FinalSat, Oct 3, 2026Watch on B1G+

UCLA def. Michigan 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: UCLA 58.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 3, 8:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UCLA beat visiting Michigan 3-0 (25-12, 29-27, 28-26) on Sat, Oct 3, 2026. UCLA's Marianna Singletary led with 14 kills, and Lola Schumacher added 15 digs.

Data through · final Oct 3

Set123Sets
MICH1227260
UCLA2529283

Match story · written from the play-by-play

UCLA won both sets that went to extra points.

The match turned twice. Numbers are UCLA's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. RallyIQ gave UCLA 58% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Michigan 19–23 UCLA

    5 straight Michigan points turned a 19–23 deficit into a 24–23 lead.

    UCLA 89% → 66%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 2 · Michigan 26–26 UCLA

    UCLA closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 29–27 and lead 2–0.

    UCLA 72% → 90%

UCLA above 50Michigan belowMax swing 9.4%

MichiganUCLA

Sideout %
Michigan 57.5·UCLA 71.6
Break %
Michigan 28.4·UCLA 42.5
Hitting
Michigan .186·UCLA .258
Longest run
Michigan 5·UCLA 6

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UCLA above 50 · Michigan below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+9.4% MICHrally 147 · set 3

Biggest swing: 9.4% to Michigan — set 2, MICH 24-23 UCLA. Kill by Ella Demetrician (set by Morgan Burke). UCLA win probability 75% → 66%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MICH 41.9%58.1% UCLA

Michigan wins

3-0
9.4%
3-1
15.4%
3-2
17.1%

UCLA wins

3-0
16.2%
3-1
22.1%
3-2
19.8%
MICH break %
39.3% vs this opp
UCLA break %
40.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Ella Demetrician (set by Morgan Burke)

    Set 2 · MICH 24-23 UCLA · MICH 25% → 34%

  2. 02

    Kill by Mija Bendziute (set by Kate Duffey)

    Set 2 · MICH 27-28 UCLA · UCLA 72% → 82%

  3. 03

    Ece Senyapici stuffed by Marianna Singletary

    Set 2 · MICH 27-29 UCLA · UCLA 82% → 90%

  4. 04
    Brooke HarwoodAttack error+6.9%

    Attack error by Brooke Harwood

    Set 2 · MICH 23-23 UCLA · MICH 18% → 25%

  5. 05

    Kill by Mija Bendziute (set by Kate Duffey)

    Set 2 · MICH 24-24 UCLA · UCLA 66% → 72%

  6. 06

    Kill by Ella Demetrician (set by Morgan Burke)

    Set 2 · MICH 25-24 UCLA · MICH 28% → 34%

  7. 07
    Ella DemetricianAttack error+6.4%

    Attack error by Ella Demetrician

    Set 2 · MICH 25-25 UCLA · UCLA 66% → 72%

  8. 08

    Maggie Li stuffed by Lydia Johnson & Jenna Hanes

    Set 2 · MICH 26-25 UCLA · MICH 28% → 34%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
3141045.0890237000016
38319.263000200219
36016.37500000031.57.5
3216.167000000002
3011-1.0002701600000
2249-.222001400002
37116.37500050010.57.5
3000–010300001
3000–1202400000
3000–1001940000
2306.500001410003
2000–000100000
2000–000000000
1000–000100000
Team totals4220118.186403856506365
UCLAhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314323.4781011016418
311422.31800000010.511.5
38126.26901160031.510.5
37224.2080000014310
35522.00002111010.57.5
3204.50041111000003
3000–2101510001
3002.000100610000
3001.0000011000000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals4715124.25845554932159.582

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 MICH · UCLA 6

Set 1

12-25

Longest run 2 MICHUCLA 6

Set 2

27-29

Longest run 5 MICHUCLA 6

Set 3

26-28

Longest run 3 MICHUCLA 3

Bars above the line = UCLA leads, below = Michigan leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Michigan

SlotSideout %Break %
1
90%9/10
20%2/10
2
67%8/12
31%4/13
3
57%8/14
50%8/16
4
47%8/17
11%1/9
5
39%7/18
20%2/10
6
67%6/9
22%2/9
All
57%46/80
28%19/67

UCLA

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%9/13
13%1/8
2
50%9/18
10%1/10
3
89%8/9
33%4/12
4
80%8/10
62%13/21
5
89%8/9
38%5/13
6
75%6/8
63%10/16
All
72%48/67
43%34/80

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

147 rallies

#MICH-UCLASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MICHMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Meredith Martin+2.6
21-1MICHUCLAKillBrooke Harwoodset Kate Duffey+1.7
32-1UCLAMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Morgan Burke+1.8
42-2MICHUCLAAttack errElla Demetrician+1.8
53-2UCLAMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+1.8
64-2MICHMICHAceMichiganaced Lola Schumacher+2.7
74-3MICHUCLA×6KillBrooke Harwoodset Kate Duffey+1.8
84-4UCLAUCLA×6KillMaggie Liset Kate Duffey+2.7
94-5UCLAUCLA×6KillMarianna Singletaryset Kate Duffey+2.8
104-6UCLAUCLA×6KillMarianna Singletaryset Kate Duffey+2.7
114-7UCLAUCLA×6Attack errMorgan Burke+2.5
124-8UCLAUCLA×6BlockedCymarah Gordonblk Marianna Singletary, Maggie Li+2.3
135-8UCLAMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+1.4
145-9MICHUCLAKillMarianna Singletaryset Kate Duffey+1.6
156-9UCLAMICHAttack errMarianna Singletary+1.4
166-10MICHUCLA×5KillMarianna Singletaryset Kate Duffey+1.6
176-11UCLAUCLA×5AceUCLAaced Meredith Martin+2.0
186-12UCLAUCLA×5Bad setJenna Hanes+1.6
196-13UCLAUCLA×5BlockedSydney Schnichelsblk Marianna Singletary, Eliana Urzua+1.2
206-14UCLAUCLA×5KillEliana Urzuaset Marianna Singletary+0.8
217-14UCLAMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Morgan Burke+0.4
227-15MICHUCLAKillMija Bendziuteset Kate Duffey+0.5
238-15UCLAMICHAttack errMija Bendziute+0.3
248-16MICHUCLAKillEliana Urzuaset Kate Duffey+0.5
258-17UCLAUCLAKillMija Bendziuteset Kate Duffey+0.4
269-17UCLAMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.2
279-18MICHUCLA×3KillMija Bendziuteset Morgan Burke+0.3
289-19UCLAUCLA×3AceUCLAaced Meredith Martin+0.2
299-20UCLAUCLA×3KillBrooke Harwoodset Kate Duffey+0.1
3010-20UCLAMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke·
3110-21MICHUCLAKillBrooke Harwoodset Kate Duffey·
3211-21UCLAMICHKillJenna Hanesset Morgan Burke·
3311-22MICHUCLAKillKate Duffeyset Ava Utterback·
3412-22UCLAMICHKillJenna Hanesset Ellie White·
3512-23MICHUCLA×3KillEliana Urzuaset Kate Duffey·
3612-24UCLAUCLA×3KillEliana Urzuaset Lola Schumacher·
3712-25UCLAUCLA×3BlockedSydney Schnichelsblk Marianna Singletary, Eliana Urzua·
Set 2
11-0UCLAMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+1.6
22-0MICHMICHAttack errBrooke Harwood+2.4
32-1MICHUCLAServe errMichigan+1.6
43-1UCLAMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+1.7
53-2MICHUCLABlockedCymarah Gordonblk Brooke Harwood, Mija Bendziute+1.6
64-2UCLAMICHKillJenna Hanesset Morgan Burke+1.7
74-3MICHUCLA×6KillMaggie Liset Kate Duffey+1.6
84-4UCLAUCLA×6Attack errElla Demetrician+2.5
94-5UCLAUCLA×6KillMaggie Liset Kate Duffey+2.5
104-6UCLAUCLA×6AceUCLAaced Meredith Martin+2.5
114-7UCLAUCLA×6Attack errElla Demetrician+2.3
124-8UCLAUCLA×6KillMarianna Singletaryset Kate Duffey+2.1
135-8UCLAMICHKillJenna Hanesset Ellie White+1.3
146-8MICHMICHAceMichiganaced Ava Utterback+2.2
156-9MICHUCLAKillMarianna Singletaryset Kate Duffey+1.6
167-9UCLAMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Ellie White+1.5
177-10MICHUCLABlockedSydney Schnichelsblk Maggie Li, Marianna Singletary+1.7
188-10UCLAMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Ellie White+1.5
198-11MICHUCLAServe errMichigan+1.7
209-11UCLAMICHKillEce Senyapiciset Morgan Burke+1.6
219-12MICHUCLAAttack errElla Demetrician+1.8
2210-12UCLAMICH×4KillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+1.6
2311-12MICHMICH×4KillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+2.8
2412-12MICHMICH×4BlockedMija Bendziuteblk Jenna Hanes, Cymarah Gordon+3.1
2513-12MICHMICH×4KillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+3.4
2613-13MICHUCLAKillMaggie Liset Kate Duffey+2.2
2714-13UCLAMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+2.4
2814-14MICHUCLA×3Serve errMichigan+2.3
2914-15UCLAUCLA×3KillMarianna Singletaryset Kate Duffey+3.6
3014-16UCLAUCLA×3Attack errElla Demetrician+3.5
3115-16UCLAMICHKillJenna Hanesset Ellie White+2.2
3215-17MICHUCLA×4Serve errMichigan+2.4
3315-18UCLAUCLA×4KillMaggie Liset Kate Duffey+3.2
3415-19UCLAUCLA×4Bad setMeredith Martin+2.5
3515-20UCLAUCLA×4BlockedSydney Schnichelsblk Eliana Urzua+1.8
3616-20UCLAMICHKillLeni Stanton-Parkerset Ellie White+0.7
3716-21MICHUCLAKillEliana Urzuaset Kate Duffey+1.1
3817-21UCLAMICHKillElla Demetricianset Ellie White+0.6
3917-22MICHUCLAKillMarianna Singletaryset Kate Duffey+1.0
4018-22UCLAMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+0.5
4119-22MICHMICHAttack errBrooke Harwood+1.4
4219-23MICHUCLAKillBrooke Harwoodset Kate Duffey+1.6
4320-23UCLAMICH×5Serve errUCLA+0.7
4421-23MICHMICH×5BlockedMija Bendziuteblk Cymarah Gordon, Jenna Hanes+2.1
4522-23MICHMICH×5Attack errMija Bendziute+4.0
4623-23MICHMICH×5Attack errBrooke Harwood+6.9
4724-23MICHMICH×5KillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+9.4
4824-24MICHUCLAKillMija Bendziuteset Kate Duffey+6.4
4925-24UCLAMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+6.4
5025-25MICHUCLAAttack errElla Demetrician+6.4
5126-25UCLAMICHBlockedMaggie Liblk Lydia Johnson, Jenna Hanes+6.4
5226-26MICHUCLAKillMarianna Singletaryset Lola Schumacher+6.4
5327-26UCLAMICHServe errUCLA+6.4
5427-27MICHUCLA×3KillMaggie Liset Kate Duffey+6.4
5527-28UCLAUCLA×3KillMija Bendziuteset Kate Duffey+9.2
5627-29UCLAUCLA×3BlockedEce Senyapiciblk Marianna Singletary+8.8
Set 3
10-1MICHUCLAKillBrooke Harwoodset Kate Duffey+1.0
21-1UCLAMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+1.0
31-2MICHUCLAKillBrooke Harwoodset Kate Duffey+1.0
42-2UCLAMICHKillEce Senyapiciset Morgan Burke+1.0
52-3MICHUCLAKillBrooke Harwoodset Kate Duffey+1.0
62-4UCLAUCLAKillMarianna Singletaryset Kate Duffey+1.5
73-4UCLAMICHKillLeni Stanton-Parkerset Morgan Burke+1.0
83-5MICHUCLAKillMaggie Liset Kate Duffey+1.0
93-6UCLAUCLAAceUCLAaced Meredith Martin+1.4
104-6UCLAMICHKillLeni Stanton-Parkerset Ellie White+0.9
115-6MICHMICHAttack errEliana Urzua+1.5
125-7MICHUCLAServe errMichigan+1.1
136-7UCLAMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Ellie White+1.1
146-8MICHUCLAKillMarianna Singletaryset Kate Duffey+1.1
156-9UCLAUCLAAttack errElla Demetrician+1.5
167-9UCLAMICHServe errUCLA+1.0
178-9MICHMICHAttack errMija Bendziute+1.6
188-10MICHUCLAKillBrooke Harwoodset Kate Duffey+1.2
199-10UCLAMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+1.1
209-11MICHUCLAServe errMichigan+1.2
219-12UCLAUCLAAceUCLAaced Leni Stanton-Parker+1.7
2210-12UCLAMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+1.0
2310-13MICHUCLAKillKate Duffeyset Lola Schumacher+1.2
2411-13UCLAMICHKillJenna Hanesset Morgan Burke+1.0
2512-13MICHMICHKillLydia Johnson+1.8
2612-14MICHUCLAKillMarianna Singletaryset Kate Duffey+1.4
2713-14UCLAMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Ellie White+1.3
2813-15MICHUCLAKillMarianna Singletaryset Kate Duffey+1.4
2914-15UCLAMICHServe errUCLA+1.3
3015-15MICHMICHAttack errEliana Urzua+2.3
3115-16MICHUCLAKillEliana Urzuaset Kate Duffey+1.6
3216-16UCLAMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Ellie White+1.6
3316-17MICHUCLAKillEliana Urzuaset Kate Duffey+1.7
3417-17UCLAMICH×3KillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+1.7
3518-17MICHMICH×3Attack errBrooke Harwood+2.8
3619-17MICHMICH×3AceMichiganaced Mija Bendziute+2.8
3719-18MICHUCLAServe errMichigan+1.6
3820-18UCLAMICHServe errUCLA+2.0
3920-19MICHUCLAKillBrooke Harwoodset Kate Duffey+1.7
4021-19UCLAMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+2.2
4121-20MICHUCLAServe errMichigan+1.8
4221-21UCLAUCLABlockedLydia Johnsonblk Marianna Singletary, Eliana Urzua+3.5
4322-21UCLAMICHAttack errMarianna Singletary+2.8
4422-22MICHUCLA×3KillMaggie Liset Kate Duffey+2.6
4522-23UCLAUCLA×3Attack errElla Demetrician+4.7
4622-24UCLAUCLA×3BlockedElla Demetricianblk Eliana Urzua, Marianna Singletary+4.3
4723-24UCLAMICHKillElla Demetricianset Ellie White+1.6
4824-24MICHMICHAttack errMarianna Singletary+5.7
4924-25MICHUCLAKillMarianna Singletaryset Kate Duffey+3.9
5025-25UCLAMICHKillElla Demetricianset Ellie White+3.9
5125-26MICHUCLAAttack errElla Demetrician+3.9
5226-26UCLAMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+3.9
5326-27MICHUCLAKillBrooke Harwoodset Kate Duffey+3.9
5426-28UCLAUCLAAttack errCymarah Gordon+5.6

Score shown after each rally, Michigan first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).