Wright St. def. Dayton 3–2
Wright St. beat visiting Dayton 3-2 (25-22, 25-27, 22-25, 25-21, 15-7) on Sun, Sep 6, 2026. Mya Ayro led Wright St. with 20 kills; Dayton's Kamryn Hunt had a match-high 21.
Data through · final Sep 6
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAYTON | 22 | 27 | 25 | 21 | 7 | 2 |
| WRIGHT | 25 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 15 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 10.5% to Wright St. — set 2, DAYTON 24-24 WRIGHT. Kill by Mya Ayro (set by Lauren Yacobucci). WRIGHT win probability 53% → 64%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Dayton wins
Wright St. wins
- DAYTON break %
- 41.3% vs this opp
- WRIGHT break %
- 40.4% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Mya AyroKill+10.5%
Kill by Mya Ayro (set by Lauren Yacobucci)
Set 2 · DAYTON 24-24 WRIGHT · WRIGHT 53% → 64%
- 02
- 03Gabriela Machin BorgesAttack error+9.1%
Attack error by Gabriela Machin Borges
Set 5 · DAYTON 0-2 WRIGHT · WRIGHT 55% → 65%
- 04Wright St.Ace+8.9%
Wright St. ace on Kamryn Hunt
Set 4 · DAYTON 21-22 WRIGHT · WRIGHT 22% → 31%
- 05Mya AyroKill+8.9%
Kill by Mya Ayro (set by Lauren Yacobucci)
Set 5 · DAYTON 1-4 WRIGHT · WRIGHT 65% → 74%
- 06Wright St.Ace+8.6%
Wright St. ace on Lily Barry
Set 4 · DAYTON 21-23 WRIGHT · WRIGHT 31% → 39%
- 07Abigail KnightKill+8.2%
Kill by Abigail Knight (set by Lauren Yacobucci)
Set 1 · DAYTON 22-23 WRIGHT · WRIGHT 44% → 52%
- 08Wright St.Ace+7.8%
Wright St. ace on Lily Barry
Set 1 · DAYTON 22-24 WRIGHT · WRIGHT 52% → 60%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 21 | 7 | 51 | .275 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 24.5 | |
| 5 | 16 | 12 | 62 | .065 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 20.5 | |
| 5 | 5 | 7 | 20 | -.100 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | |
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | .167 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 12 | 2 | 29 | .345 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 13.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 30 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 59 | 32 | 184 | .147 | 57 | 7 | 8 | 75 | 8 | 1 | 21 | 11.5 | 102 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 20 | 7 | 50 | .260 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | |
| 5 | 12 | 3 | 25 | .360 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | |
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 24 | .250 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 41 | .073 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | |
| 5 | 6 | 0 | 8 | .750 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -.333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 21 | .095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3.5 | 9.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 5 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 64 | 26 | 180 | .211 | 59 | 8 | 10 | 80 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 112 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
22-25
Set 2
27-25
Set 3
25-22
Set 4
21-25
Set 5
7-15
Bars above the line = Wright St. leads, below = Dayton leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Dayton
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 59%10/17 | 47%7/15 |
| 2 | 38%8/21 | 52%11/21 |
| 3 | 58%7/12 | 36%4/11 |
| 4 | 54%7/13 | 13%1/8 |
| 5 | 43%6/14 | 59%10/17 |
| 6 | 50%6/12 | 0%0/6 |
| All | 49%44/89 | 42%33/78 |
Wright St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50%10/20 | 50%8/16 |
| 2 | 60%9/15 | 41%7/17 |
| 3 | 88%7/8 | 59%10/17 |
| 4 | 44%7/16 | 56%9/16 |
| 5 | 75%6/8 | 50%6/12 |
| 6 | 55%6/11 | 45%5/11 |
| All | 58%45/78 | 51%45/89 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
214 rallies
| # | DAYTON-WRIGHT | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Ace | Dayton | aced Taygan Corstange | +2.5 |
| 2 | 1-1 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Attack err | Sidney Sprada | +1.8 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT | Blocked | Charlotte Vinson | blk Mya Ayro | +2.6 |
| 4 | 2-2 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Attack err | Olivia Schmidt | +1.8 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Attack err | Kamryn Hunt | +1.9 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Abigail Cresse | set Natalie Harrington | +1.8 |
| 7 | 3-4 | DAYTON | WRIGHT×3 | Attack err | Sidney Sprada | +1.9 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×3 | Blocked | Charlotte Vinson | blk Katie Sowko, Reilly Zegunis | +2.8 |
| 9 | 3-6 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×3 | Kill | Reilly Zegunis | set Lauren Yacobucci | +2.7 |
| 10 | 4-6 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +1.7 |
| 11 | 4-7 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Kill | Abigail Knight | set Lauren Yacobucci | +1.9 |
| 12 | 5-7 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +1.7 |
| 13 | 6-7 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Blocked | Reilly Zegunis | blk Sidney Sprada, Addi Gallentine | +2.8 |
| 14 | 6-8 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Serve err | Dayton | +2.1 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT | Kill | Mya Ayro | set Lauren Yacobucci | +2.9 |
| 16 | 7-9 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Rylee Sloss | +1.8 |
| 17 | 7-10 | DAYTON | WRIGHT×3 | Attack err | Abigail Cresse | +2.0 | |
| 18 | 7-11 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×3 | Attack err | Gabriela Machin Borges | +2.7 | |
| 19 | 7-12 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×3 | Blocked | Sidney Sprada | blk Lauren Yacobucci, Olivia Schmidt | +2.3 |
| 20 | 8-12 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +1.3 |
| 21 | 8-13 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Attack err | Sidney Sprada | +1.6 | |
| 22 | 9-13 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Attack err | Abigail Knight | +1.3 | |
| 23 | 10-13 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Attack err | Mya Ayro | +2.3 | |
| 24 | 10-14 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Kill | Haley Robinson | set Lauren Yacobucci | +2.0 |
| 25 | 11-14 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +1.6 |
| 26 | 12-14 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Blocked | Abigail Knight | blk Kamryn Hunt, Addi Gallentine | +2.9 |
| 27 | 12-15 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Kill | Haley Robinson | set Lauren Yacobucci | +2.4 |
| 28 | 13-15 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +2.0 |
| 29 | 14-15 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Lily Barry | +3.5 |
| 30 | 14-16 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Kill | Abigail Knight | set Lauren Yacobucci | +2.7 |
| 31 | 15-16 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Serve err | Wright St. | +2.5 | |
| 32 | 16-16 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Lily Barry | +4.1 |
| 33 | 16-17 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Kill | Katie Sowko | set Lauren Yacobucci | +3.1 |
| 34 | 16-18 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT | Kill | Mya Ayro | set Lauren Yacobucci | +4.4 |
| 35 | 17-18 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Rylee Sloss | +2.7 |
| 36 | 17-19 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Kill | Mya Ayro | set Lauren Yacobucci | +3.2 |
| 37 | 17-20 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT | Kill | Lauren Yacobucci | set Reilly Zegunis | +4.1 |
| 38 | 18-20 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Blocked | Mya Ayro | blk Abigail Cresse, Gabriela Machin Borges | +2.1 |
| 39 | 19-20 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Blocked | Mya Ayro | blk Abigail Cresse, Charlotte Vinson | +4.3 |
| 40 | 19-21 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Attack err | Charlotte Vinson | +3.8 | |
| 41 | 20-21 | WRIGHT | DAYTON×3 | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +3.1 |
| 42 | 21-21 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Blocked | Mya Ayro | blk Abigail Cresse, Charlotte Vinson | +5.9 |
| 43 | 22-21 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Attack err | Haley Robinson | +6.8 | |
| 44 | 22-22 | DAYTON | WRIGHT×4 | Kill | Abigail Knight | set Lauren Yacobucci | +4.5 |
| 45 | 22-23 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×4 | Kill | Abigail Knight | set Lauren Yacobucci | +8.2 |
| 46 | 22-24 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×4 | Ace | Wright St. | aced Lily Barry | +7.8 |
| 47 | 22-25 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×4 | Blocked | Charlotte Vinson | blk Katie Sowko, Haley Robinson | +4.3 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | WRIGHT | DAYTON×5 | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +1.8 |
| 2 | 2-0 | DAYTON | DAYTON×5 | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +2.6 |
| 3 | 3-0 | DAYTON | DAYTON×5 | Ace | Dayton | +2.5 | |
| 4 | 4-0 | DAYTON | DAYTON×5 | Blocked | Abigail Knight | blk Kamryn Hunt, Abigail Cresse | +2.3 |
| 5 | 5-0 | DAYTON | DAYTON×5 | Attack err | Mya Ayro | +2.1 | |
| 6 | 5-1 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Kill | Abigail Knight | set Lauren Yacobucci | +1.2 |
| 7 | 6-1 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Serve err | Wright St. | +1.4 | |
| 8 | 7-1 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Attack err | Alisandra Hayes | +1.8 | |
| 9 | 7-2 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Kill | Katie Sowko | set Lauren Yacobucci | +1.0 |
| 10 | 8-2 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +1.2 |
| 11 | 8-3 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Kill | Abigail Knight | set Lauren Yacobucci | +1.0 |
| 12 | 9-3 | WRIGHT | DAYTON×6 | Kill | Addi Gallentine | set Rylee Sloss | +1.2 |
| 13 | 10-3 | DAYTON | DAYTON×6 | Kill | Addi Gallentine | set Lauren Yacobucci | +1.4 |
| 14 | 11-3 | DAYTON | DAYTON×6 | Attack err | Reilly Zegunis | +1.1 | |
| 15 | 12-3 | DAYTON | DAYTON×6 | Attack err | Katie Sowko | +0.8 | |
| 16 | 13-3 | DAYTON | DAYTON×6 | Attack err | Katie Sowko | +0.5 | |
| 17 | 14-3 | DAYTON | DAYTON×6 | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Rylee Sloss | +0.3 |
| 18 | 14-4 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Kill | Katie Sowko | set Lauren Yacobucci | +0.1 |
| 19 | 15-4 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Rylee Sloss | +0.2 |
| 20 | 15-5 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Kill | Mya Ayro | set Lauren Yacobucci | +0.1 |
| 21 | 16-5 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +0.2 |
| 22 | 16-6 | DAYTON | WRIGHT×3 | Serve err | Dayton | +0.1 | |
| 23 | 16-7 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×3 | Kill | Mya Ayro | set Taygan Corstange | +0.2 |
| 24 | 16-8 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×3 | Attack err | Sidney Sprada | +0.3 | |
| 25 | 17-8 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +0.4 |
| 26 | 17-9 | DAYTON | WRIGHT×3 | Serve err | Dayton | +0.2 | |
| 27 | 17-10 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×3 | Blocked | Kamryn Hunt | blk Abigail Knight, Haley Robinson | +0.5 |
| 28 | 17-11 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×3 | Ace | Wright St. | aced Sidney Sprada | +0.7 |
| 29 | 18-11 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Serve err | Wright St. | +0.7 | |
| 30 | 18-12 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Kill | Abigail Knight | set Taygan Corstange | +0.4 |
| 31 | 18-13 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT | Kill | Reilly Zegunis | set Lily Barry | +1.0 |
| 32 | 19-13 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +1.0 |
| 33 | 19-14 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Kill | Reilly Zegunis | set Lauren Yacobucci | +0.6 |
| 34 | 20-14 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Rylee Sloss | +1.0 |
| 35 | 21-14 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Rylee Sloss | +0.8 |
| 36 | 21-15 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Kill | Ella Seeger | set Lauren Yacobucci | +0.2 |
| 37 | 21-16 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT | Kill | Taygan Corstange | set Reilly Zegunis | +0.6 |
| 38 | 22-16 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +0.8 |
| 39 | 22-17 | DAYTON | WRIGHT×4 | Kill | Reilly Zegunis | set Lauren Yacobucci | +0.3 |
| 40 | 22-18 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×4 | Attack err | Abigail Cresse | +0.9 | |
| 41 | 22-19 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×4 | Ace | Wright St. | aced Kamryn Hunt | +1.6 |
| 42 | 22-20 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×4 | Kill | Mya Ayro | set Greta McKee | +2.9 |
| 43 | 23-20 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +3.2 |
| 44 | 24-20 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Attack err | Katie Sowko | +2.5 | |
| 45 | 24-21 | DAYTON | WRIGHT×4 | Kill | Mya Ayro | set Lauren Yacobucci | +0.5 |
| 46 | 24-22 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×4 | Blocked | Kamryn Hunt | blk Haley Robinson | +1.7 |
| 47 | 24-23 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×4 | Attack err | Charlotte Vinson | +4.2 | |
| 48 | 24-24 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×4 | Kill | Mya Ayro | set Lauren Yacobucci | +10.5 |
| 49 | 25-24 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Natalie Harrington | +7.3 |
| 50 | 25-25 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Kill | Haley Robinson | set Lauren Yacobucci | +7.3 |
| 51 | 26-25 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Serve err | Wright St. | +7.3 | |
| 52 | 27-25 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Attack err | Mya Ayro | +10.3 | |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Rylee Sloss | +3.4 |
| 2 | 2-0 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Blocked | Haley Robinson | blk Kamryn Hunt, Addi Gallentine | +3.3 |
| 3 | 3-0 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Sidney Sprada | +3.2 |
| 4 | 3-1 | DAYTON | WRIGHT×3 | Serve err | Dayton | +2.1 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×3 | Kill | Mya Ayro | set Lauren Yacobucci | +3.3 |
| 6 | 3-3 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×3 | Blocked | Addi Gallentine | blk Haley Robinson | +3.5 |
| 7 | 4-3 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Rylee Sloss | +2.5 |
| 8 | 5-3 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Rylee Sloss | +3.6 |
| 9 | 5-4 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Attack err | Kamryn Hunt | +2.4 | |
| 10 | 6-4 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Kamryn Hunt | +2.5 |
| 11 | 6-5 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Serve err | Dayton | +2.4 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +2.6 |
| 13 | 7-6 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Kill | Reilly Zegunis | set Lauren Yacobucci | +2.5 |
| 14 | 8-6 | WRIGHT | DAYTON×4 | Serve err | Wright St. | +2.6 | |
| 15 | 9-6 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Lily Barry | +3.6 |
| 16 | 10-6 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Attack err | Reilly Zegunis | +3.2 | |
| 17 | 11-6 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Attack err | Ella Seeger | +2.8 | |
| 18 | 11-7 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Kill | Lauren Yacobucci | set Greta McKee | +1.6 |
| 19 | 11-8 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT | Kill | Lauren Yacobucci | set Natalie Harrington | +2.8 |
| 20 | 12-8 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +2.3 |
| 21 | 12-9 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Serve err | Dayton | +2.0 | |
| 22 | 13-9 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Charlotte Vinson | +2.4 |
| 23 | 14-9 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Rylee Sloss | +2.8 |
| 24 | 14-10 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Kill | Mya Ayro | set Lauren Yacobucci | +1.5 |
| 25 | 15-10 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +2.0 |
| 26 | 15-11 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Kill | Abigail Knight | set Lauren Yacobucci | +1.5 |
| 27 | 16-11 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Serve err | Wright St. | +2.0 | |
| 28 | 16-12 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Kill | Abigail Knight | set Lauren Yacobucci | +1.5 |
| 29 | 17-12 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Rylee Sloss | +2.0 |
| 30 | 17-13 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Kill | Reilly Zegunis | set Lauren Yacobucci | +1.4 |
| 31 | 17-14 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT | Kill | Katie Sowko | set Lauren Yacobucci | +2.9 |
| 32 | 18-14 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Natalie Harrington | +2.6 |
| 33 | 18-15 | WRIGHT | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +2.0 | |||
| 34 | 19-15 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Abigail Cresse | set Natalie Harrington | +2.6 |
| 35 | 19-16 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Kill | Mya Ayro | set Lauren Yacobucci | +1.9 |
| 36 | 19-17 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT | Attack err | Charlotte Vinson | +3.9 | |
| 37 | 20-17 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +3.6 |
| 38 | 20-18 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Kill | Lauren Yacobucci | set Greta McKee | +2.7 |
| 39 | 20-19 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT | Attack err | Sidney Sprada | +5.5 | |
| 40 | 21-19 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Rylee Sloss | +4.8 |
| 41 | 21-20 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Attack err | Sidney Sprada | +4.0 | |
| 42 | 22-20 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Rylee Sloss | +5.3 |
| 43 | 23-20 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +5.8 |
| 44 | 23-21 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Attack err | Abigail Cresse | +2.2 | |
| 45 | 24-21 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +4.0 |
| 46 | 24-22 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Kill | Katie Sowko | set Lauren Yacobucci | +1.5 |
| 47 | 25-22 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Lily Barry | +3.6 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | WRIGHT | DAYTON×5 | Attack err | Abigail Knight | +2.2 | |
| 2 | 2-0 | DAYTON | DAYTON×5 | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +3.2 |
| 3 | 3-0 | DAYTON | DAYTON×5 | Blocked | Mya Ayro | blk Addi Gallentine, Gabriela Machin Borges | +3.1 |
| 4 | 4-0 | DAYTON | DAYTON×5 | Ace | Dayton | aced Katie Sowko | +2.8 |
| 5 | 5-0 | DAYTON | DAYTON×5 | Blocked | Abigail Knight | blk Sidney Sprada | +2.5 |
| 6 | 5-1 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Kill | Abigail Knight | set Lauren Yacobucci | +1.5 |
| 7 | 6-1 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Serve err | Wright St. | +1.7 | |
| 8 | 6-2 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Kill | Haley Robinson | set Lauren Yacobucci | +1.5 |
| 9 | 6-3 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT | Attack err | Sidney Sprada | +2.6 | |
| 10 | 7-3 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Serve err | Wright St. | +2.0 | |
| 11 | 7-4 | DAYTON | WRIGHT×7 | Kill | Katie Sowko | set Ella Gaona | +1.8 |
| 12 | 7-5 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×7 | Attack err | Sidney Sprada | +3.1 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×7 | Kill | Lauren Yacobucci | set Greta McKee | +3.4 |
| 14 | 7-7 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×7 | Blocked | Sidney Sprada | blk Reilly Zegunis, Lauren Yacobucci | +3.7 |
| 15 | 7-8 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×7 | Attack err | Charlotte Vinson | +3.9 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×7 | Attack err | Kamryn Hunt | +3.9 | |
| 17 | 7-10 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×7 | Blocked | Kamryn Hunt | blk Reilly Zegunis | +3.8 |
| 18 | 8-10 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Serve err | Wright St. | +2.3 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Kill | Reilly Zegunis | set Lauren Yacobucci | +2.7 |
| 20 | 9-11 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +2.4 |
| 21 | 9-12 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Kill | Mya Ayro | set Taygan Corstange | +2.8 |
| 22 | 10-12 | WRIGHT | DAYTON×5 | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +2.4 |
| 23 | 11-12 | DAYTON | DAYTON×5 | Blocked | Katie Sowko | blk Kamryn Hunt, Addi Gallentine, Gabriela Machin Borges | +4.0 |
| 24 | 12-12 | DAYTON | DAYTON×5 | Blocked | Haley Robinson | blk Kamryn Hunt, Addi Gallentine | +4.4 |
| 25 | 13-12 | DAYTON | DAYTON×5 | Ace | Dayton | aced Greta McKee | +4.6 |
| 26 | 14-12 | DAYTON | DAYTON×5 | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | +4.5 | |
| 27 | 14-13 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Kill | Mya Ayro | set Lauren Yacobucci | +2.9 |
| 28 | 15-13 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +3.2 |
| 29 | 15-14 | DAYTON | WRIGHT×4 | Kill | Mya Ayro | set Lauren Yacobucci | +3.0 |
| 30 | 15-15 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×4 | Ace | Wright St. | aced Lily Barry | +5.0 |
| 31 | 15-16 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×4 | Ace | Wright St. | aced Kamryn Hunt | +5.3 |
| 32 | 15-17 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×4 | Attack err | Sidney Sprada | +5.3 | |
| 33 | 16-17 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Rylee Sloss | +3.3 |
| 34 | 17-17 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Ace | Dayton | aced Ella Gaona | +5.6 |
| 35 | 17-18 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Serve err | Dayton | +4.2 | |
| 36 | 18-18 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Abigail Cresse | set Rylee Sloss | +4.1 |
| 37 | 18-19 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Kill | Katie Sowko | set Ella Gaona | +4.5 |
| 38 | 19-19 | WRIGHT | DAYTON×3 | Kill | Sidney Sprada | set Natalie Harrington | +4.4 |
| 39 | 20-19 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Ace | Dayton | aced Ella Gaona | +6.9 |
| 40 | 21-19 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Ace | Dayton | aced Taygan Corstange | +6.7 |
| 41 | 21-20 | DAYTON | WRIGHT×6 | Kill | Reilly Zegunis | set Lauren Yacobucci | +3.8 |
| 42 | 21-21 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×6 | Ace | Wright St. | aced Kamryn Hunt | +7.5 |
| 43 | 21-22 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×6 | Ace | Wright St. | aced Kamryn Hunt | +8.9 |
| 44 | 21-23 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×6 | Ace | Wright St. | aced Lily Barry | +8.6 |
| 45 | 21-24 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×6 | Kill | Reilly Zegunis | set Lily Barry | +6.1 |
| 46 | 21-25 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×6 | Kill | Mya Ayro | set Lauren Yacobucci | +3.7 |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Serve err | Dayton | +6.2 | |
| 2 | 0-2 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT | Attack err | Gabriela Machin Borges | +9.1 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Rylee Sloss | +5.8 |
| 4 | 1-3 | DAYTON | WRIGHT×3 | Kill | Mya Ayro | set Katie Sowko | +6.5 |
| 5 | 1-4 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×3 | Kill | Mya Ayro | set Lauren Yacobucci | +8.9 |
| 6 | 1-5 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×3 | Attack err | Kamryn Hunt | +7.8 | |
| 7 | 2-5 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +4.3 |
| 8 | 2-6 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Kill | Mya Ayro | set Taygan Corstange | +5.5 |
| 9 | 2-7 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT | Kill | Abigail Knight | set Lauren Yacobucci | +6.4 |
| 10 | 3-7 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Rylee Sloss | +3.1 |
| 11 | 3-8 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Kill | Haley Robinson | set Lauren Yacobucci | +4.4 |
| 12 | 4-8 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +3.0 |
| 13 | 4-9 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Kill | Reilly Zegunis | set Lauren Yacobucci | +4.3 |
| 14 | 5-9 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Serve err | Wright St. | +2.8 | |
| 15 | 5-10 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Kill | Reilly Zegunis | set Lauren Yacobucci | +4.2 |
| 16 | 6-10 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +2.5 |
| 17 | 6-11 | DAYTON | WRIGHT | Kill | Mya Ayro | set Lauren Yacobucci | +4.0 |
| 18 | 7-11 | WRIGHT | DAYTON | Attack err | Haley Robinson | +2.2 | |
| 19 | 7-12 | DAYTON | WRIGHT×4 | Kill | Lauren Yacobucci | set Greta McKee | +3.7 |
| 20 | 7-13 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×4 | Kill | Haley Robinson | set Lauren Yacobucci | +2.6 |
| 21 | 7-14 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×4 | Kill | Mya Ayro | set Taygan Corstange | +0.8 |
| 22 | 7-15 | WRIGHT | WRIGHT×4 | Blocked | Sidney Sprada | blk Abigail Knight, Haley Robinson | +0.1 |
Score shown after each rally, Dayton first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).