FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026

AwayBIG-EAST

0:3

HomeBIG-TEN

Maryland def. Seton Hall 3–0

(25-21, 25-18, 25-10)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
SETON	21	18	10	0
MD	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

MD above 50 · SETON below

Biggest swing: 0.5% to Seton Hall — set 1, SETON 7-3 MD. Eva Rohrbach stuffed by Kennedy Horn. MD win probability 97% → 97%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

SETON 1.5%98.5% MD

Seton Hall wins

3-0

0.1%

3-1

0.4%

3-2

1.0%

Maryland wins

3-0

70.1%

3-1

23.5%

3-2

4.9%

SETON break %: 32.6% vs this opp
MD break %: 49.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Eva RohrbachAttack error+0.5%
Eva Rohrbach stuffed by Kennedy Horn
Set 1 · SETON 7-3 MD · SETON 3% → 3%
02
SETON serverService error+0.5%
Seton Hall service error
Set 1 · SETON 6-3 MD · SETON 2% → 3%
03
Alondra VillanuevaAttack error+0.4%
Attack error by Alondra Villanueva
Set 1 · SETON 7-5 MD · MD 97% → 97%
04
SETON serverAce+0.4%
Seton Hall ace on Brooklynne Brass
Set 1 · SETON 4-1 MD · SETON 2% → 3%
05
Eva RohrbachKill+0.4%
Kill by Eva Rohrbach (set by Sara Toth)
Set 1 · SETON 8-7 MD · MD 97% → 98%
06
Eva RohrbachAttack error+0.4%
Eva Rohrbach stuffed by Alondra Villanueva & Kennedy Horn
Set 1 · SETON 8-5 MD · SETON 3% → 3%
07
Alondra VillanuevaKill+0.4%
Kill by Alondra Villanueva (set by Emilee Fuller)
Set 1 · SETON 15-16 MD · SETON 1% → 2%
08
MD serverAce+0.4%
Maryland ace on Alondra Villanueva
Set 1 · SETON 8-8 MD · MD 98% → 98%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Seton Hallaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
4Alondra VillanuevaOH	3	6	3	21	.143	0	0	1	9	3	1	2	2	8
6Mia ClyburnMB	3	3	2	12	.083	0	2	1	1	0	0	4	2	7
7Samantha SheltonOH	3	6	6	20	.000	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	6
12Kennedy HornMB	3	4	0	7	.571	0	0	3	1	0	1	1	1.5	5.5
15Gwen AdlerS	3	0	0	1	.000	11	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	0
20Daria SafianOH	2	3	3	13	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	4
13Madison LoiselleOH	3	3	1	14	.143	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
11Rylee NelsonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	0	0	9	2	0	0	0	0
10Rylee WooldridgeOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Emilee FullerS	2	0	0	1	.000	5	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
3Kennedy CumminsL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		25	15	89	.112	23	2	10	29	8	2	10	7	49

Marylandhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
4Haley MelbyOH	3	10	0	20	.500	0	1	1	6	0	0	2	1	12
16Sydney BryantOH	3	11	3	23	.348	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	11
3Ava BrownOH	3	5	5	13	.000	0	1	0	5	0	1	3	2.5	8.5
23Duru GökçenMB	3	7	1	11	.545	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
44Eva RohrbachMB	3	4	3	9	.111	1	1	2	2	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
18Sara TothS	3	0	1	3	-.333	36	2	2	7	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
2Raina ChwialkowskiDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	1	9	0	0	0	0	2
24Brooklynne BrassOH	3	0	1	3	-.333	0	1	0	5	1	0	0	0	1
6Elayna DavidsonDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	0
11Marlee SivakOH	1	2	0	2	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
Team totals		39	14	84	.298	38	8	6	42	2	1	12	7	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 3 SETON · MD 8

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 3 SETONMD 6

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 3 SETONMD 4

Set 3

10-25

Longest run 2 SETONMD 8

Bars above the line = Maryland leads, below = Seton Hall leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Seton Hall

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	57%8/14	40%4/10
2	38%6/16	20%2/10
3	50%6/12	40%4/10
4	71%5/7	33%3/9
5	33%5/15	17%1/6
6	50%5/10	0%0/5
All	47%35/74	28%14/50

Maryland

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	62%8/13	50%7/14
2	70%7/10	56%9/16
3	60%6/10	54%7/13
4	100%5/5	44%4/9
5	83%5/6	64%9/14
6	83%5/6	38%3/8
All	72%36/50	53%39/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

124 rallies

Rally log

#	SETON-MD	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	MD	SETON	Kill	Daria Safian	set Rylee Nelson	+0.2
2	1-1	SETON	MD	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Sara Toth	+0.2
3	2-1	MD	SETON×3	Attack err	Ava Brown		+0.2
4	3-1	SETON	SETON×3	Kill	Kennedy Horn	set Gwen Adler	+0.4
5	4-1	SETON	SETON×3	Ace	SETON server	aced Brooklynne Brass	+0.4
6	4-2	SETON	MD	Kill	Duru Gökçen	set Sara Toth	+0.2
7	4-3	MD	MD	Attack err	Daria Safian		+0.3
8	5-3	MD	SETON×3	Kill	Daria Safian	set Gwen Adler	+0.3
9	6-3	SETON	SETON×3	Serve err	SETON server		+0.5
10	7-3	SETON	SETON×3	Attack err	Eva Rohrbach	blk Kennedy Horn	+0.5
11	7-4	SETON	MD	Serve err	SETON server		+0.3
12	7-5	MD	MD	Attack err	Alondra Villanueva		+0.4
13	8-5	MD	SETON	Attack err	Eva Rohrbach	blk Alondra Villanueva, Kennedy Horn	+0.4
14	8-6	SETON	MD×6	Kill	Eva Rohrbach	set Sara Toth	+0.3
15	8-7	MD	MD×6	Kill	Eva Rohrbach	set Sara Toth	+0.4
16	8-8	MD	MD×6	Ace	MD server	aced Alondra Villanueva	+0.4
17	8-9	MD	MD×6	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Sara Toth	+0.3
18	8-10	MD	MD×6	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Sara Toth	+0.3
19	8-11	MD	MD×6	Kill	Haley Melby	set Sara Toth	+0.2
20	9-11	MD	SETON	Kill	Kennedy Horn	set Emilee Fuller	+0.1
21	9-12	SETON	MD	Serve err	SETON server		+0.1
22	10-12	MD	SETON	Kill	Samantha Shelton	set Emilee Fuller	+0.1
23	10-13	SETON	MD	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Sara Toth	+0.1
24	11-13	MD	SETON	Serve err	MD server		+0.2
25	11-14	SETON	MD	Kill	Duru Gökçen	set Sara Toth	+0.1
26	12-14	MD	SETON	Kill	Alondra Villanueva	set Gwen Adler	+0.2
27	13-14	SETON	SETON	Ace	SETON server	aced Team	+0.3
28	13-15	SETON	MD	Serve err	SETON server		+0.2
29	13-16	MD	MD	Ace	MD server	aced Alondra Villanueva	+0.3
30	14-16	MD	SETON	Kill	Alondra Villanueva	set Rylee Nelson	+0.2
31	15-16	SETON	SETON	Kill	Alondra Villanueva	set Emilee Fuller	+0.4
32	15-17	SETON	MD	Kill	Ava Brown	set Sara Toth	+0.3
33	15-18	MD	MD	Ace	MD server	aced Rylee Nelson	+0.3
34	16-18	MD	SETON	Attack err	Alondra Villanueva		+0.2
35	16-19	SETON	MD	Serve err	SETON server		+0.2
36	16-20	MD	MD	Kill	Haley Melby	set Sara Toth	+0.2
37	17-20	MD	SETON	Attack err	Sara Toth		+0.1
38	17-21	SETON	MD	Serve err	SETON server		+0.1
39	18-21	MD	SETON	Serve err	MD server		+0.1
40	19-21	SETON	SETON	Attack err	Sydney Bryant	blk Mia Clyburn, Daria Safian	+0.3
41	19-22	SETON	MD×3	Kill	Duru Gökçen	set Sara Toth	+0.2
42	19-23	MD	MD×3	Ace	MD server	aced Team	+0.2
43	19-24	MD	MD×3	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Sara Toth	+0.1
44	20-24	MD	SETON	Serve err	MD server		+0.0
45	21-24	SETON	SETON	Attack err	Ava Brown	blk Alondra Villanueva	+0.0
46	21-25	SETON	MD	Serve err	SETON server		+0.1
Set 2
1	0-1	SETON	MD	Kill	Duru Gökçen	set Sara Toth	+0.1
2	1-1	MD	SETON	Attack err	Ava Brown		+0.1
3	1-2	SETON	MD	Kill	Haley Melby	set Sara Toth	+0.1
4	1-3	MD	MD	Attack err	Alondra Villanueva	blk Ava Brown, Eva Rohrbach	+0.1
5	2-3	MD	SETON	Serve err	MD server		+0.1
6	2-4	SETON	MD	Kill	Haley Melby	set Sara Toth	+0.1
7	2-5	MD	MD	Kill	Eva Rohrbach	set Sara Toth	+0.1
8	3-5	MD	SETON	Attack err	Brooklynne Brass		+0.1
9	3-6	SETON	MD	Kill	Haley Melby	set Sara Toth	+0.1
10	4-6	MD	SETON	Kill	Kennedy Horn	set Emilee Fuller	+0.1
11	4-7	SETON	MD	Serve err	SETON server		+0.1
12	4-8	MD	MD	Ace	MD server	aced Samantha Shelton	+0.1
13	5-8	MD	SETON	Serve err	MD server		+0.1
14	5-9	SETON	MD×4	Attack err	Samantha Shelton		+0.1
15	5-10	MD	MD×4	Ace	MD server	aced Rylee Nelson	+0.1
16	5-11	MD	MD×4	Kill	Ava Brown	set Sara Toth	+0.0
17	5-12	MD	MD×4	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Sara Toth	+0.0
18	6-12	MD	SETON×3	Attack err	Ava Brown		+0.0
19	7-12	SETON	SETON×3	Attack err	Ava Brown	blk Mia Clyburn, Alondra Villanueva	+0.0
20	8-12	SETON	SETON×3	Attack err	Sydney Bryant	blk Daria Safian, Mia Clyburn	+0.1
21	8-13	SETON	MD	Kill	Duru Gökçen	set Sara Toth	+0.0
22	9-13	MD	SETON	Kill	Mia Clyburn	set Gwen Adler	+0.0
23	9-14	SETON	MD	Kill	Haley Melby	set Sara Toth	+0.0
24	9-15	MD	MD	Attack err	Daria Safian	blk Haley Melby, Eva Rohrbach	+0.0
25	10-15	MD	SETON	Kill	Alondra Villanueva	set Daria Safian	+0.0
26	11-15	SETON	SETON	Kill	Madison Loiselle	set Emilee Fuller	+0.1
27	11-16	SETON	MD	Kill	Haley Melby	set Sara Toth	+0.0
28	11-17	MD	MD	Kill	Eva Rohrbach	set Sara Toth	+0.0
29	12-17	MD	SETON	Kill	Alondra Villanueva	set Emilee Fuller	+0.0
30	12-18	SETON	MD	Attack err	Samantha Shelton	blk Sara Toth, Eva Rohrbach	+0.0
31	13-18	MD	SETON	Kill	Samantha Shelton	set Rylee Nelson	+0.0
32	14-18	SETON	SETON	Attack err	Sydney Bryant	blk Mia Clyburn, Madison Loiselle	+0.1
33	14-19	SETON	MD	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Sara Toth	+0.0
34	15-19	MD	SETON	Kill	Samantha Shelton	set Rylee Nelson	+0.0
35	15-20	SETON	MD	Serve err	SETON server		+0.0
36	16-20	MD	SETON	Kill	Daria Safian	set Gwen Adler	+0.0
37	17-20	SETON	SETON	Attack err	Duru Gökçen		+0.1
38	17-21	SETON	MD×3	Kill	Duru Gökçen	set Sara Toth	+0.1
39	17-22	MD	MD×3	Attack err	Daria Safian	blk Haley Melby, Duru Gökçen	+0.1
40	17-23	MD	MD×3	Kill	Ava Brown	set Sara Toth	+0.0
41	18-23	MD	SETON	Kill	Mia Clyburn	set Gwen Adler	+0.0
42	18-24	SETON	MD	Kill	Haley Melby	set Sara Toth	+0.0
43	18-25	MD	MD	Kill	Haley Melby	set Sara Toth	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	MD	SETON	Kill	Samantha Shelton	set Gwen Adler	+0.0
2	1-1	SETON	MD	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Sara Toth	+0.0
3	2-1	MD	SETON	Kill	Madison Loiselle	set Gwen Adler	+0.1
4	2-2	SETON	MD	Kill	Ava Brown	set Duru Gökçen	+0.0
5	3-2	MD	SETON	Kill	Madison Loiselle	set Gwen Adler	+0.1
6	3-3	SETON	MD	Kill	Ava Brown	set Sara Toth	+0.0
7	4-3	MD	SETON	Attack err	Eva Rohrbach		+0.1
8	4-4	SETON	MD×4	Serve err	SETON server		+0.0
9	4-5	MD	MD×4	Serve err	MD server		+0.1
10	4-6	MD	MD×4	Attack err	Alondra Villanueva		+0.1
11	4-7	MD	MD×4	Kill	Sydney Bryant		+0.0
12	5-7	MD	SETON	Serve err	MD server		+0.0
13	5-8	SETON	MD×3	Kill	Haley Melby	set Sara Toth	+0.0
14	5-9	MD	MD×3	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Eva Rohrbach	+0.0
15	5-10	MD	MD×3	Attack err	Samantha Shelton		+0.0
16	6-10	MD	SETON	Kill	Kennedy Horn	set Gwen Adler	+0.0
17	6-11	SETON	MD×3	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Sara Toth	+0.0
18	6-12	MD	MD×3	Attack err	Samantha Shelton	blk Ava Brown, Duru Gökçen	+0.0
19	6-13	MD	MD×3	Attack err	Samantha Shelton	blk Duru Gökçen, Ava Brown	+0.0
20	7-13	MD	SETON	Kill	Mia Clyburn	set Gwen Adler	+0.0
21	8-13	SETON	SETON	Kill	Samantha Shelton	set Madison Loiselle	+0.0
22	8-14	SETON	MD×8	Serve err	SETON server		+0.0
23	8-15	MD	MD×8	Bad set	Samantha Shelton		+0.0
24	8-16	MD	MD×8	Bad set	Gwen Adler		+0.0
25	8-17	MD	MD×8	Attack err	Madison Loiselle	blk Ava Brown	+0.0
26	8-18	MD	MD×8	Ace	MD server	aced Team	+0.0
27	8-19	MD	MD×8	Attack err	Mia Clyburn		+0.0
28	8-20	MD	MD×8	Attack err	Samantha Shelton		+0.0
29	8-21	MD	MD×8	Kill	Duru Gökçen	set Sara Toth	+0.0
30	9-21	MD	SETON	Kill	Samantha Shelton	set Brooklynne Brass	+0.0
31	9-22	SETON	MD×3	Kill	Marlee Sivak	set Sara Toth	+0.0
32	9-23	MD	MD×3	Attack err	Mia Clyburn		+0.0
33	9-24	MD	MD×3	Ace	MD server	aced Alondra Villanueva	+0.0
34	10-24	MD	SETON	Kill	Alondra Villanueva	set Rylee Nelson	+0.0
35	10-25	SETON	MD	Kill	Marlee Sivak	set Sara Toth	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Seton Hall first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.