FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

AwayOVC

0:3

HomeATLANTIC-10

Dayton def. Eastern Ill. 3–0

(25-21, 25-18, 25-22)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
E ILL	21	18	22	0
DAYTON	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

DAYTON above 50 · E ILL below

Biggest swing: 1.9% to Dayton — set 1, E ILL 18-18 DAYTON. Kill by Sidney Sprada (set by Rylee Sloss). DAYTON win probability 89% → 91%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

E ILL 6.6%93.4% DAYTON

Eastern Ill. wins

3-0

0.8%

3-1

1.9%

3-2

3.9%

Dayton wins

3-0

51.4%

3-1

30.7%

3-2

11.4%

E ILL break %: 36.6% vs this opp
DAYTON break %: 48.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Sidney SpradaKill+1.9%
Kill by Sidney Sprada (set by Rylee Sloss)
Set 1 · E ILL 18-18 DAYTON · DAYTON 89% → 91%
02
Sidney SpradaKill+1.8%
Kill by Sidney Sprada (set by Rylee Sloss)
Set 1 · E ILL 18-17 DAYTON · DAYTON 88% → 89%
03
Gabriela Machin BorgesKill+1.8%
Kill by Gabriela Machin Borges
Set 1 · E ILL 18-19 DAYTON · DAYTON 91% → 93%
04
E ILL serverAce+1.6%
Eastern Ill. ace on Kamryn Hunt
Set 1 · E ILL 13-9 DAYTON · E ILL 11% → 13%
05
Charlotte VinsonAttack error+1.6%
Charlotte Vinson stuffed by Abana Teran & Emma Hanson
Set 1 · E ILL 14-9 DAYTON · E ILL 13% → 15%
06
DAYTON serverService error+1.6%
Dayton service error
Set 1 · E ILL 18-15 DAYTON · E ILL 12% → 14%
07
Charlotte VinsonKill+1.5%
Kill by Charlotte Vinson (set by Natalie Harrington)
Set 1 · E ILL 16-14 DAYTON · DAYTON 87% → 88%
08
Sidney SpradaAttack error+1.5%
Attack error by Sidney Sprada
Set 1 · E ILL 17-14 DAYTON · E ILL 12% → 13%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Eastern Ill.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
6Katie KopsheverOH	3	9	4	27	.185	0	2	0	5	3	0	1	0.5	11.5
19Abana TeranOPP	3	6	1	12	.417	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	7.5
9Emma HansonMB	3	2	0	7	.286	0	0	0	1	0	0	5	2.5	4.5
15Peyton CastilloS	3	2	0	4	.500	24	1	2	3	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
11Anaya RawlinsonMB	3	1	5	13	-.308	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	2.5
5McKenna MortonOH	3	0	3	6	-.500	0	0	1	4	3	0	0	0	0
16Kaeden FoxxOH	3	8	3	18	.278	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
7Anna McEwenL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	8	1	0	0	0	1
1Ariadna PerelesL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	12	2	0	0	0	1
10Alanys NievesS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Hannah HawkinsS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		28	16	87	.138	26	5	5	36	12	1	12	7	61

Daytonhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
19Charlotte VinsonOH	3	14	5	21	.429	0	0	0	3	0	3	1.5	15.5
22Sidney SpradaOH	3	11	3	24	.333	0	1	1	8	0	1	0.5	12.5
20Ava LieningMB	3	3	0	8	.375	0	6	4	0	0	3	1.5	10.5
2Kamryn HuntOH	3	7	3	23	.174	1	0	1	6	2	2	1	8
9Natalie HarringtonS	3	0	0	1	.000	22	0	2	1	0	0	0	0
6Addi GallentineMB	2	0	1	5	-.200	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	1.5
16Gabriela Machin BorgesOH	3	3	1	6	.333	0	0	0	2	0	3	1.5	4.5
12Rylee SlossS	3	0	0	0	–	11	3	1	5	0	0	0	3
8Morgan AslesonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
31Lily BarryL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	2	3	2	0	0	0
5Corrie AndersonOH	2	1	2	5	-.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
13Sydney BarrettOH	2	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	1
15Isabel SimmonsMB	1	2	0	2	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3
1Kaleigh MerittOH	1	0	0	3	.000	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
10Emily HardenS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	15	98	.265	37	12	12	32	5	18	9	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 E ILL · DAYTON 6

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 4 E ILLDAYTON 5

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 4 E ILLDAYTON 4

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 4 E ILLDAYTON 6

Bars above the line = Dayton leads, below = Eastern Ill. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Eastern Ill.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%8/12	22%2/9
2	58%7/12	20%2/10
3	43%6/14	42%5/12
4	50%6/12	57%8/14
5	46%6/13	14%1/7
6	55%6/11	40%4/10
All	53%39/74	35%22/62

Dayton

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	75%9/12	33%4/12
2	58%7/12	36%4/11
3	67%6/9	67%12/18
4	50%6/12	50%6/12
5	60%6/10	45%5/11
6	86%6/7	40%4/10
All	65%40/62	47%35/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

136 rallies

Rally log

#	E ILL-DAYTON	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	DAYTON	E ILL	Kill	Abana Teran	set Peyton Castillo	+0.7
2	1-1	E ILL	DAYTON	Serve err	E ILL server		+0.6
3	2-1	DAYTON	E ILL	Kill	Katie Kopshever	set Abana Teran	+0.7
4	3-1	E ILL	E ILL	Attack err	Charlotte Vinson		+1.0
5	3-2	E ILL	DAYTON×3	Attack err	McKenna Morton	blk Charlotte Vinson, Kamryn Hunt, Ava Liening	+0.7
6	3-3	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Attack err	McKenna Morton		+0.9
7	3-4	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Ace	DAYTON server	aced McKenna Morton	+0.8
8	4-4	DAYTON	E ILL×4	Serve err	DAYTON server		+0.6
9	5-4	E ILL	E ILL×4	Kill	Katie Kopshever	set Peyton Castillo	+1.0
10	6-4	E ILL	E ILL×4	Attack err	Charlotte Vinson	blk Kaeden Foxx, Emma Hanson	+1.2
11	7-4	E ILL	E ILL×4	Ace	E ILL server	aced Team	+1.3
12	7-5	E ILL	DAYTON	Kill	Charlotte Vinson	set Natalie Harrington	+0.8
13	7-6	DAYTON	DAYTON	Attack err	Anaya Rawlinson	blk Kamryn Hunt	+1.1
14	8-6	DAYTON	E ILL	Kill	Kaeden Foxx	set Peyton Castillo	+0.9
15	8-7	E ILL	DAYTON	Serve err	E ILL server		+0.8
16	9-7	DAYTON	E ILL	Kill	Kaeden Foxx	set Peyton Castillo	+1.0
17	10-7	E ILL	E ILL	Attack err	Sidney Sprada	blk Abana Teran, Anaya Rawlinson	+1.4
18	10-8	E ILL	DAYTON	Attack err	Kaeden Foxx		+0.9
19	11-8	DAYTON	E ILL	Serve err	DAYTON server		+1.1
20	11-9	E ILL	DAYTON	Serve err	E ILL server		+0.9
21	12-9	DAYTON	E ILL×3	Kill	Peyton Castillo		+1.2
22	13-9	E ILL	E ILL×3	Ace	E ILL server	aced Kamryn Hunt	+1.6
23	14-9	E ILL	E ILL×3	Attack err	Charlotte Vinson	blk Abana Teran, Emma Hanson	+1.6
24	14-10	E ILL	DAYTON	Attack err	Abana Teran		+0.8
25	15-10	DAYTON	E ILL	Kill	Abana Teran	set Peyton Castillo	+1.2
26	16-10	E ILL	E ILL	Attack err	Charlotte Vinson	blk Emma Hanson, Katie Kopshever	+1.5
27	16-11	E ILL	DAYTON×4	Kill	Sidney Sprada	set Natalie Harrington	+0.7
28	16-12	DAYTON	DAYTON×4	Kill	Sidney Sprada	set Natalie Harrington	+1.2
29	16-13	DAYTON	DAYTON×4	Kill	Charlotte Vinson	set Natalie Harrington	+1.4
30	16-14	DAYTON	DAYTON×4	Kill	Charlotte Vinson	set Natalie Harrington	+1.5
31	17-14	DAYTON	E ILL	Attack err	Sidney Sprada		+1.5
32	17-15	E ILL	DAYTON	Kill	Kamryn Hunt	set Natalie Harrington	+1.1
33	18-15	DAYTON	E ILL	Serve err	DAYTON server		+1.6
34	18-16	E ILL	DAYTON×5	Kill	Gabriela Machin Borges	set Rylee Sloss	+1.2
35	18-17	DAYTON	DAYTON×5	Kill	Sidney Sprada	set Rylee Sloss	+1.8
36	18-18	DAYTON	DAYTON×5	Kill	Sidney Sprada	set Rylee Sloss	+1.9
37	18-19	DAYTON	DAYTON×5	Kill	Gabriela Machin Borges		+1.8
38	18-20	DAYTON	DAYTON×5	Attack err	Anaya Rawlinson	blk Sidney Sprada, Addi Gallentine	+1.5
39	19-20	DAYTON	E ILL	Kill	Kaeden Foxx	set Peyton Castillo	+1.0
40	19-21	E ILL	DAYTON	Attack err	Anaya Rawlinson		+1.2
41	19-22	DAYTON	DAYTON	Kill	Sidney Sprada	set Kamryn Hunt	+1.2
42	20-22	DAYTON	E ILL	Attack err	Kamryn Hunt	blk Anaya Rawlinson	+0.6
43	20-23	E ILL	DAYTON	Attack err	Katie Kopshever	blk Ava Liening, Gabriela Machin Borges	+0.9
44	20-24	DAYTON	DAYTON	Kill	Charlotte Vinson	set Natalie Harrington	+0.6
45	21-24	DAYTON	E ILL	Kill	Katie Kopshever	set Hannah Hawkins	+0.1
46	21-25	E ILL	DAYTON	Kill	Charlotte Vinson	set Natalie Harrington	+0.3
Set 2
1	0-1	E ILL	DAYTON	Kill	Charlotte Vinson	set Natalie Harrington	+0.3
2	1-1	DAYTON	E ILL	Kill	Abana Teran	set Peyton Castillo	+0.4
3	1-2	E ILL	DAYTON×4	Attack err	McKenna Morton		+0.3
4	1-3	DAYTON	DAYTON×4	Kill	Charlotte Vinson	set Natalie Harrington	+0.4
5	1-4	DAYTON	DAYTON×4	Ace	DAYTON server	aced McKenna Morton	+0.4
6	1-5	DAYTON	DAYTON×4	Ace	DAYTON server	aced Team	+0.3
7	2-5	DAYTON	E ILL	Serve err	DAYTON server		+0.2
8	2-6	E ILL	DAYTON	Attack err	Katie Kopshever	blk Charlotte Vinson, Addi Gallentine	+0.2
9	3-6	DAYTON	E ILL×4	Kill	Peyton Castillo		+0.2
10	4-6	E ILL	E ILL×4	Kill	Kaeden Foxx	set Peyton Castillo	+0.4
11	5-6	E ILL	E ILL×4	Kill	Emma Hanson	set Peyton Castillo	+0.5
12	6-6	E ILL	E ILL×4	Attack err	Sidney Sprada		+0.6
13	6-7	E ILL	DAYTON	Kill	Kamryn Hunt	set Rylee Sloss	+0.4
14	7-7	DAYTON	E ILL	Kill	Katie Kopshever	set Peyton Castillo	+0.5
15	7-8	E ILL	DAYTON	Kill	Sidney Sprada	set Rylee Sloss	+0.4
16	8-8	DAYTON	E ILL	Kill	Kaeden Foxx	set Peyton Castillo	+0.5
17	8-9	E ILL	DAYTON×3	Serve err	E ILL server		+0.5
18	8-10	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Attack err	Anaya Rawlinson		+0.6
19	8-11	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Kill	Charlotte Vinson	set Natalie Harrington	+0.5
20	9-11	DAYTON	E ILL	Kill	Kaeden Foxx	set Peyton Castillo	+0.3
21	10-11	E ILL	E ILL	Kill	Katie Kopshever	set Peyton Castillo	+0.6
22	10-12	E ILL	DAYTON×4	Kill	Charlotte Vinson	set Natalie Harrington	+0.4
23	10-13	DAYTON	DAYTON×4	Ace	DAYTON server	aced Team	+0.5
24	10-14	DAYTON	DAYTON×4	Kill	Sidney Sprada	set Natalie Harrington	+0.4
25	10-15	DAYTON	DAYTON×4	Attack err	Katie Kopshever	blk Charlotte Vinson, Ava Liening	+0.3
26	11-15	DAYTON	E ILL	Kill	Katie Kopshever	set Peyton Castillo	+0.2
27	11-16	E ILL	DAYTON	Kill	Ava Liening	set Natalie Harrington	+0.2
28	11-17	DAYTON	DAYTON	Ace	DAYTON server	aced Katie Kopshever	+0.2
29	12-17	DAYTON	E ILL	Attack err	Addi Gallentine	blk Emma Hanson, Abana Teran	+0.1
30	12-18	E ILL	DAYTON	Kill	Charlotte Vinson	set Natalie Harrington	+0.1
31	13-18	DAYTON	E ILL×3	Attack err	Corrie Anderson		+0.1
32	14-18	E ILL	E ILL×3	Ace	E ILL server	aced Lily Barry	+0.2
33	15-18	E ILL	E ILL×3	Attack err	Kamryn Hunt		+0.4
34	15-19	E ILL	DAYTON	Kill	Sidney Sprada	set Rylee Sloss	+0.3
35	16-19	DAYTON	E ILL	Attack err	Kaeden Foxx		+0.3
36	16-20	E ILL	DAYTON×3	Kill	Corrie Anderson	set Rylee Sloss	+0.3
37	16-21	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Ace	DAYTON server	aced Katie Kopshever	+0.3
38	16-22	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Attack err	Kaeden Foxx		+0.1
39	17-22	DAYTON	E ILL	Kill	Anaya Rawlinson	set Peyton Castillo	+0.0
40	17-23	E ILL	DAYTON	Serve err	E ILL server		+0.1
41	17-24	DAYTON	DAYTON	Kill	Charlotte Vinson	set Sydney Barrett	+0.0
42	18-24	DAYTON	E ILL	Serve err	DAYTON server		+0.0
43	18-25	E ILL	DAYTON	Kill	Sidney Sprada	set Natalie Harrington	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	DAYTON	E ILL	Kill	Abana Teran	set Peyton Castillo	+0.2
2	1-1	E ILL	DAYTON	Kill	Charlotte Vinson	set Natalie Harrington	+0.2
3	2-1	DAYTON	E ILL	Attack err	Charlotte Vinson		+0.2
4	2-2	E ILL	DAYTON	Kill	Kamryn Hunt	set Natalie Harrington	+0.2
5	2-3	DAYTON	DAYTON	Ace	DAYTON server	aced McKenna Morton	+0.2
6	3-3	DAYTON	E ILL	Serve err	DAYTON server		+0.2
7	3-4	E ILL	DAYTON×6	Kill	Charlotte Vinson	set Natalie Harrington	+0.2
8	3-5	DAYTON	DAYTON×6	Kill	Kamryn Hunt	set Rylee Sloss	+0.2
9	3-6	DAYTON	DAYTON×6	Ace	DAYTON server	aced Katie Kopshever	+0.2
10	3-7	DAYTON	DAYTON×6	Ace	DAYTON server	aced Ariadna Pereles	+0.1
11	3-8	DAYTON	DAYTON×6	Ace	DAYTON server	aced Anna McEwen	+0.1
12	3-9	DAYTON	DAYTON×6	Kill	Kamryn Hunt	set Lily Barry	+0.1
13	4-9	DAYTON	E ILL	Kill	Katie Kopshever	set Peyton Castillo	+0.1
14	4-10	E ILL	DAYTON	Kill	Isabel Simmons	set Rylee Sloss	+0.1
15	5-10	DAYTON	E ILL	Serve err	DAYTON server		+0.1
16	5-11	E ILL	DAYTON	Attack err	Kaeden Foxx	blk Gabriela Machin Borges, Isabel Simmons	+0.1
17	5-12	DAYTON	DAYTON	Kill	Ava Liening	set Rylee Sloss	+0.1
18	6-12	DAYTON	E ILL	Serve err	DAYTON server		+0.0
19	6-13	E ILL	DAYTON	Kill	Sidney Sprada	set Lily Barry	+0.0
20	7-13	DAYTON	E ILL	Serve err	DAYTON server		+0.0
21	7-14	E ILL	DAYTON	Kill	Sidney Sprada	set Natalie Harrington	+0.0
22	7-15	DAYTON	DAYTON	Kill	Kamryn Hunt	set Natalie Harrington	+0.0
23	8-15	DAYTON	E ILL	Serve err	DAYTON server		+0.0
24	8-16	E ILL	DAYTON×3	Kill	Ava Liening	set Natalie Harrington	+0.0
25	8-17	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Ace	DAYTON server	aced Ariadna Pereles	+0.0
26	8-18	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Ace	DAYTON server	aced Team	+0.0
27	9-18	DAYTON	E ILL	Serve err	DAYTON server		+0.0
28	9-19	E ILL	DAYTON	Kill	Charlotte Vinson	set Natalie Harrington	+0.0
29	10-19	DAYTON	E ILL	Kill	Emma Hanson	set Peyton Castillo	+0.0
30	11-19	E ILL	E ILL	Kill	Katie Kopshever	set Peyton Castillo	+0.0
31	11-20	E ILL	DAYTON	Kill	Isabel Simmons	set Rylee Sloss	+0.0
32	11-21	DAYTON	DAYTON	Attack err	Anaya Rawlinson	blk Kaleigh Meritt, Isabel Simmons	+0.0
33	12-21	DAYTON	E ILL×4	Kill	Kaeden Foxx	set Peyton Castillo	+0.0
34	13-21	E ILL	E ILL×4	Kill	Kaeden Foxx	set Peyton Castillo	+0.0
35	14-21	E ILL	E ILL×4	Ace	E ILL server	aced Kamryn Hunt	+0.0
36	15-21	E ILL	E ILL×4	Attack err	Gabriela Machin Borges		+0.0
37	15-22	E ILL	DAYTON	Kill	Gabriela Machin Borges	set Rylee Sloss	+0.0
38	16-22	DAYTON	E ILL	Kill	Abana Teran	set Peyton Castillo	+0.0
39	17-22	E ILL	E ILL	Kill	Abana Teran	set Peyton Castillo	+0.0
40	17-23	E ILL	DAYTON	Bad set	Peyton Castillo		+0.0
41	18-23	DAYTON	E ILL	Kill	Katie Kopshever	set Peyton Castillo	+0.0
42	18-24	E ILL	DAYTON	Attack err	Katie Kopshever		+0.0
43	19-24	DAYTON	E ILL×4	Serve err	DAYTON server		+0.0
44	20-24	E ILL	E ILL×4	Attack err	Corrie Anderson		+0.0
45	21-24	E ILL	E ILL×4	Ace	E ILL server	aced Lily Barry	+0.1
46	22-24	E ILL	E ILL×4	Attack err	Kamryn Hunt	blk Emma Hanson, Peyton Castillo	+0.1
47	22-25	E ILL	DAYTON	Kill	Kamryn Hunt	set Emily Harden	+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Eastern Ill. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.