Final · 5 setsSat, Sep 5, 2026

Dayton def. Western Ky. 3–2

Dayton won at Western Ky. 3-2 (25-15, 19-25, 25-19, 18-25, 15-10) on Sat, Sep 5, 2026. Dayton's Kamryn Hunt led with 17 kills.

Data through · final Sep 5

Set12345Sets
DAYTON25192518153
W KY15251925102

Win probability

Western Ky. above 50 · Dayton below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+14.3% DAYTONrally 196 · set 5

Biggest swing: 14.3% to Dayton — set 5, DAYTON 10-8 W KY. Kill by Sidney Sprada (set by Rylee Sloss). W KY win probability 44% → 30%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

DAYTON 31.1%68.9% W KY

Dayton wins

3-0
6.0%
3-1
11.0%
3-2
14.1%

Western Ky. wins

3-0
22.5%
3-1
26.4%
3-2
20.0%
DAYTON break %
38.3% vs this opp
W KY break %
42.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Sidney SpradaKill+14.3%

    Kill by Sidney Sprada (set by Rylee Sloss)

    Set 5 · DAYTON 10-8 W KY · DAYTON 56% → 70%

  2. 02
    Kamryn HuntKill+12.8%

    Kill by Kamryn Hunt (set by Rylee Sloss)

    Set 5 · DAYTON 11-8 W KY · DAYTON 70% → 83%

  3. 03

    Alivia Skidmore stuffed by Charlotte Vinson & Abigail Cresse

    Set 5 · DAYTON 6-4 W KY · DAYTON 52% → 63%

  4. 04
    Kate RushBlock+11.1%

    Kamryn Hunt stuffed by Kate Rush

    Set 5 · DAYTON 6-6 W KY · W KY 44% → 55%

  5. 05

    Kill by Gabriela Machin Borges (set by Rylee Sloss)

    Set 5 · DAYTON 13-10 W KY · DAYTON 80% → 90%

  6. 06

    Kill by Gabriela Machin Borges (set by Rylee Sloss)

    Set 5 · DAYTON 9-8 W KY · DAYTON 46% → 56%

  7. 07
    Kaira KnoxAttack error+9.5%

    Attack error by Kaira Knox

    Set 5 · DAYTON 12-8 W KY · DAYTON 83% → 92%

  8. 08
    Sonja LaaksonenAttack error+9.2%

    Attack error by Sonja Laaksonen

    Set 5 · DAYTON 1-0 W KY · DAYTON 40% → 49%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Daytonaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
517428.46401210202119
515637.2432114200016
59113.61510130073.512.5
510221.3810001002111
5317.286000300214
5000–2201600000
52514-.214012102658
51011.0002030200004
5000–712740001
5000–010100001
4000–000000000
2000–001010000
Team totals5719121.31452810381021911.5102
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
513623.30413450010.516.5
511121.47641344012216
59217.4120001004211
59115.5331011002110
5000–200220000
1136-.333000200001
57323.17403220031.511.5
5000–2101920001
5001.000402530000
44714-.214000001015
4001.000000000000
1011-1.000000000000
Team totals5424122.246511013418212894

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 9 DAYTON · W KY 5

Set 1

25-15

Longest run 6 DAYTONW KY 3

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 3 DAYTONW KY 4

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 9 DAYTONW KY 2

Set 4

18-25

Longest run 3 DAYTONW KY 5

Set 5

15-10

Longest run 4 DAYTONW KY 2

Bars above the line = Western Ky. leads, below = Dayton leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Dayton

SlotSideout %Break %
1
65%11/17
54%13/24
2
77%10/13
44%8/18
3
53%9/17
53%10/19
4
53%9/17
25%3/12
5
47%8/17
53%9/17
6
62%8/13
33%4/12
All
59%55/94
46%47/102

Western Ky.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%12/21
41%7/17
2
56%10/18
23%3/13
3
64%9/14
41%7/17
4
47%8/17
44%7/16
5
62%8/13
47%7/15
6
42%8/19
50%8/16
All
54%55/102
41%39/94

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

196 rallies

#DAYTON-W KYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1W KYW KYAceWestern Ky.aced Sidney Sprada+2.2
21-1W KYDAYTON×5KillGabriela Machin Borgesset Lily Barry+1.5
32-1DAYTONDAYTON×5KillSidney Spradaset Lily Barry+2.4
43-1DAYTONDAYTON×5KillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+2.5
54-1DAYTONDAYTON×5Attack errKaira Knox+2.6
65-1DAYTONDAYTON×5AceDaytonaced Cali Foster+2.5
75-2DAYTONW KYKillKendall Mellerset Kate Rush+1.5
86-2W KYDAYTON×5Serve errWestern Ky.+1.7
97-2DAYTONDAYTON×5Attack errKaira Knox+2.4
108-2DAYTONDAYTON×5BlockedKendall Mellerblk Abigail Cresse, Gabriela Machin Borges+2.1
119-2DAYTONDAYTON×5Attack errKendall Meller+1.8
1210-2DAYTONDAYTON×5KillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+1.4
1310-3DAYTONW KYServe errDayton+0.7
1411-3W KYDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+1.0
1511-4DAYTONW KY×3KillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+0.7
1611-5W KYW KY×3Attack errCharlotte Vinson+1.3
1711-6W KYW KY×3KillKate Rushset Kennedy Cherry+1.6
1812-6W KYDAYTON×6KillKamryn Huntset Sidney Sprada+1.4
1913-6DAYTONDAYTON×6KillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+1.7
2014-6DAYTONDAYTON×6BlockedAlivia Skidmoreblk Abigail Cresse, Charlotte Vinson+1.3
2115-6DAYTONDAYTON×6BlockedEliza McKnightblk Kamryn Hunt, Abigail Cresse+0.9
2216-6DAYTONDAYTON×6AceDaytonaced Kennedy Cherry+0.6
2317-6DAYTONDAYTON×6KillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+0.3
2417-7DAYTONW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+0.1
2517-8W KYW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+0.3
2618-8W KYDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington+0.3
2719-8DAYTONDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+0.2
2819-9DAYTONW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+0.1
2920-9W KYDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+0.1
3020-10DAYTONW KYServe errDayton·
3121-10W KYDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Sidney Sprada+0.1
3221-11DAYTONW KYServe errDayton·
3322-11W KYDAYTONBlockedKendall Mellerblk Gabriela Machin Borges, Kamryn Hunt, Addi Gallentine·
3422-12DAYTONW KY×3Attack errKamryn Hunt·
3522-13W KYW KY×3KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush·
3622-14W KYW KY×3KillEliza McKnight+0.1
3723-14W KYDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Rylee Sloss+0.1
3823-15DAYTONW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush·
3924-15W KYDAYTONServe errWestern Ky.+0.1
4025-15DAYTONDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington·
Set 2
10-1DAYTONW KYServe errDayton+1.9
21-1W KYDAYTONServe errWestern Ky.+1.9
31-2DAYTONW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+1.9
42-2W KYDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+2.0
53-2DAYTONDAYTONAceDaytonaced Cali Foster+3.1
63-3DAYTONW KYServe errDayton+2.0
74-3W KYDAYTON×3Serve errWestern Ky.+2.2
85-3DAYTONDAYTON×3AceDaytonaced Kennedy Cherry+3.4
96-3DAYTONDAYTON×3KillAbigail Cresseset Kate Rush+3.4
106-4DAYTONW KYKillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+2.0
116-5W KYW KYBad setNatalie Harrington+3.2
127-5W KYDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+2.4
137-6DAYTONW KYKillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+2.2
148-6W KYDAYTON×3Attack errKaira Knox+2.5
159-6DAYTONDAYTON×3KillNatalie Harringtonset Abigail Cresse+3.6
1610-6DAYTONDAYTON×3KillKamryn Huntset Tayler Baron+3.5
1710-7DAYTONW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+1.9
1810-8W KYW KYAceWestern Ky.aced Kamryn Hunt+3.3
1911-8W KYDAYTONServe errWestern Ky.+2.6
2012-8DAYTONDAYTONAceDaytonaced Tayler Baron+3.6
2112-9DAYTONW KYBlockedCharlotte Vinsonblk Sonja Laaksonen+2.0
2213-9W KYDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Lily Barry+2.5
2313-10DAYTONW KYServe errDayton+2.0
2413-11W KYW KYAttack errSidney Sprada+3.5
2514-11W KYDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Lily Barry+2.9
2614-12DAYTONW KY×3KillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+2.4
2714-13W KYW KY×3BlockedGabriela Machin Borgesblk Eliza McKnight, Alivia Skidmore+4.1
2814-14W KYW KY×3KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+4.4
2915-14W KYDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Rylee Sloss+3.2
3016-14DAYTONDAYTONAttack errKaira Knox+4.9
3116-15DAYTONW KY×4KillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+2.9
3216-16W KYW KY×4Attack errSidney Sprada+4.8
3316-17W KYW KY×4KillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+4.9
3416-18W KYW KY×4AceWestern Ky.aced Lily Barry+4.6
3517-18W KYDAYTONServe errWestern Ky.+2.8
3617-19DAYTONW KY×3KillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+3.2
3717-20W KYW KY×3BlockedKamryn Huntblk Faith Young, Kate Rush+4.0
3817-21W KYW KY×3Attack errCharlotte Vinson+2.9
3918-21W KYDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+1.2
4018-22DAYTONW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+1.9
4119-22W KYDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+1.0
4219-23DAYTONW KY×3KillSonja Laaksonenset Kate Rush+1.7
4319-24W KYW KY×3AceWestern Ky.aced Lily Barry+1.1
4419-25W KYW KY×3KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+0.2
Set 3
10-1W KYW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+3.1
21-1W KYDAYTONAttack errSonja Laaksonen+2.2
31-2DAYTONW KYAttack errSidney Sprada+2.1
42-2W KYDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+2.2
53-2DAYTONDAYTONAttack errKaira Knox+3.5
63-3DAYTONW KYKillSonja Laaksonenset Kate Rush+2.3
73-4W KYW KYAttack errSidney Sprada+3.4
84-4W KYDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+2.3
94-5DAYTONW KYKillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+2.3
105-5W KYDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+2.4
115-6DAYTONW KYKillKate Rushset Kennedy Cherry+2.3
125-7W KYW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+3.3
136-7W KYDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+2.2
146-8DAYTONW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+2.3
156-9W KYW KYAttack errAbigail Cresse+3.1
167-9W KYDAYTON×9KillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+2.0
178-9DAYTONDAYTON×9AceDayton+3.4
189-9DAYTONDAYTON×9Attack errSonja Laaksonen+3.9
1910-9DAYTONDAYTON×9Attack errSonja Laaksonen+4.2
2011-9DAYTONDAYTON×9Attack errKate Rush+4.4
2112-9DAYTONDAYTON×9KillSidney Sprada+4.4
2213-9DAYTONDAYTON×9BlockedFaith Youngblk Abigail Cresse, Charlotte Vinson+4.1
2314-9DAYTONDAYTON×9BlockedSonja Laaksonenblk Charlotte Vinson+3.6
2415-9DAYTONDAYTON×9BlockedSonja Laaksonenblk Abigail Cresse, Charlotte Vinson+2.9
2515-10DAYTONW KYKillKate Rushset Cali Foster+1.3
2616-10W KYDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington+1.9
2716-11DAYTONW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+1.3
2817-11W KYDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+1.9
2917-12DAYTONW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+1.2
3017-13W KYW KYBlockedCharlotte Vinsonblk Alivia Skidmore, Eliza McKnight+2.5
3118-13W KYDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Lily Barry+2.4
3218-14DAYTONW KYKillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+1.6
3318-15W KYW KYAceWestern Ky.aced Kamryn Hunt+3.3
3419-15W KYDAYTONServe errWestern Ky.+3.1
3519-16DAYTONW KYKillKate Rushset Kennedy Cherry+2.1
3620-16W KYDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+3.1
3721-16DAYTONDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Rylee Sloss+3.2
3821-17DAYTONW KYKillKate Rushset Kennedy Cherry+1.1
3922-17W KYDAYTONServe errWestern Ky.+2.0
4023-17DAYTONDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+1.5
4123-18DAYTONW KYKillKate Rushset Cali Foster+0.3
4223-19W KYW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+0.9
4324-19W KYDAYTONServe errWestern Ky.+1.4
4425-19DAYTONDAYTONBlockedAubrey Searsblk Abigail Cresse, Charlotte Vinson+0.5
Set 4
10-1DAYTONW KYKillSonja Laaksonenset Kate Rush+2.5
21-1W KYDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+2.6
31-2DAYTONW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+2.6
42-2W KYDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington+2.7
53-2DAYTONDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+4.2
63-3DAYTONW KY×3Serve errDayton+2.8
73-4W KYW KY×3KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+4.1
83-5W KYW KY×3BlockedKamryn Huntblk Eliza McKnight, Kaira Knox+3.9
94-5W KYDAYTONServe errWestern Ky.+2.6
104-6DAYTONW KYServe errDayton+2.6
115-6W KYDAYTONKillAddi Gallentineset Rylee Sloss+2.6
126-6DAYTONDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Lily Barry+4.3
136-7DAYTONW KY×5Attack errAddi Gallentine+2.9
146-8W KYW KY×5BlockedSidney Spradablk Kate Rush, Faith Young+4.2
156-9W KYW KY×5Attack errSidney Sprada+3.8
166-10W KYW KY×5KillKate Rushset Tayler Baron+3.3
176-11W KYW KY×5AceWestern Ky.aced Lily Barry+2.7
187-11W KYDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+1.5
197-12DAYTONW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+1.8
208-12W KYDAYTON×3KillGabriela Machin Borgesset Lily Barry+1.5
219-12DAYTONDAYTON×3AceDaytonaced Tayler Baron+2.9
2210-12DAYTONDAYTON×3BlockedSonja Laaksonenblk Charlotte Vinson+3.7
2310-13DAYTONW KYKillKate Rushset Tayler Baron+2.8
2411-13W KYDAYTONServe errWestern Ky.+2.6
2511-14DAYTONW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+2.9
2611-15W KYW KYAttack errCharlotte Vinson+3.6
2712-15W KYDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+2.0
2813-15DAYTONDAYTONBlockedEliza McKnightblk Addi Gallentine, Charlotte Vinson+3.9
2913-16DAYTONW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+3.1
3014-16W KYDAYTONKillAddi Gallentineset Natalie Harrington+2.7
3114-17DAYTONW KYKillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+3.2
3214-18W KYW KYAceWestern Ky.aced Lily Barry+3.8
3315-18W KYDAYTONAttack errAlivia Skidmore+1.9
3416-18DAYTONDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+4.1
3516-19DAYTONW KYServe errDayton+3.5
3617-19W KYDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+2.8
3717-20DAYTONW KY×4KillKate Rushset Kaira Knox+3.6
3817-21W KYW KY×4AceWestern Ky.aced Sydney Barrett+3.9
3917-22W KYW KY×4AceWestern Ky.aced Sidney Sprada+2.3
4017-23W KYW KY×4KillKate Rush+1.0
4118-23W KYDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+0.2
4218-24DAYTONW KYKillSonja Laaksonenset Kate Rush+0.4
4318-25W KYW KYAceWestern Ky.+1.6
Set 5
11-0DAYTONDAYTONAttack errSonja Laaksonen+9.2
21-1DAYTONW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+5.9
32-1W KYDAYTONKillAddi Gallentineset Rylee Sloss+6.5
42-2DAYTONW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+6.1
53-2W KYDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+6.7
63-3DAYTONW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+6.4
74-3W KYDAYTONServe errWestern Ky.+7.0
84-4DAYTONW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+6.7
95-4W KYDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+7.4
106-4DAYTONDAYTONBlockedAlivia Skidmoreblk Charlotte Vinson, Abigail Cresse+11.2
116-5DAYTONW KYServe errDayton+6.7
126-6W KYW KYBlockedKamryn Huntblk Kate Rush+11.1
137-6W KYDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington+8.2
147-7DAYTONW KYKillKate Rushset Faith Young+7.8
158-7W KYDAYTONServe errWestern Ky.+8.8
168-8DAYTONW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+8.3
179-8W KYDAYTON×4KillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+9.5
1810-8DAYTONDAYTON×4KillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+14.3
1911-8DAYTONDAYTON×4KillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+12.8
2012-8DAYTONDAYTON×4Attack errKaira Knox+9.5
2112-9DAYTONW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+3.4
2212-10W KYW KYBlockedGabriela Machin Borgesblk Alivia Skidmore, Eliza McKnight+8.5
2313-10W KYDAYTON×3KillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+9.5
2414-10DAYTONDAYTON×3AceDaytonaced Kennedy Cherry+7.9
2515-10DAYTONDAYTON×3KillAbigail Cresseset Rylee Sloss+2.3

Score shown after each rally, Dayton first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).