Cornell at Michigan

Set	1*	2*	3	Sets
CORN	16	12	–	0
MICH	25	25	–	2

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

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Win probability

MICH above 50 · CORN below

Biggest swing: 0.7% to Cornell — set 1, CORN 10-6 MICH. Cornell ace on Sydney Schnichels. MICH win probability 96% → 96%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

CORN 1.8%98.2% MICH

Cornell wins

3-0

0.2%

3-1

0.5%

3-2

1.2%

Michigan wins

3-0

68.2%

3-1

24.5%

3-2

5.5%

CORN break %: 34.4% vs this opp
MICH break %: 50.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
CORN serverAce+0.7%
Cornell ace on Sydney Schnichels
Set 1 · CORN 10-6 MICH · CORN 4% → 4%
02
Ella DemetricianKill+0.6%
Kill by Ella Demetrician
Set 1 · CORN 11-9 MICH · MICH 96% → 96%
03
Ece SenyapiciAttack error+0.6%
Ece Senyapici stuffed by Mackenzie Parsons & Amrit Dhaliwal
Set 1 · CORN 11-7 MICH · CORN 4% → 5%
04
Jenna HanesAttack error+0.6%
Jenna Hanes stuffed by Ava Bogan
Set 1 · CORN 7-4 MICH · CORN 3% → 3%
05
Ella DemetricianKill+0.6%
Kill by Ella Demetrician (set by Morgan Burke)
Set 1 · CORN 11-10 MICH · MICH 96% → 97%
06
Kiran RioAttack error+0.5%
Kiran Rio stuffed by Jenna Hanes & Cymarah Gordon
Set 1 · CORN 12-12 MICH · MICH 97% → 97%
07
Kiran RioKill+0.5%
Kill by Kiran Rio (set by Mary Wolcott)
Set 1 · CORN 12-10 MICH · CORN 3% → 3%
08
Jaida SioneKill+0.5%
Kill by Jaida Sione (set by Kiran Rio)
Set 1 · CORN 9-6 MICH · CORN 3% → 4%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Cornellaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Ava BoganMB	3	4	2	11	.182	0	0	0	2	0	3	2	4	8
20Mackenzie ParsonsMB	3	3	4	22	-.045	0	0	1	4	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
21Kiran RioOH	3	2	1	8	.125	1	0	0	2	4	0	2	1	3
10Amrit DhaliwalMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	1
12Mary WolcottS	3	0	0	0	–	12	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	1
9Haley ClarkOH	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
24Jaida SioneOH	3	5	0	11	.455	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	5
11Sophia AhrensOH	3	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
2Sarita PomarL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	6	2	0	0	0	1
18Mikayla GrayOH	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
17Ellery WilliamsonOH	3	0	2	4	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Sydney ZancaOH	3	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Avarie AdamsMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Trinidy TienL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Caroline HoldsworthL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25Madison WoodL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16Charlotte NowakOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15Nevaeh TienS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		15	10	61	.082	15	3	2	21	6	4	6	7	28

Michiganhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
9Ella DemetricianOH	3	12	1	19	.579	0	1	0	6	0	0	0	13
22Sydney SchnichelsOH	3	9	2	16	.438	1	1	1	3	1	2	1	11
3Cymarah GordonOPP	3	8	3	17	.294	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	9.5
7Morgan BurkeS	3	0	0	0	–	15	4	0	7	0	0	0	4
4Ece SenyapiciMB	3	1	1	3	.000	0	0	0	1	0	4	2	3
12Jenna HanesMB	3	0	2	4	-.500	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	0.5
18Kapri GarnettOPP	3	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
5Lydia JohnsonOPP	3	0	0	4	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28Trixie McmillinL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Ellie WhiteS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Leni Stanton-parkerOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Carly GreskovicsL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11Megan IngersollOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Hannah BradyL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13Meredith MartinL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	10	2	0	0	0
16Camille EdwardsS	3	0	0	0	–	9	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
1Jaden JonesMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		31	9	64	.344	29	6	1	32	3	10	5	50

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 CORN · MICH 9

Set 1*

16-25

Longest run 4 CORNMICH 8

Set 2*

12-25

Longest run 3 CORNMICH 9

Bars above the line = Michigan leads, below = Cornell leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

78 rallies

Rally log

#	CORN-MICH	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	CORN	MICH	Serve err	CORN server		+0.2
2	1-1	MICH	CORN×3	Kill	Ava Bogan	set Mary Wolcott	+0.2
3	2-1	CORN	CORN×3	Kill	Mackenzie Parsons	set Mary Wolcott	+0.3
4	3-1	CORN	CORN×3	Attack err	Cymarah Gordon		+0.4
5	3-2	CORN	MICH×3	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Morgan Burke	+0.3
6	3-3	MICH	MICH×3	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Camille Edwards	+0.3
7	3-4	MICH	MICH×3	Attack err	Ava Bogan		+0.3
8	4-4	MICH	CORN×4	Kill	Mackenzie Parsons	set Mary Wolcott	+0.2
9	5-4	CORN	CORN×4	Kill	Jaida Sione	set Mary Wolcott	+0.4
10	6-4	CORN	CORN×4	Kill	Ava Bogan	set Mary Wolcott	+0.5
11	7-4	CORN	CORN×4	Attack err	Jenna Hanes	blk Ava Bogan	+0.6
12	7-5	CORN	MICH	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Meredith Martin	+0.3
13	8-5	MICH	CORN	Attack err	Jenna Hanes	blk Ava Bogan, Mary Wolcott	+0.5
14	8-6	CORN	MICH	Kill	Sydney Schnichels	set Camille Edwards	+0.4
15	9-6	MICH	CORN	Kill	Jaida Sione	set Kiran Rio	+0.5
16	10-6	CORN	CORN	Ace	CORN server	aced Sydney Schnichels	+0.7
17	10-7	CORN	MICH	Kill	Sydney Schnichels	set Camille Edwards	+0.4
18	11-7	MICH	CORN	Attack err	Ece Senyapici	blk Mackenzie Parsons, Amrit Dhaliwal	+0.6
19	11-8	CORN	MICH×3	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Morgan Burke	+0.4
20	11-9	MICH	MICH×3	Kill	Ella Demetrician		+0.6
21	11-10	MICH	MICH×3	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Morgan Burke	+0.6
22	12-10	MICH	CORN	Kill	Kiran Rio	set Mary Wolcott	+0.5
23	12-11	CORN	MICH×3	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Meredith Martin	+0.4
24	12-12	MICH	MICH×3	Attack err	Kiran Rio	blk Jenna Hanes, Cymarah Gordon	+0.5
25	12-13	MICH	MICH×3	Attack err	Mackenzie Parsons		+0.5
26	13-13	MICH	CORN	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.4
27	13-14	CORN	MICH	Kill	Sydney Schnichels	set Morgan Burke	+0.3
28	13-15	MICH	MICH	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Camille Edwards	+0.4
29	14-15	MICH	CORN	Attack err	Sydney Schnichels	blk Ava Bogan	+0.3
30	14-16	CORN	MICH	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Sydney Schnichels	+0.3
31	15-16	MICH	CORN	Kill	Jaida Sione	set Mary Wolcott	+0.3
32	15-17	CORN	MICH	Kill	Sydney Schnichels	set Camille Edwards	+0.3
33	16-17	MICH	CORN	Kill	Jaida Sione	set Mary Wolcott	+0.4
34	16-18	CORN	MICH×8	Kill	Sydney Schnichels	set Camille Edwards	+0.4
35	16-19	MICH	MICH×8	Ace	MICH server	aced Kiran Rio	+0.4
36	16-20	MICH	MICH×8	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Morgan Burke	+0.2
37	16-21	MICH	MICH×8	Kill	Cymarah Gordon		+0.1
38	16-22	MICH	MICH×8	Kill	Sydney Schnichels	set Morgan Burke	+0.1
39	16-23	MICH	MICH×8	Kill	Sydney Schnichels	set Morgan Burke	+0.0
40	16-24	MICH	MICH×8	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Morgan Burke	+0.0
41	16-25	MICH	MICH×8	Attack err	Mackenzie Parsons		+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	MICH	MICH	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Morgan Burke	+0.1
2	1-1	MICH	CORN	Attack err	Sydney Schnichels	blk Mackenzie Parsons, Sophia Ahrens	+0.1
3	1-2	CORN	MICH	Kill	Sydney Schnichels	set Morgan Burke	+0.1
4	1-3	MICH	MICH	Ace	MICH server	aced Sarita Pomar	+0.1
5	2-3	MICH	CORN	Kill	Sophia Ahrens	set Mary Wolcott	+0.1
6	2-4	CORN	MICH	Bad set	Sydney Zanca		+0.1
7	3-4	MICH	CORN	Attack err	Ella Demetrician	blk Kiran Rio, Ava Bogan	+0.1
8	3-5	CORN	MICH	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Morgan Burke	+0.1
9	4-5	MICH	CORN	Kill	Kiran Rio	set Mikayla Gray	+0.1
10	5-5	CORN	CORN	Ace	CORN server	aced Meredith Martin	+0.2
11	5-6	CORN	MICH	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Camille Edwards	+0.1
12	5-7	MICH	MICH	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.2
13	6-7	MICH	CORN	Kill	Jaida Sione	set Sarita Pomar	+0.1
14	6-8	CORN	MICH	Kill	Sydney Schnichels	set Camille Edwards	+0.1
15	6-9	MICH	MICH	Attack err	Mary Wolcott	blk Ece Senyapici, Mackenzie Parsons	+0.1
16	7-9	MICH	CORN	Kill	Mackenzie Parsons	set Mary Wolcott	+0.1
17	7-10	CORN	MICH×9	Kill	Ece Senyapici	set Camille Edwards	+0.1
18	7-11	MICH	MICH×9	Ace	MICH server	aced Kiran Rio	+0.1
19	7-12	MICH	MICH×9	Ace	MICH server	aced Kiran Rio	+0.1
20	7-13	MICH	MICH×9	Attack err	Ellery Williamson		+0.0
21	7-14	MICH	MICH×9	Attack err	Mackenzie Parsons	blk Ece Senyapici, Sydney Schnichels	+0.0
22	7-15	MICH	MICH×9	Ace	MICH server	aced Sarita Pomar	+0.0
23	7-16	MICH	MICH×9	Attack err	Ellery Williamson	blk Ece Senyapici, Cymarah Gordon	+0.0
24	7-17	MICH	MICH×9	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Meredith Martin	+0.0
25	7-18	MICH	MICH×9	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Morgan Burke	+0.0
26	8-18	MICH	CORN×3	Attack err	Cymarah Gordon	set Ella Demetrician	+0.0
27	9-18	CORN	CORN×3	Kill	Ava Bogan	set Mary Wolcott	+0.0
28	10-18	CORN	CORN×3	Kill	Ava Bogan	set Mary Wolcott	+0.0
29	10-19	CORN	MICH×4	Serve err	CORN server		+0.0
30	10-20	MICH	MICH×4	Attack err	Ava Bogan	blk Ece Senyapici, Cymarah Gordon	+0.0
31	10-21	MICH	MICH×4	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Ava Bogan	+0.0
32	10-22	MICH	MICH×4	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Meredith Martin	+0.0
33	11-22	MICH	CORN	Serve err	MICH server		+0.0
34	12-22	CORN	CORN	Ace	CORN server	aced Meredith Martin	+0.0
35	12-23	CORN	MICH×3	Kill	Kapri Garnett	set Morgan Burke	+0.0
36	12-24	MICH	MICH×3	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Morgan Burke	+0.0
37	12-25	MICH	MICH×3	Attack err	Sydney Zanca		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Cornell first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.