Michigan vs Northwestern Volleyball: Michigan Wins 3-0

FinalThu, Oct 22, 2026B1G+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Michigan 79.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 22, 6:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Michigan won at Northwestern 3-0 (25-18, 25-21, 25-14) on Thu, Oct 22, 2026. Michigan's Ella Demetrician led with 11 kills.

Data through Nov 4, 2:50 PM CT · final Oct 22

Set	1	2	3	Sets
MICH	25	25	25	3
NW	18	21	14	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

6 aces from Sydney Schnichels in a Michigan rout.

Win probability never moved more than 3.1 points on one rally; Northwestern topped out at 28% in Set 1. Michigan went in as RallyIQ's 79% pick.

MichiganNorthwestern

Break %+18.9 pts
53.434.5
Points won on own serve: 39 of 73 vs 19 of 55. Northwestern sided out 46.6% of the time.
Hitting+.186
.349.163
42 kills, 12 errors vs 32 kills, 17 errors.
Longest run+0
55
5 straight Michigan points in the first set turned a 4–5 deficit into a 9–5 lead. Final score of the set: 25–18.

Northwestern above 50Michigan belowMax swing 3.1%

MichiganNorthwestern

Aces: Michigan 10·Northwestern 3
Serve err: Michigan 4·Northwestern 3
Blocks: Michigan 8·Northwestern 71 BS · 14 BA vs 2 BS · 10 BA
Digs: Michigan 35·Northwestern 27

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Northwestern above 50 · Michigan below

Biggest swing: 3.1% to Michigan — set 1, MICH 15-15 NW. Kill by Sydney Schnichels (set by Ella Demetrician). NW win probability 26% → 23%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MICH 83.7%16.3% NW

Michigan wins

3-0

35.6%

3-1

31.1%

3-2

17.1%

Northwestern wins

3-0

2.5%

3-1

5.3%

3-2

8.5%

MICH break %: 44.0% vs this opp
NW break %: 36.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Sydney SchnichelsKill+3.1%
Kill by Sydney Schnichels (set by Ella Demetrician)
Set 1 · MICH 15-15 NW · MICH 74% → 77%
02
Sydney SchnichelsKill+3.0%
Kill by Sydney Schnichels (set by Meredith Martin)
Set 1 · MICH 16-15 NW · MICH 77% → 80%
03
Sydney SchnichelsAce+2.9%
Ace by Sydney Schnichels on Gigi Navarrete
Set 1 · MICH 18-16 NW · MICH 80% → 83%
04
Isabella BullingtonKill+2.9%
Kill by Isabella Bullington (set by Drew Wright)
Set 1 · MICH 10-12 NW · NW 24% → 27%
05
Campbell ParisKill+2.7%
Kill by Campbell Paris (set by Ellie Stiernagle)
Set 1 · MICH 10-11 NW · NW 22% → 24%
06
Sydney SchnichelsAce+2.4%
Ace by Sydney Schnichels on Drew Wright
Set 1 · MICH 19-16 NW · MICH 83% → 85%
07
Ellie StiernagleAce+2.4%
Ace by Ellie Stiernagle
Set 1 · MICH 10-10 NW · NW 19% → 22%
08
Kayla KauffmanKill+2.3%
Kill by Kayla Kauffman (set by Ellie Stiernagle)
Set 1 · MICH 13-15 NW · NW 26% → 28%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Michiganaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
22Sydney SchnichelsOH	3	10	4	25	.240	0	6	1	5	1	0	0	0	16
9Ella DemetricianOH	3	11	2	18	.500	2	3	0	9	0	0	1	0.5	14.5
3Cymarah GordonOPP	3	8	4	18	.222	1	0	0	0	0	0	6	3	11
12Jenna HanesMB	3	6	0	8	.750	0	0	0	1	0	0	5	2.5	8.5
4Ece SenyapiciMB	3	4	0	5	.800	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	1	5
7Morgan BurkeS	3	0	0	0	–	17	1	1	6	0	0	0	0	1
5Lydia JohnsonOPP	3	2	2	11	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	3
13Meredith MartinL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	6	0	0	8	0	0	0	0	1
16Camille EdwardsS	3	0	0	0	–	12	0	1	6	0	0	0	0	0
28Trixie McMillinL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Ellie WhiteS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		42	12	86	.349	38	10	4	35	3	1	14	8	75

Northwesternhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
12Mara StiglicOH	3	9	5	28	.143	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	11
17Maya StillwellMB	3	7	2	12	.417	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
25Campbell ParisOH	3	3	3	16	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
11Ellie StiernagleS	3	0	0	2	.000	25	1	0	7	0	1	1	1.5	2.5
24Cate SchnellOH	3	0	0	2	.000	0	1	0	4	0	0	0	0	1
4Kayla KauffmanMB	2	2	0	2	1.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
22Isabella BullingtonOH	3	8	5	23	.130	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	8
16Ava PrattOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	2	1	1	0	0	0	1
2Drew WrightL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	5	3	0	0	0	0
23Gigi NavarreteL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	6	1	0	0	0	0
9Hayley SchaafMB	2	2	1	3	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
6Clara SchrammOH	1	1	0	3	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
8Gabrielle GerryMB	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
Team totals		32	17	92	.163	29	3	3	27	10	2	10	7	53

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 MICH · NW 5

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 5 MICHNW 5

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 3 MICHNW 3

Set 3

25-14

Longest run 4 MICHNW 4

Bars above the line = Northwestern leads, below = Michigan leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Michigan

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	64%7/11	58%7/12
2	78%7/9	50%7/14
3	78%7/9	36%4/11
4	71%5/7	58%7/12
5	56%5/9	71%12/17
6	50%5/10	29%2/7
All	65%36/55	53%39/73

Northwestern

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	58%7/12	40%4/10
2	58%7/12	22%2/9
3	43%6/14	22%2/9
4	31%5/16	33%3/9
5	63%5/8	29%2/7
6	36%4/11	55%6/11
All	47%34/73	35%19/55

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

128 rallies

#	MICH-NW	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	NW	MICH	Kill	Jenna Hanes	set Morgan Burke	+1.2
2	2-0	MICH	MICH	Kill	Sydney Schnichels	set Ella Demetrician	+1.6
3	2-1	MICH	NW	Kill	Campbell Paris	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.1
4	2-2	NW	NW	Kill	Campbell Paris	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.9
5	3-2	NW	MICH	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Morgan Burke	+1.2
6	3-3	MICH	NW	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.3
7	4-3	NW	MICH	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Morgan Burke	+1.3
8	4-4	MICH	NW	Serve err	Camille Edwards		+1.4
9	4-5	NW	NW	Attack err	Lydia Johnson		+2.2
10	5-5	NW	MICH×5	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Camille Edwards	+1.4
11	6-5	MICH	MICH×5	Bad set	Ellie Stiernagle		+2.0
12	7-5	MICH	MICH×5	Ace	Sydney Schnichels		+1.9
13	8-5	MICH	MICH×5	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Camille Edwards	+1.6
14	9-5	MICH	MICH×5	Kill	Ece Senyapici		+1.4
15	9-6	MICH	NW	Serve err	Sydney Schnichels		+0.9
16	9-7	NW	NW	Kill	Maya Stillwell	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.6
17	10-7	NW	MICH	Serve err	Ava Pratt		+1.1
18	10-8	MICH	NW×5	Serve err	Ece Senyapici		+1.1
19	10-9	NW	NW×5	Kill	Maya Stillwell	set Ellie Stiernagle	+2.0
20	10-10	NW	NW×5	Ace	Ellie Stiernagle		+2.4
21	10-11	NW	NW×5	Kill	Campbell Paris	set Ellie Stiernagle	+2.7
22	10-12	NW	NW×5	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Drew Wright	+2.9
23	11-12	NW	MICH	Attack err	Campbell Paris		+1.7
24	11-13	MICH	NW	Attack err	Cymarah Gordon		+2.1
25	12-13	NW	MICH	Kill	Jenna Hanes	set Morgan Burke	+1.8
26	12-14	MICH	NW	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+2.2
27	13-14	NW	MICH	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Morgan Burke	+1.9
28	13-15	MICH	NW	Kill	Kayla Kauffman	set Ellie Stiernagle	+2.3
29	14-15	NW	MICH×3	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Morgan Burke	+1.9
30	15-15	MICH	MICH×3	Kill	Sydney Schnichels	set Ella Demetrician	+3.1
31	16-15	MICH	MICH×3	Kill	Sydney Schnichels	set Meredith Martin	+3.0
32	16-16	MICH	NW	Blocked	Lydia Johnson	blk Mara Stiglic	+2.1
33	17-16	NW	MICH×4	Serve err	Mara Stiglic		+2.1
34	18-16	MICH	MICH×4	Ace	Sydney Schnichels	aced Gigi Navarrete	+2.9
35	19-16	MICH	MICH×4	Ace	Sydney Schnichels	aced Drew Wright	+2.4
36	20-16	MICH	MICH×4	Ace	Sydney Schnichels	aced Mara Stiglic	+1.7
37	20-17	MICH	NW	Kill	Kayla Kauffman	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.8
38	21-17	NW	MICH	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Meredith Martin	+1.1
39	21-18	MICH	NW	Kill	Maya Stillwell	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.7
40	22-18	NW	MICH×4	Kill	Lydia Johnson	set Camille Edwards	+1.1
41	23-18	MICH	MICH×4	Blocked	Isabella Bullington	blk Cymarah Gordon, Jenna Hanes	+0.8
42	24-18	MICH	MICH×4	Ace	Morgan Burke	aced Isabella Bullington	+0.3
43	25-18	MICH	MICH×4	Attack err	Maya Stillwell		·
Set 2
1	0-1	MICH	NW	Kill	Maya Stillwell	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.0
2	1-1	NW	MICH	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Meredith Martin	+0.9
3	2-1	MICH	MICH	Ace	Ella Demetrician		+1.4
4	2-2	MICH	NW	Attack err	Sydney Schnichels		+1.0
5	3-2	NW	MICH	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Morgan Burke	+0.9
6	4-2	MICH	MICH	Kill	Sydney Schnichels	set Morgan Burke	+1.3
7	4-3	MICH	NW	Kill	Maya Stillwell	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.9
8	4-4	NW	NW	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.5
9	5-4	NW	MICH	Kill	Sydney Schnichels	set Morgan Burke	+1.0
10	6-4	MICH	MICH	Kill	Sydney Schnichels	set Meredith Martin	+1.4
11	6-5	MICH	NW	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.9
12	7-5	NW	MICH×3	Kill	Ece Senyapici	set Camille Edwards	+0.9
13	8-5	MICH	MICH×3	Ace	Sydney Schnichels	aced Drew Wright	+1.2
14	9-5	MICH	MICH×3	Ace	Sydney Schnichels	aced Drew Wright	+1.0
15	9-6	MICH	NW×3	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.6
16	9-7	NW	NW×3	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.2
17	9-8	NW	NW×3	Kill	Isabella Bullington		+1.5
18	10-8	NW	MICH	Kill	Ece Senyapici	set Camille Edwards	+1.0
19	11-8	MICH	MICH	Attack err	Isabella Bullington		+1.4
20	11-9	MICH	NW	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.9
21	11-10	NW	NW	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.5
22	12-10	NW	MICH	Serve err	Ava Pratt		+1.1
23	13-10	MICH	MICH	Blocked	Isabella Bullington	blk Jenna Hanes, Cymarah Gordon	+1.4
24	13-11	MICH	NW	Blocked	Cymarah Gordon	blk Ellie Stiernagle	+0.9
25	13-12	NW	NW	Attack err	Ella Demetrician		+1.6
26	14-12	NW	MICH	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Morgan Burke	+1.2
27	15-12	MICH	MICH	Ace	Ella Demetrician	aced Ava Pratt	+1.5
28	15-13	MICH	NW	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Drew Wright	+0.9
29	16-13	NW	MICH	Blocked	Mara Stiglic	blk Jenna Hanes, Cymarah Gordon	+1.0
30	17-13	MICH	MICH	Attack err	Mara Stiglic		+1.2
31	17-14	MICH	NW	Bad set	Morgan Burke		+0.7
32	18-14	NW	MICH	Kill	Meredith Martin	set Cymarah Gordon	+0.8
33	18-15	MICH	NW	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.7
34	19-15	NW	MICH	Kill	Sydney Schnichels	set Camille Edwards	+0.8
35	19-16	MICH	NW	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.6
36	20-16	NW	MICH	Attack err	Mara Stiglic		+0.8
37	20-17	MICH	NW	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Drew Wright	+0.6
38	21-17	NW	MICH	Kill	Lydia Johnson	set Camille Edwards	+0.8
39	21-18	MICH	NW	Serve err	Morgan Burke		+0.6
40	22-18	NW	MICH	Blocked	Isabella Bullington	blk Jenna Hanes, Cymarah Gordon	+0.8
41	23-18	MICH	MICH	Kill	Sydney Schnichels	set Morgan Burke	+0.6
42	23-19	MICH	NW	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.2
43	23-20	NW	NW	Blocked	Sydney Schnichels	blk Maya Stillwell, Campbell Paris	+0.5
44	24-20	NW	MICH	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Morgan Burke	+0.7
45	24-21	MICH	NW	Kill	Maya Stillwell	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.2
46	25-21	NW	MICH	Attack err	Campbell Paris		+0.4
Set 3
1	1-0	NW	MICH	Kill	Jenna Hanes	set Morgan Burke	+0.5
2	2-0	MICH	MICH	Kill	Jenna Hanes		+0.7
3	2-1	MICH	NW	Attack err	Sydney Schnichels		+0.5
4	3-1	NW	MICH	Kill	Cymarah Gordon	set Morgan Burke	+0.4
5	4-1	MICH	MICH	Attack err	Campbell Paris		+0.6
6	4-2	MICH	NW	Kill	Hayley Schaaf	set Drew Wright	+0.4
7	5-2	NW	MICH×3	Bad set	Ellie Stiernagle		+0.4
8	6-2	MICH	MICH×3	Kill	Sydney Schnichels	set Camille Edwards	+0.5
9	7-2	MICH	MICH×3	Attack err	Mara Stiglic		+0.4
10	7-3	MICH	NW	Kill	Hayley Schaaf	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.3
11	7-4	NW	NW	Blocked	Sydney Schnichels	blk Hayley Schaaf, Ellie Stiernagle	+0.5
12	8-4	NW	MICH×4	Kill	Ece Senyapici	set Camille Edwards	+0.4
13	9-4	MICH	MICH×4	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Meredith Martin	+0.4
14	10-4	MICH	MICH×4	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Camille Edwards	+0.3
15	11-4	MICH	MICH×4	Blocked	Hayley Schaaf	blk Ella Demetrician, Ece Senyapici	+0.3
16	11-5	MICH	NW	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.1
17	11-6	NW	NW	Ace	Ava Pratt		+0.3
18	12-6	NW	MICH	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Camille Edwards	+0.2
19	13-6	MICH	MICH	Kill	Ella Demetrician		+0.2
20	13-7	MICH	NW	Bad set	Camille Edwards		+0.1
21	14-7	NW	MICH×4	Kill	Jenna Hanes	set Camille Edwards	+0.2
22	15-7	MICH	MICH×4	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Morgan Burke	+0.2
23	16-7	MICH	MICH×4	Attack err	Isabella Bullington		+0.1
24	17-7	MICH	MICH×4	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Morgan Burke	·
25	17-8	MICH	NW×4	Kill	Maya Stillwell	set Ellie Stiernagle	·
26	17-9	NW	NW×4	Blocked	Ella Demetrician	blk Clara Schramm, Maya Stillwell	·
27	17-10	NW	NW×4	Blocked	Cymarah Gordon	blk Mara Stiglic, Maya Stillwell	+0.1
28	17-11	NW	NW×4	Ace	Cate Schnell	aced Sydney Schnichels	+0.1
29	18-11	NW	MICH×3	Blocked	Maya Stillwell	blk Jenna Hanes, Cymarah Gordon	+0.1
30	19-11	MICH	MICH×3	Kill	Ella Demetrician	set Morgan Burke	+0.1
31	20-11	MICH	MICH×3	Ace	Ella Demetrician		·
32	20-12	MICH	NW	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Drew Wright	·
33	21-12	NW	MICH	Kill	Jenna Hanes	set Morgan Burke	·
34	22-12	MICH	MICH	Blocked	Gabrielle Gerry	blk Ece Senyapici, Cymarah Gordon	·
35	22-13	MICH	NW	Kill	Clara Schramm	set Ellie Stiernagle	·
36	22-14	NW	NW	Blocked	Cymarah Gordon	blk Mara Stiglic, Gabrielle Gerry	·
37	23-14	NW	MICH×3	Kill	Sydney Schnichels	set Meredith Martin	·
38	24-14	MICH	MICH×3	Attack err	Sydney Schnichels		·
39	25-14	MICH	MICH×3	Blocked	Mara Stiglic	blk Lydia Johnson	·

Score shown after each rally, Michigan first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Michigan def. Northwestern 3–0

6 aces from Sydney Schnichels in a Michigan rout.