Dayton def. Marquette 3–1
Dayton beat visiting Marquette 3-1 (25-23, 22-25, 25-21, 25-21) on Fri, Aug 28, 2026. Dayton's Sidney Sprada led with 18 kills, and Lily Barry added 13 digs.
Data through · final Aug 28
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MARQ | 23 | 25 | 21 | 21 | 1 |
| DAYTON | 25 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 7.8% to Dayton — set 1, MARQ 22-24 DAYTON. Kill by Abigail Cresse (set by Natalie Harrington). DAYTON win probability 43% → 50%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Marquette wins
Dayton wins
- MARQ break %
- 43.4% vs this opp
- DAYTON break %
- 40.2% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Abigail CresseKill+7.8%
Kill by Abigail Cresse (set by Natalie Harrington)
Set 1 · MARQ 22-24 DAYTON · DAYTON 43% → 50%
- 02DaytonAce+7.7%
Dayton ace
Set 1 · MARQ 22-23 DAYTON · DAYTON 35% → 43%
- 03Kamryn HuntKill+7.6%
Kill by Kamryn Hunt (set by Natalie Harrington)
Set 1 · MARQ 23-25 DAYTON · DAYTON 47% → 55%
- 04Addi Gallentine&Gabriela Machin BorgesBlock+6.9%
Caydence Doolan stuffed by Addi Gallentine & Gabriela Machin Borges
Set 4 · MARQ 16-18 DAYTON · DAYTON 74% → 81%
- 05Caydence DoolanAttack error+6.7%
Attack error by Caydence Doolan
Set 3 · MARQ 18-20 DAYTON · DAYTON 45% → 52%
- 06DaytonAce+6.7%
Dayton ace on Caydence Doolan
Set 4 · MARQ 16-17 DAYTON · DAYTON 67% → 74%
- 07
- 08DaytonAce+6.6%
Dayton ace on Carson Tyler
Set 3 · MARQ 18-19 DAYTON · DAYTON 39% → 45%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 15 | 5 | 33 | .303 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 19 | |
| 4 | 9 | 3 | 27 | .222 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 9.5 | |
| 4 | 6 | 5 | 16 | .063 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | |
| 4 | 5 | 1 | 9 | .444 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 7.5 | |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -.250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 4 | 4 | 18 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -.250 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | .750 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -.333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 43 | 22 | 120 | .175 | 36 | 9 | 6 | 45 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 90 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 18 | 4 | 38 | .368 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 23.5 | |
| 4 | 15 | 6 | 30 | .300 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 16.5 | |
| 4 | 9 | 3 | 24 | .250 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | |
| 4 | 6 | 1 | 11 | .455 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 4.5 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 29 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 10 | 4 | 23 | .261 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 11.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 61 | 20 | 137 | .299 | 55 | 6 | 17 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 97 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
23-25
Set 2
25-22
Set 3
21-25
Set 4
21-25
Bars above the line = Dayton leads, below = Marquette leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Marquette
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 67%8/12 | 30%3/10 |
| 2 | 41%7/17 | 43%6/14 |
| 3 | 75%6/8 | 42%5/12 |
| 4 | 40%6/15 | 33%3/9 |
| 5 | 60%6/10 | 25%2/8 |
| 6 | 50%6/12 | 54%7/13 |
| All | 53%39/74 | 39%26/66 |
Dayton
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 67%8/12 | 42%5/12 |
| 2 | 62%8/13 | 43%6/14 |
| 3 | 55%6/11 | 50%6/12 |
| 4 | 86%6/7 | 33%3/9 |
| 5 | 55%6/11 | 63%10/16 |
| 6 | 50%6/12 | 45%5/11 |
| All | 61%40/66 | 47%35/74 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
187 rallies
| # | MARQ-DAYTON | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Luanna Markus | +1.6 |
| 2 | 2-0 | MARQ | MARQ | Attack err | Charlotte Vinson | +2.2 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | MARQ | DAYTON×4 | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Natalie Harrington | +1.5 |
| 4 | 2-2 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Ace | Dayton | aced Allie Beers | +2.3 |
| 5 | 2-3 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Ace | Dayton | +2.5 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Ace | Dayton | aced Allie Beers | +2.6 |
| 7 | 3-4 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Avery Helms | +1.7 |
| 8 | 3-5 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +1.9 |
| 9 | 4-5 | DAYTON | MARQ | Serve err | Dayton | +1.8 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Natalie Harrington | +2.0 |
| 11 | 5-6 | DAYTON | MARQ | Serve err | Dayton | +1.8 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | MARQ | MARQ | Ace | Marquette | aced Kamryn Hunt | +2.6 |
| 13 | 6-7 | MARQ | DAYTON×3 | Kill | Addi Gallentine | set Rylee Sloss | +2.0 |
| 14 | 6-8 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Blocked | Julia Stanev | blk Sidney Sprada | +2.9 |
| 15 | 6-9 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Blocked | Avery Helms | blk Addi Gallentine, Gabriela Machin Borges | +2.8 |
| 16 | 7-9 | DAYTON | MARQ×3 | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Luanna Markus | +1.8 |
| 17 | 8-9 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Kill | Tani Juric | set Emi Juric | +2.8 |
| 18 | 9-9 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Attack err | Sidney Sprada | +2.9 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | MARQ | DAYTON | Attack err | Tani Juric | +2.2 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Julia Stanev | set Luanna Markus | +2.1 |
| 21 | 11-10 | MARQ | MARQ | Kill | Carson Tyler | +3.0 | |
| 22 | 11-11 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Lily Barry | +2.2 |
| 23 | 12-11 | DAYTON | MARQ | Serve err | Dayton | +2.2 | |
| 24 | 13-11 | MARQ | MARQ | Ace | Marquette | aced Kamryn Hunt | +2.9 |
| 25 | 13-12 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Natalie Harrington | +2.0 |
| 26 | 14-12 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Tani Juric | set Luanna Markus | +2.2 |
| 27 | 14-13 | MARQ | DAYTON | Serve err | Marquette | +2.1 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +3.4 |
| 29 | 15-14 | DAYTON | MARQ | Serve err | Dayton | +2.5 | |
| 30 | 15-15 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Natalie Harrington | +2.6 |
| 31 | 16-15 | DAYTON | MARQ | Attack err | Kamryn Hunt | +2.6 | |
| 32 | 16-16 | MARQ | DAYTON×3 | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +2.7 |
| 33 | 16-17 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Attack err | Julia Stanev | +4.1 | |
| 34 | 16-18 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Attack err | Carson Tyler | +4.3 | |
| 35 | 17-18 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Keira Schmidt | set Luanna Markus | +2.7 |
| 36 | 18-18 | MARQ | MARQ | Kill | Tani Juric | set Emi Juric | +4.3 |
| 37 | 18-19 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Rylee Sloss | +3.5 |
| 38 | 19-19 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Tani Juric | set Luanna Markus | +3.3 |
| 39 | 20-19 | MARQ | MARQ | Blocked | Gabriela Machin Borges | blk Julia Stanev, Carson Tyler | +4.9 |
| 40 | 20-20 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Rylee Sloss | +3.5 |
| 41 | 20-21 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Natalie Harrington | +5.7 |
| 42 | 21-21 | DAYTON | MARQ | Serve err | Dayton | +3.9 | |
| 43 | 22-21 | MARQ | MARQ | Attack err | Charlotte Vinson | +6.2 | |
| 44 | 22-22 | MARQ | DAYTON×3 | Attack err | Tani Juric | +4.4 | |
| 45 | 22-23 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Ace | Dayton | +7.7 | |
| 46 | 22-24 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Kill | Abigail Cresse | set Natalie Harrington | +7.8 |
| 47 | 23-24 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Luanna Markus | +3.1 |
| 48 | 23-25 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +7.6 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | MARQ | DAYTON | Blocked | Tani Juric | blk Sidney Sprada, Abigail Cresse | +2.1 |
| 2 | 0-2 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +3.0 |
| 3 | 1-2 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Luanna Markus | +2.0 |
| 4 | 2-2 | MARQ | MARQ | Ace | Marquette | aced Lily Barry | +2.9 |
| 5 | 2-3 | MARQ | DAYTON×3 | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +2.2 |
| 6 | 2-4 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Attack err | Molly Welge | +3.1 | |
| 7 | 2-5 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Attack err | Carson Tyler | +3.1 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Luanna Markus | +2.0 |
| 9 | 3-6 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Natalie Harrington | set Natalie Harrington | +2.3 |
| 10 | 4-6 | DAYTON | MARQ×3 | Kill | Molly Welge | set Luanna Markus | +2.1 |
| 11 | 5-6 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Blocked | Kamryn Hunt | blk Molly Welge, Luanna Markus | +3.1 |
| 12 | 6-6 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Luanna Markus | +3.2 |
| 13 | 6-7 | DAYTON | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +2.4 | |||
| 14 | 7-7 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Luanna Markus | +2.3 |
| 15 | 7-8 | MARQ | DAYTON | Blocked | Caydence Doolan | blk Gabriela Machin Borges, Addi Gallentine | +2.5 |
| 16 | 8-8 | DAYTON | MARQ | Serve err | Dayton | +2.4 | |
| 17 | 8-9 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +2.6 |
| 18 | 8-10 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Charlotte Vinson | +3.7 |
| 19 | 9-10 | DAYTON | MARQ | Attack err | Charlotte Vinson | +2.4 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | MARQ | MARQ | Attack err | Sidney Sprada | +3.6 | |
| 21 | 10-11 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +2.8 |
| 22 | 11-11 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Tani Juric | set Luanna Markus | +2.6 |
| 23 | 11-12 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +2.9 |
| 24 | 12-12 | DAYTON | MARQ×3 | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Luanna Markus | +2.7 |
| 25 | 13-12 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Annika Kowalski | +3.9 |
| 26 | 14-12 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Attack err | Charlotte Vinson | +3.7 | |
| 27 | 14-13 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +2.5 |
| 28 | 15-13 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Molly Welge | set Luanna Markus | +2.7 |
| 29 | 15-14 | MARQ | DAYTON | Serve err | Marquette | +2.6 | |
| 30 | 16-14 | DAYTON | MARQ | Serve err | Dayton | +2.9 | |
| 31 | 16-15 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Rylee Sloss | +2.7 |
| 32 | 17-15 | DAYTON | MARQ | Serve err | Dayton | +3.0 | |
| 33 | 18-15 | MARQ | MARQ | Kill | Caydence Doolan | set Luanna Markus | +3.7 |
| 34 | 18-16 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Abigail Cresse | set Rylee Sloss | +2.2 |
| 35 | 19-16 | DAYTON | MARQ×3 | Attack err | Charlotte Vinson | +2.7 | |
| 36 | 20-16 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Luanna Markus | +2.9 |
| 37 | 21-16 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Luanna Markus | +1.9 |
| 38 | 21-17 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Natalie Harrington | +0.8 |
| 39 | 22-17 | DAYTON | MARQ | Serve err | Dayton | +1.3 | |
| 40 | 22-18 | MARQ | DAYTON×3 | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +0.6 |
| 41 | 22-19 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Bad set | Tani Juric | +1.6 | |
| 42 | 22-20 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Natalie Harrington | +2.9 |
| 43 | 23-20 | DAYTON | MARQ | Serve err | Dayton | +3.2 | |
| 44 | 23-21 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Natalie Harrington | +1.9 |
| 45 | 24-21 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Molly Welge | +3.3 | |
| 46 | 24-22 | MARQ | DAYTON | Bad set | Caydence Doolan | +1.3 | |
| 47 | 25-22 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Caydence Doolan | set Luanna Markus | +2.9 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +3.3 |
| 2 | 0-2 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Kill | Abigail Cresse | set Natalie Harrington | +3.4 |
| 3 | 0-3 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Attack err | Carson Tyler | +3.4 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Tani Juric | set Luanna Markus | +2.2 |
| 5 | 1-4 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Lily Barry | +2.5 |
| 6 | 2-4 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Molly Welge | set Luanna Markus | +2.3 |
| 7 | 2-5 | MARQ | DAYTON | Serve err | Marquette | +2.6 | |
| 8 | 2-6 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Blocked | Carson Tyler | blk Charlotte Vinson, Addi Gallentine | +3.5 |
| 9 | 3-6 | DAYTON | MARQ | Blocked | Addi Gallentine | blk Molly Welge, Luanna Markus | +2.2 |
| 10 | 3-7 | MARQ | DAYTON | Serve err | Marquette | +2.6 | |
| 11 | 4-7 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Luanna Markus | set Emi Juric | +2.2 |
| 12 | 4-8 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Rylee Sloss | +2.6 |
| 13 | 5-8 | DAYTON | MARQ | Attack err | Kamryn Hunt | +2.2 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | MARQ | MARQ | Attack err | Addi Gallentine | +3.5 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | MARQ | DAYTON×4 | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +2.9 |
| 16 | 6-10 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Kill | Abigail Cresse | +3.7 | |
| 17 | 6-11 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Morgan Asleson | +3.4 |
| 18 | 6-12 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Morgan Asleson | +2.9 |
| 19 | 7-12 | DAYTON | MARQ | Serve err | Dayton | +1.6 | |
| 20 | 8-12 | MARQ | MARQ | Attack err | Gabriela Machin Borges | +2.7 | |
| 21 | 8-13 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +2.5 |
| 22 | 9-13 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Keira Schmidt | set Luanna Markus | +1.9 |
| 23 | 10-13 | MARQ | MARQ | Kill | Tani Juric | set Natalie Harrington | +3.3 |
| 24 | 10-14 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +3.0 |
| 25 | 10-15 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +3.5 |
| 26 | 11-15 | DAYTON | MARQ×4 | Serve err | Dayton | +1.9 | |
| 27 | 12-15 | MARQ | MARQ×4 | Kill | Molly Welge | set Luanna Markus | +3.3 |
| 28 | 13-15 | MARQ | MARQ×4 | Ace | Marquette | aced Lily Barry | +4.0 |
| 29 | 14-15 | MARQ | MARQ×4 | Kill | Luanna Markus | set Charlotte Vinson | +4.6 |
| 30 | 14-16 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +3.8 |
| 31 | 15-16 | DAYTON | MARQ×4 | Kill | Molly Welge | set Luanna Markus | +3.4 |
| 32 | 16-16 | MARQ | MARQ×4 | Ace | Marquette | +5.3 | |
| 33 | 17-16 | MARQ | MARQ×4 | Ace | Marquette | +5.4 | |
| 34 | 18-16 | MARQ | MARQ×4 | Ace | Marquette | +5.1 | |
| 35 | 18-17 | MARQ | DAYTON×4 | Blocked | Emma Parks | blk Charlotte Vinson, Addi Gallentine | +3.4 |
| 36 | 18-18 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Attack err | Molly Welge | +5.8 | |
| 37 | 18-19 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Ace | Dayton | aced Carson Tyler | +6.6 |
| 38 | 18-20 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Attack err | Caydence Doolan | +6.7 | |
| 39 | 19-20 | DAYTON | MARQ | Serve err | Dayton | +4.1 | |
| 40 | 19-21 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +5.3 |
| 41 | 20-21 | DAYTON | MARQ | Serve err | Dayton | +4.3 | |
| 42 | 20-22 | MARQ | DAYTON×3 | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Rylee Sloss | +5.9 |
| 43 | 20-23 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Kill | Abigail Cresse | +6.6 | |
| 44 | 20-24 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Kill | Abigail Cresse | +3.9 | |
| 45 | 21-24 | DAYTON | MARQ | Attack err | Gabriela Machin Borges | +0.8 | |
| 46 | 21-25 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +2.0 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +2.8 |
| 2 | 1-1 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Tani Juric | +2.7 |
| 3 | 1-2 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +2.9 |
| 4 | 2-2 | DAYTON | MARQ | Serve err | Dayton | +2.8 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +2.9 |
| 6 | 3-3 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Luanna Markus | set Carson Tyler | +2.8 |
| 7 | 3-4 | MARQ | DAYTON | Serve err | Marquette | +3.0 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Caydence Doolan | set Luanna Markus | +2.9 |
| 9 | 5-4 | MARQ | MARQ | Blocked | Sidney Sprada | blk Keira Schmidt, Luanna Markus | +4.0 |
| 10 | 5-5 | MARQ | DAYTON | Attack err | Luanna Markus | +3.0 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | DAYTON | MARQ×3 | Kill | Caydence Doolan | set Luanna Markus | +2.9 |
| 12 | 7-5 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Blocked | Gabriela Machin Borges | blk Caydence Doolan, Keira Schmidt | +3.9 |
| 13 | 8-5 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Attack err | Sidney Sprada | +3.6 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +2.5 |
| 15 | 8-7 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Blocked | Caydence Doolan | blk Abigail Cresse, Charlotte Vinson | +3.9 |
| 16 | 9-7 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Keira Schmidt | set Luanna Markus | +3.0 |
| 17 | 9-8 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Natalie Harrington | +2.9 |
| 18 | 10-8 | DAYTON | MARQ×3 | Kill | Tani Juric | set Luanna Markus | +3.1 |
| 19 | 11-8 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Blocked | Abigail Cresse | blk Molly Welge, Tani Juric | +3.9 |
| 20 | 12-8 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Ace | Marquette | +3.4 | |
| 21 | 12-9 | MARQ | DAYTON×4 | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +2.1 |
| 22 | 12-10 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Attack err | Molly Welge | +3.7 | |
| 23 | 12-11 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Attack err | Carson Tyler | +4.4 | |
| 24 | 12-12 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Sydney Barrett | +5.0 |
| 25 | 13-12 | DAYTON | MARQ×3 | Serve err | Dayton | +3.7 | |
| 26 | 14-12 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Kill | Luanna Markus | set Avery Helms | +5.0 |
| 27 | 15-12 | MARQ | MARQ×3 | Blocked | Charlotte Vinson | blk Molly Welge, Carson Tyler | +4.4 |
| 28 | 15-13 | MARQ | DAYTON | Attack err | Molly Welge | +2.8 | |
| 29 | 16-13 | DAYTON | MARQ | Serve err | Dayton | +3.3 | |
| 30 | 16-14 | MARQ | DAYTON×7 | Serve err | Marquette | +2.9 | |
| 31 | 16-15 | DAYTON | DAYTON×7 | Attack err | Molly Welge | +5.0 | |
| 32 | 16-16 | DAYTON | DAYTON×7 | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +6.0 |
| 33 | 16-17 | DAYTON | DAYTON×7 | Ace | Dayton | aced Caydence Doolan | +6.7 |
| 34 | 16-18 | DAYTON | DAYTON×7 | Blocked | Caydence Doolan | blk Addi Gallentine, Gabriela Machin Borges | +6.9 |
| 35 | 16-19 | DAYTON | DAYTON×7 | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Rylee Sloss | +6.5 |
| 36 | 16-20 | DAYTON | DAYTON×7 | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Rylee Sloss | +5.4 |
| 37 | 17-20 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Luanna Markus | +2.6 | |
| 38 | 17-21 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +3.9 |
| 39 | 18-21 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Carson Tyler | set Luanna Markus | +2.4 |
| 40 | 19-21 | MARQ | MARQ | Ace | Marquette | aced Kamryn Hunt | +5.1 |
| 41 | 19-22 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +5.4 |
| 42 | 20-22 | DAYTON | MARQ | Kill | Tani Juric | set Luanna Markus | +3.4 |
| 43 | 20-23 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +5.7 |
| 44 | 21-23 | DAYTON | MARQ | Serve err | Dayton | +3.1 | |
| 45 | 21-24 | MARQ | DAYTON | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +5.8 |
| 46 | 21-25 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +3.2 |
Score shown after each rally, Marquette first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).