Dayton def. Western Ky. 3–2
(25-15, 19-25, 25-19, 18-25, 15-10)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAYTON | 25 | 19 | 25 | 18 | 15 | 3 |
| W KY | 15 | 25 | 19 | 25 | 10 | 2 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 14.2% to Dayton — set 5, DAYTON 10-8 W KY. Kill by Sidney Sprada (set by Rylee Sloss). W KY win probability 44% → 30%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Dayton wins
Western Ky. wins
- DAYTON break %
- 38.9% vs this opp
- W KY break %
- 42.5% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Sidney SpradaKill+14.2%
Kill by Sidney Sprada (set by Rylee Sloss)
Set 5 · DAYTON 10-8 W KY · DAYTON 56% → 70%
- 02Kamryn HuntKill+12.7%
Kill by Kamryn Hunt (set by Rylee Sloss)
Set 5 · DAYTON 11-8 W KY · DAYTON 70% → 83%
- 03Alivia SkidmoreAttack error+11.1%
Alivia Skidmore stuffed by Charlotte Vinson & Abigail Cresse
Set 5 · DAYTON 6-4 W KY · DAYTON 52% → 63%
- 04Kamryn HuntAttack error+11.0%
Kamryn Hunt stuffed by Kate Rush
Set 5 · DAYTON 6-6 W KY · W KY 44% → 55%
- 05Gabriela Machin BorgesKill+9.6%
Kill by Gabriela Machin Borges (set by Rylee Sloss)
Set 5 · DAYTON 13-10 W KY · DAYTON 80% → 90%
- 06Gabriela Machin BorgesKill+9.6%
Kill by Gabriela Machin Borges (set by Rylee Sloss)
Set 5 · DAYTON 9-8 W KY · DAYTON 46% → 56%
- 07
- 08Sonja LaaksonenAttack error+9.1%
Attack error by Sonja Laaksonen
Set 5 · DAYTON 1-0 W KY · DAYTON 40% → 49%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 17 | 4 | 28 | .464 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 19 | |
| 5 | 15 | 6 | 37 | .243 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | |
| 5 | 9 | 1 | 13 | .615 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3.5 | 12.5 | |
| 5 | 10 | 2 | 21 | .381 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | |
| 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | .286 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 22 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | -.214 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 8 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 7 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 57 | 19 | 121 | .314 | 52 | 8 | 10 | 38 | 10 | 2 | 19 | 11.5 | 102 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 13 | 6 | 23 | .304 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 16.5 | |
| 5 | 11 | 1 | 21 | .476 | 41 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | |
| 5 | 9 | 2 | 17 | .412 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | |
| 5 | 9 | 1 | 15 | .533 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -.333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .174 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 11.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -.214 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 54 | 24 | 122 | .246 | 51 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 94 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
25-15
Set 2
19-25
Set 3
25-19
Set 4
18-25
Set 5
15-10
Bars above the line = Western Ky. leads, below = Dayton leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Dayton
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 65%11/17 | 54%13/24 |
| 2 | 77%10/13 | 44%8/18 |
| 3 | 53%9/17 | 53%10/19 |
| 4 | 53%9/17 | 25%3/12 |
| 5 | 47%8/17 | 53%9/17 |
| 6 | 62%8/13 | 33%4/12 |
| All | 59%55/94 | 46%47/102 |
Western Ky.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 57%12/21 | 41%7/17 |
| 2 | 56%10/18 | 23%3/13 |
| 3 | 64%9/14 | 41%7/17 |
| 4 | 47%8/17 | 44%7/16 |
| 5 | 62%8/13 | 47%7/15 |
| 6 | 42%8/19 | 50%8/16 |
| All | 54%55/102 | 41%39/94 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
196 rallies
Rally log
| # | DAYTON-W KY | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | W KY | W KY | Ace | W KY server | aced Sidney Sprada | +2.2 |
| 2 | 1-1 | W KY | DAYTON×5 | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Lily Barry | +1.6 |
| 3 | 2-1 | DAYTON | DAYTON×5 | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Lily Barry | +2.4 |
| 4 | 3-1 | DAYTON | DAYTON×5 | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Rylee Sloss | +2.5 |
| 5 | 4-1 | DAYTON | DAYTON×5 | Attack err | Kaira Knox | +2.5 | |
| 6 | 5-1 | DAYTON | DAYTON×5 | Ace | DAYTON server | aced Cali Foster | +2.5 |
| 7 | 5-2 | DAYTON | W KY | Kill | Kendall Meller | set Kate Rush | +1.5 |
| 8 | 6-2 | W KY | DAYTON×5 | Serve err | W KY server | +1.8 | |
| 9 | 7-2 | DAYTON | DAYTON×5 | Attack err | Kaira Knox | +2.4 | |
| 10 | 8-2 | DAYTON | DAYTON×5 | Attack err | Kendall Meller | blk Abigail Cresse, Gabriela Machin Borges | +2.1 |
| 11 | 9-2 | DAYTON | DAYTON×5 | Attack err | Kendall Meller | +1.8 | |
| 12 | 10-2 | DAYTON | DAYTON×5 | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +1.5 |
| 13 | 10-3 | DAYTON | W KY | Serve err | DAYTON server | +0.7 | |
| 14 | 11-3 | W KY | DAYTON | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +1.0 |
| 15 | 11-4 | DAYTON | W KY×3 | Kill | Eliza McKnight | set Kate Rush | +0.7 |
| 16 | 11-5 | W KY | W KY×3 | Attack err | Charlotte Vinson | +1.3 | |
| 17 | 11-6 | W KY | W KY×3 | Kill | Kate Rush | set Kennedy Cherry | +1.6 |
| 18 | 12-6 | W KY | DAYTON×6 | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Sidney Sprada | +1.5 |
| 19 | 13-6 | DAYTON | DAYTON×6 | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +1.7 |
| 20 | 14-6 | DAYTON | DAYTON×6 | Attack err | Alivia Skidmore | blk Abigail Cresse, Charlotte Vinson | +1.3 |
| 21 | 15-6 | DAYTON | DAYTON×6 | Attack err | Eliza McKnight | blk Kamryn Hunt, Abigail Cresse | +0.9 |
| 22 | 16-6 | DAYTON | DAYTON×6 | Ace | DAYTON server | aced Kennedy Cherry | +0.6 |
| 23 | 17-6 | DAYTON | DAYTON×6 | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +0.3 |
| 24 | 17-7 | DAYTON | W KY | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Kate Rush | +0.1 |
| 25 | 17-8 | W KY | W KY | Kill | Faith Young | set Kate Rush | +0.3 |
| 26 | 18-8 | W KY | DAYTON | Kill | Abigail Cresse | set Natalie Harrington | +0.3 |
| 27 | 19-8 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +0.2 |
| 28 | 19-9 | DAYTON | W KY | Kill | Faith Young | set Kate Rush | +0.1 |
| 29 | 20-9 | W KY | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +0.1 |
| 30 | 20-10 | DAYTON | W KY | Serve err | DAYTON server | +0.0 | |
| 31 | 21-10 | W KY | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Sidney Sprada | +0.1 |
| 32 | 21-11 | DAYTON | W KY | Serve err | DAYTON server | +0.0 | |
| 33 | 22-11 | W KY | DAYTON | Attack err | Kendall Meller | blk Gabriela Machin Borges, Kamryn Hunt, Addi Gallentine | +0.1 |
| 34 | 22-12 | DAYTON | W KY×3 | Attack err | Kamryn Hunt | +0.0 | |
| 35 | 22-13 | W KY | W KY×3 | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +0.0 |
| 36 | 22-14 | W KY | W KY×3 | Kill | Eliza McKnight | +0.1 | |
| 37 | 23-14 | W KY | DAYTON | Kill | Abigail Cresse | set Rylee Sloss | +0.1 |
| 38 | 23-15 | DAYTON | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +0.0 |
| 39 | 24-15 | W KY | DAYTON | Serve err | W KY server | +0.1 | |
| 40 | 25-15 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Natalie Harrington | +0.0 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | DAYTON | W KY | Serve err | DAYTON server | +1.9 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | W KY | DAYTON | Serve err | W KY server | +2.0 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | DAYTON | W KY | Kill | Faith Young | set Kate Rush | +1.9 |
| 4 | 2-2 | W KY | DAYTON | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +2.0 |
| 5 | 3-2 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Ace | DAYTON server | aced Cali Foster | +3.1 |
| 6 | 3-3 | DAYTON | W KY | Serve err | DAYTON server | +2.1 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | W KY | DAYTON×3 | Serve err | W KY server | +2.2 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Ace | DAYTON server | aced Kennedy Cherry | +3.3 |
| 9 | 6-3 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Kill | Abigail Cresse | set Kate Rush | +3.3 |
| 10 | 6-4 | DAYTON | W KY | Kill | Eliza McKnight | set Kate Rush | +2.0 |
| 11 | 6-5 | W KY | W KY | Bad set | Natalie Harrington | +3.2 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | W KY | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Natalie Harrington | +2.4 |
| 13 | 7-6 | DAYTON | W KY | Kill | Eliza McKnight | set Kate Rush | +2.2 |
| 14 | 8-6 | W KY | DAYTON×3 | Attack err | Kaira Knox | +2.5 | |
| 15 | 9-6 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Kill | Natalie Harrington | set Abigail Cresse | +3.6 |
| 16 | 10-6 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Tayler Baron | +3.4 |
| 17 | 10-7 | DAYTON | W KY | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Kate Rush | +2.0 |
| 18 | 10-8 | W KY | W KY | Ace | W KY server | aced Kamryn Hunt | +3.3 |
| 19 | 11-8 | W KY | DAYTON | Serve err | W KY server | +2.6 | |
| 20 | 12-8 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Ace | DAYTON server | aced Tayler Baron | +3.5 |
| 21 | 12-9 | DAYTON | W KY | Attack err | Charlotte Vinson | blk Sonja Laaksonen | +2.0 |
| 22 | 13-9 | W KY | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Lily Barry | +2.5 |
| 23 | 13-10 | DAYTON | W KY | Serve err | DAYTON server | +2.0 | |
| 24 | 13-11 | W KY | W KY | Attack err | Sidney Sprada | +3.5 | |
| 25 | 14-11 | W KY | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Lily Barry | +2.9 |
| 26 | 14-12 | DAYTON | W KY×3 | Kill | Eliza McKnight | set Kate Rush | +2.4 |
| 27 | 14-13 | W KY | W KY×3 | Attack err | Gabriela Machin Borges | blk Eliza McKnight, Alivia Skidmore | +4.0 |
| 28 | 14-14 | W KY | W KY×3 | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +4.3 |
| 29 | 15-14 | W KY | DAYTON | Kill | Abigail Cresse | set Rylee Sloss | +3.2 |
| 30 | 16-14 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Attack err | Kaira Knox | +4.8 | |
| 31 | 16-15 | DAYTON | W KY×4 | Kill | Eliza McKnight | set Kate Rush | +2.9 |
| 32 | 16-16 | W KY | W KY×4 | Attack err | Sidney Sprada | +4.8 | |
| 33 | 16-17 | W KY | W KY×4 | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Kate Rush | +4.9 |
| 34 | 16-18 | W KY | W KY×4 | Ace | W KY server | aced Lily Barry | +4.6 |
| 35 | 17-18 | W KY | DAYTON | Serve err | W KY server | +2.9 | |
| 36 | 17-19 | DAYTON | W KY×3 | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Kate Rush | +3.3 |
| 37 | 17-20 | W KY | W KY×3 | Attack err | Kamryn Hunt | blk Faith Young, Kate Rush | +4.0 |
| 38 | 17-21 | W KY | W KY×3 | Attack err | Charlotte Vinson | +2.9 | |
| 39 | 18-21 | W KY | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +1.3 |
| 40 | 18-22 | DAYTON | W KY | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Kate Rush | +1.9 |
| 41 | 19-22 | W KY | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +1.1 |
| 42 | 19-23 | DAYTON | W KY×3 | Kill | Sonja Laaksonen | set Kate Rush | +1.8 |
| 43 | 19-24 | W KY | W KY×3 | Ace | W KY server | aced Lily Barry | +1.1 |
| 44 | 19-25 | W KY | W KY×3 | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +0.2 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | W KY | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +3.1 |
| 2 | 1-1 | W KY | DAYTON | Attack err | Sonja Laaksonen | +2.2 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | DAYTON | W KY | Attack err | Sidney Sprada | +2.2 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | W KY | DAYTON | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +2.2 |
| 5 | 3-2 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Attack err | Kaira Knox | +3.5 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | DAYTON | W KY | Kill | Sonja Laaksonen | set Kate Rush | +2.3 |
| 7 | 3-4 | W KY | W KY | Attack err | Sidney Sprada | +3.3 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | W KY | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +2.3 |
| 9 | 4-5 | DAYTON | W KY | Kill | Eliza McKnight | set Kate Rush | +2.3 |
| 10 | 5-5 | W KY | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Rylee Sloss | +2.4 |
| 11 | 5-6 | DAYTON | W KY | Kill | Kate Rush | set Kennedy Cherry | +2.4 |
| 12 | 5-7 | W KY | W KY | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Kate Rush | +3.3 |
| 13 | 6-7 | W KY | DAYTON | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +2.2 |
| 14 | 6-8 | DAYTON | W KY | Kill | Faith Young | set Kate Rush | +2.3 |
| 15 | 6-9 | W KY | W KY | Attack err | Abigail Cresse | +3.1 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | W KY | DAYTON×9 | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Rylee Sloss | +2.0 |
| 17 | 8-9 | DAYTON | DAYTON×9 | Ace | DAYTON server | aced Team | +3.4 |
| 18 | 9-9 | DAYTON | DAYTON×9 | Attack err | Sonja Laaksonen | +3.9 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | DAYTON | DAYTON×9 | Attack err | Sonja Laaksonen | +4.2 | |
| 20 | 11-9 | DAYTON | DAYTON×9 | Attack err | Kate Rush | +4.4 | |
| 21 | 12-9 | DAYTON | DAYTON×9 | Kill | Sidney Sprada | +4.3 | |
| 22 | 13-9 | DAYTON | DAYTON×9 | Attack err | Faith Young | blk Abigail Cresse, Charlotte Vinson | +4.0 |
| 23 | 14-9 | DAYTON | DAYTON×9 | Attack err | Sonja Laaksonen | blk Charlotte Vinson | +3.5 |
| 24 | 15-9 | DAYTON | DAYTON×9 | Attack err | Sonja Laaksonen | blk Abigail Cresse, Charlotte Vinson | +2.9 |
| 25 | 15-10 | DAYTON | W KY | Kill | Kate Rush | set Cali Foster | +1.4 |
| 26 | 16-10 | W KY | DAYTON | Kill | Abigail Cresse | set Natalie Harrington | +2.0 |
| 27 | 16-11 | DAYTON | W KY | Kill | Faith Young | set Kate Rush | +1.3 |
| 28 | 17-11 | W KY | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +1.9 |
| 29 | 17-12 | DAYTON | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +1.2 |
| 30 | 17-13 | W KY | W KY | Attack err | Charlotte Vinson | blk Alivia Skidmore, Eliza McKnight | +2.5 |
| 31 | 18-13 | W KY | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Lily Barry | +2.5 |
| 32 | 18-14 | DAYTON | W KY | Kill | Eliza McKnight | set Kate Rush | +1.6 |
| 33 | 18-15 | W KY | W KY | Ace | W KY server | aced Kamryn Hunt | +3.3 |
| 34 | 19-15 | W KY | DAYTON | Serve err | W KY server | +3.2 | |
| 35 | 19-16 | DAYTON | W KY | Kill | Kate Rush | set Kennedy Cherry | +2.2 |
| 36 | 20-16 | W KY | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Rylee Sloss | +3.2 |
| 37 | 21-16 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Kill | Abigail Cresse | set Rylee Sloss | +3.2 |
| 38 | 21-17 | DAYTON | W KY | Kill | Kate Rush | set Kennedy Cherry | +1.2 |
| 39 | 22-17 | W KY | DAYTON | Serve err | W KY server | +2.1 | |
| 40 | 23-17 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +1.5 |
| 41 | 23-18 | DAYTON | W KY | Kill | Kate Rush | set Cali Foster | +0.3 |
| 42 | 23-19 | W KY | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +1.0 |
| 43 | 24-19 | W KY | DAYTON | Serve err | W KY server | +1.4 | |
| 44 | 25-19 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Attack err | Aubrey Sears | blk Abigail Cresse, Charlotte Vinson | +0.5 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | DAYTON | W KY | Kill | Sonja Laaksonen | set Kate Rush | +2.5 |
| 2 | 1-1 | W KY | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Natalie Harrington | +2.6 |
| 3 | 1-2 | DAYTON | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +2.6 |
| 4 | 2-2 | W KY | DAYTON | Kill | Abigail Cresse | set Natalie Harrington | +2.7 |
| 5 | 3-2 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +4.2 |
| 6 | 3-3 | DAYTON | W KY×3 | Serve err | DAYTON server | +2.8 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | W KY | W KY×3 | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +4.0 |
| 8 | 3-5 | W KY | W KY×3 | Attack err | Kamryn Hunt | blk Eliza McKnight, Kaira Knox | +3.8 |
| 9 | 4-5 | W KY | DAYTON | Serve err | W KY server | +2.6 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | DAYTON | W KY | Serve err | DAYTON server | +2.7 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | W KY | DAYTON | Kill | Addi Gallentine | set Rylee Sloss | +2.7 |
| 12 | 6-6 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Lily Barry | +4.3 |
| 13 | 6-7 | DAYTON | W KY×5 | Attack err | Addi Gallentine | +3.0 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | W KY | W KY×5 | Attack err | Sidney Sprada | blk Kate Rush, Faith Young | +4.2 |
| 15 | 6-9 | W KY | W KY×5 | Attack err | Sidney Sprada | +3.8 | |
| 16 | 6-10 | W KY | W KY×5 | Kill | Kate Rush | set Tayler Baron | +3.3 |
| 17 | 6-11 | W KY | W KY×5 | Ace | W KY server | aced Lily Barry | +2.7 |
| 18 | 7-11 | W KY | DAYTON | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +1.6 |
| 19 | 7-12 | DAYTON | W KY | Kill | Faith Young | set Kate Rush | +1.8 |
| 20 | 8-12 | W KY | DAYTON×3 | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Lily Barry | +1.6 |
| 21 | 9-12 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Ace | DAYTON server | aced Tayler Baron | +2.9 |
| 22 | 10-12 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Attack err | Sonja Laaksonen | blk Charlotte Vinson | +3.7 |
| 23 | 10-13 | DAYTON | W KY | Kill | Kate Rush | set Tayler Baron | +2.9 |
| 24 | 11-13 | W KY | DAYTON | Serve err | W KY server | +2.6 | |
| 25 | 11-14 | DAYTON | W KY | Kill | Faith Young | set Kate Rush | +2.9 |
| 26 | 11-15 | W KY | W KY | Attack err | Charlotte Vinson | +3.6 | |
| 27 | 12-15 | W KY | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +2.1 |
| 28 | 13-15 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Attack err | Eliza McKnight | blk Addi Gallentine, Charlotte Vinson | +3.9 |
| 29 | 13-16 | DAYTON | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +3.1 |
| 30 | 14-16 | W KY | DAYTON | Kill | Addi Gallentine | set Natalie Harrington | +2.8 |
| 31 | 14-17 | DAYTON | W KY | Kill | Eliza McKnight | set Kate Rush | +3.3 |
| 32 | 14-18 | W KY | W KY | Ace | W KY server | aced Lily Barry | +3.8 |
| 33 | 15-18 | W KY | DAYTON | Attack err | Alivia Skidmore | +2.0 | |
| 34 | 16-18 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Rylee Sloss | +4.1 |
| 35 | 16-19 | DAYTON | W KY | Serve err | DAYTON server | +3.5 | |
| 36 | 17-19 | W KY | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Rylee Sloss | +2.9 |
| 37 | 17-20 | DAYTON | W KY×4 | Kill | Kate Rush | set Kaira Knox | +3.7 |
| 38 | 17-21 | W KY | W KY×4 | Ace | W KY server | aced Sydney Barrett | +3.9 |
| 39 | 17-22 | W KY | W KY×4 | Ace | W KY server | aced Sidney Sprada | +2.3 |
| 40 | 17-23 | W KY | W KY×4 | Kill | Kate Rush | +1.0 | |
| 41 | 18-23 | W KY | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Rylee Sloss | +0.2 |
| 42 | 18-24 | DAYTON | W KY | Kill | Sonja Laaksonen | set Kate Rush | +0.5 |
| 43 | 18-25 | W KY | W KY | Ace | W KY server | aced Team | +1.5 |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Attack err | Sonja Laaksonen | +9.1 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | DAYTON | W KY | Kill | Faith Young | set Kate Rush | +6.0 |
| 3 | 2-1 | W KY | DAYTON | Kill | Addi Gallentine | set Rylee Sloss | +6.5 |
| 4 | 2-2 | DAYTON | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +6.2 |
| 5 | 3-2 | W KY | DAYTON | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +6.8 |
| 6 | 3-3 | DAYTON | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +6.5 |
| 7 | 4-3 | W KY | DAYTON | Serve err | W KY server | +7.1 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | DAYTON | W KY | Kill | Alivia Skidmore | set Kate Rush | +6.8 |
| 9 | 5-4 | W KY | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Natalie Harrington | +7.5 |
| 10 | 6-4 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Attack err | Alivia Skidmore | blk Charlotte Vinson, Abigail Cresse | +11.1 |
| 11 | 6-5 | DAYTON | W KY | Serve err | DAYTON server | +6.8 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | W KY | W KY | Attack err | Kamryn Hunt | blk Kate Rush | +11.0 |
| 13 | 7-6 | W KY | DAYTON | Kill | Abigail Cresse | set Natalie Harrington | +8.3 |
| 14 | 7-7 | DAYTON | W KY | Kill | Kate Rush | set Faith Young | +7.9 |
| 15 | 8-7 | W KY | DAYTON | Serve err | W KY server | +8.9 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | DAYTON | W KY | Kill | Faith Young | set Kate Rush | +8.4 |
| 17 | 9-8 | W KY | DAYTON×4 | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +9.6 |
| 18 | 10-8 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Rylee Sloss | +14.2 |
| 19 | 11-8 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Rylee Sloss | +12.7 |
| 20 | 12-8 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Attack err | Kaira Knox | +9.4 | |
| 21 | 12-9 | DAYTON | W KY | Kill | Kaira Knox | set Kate Rush | +3.4 |
| 22 | 12-10 | W KY | W KY | Attack err | Gabriela Machin Borges | blk Alivia Skidmore, Eliza McKnight | +8.5 |
| 23 | 13-10 | W KY | DAYTON×3 | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +9.6 |
| 24 | 14-10 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Ace | DAYTON server | aced Kennedy Cherry | +7.9 |
| 25 | 15-10 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Kill | Abigail Cresse | set Rylee Sloss | +2.3 |
Score shown after each rally, Dayton first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.