CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsFri, Aug 28, 2026
Marquette logo

AwayBIG-EAST

1:3
Dayton logo

HomeATLANTIC-10

Dayton def. Marquette 31

(25-23, 22-25, 25-21, 25-21)
Set12*34Sets
MARQ232521211
DAYTON252225253
  • * Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

DAYTON above 50 · MARQ below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100DAYTONMARQBiggest swing +7.9% DAYTON · S1 22-23rally 187 · set 4

Biggest swing: 7.9% to Dayton — set 1, MARQ 22-23 DAYTON. Dayton ace on Team. DAYTON win probability 42%49%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

MARQ 58.9%41.1% DAYTON

Marquette wins

3-0
16.6%
3-1
22.4%
3-2
19.8%

Dayton wins

3-0
9.1%
3-1
15.1%
3-2
16.9%
MARQ break %
43.5% vs this opp
DAYTON break %
41.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    DAYTON serverAce+7.9%

    Dayton ace on Team

    Set 1 · MARQ 22-23 DAYTON · DAYTON 42%49%

  2. 02
    Kamryn HuntKill+7.8%

    Kill by Kamryn Hunt (set by Natalie Harrington)

    Set 1 · MARQ 23-25 DAYTON · DAYTON 54%62%

  3. 03

    Kill by Abigail Cresse (set by Natalie Harrington)

    Set 1 · MARQ 22-24 DAYTON · DAYTON 49%57%

  4. 04
    Caydence DoolanAttack error+6.6%

    Attack error by Caydence Doolan

    Set 3 · MARQ 18-20 DAYTON · DAYTON 50%57%

  5. 05
    DAYTON serverAce+6.5%

    Dayton ace on Carson Tyler

    Set 3 · MARQ 18-19 DAYTON · DAYTON 44%50%

  6. 06
    Charlotte VinsonAttack error+6.5%

    Attack error by Charlotte Vinson

    Set 1 · MARQ 22-21 DAYTON · MARQ 57%63%

  7. 07

    Kill by Abigail Cresse

    Set 3 · MARQ 20-23 DAYTON · DAYTON 60%66%

  8. 08
    Caydence DoolanAttack error+6.2%

    Caydence Doolan stuffed by Addi Gallentine & Gabriela Machin Borges

    Set 4 · MARQ 16-18 DAYTON · DAYTON 77%83%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415533.3031348102119
49327.22210030010.59.5
46516.063010300429
4519.444281090031.57.5
2124-.25000000010.51.5
1000000020000
44418.00000031010.54.5
4002.0003301100003
4014-.250201500000
3304.750000000214
3000111300001
2013-.333000000000
Team totals4322120.1753696456014790
Daytonhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418438.36804380111.523.5
415630.30010040031.516.5
49324.2500126300010
46111.455003100217
4228.00000000052.54.5
41011.0002902400001
410423.26100010031.511.5
4002.0002012600001
40002021320000
4000201000000
2000102100000
Team totals6120137.29955617449114897

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 MARQ · DAYTON 7

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 3 MARQDAYTON 4

Set 2*

25-22

Longest run 3 MARQDAYTON 3

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 4 MARQDAYTON 4

Set 4

21-25

Longest run 3 MARQDAYTON 7

Bars above the line = Dayton leads, below = Marquette leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Marquette

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%8/12
30%3/10
2
41%7/17
43%6/14
3
75%6/8
42%5/12
4
40%6/15
33%3/9
5
60%6/10
25%2/8
6
50%6/12
54%7/13
All
53%39/74
39%26/66

Dayton

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%8/12
42%5/12
2
62%8/13
43%6/14
3
55%6/11
50%6/12
4
86%6/7
33%3/9
5
55%6/11
63%10/16
6
50%6/12
45%5/11
All
61%40/66
47%35/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

187 rallies

Rally log

#MARQ-DAYTONSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0DAYTONMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+1.8
22-0MARQMARQAttack errCharlotte Vinson+2.3
32-1MARQDAYTON×4KillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+1.7
42-2DAYTONDAYTON×4AceDAYTON serveraced Allie Beers+2.5
52-3DAYTONDAYTON×4AceDAYTON serveraced Team+2.6
62-4DAYTONDAYTON×4AceDAYTON serveraced Allie Beers+2.6
73-4DAYTONMARQKillCarson Tylerset Avery Helms+1.9
83-5MARQDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+2.0
94-5DAYTONMARQServe errDAYTON server+1.9
104-6MARQDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+2.1
115-6DAYTONMARQServe errDAYTON server+1.9
126-6MARQMARQAceMARQ serveraced Kamryn Hunt+2.7
136-7MARQDAYTON×3KillAddi Gallentineset Rylee Sloss+2.1
146-8DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errJulia Stanevblk Sidney Sprada+2.9
156-9DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errAvery Helmsblk Addi Gallentine, Gabriela Machin Borges+2.8
167-9DAYTONMARQ×3KillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+1.9
178-9MARQMARQ×3KillTani Juricset Emi Juric+2.8
189-9MARQMARQ×3Attack errSidney Sprada+3.0
199-10MARQDAYTONAttack errTani Juric+2.3
2010-10DAYTONMARQKillJulia Stanevset Luanna Markus+2.3
2111-10MARQMARQKillCarson Tyler+3.1
2211-11MARQDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Lily Barry+2.3
2312-11DAYTONMARQServe errDAYTON server+2.4
2413-11MARQMARQAceMARQ serveraced Kamryn Hunt+3.2
2513-12MARQDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+2.2
2614-12DAYTONMARQKillTani Juricset Luanna Markus+2.4
2714-13MARQDAYTONServe errMARQ server+2.3
2814-14DAYTONDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+3.5
2915-14DAYTONMARQServe errDAYTON server+2.7
3015-15MARQDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+2.8
3116-15DAYTONMARQAttack errKamryn Hunt+2.9
3216-16MARQDAYTON×3KillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+2.9
3316-17DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errJulia Stanev+4.2
3416-18DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errCarson Tyler+4.3
3517-18DAYTONMARQKillKeira Schmidtset Luanna Markus+2.8
3618-18MARQMARQKillTani Juricset Emi Juric+4.4
3718-19MARQDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+3.6
3819-19DAYTONMARQKillTani Juricset Luanna Markus+3.5
3920-19MARQMARQAttack errGabriela Machin Borgesblk Julia Stanev, Carson Tyler+5.1
4020-20MARQDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+3.8
4120-21DAYTONDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+5.9
4221-21DAYTONMARQServe errDAYTON server+4.2
4322-21MARQMARQAttack errCharlotte Vinson+6.5
4422-22MARQDAYTON×3Attack errTani Juric+4.7
4522-23DAYTONDAYTON×3AceDAYTON serveraced Team+7.9
4622-24DAYTONDAYTON×3KillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington+7.8
4723-24DAYTONMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+3.3
4823-25MARQDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+7.8
Set 2
10-1MARQDAYTONAttack errTani Juricblk Sidney Sprada, Abigail Cresse+2.0
20-2DAYTONDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+2.8
31-2DAYTONMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+2.0
42-2MARQMARQAceMARQ serveraced Lily Barry+2.7
52-3MARQDAYTON×3KillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+2.1
62-4DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errMolly Welge+2.9
72-5DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errCarson Tyler+2.8
83-5DAYTONMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+1.9
93-6MARQDAYTONKillNatalie Harringtonset Natalie Harrington+2.2
104-6DAYTONMARQ×3KillMolly Welgeset Luanna Markus+2.0
115-6MARQMARQ×3Attack errKamryn Huntblk Molly Welge, Luanna Markus+2.9
126-6MARQMARQ×3KillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+3.0
136-7MARQDAYTONFeed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+2.3
147-7DAYTONMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+2.3
157-8MARQDAYTONAttack errCaydence Doolanblk Gabriela Machin Borges, Addi Gallentine+2.4
168-8DAYTONMARQServe errDAYTON server+2.3
178-9MARQDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+2.5
188-10DAYTONDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Charlotte Vinson+3.4
199-10DAYTONMARQAttack errCharlotte Vinson+2.4
2010-10MARQMARQAttack errSidney Sprada+3.4
2110-11MARQDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+2.6
2211-11DAYTONMARQKillTani Juricset Luanna Markus+2.6
2311-12MARQDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+2.7
2412-12DAYTONMARQ×3KillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+2.7
2513-12MARQMARQ×3KillCarson Tylerset Annika Kowalski+3.7
2614-12MARQMARQ×3Attack errCharlotte Vinson+3.6
2714-13MARQDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+2.5
2815-13DAYTONMARQKillMolly Welgeset Luanna Markus+2.8
2915-14MARQDAYTONServe errMARQ server+2.6
3016-14DAYTONMARQServe errDAYTON server+2.9
3116-15MARQDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+2.7
3217-15DAYTONMARQServe errDAYTON server+3.1
3318-15MARQMARQKillCaydence Doolanset Luanna Markus+3.7
3418-16MARQDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Rylee Sloss+2.3
3519-16DAYTONMARQ×3Attack errCharlotte Vinson+2.8
3620-16MARQMARQ×3KillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+3.0
3721-16MARQMARQ×3KillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+2.0
3821-17MARQDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+0.9
3922-17DAYTONMARQServe errDAYTON server+1.4
4022-18MARQDAYTON×3KillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+0.7
4122-19DAYTONDAYTON×3Bad setTani Juric+1.7
4222-20DAYTONDAYTON×3KillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+3.0
4323-20DAYTONMARQServe errDAYTON server+3.4
4423-21MARQDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+2.0
4524-21DAYTONMARQKillMolly Welge+3.5
4624-22MARQDAYTONBad setCaydence Doolan+1.4
4725-22DAYTONMARQKillCaydence Doolanset Luanna Markus+3.2
Set 3
10-1DAYTONDAYTON×3KillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+3.3
20-2DAYTONDAYTON×3KillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington+3.4
30-3DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errCarson Tyler+3.3
41-3DAYTONMARQKillTani Juricset Luanna Markus+2.3
51-4MARQDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Lily Barry+2.5
62-4DAYTONMARQKillMolly Welgeset Luanna Markus+2.3
72-5MARQDAYTONServe errMARQ server+2.6
82-6DAYTONDAYTONAttack errCarson Tylerblk Charlotte Vinson, Addi Gallentine+3.3
93-6DAYTONMARQAttack errAddi Gallentineblk Molly Welge, Luanna Markus+2.2
103-7MARQDAYTONServe errMARQ server+2.5
114-7DAYTONMARQKillLuanna Markusset Emi Juric+2.2
124-8MARQDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Rylee Sloss+2.6
135-8DAYTONMARQAttack errKamryn Hunt+2.2
146-8MARQMARQAttack errAddi Gallentine+3.4
156-9MARQDAYTON×4KillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+2.8
166-10DAYTONDAYTON×4KillAbigail Cresse+3.6
176-11DAYTONDAYTON×4KillSidney Spradaset Morgan Asleson+3.2
186-12DAYTONDAYTON×4KillSidney Spradaset Morgan Asleson+2.7
197-12DAYTONMARQServe errDAYTON server+1.6
208-12MARQMARQAttack errGabriela Machin Borges+2.6
218-13MARQDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+2.4
229-13DAYTONMARQKillKeira Schmidtset Luanna Markus+1.9
2310-13MARQMARQKillTani Juricset Natalie Harrington+3.2
2410-14MARQDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+2.9
2510-15DAYTONDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+3.3
2611-15DAYTONMARQ×4Serve errDAYTON server+1.9
2712-15MARQMARQ×4KillMolly Welgeset Luanna Markus+3.2
2813-15MARQMARQ×4AceMARQ serveraced Lily Barry+3.9
2914-15MARQMARQ×4KillLuanna Markusset Charlotte Vinson+4.6
3014-16MARQDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+3.9
3115-16DAYTONMARQ×4KillMolly Welgeset Luanna Markus+3.5
3216-16MARQMARQ×4AceMARQ serveraced Team+5.3
3317-16MARQMARQ×4AceMARQ serveraced Team+5.5
3418-16MARQMARQ×4AceMARQ serveraced Team+5.3
3518-17MARQDAYTON×4Attack errEmma Parksblk Charlotte Vinson, Addi Gallentine+3.6
3618-18DAYTONDAYTON×4Attack errMolly Welge+5.9
3718-19DAYTONDAYTON×4AceDAYTON serveraced Carson Tyler+6.5
3818-20DAYTONDAYTON×4Attack errCaydence Doolan+6.6
3919-20DAYTONMARQServe errDAYTON server+4.2
4019-21MARQDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+5.3
4120-21DAYTONMARQServe errDAYTON server+4.4
4220-22MARQDAYTON×3KillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+5.9
4320-23DAYTONDAYTON×3KillAbigail Cresse+6.4
4420-24DAYTONDAYTON×3KillAbigail Cresse+3.7
4521-24DAYTONMARQAttack errGabriela Machin Borges+0.8
4621-25MARQDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+2.0
Set 4
10-1MARQDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+2.7
21-1DAYTONMARQKillCarson Tylerset Tani Juric+2.6
31-2MARQDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+2.7
42-2DAYTONMARQServe errDAYTON server+2.7
52-3MARQDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+2.8
63-3DAYTONMARQKillLuanna Markusset Carson Tyler+2.7
73-4MARQDAYTONServe errMARQ server+2.9
84-4DAYTONMARQKillCaydence Doolanset Luanna Markus+2.8
95-4MARQMARQAttack errSidney Spradablk Keira Schmidt, Luanna Markus+3.8
105-5MARQDAYTONAttack errLuanna Markus+2.9
116-5DAYTONMARQ×3KillCaydence Doolanset Luanna Markus+2.9
127-5MARQMARQ×3Attack errGabriela Machin Borgesblk Caydence Doolan, Keira Schmidt+3.8
138-5MARQMARQ×3Attack errSidney Sprada+3.6
148-6MARQDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+2.5
158-7DAYTONDAYTONAttack errCaydence Doolanblk Abigail Cresse, Charlotte Vinson+3.8
169-7DAYTONMARQKillKeira Schmidtset Luanna Markus+3.0
179-8MARQDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+2.9
1810-8DAYTONMARQ×3KillTani Juricset Luanna Markus+3.1
1911-8MARQMARQ×3Attack errAbigail Cresseblk Molly Welge, Tani Juric+3.9
2012-8MARQMARQ×3AceMARQ serveraced Team+3.4
2112-9MARQDAYTON×4KillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+2.2
2212-10DAYTONDAYTON×4Attack errMolly Welge+3.6
2312-11DAYTONDAYTON×4Attack errCarson Tyler+4.2
2412-12DAYTONDAYTON×4KillCharlotte Vinsonset Sydney Barrett+4.7
2513-12DAYTONMARQ×3Serve errDAYTON server+3.6
2614-12MARQMARQ×3KillLuanna Markusset Avery Helms+4.8
2715-12MARQMARQ×3Attack errCharlotte Vinsonblk Molly Welge, Carson Tyler+4.4
2815-13MARQDAYTONAttack errMolly Welge+2.9
2916-13DAYTONMARQServe errDAYTON server+3.4
3016-14MARQDAYTON×7Serve errMARQ server+2.9
3116-15DAYTONDAYTON×7Attack errMolly Welge+4.8
3216-16DAYTONDAYTON×7KillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+5.7
3316-17DAYTONDAYTON×7AceDAYTON serveraced Caydence Doolan+6.2
3416-18DAYTONDAYTON×7Attack errCaydence Doolanblk Addi Gallentine, Gabriela Machin Borges+6.2
3516-19DAYTONDAYTON×7KillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+5.7
3616-20DAYTONDAYTON×7KillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+4.7
3717-20DAYTONMARQKillLuanna Markus+2.4
3817-21MARQDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+3.5
3918-21DAYTONMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+2.2
4019-21MARQMARQAceMARQ serveraced Kamryn Hunt+4.6
4119-22MARQDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+5.0
4220-22DAYTONMARQKillTani Juricset Luanna Markus+3.2
4320-23MARQDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+5.2
4421-23DAYTONMARQServe errDAYTON server+2.9
4521-24MARQDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+5.3
4621-25DAYTONDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+2.9

Score shown after each rally, Marquette first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.