FinalMon, Aug 31, 2026

Louisville def. Dayton 3–0

Louisville beat visiting Dayton 3-0 (25-14, 25-14, 25-11) on Mon, Aug 31, 2026. Louisville's Chloe Meester led with 14 kills, and Chloe Chicoine added 11 digs.

Data through · final Aug 31

Set123Sets
DAYTON1414110
LOUIS2525253

Win probability

Louisville above 50 · Dayton below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 114 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Louisville stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

DAYTON 0.7%99.3% LOUIS

Dayton wins

3-0
0.1%
3-1
0.2%
3-2
0.5%

Louisville wins

3-0
77.3%
3-1
19.1%
3-2
3.0%
DAYTON break %
31.4% vs this opp
LOUIS break %
50.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

Daytonaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310621.1900002000010
32413-.154000131013
32422-.091001600002
3129-.111001001012
3203.667000000002
3000–1301300000
36416.125000100006
3011-1.0001011200001
3001.000000000000
3000–101810000
2000–001000000
2000–000200000
1103.333000000001
Team totals242189.034241625520239
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314018.77801240010.515.5
310018.556201110010.510.5
38214.42900000010.58.5
3609.66700000010.56.5
3105.2002920400214
1022-1.00000000010.50.5
3112.00071210010.52.5
3000–111710001
3001.000000500000
3000–301600000
2315.400000002447
1002.000000000000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
1000–001000000
Team totals43676.4874258381212875

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 DAYTON · LOUIS 7

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 3 DAYTONLOUIS 7

Set 2

14-25

Longest run 2 DAYTONLOUIS 5

Set 3

11-25

Longest run 1 DAYTONLOUIS 7

Bars above the line = Louisville leads, below = Dayton leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Dayton

SlotSideout %Break %
1
38%6/16
0%0/4
2
46%6/13
40%4/10
3
67%6/9
0%0/6
4
42%5/12
25%2/8
5
29%5/17
0%0/5
6
43%3/7
29%2/7
All
42%31/74
20%8/40

Louisville

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%6/9
71%12/17
2
86%6/7
50%6/12
3
86%6/7
25%2/8
4
83%5/6
44%4/9
5
83%5/6
74%14/19
6
80%4/5
56%5/9
All
80%32/40
58%43/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

114 rallies

#DAYTON-LOUISSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
11-0LOUISDAYTONServe errLouisville
22-0DAYTONDAYTONBlockedKalyssa Blackshearblk Ava Liening
32-1DAYTONLOUIS×7Attack errAva Liening
42-2LOUISLOUIS×7AceLouisvilleaced Lily Barry
52-3LOUISLOUIS×7KillChloe Chicoineset Payton Petersen
62-4LOUISLOUIS×7Attack errKamryn Hunt
72-5LOUISLOUIS×7Attack errCharlotte Vinson
82-6LOUISLOUIS×7KillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello
92-7LOUISLOUIS×7Attack errCharlotte Vinson
103-7LOUISDAYTONServe errLouisville
113-8DAYTONLOUISAttack errKamryn Hunt
123-9LOUISLOUISBlockedKamryn Huntblk Nayelis Cabello, Brooke Bultema
134-9LOUISDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington
144-10DAYTONLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello
154-11LOUISLOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello
165-11LOUISDAYTONServe errLouisville
175-12DAYTONLOUIS×7KillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello
185-13LOUISLOUIS×7KillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello
195-14LOUISLOUIS×7Attack errGabriela Machin Borges
205-15LOUISLOUIS×7BlockedSidney Spradablk Hannah Sherman, Nayelis Cabello
215-16LOUISLOUIS×7KillNayelis Cabelloset Hannah Kenny
225-17LOUISLOUIS×7AceLouisvilleaced Kamryn Hunt
235-18LOUISLOUIS×7Attack errRylee Sloss
246-18LOUISDAYTONServe errLouisville
257-18DAYTONDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss
267-19DAYTONLOUISServe errDayton
277-20LOUISLOUISAttack errSidney Sprada
288-20LOUISDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss
298-21DAYTONLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello
308-22LOUISLOUISAceLouisvilleaced Kamryn Hunt
319-22LOUISDAYTON×3Attack errHannah Sherman
3210-22DAYTONDAYTON×3KillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington
3311-22DAYTONDAYTON×3BlockedHannah Shermanblk Kamryn Hunt
3411-23DAYTONLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello
3512-23LOUISDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington
3612-24DAYTONLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello
3713-24LOUISDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington
3814-24DAYTONDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss
3914-25DAYTONLOUISServe errDayton
Set 2
10-1DAYTONLOUISServe errDayton
21-1LOUISDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington
32-1DAYTONDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Lily Barry
42-2DAYTONLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello
52-3LOUISLOUISAttack errSidney Sprada
63-3LOUISDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington
73-4DAYTONLOUIS×3KillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello
83-5LOUISLOUIS×3KillChloe Chicoineset Hannah Kenny
93-6LOUISLOUIS×3KillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello
104-6LOUISDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington
114-7DAYTONLOUIS×5KillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello
124-8LOUISLOUIS×5KillChloe Meesterset Chloe Chicoine
134-9LOUISLOUIS×5KillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello
144-10LOUISLOUIS×5KillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello
154-11LOUISLOUIS×5KillChloe Meesterset Hannah Kenny
165-11LOUISDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss
175-12DAYTONLOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello
185-13LOUISLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello
196-13LOUISDAYTONServe errLouisville
206-14DAYTONLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello
216-15LOUISLOUISBlockedGabriela Machin Borgesblk Chloe Chicoine, Addison Makun
227-15LOUISDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss
237-16DAYTONLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello
248-16LOUISDAYTONServe errLouisville
258-17DAYTONLOUISAttack errKamryn Hunt
269-17LOUISDAYTONKillAva Lieningset Natalie Harrington
279-18DAYTONLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello
2810-18LOUISDAYTONServe errLouisville
2911-18DAYTONDAYTONAceRylee Slossaced Payton Petersen
3011-19DAYTONLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello
3111-20LOUISLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello
3212-20LOUISDAYTONKillAddi Gallentineset Rylee Sloss
3312-21DAYTONLOUIS×3KillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello
3412-22LOUISLOUIS×3KillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello
3512-23LOUISLOUIS×3KillChloe Meester
3613-23LOUISDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss
3714-23DAYTONDAYTONAttack errKalyssa Blackshear
3814-24DAYTONLOUISKillAddison Makunset Nayelis Cabello
3914-25LOUISLOUISKillAddison Makunset Nayelis Cabello
Set 3
10-1LOUISLOUIS×7KillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello
20-2LOUISLOUIS×7AceLouisville
30-3LOUISLOUIS×7AceLouisvilleaced Kamryn Hunt
40-4LOUISLOUIS×7BlockedCharlotte Vinsonblk Addison Makun, Kalyssa Blackshear
50-5LOUISLOUIS×7BlockedCharlotte Vinsonblk Addison Makun
60-6LOUISLOUIS×7BlockedCharlotte Vinsonblk Addison Makun, Chloe Meester
70-7LOUISLOUIS×7KillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello
81-7LOUISDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington
91-8DAYTONLOUISKillAddison Makunset Nayelis Cabello
102-8LOUISDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington
112-9DAYTONLOUISServe errDayton
123-9LOUISDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington
133-10DAYTONLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello
143-11LOUISLOUISAttack errGabriela Machin Borges
154-11LOUISDAYTONServe errLouisville
164-12DAYTONLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Blair Thiebaud
175-12LOUISDAYTONKillAddi Gallentineset Rylee Sloss
185-13DAYTONLOUISKillBlair Thiebaudset Chloe Chicoine
195-14LOUISLOUISBlockedAva Lieningblk Addison Makun, Blair Thiebaud
206-14LOUISDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss
216-15DAYTONLOUIS×3KillKalyssa Blackshearset Blair Thiebaud
226-16LOUISLOUIS×3BlockedCharlotte Vinsonblk Addison Makun
236-17LOUISLOUIS×3KillKalyssa Blackshearset Blair Thiebaud
247-17LOUISDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington
257-18DAYTONLOUISServe errDayton
268-18LOUISDAYTONAttack errAddison Makun
278-19DAYTONLOUISServe errDayton
289-19LOUISDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Natalie Harrington
299-20DAYTONLOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Blair Thiebaud
3010-20LOUISDAYTONAttack errBlair Thiebaud
3110-21DAYTONLOUIS×4KillBrooke Bultemaset Blair Thiebaud
3210-22LOUISLOUIS×4KillChloe Meesterset Blair Thiebaud
3310-23LOUISLOUIS×4Attack errGabriela Machin Borges
3410-24LOUISLOUIS×4Attack errSidney Sprada
3511-24LOUISDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss
3611-25DAYTONLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Blair Thiebaud

Score shown after each rally, Dayton first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).