Final · 4 setsSun, Sep 13, 2026

AwaySOCON

1:3

HomeSUN-BELT

App State def. Western Caro. 3–1

(25-18, 25-10, 21-25, 25-15)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
W CAR	18	10	25	15	1
APP ST	25	25	21	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

APP ST above 50 · W CAR below

Biggest swing: 2.2% to Western Caro. — set 1, W CAR 13-12 APP ST. Attack error by MeMe Davis. APP ST win probability 86% → 84%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

W CAR 13.1%86.9% APP ST

Western Caro. wins

3-0

1.9%

3-1

4.1%

3-2

7.1%

App State wins

3-0

39.6%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

15.7%

W CAR break %: 37.4% vs this opp
APP ST break %: 45.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
MeMe DavisAttack error+2.2%
Attack error by MeMe Davis
Set 1 · W CAR 13-12 APP ST · W CAR 14% → 16%
02
MeMe DavisKill+2.0%
Kill by MeMe Davis (set by Raegan Richardson)
Set 1 · W CAR 13-14 APP ST · APP ST 85% → 87%
03
Zoe ZudansKill+1.9%
Kill by Zoe Zudans (set by Elise Gurley)
Set 1 · W CAR 12-12 APP ST · W CAR 12% → 14%
04
Bella HutchensKill+1.8%
Kill by Bella Hutchens (set by Raegan Richardson)
Set 1 · W CAR 13-15 APP ST · APP ST 87% → 89%
05
Delanie GrevengoedKill+1.5%
Kill by Delanie Grevengoed (set by Raegan Richardson)
Set 1 · W CAR 13-16 APP ST · APP ST 89% → 91%
06
Lou JohnsonKill+1.5%
Kill by Lou Johnson (set by Raegan Richardson)
Set 1 · W CAR 13-13 APP ST · APP ST 84% → 85%
07
Tatum SharpKill+1.5%
Kill by Tatum Sharp (set by Katie Boney)
Set 3 · W CAR 22-20 APP ST · W CAR 4% → 6%
08
Aiyana HarrisAttack error+1.5%
Attack error by Aiyana Harris
Set 4 · W CAR 0-2 APP ST · APP ST 93% → 95%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Western Caro.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
12Tatum SharpMB	4	13	4	30	.300	0	0	2	1	0	0	2	1	14
7Aiyana HarrisMB	4	8	4	19	.211	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
15Samantha KranzlerOH	4	7	3	20	.200	0	0	0	8	0	0	0	0	7
18Katie BoneyS	4	1	1	8	.000	34	0	0	11	0	1	1	1.5	2.5
22Zoe ZudansOH	2	3	5	19	-.105	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3
17Evelyn KeeferL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
8Taylor BaggettOH	4	5	1	16	.250	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
2Halley TangL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	1	2	1	2	0	0	0	0	2
6Elise GurleyL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	1	0	1	16	1	0	0	0	0
20Eda YalçinkayaL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	0
16Sophia MariniOH	3	1	2	8	-.125	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
10Peri SubatOH	2	2	1	7	.143	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
Team totals		40	21	128	.148	36	3	4	48	5	1	6	4	68

App Statehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
0Charlotte ThompsonOH	4	17	4	38	.342	0	0	0	4	0	0	4	2	19
98Lou JohnsonMB	4	11	0	15	.733	0	0	0	1	0	0	8	4	15
23Delanie GrevengoedOH	4	8	1	21	.333	0	4	1	1	0	0	3	1.5	13.5
20Nevaeh HaysMB	4	9	3	16	.375	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	10.5
10Bella HutchensOH	4	9	3	21	.286	0	1	2	8	1	0	0	0	10
18Raegan RichardsonS	4	4	0	12	.333	46	0	2	5	0	0	2	1	5
4MeMe DavisL/DS	4	3	1	4	.500	3	0	2	19	0	0	0	0	3
6Bella DaffornL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	1	0	0	9	1	0	0	0	0
14Amelia MancinoOH	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	0	0
24Iris WilliamsL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	0
11Amber McClainMB	1	2	0	3	.667	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
Team totals		63	12	131	.389	51	5	10	56	3	1	18	10	96

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 W CAR · APP ST 11

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 3 W CARAPP ST 5

Set 2

10-25

Longest run 3 W CARAPP ST 11

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 4 W CARAPP ST 4

Set 4

15-25

Longest run 2 W CARAPP ST 5

Bars above the line = App State leads, below = Western Caro. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Western Caro.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%8/16	27%3/11
2	64%7/11	27%3/11
3	47%7/15	22%2/9
4	54%7/13	46%6/13
5	28%7/25	46%6/13
6	47%7/15	42%5/12
All	45%43/95	36%25/69

App State

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	82%9/11	61%11/18
2	73%8/11	43%6/14
3	70%7/10	42%5/12
4	50%7/14	56%9/16
5	50%7/14	42%5/12
6	67%6/9	70%16/23
All	64%44/69	55%52/95

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

164 rallies

Rally log

#	W CAR-APP ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	APP ST	W CAR	Kill	Tatum Sharp	set Katie Boney	+1.0
2	1-1	W CAR	APP ST	Kill	Lou Johnson	set Raegan Richardson	+0.9
3	2-1	APP ST	W CAR	Kill	Zoe Zudans	set Katie Boney	+1.1
4	2-2	W CAR	APP ST	Kill	Delanie Grevengoed	set Raegan Richardson	+1.0
5	3-2	APP ST	W CAR	Serve err	APP ST server		+1.1
6	3-3	W CAR	APP ST×4	Attack err	Aiyana Harris	blk Nevaeh Hays	+1.0
7	3-4	APP ST	APP ST×4	Kill	Nevaeh Hays		+1.4
8	3-5	APP ST	APP ST×4	Ace	APP ST server	aced Team	+1.2
9	3-6	APP ST	APP ST×4	Attack err	Taylor Baggett		+1.1
10	4-6	APP ST	W CAR	Kill	Taylor Baggett	set Katie Boney	+0.7
11	4-7	W CAR	APP ST	Kill	Nevaeh Hays	set Raegan Richardson	+0.7
12	4-8	APP ST	APP ST	Attack err	Sophia Marini	blk Charlotte Thompson, Nevaeh Hays	+0.9
13	5-8	APP ST	W CAR×3	Attack err	Nevaeh Hays		+0.6
14	6-8	W CAR	W CAR×3	Attack err	Charlotte Thompson	blk Katie Boney	+1.1
15	7-8	W CAR	W CAR×3	Bad set	Raegan Richardson		+1.3
16	7-9	W CAR	APP ST	Kill	Charlotte Thompson	set Raegan Richardson	+1.0
17	7-10	APP ST	APP ST	Kill	Charlotte Thompson	set Raegan Richardson	+1.2
18	8-10	APP ST	W CAR	Kill	Katie Boney	set Bella Dafforn	+0.8
19	9-10	W CAR	W CAR	Kill	Tatum Sharp	set Katie Boney	+1.4
20	9-11	W CAR	APP ST	Kill	Charlotte Thompson	set Raegan Richardson	+1.0
21	10-11	APP ST	W CAR	Kill	Tatum Sharp	set Katie Boney	+1.1
22	10-12	W CAR	APP ST	Kill	Charlotte Thompson	set Raegan Richardson	+1.1
23	11-12	APP ST	W CAR×3	Kill	Aiyana Harris	set Katie Boney	+1.1
24	12-12	W CAR	W CAR×3	Kill	Zoe Zudans	set Elise Gurley	+1.9
25	13-12	W CAR	W CAR×3	Attack err	MeMe Davis		+2.2
26	13-13	W CAR	APP ST×5	Kill	Lou Johnson	set Raegan Richardson	+1.5
27	13-14	APP ST	APP ST×5	Kill	MeMe Davis	set Raegan Richardson	+2.0
28	13-15	APP ST	APP ST×5	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Raegan Richardson	+1.8
29	13-16	APP ST	APP ST×5	Kill	Delanie Grevengoed	set Raegan Richardson	+1.5
30	13-17	APP ST	APP ST×5	Attack err	Sophia Marini		+1.1
31	14-17	APP ST	W CAR	Serve err	APP ST server		+0.7
32	14-18	W CAR	APP ST	Kill	Nevaeh Hays	set Raegan Richardson	+0.8
33	15-18	APP ST	W CAR	Kill	Aiyana Harris	set Katie Boney	+0.7
34	15-19	W CAR	APP ST	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Raegan Richardson	+0.8
35	15-20	APP ST	APP ST	Kill	Nevaeh Hays		+0.8
36	16-20	APP ST	W CAR	Kill	Sophia Marini	set Katie Boney	+0.4
37	17-20	W CAR	W CAR	Kill	Taylor Baggett	set Katie Boney	+0.8
38	17-21	W CAR	APP ST	Kill	Raegan Richardson		+0.8
39	17-22	APP ST	APP ST	Bad set	Tatum Sharp		+0.7
40	18-22	APP ST	W CAR	Kill	Tatum Sharp	set Katie Boney	+0.2
41	18-23	W CAR	APP ST×3	Kill	Charlotte Thompson	set Raegan Richardson	+0.4
42	18-24	APP ST	APP ST×3	Attack err	Zoe Zudans	blk Delanie Grevengoed, Lou Johnson	+0.2
43	18-25	APP ST	APP ST×3	Kill	Delanie Grevengoed	set Raegan Richardson	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	W CAR	APP ST	Attack err	Zoe Zudans		+0.6
2	1-1	APP ST	W CAR	Kill	Aiyana Harris	set Katie Boney	+0.7
3	2-1	W CAR	W CAR	Attack err	Bella Hutchens	blk Sophia Marini, Aiyana Harris	+1.0
4	2-2	W CAR	APP ST	Kill	Lou Johnson	set Raegan Richardson	+0.7
5	3-2	APP ST	W CAR	Kill	Aiyana Harris	set Katie Boney	+0.8
6	3-3	W CAR	APP ST×4	Bad set	Halley Tang		+0.7
7	3-4	APP ST	APP ST×4	Ace	APP ST server	aced Eda Yalçinkaya	+1.0
8	3-5	APP ST	APP ST×4	Ace	APP ST server	aced Team	+0.9
9	3-6	APP ST	APP ST×4	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Raegan Richardson	+0.8
10	4-6	APP ST	W CAR×3	Serve err	APP ST server		+0.5
11	5-6	W CAR	W CAR×3	Ace	W CAR server	aced Bella Dafforn	+0.9
12	6-6	W CAR	W CAR×3	Attack err	Bella Hutchens		+1.1
13	6-7	W CAR	APP ST	Kill	Nevaeh Hays	set Raegan Richardson	+0.7
14	7-7	APP ST	W CAR	Serve err	APP ST server		+0.8
15	7-8	W CAR	APP ST×11	Kill	Raegan Richardson		+0.8
16	7-9	APP ST	APP ST×11	Kill	Lou Johnson	set Raegan Richardson	+1.0
17	7-10	APP ST	APP ST×11	Attack err	Zoe Zudans	blk Lou Johnson, Raegan Richardson	+0.8
18	7-11	APP ST	APP ST×11	Kill	Zoe Zudans	set Samantha Kranzler	+0.7
19	7-12	APP ST	APP ST×11	Kill	Lou Johnson	set Raegan Richardson	+0.5
20	7-13	APP ST	APP ST×11	Attack err	Zoe Zudans	blk Lou Johnson, Raegan Richardson	+0.4
21	7-14	APP ST	APP ST×11	Kill	Charlotte Thompson	set Bella Dafforn	+0.3
22	7-15	APP ST	APP ST×11	Attack err	Tatum Sharp		+0.2
23	7-16	APP ST	APP ST×11	Kill	Charlotte Thompson	set Raegan Richardson	+0.1
24	7-17	APP ST	APP ST×11	Attack err	Tatum Sharp	blk Charlotte Thompson, Lou Johnson	+0.1
25	7-18	APP ST	APP ST×11	Attack err	Katie Boney		+0.0
26	8-18	APP ST	W CAR	Kill	Zoe Zudans	set Katie Boney	+0.0
27	8-19	W CAR	APP ST×5	Serve err	W CAR server		+0.0
28	8-20	APP ST	APP ST×5	Kill	Lou Johnson	set Katie Boney	+0.0
29	8-21	APP ST	APP ST×5	Attack err	Zoe Zudans		+0.0
30	8-22	APP ST	APP ST×5	Kill	Charlotte Thompson	set Raegan Richardson	+0.0
31	8-23	APP ST	APP ST×5	Kill	Raegan Richardson	set Katie Boney	+0.0
32	9-23	APP ST	W CAR	Serve err	APP ST server		+0.0
33	9-24	W CAR	APP ST	Kill	Amber McClain	set Raegan Richardson	+0.0
34	10-24	APP ST	W CAR	Kill	Aiyana Harris	set Katie Boney	+0.0
35	10-25	W CAR	APP ST	Kill	Amber McClain	set Raegan Richardson	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	APP ST	APP ST×3	Kill	MeMe Davis	set Katie Boney	+0.4
2	0-2	APP ST	APP ST×3	Attack err	Samantha Kranzler		+0.4
3	0-3	APP ST	APP ST×3	Kill	Charlotte Thompson	set Raegan Richardson	+0.3
4	1-3	APP ST	W CAR×3	Serve err	APP ST server		+0.2
5	2-3	W CAR	W CAR×3	Attack err	Charlotte Thompson		+0.4
6	3-3	W CAR	W CAR×3	Kill	Aiyana Harris		+0.5
7	3-4	W CAR	APP ST×4	Kill	Lou Johnson	set Raegan Richardson	+0.3
8	3-5	APP ST	APP ST×4	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Raegan Richardson	+0.4
9	3-6	APP ST	APP ST×4	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Raegan Richardson	+0.4
10	3-7	APP ST	APP ST×4	Kill	Lou Johnson	set Raegan Richardson	+0.3
11	4-7	APP ST	W CAR	Serve err	APP ST server		+0.2
12	4-8	W CAR	APP ST	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Raegan Richardson	+0.2
13	5-8	APP ST	W CAR	Kill	Aiyana Harris	set Katie Boney	+0.2
14	5-9	W CAR	APP ST	Kill	Delanie Grevengoed	set Raegan Richardson	+0.2
15	5-10	APP ST	APP ST	Ace	APP ST server	aced Elise Gurley	+0.2
16	6-10	APP ST	W CAR×3	Attack err	Nevaeh Hays		+0.2
17	7-10	W CAR	W CAR×3	Ace	W CAR server	aced Bella Hutchens	+0.3
18	8-10	W CAR	W CAR×3	Bad set	Bella Hutchens		+0.4
19	8-11	W CAR	APP ST	Serve err	W CAR server		+0.3
20	9-11	APP ST	W CAR	Attack err	Charlotte Thompson		+0.3
21	10-11	W CAR	W CAR	Attack err	Charlotte Thompson	blk Tatum Sharp, Katie Boney	+0.5
22	10-12	W CAR	APP ST	Kill	Charlotte Thompson	set Raegan Richardson	+0.4
23	11-12	APP ST	W CAR	Kill	Samantha Kranzler	set Katie Boney	+0.4
24	11-13	W CAR	APP ST	Kill	Charlotte Thompson	set MeMe Davis	+0.4
25	12-13	APP ST	W CAR	Kill	Samantha Kranzler	set Katie Boney	+0.4
26	12-14	W CAR	APP ST	Kill	Charlotte Thompson	set Raegan Richardson	+0.4
27	13-14	APP ST	W CAR	Serve err	APP ST server		+0.4
28	13-15	W CAR	APP ST	Kill	Delanie Grevengoed	set Raegan Richardson	+0.4
29	14-15	APP ST	W CAR×4	Kill	Taylor Baggett	set Katie Boney	+0.4
30	15-15	W CAR	W CAR×4	Attack err	Bella Hutchens		+0.7
31	16-15	W CAR	W CAR×4	Attack err	Delanie Grevengoed	blk Taylor Baggett, Tatum Sharp	+0.9
32	17-15	W CAR	W CAR×4	Kill	Tatum Sharp		+1.0
33	17-16	W CAR	APP ST	Kill	Nevaeh Hays	set Raegan Richardson	+0.6
34	17-17	APP ST	APP ST	Attack err	Tatum Sharp		+0.9
35	18-17	APP ST	W CAR×3	Kill	Tatum Sharp	set Katie Boney	+0.7
36	19-17	W CAR	W CAR×3	Kill	Taylor Baggett		+1.1
37	20-17	W CAR	W CAR×3	Kill	Tatum Sharp	set Katie Boney	+1.1
38	20-18	W CAR	APP ST×3	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Nevaeh Hays	+0.6
39	20-19	APP ST	APP ST×3	Kill	Nevaeh Hays		+1.0
40	20-20	APP ST	APP ST×3	Ace	APP ST server	aced Team	+1.1
41	21-20	APP ST	W CAR	Kill	Tatum Sharp	set Katie Boney	+1.0
42	22-20	W CAR	W CAR	Kill	Tatum Sharp	set Katie Boney	+1.5
43	22-21	W CAR	APP ST	Kill	Nevaeh Hays	set Raegan Richardson	+0.8
44	23-21	APP ST	W CAR×3	Kill	Tatum Sharp	set Katie Boney	+1.2
45	24-21	W CAR	W CAR×3	Kill	Samantha Kranzler	set Katie Boney	+1.3
46	25-21	W CAR	W CAR×3	Kill	Samantha Kranzler	set Halley Tang	+0.6
Set 4
1	0-1	W CAR	APP ST×3	Kill	Delanie Grevengoed	set MeMe Davis	+1.1
2	0-2	APP ST	APP ST×3	Attack err	Aiyana Harris		+1.5
3	0-3	APP ST	APP ST×3	Attack err	Samantha Kranzler	blk Delanie Grevengoed, Lou Johnson	+1.3
4	1-3	APP ST	W CAR	Kill	Peri Subat	set Katie Boney	+0.9
5	1-4	W CAR	APP ST	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Raegan Richardson	+0.9
6	1-5	APP ST	APP ST	Attack err	Aiyana Harris		+1.1
7	2-5	APP ST	W CAR	Bad set	Bella Hutchens		+0.8
8	2-6	W CAR	APP ST	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Raegan Richardson	+0.8
9	3-6	APP ST	W CAR	Kill	Tatum Sharp	set Katie Boney	+0.8
10	3-7	W CAR	APP ST	Kill	Nevaeh Hays	set Raegan Richardson	+0.8
11	3-8	APP ST	APP ST	Kill	Charlotte Thompson	set MeMe Davis	+0.9
12	4-8	APP ST	W CAR	Kill	Taylor Baggett	set Katie Boney	+0.6
13	5-8	W CAR	W CAR	Kill	Samantha Kranzler	set Katie Boney	+1.1
14	5-9	W CAR	APP ST×5	Kill	Charlotte Thompson	set Raegan Richardson	+0.8
15	5-10	APP ST	APP ST×5	Attack err	Tatum Sharp	blk Lou Johnson, Charlotte Thompson	+1.0
16	5-11	APP ST	APP ST×5	Kill	Lou Johnson	set Raegan Richardson	+0.7
17	5-12	APP ST	APP ST×5	Kill	Charlotte Thompson	set Raegan Richardson	+0.5
18	5-13	APP ST	APP ST×5	Bad set	Eda Yalçinkaya		+0.3
19	6-13	APP ST	W CAR	Kill	Tatum Sharp	set Katie Boney	+0.2
20	6-14	W CAR	APP ST	Serve err	W CAR server		+0.2
21	7-14	APP ST	W CAR	Kill	Samantha Kranzler	set Katie Boney	+0.2
22	7-15	W CAR	APP ST	Kill	Lou Johnson	set Raegan Richardson	+0.2
23	7-16	APP ST	APP ST	Kill	Delanie Grevengoed	set Raegan Richardson	+0.2
24	8-16	APP ST	W CAR	Kill	Aiyana Harris	set Katie Boney	+0.1
25	8-17	W CAR	APP ST	Kill	Delanie Grevengoed	set Raegan Richardson	+0.1
26	9-17	APP ST	W CAR	Kill	Peri Subat	set Katie Boney	+0.1
27	9-18	W CAR	APP ST	Serve err	W CAR server		+0.1
28	9-19	APP ST	APP ST	Attack err	Peri Subat		+0.1
29	10-19	APP ST	W CAR	Kill	Tatum Sharp	set Katie Boney	+0.0
30	11-19	W CAR	W CAR	Ace	W CAR server	aced Team	+0.1
31	11-20	W CAR	APP ST	Kill	Raegan Richardson		+0.1
32	12-20	APP ST	W CAR	Serve err	APP ST server		+0.0
33	13-20	W CAR	W CAR	Attack err	Nevaeh Hays		+0.1
34	13-21	W CAR	APP ST	Kill	MeMe Davis	set Raegan Richardson	+0.1
35	14-21	APP ST	W CAR	Serve err	APP ST server		+0.1
36	14-22	W CAR	APP ST×3	Kill	Lou Johnson	set Raegan Richardson	+0.1
37	14-23	APP ST	APP ST×3	Attack err	Samantha Kranzler	blk Delanie Grevengoed, Lou Johnson	+0.0
38	14-24	APP ST	APP ST×3	Attack err	Aiyana Harris	blk Lou Johnson, Charlotte Thompson	+0.0
39	15-24	APP ST	W CAR	Kill	Samantha Kranzler	set Katie Boney	+0.0
40	15-25	W CAR	APP ST	Kill	Charlotte Thompson	set Raegan Richardson	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Western Caro. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.