CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsThu, Sep 17, 2026
1:3
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Michigan def. Eastern Mich. 31

(25-18, 23-25, 25-20, 25-12)
Set1234Sets
E MICH182520121
MICH252325253

RallyIQ model

Win probability

MICH above 50 · E MICH below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100MICHE MICHBiggest swing +1.5% E MICH · S2 25-23rally 173 · set 4

Biggest swing: 1.5% to Eastern Mich. — set 2, E MICH 25-23 MICH. Eastern Mich. ace on Sydney Schnichels. MICH win probability 98%96%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

E MICH 1.0%99.0% MICH

Eastern Mich. wins

3-0
0.1%
3-1
0.2%
3-2
0.7%

Michigan wins

3-0
73.8%
3-1
21.3%
3-2
3.8%
E MICH break %
34.8% vs this opp
MICH break %
52.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    E MICH serverAce+1.5%

    Eastern Mich. ace on Sydney Schnichels

    Set 2 · E MICH 25-23 MICH · E MICH 2%4%

  2. 02
    E MICH serverAce+1.0%

    Eastern Mich. ace on Ella Demetrician

    Set 4 · E MICH 7-4 MICH · E MICH 3%4%

  3. 03

    Kill by Natalie Slusher (set by Surabhi Srinivasan)

    Set 2 · E MICH 24-23 MICH · E MICH 1%2%

  4. 04
    Haley TroskyKill+0.8%

    Kill by Haley Trosky (set by Surabhi Srinivasan)

    Set 4 · E MICH 6-4 MICH · E MICH 2%3%

  5. 05

    Kill by Ella Demetrician

    Set 4 · E MICH 7-6 MICH · MICH 97%97%

  6. 06
    MICH serverService error+0.7%

    Michigan service error

    Set 4 · E MICH 8-6 MICH · E MICH 3%3%

  7. 07

    Kill by Natalie Slusher (set by Lina Govoni)

    Set 4 · E MICH 10-9 MICH · E MICH 2%3%

  8. 08
    Lydia JohnsonKill+0.7%

    Kill by Lydia Johnson (set by Ellie White)

    Set 4 · E MICH 8-8 MICH · MICH 97%98%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415444.2500216100017
412425.32000001010.512.5
45112.333103100216
45215.20000010010.55.5
43518-.111000500214
4012-.5001900500000
46217.235000200006
4011-1.0008221520002
4014-.250101800000
4002.0001402400000
1000000200000
Team totals4621140.179434949406375
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
423747.34000011110124
411221.42911210302113
410329.24100080031.511.5
48211.5450002012210
45212.250002000427
40003120800002
46215.26710010010.56.5
40002001800000
3011-1.0001910300001
2000401000000
Team totals6319136.3245845614212898

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 E MICH · MICH 7

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 2 E MICHMICH 3

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 3 E MICHMICH 3

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 5 E MICHMICH 4

Set 4

12-25

Longest run 4 E MICHMICH 7

Bars above the line = Michigan leads, below = Eastern Mich. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Eastern Mich.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%10/16
33%4/12
2
40%10/25
23%3/13
3
45%9/20
0%0/10
4
69%9/13
53%10/19
5
58%7/12
33%4/12
6
55%6/11
30%3/10
All
53%51/97
32%24/76

Michigan

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%10/15
38%5/13
2
91%10/11
60%15/25
3
69%9/13
59%13/22
4
47%8/17
36%5/14
5
67%8/12
38%5/13
6
88%7/8
30%3/10
All
68%52/76
47%46/97

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

173 rallies

Rally log

#E MICH-MICHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1E MICHMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.1
21-1MICHE MICHKillAzra Eriçset Lina Govoni+0.1
32-1E MICHE MICHKillAshleeKay Christensenset Azra Eriç+0.2
42-2E MICHMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+0.1
53-2MICHE MICHKillAzra Eriçset Lina Govoni+0.2
63-3E MICHMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.1
74-3MICHE MICHAttack errJenna Hanes+0.2
84-4E MICHMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+0.2
94-5MICHMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Camille Edwards+0.2
105-5MICHE MICHKillHaley Troskyset Kaylin Schroeder+0.2
115-6E MICHMICHKillJenna Hanesset Camille Edwards+0.1
126-6MICHE MICHServe errMICH server+0.2
136-7E MICHMICHKillEce Senyapiciset Camille Edwards+0.1
147-7MICHE MICHKillHaley Troskyset Kaylin Schroeder+0.2
157-8E MICHMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Morgan Burke+0.2
168-8MICHE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni+0.2
178-9E MICHMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+0.2
189-9MICHE MICHAttack errElla Demetrician+0.2
199-10E MICHMICH×3KillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+0.2
209-11MICHMICH×3Attack errTaeley Mahler+0.2
219-12MICHMICH×3KillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+0.1
2210-12MICHE MICHKillAshleeKay Christensenset Lina Govoni+0.1
2310-13E MICHMICHKillJenna Hanesset Camille Edwards+0.1
2411-13MICHE MICHKillMaddie Hermanset Kaylin Schroeder+0.1
2511-14E MICHMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Camille Edwards+0.1
2611-15MICHMICHKillEce Senyapiciset Camille Edwards+0.1
2712-15MICHE MICHAttack errSydney Schnichels+0.1
2812-16E MICHMICHServe errE MICH server+0.1
2913-16MICHE MICHAttack errCymarah Gordon+0.1
3013-17E MICHMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Morgan Burke+0.1
3113-18MICHMICHKillElla Demetrician+0.1
3214-18MICHE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni+0.1
3314-19E MICHMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.1
3414-20MICHMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.0
3515-20MICHE MICHAttack errJenna Hanes+0.0
3615-21E MICHMICHServe errE MICH server+0.0
3716-21MICHE MICHKillAshleeKay Christensenset Lina Govoni+0.0
3816-22E MICHMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+0.0
3917-22MICHE MICHKillAshleeKay Christensenset Lina Govoni+0.0
4017-23E MICHMICHAttack errLina Govoni+0.0
4118-23MICHE MICHAttack errCamille Edwards+0.0
4218-24E MICHMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Camille Edwards+0.0
4318-25MICHMICHAceMICH serveraced Natalie Slusher+0.0
Set 2
11-0MICHE MICHAttack errSydney Schnichels+0.1
21-1E MICHMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Morgan Burke+0.1
32-1MICHE MICHServe errMICH server+0.1
42-2E MICHMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+0.1
52-3MICHMICHAttack errAshleeKay Christensenblk Cymarah Gordon, Jenna Hanes+0.1
63-3MICHE MICHKillMaddie Hermanset Kaylin Schroeder+0.1
73-4E MICHMICHServe errE MICH server+0.1
84-4MICHE MICH×3Attack errElla Demetrician+0.1
95-4E MICHE MICH×3KillAzra Eriç+0.1
106-4E MICHE MICH×3AceE MICH serveraced Sydney Schnichels+0.2
116-5E MICHMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+0.1
127-5MICHE MICHKillHaley Troskyset Kaylin Schroeder+0.2
138-5E MICHE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni+0.2
148-6E MICHMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Camille Edwards+0.1
158-7MICHMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Lydia Johnson+0.2
169-7MICHE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni+0.2
1710-7E MICHE MICHAttack errElla Demetricianblk Taeley Mahler, Azra Eriç+0.3
1810-8E MICHMICHKillEce Senyapiciset Camille Edwards+0.2
1911-8MICHE MICHKillAshleeKay Christensenset Lina Govoni+0.2
2012-8E MICHE MICHAttack errEce Senyapici+0.3
2112-9E MICHMICHServe errE MICH server+0.2
2212-10MICHMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+0.2
2313-10MICHE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Lina Govoni+0.2
2413-11E MICHMICHServe errE MICH server+0.2
2514-11MICHE MICHKillAshleeKay Christensenset Morgan Burke+0.3
2615-11E MICHE MICHAttack errElla Demetrician+0.4
2715-12E MICHMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+0.2
2815-13MICHMICHAceMICH serveraced Surabhi Srinivasan+0.3
2916-13MICHE MICHBad setCamille Edwards+0.3
3016-14E MICHMICH×3KillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+0.2
3116-15MICHMICH×3KillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+0.3
3216-16MICHMICH×3Attack errNatalie Slusher+0.3
3317-16MICHE MICH×3KillNatalie Slusherset Surabhi Srinivasan+0.3
3418-16E MICHE MICH×3KillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni+0.4
3519-16E MICHE MICH×3KillNatalie Slusher+0.5
3619-17E MICHMICHKillJenna Hanesset Camille Edwards+0.3
3720-17MICHE MICHServe errMICH server+0.4
3820-18E MICHMICHKillEce Senyapiciset Camille Edwards+0.3
3921-18MICHE MICHKillAshleeKay Christensenset Lina Govoni+0.5
4021-19E MICHMICH×3KillEce Senyapiciset Morgan Burke+0.3
4121-20MICHMICH×3KillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+0.5
4221-21MICHMICH×3Attack errMaddie Herman+0.5
4322-21MICHE MICHKillAshleeKay Christensenset Surabhi Srinivasan+0.5
4422-22E MICHMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.4
4523-22MICHE MICHAttack errElla Demetrician+0.6
4623-23E MICHMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+0.5
4724-23MICHE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Surabhi Srinivasan+0.8
4825-23E MICHE MICHAceE MICH serveraced Sydney Schnichels+1.5
Set 3
10-1E MICHMICH×3Serve errE MICH server+0.4
20-2MICHMICH×3KillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.4
30-3MICHMICH×3AceMICH serveraced Surabhi Srinivasan+0.3
41-3MICHE MICHServe errMICH server+0.3
51-4E MICHMICH×3KillEce Senyapiciset Morgan Burke+0.3
61-5MICHMICH×3Attack errAshleeKay Christensen+0.3
71-6MICHMICH×3KillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+0.2
82-6MICHE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Surabhi Srinivasan+0.2
92-7E MICHMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.2
102-8MICHMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+0.2
113-8MICHE MICH×5KillMaddie Hermanset Kaylin Schroeder+0.1
124-8E MICHE MICH×5KillMaddie Hermanset Kaylin Schroeder+0.2
135-8E MICHE MICH×5Attack errLydia Johnson+0.3
146-8E MICHE MICH×5KillNatalie Slusherset Surabhi Srinivasan+0.5
157-8E MICHE MICH×5KillNatalie Slusherset Kaylin Schroeder+0.7
167-9E MICHMICHKillJenna Hanesset Camille Edwards+0.5
177-10MICHMICHAttack errHaley Troskyblk Sydney Schnichels, Jenna Hanes+0.5
188-10MICHE MICHKillHaley Troskyset Kaylin Schroeder+0.4
198-11E MICHMICHServe errE MICH server+0.4
209-11MICHE MICHKillHaley Troskyset Kaylin Schroeder+0.4
219-12E MICHMICH×4KillSydney Schnichelsset Meredith Martin+0.4
229-13MICHMICH×4Attack errNatalie Slusherblk Ece Senyapici, Cymarah Gordon+0.4
239-14MICHMICH×4Attack errNatalie Slusher+0.3
249-15MICHMICH×4Attack errSurabhi Srinivasan+0.2
2510-15MICHE MICH×4KillAshleeKay Christensenset Surabhi Srinivasan+0.1
2611-15E MICHE MICH×4Attack errEce Senyapici+0.3
2712-15E MICHE MICH×4Attack errCymarah Gordon+0.4
2813-15E MICHE MICH×4KillTaeley Mahlerset Lina Govoni+0.7
2913-16E MICHMICH×3KillSydney Schnichelsset Morgan Burke+0.5
3013-17MICHMICH×3KillEce Senyapiciset Morgan Burke+0.5
3113-18MICHMICH×3Attack errTaeley Mahlerblk Ece Senyapici+0.3
3214-18MICHE MICHKillAzra Eriçset Lina Govoni+0.2
3314-19E MICHMICH×3KillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+0.2
3414-20MICHMICH×3Attack errTaeley Mahler+0.2
3514-21MICHMICH×3KillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+0.1
3615-21MICHE MICHKillMaddie Hermanset Lina Govoni+0.0
3715-22E MICHMICHAttack errHaley Trosky+0.1
3816-22MICHE MICH×3KillAshleeKay Christensenset Kaylin Schroeder+0.0
3917-22E MICHE MICH×3AceE MICH serveraced Sydney Schnichels+0.1
4018-22E MICHE MICH×3Attack errLydia Johnsonblk Maddie Herman, Natalie Slusher+0.2
4118-23E MICHMICHKillElla Demetricianset Ellie White+0.2
4219-23MICHE MICHAttack errElla Demetrician+0.1
4320-23E MICHE MICHKillAzra Eriçset Surabhi Srinivasan+0.3
4420-24E MICHMICHAttack errNatalie Slusherblk Lydia Johnson, Jenna Hanes+0.4
4520-25MICHMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Ellie White+0.1
Set 4
11-0MICHE MICHKillAshleeKay Christensenset Lina Govoni+0.4
22-0E MICHE MICHKillAshleeKay Christensenset Lina Govoni+0.6
32-1E MICHMICHBad setLina Govoni+0.4
42-2MICHMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+0.5
53-2MICHE MICHAttack errCymarah Gordon+0.5
63-3E MICHMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.4
73-4MICHMICHAttack errMaddie Herman+0.4
84-4MICHE MICH×4KillAshleeKay Christensenset Kaylin Schroeder+0.4
95-4E MICHE MICH×4Attack errElla Demetrician+0.6
106-4E MICHE MICH×4KillHaley Troskyset Surabhi Srinivasan+0.8
117-4E MICHE MICH×4AceE MICH serveraced Ella Demetrician+1.0
127-5E MICHMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.6
137-6MICHMICHKillElla Demetrician+0.7
148-6MICHE MICHServe errMICH server+0.7
158-7E MICHMICHKillElla Demetricianset Ellie White+0.6
168-8MICHMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Ellie White+0.7
179-8MICHE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Kaylin Schroeder+0.6
189-9E MICHMICHAttack errAzra Eriçblk Sydney Schnichels, Jenna Hanes+0.5
1910-9MICHE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni+0.7
2010-10E MICHMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Ellie White+0.6
2110-11MICHMICHAceMICH serveraced AshleeKay Christensen+0.7
2211-11MICHE MICHKillAshleeKay Christensenset Surabhi Srinivasan+0.6
2311-12E MICHMICH×7Serve errE MICH server+0.5
2411-13MICHMICH×7KillEce Senyapiciset Morgan Burke+0.6
2511-14MICHMICH×7Attack errAshleeKay Christensenblk Ece Senyapici, Cymarah Gordon+0.4
2611-15MICHMICH×7Serve errMICH server+0.3
2711-16MICHMICH×7Attack errTaeley Mahler+0.2
2811-17MICHMICH×7Attack errTaeley Mahlerblk Ella Demetrician+0.1
2911-18MICHMICH×7KillTaeley Mahlerset Sydney Schnichels+0.1
3012-18MICHE MICHKillAshleeKay Christensenset Mia Schaefer+0.0
3112-19E MICHMICH×7Serve errE MICH server+0.1
3212-20MICHMICH×7Attack errAshleeKay Christensen+0.0
3312-21MICHMICH×7KillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+0.0
3412-22MICHMICH×7KillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+0.0
3512-23MICHMICH×7KillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.0
3612-24MICHMICH×7KillElla Demetricianset Meredith Martin+0.0
3712-25MICHMICH×7KillJenna Hanesset Kaylin Schroeder+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Eastern Mich. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.