FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026

USC Upstate def. Western Caro. 3–0

USC Upstate beat visiting Western Caro. 3-0 (25-17, 25-21, 25-22) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026. USC Upstate's Summer Kohler led with 13 kills, and Sophia Overholt added 18 digs.

Data through · final Sep 18

Set123Sets
W CAR1721220
SC UPS2525253

Win probability

USC Upstate above 50 · Western Caro. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.9% SC UPSrally 135 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.9% to USC Upstate — set 2, W CAR 17-18 SC UPS. Attack error by Brookelynn Nance. SC UPS win probability 75% → 79%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

W CAR 40.1%59.9% SC UPS

Western Caro. wins

3-0
8.8%
3-1
14.6%
3-2
16.7%

USC Upstate wins

3-0
17.1%
3-1
22.8%
3-2
19.9%
W CAR break %
42.6% vs this opp
SC UPS break %
44.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Brookelynn NanceAttack error+3.9%

    Attack error by Brookelynn Nance

    Set 2 · W CAR 17-18 SC UPS · SC UPS 75% → 79%

  2. 02
    USC UpstateAce+3.7%

    USC Upstate ace on Eda Yalçinkaya

    Set 2 · W CAR 20-23 SC UPS · SC UPS 84% → 88%

  3. 03

    Sophia Marini stuffed by Tehillah Garrison

    Set 2 · W CAR 17-19 SC UPS · SC UPS 79% → 83%

  4. 04

    Kill by Kensley Haneline (set by Sarah O'Connor)

    Set 2 · W CAR 20-22 SC UPS · SC UPS 81% → 84%

  5. 05
    USC UpstateAce+3.7%

    USC Upstate ace on Elise Gurley

    Set 2 · W CAR 17-17 SC UPS · SC UPS 71% → 75%

  6. 06
    Tehillah GarrisonAttack error+3.5%

    Attack error by Tehillah Garrison

    Set 2 · W CAR 19-20 SC UPS · W CAR 16% → 20%

  7. 07

    Tien Murray stuffed by Brookelynn Nance

    Set 2 · W CAR 16-14 SC UPS · W CAR 27% → 31%

  8. 08
    Western Caro.Service error+3.3%

    Western Caro. service error

    Set 2 · W CAR 19-21 SC UPS · SC UPS 80% → 84%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
33116.125010201437
33010.3002011140031.55.5
3000–301800000
23412-.083000002025
24314.071000020004
2000–100300000
37527.074000200007
3001.000001610000
3001.0004031120000
24315.067000200004
21211-.091000000001
1409.44400020010.54.5
1218.125000100213
1000–000000000
Team totals3119124.0972826515310860
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313630.23351214100014
311220.4502000012213
34313.07703330031.58.5
36325.120000100428
3219.1111111210003
3114.0001400600001
35219.15800040010.55.5
31011.0000001800001
3002.0001601200000
2219.111000101013
1000–000000000
Team totals4519132.1973857612210775

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Western Caro. vs USC Upstate

Season series · USC Upstate leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 W CAR · SC UPS 6

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 3 W CARSC UPS 6

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 4 W CARSC UPS 5

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 6 W CARSC UPS 3

Bars above the line = USC Upstate leads, below = Western Caro. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Western Caro.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%7/15
67%10/15
2
44%7/16
22%2/9
3
50%7/14
22%2/9
4
50%6/12
42%5/12
5
63%5/8
25%2/8
6
44%4/9
38%3/8
All
49%36/74
39%24/61

USC Upstate

SlotSideout %Break %
1
58%7/12
50%6/12
2
78%7/9
56%9/16
3
70%7/10
59%10/17
4
67%6/9
40%4/10
5
55%6/11
50%6/12
6
40%4/10
43%3/7
All
61%37/61
51%38/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

135 rallies

#W CAR-SC UPSSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0SC UPSW CARKillZoe Zudansset Elise Gurley+1.9
22-0W CARW CARAttack errSavannah Page+2.4
32-1W CARSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Bri Brathol+1.8
42-2SC UPSSC UPSKillTien Murrayset Kamyla Vega David+2.4
53-2SC UPSW CARKillBrookelynn Nanceset Katie Boney+1.9
63-3W CARSC UPS×6KillSummer Kohlerset Sophia Overholt+1.9
73-4SC UPSSC UPS×6AceUSC Upstateaced Zoe Zudans+2.5
83-5SC UPSSC UPS×6AceUSC Upstateaced Zoe Zudans+2.4
93-6SC UPSSC UPS×6Attack errBrookelynn Nance+2.3
103-7SC UPSSC UPS×6Attack errSophia Marini+2.1
113-8SC UPSSC UPS×6BlockedBrookelynn Nanceblk Kensley Haneline+1.8
124-8SC UPSW CARServe errUSC Upstate+1.2
135-8W CARW CARAttack errKensley Haneline+1.9
145-9W CARSC UPSKillSavannah Pageset Kamyla Vega David+1.7
155-10SC UPSSC UPSAttack errTaylor Baggett+1.9
166-10SC UPSW CARServe errUSC Upstate+1.2
176-11W CARSC UPS×3KillKensley Hanelineset Sarah O'Connor+1.5
186-12SC UPSSC UPS×3BlockedTaylor Baggettblk Sophia Spivey, Kensley Haneline+1.5
196-13SC UPSSC UPS×3KillSophia Spiveyset Sarah O'Connor+1.2
207-13SC UPSW CAR×3KillSophia Mariniset Elise Gurley+0.7
218-13W CARW CAR×3KillTatum Sharp+1.2
229-13W CARW CAR×3BlockedSummer Kohlerblk Tatum Sharp, Katie Boney+1.6
239-14W CARSC UPS×3KillKensley Hanelineset Sarah O'Connor+1.5
249-15SC UPSSC UPS×3KillSummer Kohlerset Tatum Sharp+1.5
259-16SC UPSSC UPS×3KillTien Murrayset Sarah O'Connor+1.1
2610-16SC UPSW CARKillPeri Subatset Katie Boney+0.6
2711-16W CARW CARKillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney+1.1
2811-17W CARSC UPS×3KillSummer Kohlerset Sarah O'Connor+1.1
2911-18SC UPSSC UPS×3BlockedZoe Zudansblk Savannah Page, Tien Murray+1.0
3011-19SC UPSSC UPS×3KillSavannah Pageset Summer Kohler+0.6
3112-19SC UPSW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+0.3
3212-20W CARSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+0.4
3313-20SC UPSW CARServe errUSC Upstate+0.2
3413-21W CARSC UPSServe errWestern Caro.+0.4
3514-21SC UPSW CARKillBrookelynn Nanceset Katie Boney+0.2
3614-22W CARSC UPSKillKensley Hanelineset Kamyla Vega David+0.3
3715-22SC UPSW CARKillPeri Subatset Katie Boney+0.1
3815-23W CARSC UPSServe errWestern Caro.+0.2
3916-23SC UPSW CARKillSophia Mariniset Katie Boney+0.1
4017-23W CARW CARKillPeri Subatset Katie Boney+0.2
4117-24W CARSC UPSKillKensley Hanelineset Sarah O'Connor+0.2
4217-25SC UPSSC UPSKillSophia Overholtset Katie Boney+0.1
Set 2
11-0W CARW CAR×3BlockedTien Murrayblk Brookelynn Nance+2.2
22-0W CARW CAR×3KillZoe Zudansset Kamyla Vega David+2.2
33-0W CARW CAR×3AceWestern Caro.aced Summer Kohler+2.2
43-1W CARSC UPS×5KillSavannah Pageset Kamyla Vega David+1.6
53-2SC UPSSC UPS×5KillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+2.2
63-3SC UPSSC UPS×5BlockedSophia Mariniblk Savannah Page, Tien Murray+2.2
73-4SC UPSSC UPS×5AceUSC Upstateaced Elise Gurley+2.3
83-5SC UPSSC UPS×5KillSavannah Pageset Summer Kohler+2.2
94-5SC UPSW CARKillBrookelynn Nanceset Katie Boney+1.7
105-5W CARW CARAttack errKamyla Vega David+2.3
115-6W CARSC UPSKillTien Murrayset Kamyla Vega David+1.8
126-6SC UPSW CARKillPeri Subatset Elise Gurley+1.9
136-7W CARSC UPSKillBri Bratholset Summer Kohler+1.9
146-8SC UPSSC UPSAttack errPeri Subat+2.4
157-8SC UPSW CAR×4KillSophia Mariniset Katie Boney+1.8
168-8W CARW CAR×4Attack errSophia Spivey+2.5
179-8W CARW CAR×4Attack errBri Brathol+2.7
1810-8W CARW CAR×4Bad setSophia Spivey+2.7
1910-9W CARSC UPSKillKensley Hanelineset Sarah O'Connor+2.0
2010-10SC UPSSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kensley Haneline+2.7
2111-10SC UPSW CAR×3BlockedKensley Hanelineblk Tatum Sharp+2.2
2212-10W CARW CAR×3KillKatie Boneyset Halley Tang+2.9
2313-10W CARW CAR×3BlockedSummer Kohlerblk Tatum Sharp, Katie Boney+2.8
2413-11W CARSC UPSKillSophia Spiveyset Sarah O'Connor+1.9
2514-11SC UPSW CARKillKatie Boneyset Evelyn Keefer+2.3
2614-12W CARSC UPS×3Attack errBrookelynn Nance+2.0
2714-13SC UPSSC UPS×3Attack errZoe Zudans+2.9
2814-14SC UPSSC UPS×3KillSavannah Pageset Kamyla Vega David+3.2
2915-14SC UPSW CARKillKatie Boneyset Halley Tang+2.6
3016-14W CARW CARBlockedTien Murrayblk Brookelynn Nance+3.4
3116-15W CARSC UPSAttack errZoe Zudans+2.4
3217-15SC UPSW CARKillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney+2.8
3317-16W CARSC UPS×5Serve errWestern Caro.+2.5
3417-17SC UPSSC UPS×5AceUSC Upstateaced Elise Gurley+3.7
3517-18SC UPSSC UPS×5Attack errBrookelynn Nance+3.9
3617-19SC UPSSC UPS×5BlockedSophia Mariniblk Tehillah Garrison+3.7
3717-20SC UPSSC UPS×5KillSavannah Pageset Katie Boney+3.2
3818-20SC UPSW CARKillPeri Subatset Katie Boney+2.0
3919-20W CARW CARAttack errTehillah Garrison+3.5
4019-21W CARSC UPSServe errWestern Caro.+3.3
4120-21SC UPSW CARKillSophia Mariniset Katie Boney+2.9
4220-22W CARSC UPS×3KillKensley Hanelineset Sarah O'Connor+3.7
4320-23SC UPSSC UPS×3AceUSC Upstateaced Eda Yalçinkaya+3.7
4420-24SC UPSSC UPS×3Attack errTatum Sharp+2.1
4521-24SC UPSW CARKillPeri Subatset Katie Boney+0.5
4621-25W CARSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Sarah O'Connor+1.2
Set 3
11-0SC UPSW CARServe errUSC Upstate+1.0
21-1W CARSC UPSKillTien Murrayset Kamyla Vega David+1.0
31-2SC UPSSC UPSKillTehillah Garrison+1.3
42-2SC UPSW CARServe errUSC Upstate+1.0
53-2W CARW CARBlockedSavannah Pageblk Samantha Kranzler, JoJo Abeyta+1.4
63-3W CARSC UPSKillTehillah Garrisonset Kamyla Vega David+1.0
74-3SC UPSW CARKillJoJo Abeytaset Katie Boney+1.1
84-4W CARSC UPSKillKensley Hanelineset Sarah O'Connor+1.1
94-5SC UPSSC UPSKillKensley Haneline+1.4
105-5SC UPSW CARBlockedSophia Spiveyblk Tatum Sharp, Samantha Kranzler+1.1
115-6W CARSC UPSKillKensley Hanelineset Sarah O'Connor+1.1
125-7SC UPSSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Sarah O'Connor+1.4
136-7SC UPSW CARKillSamantha Kranzlerset Halley Tang+1.0
146-8W CARSC UPSKillSophia Spiveyset Sarah O'Connor+1.1
157-8SC UPSW CAR×6Attack errSummer Kohler+1.1
168-8W CARW CAR×6Attack errSummer Kohler+1.5
179-8W CARW CAR×6Attack errTien Murray+1.6
1810-8W CARW CAR×6Attack errSummer Kohler+1.6
1911-8W CARW CAR×6KillJoJo Abeytaset Katie Boney+1.6
2012-8W CARW CAR×6AceWestern Caro.aced Bri Brathol+1.5
2112-9W CARSC UPS×3KillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+1.0
2212-10SC UPSSC UPS×3BlockedPeri Subatblk Savannah Page, Tien Murray+1.5
2312-11SC UPSSC UPS×3Attack errPeri Subat+1.6
2413-11SC UPSW CARAttack errSavannah Page+1.4
2513-12W CARSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+1.3
2613-13SC UPSSC UPSAttack errPeri Subat+1.8
2714-13SC UPSW CARServe errUSC Upstate+1.5
2814-14W CARSC UPSBlockedSamantha Kranzlerblk Savannah Page, Kensley Haneline+1.5
2914-15SC UPSSC UPSKillSophia Spiveyset Summer Kohler+2.0
3015-15SC UPSW CARKillTaylor Baggettset Katie Boney+1.5
3115-16W CARSC UPSKillSophia Spiveyset Sarah O'Connor+1.6
3215-17SC UPSSC UPSKillKensley Hanelineset Sarah O'Connor+2.0
3316-17SC UPSW CARServe errUSC Upstate+1.4
3416-18W CARSC UPSServe errWestern Caro.+1.6
3517-18SC UPSW CARBlockedSummer Kohlerblk Tatum Sharp, Katie Boney+1.5
3617-19W CARSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Sarah O'Connor+1.7
3718-19SC UPSW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+1.6
3818-20W CARSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+1.8
3919-20SC UPSW CARKillPeri Subatset Katie Boney+1.6
4019-21W CARSC UPS×3Attack errPeri Subat+2.0
4119-22SC UPSSC UPS×3KillBri Bratholset Kensley Haneline+2.1
4219-23SC UPSSC UPS×3KillKamyla Vega Davidset Summer Kohler+1.4
4320-23SC UPSW CARKillJoJo Abeytaset Katie Boney+0.5
4420-24W CARSC UPSKillKensley Hanelineset Kamyla Vega David+1.0
4521-24SC UPSW CARKillJoJo Abeytaset Katie Boney+0.3
4622-24W CARW CARKillSamantha Kranzlerset Elise Gurley+0.9
4722-25W CARSC UPSServe errWestern Caro.+1.6

Score shown after each rally, Western Caro. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).