CollegeVolleyball
Final · 5 setsTue, Sep 1, 2026
3:2
Michigan logo

HomeBIG-TEN

South Carolina def. Michigan 32

(19-25, 20-25, 25-18, 27-25, 17-15)
Set12*345Sets
S CAR19202527173
MICH25251825152
  • * Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

MICH above 50 · S CAR below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100MICHS CARBiggest swing +35.4% S CAR · S5 17-15rally 216 · set 5

Biggest swing: 35.4% to South Carolina — set 5, S CAR 17-15 MICH. Kill by Ava Leahy (set by Kaia Pixler). MICH win probability 35%0%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

S CAR 12.4%87.6% MICH

South Carolina wins

3-0
1.8%
3-1
3.9%
3-2
6.8%

Michigan wins

3-0
40.6%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
15.4%
S CAR break %
36.2% vs this opp
MICH break %
44.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Ava LeahyKill+35.4%

    Kill by Ava Leahy (set by Kaia Pixler)

    Set 5 · S CAR 17-15 MICH · S CAR 65%100%

  2. 02
    Olivia BorgmanAttack error+30.6%

    Olivia Borgman stuffed by Lydia Johnson

    Set 5 · S CAR 14-14 MICH · MICH 25%56%

  3. 03
    Ellie WhiteBad set+28.5%

    Bad set by Ellie White

    Set 5 · S CAR 16-15 MICH · S CAR 36%65%

  4. 04
    Ella DemetricianAttack error+25.3%

    Ella Demetrician stuffed by Ally Cavanaugh & Ava Leahy

    Set 5 · S CAR 14-12 MICH · S CAR 59%84%

  5. 05

    Kill by Ella Demetrician (set by Meredith Martin)

    Set 5 · S CAR 14-15 MICH · MICH 56%80%

  6. 06
    Olivia BorgmanAttack error+18.3%

    Attack error by Olivia Borgman

    Set 5 · S CAR 12-12 MICH · MICH 39%57%

  7. 07
    MICH serverService error+16.2%

    Michigan service error

    Set 5 · S CAR 15-15 MICH · S CAR 20%36%

  8. 08
    Ella DemetricianAttack error+16.1%

    Attack error by Ella Demetrician

    Set 5 · S CAR 13-12 MICH · S CAR 43%59%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
520850.24002371031.523.5
512121.52400220052.514.5
57325.16000050073.510.5
53010.30000020112710
5001.0003000400211
2000010110001
511436.19400010031.512.5
56314.214100100217
50006312120003
40001210700001
4000002420000
4000000100000
1000401100000
Team totals5919157.255537957613418108
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
517841.2200002004219
514019.73700020010.514.5
510121.4291001004212
591145-.044011104010.510.5
58326.1921256300010
51011.00032111300002
59622.1360004010110
5102.5008001700001
3011-1.0002222600002
2000302800000
1000000000000
Team totals6930178.219676116971106108

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 S CAR · MICH 5

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 3 S CARMICH 4

Set 2*

20-25

Longest run 3 S CARMICH 5

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 6 S CARMICH 5

Set 4

27-25

Longest run 5 S CARMICH 4

Set 5

17-15

Longest run 3 S CARMICH 3

Bars above the line = Michigan leads, below = South Carolina leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

South Carolina

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%10/16
38%5/13
2
45%9/20
53%10/19
3
75%9/12
57%12/21
4
50%7/14
33%4/12
5
70%7/10
46%6/13
6
58%7/12
22%2/9
All
58%49/84
45%39/87

Michigan

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%10/15
38%5/13
2
39%9/23
50%10/20
3
64%9/14
36%5/14
4
50%7/14
50%8/16
5
64%7/11
36%4/11
6
60%6/10
30%3/10
All
55%48/87
42%35/84

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

216 rallies

Rally log

#S CAR-MICHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MICHS CARAttack errCymarah Gordonblk Sydney Davis, Elise Marchal+1.0
21-1S CARMICHKillEce Senyapiciset Morgan Burke+0.9
31-2MICHMICHKillElla Demetricianset Meredith Martin+1.3
42-2MICHS CARServe errMICH server+0.9
53-2S CARS CARAttack errElla Demetricianblk Ava Leahy, Elise Marchal+1.5
63-3S CARMICHKillEce Senyapiciset Morgan Burke+0.9
74-3MICHS CARAttack errElla Demetrician+1.1
84-4S CARMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+1.0
95-4MICHS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Jillian Bohannon+1.1
105-5S CARMICHServe errS CAR server+1.0
115-6MICHMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Camille Edwards+1.4
126-6MICHS CARKillCeci Vanceset Jillian Bohannon+1.0
136-7S CARMICHKillJenna Hanesset Camille Edwards+1.0
147-7MICHS CARKillAlly Cavanaughset Jillian Bohannon+1.1
157-8S CARMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+1.0
168-8MICHS CARKillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+1.1
178-9S CARMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+1.0
188-10MICHMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Meredith Martin+1.4
199-10MICHS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Lilly Gillespie+1.0
2010-10S CARS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+1.7
2110-11S CARMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Meredith Martin+1.1
2211-11MICHS CARKillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+1.2
2311-12S CARMICHKillJenna Hanesset Morgan Burke+1.2
2411-13MICHMICHAceMICH serveraced Madisyn Crnjac+1.6
2512-13MICHS CARKillAva Leahyset Jillian Bohannon+1.1
2612-14S CARMICHKillJenna Hanesset Camille Edwards+1.1
2712-15MICHMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Camille Edwards+1.4
2813-15MICHS CARAttack errLydia Johnson+0.9
2913-16S CARMICH×3KillJenna Hanesset Camille Edwards+0.9
3013-17MICHMICH×3Bad setCeci Vance+1.1
3113-18MICHMICH×3KillSydney Schnichelsset Camille Edwards+0.7
3214-18MICHS CARAttack errLydia Johnsonblk Ceci Vance, Sydney Davis+0.4
3314-19S CARMICHKillEce Senyapiciset Camille Edwards+0.5
3415-19MICHS CAR×3Serve errMICH server+0.3
3516-19S CARS CAR×3KillElise Marchalset Meredith Martin+0.8
3617-19S CARS CAR×3AceS CAR serveraced Sydney Schnichels+1.3
3717-20S CARMICH×4KillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+1.1
3817-21MICHMICH×4KillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+1.1
3917-22MICHMICH×4Attack errOlivia Borgmanblk Cymarah Gordon, Ece Senyapici+0.6
4017-23MICHMICH×4KillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+0.3
4118-23MICHS CARServe errMICH server+0.1
4218-24S CARMICHKillEce Senyapiciset Morgan Burke+0.1
4319-24MICHS CARKillAva Leahyset Kiana Dinn+0.0
4419-25S CARMICHServe errS CAR server+0.1
Set 2
11-0S CARS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+1.0
21-1S CARMICH×5KillSydney Schnichelsset Meredith Martin+0.6
31-2MICHMICH×5KillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.9
41-3MICHMICH×5Attack errOlivia Borgmanblk Cymarah Gordon, Ece Senyapici+0.8
51-4MICHMICH×5Bad setMadisyn Crnjac+0.7
61-5MICHMICH×5KillEce Senyapiciset Morgan Burke+0.6
72-5MICHS CARKillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+0.4
82-6S CARMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.4
93-6MICHS CARKillAva Leahyset Kaia Pixler+0.4
103-7S CARMICHKillJenna Hanesset Morgan Burke+0.4
114-7MICHS CARServe errMICH server+0.4
124-8S CARMICHFeed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+0.4
135-8MICHS CARFeed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+0.4
145-9S CARMICH×3Attack errAlly Cavanaugh+0.4
155-10MICHMICH×3KillJenna Hanesset Camille Edwards+0.5
165-11MICHMICH×3KillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+0.4
176-11MICHS CARKillCeci Vanceset Kiana Dinn+0.2
186-12S CARMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+0.2
197-12MICHS CARAttack errLydia Johnson+0.2
208-12S CARS CARAttack errSydney Schnichels+0.4
218-13S CARMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+0.3
228-14MICHMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.4
239-14MICHS CAR×3KillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+0.2
2410-14S CARS CAR×3KillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+0.4
2511-14S CARS CAR×3Attack errCymarah Gordonblk Ava Leahy, Elise Marchal+0.6
2611-15S CARMICHServe errS CAR server+0.5
2712-15MICHS CARServe errMICH server+0.4
2812-16S CARMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+0.5
2913-16MICHS CARKillAva Leahyset Kiana Dinn+0.4
3013-17S CARMICHKillJenna Hanesset Morgan Burke+0.5
3113-18MICHMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+0.5
3214-18MICHS CAR×3KillCeci Vanceset Kiana Dinn+0.3
3315-18S CARS CAR×3Attack errElla Demetricianblk Kiana Dinn, Sydney Davis+0.6
3416-18S CARS CAR×3Attack errElla Demetricianblk Sydney Davis, Kiana Dinn+0.9
3516-19S CARMICH×4KillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+0.8
3616-20MICHMICH×4KillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+0.8
3716-21MICHMICH×4KillJenna Hanesset Camille Edwards+0.5
3816-22MICHMICH×4AceMICH serveraced Olivia Borgman+0.2
3917-22MICHS CARKillCeci Vanceset Kiana Dinn+0.1
4017-23S CARMICHKillJenna Hanesset Camille Edwards+0.1
4118-23MICHS CARKillElise Marchalset Lilly Gillespie+0.0
4219-23S CARS CARKillSydney Davis+0.1
4319-24S CARMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Ece Senyapici+0.2
4420-24MICHS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+0.0
4520-25S CARMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.1
Set 3
11-0MICHS CARAttack errCymarah Gordonblk Sydney Davis+0.3
21-1S CARMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Kiana Dinn+0.3
32-1MICHS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+0.3
42-2S CARMICHKillEce Senyapiciset Morgan Burke+0.3
53-2MICHS CARKillAva Leahyset Kiana Dinn+0.3
63-3S CARMICH×5KillJenna Hanesset Morgan Burke+0.3
73-4MICHMICH×5AceMICH serveraced Elizabeth McElveen+0.4
83-5MICHMICH×5KillElla Demetricianset Meredith Martin+0.4
93-6MICHMICH×5KillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+0.3
103-7MICHMICH×5KillSydney Schnichelsset Camille Edwards+0.3
114-7MICHS CARServe errMICH server+0.2
124-8S CARMICHServe errS CAR server+0.2
135-8MICHS CARKillAlly Cavanaughset Kaia Pixler+0.2
146-8S CARS CARAttack errCamille Edwards+0.3
156-9S CARMICHServe errS CAR server+0.2
167-9MICHS CARKillSydney Davisset Kaia Pixler+0.2
177-10S CARMICH×3KillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+0.3
187-11MICHMICH×3Bad setKiana Dinn+0.3
197-12MICHMICH×3Bad setKiana Dinn+0.2
208-12MICHS CARAttack errSydney Schnichelsblk Elise Marchal, Sydney Davis+0.1
219-12S CARS CARAttack errCymarah Gordonblk Olivia Borgman, Sydney Davis+0.3
229-13S CARMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Morgan Burke+0.2
239-14MICHMICHAceMICH serveraced Lilly Gillespie+0.2
2410-14MICHS CAR×6Serve errMICH server+0.1
2511-14S CARS CAR×6KillAva Leahyset Kiana Dinn+0.3
2612-14S CARS CAR×6AceS CAR serveraced Sydney Schnichels+0.4
2713-14S CARS CAR×6Attack errCymarah Gordon+0.5
2814-14S CARS CAR×6KillAva Leahyset Kiana Dinn+0.7
2915-14S CARS CAR×6AceS CAR serveraced Sydney Schnichels+0.8
3015-15S CARMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.5
3116-15MICHS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+0.6
3216-16S CARMICHAttack errOlivia Borgman+0.5
3317-16MICHS CAR×4Attack errLydia Johnson+0.6
3418-16S CARS CAR×4AceS CAR serveraced Ella Demetrician+1.0
3519-16S CARS CAR×4AceS CAR serveraced Ella Demetrician+1.0
3620-16S CARS CAR×4Attack errElla Demetrician+0.9
3720-17S CARMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+0.4
3821-17MICHS CARKillCeci Vanceset Kaia Pixler+0.6
3921-18S CARMICHKillJenna Hanesset Camille Edwards+0.4
4022-18MICHS CAR×4KillAlly Cavanaughset Kaia Pixler+0.6
4123-18S CARS CAR×4Attack errSydney Schnichelsblk Sydney Davis, Elise Marchal+0.6
4224-18S CARS CAR×4Attack errEce Senyapiciblk Sydney Davis, Elise Marchal+0.2
4325-18S CARS CAR×4Attack errLydia Johnsonblk Sydney Davis, Ceci Vance+0.0
Set 4
10-1S CARMICH×4Attack errElise Marchal+1.1
20-2MICHMICH×4AceMICH serveraced Elizabeth McElveen+1.4
30-3MICHMICH×4KillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+1.2
40-4MICHMICH×4Attack errOlivia Borgmanblk Cymarah Gordon, Ece Senyapici+1.0
51-4MICHS CAR×5KillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+0.7
62-4S CARS CAR×5Attack errCymarah Gordonblk Ava Leahy, Olivia Borgman+1.2
73-4S CARS CAR×5KillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+1.5
84-4S CARS CAR×5AceS CAR serveraced Ella Demetrician+1.8
95-4S CARS CAR×5Attack errCymarah Gordon+2.1
105-5S CARMICHAttack errOlivia Borgman+1.3
116-5MICHS CAR×5Serve errMICH server+1.5
127-5S CARS CAR×5KillOlivia Borgmanset Morgan Burke+2.4
138-5S CARS CAR×5AceS CAR serveraced Ella Demetrician+2.6
149-5S CARS CAR×5KillOlivia Borgmanset Lilly Gillespie+2.7
1510-5S CARS CAR×5KillAlly Cavanaughset Kaia Pixler+2.6
1610-6S CARMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+1.4
1711-6MICHS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kaia Pixler+1.9
1811-7S CARMICHServe errS CAR server+1.4
1911-8MICHMICHAttack errAva Leahy+2.3
2012-8MICHS CARServe errMICH server+2.0
2113-8S CARS CARAttack errElla Demetricianblk Sydney Davis, Ally Cavanaugh+2.7
2213-9S CARMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Ellie White+1.4
2314-9MICHS CARKillCeci Vanceset Ally Cavanaugh+2.0
2414-10S CARMICHKillJenna Hanesset Ellie White+1.4
2514-11MICHMICHAttack errCeci Vance+2.4
2615-11MICHS CARKillCeci Vanceset Kiana Dinn+2.2
2716-11S CARS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+2.8
2816-12S CARMICHServe errS CAR server+1.3
2916-13MICHMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+2.5
3017-13MICHS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Lilly Gillespie+2.3
3117-14S CARMICH×4KillEce Senyapiciset Morgan Burke+1.6
3217-15MICHMICH×4AceMICH serveraced Lilly Gillespie+2.9
3317-16MICHMICH×4KillEce Senyapici+3.3
3417-17MICHMICH×4Bad setKiana Dinn+3.5
3518-17MICHS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+2.7
3618-18S CARMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+2.4
3718-19MICHMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+3.6
3819-19MICHS CAR×3KillAva Leahyset Kaia Pixler+2.6
3920-19S CARS CAR×3KillCeci Vanceset Lilly Gillespie+4.6
4021-19S CARS CAR×3KillCeci Vanceset Kaia Pixler+5.1
4121-20S CARMICHAttack errCeci Vance+2.7
4222-20MICHS CARKillAva Leahyset Kaia Pixler+4.0
4322-21S CARMICHAttack errAlly Cavanaughblk Ella Demetrician, Jenna Hanes+2.8
4422-22MICHMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Meredith Martin+5.6
4523-22MICHS CARServe errMICH server+4.9
4624-22S CARS CARKillSydney Davisset Kiana Dinn+7.7
4724-23S CARMICHKillJenna Hanesset Morgan Burke+2.8
4824-24MICHMICHAttack errCeci Vance+9.4
4925-24MICHS CARKillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+6.2
5025-25S CARMICHKillMorgan Burkeset Sydney Schnichels+6.2
5126-25MICHS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+6.2
5227-25S CARS CARKillAva Leahyset Kiana Dinn+9.6
Set 5
10-1S CARMICHKillEce Senyapiciset Morgan Burke+4.9
21-1MICHS CAR×3Attack errCymarah Gordonblk Olivia Borgman, Sydney Davis+5.4
32-1S CARS CAR×3Attack errElla Demetrician+8.9
43-1S CARS CAR×3KillOlivia Borgmanset Lilly Gillespie+10.0
53-2S CARMICHAttack errOlivia Borgmanblk Ece Senyapici, Cymarah Gordon+5.9
64-2MICHS CARAttack errElla Demetricianblk Elise Marchal, Ava Leahy+7.4
74-3S CARMICHAttack errOlivia Borgman+6.2
85-3MICHS CARAttack errOlivia Borgman+7.7
95-4S CARMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Ellie White+6.5
105-5MICHMICHKillMeredith Martinset Ellie White+10.0
116-5MICHS CAR×3KillAva Leahyset Kaia Pixler+7.8
127-5S CARS CAR×3KillCeci Vanceset Kaia Pixler+12.3
138-5S CARS CAR×3KillAlly Cavanaugh+12.5
148-6S CARMICHAttack errAlly Cavanaugh+6.5
159-6MICHS CARAttack errLydia Johnsonblk Ceci Vance, Sydney Davis+9.2
169-7S CARMICHAttack errCeci Vance+6.6
179-8MICHMICHKillEce Senyapiciset Morgan Burke+12.0
1810-8MICHS CARKillCeci Vanceset Kiana Dinn+10.7
1911-8S CARS CARKillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+14.6
2011-9S CARMICHServe errS CAR server+6.7
2112-9MICHS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+10.9
2212-10S CARMICH×3KillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+6.4
2312-11MICHMICH×3Attack errElise Marchal+14.1
2412-12MICHMICH×3Attack errOlivia Borgman+18.3
2513-12MICHS CARAttack errElla Demetrician+16.1
2614-12S CARS CARAttack errElla Demetricianblk Ally Cavanaugh, Ava Leahy+25.3
2714-13S CARMICH×3KillJenna Hanesset Morgan Burke+9.0
2814-14MICHMICH×3Attack errOlivia Borgmanblk Lydia Johnson+30.6
2914-15MICHMICH×3KillElla Demetricianset Meredith Martin+24.6
3015-15MICHS CAR×3Serve errMICH server+16.2
3116-15S CARS CAR×3Bad setEllie White+28.5
3217-15S CARS CAR×3KillAva Leahyset Kaia Pixler+35.4

Score shown after each rally, South Carolina first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.