Final · 5 setsTue, Sep 1, 2026

South Carolina def. Michigan 3–2

South Carolina won at Michigan 3-2 (19-25, 20-25, 25-18, 27-25, 17-15) on Tue, Sep 1, 2026. South Carolina's Olivia Borgman led with 20 kills, and Lilly Gillespie added 21 digs.

Data through · final Sep 1

Set12345Sets
S CAR19202527173
MICH25251825152

Win probability

Michigan above 50 · South Carolina below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+37.4% S CARrally 216 · set 5

Biggest swing: 37.4% to South Carolina — set 5, S CAR 17-15 MICH. Kill by Ava Leahy (set by Kaia Pixler). MICH win probability 37% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

S CAR 7.9%92.1% MICH

South Carolina wins

3-0
1.0%
3-1
2.3%
3-2
4.5%

Michigan wins

3-0
48.5%
3-1
31.2%
3-2
12.5%
S CAR break %
35.1% vs this opp
MICH break %
45.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ava LeahyKill+37.4%

    Kill by Ava Leahy (set by Kaia Pixler)

    Set 5 · S CAR 17-15 MICH · S CAR 63% → 100%

  2. 02
    Lydia JohnsonBlock+31.3%

    Olivia Borgman stuffed by Lydia Johnson

    Set 5 · S CAR 14-14 MICH · MICH 26% → 58%

  3. 03
    Ellie WhiteBad set+28.7%

    Bad set by Ellie White

    Set 5 · S CAR 16-15 MICH · S CAR 34% → 63%

  4. 04

    Ella Demetrician stuffed by Ally Cavanaugh & Ava Leahy

    Set 5 · S CAR 14-12 MICH · S CAR 57% → 83%

  5. 05

    Kill by Ella Demetrician (set by Meredith Martin)

    Set 5 · S CAR 14-15 MICH · MICH 58% → 82%

  6. 06
    Olivia BorgmanAttack error+18.2%

    Attack error by Olivia Borgman

    Set 5 · S CAR 12-12 MICH · MICH 41% → 60%

  7. 07
    Ella DemetricianAttack error+16.1%

    Attack error by Ella Demetrician

    Set 5 · S CAR 13-12 MICH · S CAR 40% → 57%

  8. 08
    MichiganService error+15.5%

    Michigan service error

    Set 5 · S CAR 15-15 MICH · S CAR 18% → 34%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
520850.24002371031.523.5
512121.52400220052.514.5
57325.16000050073.510.5
53010.30000020112710
5001.0003000400211
2000–010110001
511436.19400010031.512.5
56314.214100100217
5000–6312120003
4000–1210700001
4000–002420000
4000–000100000
1000–401100000
Team totals5919157.255537957613418108
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
517841.2200002004219
514019.73700020010.514.5
510121.4291001004212
591145-.044011104010.510.5
58326.1921256300010
51011.00032111300002
59622.1360004010110
5102.5008001700001
3011-1.0002222600002
2000–302800000
1000–000000000
Team totals6930178.219676116971106108

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 S CAR · MICH 5

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 3 S CARMICH 4

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 3 S CARMICH 5

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 6 S CARMICH 5

Set 4

27-25

Longest run 5 S CARMICH 4

Set 5

17-15

Longest run 3 S CARMICH 3

Bars above the line = Michigan leads, below = South Carolina leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

South Carolina

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%10/16
38%5/13
2
45%9/20
53%10/19
3
75%9/12
57%12/21
4
50%7/14
33%4/12
5
70%7/10
46%6/13
6
58%7/12
22%2/9
All
58%49/84
45%39/87

Michigan

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%10/15
38%5/13
2
39%9/23
50%10/20
3
64%9/14
36%5/14
4
50%7/14
50%8/16
5
64%7/11
36%4/11
6
60%6/10
30%3/10
All
55%48/87
42%35/84

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

216 rallies

#S CAR-MICHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MICHS CARBlockedCymarah Gordonblk Sydney Davis, Elise Marchal+0.7
21-1S CARMICHKillEce Senyapiciset Morgan Burke+0.6
31-2MICHMICHKillElla Demetricianset Meredith Martin+0.9
42-2MICHS CARServe errMichigan+0.6
53-2S CARS CARBlockedElla Demetricianblk Ava Leahy, Elise Marchal+1.1
63-3S CARMICHKillEce Senyapiciset Morgan Burke+0.7
74-3MICHS CARAttack errElla Demetrician+0.8
84-4S CARMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.7
95-4MICHS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Jillian Bohannon+0.8
105-5S CARMICHServe errSouth Carolina+0.7
115-6MICHMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Camille Edwards+1.0
126-6MICHS CARKillCeci Vanceset Jillian Bohannon+0.7
136-7S CARMICHKillJenna Hanesset Camille Edwards+0.7
147-7MICHS CARKillAlly Cavanaughset Jillian Bohannon+0.8
157-8S CARMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+0.7
168-8MICHS CARKillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+0.8
178-9S CARMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.7
188-10MICHMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Meredith Martin+1.0
199-10MICHS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Lilly Gillespie+0.7
2010-10S CARS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+1.2
2110-11S CARMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Meredith Martin+0.8
2211-11MICHS CARKillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+0.9
2311-12S CARMICHKillJenna Hanesset Morgan Burke+0.9
2411-13MICHMICHAceMichiganaced Madisyn Crnjac+1.1
2512-13MICHS CARKillAva Leahyset Jillian Bohannon+0.8
2612-14S CARMICHKillJenna Hanesset Camille Edwards+0.8
2712-15MICHMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Camille Edwards+1.0
2813-15MICHS CARAttack errLydia Johnson+0.6
2913-16S CARMICH×3KillJenna Hanesset Camille Edwards+0.7
3013-17MICHMICH×3Bad setCeci Vance+0.7
3113-18MICHMICH×3KillSydney Schnichelsset Camille Edwards+0.5
3214-18MICHS CARBlockedLydia Johnsonblk Ceci Vance, Sydney Davis+0.2
3314-19S CARMICHKillEce Senyapiciset Camille Edwards+0.3
3415-19MICHS CAR×3Serve errMichigan+0.2
3516-19S CARS CAR×3KillElise Marchalset Meredith Martin+0.6
3617-19S CARS CAR×3AceSouth Carolinaaced Sydney Schnichels+0.9
3717-20S CARMICH×4KillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.8
3817-21MICHMICH×4KillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.8
3917-22MICHMICH×4BlockedOlivia Borgmanblk Cymarah Gordon, Ece Senyapici+0.4
4017-23MICHMICH×4KillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+0.2
4118-23MICHS CARServe errMichigan·
4218-24S CARMICHKillEce Senyapiciset Morgan Burke+0.1
4319-24MICHS CARKillAva Leahyset Kiana Dinn·
4419-25S CARMICHServe errSouth Carolina·
Set 2
11-0S CARS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+0.7
21-1S CARMICH×5KillSydney Schnichelsset Meredith Martin+0.4
31-2MICHMICH×5KillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.6
41-3MICHMICH×5BlockedOlivia Borgmanblk Cymarah Gordon, Ece Senyapici+0.5
51-4MICHMICH×5Bad setMadisyn Crnjac+0.4
61-5MICHMICH×5KillEce Senyapiciset Morgan Burke+0.4
72-5MICHS CARKillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+0.2
82-6S CARMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.2
93-6MICHS CARKillAva Leahyset Kaia Pixler+0.2
103-7S CARMICHKillJenna Hanesset Morgan Burke+0.2
114-7MICHS CARServe errMichigan+0.2
12–135-8S CAR · MICH
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
145-9S CARMICH×3Attack errAlly Cavanaugh+0.3
155-10MICHMICH×3KillJenna Hanesset Camille Edwards+0.3
165-11MICHMICH×3KillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+0.2
176-11MICHS CARKillCeci Vanceset Kiana Dinn+0.1
186-12S CARMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+0.1
197-12MICHS CARAttack errLydia Johnson+0.1
208-12S CARS CARAttack errSydney Schnichels+0.3
218-13S CARMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+0.2
228-14MICHMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.2
239-14MICHS CAR×3KillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+0.1
2410-14S CARS CAR×3KillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+0.3
2511-14S CARS CAR×3BlockedCymarah Gordonblk Ava Leahy, Elise Marchal+0.4
2611-15S CARMICHServe errSouth Carolina+0.3
2712-15MICHS CARServe errMichigan+0.3
2812-16S CARMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+0.3
2913-16MICHS CARKillAva Leahyset Kiana Dinn+0.3
3013-17S CARMICHKillJenna Hanesset Morgan Burke+0.3
3113-18MICHMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+0.3
3214-18MICHS CAR×3KillCeci Vanceset Kiana Dinn+0.2
3315-18S CARS CAR×3BlockedElla Demetricianblk Kiana Dinn, Sydney Davis+0.4
3416-18S CARS CAR×3BlockedElla Demetricianblk Sydney Davis, Kiana Dinn+0.6
3516-19S CARMICH×4KillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+0.5
3616-20MICHMICH×4KillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+0.5
3716-21MICHMICH×4KillJenna Hanesset Camille Edwards+0.3
3816-22MICHMICH×4AceMichiganaced Olivia Borgman+0.1
3917-22MICHS CARKillCeci Vanceset Kiana Dinn·
4017-23S CARMICHKillJenna Hanesset Camille Edwards+0.1
4118-23MICHS CARKillElise Marchalset Lilly Gillespie·
4219-23S CARS CARKillSydney Davis+0.1
4319-24S CARMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Ece Senyapici+0.1
4420-24MICHS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn·
4520-25S CARMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.1
Set 3
11-0MICHS CARBlockedCymarah Gordonblk Sydney Davis+0.2
21-1S CARMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Kiana Dinn+0.2
32-1MICHS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+0.2
42-2S CARMICHKillEce Senyapiciset Morgan Burke+0.2
53-2MICHS CARKillAva Leahyset Kiana Dinn+0.2
63-3S CARMICH×5KillJenna Hanesset Morgan Burke+0.2
73-4MICHMICH×5AceMichiganaced Elizabeth McElveen+0.3
83-5MICHMICH×5KillElla Demetricianset Meredith Martin+0.2
93-6MICHMICH×5KillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+0.2
103-7MICHMICH×5KillSydney Schnichelsset Camille Edwards+0.2
114-7MICHS CARServe errMichigan+0.1
124-8S CARMICHServe errSouth Carolina+0.1
135-8MICHS CARKillAlly Cavanaughset Kaia Pixler+0.1
146-8S CARS CARAttack errCamille Edwards+0.2
156-9S CARMICHServe errSouth Carolina+0.1
167-9MICHS CARKillSydney Davisset Kaia Pixler+0.2
177-10S CARMICH×3KillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+0.2
187-11MICHMICH×3Bad setKiana Dinn+0.2
197-12MICHMICH×3Bad setKiana Dinn+0.1
208-12MICHS CARBlockedSydney Schnichelsblk Elise Marchal, Sydney Davis+0.1
219-12S CARS CARBlockedCymarah Gordonblk Olivia Borgman, Sydney Davis+0.2
229-13S CARMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Morgan Burke+0.1
239-14MICHMICHAceMichiganaced Lilly Gillespie+0.1
2410-14MICHS CAR×6Serve errMichigan+0.1
2511-14S CARS CAR×6KillAva Leahyset Kiana Dinn+0.2
2612-14S CARS CAR×6AceSouth Carolinaaced Sydney Schnichels+0.3
2713-14S CARS CAR×6Attack errCymarah Gordon+0.3
2814-14S CARS CAR×6KillAva Leahyset Kiana Dinn+0.5
2915-14S CARS CAR×6AceSouth Carolinaaced Sydney Schnichels+0.6
3015-15S CARMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.3
3116-15MICHS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+0.4
3216-16S CARMICHAttack errOlivia Borgman+0.4
3317-16MICHS CAR×4Attack errLydia Johnson+0.4
3418-16S CARS CAR×4AceSouth Carolinaaced Ella Demetrician+0.7
3519-16S CARS CAR×4AceSouth Carolinaaced Ella Demetrician+0.7
3620-16S CARS CAR×4Attack errElla Demetrician+0.7
3720-17S CARMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+0.3
3821-17MICHS CARKillCeci Vanceset Kaia Pixler+0.5
3921-18S CARMICHKillJenna Hanesset Camille Edwards+0.3
4022-18MICHS CAR×4KillAlly Cavanaughset Kaia Pixler+0.5
4123-18S CARS CAR×4BlockedSydney Schnichelsblk Sydney Davis, Elise Marchal+0.4
4224-18S CARS CAR×4BlockedEce Senyapiciblk Sydney Davis, Elise Marchal+0.2
4325-18S CARS CAR×4BlockedLydia Johnsonblk Sydney Davis, Ceci Vance·
Set 4
10-1S CARMICH×4Attack errElise Marchal+0.8
20-2MICHMICH×4AceMichiganaced Elizabeth McElveen+1.1
30-3MICHMICH×4KillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.9
40-4MICHMICH×4BlockedOlivia Borgmanblk Cymarah Gordon, Ece Senyapici+0.7
51-4MICHS CAR×5KillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+0.5
62-4S CARS CAR×5BlockedCymarah Gordonblk Ava Leahy, Olivia Borgman+0.9
73-4S CARS CAR×5KillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+1.2
84-4S CARS CAR×5AceSouth Carolinaaced Ella Demetrician+1.4
95-4S CARS CAR×5Attack errCymarah Gordon+1.7
105-5S CARMICHAttack errOlivia Borgman+1.1
116-5MICHS CAR×5Serve errMichigan+1.3
127-5S CARS CAR×5KillOlivia Borgmanset Morgan Burke+2.0
138-5S CARS CAR×5AceSouth Carolinaaced Ella Demetrician+2.2
149-5S CARS CAR×5KillOlivia Borgmanset Lilly Gillespie+2.4
1510-5S CARS CAR×5KillAlly Cavanaughset Kaia Pixler+2.4
1610-6S CARMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+1.2
1711-6MICHS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kaia Pixler+1.7
1811-7S CARMICHServe errSouth Carolina+1.2
1911-8MICHMICHAttack errAva Leahy+2.1
2012-8MICHS CARServe errMichigan+1.8
2113-8S CARS CARBlockedElla Demetricianblk Sydney Davis, Ally Cavanaugh+2.5
2213-9S CARMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Ellie White+1.2
2314-9MICHS CARKillCeci Vanceset Ally Cavanaugh+1.8
2414-10S CARMICHKillJenna Hanesset Ellie White+1.2
2514-11MICHMICHAttack errCeci Vance+2.2
2615-11MICHS CARKillCeci Vanceset Kiana Dinn+2.0
2716-11S CARS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+2.7
2816-12S CARMICHServe errSouth Carolina+1.2
2916-13MICHMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+2.2
3017-13MICHS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Lilly Gillespie+2.1
3117-14S CARMICH×4KillEce Senyapiciset Morgan Burke+1.5
3217-15MICHMICH×4AceMichiganaced Lilly Gillespie+2.6
3317-16MICHMICH×4KillEce Senyapici+2.9
3417-17MICHMICH×4Bad setKiana Dinn+2.9
3518-17MICHS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+2.3
3618-18S CARMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+2.0
3718-19MICHMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+3.0
3819-19MICHS CAR×3KillAva Leahyset Kaia Pixler+2.2
3920-19S CARS CAR×3KillCeci Vanceset Lilly Gillespie+4.0
4021-19S CARS CAR×3KillCeci Vanceset Kaia Pixler+4.5
4121-20S CARMICHAttack errCeci Vance+2.4
4222-20MICHS CARKillAva Leahyset Kaia Pixler+3.6
4322-21S CARMICHBlockedAlly Cavanaughblk Ella Demetrician, Jenna Hanes+2.5
4422-22MICHMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Meredith Martin+4.9
4523-22MICHS CARServe errMichigan+4.3
4624-22S CARS CARKillSydney Davisset Kiana Dinn+7.0
4724-23S CARMICHKillJenna Hanesset Morgan Burke+2.5
4824-24MICHMICHAttack errCeci Vance+8.3
4925-24MICHS CARKillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+5.4
5025-25S CARMICHKillMorgan Burkeset Sydney Schnichels+5.4
5126-25MICHS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+5.4
5227-25S CARS CARKillAva Leahyset Kiana Dinn+8.8
Set 5
10-1S CARMICHKillEce Senyapiciset Morgan Burke+4.4
21-1MICHS CAR×3BlockedCymarah Gordonblk Olivia Borgman, Sydney Davis+5.0
32-1S CARS CAR×3Attack errElla Demetrician+8.6
43-1S CARS CAR×3KillOlivia Borgmanset Lilly Gillespie+9.8
53-2S CARMICHBlockedOlivia Borgmanblk Ece Senyapici, Cymarah Gordon+5.7
64-2MICHS CARBlockedElla Demetricianblk Elise Marchal, Ava Leahy+7.3
74-3S CARMICHAttack errOlivia Borgman+6.0
85-3MICHS CARAttack errOlivia Borgman+7.7
95-4S CARMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Ellie White+6.3
105-5MICHMICHKillMeredith Martinset Ellie White+9.7
116-5MICHS CAR×3KillAva Leahyset Kaia Pixler+7.6
127-5S CARS CAR×3KillCeci Vanceset Kaia Pixler+12.3
138-5S CARS CAR×3KillAlly Cavanaugh+12.9
148-6S CARMICHAttack errAlly Cavanaugh+6.6
159-6MICHS CARBlockedLydia Johnsonblk Ceci Vance, Sydney Davis+9.6
169-7S CARMICHAttack errCeci Vance+6.7
179-8MICHMICHKillEce Senyapiciset Morgan Burke+12.1
1810-8MICHS CARKillCeci Vanceset Kiana Dinn+10.9
1911-8S CARS CARKillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+15.3
2011-9S CARMICHServe errSouth Carolina+6.8
2112-9MICHS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+11.5
2212-10S CARMICH×3KillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+6.6
2312-11MICHMICH×3Attack errElise Marchal+14.5
2412-12MICHMICH×3Attack errOlivia Borgman+18.2
2513-12MICHS CARAttack errElla Demetrician+16.1
2614-12S CARS CARBlockedElla Demetricianblk Ally Cavanaugh, Ava Leahy+26.3
2714-13S CARMICH×3KillJenna Hanesset Morgan Burke+9.3
2814-14MICHMICH×3BlockedOlivia Borgmanblk Lydia Johnson+31.3
2914-15MICHMICH×3KillElla Demetricianset Meredith Martin+24.0
3015-15MICHS CAR×3Serve errMichigan+15.5
3116-15S CARS CAR×3Bad setEllie White+28.7
3217-15S CARS CAR×3KillAva Leahyset Kaia Pixler+37.4

Score shown after each rally, South Carolina first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).