FinalFri, Sep 4, 2026

Ball St. def. Dayton 3–0

Ball St. beat visiting Dayton 3-0 (25-19, 25-23, 25-23) on Fri, Sep 4, 2026. Audrey Geer led Ball St. with 12 kills; Dayton's Sidney Sprada had a match-high 16.

Data through · final Sep 4

Set123Sets
DAYTON1923230
BALLST2525253

Win probability

Ball St. above 50 · Dayton below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+9.5% BALLSTrally 140 · set 3

Biggest swing: 9.5% to Ball St. — set 2, DAYTON 23-25 BALLST. Ball St. ace on Kamryn Hunt. BALLST win probability 80% → 89%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

DAYTON 45.7%54.3% BALLST

Dayton wins

3-0
10.8%
3-1
16.9%
3-2
18.0%

Ball St. wins

3-0
14.4%
3-1
20.6%
3-2
19.4%
DAYTON break %
39.9% vs this opp
BALLST break %
40.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ball St.Ace+9.5%

    Ball St. ace on Kamryn Hunt

    Set 2 · DAYTON 23-25 BALLST · BALLST 80% → 89%

  2. 02
    Camryn WiseKill+6.6%

    Kill by Camryn Wise (set by Lindsey Green)

    Set 2 · DAYTON 21-22 BALLST · BALLST 71% → 77%

  3. 03
    Ava SmithKill+6.5%

    Kill by Ava Smith (set by Lindsey Green)

    Set 2 · DAYTON 23-24 BALLST · BALLST 73% → 80%

  4. 04
    Sidney SpradaKill+5.3%

    Kill by Sidney Sprada (set by Kamryn Hunt)

    Set 2 · DAYTON 20-19 BALLST · DAYTON 27% → 33%

  5. 05
    Tiffany SnookKill+5.2%

    Kill by Tiffany Snook (set by Lindsey Green)

    Set 2 · DAYTON 22-23 BALLST · BALLST 73% → 78%

  6. 06
    Tiffany SnookAttack error+5.0%

    Attack error by Tiffany Snook

    Set 2 · DAYTON 23-23 BALLST · DAYTON 22% → 27%

  7. 07
    Ava SmithKill+4.8%

    Kill by Ava Smith (set by Reese Axness)

    Set 2 · DAYTON 18-19 BALLST · BALLST 71% → 76%

  8. 08
    Audrey GeerKill+4.5%

    Kill by Audrey Geer (set by Gwen Crull)

    Set 2 · DAYTON 18-18 BALLST · BALLST 66% → 71%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Daytonaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
316440.3001009002117
310429.2071105300011
38527.11100040010.58.5
3318.250001100425
3406.66710000010.54.5
3023-.6672012200001
3319.222000101225
31011.000000000001
3001.0001701900000
3000–3011600000
3000–000000000
1000–001100000
Team totals4517124.2264326484110665
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312427.29601010000013
39527.1481019010110
38119.36800020010.58.5
3619.556000300217
35111.364201000005
3102.5002600700001
36114.35700000010.56.5
3002.0001631700003
3001.0002011310000
1000–000010000
Team totals4713112.304474451214375

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 DAYTON · BALLST 8

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 4 DAYTONBALLST 8

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 4 DAYTONBALLST 3

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 3 DAYTONBALLST 3

Bars above the line = Ball St. leads, below = Dayton leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Dayton

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%9/16
30%3/10
2
57%8/14
25%3/12
3
78%7/9
27%3/11
4
64%7/11
42%5/12
5
67%6/9
46%6/13
6
40%6/15
25%2/8
All
58%43/74
33%22/66

Ball St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
82%9/11
33%4/12
2
67%8/12
43%6/14
3
89%8/9
33%4/12
4
50%7/14
36%4/11
5
60%6/10
25%2/8
6
60%6/10
65%11/17
All
67%44/66
42%31/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

140 rallies

#DAYTON-BALLSTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1BALLSTBALLSTAttack errCharlotte Vinson+2.6
21-1BALLSTDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington+1.7
31-2DAYTONBALLSTServe errDayton+1.8
42-2BALLSTDAYTONKillAddi Gallentineset Natalie Harrington+1.8
52-3DAYTONBALLSTKillCamryn Wiseset Lindsey Green+1.8
63-3BALLSTDAYTONServe errBall St.+1.8
73-4DAYTONBALLSTKillGwen Crullset Lindsey Green+1.8
84-4BALLSTDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+1.9
94-5DAYTONBALLSTBad setRylee Sloss+1.9
105-5BALLSTDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+1.9
115-6DAYTONBALLST×8Attack errKamryn Hunt+1.9
125-7BALLSTBALLST×8BlockedCharlotte Vinsonblk Madison Buckley, Camryn Wise+2.8
135-8BALLSTBALLST×8Attack errNatalie Harrington+2.7
145-9BALLSTBALLST×8Attack errSidney Sprada+2.4
155-10BALLSTBALLST×8Attack errCharlotte Vinson+2.1
165-11BALLSTBALLST×8Attack errSidney Sprada+1.7
175-12BALLSTBALLST×8Attack errSidney Sprada+1.3
185-13BALLSTBALLST×8KillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness+0.9
196-13BALLSTDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington+0.4
206-14DAYTONBALLSTKillCamryn Wiseset Reese Axness+0.6
217-14BALLSTDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+0.4
227-15DAYTONBALLSTKillAudrey Geerset Lindsey Green+0.6
237-16BALLSTBALLSTBlockedKamryn Huntblk Camryn Wise, Tiffany Snook+0.5
248-16BALLSTDAYTON×3KillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+0.2
259-16DAYTONDAYTON×3KillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+0.5
2610-16DAYTONDAYTON×3KillGabriela Machin Borgesset Lily Barry+0.8
2710-17DAYTONBALLSTKillAva Smithset Lindsey Green+0.7
2811-17BALLSTDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+0.5
2911-18DAYTONBALLST×3KillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+0.7
3011-19BALLSTBALLST×3AceBall St.aced Kamryn Hunt+0.6
3111-20BALLSTBALLST×3BlockedGabriela Machin Borgesblk Ava Smith+0.3
3212-20BALLSTDAYTONServe errBall St.+0.1
3312-21DAYTONBALLSTKillAva Smithset Sophie Ledbetter+0.2
3413-21BALLSTDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+0.1
3513-22DAYTONBALLSTKillAudrey Geerset Sophie Ledbetter+0.1
3613-23BALLSTBALLSTKillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness·
3714-23BALLSTDAYTON×4BlockedMadison Buckleyblk Abigail Cresse, Sidney Sprada·
3815-23DAYTONDAYTON×4Attack errAudrey Geer·
3916-23DAYTONDAYTON×4KillAbigail Cresseset Lily Barry+0.1
4017-23DAYTONDAYTON×4BlockedAudrey Geerblk Abigail Cresse, Charlotte Vinson+0.1
4117-24DAYTONBALLSTKillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness+0.2
4218-24BALLSTDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington·
4319-24DAYTONDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+0.1
4419-25DAYTONBALLSTKillAudrey Geerset Lindsey Green+0.2
Set 2
10-1DAYTONBALLSTServe errDayton+1.7
21-1BALLSTDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+1.7
31-2DAYTONBALLST×3KillCamryn Wiseset Lindsey Green+1.7
41-3BALLSTBALLST×3Attack errKamryn Hunt+2.5
51-4BALLSTBALLST×3Attack errAbigail Cresse+2.4
62-4BALLSTDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+1.5
72-5DAYTONBALLSTKillAva Smithset Lindsey Green+1.6
83-5BALLSTDAYTON×4KillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+1.5
94-5DAYTONDAYTON×4Bad setReese Axness+2.5
105-5DAYTONDAYTON×4BlockedAva Smithblk Gabriela Machin Borges+2.7
116-5DAYTONDAYTON×4KillKamryn Huntset Lily Barry+2.8
126-6DAYTONBALLSTServe errDayton+1.9
136-7BALLSTBALLSTKillGwen Crullset Reese Axness+2.8
147-7BALLSTDAYTON×4Attack errAudrey Geer+1.9
158-7DAYTONDAYTON×4AceDaytonaced Sophie Ledbetter+3.0
169-7DAYTONDAYTON×4BlockedGwen Crullblk Sidney Sprada, Addi Gallentine+3.0
1710-7DAYTONDAYTON×4KillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+2.8
1810-8DAYTONBALLSTKillAudrey Geerset Reese Axness+1.7
1911-8BALLSTDAYTONKillAddi Gallentineset Rylee Sloss+2.0
2011-9DAYTONBALLSTKillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness+1.8
2112-9BALLSTDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+2.0
2212-10DAYTONBALLST×3KillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+1.8
2312-11BALLSTBALLST×3Attack errNatalie Harrington+3.0
2412-12BALLSTBALLST×3KillAva Smithset Lindsey Green+3.3
2513-12BALLSTDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+2.4
2614-12DAYTONDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+3.5
2714-13DAYTONBALLSTKillCamryn Wiseset Lindsey Green+2.2
2814-14BALLSTBALLSTAttack errCharlotte Vinson+3.6
2915-14BALLSTDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+2.6
3015-15DAYTONBALLSTKillGwen Crullset Lindsey Green+2.5
3116-15BALLSTDAYTONAttack errAva Smith+2.7
3217-15DAYTONDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+4.0
3317-16DAYTONBALLSTKillAva Smithset Reese Axness+2.4
3418-16BALLSTDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Addi Gallentine+2.9
3518-17DAYTONBALLST×3KillAudrey Geerset Reese Axness+2.5
3618-18BALLSTBALLST×3KillAudrey Geerset Gwen Crull+4.5
3718-19BALLSTBALLST×3KillAva Smithset Reese Axness+4.8
3819-19BALLSTDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+3.2
3920-19DAYTONDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Kamryn Hunt+5.3
4020-20DAYTONBALLSTKillAudrey Geerset Reese Axness+3.5
4121-20BALLSTDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+4.0
4221-21DAYTONBALLSTKillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+3.8
4321-22BALLSTBALLSTKillCamryn Wiseset Lindsey Green+6.6
4422-22BALLSTDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+4.3
4522-23DAYTONBALLSTKillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+5.2
4623-23BALLSTDAYTONAttack errTiffany Snook+5.0
4723-24DAYTONBALLSTKillAva Smithset Lindsey Green+6.5
4823-25BALLSTBALLSTAceBall St.aced Kamryn Hunt+9.5
Set 3
10-1BALLSTBALLST×3Attack errKamryn Hunt+1.5
20-2BALLSTBALLST×3KillCamryn Wiseset Lindsey Green+1.5
30-3BALLSTBALLST×3KillAudrey Geerset Lindsey Green+1.4
41-3BALLSTDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+0.9
51-4DAYTONBALLSTKillAudrey Geerset Lindsey Green+1.0
61-5BALLSTBALLSTAttack errCharlotte Vinson+1.4
72-5BALLSTDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+0.8
83-5DAYTONDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+1.4
93-6DAYTONBALLSTKillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+1.0
104-6BALLSTDAYTONKillAddi Gallentineset Rylee Sloss+1.0
114-7DAYTONBALLSTKillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+1.1
124-8BALLSTBALLSTAceBall St.+1.4
135-8BALLSTDAYTONAttack errAva Smith+0.8
146-8DAYTONDAYTONBlockedAva Smithblk Abigail Cresse, Gabriela Machin Borges+1.5
156-9DAYTONBALLSTServe errDayton+1.1
166-10BALLSTBALLSTKillGwen Crullset Reese Axness+1.5
177-10BALLSTDAYTONServe errBall St.+0.9
187-11DAYTONBALLSTKillAudrey Geerset Reese Axness+1.0
197-12BALLSTBALLSTKillAudrey Geerset Gwen Crull+1.3
208-12BALLSTDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+0.7
218-13DAYTONBALLSTKillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness+0.9
229-13BALLSTDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+0.7
2310-13DAYTONDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Sidney Sprada+1.3
2410-14DAYTONBALLSTKillLindsey Greenset Ava Smith+1.1
2510-15BALLSTBALLSTAceBall St.aced Kamryn Hunt+1.3
2611-15BALLSTDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+0.7
2711-16DAYTONBALLSTKillAva Smithset Lindsey Green+0.9
2811-17BALLSTBALLSTKillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+0.9
2912-17BALLSTDAYTONKillAddi Gallentineset Rylee Sloss+0.4
3012-18DAYTONBALLSTServe errDayton+0.6
3113-18BALLSTDAYTON×3KillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+0.4
3214-18DAYTONDAYTON×3KillSidney Sprada+0.9
3315-18DAYTONDAYTON×3KillSidney Spradaset Lily Barry+1.3
3415-19DAYTONBALLSTAttack errSidney Sprada+1.2
3516-19BALLSTDAYTONBlockedAudrey Geerblk Gabriela Machin Borges, Abigail Cresse+0.8
3617-19DAYTONDAYTONAceDaytonaced Elizabeth Tabeling+1.8
3717-20DAYTONBALLSTServe errDayton+1.6
3818-20BALLSTDAYTONServe errBall St.+1.2
3918-21DAYTONBALLSTKillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness+1.6
4019-21BALLSTDAYTONAttack errCamryn Wise+1.2
4119-22DAYTONBALLSTKillAudrey Geerset Lindsey Green+1.7
4220-22BALLSTDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+1.1
4320-23DAYTONBALLSTKillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+1.8
4421-23BALLSTDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+1.0
4522-23DAYTONDAYTONKillSydney Barrettset Rylee Sloss+2.7
4622-24DAYTONBALLSTKillAva Smithset Lindsey Green+3.0
4723-24BALLSTDAYTONAttack errAva Smith+1.6
4823-25DAYTONBALLSTKillGwen Crullset Reese Axness+4.0

Score shown after each rally, Dayton first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).