Michigan def. Miami (FL) 3–0
(25-15, 25-15, 25-19)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMI | 15 | 15 | 19 | 0 |
| MICH | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 1.3% to Miami (FL) — set 1, MIAMI 3-0 MICH. Attack error by Sydney Schnichels. MICH win probability 89% → 88%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Miami (FL) wins
Michigan wins
- MIAMI break %
- 37.4% vs this opp
- MICH break %
- 47.7% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Sydney SchnichelsAttack error+1.3%
Attack error by Sydney Schnichels
Set 1 · MIAMI 3-0 MICH · MIAMI 11% → 12%
- 02MIAMI serverAce+1.2%
Miami (FL) ace on Sydney Schnichels
Set 1 · MIAMI 2-0 MICH · MIAMI 10% → 11%
- 03MICH serverAce+1.2%
Michigan ace on Asia Harvey
Set 1 · MIAMI 4-3 MICH · MICH 89% → 90%
- 04MIAMI serverAce+1.2%
Miami (FL) ace on Sydney Schnichels
Set 1 · MIAMI 7-7 MICH · MIAMI 8% → 9%
- 05Cymarah GordonKill+1.1%
Kill by Cymarah Gordon (set by Meredith Martin)
Set 1 · MIAMI 4-4 MICH · MICH 90% → 91%
- 06MICH serverService error+1.0%
Michigan service error
Set 1 · MIAMI 4-1 MICH · MIAMI 11% → 12%
- 07
- 08
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 7 | 9 | 32 | -.063 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 9.5 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 23 | .087 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -.125 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | .100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | .400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -.143 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 23 | 22 | 94 | .011 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 49 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 12 | 5 | 28 | .250 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | |
| 3 | 11 | 3 | 19 | .421 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | |
| 3 | 5 | 0 | 8 | .625 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 7.5 | |
| 3 | 4 | 1 | 8 | .375 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 6.5 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | .083 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 20 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 4 | 0 | 6 | .667 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 40 | 13 | 82 | .329 | 38 | 4 | 8 | 42 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 6.5 | 75 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
15-25
Set 2
15-25
Set 3
19-25
Bars above the line = Michigan leads, below = Miami (FL) leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Miami (FL)
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 86%6/7 | 33%2/6 |
| 2 | 38%6/16 | 33%3/9 |
| 3 | 50%6/12 | 33%3/9 |
| 4 | 75%6/8 | 33%3/9 |
| 5 | 28%5/18 | 33%3/9 |
| 6 | 23%3/13 | 38%3/8 |
| All | 43%32/74 | 34%17/50 |
Michigan
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 67%6/9 | 58%7/12 |
| 2 | 60%6/10 | 60%9/15 |
| 3 | 75%6/8 | 50%6/12 |
| 4 | 60%6/10 | 33%3/9 |
| 5 | 86%6/7 | 54%7/13 |
| 6 | 50%3/6 | 77%10/13 |
| All | 66%33/50 | 57%42/74 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
124 rallies
Rally log
| # | MIAMI-MICH | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | MICH | MIAMI×3 | Kill | Asia Harvey | set Meredith Martin | +0.8 |
| 2 | 2-0 | MIAMI | MIAMI×3 | Ace | MIAMI server | aced Sydney Schnichels | +1.2 |
| 3 | 3-0 | MIAMI | MIAMI×3 | Attack err | Sydney Schnichels | +1.3 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | MIAMI | MICH | Kill | Cymarah Gordon | set Morgan Burke | +0.8 |
| 5 | 4-1 | MICH | MIAMI | Serve err | MICH server | +1.0 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | MIAMI | MICH×4 | Kill | Ella Demetrician | set Meredith Martin | +0.9 |
| 7 | 4-3 | MICH | MICH×4 | Ace | MICH server | aced Asia Harvey | +1.2 |
| 8 | 4-4 | MICH | MICH×4 | Kill | Cymarah Gordon | set Meredith Martin | +1.1 |
| 9 | 4-5 | MICH | MICH×4 | Attack err | Ella Thompson | +1.0 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | MICH | MIAMI | Kill | Asia Harvey | set Billie Reiter | +0.8 |
| 11 | 5-6 | MIAMI | MICH | Serve err | MIAMI server | +0.8 | |
| 12 | 5-7 | MICH | MICH | Kill | Ella Demetrician | set Camille Edwards | +0.9 |
| 13 | 6-7 | MICH | MIAMI | Kill | Sonja Danilovic | set Olivia Durst | +0.7 |
| 14 | 7-7 | MIAMI | MIAMI | Ace | MIAMI server | aced Sydney Schnichels | +1.2 |
| 15 | 7-8 | MIAMI | MICH×4 | Kill | Ella Demetrician | set Camille Edwards | +0.8 |
| 16 | 7-9 | MICH | MICH×4 | Attack err | Asia Harvey | +1.0 | |
| 17 | 7-10 | MICH | MICH×4 | Attack err | Ella Thompson | blk Sydney Schnichels, Jenna Hanes | +0.8 |
| 18 | 7-11 | MICH | MICH×4 | Attack err | Sonja Danilovic | +0.7 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | MICH | MIAMI | Attack err | Sydney Schnichels | +0.5 | |
| 20 | 9-11 | MIAMI | MIAMI | Kill | Lal Akin | +0.8 | |
| 21 | 9-12 | MIAMI | MICH | Kill | Lydia Johnson | set Camille Edwards | +0.6 |
| 22 | 10-12 | MICH | MIAMI | Attack err | Sydney Schnichels | +0.7 | |
| 23 | 10-13 | MIAMI | MICH | Serve err | MIAMI server | +0.7 | |
| 24 | 11-13 | MICH | MIAMI | Serve err | MICH server | +0.7 | |
| 25 | 11-14 | MIAMI | MICH | Attack err | Asia Harvey | +0.7 | |
| 26 | 11-15 | MICH | MICH | Kill | Cymarah Gordon | set Morgan Burke | +0.8 |
| 27 | 12-15 | MICH | MIAMI | Kill | Ella Thompson | set Billie Reiter | +0.5 |
| 28 | 12-16 | MIAMI | MICH×3 | Kill | Cymarah Gordon | set Morgan Burke | +0.6 |
| 29 | 12-17 | MICH | MICH×3 | Attack err | Ella Thompson | +0.6 | |
| 30 | 12-18 | MICH | MICH×3 | Ace | MICH server | aced Asia Harvey | +0.4 |
| 31 | 13-18 | MICH | MIAMI | Kill | Adrianna Bridges | set Billie Reiter | +0.2 |
| 32 | 13-19 | MIAMI | MICH | Kill | Jenna Hanes | set Morgan Burke | +0.2 |
| 33 | 13-20 | MICH | MICH | Attack err | Asia Harvey | +0.2 | |
| 34 | 14-20 | MICH | MIAMI | Kill | Adrianna Bridges | set Billie Reiter | +0.1 |
| 35 | 14-21 | MIAMI | MICH | Kill | Lydia Johnson | set Camille Edwards | +0.1 |
| 36 | 15-21 | MICH | MIAMI | Serve err | MICH server | +0.1 | |
| 37 | 15-22 | MIAMI | MICH×4 | Kill | Ella Demetrician | set Camille Edwards | +0.1 |
| 38 | 15-23 | MICH | MICH×4 | Attack err | Asia Harvey | +0.0 | |
| 39 | 15-24 | MICH | MICH×4 | Attack err | Asia Harvey | blk Lydia Johnson, Ece Senyapici | +0.0 |
| 40 | 15-25 | MICH | MICH×4 | Attack err | Ella Thompson | blk Sydney Schnichels, Ece Senyapici | +0.0 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | MIAMI | MIAMI | Kill | Ella Thompson | set Olivia Durst | +0.7 |
| 2 | 1-1 | MIAMI | MICH | Kill | Sydney Schnichels | set Morgan Burke | +0.5 |
| 3 | 2-1 | MICH | MIAMI | Attack err | Ece Senyapici | +0.6 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | MIAMI | MICH | Serve err | MIAMI server | +0.5 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | MICH | MICH | Kill | Cymarah Gordon | set Morgan Burke | +0.6 |
| 6 | 3-3 | MICH | MIAMI | Kill | Ella Thompson | set Billie Reiter | +0.5 |
| 7 | 3-4 | MIAMI | MICH | Kill | Ella Demetrician | set Morgan Burke | +0.5 |
| 8 | 4-4 | MICH | MIAMI | Kill | Ella Thompson | set Billie Reiter | +0.5 |
| 9 | 5-4 | MIAMI | MIAMI | Ace | MIAMI server | aced Meredith Martin | +0.8 |
| 10 | 5-5 | MIAMI | MICH | Serve err | MIAMI server | +0.6 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | MICH | MIAMI | Kill | Asia Harvey | set Billie Reiter | +0.7 |
| 12 | 6-6 | MIAMI | MICH×3 | Kill | Sydney Schnichels | set Camille Edwards | +0.6 |
| 13 | 6-7 | MICH | MICH×3 | Attack err | Ella Thompson | +0.7 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | MICH | MICH×3 | Attack err | Sonja Danilovic | +0.7 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | MICH | MIAMI×3 | Kill | Asia Harvey | set Billie Reiter | +0.5 |
| 16 | 8-8 | MIAMI | MIAMI×3 | Kill | Asia Harvey | set Billie Reiter | +0.8 |
| 17 | 9-8 | MIAMI | MIAMI×3 | Attack err | Camille Edwards | +1.0 | |
| 18 | 9-9 | MIAMI | MICH×7 | Serve err | MIAMI server | +0.7 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | MICH | MICH×7 | Kill | Ece Senyapici | +0.8 | |
| 20 | 9-11 | MICH | MICH×7 | Attack err | Lal Akin | +0.7 | |
| 21 | 9-12 | MICH | MICH×7 | Attack err | Asia Harvey | +0.6 | |
| 22 | 9-13 | MICH | MICH×7 | Kill | Cymarah Gordon | set Morgan Burke | +0.5 |
| 23 | 9-14 | MICH | MICH×7 | Kill | Ella Demetrician | set Morgan Burke | +0.4 |
| 24 | 9-15 | MICH | MICH×7 | Attack err | Asia Harvey | blk Cymarah Gordon, Ece Senyapici | +0.3 |
| 25 | 10-15 | MICH | MIAMI | Attack err | Cymarah Gordon | blk Asia Harvey, Lal Akin | +0.2 |
| 26 | 10-16 | MIAMI | MICH | Attack err | Asia Harvey | +0.2 | |
| 27 | 11-16 | MICH | MIAMI | Serve err | MICH server | +0.1 | |
| 28 | 12-16 | MIAMI | MIAMI | Ace | MIAMI server | aced Meredith Martin | +0.3 |
| 29 | 12-17 | MIAMI | MICH | Kill | Ella Demetrician | set Morgan Burke | +0.3 |
| 30 | 13-17 | MICH | MIAMI | Kill | Ella Thompson | set Billie Reiter | +0.2 |
| 31 | 13-18 | MIAMI | MICH | Kill | Jenna Hanes | set Morgan Burke | +0.3 |
| 32 | 13-19 | MICH | MICH | Kill | Ella Demetrician | set Jenna Hanes | +0.2 |
| 33 | 14-19 | MICH | MIAMI | Kill | Ella Thompson | set Billie Reiter | +0.1 |
| 34 | 14-20 | MIAMI | MICH | Serve err | MIAMI server | +0.2 | |
| 35 | 15-20 | MICH | MIAMI | Serve err | MICH server | +0.1 | |
| 36 | 15-21 | MIAMI | MICH×5 | Kill | Jenna Hanes | set Camille Edwards | +0.1 |
| 37 | 15-22 | MICH | MICH×5 | Kill | Ella Demetrician | set Camille Edwards | +0.1 |
| 38 | 15-23 | MICH | MICH×5 | Ace | MICH server | aced Olivia Durst | +0.0 |
| 39 | 15-24 | MICH | MICH×5 | Attack err | Adrianna Bridges | +0.0 | |
| 40 | 15-25 | MICH | MICH×5 | Kill | Sydney Schnichels | set Camille Edwards | +0.0 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | MICH | MICH | Kill | Cymarah Gordon | set Morgan Burke | +0.3 |
| 2 | 1-1 | MICH | MIAMI | Serve err | MICH server | +0.2 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | MIAMI | MICH×3 | Serve err | MIAMI server | +0.2 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | MICH | MICH×3 | Kill | Ece Senyapici | set Morgan Burke | +0.2 |
| 5 | 1-4 | MICH | MICH×3 | Kill | Ella Demetrician | set Meredith Martin | +0.2 |
| 6 | 2-4 | MICH | MIAMI×3 | Serve err | MICH server | +0.2 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | MIAMI | MIAMI×3 | Kill | Ruth Martinez | +0.3 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | MIAMI | MIAMI×3 | Attack err | Ella Demetrician | +0.3 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | MIAMI | MICH | Attack err | Ruth Martinez | +0.2 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | MICH | MIAMI | Kill | Ella Thompson | set Billie Reiter | +0.3 |
| 11 | 5-6 | MIAMI | MICH | Kill | Cymarah Gordon | set Morgan Burke | +0.2 |
| 12 | 6-6 | MICH | MIAMI | Kill | Denitsa Angelova | set Billie Reiter | +0.3 |
| 13 | 6-7 | MIAMI | MICH | Kill | Ella Demetrician | set Camille Edwards | +0.2 |
| 14 | 7-7 | MICH | MIAMI | Kill | Denitsa Angelova | set Billie Reiter | +0.3 |
| 15 | 7-8 | MIAMI | MICH | Kill | Jenna Hanes | set Camille Edwards | +0.2 |
| 16 | 8-8 | MICH | MIAMI | Attack err | Ella Demetrician | +0.3 | |
| 17 | 9-8 | MIAMI | MIAMI | Kill | Ella Thompson | set Billie Reiter | +0.4 |
| 18 | 9-9 | MIAMI | MICH | Bad set | Billie Reiter | +0.3 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | MICH | MIAMI | Kill | Asia Harvey | set Billie Reiter | +0.3 |
| 20 | 10-10 | MIAMI | MICH×7 | Kill | Ece Senyapici | set Morgan Burke | +0.3 |
| 21 | 10-11 | MICH | MICH×7 | Attack err | Asia Harvey | blk Cymarah Gordon, Ece Senyapici | +0.4 |
| 22 | 10-12 | MICH | MICH×7 | Kill | Cymarah Gordon | set Morgan Burke | +0.3 |
| 23 | 10-13 | MICH | MICH×7 | Kill | Ece Senyapici | set Morgan Burke | +0.3 |
| 24 | 10-14 | MICH | MICH×7 | Attack err | Ruth Martinez | +0.2 | |
| 25 | 10-15 | MICH | MICH×7 | Attack err | Ella Thompson | blk Ella Demetrician, Ece Senyapici | +0.2 |
| 26 | 10-16 | MICH | MICH×7 | Kill | Cymarah Gordon | set Morgan Burke | +0.1 |
| 27 | 11-16 | MICH | MIAMI | Attack err | Ella Demetrician | +0.1 | |
| 28 | 12-16 | MIAMI | MIAMI | Attack err | Cymarah Gordon | +0.1 | |
| 29 | 12-17 | MIAMI | MICH | Kill | Ella Demetrician | set Morgan Burke | +0.1 |
| 30 | 13-17 | MICH | MIAMI×3 | Kill | Denitsa Angelova | set Billie Reiter | +0.1 |
| 31 | 14-17 | MIAMI | MIAMI×3 | Attack err | Ella Demetrician | +0.2 | |
| 32 | 15-17 | MIAMI | MIAMI×3 | Attack err | Cymarah Gordon | +0.3 | |
| 33 | 15-18 | MIAMI | MICH | Kill | Cymarah Gordon | set Morgan Burke | +0.3 |
| 34 | 16-18 | MICH | MIAMI×3 | Kill | Asia Harvey | set Billie Reiter | +0.2 |
| 35 | 17-18 | MIAMI | MIAMI×3 | Attack err | Ella Demetrician | +0.5 | |
| 36 | 18-18 | MIAMI | MIAMI×3 | Ace | MIAMI server | aced Meredith Martin | +0.6 |
| 37 | 18-19 | MIAMI | MICH×5 | Serve err | MIAMI server | +0.5 | |
| 38 | 18-20 | MICH | MICH×5 | Attack err | Denitsa Angelova | +0.6 | |
| 39 | 18-21 | MICH | MICH×5 | Kill | Jenna Hanes | set Camille Edwards | +0.4 |
| 40 | 18-22 | MICH | MICH×5 | Kill | Lydia Johnson | set Camille Edwards | +0.3 |
| 41 | 18-23 | MICH | MICH×5 | Kill | Lydia Johnson | set Camille Edwards | +0.1 |
| 42 | 19-23 | MICH | MIAMI | Serve err | MICH server | +0.0 | |
| 43 | 19-24 | MIAMI | MICH | Kill | Sydney Schnichels | set Camille Edwards | +0.1 |
| 44 | 19-25 | MICH | MICH | Ace | MICH server | aced Asia Harvey | +0.0 |
Score shown after each rally, Miami (FL) first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.