FinalSat, Sep 5, 2026

AwayBIG-EAST

0:3

HomeBIG-SOUTH

UNC Asheville def. Seton Hall 3–0

(25-17, 25-18, 25-17)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
SETON	17	18	17	0
UNC A	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UNC A above 50 · SETON below

Biggest swing: 3.2% to UNC Asheville — set 1, SETON 14-16 UNC A. UNC Asheville ace on Samantha Shelton. UNC A win probability 71% → 74%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

SETON 30.8%69.2% UNC A

Seton Hall wins

3-0

5.9%

3-1

10.8%

3-2

14.0%

UNC Asheville wins

3-0

22.7%

3-1

26.6%

3-2

19.9%

SETON break %: 39.1% vs this opp
UNC A break %: 42.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
UNC A serverAce+3.2%
UNC Asheville ace on Samantha Shelton
Set 1 · SETON 14-16 UNC A · UNC A 71% → 74%
02
Kennedy HornKill+3.2%
Kill by Kennedy Horn (set by Emilee Fuller)
Set 1 · SETON 13-13 UNC A · SETON 29% → 32%
03
Sarah WadsworthKill+3.0%
Kill by Sarah Wadsworth (set by Elise Jensen)
Set 2 · SETON 16-18 UNC A · UNC A 84% → 87%
04
Cadence NicholsKill+2.9%
Kill by Cadence Nichols
Set 1 · SETON 10-10 UNC A · UNC A 65% → 68%
05
UNC A serverAce+2.9%
UNC Asheville ace on Rylee Nelson
Set 1 · SETON 10-11 UNC A · UNC A 68% → 71%
06
Kennedy HornBad set+2.9%
Bad set by Kennedy Horn
Set 1 · SETON 11-13 UNC A · UNC A 71% → 73%
07
Madison LoiselleAttack error+2.8%
Madison Loiselle stuffed by Lydia Pate & Sarah Wadsworth
Set 1 · SETON 14-17 UNC A · UNC A 74% → 77%
08
Sarah WadsworthKill+2.6%
Kill by Sarah Wadsworth (set by Izzy Perkins)
Set 1 · SETON 7-6 UNC A · UNC A 63% → 65%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Seton Hallaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Samantha SheltonOH	3	7	4	22	.136	0	1	0	3	1	0	1	0.5	8.5
12Kennedy HornMB	3	4	2	10	.200	0	0	0	0	0	3	1	3.5	7.5
6Mia ClyburnMB	3	3	1	10	.200	0	0	1	1	1	2	3	3.5	6.5
4Alondra VillanuevaOH	3	1	5	12	-.333	1	0	1	4	1	0	1	0.5	1.5
15Gwen AdlerS	3	0	0	1	.000	14	1	0	11	0	0	0	0	1
20Daria SafianOH	2	3	1	13	.154	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
3Kennedy CumminsL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	0
10Rylee WooldridgeOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0
13Madison LoiselleOH	2	4	1	11	.273	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
14Emilee FullerS	2	0	0	0	–	3	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	1
5Hanna LabanowskaOH	2	0	0	1	.000	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
11Rylee NelsonL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	4	3	0	0	0	0
Team totals		22	14	80	.100	19	3	5	29	12	5	8	9	52

UNC Ashevillehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
23Sarah WadsworthOH	3	16	4	27	.444	0	4	3	6	1	0	2	1	21
5Addie BrookbankOH	3	15	3	28	.429	0	0	3	4	0	0	1	0.5	15.5
14Lydia PateMB	3	4	2	9	.222	1	1	3	0	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
32Albertine van der GootOH	3	2	3	12	-.083	0	0	0	2	1	1	2	2	4
13Cadence NicholsMB	3	3	0	4	.750	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	4
18Elise JensenS	3	0	0	0	–	21	4	0	6	0	0	0	0	4
7Lily BannisterOH	3	2	2	9	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
4Izzy PerkinsL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	5	1	1	15	1	0	0	0	2
22Olivia CallipoS	3	0	0	0	–	12	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	0
17Catherine HubiakL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
Team totals		43	14	90	.322	39	12	11	41	3	1	10	6	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 SETON · UNC A 6

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 2 SETONUNC A 5

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 3 SETONUNC A 6

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 4 SETONUNC A 4

Bars above the line = UNC Asheville leads, below = Seton Hall leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Seton Hall

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	38%8/21	22%2/9
2	43%6/14	43%6/14
3	60%6/10	14%1/7
4	86%6/7	25%2/8
5	46%6/13	33%3/9
6	63%5/8	14%1/7
All	51%37/73	28%15/54

UNC Asheville

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	57%8/14	60%9/15
2	78%7/9	59%10/17
3	86%6/7	57%8/14
4	75%6/8	14%1/7
5	60%6/10	14%1/7
6	100%6/6	54%7/13
All	72%39/54	49%36/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

127 rallies

Rally log

#	SETON-UNC A	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	SETON	SETON	Ace	SETON server	aced Albertine van der Goot	+2.3
2	2-0	SETON	SETON	Bad set	Elise Jensen		+2.5
3	2-1	SETON	UNC A	Attack err	Samantha Shelton		+1.6
4	3-1	UNC A	SETON	Attack err	Addie Brookbank	blk Mia Clyburn, Samantha Shelton	+1.8
5	4-1	SETON	SETON	Attack err	Albertine van der Goot	blk Mia Clyburn, Alondra Villanueva	+2.5
6	4-2	SETON	UNC A	Attack err	Alondra Villanueva		+1.6
7	5-2	UNC A	SETON	Kill	Daria Safian	set Gwen Adler	+1.8
8	5-3	SETON	UNC A	Serve err	SETON server		+1.6
9	6-3	UNC A	SETON	Attack err	Lily Bannister		+1.9
10	6-4	SETON	UNC A	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Olivia Callipo	+1.6
11	7-4	UNC A	SETON	Serve err	UNC A server		+1.9
12	7-5	SETON	UNC A	Serve err	SETON server		+1.7
13	7-6	UNC A	UNC A	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Izzy Perkins	+2.6
14	8-6	UNC A	SETON	Kill	Madison Loiselle	set Emilee Fuller	+2.0
15	8-7	SETON	UNC A	Attack err	Samantha Shelton		+1.8
16	9-7	UNC A	SETON	Kill	Madison Loiselle	set Emilee Fuller	+2.1
17	9-8	SETON	UNC A	Kill	Lydia Pate	set Elise Jensen	+1.9
18	10-8	UNC A	SETON	Kill	Daria Safian	set Gwen Adler	+2.1
19	10-9	SETON	UNC A×3	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Elise Jensen	+1.9
20	10-10	UNC A	UNC A×3	Kill	Cadence Nichols		+2.9
21	10-11	UNC A	UNC A×3	Ace	UNC A server	aced Rylee Nelson	+2.9
22	11-11	UNC A	SETON	Serve err	UNC A server		+2.1
23	11-12	SETON	UNC A	Attack err	Alondra Villanueva	blk Albertine van der Goot, Cadence Nichols	+2.1
24	11-13	UNC A	UNC A	Bad set	Kennedy Horn		+2.9
25	12-13	UNC A	SETON	Attack err	Sarah Wadsworth	blk Kennedy Horn	+1.9
26	13-13	SETON	SETON	Kill	Kennedy Horn	set Emilee Fuller	+3.2
27	13-14	SETON	UNC A	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Olivia Callipo	+2.3
28	14-14	UNC A	SETON	Serve err	UNC A server		+2.3
29	14-15	SETON	UNC A×5	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Olivia Callipo	+2.4
30	14-16	UNC A	UNC A×5	Ace	UNC A server	aced Samantha Shelton	+3.2
31	14-17	UNC A	UNC A×5	Attack err	Madison Loiselle	blk Lydia Pate, Sarah Wadsworth	+2.8
32	14-18	UNC A	UNC A×5	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Izzy Perkins	+2.2
33	14-19	UNC A	UNC A×5	Kill	Izzy Perkins	set Emilee Fuller	+1.6
34	15-19	UNC A	SETON	Attack err	Lydia Pate	blk Kennedy Horn	+0.7
35	15-20	SETON	UNC A	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Olivia Callipo	+1.1
36	16-20	UNC A	SETON	Kill	Mia Clyburn	set Gwen Adler	+0.7
37	16-21	SETON	UNC A×4	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Elise Jensen	+1.0
38	16-22	UNC A	UNC A×4	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Elise Jensen	+0.8
39	16-23	UNC A	UNC A×4	Attack err	Mia Clyburn		+0.3
40	16-24	UNC A	UNC A×4	Ace	UNC A server	aced Mia Clyburn	+0.1
41	17-24	UNC A	SETON	Serve err	UNC A server		+0.0
42	17-25	SETON	UNC A	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Elise Jensen	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	UNC A	SETON	Kill	Daria Safian	set Gwen Adler	+1.4
2	2-0	SETON	SETON	Ace	SETON server	aced Izzy Perkins	+2.0
3	2-1	SETON	UNC A	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Elise Jensen	+1.3
4	2-2	UNC A	UNC A	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Elise Jensen	+1.9
5	3-2	UNC A	SETON	Kill	Mia Clyburn	set Gwen Adler	+1.4
6	3-3	SETON	UNC A×4	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Elise Jensen	+1.4
7	3-4	UNC A	UNC A×4	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Lydia Pate	+2.0
8	3-5	UNC A	UNC A×4	Attack err	Alondra Villanueva		+1.9
9	3-6	UNC A	UNC A×4	Attack err	Alondra Villanueva		+1.7
10	4-6	UNC A	SETON	Serve err	UNC A server		+1.1
11	4-7	SETON	UNC A	Serve err	SETON server		+1.2
12	5-7	UNC A	SETON	Serve err	UNC A server		+1.1
13	5-8	SETON	UNC A	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Olivia Callipo	+1.2
14	6-8	UNC A	SETON	Kill	Samantha Shelton	set Gwen Adler	+1.2
15	7-8	SETON	SETON	Attack err	Sarah Wadsworth		+1.9
16	7-9	SETON	UNC A	Kill	Lily Bannister	set Olivia Callipo	+1.4
17	8-9	UNC A	SETON	Kill	Samantha Shelton	set Gwen Adler	+1.4
18	8-10	SETON	UNC A	Attack err	Samantha Shelton		+1.5
19	8-11	UNC A	UNC A	Ace	UNC A server	aced Rylee Nelson	+1.9
20	9-11	UNC A	SETON×3	Attack err	Albertine van der Goot		+1.2
21	10-11	SETON	SETON×3	Attack err	Lydia Pate	blk Mia Clyburn	+2.1
22	11-11	SETON	SETON×3	Attack err	Sarah Wadsworth	blk Daria Safian, Mia Clyburn	+2.4
23	11-12	SETON	UNC A	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Izzy Perkins	+1.7
24	12-12	UNC A	SETON	Kill	Mia Clyburn	set Gwen Adler	+1.8
25	12-13	SETON	UNC A	Kill	Lydia Pate	set Elise Jensen	+1.8
26	13-13	UNC A	SETON	Kill	Alondra Villanueva	set Gwen Adler	+1.8
27	13-14	SETON	UNC A	Kill	Albertine van der Goot	set Elise Jensen	+1.9
28	14-14	UNC A	SETON	Attack err	Sarah Wadsworth	blk Kennedy Horn	+1.9
29	14-15	SETON	UNC A	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Olivia Callipo	+2.0
30	15-15	UNC A	SETON	Kill	Kennedy Horn	set Gwen Adler	+2.0
31	15-16	SETON	UNC A	Kill	Cadence Nichols	set Olivia Callipo	+2.1
32	16-16	UNC A	SETON	Kill	Samantha Shelton	set Gwen Adler	+2.1
33	16-17	SETON	UNC A×6	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Olivia Callipo	+2.2
34	16-18	UNC A	UNC A×6	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Elise Jensen	+3.0
35	16-19	UNC A	UNC A×6	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Elise Jensen	+2.5
36	16-20	UNC A	UNC A×6	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Elise Jensen	+1.9
37	16-21	UNC A	UNC A×6	Ace	UNC A server	aced Rylee Nelson	+1.2
38	16-22	UNC A	UNC A×6	Ace	UNC A server	aced Team	+0.6
39	17-22	UNC A	SETON	Kill	Samantha Shelton	set Alondra Villanueva	+0.2
40	18-22	SETON	SETON	Attack err	Albertine van der Goot	blk Mia Clyburn	+0.5
41	18-23	SETON	UNC A×3	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Elise Jensen	+0.7
42	18-24	UNC A	UNC A×3	Ace	UNC A server	aced Rylee Wooldridge	+0.3
43	18-25	UNC A	UNC A×3	Attack err	Daria Safian	blk Addie Brookbank, Lydia Pate	+0.1
Set 3
1	0-1	SETON	UNC A×3	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Elise Jensen	+0.7
2	0-2	UNC A	UNC A×3	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Elise Jensen	+1.0
3	0-3	UNC A	UNC A×3	Kill	Lydia Pate	set Elise Jensen	+0.9
4	1-3	UNC A	SETON	Serve err	UNC A server		+0.6
5	2-3	SETON	SETON	Bad set	Elise Jensen		+1.0
6	2-4	SETON	UNC A	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Elise Jensen	+0.7
7	3-4	UNC A	SETON	Serve err	UNC A server		+0.7
8	4-4	SETON	SETON	Attack err	Addie Brookbank	blk Kennedy Horn, Madison Loiselle	+1.1
9	4-5	SETON	UNC A	Attack err	Kennedy Horn		+0.8
10	5-5	UNC A	SETON	Kill	Madison Loiselle	set Gwen Adler	+0.8
11	5-6	SETON	UNC A	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Olivia Callipo	+0.8
12	5-7	UNC A	UNC A	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Olivia Callipo	+1.1
13	6-7	UNC A	SETON×4	Serve err	UNC A server		+0.8
14	7-7	SETON	SETON×4	Kill	Kennedy Horn		+1.2
15	8-7	SETON	SETON×4	Kill	Samantha Shelton	set Gwen Adler	+1.3
16	9-7	SETON	SETON×4	Kill	Samantha Shelton	set Gwen Adler	+1.4
17	9-8	SETON	UNC A	Kill	Cadence Nichols	set Olivia Callipo	+0.9
18	10-8	UNC A	SETON	Serve err	UNC A server		+1.0
19	10-9	SETON	UNC A×3	Kill	Lily Bannister	set Izzy Perkins	+0.9
20	10-10	UNC A	UNC A×3	Kill	Lydia Pate	set Elise Jensen	+1.4
21	10-11	UNC A	UNC A×3	Ace	UNC A server	aced Team	+1.4
22	11-11	UNC A	SETON	Kill	Samantha Shelton	set Gwen Adler	+1.0
23	11-12	SETON	UNC A×3	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Elise Jensen	+1.0
24	11-13	UNC A	UNC A×3	Ace	UNC A server	aced Alondra Villanueva	+1.4
25	11-14	UNC A	UNC A×3	Ace	UNC A server	aced Kennedy Cummins	+1.2
26	12-14	UNC A	SETON	Serve err	UNC A server		+0.8
27	12-15	SETON	UNC A×4	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Elise Jensen	+0.9
28	12-16	UNC A	UNC A×4	Attack err	Alondra Villanueva	blk Albertine van der Goot, Cadence Nichols	+1.0
29	12-17	UNC A	UNC A×4	Ace	UNC A server	aced Hanna Labanowska	+0.8
30	12-18	UNC A	UNC A×4	Ace	UNC A server	aced Hanna Labanowska	+0.5
31	13-18	UNC A	SETON	Attack err	Addie Brookbank		+0.2
32	13-19	SETON	UNC A	Kill	Albertine van der Goot	set Elise Jensen	+0.3
33	14-19	UNC A	SETON	Kill	Madison Loiselle	set Gwen Adler	+0.2
34	15-19	SETON	SETON	Ace	SETON server	aced Sarah Wadsworth	+0.5
35	15-20	SETON	UNC A	Serve err	SETON server		+0.5
36	16-20	UNC A	SETON	Attack err	Lily Bannister		+0.3
37	16-21	SETON	UNC A×3	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Olivia Callipo	+0.5
38	16-22	UNC A	UNC A×3	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Izzy Perkins	+0.4
39	16-23	UNC A	UNC A×3	Attack err	Kennedy Horn	blk Lydia Pate, Sarah Wadsworth	+0.1
40	17-23	UNC A	SETON	Kill	Kennedy Horn	set Hanna Labanowska	+0.0
41	17-24	SETON	UNC A	Serve err	SETON server		+0.1
42	17-25	UNC A	UNC A	Attack err	Samantha Shelton	blk Albertine van der Goot	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Seton Hall first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.