Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 24, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Villanova def. Seton Hall 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Villanova 93.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 24, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Villanova beat visiting Seton Hall 3-1 (25-23, 24-26, 25-20, 25-16) on Sat, Oct 24, 2026. Villanova's Campbell McKinnon led with 21 kills.

Data through · final Oct 24

Set1234Sets
SETON232620161
NOVA252425253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

On its own serve, Villanova won 50 of 98 points.

No single rally moved win probability more than 4.1 points. Seton Hall peaked at 26% in Set 3. These are the numbers behind it. RallyIQ gave Villanova 94% before first serve.

Seton HallVillanova
  • Hitting+.144
    .133.277

    Kills and errors: 58–20 vs 42–24.

  • Longest run+0
    66

    Villanova scored 6 straight in the first set to go from 1–1 to a 7–1 lead. The set finished 25–23.

Villanova above 50Seton Hall belowMax swing 4.1%

Seton HallVillanova

Aces
Seton Hall 11·Villanova 7
Serve err
Seton Hall 9·Villanova 11
Blocks
Seton Hall 5·Villanova 103 BS · 4 BA vs 2 BS · 16 BA
Digs
Seton Hall 49·Villanova 58

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Villanova above 50 · Seton Hall below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+4.1% SETONrally 184 · set 4

Biggest swing: 4.1% to Seton Hall — set 2, SETON 26-24 NOVA. Attack error by Campbell McKinnon. NOVA win probability 92% → 88%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SETON 7.1%92.9% NOVA

Seton Hall wins

3-0
0.9%
3-1
2.1%
3-2
4.2%

Villanova wins

3-0
50.1%
3-1
30.9%
3-2
11.9%
SETON break %
36.2% vs this opp
NOVA break %
47.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Campbell McKinnonAttack error+4.1%

    Attack error by Campbell McKinnon

    Set 2 · SETON 26-24 NOVA · SETON 8% → 12%

  2. 02
    Daria SafianKill+3.6%

    Kill by Daria Safian (set by Rylee Wooldridge)

    Set 3 · SETON 14-10 NOVA · SETON 23% → 26%

  3. 03
    Chloe KellyAttack error+3.5%

    Attack error by Chloe Kelly

    Set 3 · SETON 13-10 NOVA · SETON 19% → 23%

  4. 04

    Kill by Campbell McKinnon (set by Alyssa Nelson)

    Set 2 · SETON 24-24 NOVA · NOVA 91% → 95%

  5. 05

    Ace by Alondra Villanueva on Abby Harrell

    Set 3 · SETON 11-7 NOVA · SETON 21% → 24%

  6. 06

    Kill by Campbell McKinnon (set by Alyssa Nelson)

    Set 3 · SETON 14-13 NOVA · NOVA 79% → 82%

  7. 07

    Samantha Shelton stuffed by Chloe Kelly & Annika Veurink

    Set 3 · SETON 14-12 NOVA · NOVA 76% → 79%

  8. 08
    Daria SafianAttack error+3.0%

    Attack error by Daria Safian

    Set 3 · SETON 14-14 NOVA · NOVA 82% → 85%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
48732.03114143111.513.5
48424.1672111140009
47517.11800030010.57.5
42311-.09105320010.57.5
44215.13310000010.54.5
4012-.5001401500000
49124.3330003020211
43031.0001600900003
4011-1.0006131100001
1106.167000100001
Team totals4224135.1334011949734585
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
421544.364120123031.524.5
412628.2140002004214
49431.16101130010.510.5
46313.23100000132.58.5
4102.50047021000001
4001.0000111030001
49216.43800000153.512.5
4002.0003241230002
4000–113900001
2000–000000000
1000–000010000
Team totals5820137.2775271158112161099

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 SETON · NOVA 6

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 3 SETONNOVA 6

Set 2

26-24

Longest run 4 SETONNOVA 6

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 6 SETONNOVA 5

Set 4

16-25

Longest run 3 SETONNOVA 4

Bars above the line = Villanova leads, below = Seton Hall leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Seton Hall

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%10/19
25%3/12
2
47%9/19
52%11/21
3
67%8/12
43%6/14
4
39%7/18
27%3/11
5
47%7/15
59%10/17
6
47%7/15
36%4/11
All
49%48/98
43%37/86

Villanova

SlotSideout %Break %
1
58%11/19
57%12/21
2
50%9/18
53%10/19
3
62%8/13
18%2/11
4
64%7/11
50%7/14
5
44%7/16
56%9/16
6
78%7/9
59%10/17
All
57%49/86
51%50/98

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

184 rallies

#SETON-NOVASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1NOVANOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+0.7
21-1NOVASETONKillLoukia Papadakosset Gwen Adler+0.6
31-2SETONNOVA×6KillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+0.5
41-3NOVANOVA×6KillReagan McGivern+0.6
51-4NOVANOVA×6KillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+0.5
61-5NOVANOVA×6BlockedDaria Safianblk Reagan McGivern+0.4
71-6NOVANOVA×6Attack errKennedy Horn+0.3
81-7NOVANOVA×6Bad setRylee Wooldridge+0.3
92-7NOVASETON×3Serve errMarikate Ritterbusch+0.2
103-7SETONSETON×3KillSamantha Sheltonset Emilee Fuller+0.3
114-7SETONSETON×3BlockedTaylor Lewisblk Samantha Shelton+0.4
124-8SETONNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+0.3
135-8NOVASETON×3KillSamantha Sheltonset Emilee Fuller+0.3
146-8SETONSETON×3AceSamantha Sheltonaced Campbell McKinnon+0.6
157-8SETONSETON×3BlockedTaylor Lewisblk Madison Loiselle+0.8
167-9SETONNOVA×3KillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson+0.5
177-10NOVANOVA×3AceVillanovaaced Alondra Villanueva+0.7
187-11NOVANOVA×3BlockedKennedy Hornblk Reagan McGivern, Chloe Kelly+0.5
198-11NOVASETONKillMadison Loiselleset Emilee Fuller+0.3
209-11SETONSETONAttack errChloe Kelly+0.7
219-12SETONNOVAKillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson+0.5
2210-12NOVASETONServe errCat Young+0.5
2310-13SETONNOVAServe errGwen Adler+0.5
2411-13NOVASETONServe errAlyssa Nelson+0.5
2512-13SETONSETONKillAlondra Villanuevaset Gwen Adler+1.0
2612-14SETONNOVAKillAnnika Veurinkset Alyssa Nelson+0.7
2712-15NOVANOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+0.8
2813-15NOVASETONKillLoukia Papadakosset Gwen Adler+0.5
2913-16SETONNOVAServe errRylee Wooldridge+0.6
3013-17NOVANOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+0.6
3114-17NOVASETONKillSamantha Sheltonset Gwen Adler+0.4
3214-18SETONNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+0.4
3314-19NOVANOVAKillAlyssa Nelsonset Marikate Ritterbusch+0.4
3415-19NOVASETONKillSamantha Sheltonset Emilee Fuller+0.2
3515-20SETONNOVAKillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson+0.3
3616-20NOVASETON×3KillAlondra Villanueva+0.2
3717-20SETONSETON×3KillAlondra Villanuevaset Emilee Fuller+0.5
3818-20SETONSETON×3AceKennedy Hornaced Campbell McKinnon+0.8
3918-21SETONNOVAServe errKennedy Horn+0.7
4019-21NOVASETONKillMadison Loiselleset Rylee Wooldridge+0.6
4120-21SETONSETONAttack errAnnika Veurink+1.4
4220-22SETONNOVAKillAnnika Veurinkset Alyssa Nelson+1.2
4321-22NOVASETONKillDaria Safianset Gwen Adler+1.1
4421-23SETONNOVAServe errAlondra Villanueva+1.4
4521-24NOVANOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Mina Diggs+1.2
4622-24NOVASETONServe errMina Diggs+0.3
4723-24SETONSETONAceRylee Wooldridgeaced Cat Young+1.3
4823-25SETONNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+2.0
Set 2
11-0SETONSETONKillMadison Loiselleset Emilee Fuller+0.6
21-1SETONNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+0.4
32-1NOVASETONKillAlondra Villanuevaset Emilee Fuller+0.4
43-1SETONSETONAceKennedy Hornaced Cat Young+0.7
53-2SETONNOVABlockedAlondra Villanuevablk Annika Veurink, Campbell McKinnon+0.4
64-2NOVASETONAttack errAlondra Villanueva+0.5
74-3SETONNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+0.4
84-4NOVANOVAKillTaylor Lewis+0.6
95-4NOVASETONKillDaria Safianset Gwen Adler+0.5
105-5SETONNOVA×4KillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson+0.4
115-6NOVANOVA×4KillChloe Kellyset Alyssa Nelson+0.6
125-7NOVANOVA×4KillChloe Kellyset Campbell McKinnon+0.5
135-8NOVANOVA×4BlockedDaria Safianblk Reagan McGivern, Chloe Kelly+0.4
146-8NOVASETONBlockedReagan McGivernblk Samantha Shelton, Loukia Papadakos+0.3
157-8SETONSETONAttack errCampbell McKinnon+0.5
167-9SETONNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Alyssa Nelson+0.4
178-9NOVASETONAttack errCampbell McKinnon+0.4
188-10SETONNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Mina Diggs+0.4
199-10NOVASETONKillEmilee Fullerset Alondra Villanueva+0.4
209-11SETONNOVAKillAnnika Veurinkset Alyssa Nelson+0.4
2110-11NOVASETON×3Serve errMina Diggs+0.4
2211-11SETONSETON×3Attack errCampbell McKinnon+0.7
2312-11SETONSETON×3KillLoukia Papadakosset Emilee Fuller+0.9
2412-12SETONNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+0.6
2513-12NOVASETONAttack errCampbell McKinnon+0.7
2613-13SETONNOVAKillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson+0.6
2714-13NOVASETONAttack errTaylor Lewis+0.7
2814-14SETONNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+0.6
2915-14NOVASETON×4KillSamantha Sheltonset Gwen Adler+0.8
3016-14SETONSETON×4KillKennedy Hornset Gwen Adler+1.2
3117-14SETONSETON×4Attack errChloe Kelly+1.3
3218-14SETONSETON×4BlockedChloe Kellyblk Kennedy Horn, Daria Safian+1.3
3318-15SETONNOVA×6KillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson+0.6
3418-16NOVANOVA×6KillChloe Kellyset Alyssa Nelson+1.1
3518-17NOVANOVA×6KillChloe Kellyset Mina Diggs+1.2
3618-18NOVANOVA×6Attack errSamantha Shelton+1.3
3718-19NOVANOVA×6KillChloe Kellyset Alyssa Nelson+1.2
3818-20NOVANOVA×6Attack errSamantha Shelton+1.0
3919-20NOVASETONKillDaria Safianset Gwen Adler+0.7
4020-20SETONSETONKillEmilee Fullerset Alondra Villanueva+1.3
4120-21SETONNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Alyssa Nelson+1.0
4221-21NOVASETONKillMadison Loiselleset Emilee Fuller+1.1
4321-22SETONNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+1.1
4422-22NOVASETON×3KillMadison Loiselleset Emilee Fuller+1.2
4523-22SETONSETON×3Attack errTaylor Lewis+2.5
4624-22SETONSETON×3AceKennedy Hornaced Cat Young+2.9
4724-23SETONNOVAServe errKennedy Horn+1.1
4824-24NOVANOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+3.4
4925-24NOVASETONKillMadison Loiselleset Emilee Fuller+2.3
5026-24SETONSETONAttack errCampbell McKinnon+4.1
Set 3
10-1NOVANOVAAttack errAlondra Villanueva+1.5
20-2NOVANOVAAceVillanovaaced Alondra Villanueva+1.3
31-2NOVASETON×6Attack errAnnika Veurink+1.0
42-2SETONSETON×6KillMadison Loiselleset Emilee Fuller+1.6
53-2SETONSETON×6AceSamantha Sheltonaced Mina Diggs+2.0
64-2SETONSETON×6AceSamantha Sheltonaced Mina Diggs+2.3
75-2SETONSETON×6KillAlondra Villanuevaset Rylee Wooldridge+2.5
86-2SETONSETON×6AceSamantha Sheltonaced Mina Diggs+2.7
96-3SETONNOVA×3Serve errSamantha Shelton+1.6
106-4NOVANOVA×3AceVillanovaaced Alondra Villanueva+2.3
116-5NOVANOVA×3Attack errKennedy Horn+2.2
127-5NOVASETONServe errMarikate Ritterbusch+1.9
138-5SETONSETONAceKennedy Hornaced Campbell McKinnon+2.8
148-6SETONNOVABlockedLoukia Papadakosblk Campbell McKinnon, Reagan McGivern+1.7
159-6NOVASETONKillMadison Loiselleset Emilee Fuller+2.2
169-7SETONNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+1.7
1710-7NOVASETONServe errTaylor Lewis+2.2
1811-7SETONSETONAceAlondra Villanuevaaced Abby Harrell+3.2
1911-8SETONNOVA×3Attack errAlondra Villanueva+1.8
2011-9NOVANOVA×3BlockedGwen Adlerblk Annika Veurink+2.7
2111-10NOVANOVA×3Attack errRylee Wooldridge+2.7
2212-10NOVASETON×3Attack errChloe Kelly+2.3
2313-10SETONSETON×3Attack errChloe Kelly+3.5
2414-10SETONSETON×3KillDaria Safianset Rylee Wooldridge+3.6
2514-11SETONNOVA×5Serve errRylee Wooldridge+1.9
2614-12NOVANOVA×5BlockedSamantha Sheltonblk Chloe Kelly, Annika Veurink+3.0
2714-13NOVANOVA×5KillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+3.1
2814-14NOVANOVA×5Attack errDaria Safian+3.0
2914-15NOVANOVA×5Attack errSamantha Shelton+2.8
3015-15NOVASETONAttack errAnnika Veurink+2.1
3115-16SETONNOVA×4KillChloe Kellyset Alyssa Nelson+2.0
3215-17NOVANOVA×4AceVillanovaaced Samantha Shelton+2.5
3315-18NOVANOVA×4KillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+2.0
3415-19NOVANOVA×4KillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+1.4
3516-19NOVASETONKillSamantha Sheltonset Emilee Fuller+0.8
3616-20SETONNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+1.0
3716-21NOVANOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+0.8
3817-21NOVASETONKillMadison Loiselleset Emilee Fuller+0.4
3918-21SETONSETONKillKennedy Hornset Emilee Fuller+0.9
4018-22SETONNOVABlockedMadison Loiselleblk Campbell McKinnon, Reagan McGivern+1.0
4119-22NOVASETONKillAlondra Villanuevaset Loukia Papadakos+0.6
4220-22SETONSETONKillDaria Safianset Gwen Adler+1.6
4320-23SETONNOVA×3KillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson+1.7
4420-24NOVANOVA×3Attack errAlondra Villanueva+1.2
4520-25NOVANOVA×3Attack errDaria Safian+0.3
Set 4
10-1SETONNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+0.7
21-1NOVASETONKillSamantha Sheltonset Rylee Wooldridge+0.8
31-2SETONNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Alyssa Nelson+0.8
42-2NOVASETONServe errMina Diggs+0.9
53-2SETONSETONAceKennedy Horn+1.4
63-3SETONNOVAKillAnnika Veurinkset Alyssa Nelson+0.9
74-3NOVASETONKillEmilee Fullerset Samantha Shelton+1.1
84-4SETONNOVA×4KillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+0.9
94-5NOVANOVA×4AceVillanovaaced Samantha Shelton+1.3
104-6NOVANOVA×4AceVillanovaaced Samantha Shelton+1.1
114-7NOVANOVA×4KillTaylor Lewisset Alondra Villanueva+0.9
125-7NOVASETON×3KillAlondra Villanuevaset Gwen Adler+0.7
136-7SETONSETON×3Attack errReagan McGivern+1.1
147-7SETONSETON×3KillDaria Safianset Gwen Adler+1.4
157-8SETONNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+1.0
167-9NOVANOVAAttack errSamantha Shelton+1.2
178-9NOVASETONKillSamantha Sheltonset Rylee Wooldridge+0.9
188-10SETONNOVAServe errRylee Wooldridge+0.9
198-11NOVANOVAAttack errSamantha Shelton+1.1
209-11NOVASETONKillDaria Safianset Gwen Adler+0.7
2110-11SETONSETONBlockedChloe Kellyblk Madison Loiselle+1.3
2210-12SETONNOVAKillAnnika Veurinkset Alyssa Nelson+0.9
2310-13NOVANOVABlockedSamantha Sheltonblk Chloe Kelly, Annika Veurink+1.1
2411-13NOVASETONServe errAlyssa Nelson+0.8
2511-14SETONNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+0.8
2612-14NOVASETONServe errMina Diggs+0.8
2712-15SETONNOVA×3Serve errKennedy Horn+0.8
2812-16NOVANOVA×3KillReagan McGivern+0.9
2912-17NOVANOVA×3Attack errLoukia Papadakos+0.6
3013-17NOVASETONServe errMarikate Ritterbusch+0.4
3113-18SETONNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+0.4
3213-19NOVANOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+0.4
3314-19NOVASETONKillAlondra Villanuevaset Rylee Wooldridge+0.2
3414-20SETONNOVABlockedDaria Safianblk Taylor Lewis, Reagan McGivern+0.2
3515-20NOVASETONKillLoukia Papadakosset Gwen Adler+0.2
3615-21SETONNOVA×4KillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+0.2
3715-22NOVANOVA×4KillChloe Kellyset Alyssa Nelson+0.1
3815-23NOVANOVA×4KillAnnika Veurink·
3915-24NOVANOVA×4AceVillanovaaced Alondra Villanueva·
4016-24NOVASETONKillHanna Labanowskaset Gwen Adler·
4116-25SETONNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Alyssa Nelson·

Score shown after each rally, Seton Hall first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).