-7	BELLAR	W CAR	Serve err	BELLAR server		+2.5
17	10-7	W CAR	W CAR	Kill	Aiyana Harris		+3.3
18	10-8	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Ava Long	+2.2
19	11-8	BELLAR	W CAR	Kill	Aiyana Harris	set Katie Boney	+2.6
20	11-9	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+2.3
21	12-9	BELLAR	W CAR	Kill	Aiyana Harris	set Katie Boney	+2.7
22	13-9	W CAR	W CAR	Kill	Ashlyn Cobb	set Katie Boney	+3.3
23	13-10	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+2.1
24	14-10	BELLAR	W CAR	Serve err	BELLAR server		+2.6
25	14-11	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+2.1
26	15-11	BELLAR	W CAR	Serve err	BELLAR server		+2.7
27	15-12	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+2.1
28	16-12	BELLAR	W CAR	Serve err	BELLAR server		+2.8
29	16-13	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+2.2
30	16-14	BELLAR	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+3.4
31	17-14	BELLAR	W CAR	Serve err	BELLAR server		+3.2
32	17-15	W CAR	BELLAR×3	Kill	Erika Smith	set Maddie Carnes	+2.6
33	17-16	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Attack err	Aiyana Harris	blk Mary Herman	+4.0
34	17-17	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Mary Herman	+4.4
35	18-17	BELLAR	W CAR	Kill	Zoe Zudans	set Katie Boney	+3.8
36	19-17	W CAR	W CAR	Attack err	Mady Yaden	blk Sophia Marini, Aiyana Harris	+5.1
37	19-18	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Mary Herman	set Maddie Carnes	+3.4
38	20-18	BELLAR	W CAR	Kill	Sophia Marini	set Elise Gurley	+4.3
39	20-19	W CAR	BELLAR×6	Serve err	W CAR server		+3.5
40	20-20	BELLAR	BELLAR×6	Attack err	Sophia Marini	blk Natalie Bland, Mary Herman	+5.5
41	20-21	BELLAR	BELLAR×6	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+5.9
42	20-22	BELLAR	BELLAR×6	Ace	BELLAR server	aced Samantha Kranzler	+5.4
43	20-23	BELLAR	BELLAR×6	Bad set	Katie Boney		+4.1
44	20-24	BELLAR	BELLAR×6	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Abbie Lyttle	+2.2
45	21-24	BELLAR	W CAR×5	Kill	Ashlyn Cobb	set Katie Boney	+0.5
46	22-24	W CAR	W CAR×5	Attack err	Natalie Bland		+1.7
47	23-24	W CAR	W CAR×5	Attack err	Maddie Hagan	blk Tatum Sharp, Ashlyn Cobb	+4.1
48	24-24	W CAR	W CAR×5	Attack err	Natalie Bland		+9.9
49	25-24	W CAR	W CAR×5	Attack err	Mary Herman		+11.0
50	25-25	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+8.5
51	26-25	BELLAR	W CAR	Kill	Tatum Sharp	set Katie Boney	+8.5
52	27-25	W CAR	W CAR	Attack err	Maddie Carnes		+13.1
Set 5
1	0-1	BELLAR	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+7.9
2	0-2	BELLAR	BELLAR	Attack err	Zoe Zudans		+7.5
3	1-2	BELLAR	W CAR	Kill	Aiyana Harris	set Katie Boney	+5.6
4	1-3	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Mary Herman	set Maddie Carnes	+5.9
5	1-4	BELLAR	BELLAR	Attack err	Zoe Zudans	blk Maddie Hagan, Mary Herman	+6.9
6	2-4	BELLAR	W CAR	Kill	Sophia Marini	set Katie Boney	+4.9
7	2-5	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Mary Herman	set Maddie Carnes	+5.5
8	3-5	BELLAR	W CAR	Serve err	BELLAR server		+5.0
9	3-6	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Erika Smith	set Maddie Carnes	+5.7
10	4-6	BELLAR	W CAR	Kill	Sophia Marini	set Katie Boney	+5.1
11	4-7	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+5.9
12	5-7	BELLAR	W CAR	Attack err	Mady Yaden	blk Katie Boney, Tatum Sharp	+5.2
13	6-7	W CAR	W CAR	Kill	Zoe Zudans	set Tatum Sharp	+8.7
14	6-8	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+7.5
15	6-9	BELLAR	BELLAR	Ace	BELLAR server	aced Eda Yalçinkaya	+8.4
16	7-9	BELLAR	W CAR	Kill	Tatum Sharp	set Katie Boney	+5.4
17	7-10	W CAR	BELLAR	Attack err	Ashlyn Cobb	blk Mary Herman	+6.7
18	8-10	BELLAR	W CAR	Attack err	Maddie Hagan	blk Zoe Zudans	+5.5
19	8-11	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Mary Herman	set Maddie Carnes	+7.0
20	9-11	BELLAR	W CAR	Serve err	BELLAR server		+5.4
21	10-11	W CAR	W CAR	Kill	Sophia Marini	set Elise Gurley	+10.5
22	10-12	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Mary Herman	set Maddie Carnes	+10.3
23	11-12	BELLAR	W CAR×4	Kill	Sophia Marini	set Katie Boney	+8.6
24	12-12	W CAR	W CAR×4	Attack err	Natalie Bland	blk Sophia Marini, Tatum Sharp	+16.5
25	13-12	W CAR	W CAR×4	Ace	W CAR server	aced Abbie Lyttle	+21.5
26	14-12	W CAR	W CAR×4	Ace	W CAR server	aced Natalie Bland	+22.2
27	14-13	W CAR	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+9.8
28	15-13	BELLAR	W CAR	Kill	Sophia Marini	set Katie Boney	+23.7

Score shown after each rally, Western Caro. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.