CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 12, 2026

Western Caro. def. William & Mary 31

(19-25, 25-17, 25-21, 25-23)
Set1234Sets
W CAR192525253
WM&MRY251721231

RallyIQ model

Win probability

WM&MRY above 50 · W CAR below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100WM&MRYW CARBiggest swing +15.8% W CAR · S4 25-23rally 180 · set 4

Biggest swing: 15.8% to Western Caro. — set 4, W CAR 25-23 WM&MRY. Western Caro. ace on Teagan Pocius. WM&MRY win probability 16%0%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

W CAR 37.8%62.2% WM&MRY

Western Caro. wins

3-0
8.0%
3-1
13.7%
3-2
16.1%

William & Mary wins

3-0
18.4%
3-1
23.8%
3-2
20.0%
W CAR break %
42.4% vs this opp
WM&MRY break %
44.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    W CAR serverAce+15.8%

    Western Caro. ace on Teagan Pocius

    Set 4 · W CAR 25-23 WM&MRY · W CAR 84%100%

  2. 02
    Zoe ZudansKill+11.8%

    Kill by Zoe Zudans (set by Elise Gurley)

    Set 4 · W CAR 23-22 WM&MRY · W CAR 69%81%

  3. 03
    WM&MRY serverService error+11.6%

    William & Mary service error

    Set 4 · W CAR 24-23 WM&MRY · W CAR 73%84%

  4. 04
    Zoe ZudansKill+9.3%

    Kill by Zoe Zudans (set by Cate Hatfield)

    Set 4 · W CAR 22-22 WM&MRY · W CAR 60%69%

  5. 05
    Audrey BrckaKill+8.6%

    Kill by Audrey Brcka (set by Cate Hatfield)

    Set 4 · W CAR 23-23 WM&MRY · WM&MRY 19%27%

  6. 06
    Audrey BrckaBad set+6.4%

    Bad set by Audrey Brcka

    Set 4 · W CAR 21-22 WM&MRY · W CAR 54%60%

  7. 07
    Tatum SharpKill+5.4%

    Kill by Tatum Sharp

    Set 3 · W CAR 17-15 WM&MRY · W CAR 46%51%

  8. 08
    Sophia MariniAttack error+5.3%

    Sophia Marini stuffed by Audrey Brcka

    Set 4 · W CAR 17-20 WM&MRY · WM&MRY 42%47%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413427.3330321012218
413742.1430001100013
49318.333000200009
4309.3334202701225
4126-.167001400001
2000010310001
410628.1430002000010
49425.2000122100010
40000011100000
40006021900000
40001011000000
1001.000000000000
Team totals5826156.2054951162424494
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411125.40002140132.515.5
412640.15000230111.513.5
46323.130002500217
44417.000000011015
4015-.2003300800000
34114.214301600004
40000001000000
40002031500000
35311.182000300005
3000010100001
2000010220001
Team totals4219135.170384957536686

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 W CAR · WM&MRY 5

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 4 W CARWM&MRY 5

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 4 W CARWM&MRY 2

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 6 W CARWM&MRY 4

Set 4

25-23

Longest run 5 W CARWM&MRY 4

Bars above the line = William & Mary leads, below = Western Caro. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Western Caro.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
77%10/13
61%14/23
2
60%9/15
36%5/14
3
50%9/18
36%5/14
4
57%8/14
33%4/12
5
62%8/13
43%6/14
6
50%7/14
56%9/16
All
59%51/87
46%43/93

William & Mary

SlotSideout %Break %
1
59%10/17
20%2/10
2
64%9/14
29%4/14
3
57%8/14
55%11/20
4
67%8/12
53%9/17
5
53%8/15
20%2/10
6
33%7/21
50%8/16
All
54%50/93
41%36/87

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

180 rallies

Rally log

#W CAR-WM&MRYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0WM&MRYW CARKillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney+1.8
21-1W CARWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+1.8
31-2WM&MRYWM&MRYAttack errSophia Marini+2.3
42-2WM&MRYW CARKillAiyana Harrisset Katie Boney+1.8
52-3W CARWM&MRYServe errW CAR server+1.8
63-3WM&MRYW CARServe errWM&MRY server+1.9
73-4W CARWM&MRYKillEmily McKeeset Katherine Arnason+1.9
83-5WM&MRYWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Cate Hatfield+2.4
94-5WM&MRYW CARAttack errEmily McKee+1.8
105-5W CARW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+2.5
115-6W CARWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Cate Hatfield+2.0
125-7WM&MRYWM&MRYAttack errTatum Sharp+2.5
136-7WM&MRYW CARKillKatie Boneyset Avery Horejsi+1.9
146-8W CARWM&MRY×5Serve errW CAR server+2.0
156-9WM&MRYWM&MRY×5AceWM&MRY serveraced Team+2.4
166-10WM&MRYWM&MRY×5KillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+2.1
176-11WM&MRYWM&MRY×5Attack errZoe Zudans+1.8
186-12WM&MRYWM&MRY×5AceWM&MRY serveraced Halley Tang+1.5
197-12WM&MRYW CARServe errWM&MRY server+0.9
207-13W CARWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+1.1
218-13WM&MRYW CARKillAiyana Harrisset Katie Boney+0.9
228-14W CARWM&MRYServe errW CAR server+1.1
239-14WM&MRYW CARKillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney+0.9
2410-14W CARW CARKillSamantha Kranzlerset Samantha Kranzler+1.5
2510-15W CARWM&MRY×3KillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+1.4
2610-16WM&MRYWM&MRY×3Attack errSamantha Kranzler+1.4
2710-17WM&MRYWM&MRY×3Attack errSophia Mariniblk Olivia Westfort, Emily McKee+1.0
2811-17WM&MRYW CARServe errWM&MRY server+0.5
2912-17W CARW CARAttack errKatherine Arnason+1.0
3012-18W CARWM&MRY×4KillOlivia Westfortset Cate Hatfield+1.1
3112-19WM&MRYWM&MRY×4KillEmily McKeeset Katherine Arnason+0.9
3212-20WM&MRYWM&MRY×4Attack errSamantha Kranzler+0.5
3312-21WM&MRYWM&MRY×4Attack errSophia Marini+0.3
3413-21WM&MRYW CARKillTaylor Baggettset Katie Boney+0.1
3513-22W CARWM&MRYAttack errTaylor Baggett+0.1
3613-23WM&MRYWM&MRYAttack errTatum Sharpblk Audrey Brcka, Olivia Westfort+0.1
3714-23WM&MRYW CARServe errWM&MRY server+0.0
3815-23W CARW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+0.0
3915-24W CARWM&MRYServe errW CAR server+0.1
4016-24WM&MRYW CAR×4Attack errAudrey Brcka+0.0
4117-24W CARW CAR×4KillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney+0.0
4218-24W CARW CAR×4KillAiyana Harrisset Katie Boney+0.1
4319-24W CARW CAR×4Attack errTeagan Pocius+0.1
4419-25W CARWM&MRYServe errW CAR server+0.2
Set 2
11-0W CARW CARKillSophia Mariniset Katie Boney+2.1
21-1W CARWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+1.6
32-1WM&MRYW CARServe errWM&MRY server+1.7
43-1W CARW CARKillTaylor Baggettset Elise Gurley+2.2
53-2W CARWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Cate Hatfield+1.6
64-2WM&MRYW CARServe errWM&MRY server+1.8
75-2W CARW CARKillTaylor Baggettset Katie Boney+2.2
85-3W CARWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Cate Hatfield+1.6
95-4WM&MRYWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Cate Hatfield+2.2
106-4WM&MRYW CARServe errWM&MRY server+1.8
116-5W CARWM&MRYAttack errTatum Sharp+1.7
127-5WM&MRYW CARAttack errAudrey Brckablk Katie Boney, Tatum Sharp+1.9
137-6W CARWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Cate Hatfield+1.8
148-6WM&MRYW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+1.9
158-7W CARWM&MRYKillEmily McKeeset Cate Hatfield+1.8
168-8WM&MRYWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+2.5
179-8WM&MRYW CARKillZoe Zudansset Elise Gurley+2.0
189-9W CARWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+1.9
1910-9WM&MRYW CARServe errWM&MRY server+2.1
2010-10W CARWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Avery Horejsi+2.0
2110-11WM&MRYWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfort+2.7
2211-11WM&MRYW CARKillAiyana Harrisset Katie Boney+2.1
2311-12W CARWM&MRYKillEmily McKeeset Cate Hatfield+2.1
2412-12WM&MRYW CAR×3KillSophia Mariniset Katie Boney+2.2
2513-12W CARW CAR×3KillTatum Sharp+3.0
2614-12W CARW CAR×3KillTaylor Baggettset Evelyn Keefer+3.1
2714-13W CARWM&MRYServe errW CAR server+2.2
2815-13WM&MRYW CARAttack errOlivia Westfort+2.5
2915-14W CARWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Katherine Arnason+2.2
3016-14WM&MRYW CARAttack errCate Hatfieldblk Tatum Sharp+2.6
3117-14W CARW CARKillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney+3.2
3217-15W CARWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+2.0
3318-15WM&MRYW CAR×4KillZoe Zudansset Elise Gurley+2.6
3419-15W CARW CAR×4KillAiyana Harrisset Katie Boney+2.8
3520-15W CARW CAR×4Attack errTeagan Pocius+2.2
3621-15W CARW CAR×4Attack errEmily McKee+1.4
3721-16W CARWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Cate Hatfield+0.6
3821-17WM&MRYWM&MRYAttack errZoe Zudans+1.2
3922-17WM&MRYW CAR×4KillSophia Mariniset Elise Gurley+1.5
4023-17W CARW CAR×4KillSophia Mariniset Katie Boney+1.0
4124-17W CARW CAR×4Attack errEmily McKee+0.4
4225-17W CARW CAR×4KillTaylor Baggettset Katie Boney+0.1
Set 3
11-0WM&MRYW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+2.5
21-1W CARWM&MRYKillSophia Van Nameset Cate Hatfield+2.4
32-1WM&MRYW CARKillAiyana Harrisset Katie Boney+2.6
42-2W CARWM&MRYServe errW CAR server+2.5
53-2WM&MRYW CARKillAiyana Harrisset Katie Boney+2.6
63-3W CARWM&MRY×3Attack errTatum Sharpblk Olivia Westfort, Emily McKee+2.5
73-4WM&MRYWM&MRY×3KillOlivia Westfortset Cate Hatfield+3.3
83-5WM&MRYWM&MRY×3AceWM&MRY serveraced Taylor Baggett+3.2
94-5WM&MRYW CARKillSophia Mariniset Katie Boney+2.4
105-5W CARW CARKillSophia Mariniset Katie Boney+3.4
115-6W CARWM&MRYServe errW CAR server+2.7
126-6WM&MRYW CARKillSophia Mariniset Katie Boney+2.7
136-7W CARWM&MRYAttack errTaylor Baggett+2.7
147-7WM&MRYW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+2.8
157-8W CARWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+2.8
168-8WM&MRYW CARKillKatie Boney+2.9
179-8W CARW CARAttack errTeagan Pocius+4.0
189-9W CARWM&MRYServe errW CAR server+3.0
1910-9WM&MRYW CARKillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney+3.2
2010-10W CARWM&MRYKillSophia Van Nameset Cate Hatfield+3.1
2110-11WM&MRYWM&MRYAttack errZoe Zudans+4.0
2211-11WM&MRYW CARKillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney+3.2
2311-12W CARWM&MRYBad setTaylor Baggett+3.2
2412-12WM&MRYW CARKillSophia Mariniset Katie Boney+3.3
2512-13W CARWM&MRYServe errW CAR server+3.4
2613-13WM&MRYW CAR×3KillSophia Mariniset Katie Boney+3.4
2714-13W CARW CAR×3KillTaylor Baggettset Katie Boney+4.8
2815-13W CARW CAR×3Attack errAudrey Brcka+4.9
2915-14W CARWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+3.4
3015-15WM&MRYWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+4.9
3116-15WM&MRYW CAR×6KillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+4.1
3217-15W CARW CAR×6KillTatum Sharp+5.4
3318-15W CARW CAR×6KillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+5.1
3419-15W CARW CAR×6KillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+4.3
3520-15W CARW CAR×6AceW CAR serveraced Maya De Los Reyes+3.3
3621-15W CARW CAR×6KillZoe Zudansset Elise Gurley+2.2
3721-16W CARWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+0.9
3822-16WM&MRYW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+1.5
3922-17W CARWM&MRYKillSophia Van Nameset Cate Hatfield+0.7
4023-17WM&MRYW CARAttack errTeagan Pocius+1.2
4123-18W CARWM&MRY×4KillEmily McKeeset Cate Hatfield+0.4
4223-19WM&MRYWM&MRY×4Attack errZoe Zudans+1.1
4323-20WM&MRYWM&MRY×4Attack errSophia Mariniblk Olivia Westfort+2.0
4423-21WM&MRYWM&MRY×4AceWM&MRY serveraced Zoe Zudans+3.7
4524-21WM&MRYW CARKillAiyana Harrisset Katie Boney+5.2
4625-21W CARW CARKillAiyana Harrisset Katie Boney+2.8
Set 4
10-1W CARWM&MRYKillEmily McKeeset Cate Hatfield+2.7
20-2WM&MRYWM&MRYBad setKatie Boney+3.4
31-2WM&MRYW CARAttack errSophia Van Name+2.6
41-3W CARWM&MRY×3KillSophia Van Nameset Cate Hatfield+2.6
51-4WM&MRYWM&MRY×3Attack errAiyana Harris+3.2
61-5WM&MRYWM&MRY×3Attack errSophia Marini+3.0
72-5WM&MRYW CARKillSophia Mariniset Katie Boney+2.1
83-5W CARW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+3.1
93-6W CARWM&MRYAttack errTaylor Baggett+2.6
104-6WM&MRYW CARServe errWM&MRY server+2.5
114-7W CARWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+2.7
125-7WM&MRYW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+2.5
135-8W CARWM&MRY×4Serve errW CAR server+2.7
145-9WM&MRYWM&MRY×4Attack errZoe Zudans+3.2
155-10WM&MRYWM&MRY×4Attack errZoe Zudans+2.7
165-11WM&MRYWM&MRY×4Bad setKatie Boney+2.3
176-11WM&MRYW CAR×5Attack errAudrey Brckablk Katie Boney+1.4
187-11W CARW CAR×5AceW CAR serveraced Team+2.4
198-11W CARW CAR×5AceW CAR serveraced Team+2.9
209-11W CARW CAR×5Attack errAudrey Brcka+3.5
2110-11W CARW CAR×5Attack errSophia Van Name+4.1
2210-12W CARWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Avery Horejsi+3.4
2310-13WM&MRYWM&MRYAttack errAiyana Harrisblk Teagan Pocius+4.1
2411-13WM&MRYW CAR×3KillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney+2.9
2512-13W CARW CAR×3Attack errEmily McKee+4.4
2613-13W CARW CAR×3KillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney+5.0
2713-14W CARWM&MRYKillSophia Van Nameset Avery Horejsi+3.9
2813-15WM&MRYWM&MRYAttack errZoe Zudans+5.0
2914-15WM&MRYW CARAttack errSophia Van Name+3.6
3014-16W CARWM&MRY×3KillOlivia Westfortset Cate Hatfield+4.0
3114-17WM&MRYWM&MRY×3Attack errTaylor Baggett+4.7
3214-18WM&MRYWM&MRY×3Attack errAiyana Harris+3.9
3315-18WM&MRYW CAR×3KillTaylor Baggettset Katie Boney+2.3
3416-18W CARW CAR×3KillTaylor Baggett+4.1
3517-18W CARW CAR×3AceW CAR serveraced Maya De Los Reyes+5.3
3617-19W CARWM&MRY×3KillOlivia Westfortset Cate Hatfield+4.7
3717-20WM&MRYWM&MRY×3Attack errSophia Mariniblk Audrey Brcka+5.3
3817-21WM&MRYWM&MRY×3KillOlivia Westfortset Cate Hatfield+4.0
3918-21WM&MRYW CARKillTaylor Baggettset Katie Boney+2.1
4018-22W CARWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Cate Hatfield+3.1
4119-22WM&MRYW CAR×5KillKatie Boneyset Maya De Los Reyes+1.8
4220-22W CARW CAR×5Attack errAudrey Brckablk Tatum Sharp, Katie Boney+4.0
4321-22W CARW CAR×5Bad setAudrey Brcka+6.4
4422-22W CARW CAR×5KillZoe Zudansset Cate Hatfield+9.3
4523-22W CARW CAR×5KillZoe Zudansset Elise Gurley+11.8
4623-23W CARWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+8.6
4724-23WM&MRYW CARServe errWM&MRY server+11.6
4825-23W CARW CARAceW CAR serveraced Teagan Pocius+15.8

Score shown after each rally, Western Caro. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.