Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 25, 2026Watch on B1G+

Penn St. def. Michigan 3–1

Penn St. won at Michigan 3-1 (23-25, 25-17, 25-13, 25-13) on Fri, Sep 25, 2026. Penn St.'s Kennedy Martin led with 18 kills, and Ava Falduto added 15 digs.

Data through · final Sep 25

Set1234Sets
PENNST232525253
MICH251713131

Win probability

Michigan above 50 · Penn St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+7.2% MICHrally 166 · set 4

Biggest swing: 7.2% to Michigan — set 1, PENNST 23-25 MICH. Kill by Ella Demetrician (set by Camille Edwards). MICH win probability 50% → 57%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

PENNST 63.5%36.5% MICH

Penn St. wins

3-0
19.2%
3-1
24.3%
3-2
20.0%

Michigan wins

3-0
7.6%
3-1
13.1%
3-2
15.7%
PENNST break %
41.4% vs this opp
MICH break %
38.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Ella Demetrician (set by Camille Edwards)

    Set 1 · PENNST 23-25 MICH · MICH 50% → 57%

  2. 02
    Alexis StuckyAttack error+5.5%

    Attack error by Alexis Stucky

    Set 1 · PENNST 19-21 MICH · MICH 42% → 47%

  3. 03

    Kill by Cymarah Gordon (set by Morgan Burke)

    Set 1 · PENNST 22-24 MICH · MICH 47% → 52%

  4. 04

    Kill by Ella Demetrician (set by Morgan Burke)

    Set 1 · PENNST 18-19 MICH · MICH 36% → 41%

  5. 05

    Alexis Ewing stuffed by Ece Senyapici & Cymarah Gordon

    Set 1 · PENNST 19-22 MICH · MICH 47% → 52%

  6. 06
    Ella DemetricianAttack error+4.6%

    Attack error by Ella Demetrician

    Set 1 · PENNST 21-22 MICH · PENNST 50% → 55%

  7. 07

    Kill by Ella Demetrician (set by Morgan Burke)

    Set 1 · PENNST 21-23 MICH · MICH 45% → 50%

  8. 08
    Sydney SchnichelsAttack error+4.1%

    Attack error by Sydney Schnichels

    Set 1 · PENNST 17-16 MICH · PENNST 62% → 66%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418247.3400013002119
46218.22200000153.59.5
45011.45500130052.57.5
4429.22239111100427
4228.0002001100002
13414-.071000100003
4000–120100002
4000–7011500000
4000–100600000
38120.35002250031.511.5
38117.41201020010.59.5
Team totals5414144.27850665801201198
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416541.26800010010.516.5
4151146.0873016300015
491135-.05710251010.59.5
42110.100000200002
4116.000000400212
4000–2100900000
44312.083000000004
41011.0003002910001
4000–1601900000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals4832151.106440465604268

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 PENNST · MICH 3

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 4 PENNSTMICH 3

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 6 PENNSTMICH 2

Set 3

25-13

Longest run 6 PENNSTMICH 2

Set 4

25-13

Longest run 4 PENNSTMICH 2

Bars above the line = Michigan leads, below = Penn St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Penn St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
61%11/18
44%7/16
2
82%9/11
40%6/15
3
82%9/11
53%10/19
4
89%8/9
59%13/22
5
73%8/11
33%4/12
6
89%8/9
38%5/13
All
77%53/69
46%45/97

Michigan

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%9/15
29%4/14
2
60%9/15
31%4/13
3
41%9/22
25%3/12
4
60%9/15
10%1/10
5
50%8/16
27%3/11
6
57%8/14
11%1/9
All
54%52/97
23%16/69

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

166 rallies

#PENNST-MICHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0PENNSTPENNSTAttack errCymarah Gordon+2.4
21-1PENNSTMICHBlockedAlexis Ewingblk Ece Senyapici, Sydney Schnichels+1.6
32-1MICHPENNSTServe errMichigan+1.6
43-1PENNSTPENNSTKillGabrielle Nichols+2.4
53-2PENNSTMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+1.6
64-2MICHPENNSTKillGabrielle Nicholsset Alexis Stucky+1.6
75-2PENNSTPENNSTKillGabrielle Nichols+2.2
85-3PENNSTMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+1.4
95-4MICHMICHAttack errKennedy Martin+2.4
106-4MICHPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+1.7
116-5PENNSTMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+1.7
127-5MICHPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+1.7
137-6PENNSTMICHServe errPenn St.+1.7
147-7MICHMICHAttack errHaley Burgdorf+2.8
158-7MICHPENNSTKillHaley Burgdorfset Ava Falduto+1.9
168-8PENNSTMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+1.9
179-8MICHPENNSTKillAlexis Ewingset Alexis Stucky+2.0
189-9PENNSTMICH×3KillCymarah Gordonset Sydney Schnichels+2.0
199-10MICHMICH×3KillElla Demetrician+3.2
209-11MICHMICH×3Attack errAlexis Ewing+3.3
2110-11MICHPENNSTKillAlexis Ewingset Alexis Stucky+2.0
2210-12PENNSTMICHServe errPenn St.+2.3
2310-13MICHMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+3.3
2411-13MICHPENNSTAttack errCymarah Gordon+1.9
2512-13PENNSTPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Ava Falduto+3.2
2612-14PENNSTMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+2.5
2713-14MICHPENNSTServe errMichigan+2.2
2813-15PENNSTMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+2.6
2913-16MICHMICHKillJenna Hanesset Ava Falduto+3.6
3014-16MICHPENNST×4Serve errMichigan+2.0
3115-16PENNSTPENNST×4AcePenn St.aced Ella Demetrician+3.6
3216-16PENNSTPENNST×4BlockedSydney Schnichelsblk Alexis Stucky, Ryla Jones+4.0
3317-16PENNSTPENNST×4Attack errSydney Schnichels+4.1
3417-17PENNSTMICHAttack errHaley Burgdorf+2.8
3518-17MICHPENNSTKillAlexis Stuckyset Ava Falduto+2.9
3618-18PENNSTMICHAttack errAlexis Ewing+3.0
3718-19MICHMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+5.0
3819-19MICHPENNSTKillHaley Burgdorfset Alexis Stucky+3.2
3919-20PENNSTMICH×3KillSydney Schnichelsset Morgan Burke+3.7
4019-21MICHMICH×3Attack errAlexis Stucky+5.5
4119-22MICHMICH×3BlockedAlexis Ewingblk Ece Senyapici, Cymarah Gordon+4.6
4220-22MICHPENNSTKillAlexis Ewingset Alexis Stucky+1.9
4321-22PENNSTPENNSTAttack errElla Demetrician+4.6
4421-23PENNSTMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+4.6
4522-23MICHPENNSTKillGabrielle Nicholsset Alexis Stucky+3.1
4622-24PENNSTMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+5.4
4723-24MICHPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Jocelyn Nathan+2.8
4823-25PENNSTMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+7.2
Set 2
10-1MICHMICHAttack errGabrielle Nichols+2.9
20-2MICHMICHAttack errWhitney Lauenstein+3.0
31-2MICHPENNSTAttack errSydney Schnichels+1.9
41-3PENNSTMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+2.1
52-3MICHPENNSTKillGabrielle Nicholsset Alexis Stucky+2.0
62-4PENNSTMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+2.1
73-4MICHPENNST×6KillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+2.0
84-4PENNSTPENNST×6KillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+3.1
95-4PENNSTPENNST×6Attack errElla Demetrician+3.1
106-4PENNSTPENNST×6KillEmmi Sellmanset Alexis Stucky+3.0
117-4PENNSTPENNST×6Attack errElla Demetrician+2.7
128-4PENNSTPENNST×6Attack errElla Demetrician+2.4
138-5PENNSTMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+1.5
149-5MICHPENNSTKillRyla Jonesset Alexis Stucky+1.6
159-6PENNSTMICHKillElla Demetricianset Meredith Martin+1.5
169-7MICHMICHKillMeredith Martinset Alexis Stucky+2.6
1710-7MICHPENNST×3KillEmmi Sellmanset Alexis Stucky+2.0
1811-7PENNSTPENNST×3KillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+2.6
1912-7PENNSTPENNST×3AcePenn St.aced Ella Demetrician+2.1
2012-8PENNSTMICHServe errPenn St.+1.2
2113-8MICHPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+1.4
2213-9PENNSTMICHServe errPenn St.+1.1
2313-10MICHMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Ella Demetrician+2.2
2414-10MICHPENNST×3Attack errEce Senyapici+1.8
2515-10PENNSTPENNST×3BlockedSydney Schnichelsblk Gabrielle Nichols, Whitney Lauenstein+2.1
2616-10PENNSTPENNST×3BlockedElla Demetricianblk Gabrielle Nichols+1.6
2716-11PENNSTMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.7
2817-11MICHPENNST×3KillGabrielle Nicholsset Alexis Stucky+1.0
2918-11PENNSTPENNST×3Attack errElla Demetrician+1.0
3019-11PENNSTPENNST×3KillKennedy Martinset Ava Falduto+0.5
3119-12PENNSTMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.2
3220-12MICHPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+0.3
3320-13PENNSTMICHServe errPenn St.+0.1
3421-13MICHPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+0.3
3521-14PENNSTMICHAttack errAlexis Stucky+0.1
3621-15MICHMICHAttack errEmmi Sellman+0.3
3722-15MICHPENNSTAttack errElla Demetrician+0.4
3822-16PENNSTMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Camille Edwards+0.1
3923-16MICHPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+0.3
4024-16PENNSTPENNSTAttack errSydney Schnichels+0.1
4124-17PENNSTMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Camille Edwards·
4225-17MICHPENNSTKillAlexis Stuckyset Ava Falduto·
Set 3
11-0PENNSTPENNSTAcePenn St.aced Sydney Schnichels+3.3
21-1PENNSTMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+2.2
32-1MICHPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+2.2
42-2PENNSTMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+2.3
53-2MICHPENNST×4KillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+2.3
64-2PENNSTPENNST×4KillKennedy Martinset Ava Falduto+3.3
75-2PENNSTPENNST×4Attack errLydia Johnson+3.1
86-2PENNSTPENNST×4KillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+2.7
96-3PENNSTMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+1.7
107-3MICHPENNSTKillEmmi Sellmanset Ava Falduto+1.8
118-3PENNSTPENNSTAttack errJenna Hanes+2.4
128-4PENNSTMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+1.4
139-4MICHPENNSTKillEmmi Sellmanset Alexis Stucky+1.6
149-5PENNSTMICHKillEce Senyapiciset Camille Edwards+1.4
1510-5MICHPENNSTKillRyla Jonesset Alexis Stucky+1.6
1610-6PENNSTMICHServe errPenn St.+1.4
1711-6MICHPENNSTBlockedElla Demetricianblk Alexis Stucky, Ryla Jones+1.6
1811-7PENNSTMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+1.4
1912-7MICHPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+1.6
2012-8PENNSTMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+1.3
2112-9MICHMICHKillJenna Hanesset Camille Edwards+2.6
2213-9MICHPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+2.1
2314-9PENNSTPENNSTBad setCamille Edwards+2.5
2414-10PENNSTMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+1.3
2515-10MICHPENNST×6BlockedLydia Johnsonblk Emmi Sellman, Gabrielle Nichols+1.7
2616-10PENNSTPENNST×6KillRyla Jonesset Alexis Stucky+1.8
2717-10PENNSTPENNST×6BlockedLydia Johnsonblk Ryla Jones, Emmi Sellman+1.2
2818-10PENNSTPENNST×6Attack errSydney Schnichels+0.7
2919-10PENNSTPENNST×6Attack errSydney Schnichels+0.4
3020-10PENNSTPENNST×6KillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+0.2
3120-11PENNSTMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Meredith Martin·
3221-11MICHPENNSTKillEmmi Sellmanset Alexis Stucky+0.1
3322-11PENNSTPENNSTBlockedSydney Schnichelsblk Ryla Jones, Alexis Stucky·
3422-12PENNSTMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Alexis Stucky·
3523-12MICHPENNSTKillEmmi Sellmanset Alexis Stucky·
3624-12PENNSTPENNSTAttack errElla Demetrician·
3724-13PENNSTMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Morgan Burke·
3825-13MICHPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky·
Set 4
11-0MICHPENNSTAttack errSydney Schnichels+2.0
22-0PENNSTPENNSTAcePenn St.aced Meredith Martin+2.8
32-1PENNSTMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Ella Demetrician+1.9
43-1MICHPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+1.9
53-2PENNSTMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+1.9
63-3MICHMICHAttack errKennedy Martin+3.1
74-3MICHPENNST×3BlockedElla Demetricianblk Gabrielle Nichols, Kennedy Martin+2.1
85-3PENNSTPENNST×3KillKennedy Martinset Morgan Burke+3.0
96-3PENNSTPENNST×3BlockedCymarah Gordonblk Emmi Sellman, Ryla Jones+2.8
106-4PENNSTMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+1.8
117-4MICHPENNSTKillRyla Jonesset Alexis Stucky+1.9
127-5PENNSTMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+1.8
138-5MICHPENNST×3KillEmmi Sellmanset Alexis Stucky+1.9
149-5PENNSTPENNST×3Attack errSydney Schnichels+2.6
1510-5PENNSTPENNST×3AcePenn St.aced Ella Demetrician+2.2
1610-6PENNSTMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Meredith Martin+1.2
1711-6MICHPENNSTKillRyla Jonesset Alexis Stucky+1.5
1812-6PENNSTPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Lexi Gin+1.7
1912-7PENNSTMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Camille Edwards+0.9
2013-7MICHPENNSTBad setMeredith Martin+1.1
2113-8PENNSTMICHAttack errGabrielle Nichols+0.9
2214-8MICHPENNST×3Serve errMichigan+1.1
2315-8PENNSTPENNST×3AcePenn St.+1.2
2416-8PENNSTPENNST×3Attack errElla Demetrician+0.8
2516-9PENNSTMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.3
2617-9MICHPENNSTAttack errCymarah Gordon+0.5
2717-10PENNSTMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+0.3
2818-10MICHPENNSTKillEmmi Sellmanset Alexis Stucky+0.4
2918-11PENNSTMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+0.2
3019-11MICHPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+0.4
3119-12PENNSTMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Ella Demetrician+0.2
3220-12MICHPENNST×4KillAlexis Stuckyset Haley Burgdorf+0.3
3321-12PENNSTPENNST×4KillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+0.2
3422-12PENNSTPENNST×4KillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+0.1
3523-12PENNSTPENNST×4BlockedSydney Schnichelsblk Gabrielle Nichols, Alexis Stucky·
3623-13PENNSTMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards·
3724-13MICHPENNSTKillAlexis Stuckyset Haley Burgdorf·
3825-13PENNSTPENNSTBlockedCymarah Gordonblk Gabrielle Nichols, Kennedy Martin·

Score shown after each rally, Penn St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).