FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026

AwayNEC

0:3

HomeBIG-TEN

Michigan def. LIU 3–0

(25-11, 25-22, 25-13)

Set	1	2*	3	Sets
LIU	11	22	13	0
MICH	25	25	25	3

* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

MICH above 50 · LIU below

Biggest swing: 0.1% to LIU — set 1, LIU 3-3 MICH. Kill by Mia Rojas-Avila (set by Sara Garcia). MICH win probability 100% → 100%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

LIU 0.3%99.7% MICH

LIU wins

3-0

0.0%

3-1

0.1%

3-2

0.2%

Michigan wins

3-0

82.7%

3-1

15.2%

3-2

1.8%

LIU break %: 31.9% vs this opp
MICH break %: 52.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Mia Rojas-AvilaKill+0.1%
Kill by Mia Rojas-Avila (set by Sara Garcia)
Set 1 · LIU 3-3 MICH · LIU 0% → 0%
02
Bella CorreiaKill+0.1%
Kill by Bella Correia (set by Miabella Musignac)
Set 2 · LIU 13-14 MICH · LIU 0% → 0%
03
LIU serverAce+0.1%
LIU ace on Ella Demetrician
Set 2 · LIU 5-4 MICH · LIU 0% → 0%
04
Sydney SchnichelsAttack error+0.1%
Sydney Schnichels stuffed by Sara van Gisteren & Sara Garcia
Set 2 · LIU 8-8 MICH · LIU 0% → 0%
05
Lydia JohnsonKill+0.0%
Kill by Lydia Johnson (set by Camille Edwards)
Set 2 · LIU 21-24 MICH · MICH 100% → 100%
06
Sara van GisterenAttack error+0.0%
Attack error by Sara van Gisteren
Set 1 · LIU 3-5 MICH · MICH 100% → 100%
07
Sara van GisterenKill+0.0%
Kill by Sara van Gisteren (set by Miabella Musignac)
Set 2 · LIU 9-9 MICH · LIU 0% → 0%
08
Bella CorreiaKill+0.0%
Kill by Bella Correia (set by Dilara Elmacioglu)
Set 2 · LIU 21-23 MICH · LIU 0% → 0%

Official NCAA box

Box score

LIUaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
3Mia Rojas-AvilaOH	3	7	3	17	.235	0	2	1	3	1	0	0	9
18Sara van GisterenOH	3	8	9	25	-.040	0	0	1	8	0	1	0.5	8.5
14Bella CorreiaOH	3	7	7	26	.000	2	0	0	2	2	0	0	7
15Yasmeen MuhammadMB	3	5	1	12	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
7Dilara ElmaciogluS	3	2	1	5	.200	19	0	1	3	0	0	0	2
24Sara GarciaMB	3	1	0	3	.333	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
5Miabella MusignacL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	1	9	3	0	0	0
17Daniela De Los Santos CastilloMB	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Sibana González AcevedoOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
1Rodaina MohamedS	1	0	0	1	.000	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
2Neela FelibertyL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		30	21	89	.101	28	2	4	26	7	2	1	46

Michiganhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
9Ella DemetricianOH	3	12	1	20	.550	1	1	2	5	1	0	1	0.5	13.5
22Sydney SchnichelsOH	3	11	3	19	.421	2	2	5	8	1	0	1	0.5	13.5
4Ece SenyapiciMB	3	5	0	11	.455	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	7
12Jenna HanesMB	3	3	1	11	.182	0	2	1	2	0	0	2	1	6
3Cymarah GordonOPP	3	5	0	5	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	6
7Morgan BurkeS	3	0	0	0	–	20	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
5Lydia JohnsonOPP	3	6	0	12	.500	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
16Camille EdwardsS	3	0	0	0	–	14	2	1	3	0	0	0	0	2
13Meredith MartinL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	7	0	0	0	0	0
18Kapri GarnettOPP	1	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
8Leni Stanton-ParkerOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		43	5	80	.475	42	7	9	28	2	1	9	5.5	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 LIU · MICH 6

Set 1

11-25

Longest run 4 LIUMICH 6

Set 2*

22-25

Longest run 2 LIUMICH 3

Set 3

13-25

Longest run 2 LIUMICH 6

Bars above the line = Michigan leads, below = LIU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

LIU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	36%4/11	20%1/5
2	60%3/5	0%0/4
3	33%3/9	40%2/5
4	25%3/12	0%0/3
5	22%2/9	57%4/7
6	100%2/2	0%0/2
All	35%17/48	27%7/26

Michigan

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	80%4/5	0%0/2
2	100%4/4	64%7/11
3	60%3/5	40%2/5
4	100%3/3	67%6/9
5	43%3/7	75%9/12
6	100%2/2	78%7/9
All	73%19/26	65%31/48

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

121 rallies

Rally log

#	LIU-MICH	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	LIU	MICH	Kill	Sydney Schnichels	set Morgan Burke	+0.0
2	0-2	MICH	MICH	Attack err	Bella Correia		+0.0
3	1-2	MICH	LIU	Serve err	MICH server		+0.0
4	1-3	LIU	MICH	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Morgan Burke	+0.0
5	2-3	MICH	LIU	Kill	Sara Garcia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
6	3-3	LIU	LIU	Kill	Mia Rojas-Avila	set Sara Garcia	+0.1
7	3-4	LIU	MICH	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Morgan Burke	+0.0
8	3-5	MICH	MICH	Attack err	Sara van Gisteren		+0.0
9	4-5	MICH	LIU	Attack err	Ella Demetrician		+0.0
10	4-6	LIU	MICH×6	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Camille Edwards	+0.0
11	4-7	MICH	MICH×6	Kill	Sydney Schnichels	set Camille Edwards	+0.0
12	4-8	MICH	MICH×6	Attack err	Sara van Gisteren		+0.0
13	4-9	MICH	MICH×6	Attack err	Bella Correia		+0.0
14	4-10	MICH	MICH×6	Attack err	Mia Rojas-Avila	blk Lydia Johnson, Jenna Hanes, Sydney Schnichels	+0.0
15	4-11	MICH	MICH×6	Kill	Sydney Schnichels	set Meredith Martin	+0.0
16	5-11	MICH	LIU×4	Kill	Mia Rojas-Avila	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
17	6-11	LIU	LIU×4	Attack err	Jenna Hanes		+0.0
18	7-11	LIU	LIU×4	Attack err	Sydney Schnichels		+0.0
19	8-11	LIU	LIU×4	Kill	Yasmeen Muhammad		+0.0
20	8-12	LIU	MICH×6	Kill	Sydney Schnichels	set Camille Edwards	+0.0
21	8-13	MICH	MICH×6	Kill	Lydia Johnson		+0.0
22	8-14	MICH	MICH×6	Ace	MICH server	aced Miabella Musignac	+0.0
23	8-15	MICH	MICH×6	Ace	MICH server	aced Bella Correia	+0.0
24	8-16	MICH	MICH×6	Kill	Ece Senyapici	set Lydia Johnson	+0.0
25	8-17	MICH	MICH×6	Attack err	Bella Correia		+0.0
26	9-17	MICH	LIU	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
27	9-18	LIU	MICH	Kill	Lydia Johnson	set Meredith Martin	+0.0
28	10-18	MICH	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
29	10-19	LIU	MICH×6	Kill	Ece Senyapici	set Morgan Burke	+0.0
30	10-20	MICH	MICH×6	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Morgan Burke	+0.0
31	10-21	MICH	MICH×6	Attack err	Bella Correia	blk Ece Senyapici, Ella Demetrician	+0.0
32	10-22	MICH	MICH×6	Kill	Ece Senyapici	set Morgan Burke	+0.0
33	10-23	MICH	MICH×6	Ace	MICH server	aced Mia Rojas-Avila	+0.0
34	10-24	MICH	MICH×6	Attack err	Sara van Gisteren		+0.0
35	11-24	MICH	LIU	Serve err	MICH server		+0.0
36	11-25	LIU	MICH	Kill	Ece Senyapici	set Morgan Burke	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	MICH	LIU	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
2	1-1	LIU	MICH	Kill	Sydney Schnichels	set Morgan Burke	+0.0
3	1-2	MICH	MICH	Attack err	Sara van Gisteren		+0.0
4	2-2	MICH	LIU	Kill	Mia Rojas-Avila	set Bella Correia	+0.0
5	2-3	LIU	MICH	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Morgan Burke	+0.0
6	3-3	MICH	LIU	Kill	Yasmeen Muhammad	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
7	3-4	LIU	MICH	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Morgan Burke	+0.0
8	4-4	MICH	LIU	Serve err	MICH server		+0.0
9	5-4	LIU	LIU	Ace	LIU server	aced Ella Demetrician	+0.1
10	5-5	LIU	MICH	Serve err	LIU server		+0.0
11	5-6	MICH	MICH	Attack err	Sara van Gisteren		+0.0
12	6-6	MICH	LIU	Serve err	MICH server		+0.0
13	6-7	LIU	MICH	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Camille Edwards	+0.0
14	6-8	MICH	MICH	Attack err	Bella Correia		+0.0
15	7-8	MICH	LIU	Kill	Dilara Elmacioglu	set Bella Correia	+0.0
16	8-8	LIU	LIU	Attack err	Sydney Schnichels	blk Sara van Gisteren, Sara Garcia	+0.1
17	8-9	LIU	MICH	Kill	Sydney Schnichels	set Ella Demetrician	+0.0
18	9-9	MICH	LIU	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Miabella Musignac	+0.0
19	9-10	LIU	MICH×3	Kill	Sydney Schnichels	set Morgan Burke	+0.0
20	9-11	MICH	MICH×3	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Morgan Burke	+0.0
21	9-12	MICH	MICH×3	Ace	MICH server	aced Bella Correia	+0.0
22	10-12	MICH	LIU	Kill	Mia Rojas-Avila	set Miabella Musignac	+0.0
23	10-13	LIU	MICH	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Meredith Martin	+0.0
24	11-13	MICH	LIU	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
25	11-14	LIU	MICH	Kill	Jenna Hanes	set Morgan Burke	+0.0
26	12-14	MICH	LIU	Kill	Mia Rojas-Avila	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
27	13-14	LIU	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Miabella Musignac	+0.1
28	13-15	LIU	MICH	Attack err	Sara van Gisteren		+0.0
29	13-16	MICH	MICH	Attack err	Yasmeen Muhammad		+0.0
30	14-16	MICH	LIU	Kill	Dilara Elmacioglu	set Miabella Musignac	+0.0
31	14-17	LIU	MICH	Serve err	LIU server		+0.0
32	15-17	MICH	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
33	15-18	LIU	MICH	Attack err	Bella Correia		+0.0
34	15-19	MICH	MICH	Attack err	Sara van Gisteren	blk Cymarah Gordon, Ece Senyapici	+0.0
35	16-19	MICH	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
36	16-20	LIU	MICH	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
37	17-20	MICH	LIU	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
38	17-21	LIU	MICH	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Morgan Burke	+0.0
39	18-21	MICH	LIU	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
40	18-22	LIU	MICH	Kill	Jenna Hanes	set Morgan Burke	+0.0
41	19-22	MICH	LIU	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
42	19-23	LIU	MICH	Kill	Jenna Hanes	set Camille Edwards	+0.0
43	20-23	MICH	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
44	21-23	LIU	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
45	21-24	LIU	MICH	Kill	Lydia Johnson	set Camille Edwards	+0.0
46	22-24	MICH	LIU	Serve err	MICH server		+0.0
47	22-25	LIU	MICH	Kill	Sydney Schnichels	set Meredith Martin	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	LIU	LIU	Attack err	Sydney Schnichels		+0.0
2	1-1	LIU	MICH	Kill	Ece Senyapici	set Morgan Burke	+0.0
3	2-1	MICH	LIU	Serve err	MICH server		+0.0
4	2-2	LIU	MICH×3	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Morgan Burke	+0.0
5	2-3	MICH	MICH×3	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Sydney Schnichels	+0.0
6	2-4	MICH	MICH×3	Attack err	Mia Rojas-Avila	blk Jenna Hanes, Cymarah Gordon	+0.0
7	3-4	MICH	LIU	Kill	Mia Rojas-Avila	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
8	4-4	LIU	LIU	Kill	Yasmeen Muhammad	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
9	4-5	LIU	MICH×6	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Sydney Schnichels	+0.0
10	4-6	MICH	MICH×6	Attack err	Mia Rojas-Avila		+0.0
11	4-7	MICH	MICH×6	Ace	MICH server	aced Miabella Musignac	+0.0
12	4-8	MICH	MICH×6	Ace	MICH server	aced Sibana González Acevedo	+0.0
13	4-9	MICH	MICH×6	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Camille Edwards	+0.0
14	4-10	MICH	MICH×6	Attack err	Sara van Gisteren		+0.0
15	5-10	MICH	LIU	Kill	Yasmeen Muhammad	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
16	5-11	LIU	MICH×4	Serve err	LIU server		+0.0
17	5-12	MICH	MICH×4	Kill	Sydney Schnichels	set Camille Edwards	+0.0
18	5-13	MICH	MICH×4	Kill	Lydia Johnson	set Camille Edwards	+0.0
19	5-14	MICH	MICH×4	Ace	MICH server	aced Miabella Musignac	+0.0
20	6-14	MICH	LIU	Kill	Mia Rojas-Avila	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
21	7-14	LIU	LIU	Ace	LIU server	aced Sydney Schnichels	+0.0
22	7-15	LIU	MICH×3	Kill	Lydia Johnson	set Camille Edwards	+0.0
23	7-16	MICH	MICH×3	Attack err	Dilara Elmacioglu	blk Ece Senyapici	+0.0
24	7-17	MICH	MICH×3	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Camille Edwards	+0.0
25	8-17	MICH	LIU	Kill	Ece Senyapici	set Camille Edwards	+0.0
26	8-18	LIU	MICH	Attack err	Sara van Gisteren		+0.0
27	9-18	MICH	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
28	9-19	LIU	MICH	Serve err	LIU server		+0.0
29	9-20	MICH	MICH	Attack err	Bella Correia		+0.0
30	10-20	MICH	LIU	Serve err	MICH server		+0.0
31	10-21	LIU	MICH	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Morgan Burke	+0.0
32	11-21	MICH	LIU	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Rodaina Mohamed	+0.0
33	11-22	LIU	MICH	Kill	Kapri Garnett	set Morgan Burke	+0.0
34	12-22	MICH	LIU	Kill	Yasmeen Muhammad	set Rodaina Mohamed	+0.0
35	12-23	LIU	MICH	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Camille Edwards	+0.0
36	12-24	MICH	MICH	Kill	Sydney Schnichels	set Camille Edwards	+0.0
37	13-24	MICH	LIU	Serve err	MICH server		+0.0
38	13-25	LIU	MICH	Kill	Lydia Johnson	set Camille Edwards	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, LIU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.