Dayton def. Marquette 3–1
(25-23, 22-25, 25-21, 25-21)| Set | 1 | 2* | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MARQ | 23 | 25 | 21 | 21 | 1 |
| DAYTON | 25 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
- * Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 7.9% to Dayton — set 1, MARQ 22-23 DAYTON. Dayton ace on Team. DAYTON win probability 42% → 49%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Marquette wins
Dayton wins
- MARQ break %
- 43.5% vs this opp
- DAYTON break %
- 41.8% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01DAYTON serverAce+7.9%
Dayton ace on Team
Set 1 · MARQ 22-23 DAYTON · DAYTON 42% → 49%
- 02Kamryn HuntKill+7.8%
Kill by Kamryn Hunt (set by Natalie Harrington)
Set 1 · MARQ 23-25 DAYTON · DAYTON 54% → 62%
- 03Abigail CresseKill+7.8%
Kill by Abigail Cresse (set by Natalie Harrington)
Set 1 · MARQ 22-24 DAYTON · DAYTON 49% → 57%
- 04Caydence DoolanAttack error+6.6%
Attack error by Caydence Doolan
Set 3 · MARQ 18-20 DAYTON · DAYTON 50% → 57%
- 05DAYTON serverAce+6.5%
Dayton ace on Carson Tyler
Set 3 · MARQ 18-19 DAYTON · DAYTON 44% → 50%
- 06Charlotte VinsonAttack error+6.5%
Attack error by Charlotte Vinson
Set 1 · MARQ 22-21 DAYTON · MARQ 57% → 63%
- 07
- 08Caydence DoolanAttack error+6.2%
Caydence Doolan stuffed by Addi Gallentine & Gabriela Machin Borges
Set 4 · MARQ 16-18 DAYTON · DAYTON 77% → 83%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 15 | 5 | 33 | .303 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 19 | |
| 4 | 9 | 3 | 27 | .222 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 9.5 | |
| 4 | 6 | 5 | 16 | .063 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | |
| 4 | 5 | 1 | 9 | .444 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 7.5 | |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -.250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 4 | 4 | 18 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -.250 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | .750 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -.333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 43 | 22 | 120 | .175 | 36 | 9 | 6 | 45 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 90 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 18 | 4 | 38 | .368 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 23.5 | |
| 4 | 15 | 6 | 30 | .300 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 16.5 | |
| 4 | 9 | 3 | 24 | .250 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | |
| 4 | 6 | 1 | 11 | .455 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 4.5 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 29 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 10 | 4 | 23 | .261 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 11.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 61 | 20 | 137 | .299 | 55 | 6 | 17 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 97 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
23-25
Set 2*
25-22
Set 3
21-25
Set 4
21-25
Bars above the line = Dayton leads, below = Marquette leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Marquette
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 67%8/12 | 30%3/10 |
| 2 | 41%7/17 | 43%6/14 |
| 3 | 75%6/8 | 42%5/12 |
| 4 | 40%6/15 | 33%3/9 |
| 5 | 60%6/10 | 25%2/8 |
| 6 | 50%6/12 | 54%7/13 |
| All | 53%39/74 | 39%26/66 |
Dayton
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 67%8/12 | 42%5/12 |
| 2 | 62%8/13 | 43%6/14 |
| 3 | 55%6/11 | 50%6/12 |
| 4 | 86%6/7 | 33%3/9 |
| 5 | 55%6/11 | 63%10/16 |
| 6 | 50%6/12 | 45%5/11 |
| All | 61%40/66 | 47%35/74 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
187 rallies
Rally log
| # | MARQ-DAYTON | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Luanna Markus | +1.8 |
| 2 | 2-0 | MARQ | MARQ | Attack err | Charlotte Vinson | +2.3 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | MARQ | DAYTON×4 | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Natalie Harrington | +1.7 |
| 4 | 2-2 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Ace | DAYTON server | aced Allie Beers | +2.5 |
| 5 | 2-3 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Ace | DAYTON server | aced Team | +2.6 |
| 6 | 2-4 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Ace | DAYTON server | aced Allie Beers | +2.6 |
| 7 | 3-4 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Avery Helms | +1.9 |
| 8 | 3-5 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +2.0 |
| 9 | 4-5 | DAYTON | MARQ | Serve err | DAYTON server | +1.9 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Natalie Harrington | +2.1 |
| 11 | 5-6 | DAYTON | MARQ | Serve err | DAYTON server | +1.9 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | MARQ | MARQ | Ace | MARQ server | aced Kamryn Hunt | +2.7 |
| 13 | 6-7 | MARQ | DAYTON×3 | Kill | Addi Gallentine | set Rylee Sloss | +2.1 |
| 14 | 6-8 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Attack err | Julia Stanev | blk Sidney Sprada | +2.9 |
| 15 | 6-9 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Attack err | Avery Helms | blk Addi Gallentine, Gabriela Machin Borges | +2.8 |
| 16 | 7-9 | DAYTON | MARQ×3 | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Luanna Markus | +1.9 |
| 17 | 8-9 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Kill | Tani Juric | set Emi Juric | +2.8 |
| 18 | 9-9 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Attack err | Sidney Sprada | +3.0 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | MARQ | DAYTON | Attack err | Tani Juric | +2.3 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Julia Stanev | set Luanna Markus | +2.3 |
| 21 | 11-10 | MARQ | MARQ | Kill | Carson Tyler | +3.1 | |
| 22 | 11-11 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Lily Barry | +2.3 |
| 23 | 12-11 | DAYTON | MARQ | Serve err | DAYTON server | +2.4 | |
| 24 | 13-11 | MARQ | MARQ | Ace | MARQ server | aced Kamryn Hunt | +3.2 |
| 25 | 13-12 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Natalie Harrington | +2.2 |
| 26 | 14-12 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Tani Juric | set Luanna Markus | +2.4 |
| 27 | 14-13 | MARQ | DAYTON | Serve err | MARQ server | +2.3 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +3.5 |
| 29 | 15-14 | DAYTON | MARQ | Serve err | DAYTON server | +2.7 | |
| 30 | 15-15 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Natalie Harrington | +2.8 |
| 31 | 16-15 | DAYTON | MARQ | Attack err | Kamryn Hunt | +2.9 | |
| 32 | 16-16 | MARQ | DAYTON×3 | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +2.9 |
| 33 | 16-17 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Attack err | Julia Stanev | +4.2 | |
| 34 | 16-18 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Attack err | Carson Tyler | +4.3 | |
| 35 | 17-18 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Keira Schmidt | set Luanna Markus | +2.8 |
| 36 | 18-18 | MARQ | MARQ | Kill | Tani Juric | set Emi Juric | +4.4 |
| 37 | 18-19 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Rylee Sloss | +3.6 |
| 38 | 19-19 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Tani Juric | set Luanna Markus | +3.5 |
| 39 | 20-19 | MARQ | MARQ | Attack err | Gabriela Machin Borges | blk Julia Stanev, Carson Tyler | +5.1 |
| 40 | 20-20 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Rylee Sloss | +3.8 |
| 41 | 20-21 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Natalie Harrington | +5.9 |
| 42 | 21-21 | DAYTON | MARQ | Serve err | DAYTON server | +4.2 | |
| 43 | 22-21 | MARQ | MARQ | Attack err | Charlotte Vinson | +6.5 | |
| 44 | 22-22 | MARQ | DAYTON×3 | Attack err | Tani Juric | +4.7 | |
| 45 | 22-23 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Ace | DAYTON server | aced Team | +7.9 |
| 46 | 22-24 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Kill | Abigail Cresse | set Natalie Harrington | +7.8 |
| 47 | 23-24 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Luanna Markus | +3.3 |
| 48 | 23-25 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +7.8 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | MARQ | DAYTON | Attack err | Tani Juric | blk Sidney Sprada, Abigail Cresse | +2.0 |
| 2 | 0-2 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +2.8 |
| 3 | 1-2 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Luanna Markus | +2.0 |
| 4 | 2-2 | MARQ | MARQ | Ace | MARQ server | aced Lily Barry | +2.7 |
| 5 | 2-3 | MARQ | DAYTON×3 | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +2.1 |
| 6 | 2-4 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Attack err | Molly Welge | +2.9 | |
| 7 | 2-5 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Attack err | Carson Tyler | +2.8 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Luanna Markus | +1.9 |
| 9 | 3-6 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Natalie Harrington | set Natalie Harrington | +2.2 |
| 10 | 4-6 | DAYTON | MARQ×3 | Kill | Molly Welge | set Luanna Markus | +2.0 |
| 11 | 5-6 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Attack err | Kamryn Hunt | blk Molly Welge, Luanna Markus | +2.9 |
| 12 | 6-6 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Luanna Markus | +3.0 |
| 13 | 6-7 | MARQ | DAYTON | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +2.3 | |
| 14 | 7-7 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Luanna Markus | +2.3 |
| 15 | 7-8 | MARQ | DAYTON | Attack err | Caydence Doolan | blk Gabriela Machin Borges, Addi Gallentine | +2.4 |
| 16 | 8-8 | DAYTON | MARQ | Serve err | DAYTON server | +2.3 | |
| 17 | 8-9 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +2.5 |
| 18 | 8-10 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Charlotte Vinson | +3.4 |
| 19 | 9-10 | DAYTON | MARQ | Attack err | Charlotte Vinson | +2.4 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | MARQ | MARQ | Attack err | Sidney Sprada | +3.4 | |
| 21 | 10-11 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +2.6 |
| 22 | 11-11 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Tani Juric | set Luanna Markus | +2.6 |
| 23 | 11-12 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +2.7 |
| 24 | 12-12 | DAYTON | MARQ×3 | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Luanna Markus | +2.7 |
| 25 | 13-12 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Annika Kowalski | +3.7 |
| 26 | 14-12 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Attack err | Charlotte Vinson | +3.6 | |
| 27 | 14-13 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +2.5 |
| 28 | 15-13 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Molly Welge | set Luanna Markus | +2.8 |
| 29 | 15-14 | MARQ | DAYTON | Serve err | MARQ server | +2.6 | |
| 30 | 16-14 | DAYTON | MARQ | Serve err | DAYTON server | +2.9 | |
| 31 | 16-15 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Rylee Sloss | +2.7 |
| 32 | 17-15 | DAYTON | MARQ | Serve err | DAYTON server | +3.1 | |
| 33 | 18-15 | MARQ | MARQ | Kill | Caydence Doolan | set Luanna Markus | +3.7 |
| 34 | 18-16 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Abigail Cresse | set Rylee Sloss | +2.3 |
| 35 | 19-16 | DAYTON | MARQ×3 | Attack err | Charlotte Vinson | +2.8 | |
| 36 | 20-16 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Luanna Markus | +3.0 |
| 37 | 21-16 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Luanna Markus | +2.0 |
| 38 | 21-17 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Natalie Harrington | +0.9 |
| 39 | 22-17 | DAYTON | MARQ | Serve err | DAYTON server | +1.4 | |
| 40 | 22-18 | MARQ | DAYTON×3 | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +0.7 |
| 41 | 22-19 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Bad set | Tani Juric | +1.7 | |
| 42 | 22-20 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Natalie Harrington | +3.0 |
| 43 | 23-20 | DAYTON | MARQ | Serve err | DAYTON server | +3.4 | |
| 44 | 23-21 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Natalie Harrington | +2.0 |
| 45 | 24-21 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Molly Welge | +3.5 | |
| 46 | 24-22 | MARQ | DAYTON | Bad set | Caydence Doolan | +1.4 | |
| 47 | 25-22 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Caydence Doolan | set Luanna Markus | +3.2 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +3.3 |
| 2 | 0-2 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Kill | Abigail Cresse | set Natalie Harrington | +3.4 |
| 3 | 0-3 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Attack err | Carson Tyler | +3.3 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Tani Juric | set Luanna Markus | +2.3 |
| 5 | 1-4 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Lily Barry | +2.5 |
| 6 | 2-4 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Molly Welge | set Luanna Markus | +2.3 |
| 7 | 2-5 | MARQ | DAYTON | Serve err | MARQ server | +2.6 | |
| 8 | 2-6 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Attack err | Carson Tyler | blk Charlotte Vinson, Addi Gallentine | +3.3 |
| 9 | 3-6 | DAYTON | MARQ | Attack err | Addi Gallentine | blk Molly Welge, Luanna Markus | +2.2 |
| 10 | 3-7 | MARQ | DAYTON | Serve err | MARQ server | +2.5 | |
| 11 | 4-7 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Luanna Markus | set Emi Juric | +2.2 |
| 12 | 4-8 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Rylee Sloss | +2.6 |
| 13 | 5-8 | DAYTON | MARQ | Attack err | Kamryn Hunt | +2.2 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | MARQ | MARQ | Attack err | Addi Gallentine | +3.4 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | MARQ | DAYTON×4 | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +2.8 |
| 16 | 6-10 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Kill | Abigail Cresse | +3.6 | |
| 17 | 6-11 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Morgan Asleson | +3.2 |
| 18 | 6-12 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Morgan Asleson | +2.7 |
| 19 | 7-12 | DAYTON | MARQ | Serve err | DAYTON server | +1.6 | |
| 20 | 8-12 | MARQ | MARQ | Attack err | Gabriela Machin Borges | +2.6 | |
| 21 | 8-13 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +2.4 |
| 22 | 9-13 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Keira Schmidt | set Luanna Markus | +1.9 |
| 23 | 10-13 | MARQ | MARQ | Kill | Tani Juric | set Natalie Harrington | +3.2 |
| 24 | 10-14 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +2.9 |
| 25 | 10-15 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +3.3 |
| 26 | 11-15 | DAYTON | MARQ×4 | Serve err | DAYTON server | +1.9 | |
| 27 | 12-15 | MARQ | MARQ×4 | Kill | Molly Welge | set Luanna Markus | +3.2 |
| 28 | 13-15 | MARQ | MARQ×4 | Ace | MARQ server | aced Lily Barry | +3.9 |
| 29 | 14-15 | MARQ | MARQ×4 | Kill | Luanna Markus | set Charlotte Vinson | +4.6 |
| 30 | 14-16 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +3.9 |
| 31 | 15-16 | DAYTON | MARQ×4 | Kill | Molly Welge | set Luanna Markus | +3.5 |
| 32 | 16-16 | MARQ | MARQ×4 | Ace | MARQ server | aced Team | +5.3 |
| 33 | 17-16 | MARQ | MARQ×4 | Ace | MARQ server | aced Team | +5.5 |
| 34 | 18-16 | MARQ | MARQ×4 | Ace | MARQ server | aced Team | +5.3 |
| 35 | 18-17 | MARQ | DAYTON×4 | Attack err | Emma Parks | blk Charlotte Vinson, Addi Gallentine | +3.6 |
| 36 | 18-18 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Attack err | Molly Welge | +5.9 | |
| 37 | 18-19 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Ace | DAYTON server | aced Carson Tyler | +6.5 |
| 38 | 18-20 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Attack err | Caydence Doolan | +6.6 | |
| 39 | 19-20 | DAYTON | MARQ | Serve err | DAYTON server | +4.2 | |
| 40 | 19-21 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +5.3 |
| 41 | 20-21 | DAYTON | MARQ | Serve err | DAYTON server | +4.4 | |
| 42 | 20-22 | MARQ | DAYTON×3 | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Rylee Sloss | +5.9 |
| 43 | 20-23 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Kill | Abigail Cresse | +6.4 | |
| 44 | 20-24 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Kill | Abigail Cresse | +3.7 | |
| 45 | 21-24 | DAYTON | MARQ | Attack err | Gabriela Machin Borges | +0.8 | |
| 46 | 21-25 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +2.0 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +2.7 |
| 2 | 1-1 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Tani Juric | +2.6 |
| 3 | 1-2 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +2.7 |
| 4 | 2-2 | DAYTON | MARQ | Serve err | DAYTON server | +2.7 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +2.8 |
| 6 | 3-3 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Luanna Markus | set Carson Tyler | +2.7 |
| 7 | 3-4 | MARQ | DAYTON | Serve err | MARQ server | +2.9 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Caydence Doolan | set Luanna Markus | +2.8 |
| 9 | 5-4 | MARQ | MARQ | Attack err | Sidney Sprada | blk Keira Schmidt, Luanna Markus | +3.8 |
| 10 | 5-5 | MARQ | DAYTON | Attack err | Luanna Markus | +2.9 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | DAYTON | MARQ×3 | Kill | Caydence Doolan | set Luanna Markus | +2.9 |
| 12 | 7-5 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Attack err | Gabriela Machin Borges | blk Caydence Doolan, Keira Schmidt | +3.8 |
| 13 | 8-5 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Attack err | Sidney Sprada | +3.6 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +2.5 |
| 15 | 8-7 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Attack err | Caydence Doolan | blk Abigail Cresse, Charlotte Vinson | +3.8 |
| 16 | 9-7 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Keira Schmidt | set Luanna Markus | +3.0 |
| 17 | 9-8 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Natalie Harrington | +2.9 |
| 18 | 10-8 | DAYTON | MARQ×3 | Kill | Tani Juric | set Luanna Markus | +3.1 |
| 19 | 11-8 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Attack err | Abigail Cresse | blk Molly Welge, Tani Juric | +3.9 |
| 20 | 12-8 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Ace | MARQ server | aced Team | +3.4 |
| 21 | 12-9 | MARQ | DAYTON×4 | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +2.2 |
| 22 | 12-10 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Attack err | Molly Welge | +3.6 | |
| 23 | 12-11 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Attack err | Carson Tyler | +4.2 | |
| 24 | 12-12 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Sydney Barrett | +4.7 |
| 25 | 13-12 | DAYTON | MARQ×3 | Serve err | DAYTON server | +3.6 | |
| 26 | 14-12 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Kill | Luanna Markus | set Avery Helms | +4.8 |
| 27 | 15-12 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Attack err | Charlotte Vinson | blk Molly Welge, Carson Tyler | +4.4 |
| 28 | 15-13 | MARQ | DAYTON | Attack err | Molly Welge | +2.9 | |
| 29 | 16-13 | DAYTON | MARQ | Serve err | DAYTON server | +3.4 | |
| 30 | 16-14 | MARQ | DAYTON×7 | Serve err | MARQ server | +2.9 | |
| 31 | 16-15 | DAYTON | DAYTON×7 | Attack err | Molly Welge | +4.8 | |
| 32 | 16-16 | DAYTON | DAYTON×7 | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +5.7 |
| 33 | 16-17 | DAYTON | DAYTON×7 | Ace | DAYTON server | aced Caydence Doolan | +6.2 |
| 34 | 16-18 | DAYTON | DAYTON×7 | Attack err | Caydence Doolan | blk Addi Gallentine, Gabriela Machin Borges | +6.2 |
| 35 | 16-19 | DAYTON | DAYTON×7 | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Rylee Sloss | +5.7 |
| 36 | 16-20 | DAYTON | DAYTON×7 | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Rylee Sloss | +4.7 |
| 37 | 17-20 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Luanna Markus | +2.4 | |
| 38 | 17-21 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +3.5 |
| 39 | 18-21 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Luanna Markus | +2.2 |
| 40 | 19-21 | MARQ | MARQ | Ace | MARQ server | aced Kamryn Hunt | +4.6 |
| 41 | 19-22 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +5.0 |
| 42 | 20-22 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Tani Juric | set Luanna Markus | +3.2 |
| 43 | 20-23 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +5.2 |
| 44 | 21-23 | DAYTON | MARQ | Serve err | DAYTON server | +2.9 | |
| 45 | 21-24 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +5.3 |
| 46 | 21-25 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +2.9 |
Score shown after each rally, Marquette first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.