Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 11, 2026

AwayBIG-TEN

1:3

HomeBIG-12

TCU def. Michigan 3–1

(25-19, 25-23, 17-25, 25-23)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
MICH	19	23	25	23	1
TCU	25	25	17	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

TCU above 50 · MICH below

Biggest swing: 7.0% to TCU — set 4, MICH 23-25 TCU. Kill by Becca Kelley (set by Rosemary Archer). TCU win probability 93% → 100%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

MICH 32.6%67.4% TCU

Michigan wins

3-0

6.4%

3-1

11.6%

3-2

14.6%

TCU wins

3-0

21.5%

3-1

25.9%

3-2

20.0%

MICH break %: 39.6% vs this opp
TCU break %: 43.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Becca KelleyKill+7.0%
Kill by Becca Kelley (set by Rosemary Archer)
Set 4 · MICH 23-25 TCU · TCU 93% → 100%
02
TCU serverAce+6.8%
TCU ace on Carly Greskovics
Set 4 · MICH 21-23 TCU · TCU 87% → 94%
03
Rosemary ArcherKill+5.4%
Kill by Rosemary Archer (set by Evan Hendrix)
Set 4 · MICH 22-24 TCU · TCU 91% → 96%
04
De'Andrea McMillianKill+5.4%
Kill by De'Andrea McMillian
Set 4 · MICH 18-19 TCU · TCU 80% → 86%
05
Evan HendrixKill+5.2%
Kill by Evan Hendrix (set by Rosemary Archer)
Set 4 · MICH 18-18 TCU · TCU 75% → 80%
06
Reese RobinsKill+5.2%
Kill by Reese Robins (set by Rosemary Archer)
Set 4 · MICH 21-22 TCU · TCU 82% → 87%
07
Becca KelleyKill+4.9%
Kill by Becca Kelley (set by Rosemary Archer)
Set 2 · MICH 23-25 TCU · TCU 88% → 93%
08
Cymarah GordonKill+4.6%
Kill by Cymarah Gordon (set by Morgan Burke)
Set 4 · MICH 21-21 TCU · MICH 13% → 18%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Michiganaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
3Cymarah GordonOPP	4	22	1	39	.538	0	0	0	5	0	1	0.5	22.5
9Ella DemetricianOH	4	15	8	43	.163	2	0	0	9	2	0	0	15
22Sydney SchnichelsOH	4	8	4	29	.138	0	1	4	9	0	2	1	10
12Jenna HanesMB	4	6	1	12	.417	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	7
7Morgan BurkeS	4	0	0	0	–	24	6	1	11	0	0	0	6
4Ece SenyapiciMB	4	1	0	9	.111	0	0	0	2	0	4	2	3
5Lydia JohnsonOPP	4	6	3	15	.200	1	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	6.5
16Camille EdwardsS	4	0	0	1	.000	20	1	1	8	0	0	0	1
13Meredith MartinL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	8	1	1	15	0	0	0	1
10Carly GreskovicsL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0
Team totals		58	17	148	.277	56	10	7	65	3	8	4	90

TCUhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Becca KelleyOH	4	23	6	52	.327	1	0	0	4	1	1	1	1.5	24.5
2Evan HendrixOH	4	19	3	43	.372	4	0	2	4	3	0	1	0.5	19.5
10Kinsley YoungMB	4	10	2	20	.400	0	0	2	2	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
4De'Andrea McMillianMB	4	1	0	3	.333	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	3	4
7Reese RobinsMB	3	4	1	13	.231	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	4
6Reese WilburnS	3	0	0	0	–	8	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
5Jalyn GibsonOH	4	7	3	17	.235	2	1	1	6	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
17Rosemary ArcherS	4	1	0	5	.200	37	2	2	10	0	0	0	0	3
9Lauren MurphyOH	4	0	0	3	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
0Alice VolpeL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	6	0	0	27	1	0	0	0	0
16Jaylen ClarkL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13Molly McCarthyL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		65	15	156	.321	58	3	7	61	10	3	6	6	92

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 MICH · TCU 6

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 4 MICHTCU 5

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 5 MICHTCU 6

Set 3

25-17

Longest run 6 MICHTCU 2

Set 4

23-25

Longest run 4 MICHTCU 4

Bars above the line = TCU leads, below = Michigan leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Michigan

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	58%11/19	47%8/17
2	71%10/14	39%7/18
3	60%9/15	9%1/11
4	45%9/20	50%9/18
5	80%8/10	31%4/13
6	62%8/13	43%6/14
All	60%55/91	38%35/91

TCU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	73%11/15	47%8/17
2	69%11/16	42%8/19
3	56%9/16	36%5/14
4	56%9/16	25%3/12
5	100%9/9	53%10/19
6	37%7/19	20%2/10
All	62%56/91	40%36/91

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

182 rallies

Rally log

#	MICH-TCU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	TCU	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Reese Wilburn	+2.2
2	1-1	TCU	MICH	Kill	Ece Senyapici	set Morgan Burke	+1.6
3	1-2	MICH	TCU×3	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Reese Wilburn	+1.6
4	1-3	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+2.2
5	1-4	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+2.0
6	2-4	TCU	MICH	Kill	Jenna Hanes	set Morgan Burke	+1.4
7	2-5	MICH	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+1.4
8	3-5	TCU	MICH	Kill	Jenna Hanes	set Lydia Johnson	+1.4
9	3-6	MICH	TCU	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Rosemary Archer	+1.5
10	4-6	TCU	MICH	Serve err	TCU server		+1.4
11	4-7	MICH	TCU	Attack err	Sydney Schnichels	blk De'Andrea McMillian	+1.5
12	4-8	TCU	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+1.9
13	5-8	TCU	MICH	Serve err	TCU server		+1.2
14	5-9	MICH	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Alice Volpe	+1.3
15	5-10	TCU	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Reese Wilburn	+1.6
16	6-10	TCU	MICH	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Morgan Burke	+1.0
17	6-11	MICH	TCU	Kill	Reese Robins	set Reese Wilburn	+1.1
18	7-11	TCU	MICH	Attack err	Becca Kelley	blk Cymarah Gordon, Ece Senyapici	+1.0
19	7-12	MICH	TCU×3	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Reese Wilburn	+1.1
20	7-13	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Evan Hendrix	+1.3
21	7-14	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Meredith Martin	+0.9
22	8-14	TCU	MICH	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Morgan Burke	+0.5
23	8-15	MICH	TCU	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Rosemary Archer	+0.6
24	9-15	TCU	MICH	Kill	Lydia Johnson	set Camille Edwards	+0.4
25	10-15	MICH	MICH	Kill	Jenna Hanes	set Camille Edwards	+0.9
26	10-16	MICH	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Alice Volpe	+0.9
27	11-16	TCU	MICH×4	Kill	Jenna Hanes	set Camille Edwards	+0.6
28	12-16	MICH	MICH×4	Ace	MICH server	aced Team	+1.3
29	13-16	MICH	MICH×4	Attack err	Jalyn Gibson		+1.8
30	14-16	MICH	MICH×4	Kill	Sydney Schnichels	set Camille Edwards	+2.4
31	14-17	MICH	TCU	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+2.0
32	15-17	TCU	MICH	Kill	Lydia Johnson	set Camille Edwards	+1.7
33	15-18	MICH	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+2.1
34	16-18	TCU	MICH	Kill	Sydney Schnichels	set Morgan Burke	+1.8
35	16-19	MICH	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Reese Wilburn	+2.2
36	17-19	TCU	MICH	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Meredith Martin	+1.8
37	18-19	MICH	MICH	Kill	Jenna Hanes	set Morgan Burke	+3.5
38	18-20	MICH	TCU	Attack err	Ella Demetrician		+2.9
39	19-20	TCU	MICH	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Morgan Burke	+2.6
40	19-21	MICH	TCU×5	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+3.1
41	19-22	TCU	TCU×5	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Evan Hendrix	+3.6
42	19-23	TCU	TCU×5	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Alice Volpe	+2.2
43	19-24	TCU	TCU×5	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.9
44	19-25	TCU	TCU×5	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Rosemary Archer	+0.2
Set 2
1	0-1	MICH	TCU	Attack err	Ella Demetrician		+1.3
2	1-1	TCU	MICH×3	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Meredith Martin	+1.4
3	2-1	MICH	MICH×3	Attack err	Jalyn Gibson		+2.1
4	3-1	MICH	MICH×3	Ace	MICH server	aced Team	+2.1
5	3-2	MICH	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+1.4
6	4-2	TCU	MICH	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Morgan Burke	+1.6
7	4-3	MICH	TCU	Attack err	Lydia Johnson	blk Evan Hendrix, De'Andrea McMillian	+1.4
8	5-3	TCU	MICH	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Camille Edwards	+1.6
9	5-4	MICH	TCU×6	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+1.5
10	5-5	TCU	TCU×6	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+2.2
11	5-6	TCU	TCU×6	Attack err	Ella Demetrician		+2.1
12	5-7	TCU	TCU×6	Attack err	Ella Demetrician		+2.0
13	5-8	TCU	TCU×6	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Rosemary Archer	+1.9
14	5-9	TCU	TCU×6	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Becca Kelley	+1.6
15	6-9	TCU	MICH	Kill	Lydia Johnson	set Camille Edwards	+1.0
16	6-10	MICH	TCU	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Rosemary Archer	+1.2
17	7-10	TCU	MICH×3	Kill	Sydney Schnichels	set Camille Edwards	+1.0
18	8-10	MICH	MICH×3	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Meredith Martin	+1.8
19	9-10	MICH	MICH×3	Ace	MICH server	aced Becca Kelley	+2.1
20	9-11	MICH	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Alice Volpe	+1.6
21	10-11	TCU	MICH	Attack err	Becca Kelley	blk Sydney Schnichels, Ece Senyapici	+1.6
22	10-12	MICH	TCU×4	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Reese Wilburn	+1.6
23	10-13	TCU	TCU×4	Kill	Becca Kelley		+2.1
24	10-14	TCU	TCU×4	Ace	TCU server	aced Ella Demetrician	+1.8
25	10-15	TCU	TCU×4	Attack err	Ella Demetrician		+1.4
26	11-15	TCU	MICH	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Morgan Burke	+0.8
27	11-16	MICH	TCU	Attack err	Jenna Hanes	blk De'Andrea McMillian	+1.0
28	12-16	TCU	MICH	Attack err	Becca Kelley		+0.8
29	13-16	MICH	MICH	Kill	Ella Demetrician		+1.5
30	13-17	MICH	TCU	Attack err	Ella Demetrician		+1.3
31	14-17	TCU	MICH	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Camille Edwards	+1.1
32	15-17	MICH	MICH	Kill	Lydia Johnson	set Camille Edwards	+2.1
33	15-18	MICH	TCU×3	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+1.8
34	15-19	TCU	TCU×3	Attack err	Sydney Schnichels		+2.0
35	15-20	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+1.4
36	16-20	TCU	MICH	Kill	Sydney Schnichels	set Camille Edwards	+0.6
37	16-21	MICH	TCU	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Rosemary Archer	+0.9
38	16-22	TCU	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Reese Wilburn	+0.7
39	17-22	TCU	MICH×5	Serve err	TCU server		+0.2
40	18-22	MICH	MICH×5	Kill	Sydney Schnichels	set Meredith Martin	+0.6
41	19-22	MICH	MICH×5	Attack err	Reese Robins		+1.1
42	20-22	MICH	MICH×5	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Morgan Burke	+2.0
43	21-22	MICH	MICH×5	Attack err	Becca Kelley		+3.3
44	21-23	MICH	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Reese Wilburn	+3.3
45	22-23	TCU	MICH	Kill	Sydney Schnichels	set Ella Demetrician	+2.4
46	22-24	MICH	TCU	Serve err	MICH server		+3.8
47	23-24	TCU	MICH	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Ella Demetrician	+2.1
48	23-25	MICH	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+4.9
Set 3
1	0-1	TCU	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+1.1
2	0-2	TCU	TCU	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Alice Volpe	+1.0
3	1-2	TCU	MICH	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Morgan Burke	+0.7
4	2-2	MICH	MICH	Attack err	Becca Kelley		+1.1
5	2-3	MICH	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Alice Volpe	+0.8
6	3-3	TCU	MICH	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Morgan Burke	+0.8
7	3-4	MICH	TCU	Serve err	MICH server		+0.8
8	4-4	TCU	MICH	Serve err	TCU server		+0.8
9	4-5	MICH	TCU	Attack err	Ella Demetrician		+0.8
10	4-6	TCU	TCU	Attack err	Lydia Johnson		+1.1
11	5-6	TCU	MICH	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Camille Edwards	+0.8
12	6-6	MICH	MICH	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Camille Edwards	+1.2
13	6-7	MICH	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley		+0.9
14	7-7	TCU	MICH	Kill	Jenna Hanes	set Camille Edwards	+0.9
15	7-8	MICH	TCU	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+0.9
16	8-8	TCU	MICH×6	Attack err	Evan Hendrix	blk Lydia Johnson, Ece Senyapici	+0.9
17	9-8	MICH	MICH×6	Ace	MICH server	aced Team	+1.4
18	10-8	MICH	MICH×6	Ace	MICH server	aced Evan Hendrix	+1.4
19	11-8	MICH	MICH×6	Ace	MICH server	aced Alice Volpe	+1.4
20	12-8	MICH	MICH×6	Attack err	Evan Hendrix		+1.3
21	13-8	MICH	MICH×6	Attack err	Evan Hendrix		+1.2
22	13-9	MICH	TCU	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+0.6
23	13-10	TCU	TCU	Attack err	Cymarah Gordon	blk Kinsley Young, Jalyn Gibson	+1.1
24	14-10	TCU	MICH	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Morgan Burke	+1.0
25	14-11	MICH	TCU	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+0.8
26	15-11	TCU	MICH	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Morgan Burke	+1.0
27	15-12	MICH	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+0.8
28	15-13	TCU	TCU	Attack err	Ella Demetrician		+1.4
29	16-13	TCU	MICH×6	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Morgan Burke	+1.2
30	17-13	MICH	MICH×6	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Meredith Martin	+1.5
31	18-13	MICH	MICH×6	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Meredith Martin	+1.2
32	19-13	MICH	MICH×6	Kill	Lydia Johnson	set Camille Edwards	+0.9
33	20-13	MICH	MICH×6	Attack err	Kinsley Young		+0.6
34	21-13	MICH	MICH×6	Ace	MICH server	aced Evan Hendrix	+0.3
35	21-14	MICH	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.1
36	21-15	TCU	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Jalyn Gibson	+0.2
37	22-15	TCU	MICH	Serve err	TCU server		+0.3
38	22-16	MICH	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+0.1
39	23-16	TCU	MICH	Kill	Sydney Schnichels	set Camille Edwards	+0.2
40	23-17	MICH	TCU	Attack err	Sydney Schnichels	blk Becca Kelley	+0.1
41	24-17	TCU	MICH	Attack err	Jalyn Gibson	blk Sydney Schnichels, Ece Senyapici	+0.1
42	25-17	MICH	MICH	Ace	MICH server	aced Evan Hendrix	+0.0
Set 4
1	0-1	MICH	TCU	Attack err	Sydney Schnichels		+1.9
2	1-1	TCU	MICH	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Morgan Burke	+1.9
3	1-2	MICH	TCU	Serve err	MICH server		+1.9
4	2-2	TCU	MICH	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Morgan Burke	+2.0
5	2-3	MICH	TCU	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Rosemary Archer	+2.0
6	3-3	TCU	MICH	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Morgan Burke	+2.0
7	3-4	MICH	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+2.0
8	3-5	TCU	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Jalyn Gibson	+2.8
9	4-5	TCU	MICH	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Camille Edwards	+1.9
10	4-6	MICH	TCU	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Rosemary Archer	+2.0
11	5-6	TCU	MICH	Kill	Lydia Johnson	set Camille Edwards	+2.0
12	5-7	MICH	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+2.0
13	5-8	TCU	TCU	Ace	TCU server	aced Ella Demetrician	+2.7
14	6-8	TCU	MICH×3	Serve err	TCU server		+1.8
15	7-8	MICH	MICH×3	Ace	MICH server	aced Team	+2.9
16	8-8	MICH	MICH×3	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Morgan Burke	+3.3
17	8-9	MICH	TCU	Serve err	MICH server		+2.3
18	8-10	TCU	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+3.2
19	9-10	TCU	MICH×4	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Meredith Martin	+2.2
20	10-10	MICH	MICH×4	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Morgan Burke	+3.5
21	11-10	MICH	MICH×4	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Morgan Burke	+3.8
22	12-10	MICH	MICH×4	Ace	MICH server	aced Team	+3.9
23	12-11	MICH	TCU	Serve err	MICH server		+2.5
24	13-11	TCU	MICH	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Morgan Burke	+2.9
25	13-12	MICH	TCU	Kill	Reese Robins	set Rosemary Archer	+2.6
26	14-12	TCU	MICH×3	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Carly Greskovics	+3.0
27	15-12	MICH	MICH×3	Attack err	Kinsley Young		+4.1
28	16-12	MICH	MICH×3	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Meredith Martin	+3.7
29	16-13	MICH	TCU	Serve err	MICH server		+2.0
30	16-14	TCU	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+3.6
31	17-14	TCU	MICH	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Camille Edwards	+3.1
32	17-15	MICH	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+2.5
33	18-15	TCU	MICH	Kill	Sydney Schnichels	set Camille Edwards	+3.3
34	18-16	MICH	TCU×4	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+2.6
35	18-17	TCU	TCU×4	Attack err	Lydia Johnson	blk Becca Kelley, De'Andrea McMillian	+4.5
36	18-18	TCU	TCU×4	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+5.2
37	18-19	TCU	TCU×4	Kill	De'Andrea McMillian		+5.4
38	19-19	TCU	MICH	Serve err	TCU server		+3.8
39	19-20	MICH	TCU	Kill	Reese Robins	set Evan Hendrix	+4.1
40	20-20	TCU	MICH	Attack err	Becca Kelley		+4.1
41	20-21	MICH	TCU	Serve err	MICH server		+4.5
42	21-21	TCU	MICH	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Morgan Burke	+4.6
43	21-22	MICH	TCU	Kill	Reese Robins	set Rosemary Archer	+5.2
44	21-23	TCU	TCU	Ace	TCU server	aced Carly Greskovics	+6.8
45	22-23	TCU	MICH	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Morgan Burke	+3.4
46	22-24	MICH	TCU	Kill	Rosemary Archer	set Evan Hendrix	+5.4
47	23-24	TCU	MICH	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Camille Edwards	+3.0
48	23-25	MICH	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+7.0

Score shown after each rally, Michigan first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.