Seton Hall at New Haven

Set	1*	2*	3	Sets
SETON	26	9	–	0
NEWHAV	28	10	–	1

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play stops before the final score, so the set winner comes from the official result. It is also left out of the rotation splits.

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Win probability

NEWHAV above 50 · SETON below

Biggest swing: 9.7% to New Haven — set 1, SETON 26-28 NEWHAV. Kill by Lauren Mackellar (set by Zaira Kearns). NEWHAV win probability 32% → 41%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

SETON 79.0%21.0% NEWHAV

Seton Hall wins

3-0

30.6%

3-1

29.9%

3-2

18.5%

New Haven wins

3-0

3.5%

3-1

7.0%

3-2

10.5%

SETON break %: 45.0% vs this opp
NEWHAV break %: 38.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Lauren MackellarKill+9.7%
Kill by Lauren Mackellar (set by Zaira Kearns)
Set 1 · SETON 26-28 NEWHAV · NEWHAV 32% → 41%
02
Marley AlefaioAttack error+8.7%
Attack error by Marley Alefaio
Set 1 · SETON 24-24 NEWHAV · SETON 66% → 74%
03
Hanna LabanowskaAttack error+8.4%
Hanna Labanowska stuffed by Josie Foster & Lauren Mackellar
Set 1 · SETON 26-27 NEWHAV · NEWHAV 23% → 32%
04
Lauren MackellarAttack error+7.6%
Attack error by Lauren Mackellar
Set 1 · SETON 26-25 NEWHAV · SETON 74% → 82%
05
Samantha SheltonAttack error+7.0%
Samantha Shelton stuffed by Kira Lynch & Marley Alefaio
Set 1 · SETON 22-24 NEWHAV · NEWHAV 30% → 37%
06
Marley AlefaioKill+6.2%
Kill by Marley Alefaio (set by Lauren Mackellar)
Set 1 · SETON 24-25 NEWHAV · NEWHAV 26% → 32%
07
Quinn YenshawAttack error+6.2%
Attack error by Quinn Yenshaw
Set 1 · SETON 25-25 NEWHAV · SETON 68% → 74%
08
Gwen AdlerAttack error+5.6%
Gwen Adler stuffed by Kira Lynch
Set 1 · SETON 21-22 NEWHAV · NEWHAV 23% → 29%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Seton Hallaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
20Daria SafianOH	2	5	1	14	.286	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
5Hanna LabanowskaOH	2	4	2	20	.100	0	1	0	6	0	0	0	0	5
7Samantha SheltonOH	2	3	3	14	.000	1	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	3
15Gwen AdlerS	2	1	4	7	-.429	13	1	1	4	0	1	0	1	3
22Alex RasmussenMB	2	1	0	6	.167	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
6Mia ClyburnMB	2	2	1	4	.250	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
13Madison LoiselleOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Emilee FullerS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	0
3Kennedy CumminsL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	0
8Alexis OplandS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11Rylee NelsonL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Rylee WooldridgeOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		16	11	65	.077	15	3	7	25	1	1	2	2	35

New Havenhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
16Lauren MackellarOH	2	8	3	25	.200	1	0	0	6	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
21Kira LynchMB	2	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	2.5	3.5
20Marley AlefaioOH	2	2	1	12	.083	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	2.5
18Josie FosterMB	2	1	1	5	.000	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	2
14Zaira KearnsS	2	1	1	3	.000	12	0	1	1	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
1Alejandra MejiaL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	1
12Quinn YenshawOH	2	4	6	16	-.125	0	0	0	4	0	0	2	1	5
26Shaelyn CampbellOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13Jordan NorthcuttOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11Audrey AntinoneS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15Emma LogsdonMB	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Payton MalinoskiL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	12	1	0	0	0	0
3Lauren FickOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24Kole FluckigerOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Hannah AdderlyMB	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23Liahnna OrangeS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Camryn HarrisL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		17	12	62	.081	16	1	3	32	3	1	10	6	38

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 SETON · NEWHAV 3

Set 1*

26-28

Longest run 4 SETONNEWHAV 3

Set 2*

9-10

Longest run 6 SETONNEWHAV 3

Bars above the line = New Haven leads, below = Seton Hall leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

73 rallies

Rally log

#	SETON-NEWHAV	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	NEWHAV	SETON	Kill	Mia Clyburn	set Gwen Adler	+1.2
2	1-1	SETON	NEWHAV	Serve err	SETON server		+1.3
3	1-2	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Attack err	Hanna Labanowska		+2.0
4	2-2	NEWHAV	SETON	Serve err	NEWHAV server		+1.3
5	2-3	SETON	NEWHAV	Serve err	SETON server		+1.5
6	2-4	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.2
7	3-4	NEWHAV	SETON×3	Kill	Daria Safian	set Gwen Adler	+1.4
8	4-4	SETON	SETON×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.0
9	5-4	SETON	SETON×3	Attack err	Lauren Mackellar		+1.9
10	5-5	SETON	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Lauren Mackellar	set Zaira Kearns	+1.5
11	5-6	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Zaira Kearns	+2.2
12	5-7	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Attack err	Gwen Adler		+2.4
13	6-7	NEWHAV	SETON	Kill	Hanna Labanowska	set Gwen Adler	+1.6
14	6-8	SETON	NEWHAV	Kill	Zaira Kearns	set Payton Malinoski	+1.8
15	7-8	NEWHAV	SETON	Kill	Samantha Shelton	set Gwen Adler	+1.6
16	7-9	SETON	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Zaira Kearns	+1.9
17	7-10	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Lauren Mackellar	set Zaira Kearns	+2.6
18	7-11	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Attack err	Samantha Shelton	blk Kira Lynch, Zaira Kearns	+2.5
19	8-11	NEWHAV	SETON×4	Kill	Mia Clyburn	set Gwen Adler	+1.5
20	9-11	SETON	SETON×4	Kill	Daria Safian	set Gwen Adler	+2.3
21	10-11	SETON	SETON×4	Kill	Gwen Adler		+2.5
22	11-11	SETON	SETON×4	Ace	SETON server	aced Kira Lynch	+2.5
23	11-12	SETON	NEWHAV	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.0
24	12-12	NEWHAV	SETON×3	Kill	Daria Safian	set Samantha Shelton	+1.9
25	13-12	SETON	SETON×3	Kill	Hanna Labanowska		+2.5
26	14-12	SETON	SETON×3	Attack err	Zaira Kearns		+2.3
27	14-13	SETON	NEWHAV×3	Attack err	Gwen Adler	set Alejandra Mejia	+1.7
28	14-14	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw		+2.7
29	14-15	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Lauren Mackellar	set Payton Malinoski	+3.1
30	15-15	NEWHAV	SETON	Serve err	NEWHAV server		+2.1
31	15-16	SETON	NEWHAV	Ball handling	Daria Safian		+2.4
32	15-17	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren Mackellar		+3.5
33	16-17	NEWHAV	SETON	Kill	Daria Safian	set Gwen Adler	+2.2
34	17-17	SETON	SETON	Attack err	Lauren Mackellar		+3.4
35	17-18	SETON	NEWHAV	Serve err	SETON server		+2.8
36	18-18	NEWHAV	SETON	Attack err	Quinn Yenshaw	set Zaira Kearns	+2.5
37	19-18	SETON	SETON	Attack err	Quinn Yenshaw		+3.6
38	19-19	SETON	NEWHAV	Attack err	Gwen Adler	blk Josie Foster, Quinn Yenshaw	+2.7
39	19-20	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Attack err	Samantha Shelton		+4.4
40	20-20	NEWHAV	SETON	Kill	Hanna Labanowska	set Gwen Adler	+3.0
41	21-20	SETON	SETON	Ace	SETON server	aced Marley Alefaio	+4.4
42	21-21	SETON	NEWHAV	Serve err	SETON server		+3.2
43	21-22	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Attack err	Gwen Adler	blk Kira Lynch	+5.6
44	22-22	NEWHAV	SETON	Kill	Samantha Shelton	set Gwen Adler	+3.8
45	22-23	SETON	NEWHAV	Attack err	Daria Safian	set Kennedy Cummins	+4.9
46	22-24	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Attack err	Samantha Shelton	blk Kira Lynch, Marley Alefaio	+7.0
47	23-24	NEWHAV	SETON	Serve err	NEWHAV server		+2.8
48	24-24	SETON	SETON	Attack err	Marley Alefaio		+8.7
49	24-25	SETON	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Lauren Mackellar	+6.2
50	25-25	NEWHAV	SETON	Attack err	Quinn Yenshaw	set Camryn Harris	+6.2
51	26-25	SETON	SETON	Attack err	Lauren Mackellar		+7.6
52	26-26	SETON	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Lauren Mackellar	set Zaira Kearns	+5.3
53	26-27	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Attack err	Hanna Labanowska	blk Josie Foster, Lauren Mackellar	+8.4
54	26-28	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Lauren Mackellar	set Zaira Kearns	+9.7
Set 2
1	0-1	SETON	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Kira Lynch	set Zaira Kearns	+2.1
2	0-2	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Zaira Kearns	+3.1
3	0-3	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Attack err	Mia Clyburn	blk Kira Lynch, Quinn Yenshaw	+3.2
4	1-3	NEWHAV	SETON	Kill	Daria Safian	set Gwen Adler	+2.1
5	1-4	SETON	NEWHAV×3	Serve err	SETON server		+2.4
6	1-5	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Lauren Mackellar	set Zaira Kearns	+3.3
7	1-6	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Josie Foster	set Zaira Kearns	+3.2
8	2-6	NEWHAV	SETON	Attack err	Josie Foster	blk Daria Safian, Alex Rasmussen	+1.9
9	3-6	SETON	SETON	Kill	Hanna Labanowska	set Gwen Adler	+2.9
10	3-7	SETON	NEWHAV	Serve err	SETON server		+2.5
11	3-8	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Payton Malinoski	+3.3
12	4-8	NEWHAV	SETON×6	Attack err	Quinn Yenshaw	blk Gwen Adler	+1.9
13	5-8	SETON	SETON×6	Kill	Alex Rasmussen	set Gwen Adler	+3.0
14	6-8	SETON	SETON×6	Kill	Samantha Shelton		+3.2
15	7-8	SETON	SETON×6	Attack err	Quinn Yenshaw		+3.4
16	8-8	SETON	SETON×6	Attack err	Quinn Yenshaw		+3.4
17	9-8	SETON	SETON×6	Ace	SETON server	aced Payton Malinoski	+3.2
18	9-9	SETON	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren Mackellar	set Zaira Kearns	+2.4
19	9-10	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Ace	NEWHAV server	aced Samantha Shelton	+3.7

Score shown after each rally, Seton Hall first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.