Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 30, 2026Watch on B1G+

Nebraska def. Michigan 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Nebraska 98.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 5:25 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Nebraska won at Michigan 3-1 (26-28, 25-20, 25-20, 25-14) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Harper Murray led Nebraska with 16 kills; Michigan's Ella Demetrician had a match-high 21.

Data through · final Oct 30

Set1234Sets
NEB262525253
MICH282020141

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Serve, receive, attack, block: Nebraska won all four, start to finish.

No single rally moved win probability more than 3.3 points. Michigan peaked at 11% in Set 3. These are the stats that built the gap. Nebraska went in as RallyIQ's 98% pick.

NebraskaMichigan
  • Break %+12.5 pts
    45.032.5

    Points won on own serve: 45 of 100 vs 27 of 83. Michigan sided out 55.0% of the time.

  • Hitting+.123
    .412.289

    68 K / 12 E against 56 K / 17 E.

  • Longest run+2
    64

    6 straight Nebraska kills in the first set turned an 8–9 deficit into a 14–9 lead. The set finished 26–28.

Michigan above 50Nebraska belowMax swing 3.3%

NebraskaMichigan

Aces
Nebraska 4·Michigan 3
Serve err
Nebraska 10·Michigan 10
Blocks
Nebraska 6·Michigan 5.50 BS · 12 BA vs 1 BS · 9 BA
Digs
Nebraska 51·Michigan 48

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Michigan above 50 · Nebraska below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+3.3% MICHrally 183 · set 4

Biggest swing: 3.3% to Michigan — set 1, NEB 26-28 MICH. Kill by Ella Demetrician (set by Camille Edwards). MICH win probability 5% → 8%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NEB 98.0%2.0% MICH

Nebraska wins

3-0
67.1%
3-1
25.1%
3-2
5.8%

Michigan wins

3-0
0.2%
3-1
0.5%
3-2
1.3%
NEB break %
47.7% vs this opp
MICH break %
32.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Ella Demetrician (set by Camille Edwards)

    Set 1 · NEB 26-28 MICH · MICH 5% → 8%

  2. 02
    Andi JacksonKill+2.5%

    Kill by Andi Jackson (set by Bergen Reilly)

    Set 1 · NEB 24-24 MICH · NEB 94% → 96%

  3. 03

    Ace by Ella Demetrician on Olivia Mauch

    Set 3 · NEB 7-10 MICH · MICH 9% → 11%

  4. 04

    Kill by Ella Demetrician (set by Morgan Burke)

    Set 3 · NEB 7-9 MICH · MICH 7% → 9%

  5. 05

    Kill by Virginia Adriano (set by Bergen Reilly)

    Set 3 · NEB 9-10 MICH · NEB 90% → 92%

  6. 06

    Kill by Sydney Schnichels (set by Camille Edwards)

    Set 1 · NEB 24-25 MICH · MICH 4% → 5%

  7. 07
    Andi JacksonKill+1.6%

    Kill by Andi Jackson (set by Bergen Reilly)

    Set 1 · NEB 25-25 MICH · NEB 95% → 96%

  8. 08

    Kill by Ella Demetrician (set by Camille Edwards)

    Set 1 · NEB 25-26 MICH · MICH 4% → 5%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416539.28200350010.516.5
414126.5000002002115
413322.4550121002115
412225.400001120031.513.5
411120.5000001004213
4103.3335822900003
4000–110720001
4000–001000000
4000–3011310000
11011.000000100001
Team totals6812136.412624105130126101
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
421553.30211213100022
416628.35700030010.516.5
410530.16702332010.512.5
44011.36400000111.55.5
4215.20000110031.53.5
4000–3000800000
4308.37500020031.54.5
4000–1502600000
4000–100000000
4000–4011200000
2000–200000000
1000–001000000
Team totals5617135.28953310484195.582

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 NEB · MICH 4

Set 1

26-28

Longest run 6 NEBMICH 4

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 5 NEBMICH 3

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 5 NEBMICH 3

Set 4

25-14

Longest run 5 NEBMICH 3

Bars above the line = Michigan leads, below = Nebraska leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Nebraska

SlotSideout %Break %
1
61%11/18
53%10/19
2
61%11/18
45%9/20
3
77%10/13
29%4/14
4
82%9/11
47%8/17
5
62%8/13
47%8/17
6
70%7/10
46%6/13
All
67%56/83
45%45/100

Michigan

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%11/22
44%7/16
2
61%11/18
15%2/13
3
69%9/13
35%6/17
4
60%9/15
25%3/12
5
42%8/19
38%5/13
6
54%7/13
33%4/12
All
55%55/100
33%27/83

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

183 rallies

#NEB-MICHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MICHMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.3
21-1MICHNEBAttack errSydney Schnichels+0.2
31-2NEBMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+0.2
41-3MICHMICHBlockedHarper Murrayblk Lydia Johnson, Ece Senyapici+0.4
52-3MICHNEBKillHarper Murrayset Bergen Reilly+0.2
62-4NEBMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Camille Edwards+0.3
73-4MICHNEBKillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly+0.2
83-5NEBMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+0.3
94-5MICHNEBKillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly+0.2
104-6NEBMICHBlockedTeraya Siglerblk Lydia Johnson, Jenna Hanes+0.3
114-7MICHMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.5
125-7MICHNEB×3BlockedCymarah Gordonblk Teraya Sigler, Manaia Ogbechie+0.3
136-7NEBNEB×3KillVirginia Adrianoset Bergen Reilly+0.4
147-7NEBNEB×3KillVirginia Adrianoset Bergen Reilly+0.4
157-8NEBMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.3
168-8MICHNEBKillTeraya Siglerset Bergen Reilly+0.3
178-9NEBMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Morgan Burke+0.3
189-9MICHNEB×6KillManaia Ogbechieset Bergen Reilly+0.3
1910-9NEBNEB×6KillVirginia Adrianoset Olivia Mauch+0.4
2011-9NEBNEB×6KillHarper Murray+0.3
2112-9NEBNEB×6KillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly+0.2
2213-9NEBNEB×6KillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly+0.2
2314-9NEBNEB×6KillHarper Murrayset Olivia Mauch+0.1
2414-10NEBMICHServe errNebraska+0.1
2514-11MICHMICHKillEce Senyapiciset Bergen Reilly+0.2
2615-11MICHNEBServe errMichigan+0.1
2715-12NEBMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+0.1
2815-13MICHMICHAceSydney Schnichelsaced Laney Choboy+0.2
2916-13MICHNEBServe errSydney Schnichels+0.2
3016-14NEBMICHAttack errHarper Murray+0.2
3117-14MICHNEBKillTeraya Siglerset Bergen Reilly+0.2
3217-15NEBMICH×3Serve errNebraska+0.2
3317-16MICHMICH×3KillJenna Hanes+0.4
3417-17MICHMICH×3KillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+0.6
3518-17MICHNEBKillManaia Ogbechieset Bergen Reilly+0.4
3618-18NEBMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.5
3718-19MICHMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Morgan Burke+1.0
3819-19MICHNEBKillManaia Ogbechieset Bergen Reilly+0.6
3919-20NEBMICH×4KillCymarah Gordonset Ella Demetrician+0.8
4019-21MICHMICH×4KillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+1.3
4119-22MICHMICH×4KillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+1.4
4219-23MICHMICH×4KillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+1.1
4320-23MICHNEBKillVirginia Adrianoset Bergen Reilly+0.3
4420-24NEBMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.8
4521-24MICHNEB×4KillVirginia Adrianoset Bergen Reilly+0.2
4622-24NEBNEB×4KillHarper Murrayset Bergen Reilly+0.6
4723-24NEBNEB×4KillHarper Murrayset Bergen Reilly+1.2
4824-24NEBNEB×4KillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly+2.5
4924-25NEBMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Camille Edwards+1.6
5025-25MICHNEBKillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly+1.6
5125-26NEBMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+1.6
5226-26MICHNEBKillHarper Murrayset Bergen Reilly+1.6
5326-27NEBMICHKillElla Demetricianset Meredith Martin+1.6
5426-28MICHMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+3.3
Set 2
11-0NEBNEBKillManaia Ogbechieset Bergen Reilly+0.9
22-0NEBNEBAttack errCymarah Gordon+0.7
32-1NEBMICHBlockedAndi Jacksonblk Jenna Hanes+0.5
43-1MICHNEBServe errMichigan+0.5
54-1NEBNEBKillHarper Murray+0.6
64-2NEBMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Morgan Burke+0.4
74-3MICHMICHAttack errAndi Jackson+0.8
85-3MICHNEBKillBergen Reillyset Laney Choboy+0.5
95-4NEBMICHServe errNebraska+0.6
106-4MICHNEBKillHarper Murrayset Bergen Reilly+0.6
116-5NEBMICHAttack errManaia Ogbechie+0.7
126-6MICHMICHAceSydney Schnichelsaced Laney Choboy+1.2
137-6MICHNEB×4KillTeraya Siglerset Bergen Reilly+0.8
148-6NEBNEB×4AceBergen Reillyaced Sydney Schnichels+1.0
159-6NEBNEB×4AceBergen Reillyaced Sydney Schnichels+0.8
1610-6NEBNEB×4BlockedElla Demetricianblk Virginia Adriano, Manaia Ogbechie+0.6
1710-7NEBMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+0.4
1811-7MICHNEBKillVirginia Adrianoset Olivia Mauch+0.4
1912-7NEBNEBKillHarper Murrayset Bergen Reilly+0.4
2012-8NEBMICHKillJenna Hanesset Camille Edwards+0.3
2113-8MICHNEBKillHarper Murrayset Bergen Reilly+0.3
2213-9NEBMICHKillElla Demetricianset Meredith Martin+0.3
2314-9MICHNEBKillHarper Murrayset Bergen Reilly+0.3
2414-10NEBMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.3
2515-10MICHNEBAttack errSydney Schnichels+0.3
2615-11NEBMICHServe errNebraska+0.3
2715-12MICHMICHAttack errAndi Jackson+0.6
2816-12MICHNEBKillTeraya Siglerset Bergen Reilly+0.5
2916-13NEBMICHBlockedHarper Murrayblk Lydia Johnson, Ece Senyapici, Sydney Schnichels+0.4
3017-13MICHNEB×5Serve errMichigan+0.5
3118-13NEBNEB×5Attack errEce Senyapici+0.5
3219-13NEBNEB×5KillTeraya Siglerset Camille Edwards+0.3
3320-13NEBNEB×5KillVirginia Adrianoset Bergen Reilly+0.1
3421-13NEBNEB×5KillVirginia Adrianoset Olivia Mauch+0.1
3521-14NEBMICHServe errNebraska·
3621-15MICHMICHAttack errVirginia Adriano+0.1
3722-15MICHNEBKillManaia Ogbechieset Bergen Reilly+0.1
3822-16NEBMICHKillJenna Hanesset Camille Edwards·
3923-16MICHNEBKillVirginia Adrianoset Bergen Reilly·
4023-17NEBMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke·
4124-17MICHNEBKillVirginia Adrianoset Bergen Reilly·
4224-18NEBMICH×3KillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke·
4324-19MICHMICH×3KillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke·
4424-20MICHMICH×3KillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+0.1
4525-20MICHNEBServe errMichigan+0.1
Set 3
10-1MICHMICHKillJenna Hanesset Morgan Burke+1.0
20-2MICHMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+1.2
31-2MICHNEBKillHarper Murrayset Bergen Reilly+0.7
41-3NEBMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.9
52-3MICHNEBKillVirginia Adrianoset Bergen Reilly+0.7
62-4NEBMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+1.0
73-4MICHNEBKillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly+0.8
84-4NEBNEBKillTeraya Siglerset Bergen Reilly+1.1
94-5NEBMICHServe errHarper Murray+0.9
104-6MICHMICHAttack errTeraya Sigler+1.5
115-6MICHNEBServe errMichigan+0.8
125-7NEBMICHKillElla Demetricianset Meredith Martin+1.1
136-7MICHNEBKillHarper Murrayset Bergen Reilly+0.9
147-7NEBNEBAttack errCymarah Gordon+1.3
157-8NEBMICH×3KillElla Demetricianset Meredith Martin+1.0
167-9MICHMICH×3KillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+1.7
177-10MICHMICH×3AceElla Demetricianaced Olivia Mauch+2.1
188-10MICHNEB×5Serve errElla Demetrician+1.1
199-10NEBNEB×5KillVirginia Adrianoset Bergen Reilly+1.7
2010-10NEBNEB×5KillVirginia Adrianoset Bergen Reilly+1.5
2111-10NEBNEB×5Attack errSydney Schnichels+1.3
2212-10NEBNEB×5Attack errElla Demetrician+1.0
2312-11NEBMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Morgan Burke+0.7
2412-12MICHMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+1.4
2513-12MICHNEBKillManaia Ogbechieset Bergen Reilly+0.9
2613-13NEBMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+1.1
2714-13MICHNEBServe errMichigan+1.0
2814-14NEBMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+1.2
2915-14MICHNEBServe errMichigan+1.0
3016-14NEBNEBKillTeraya Siglerset Bergen Reilly+1.4
3116-15NEBMICHKillEce Senyapiciset Camille Edwards+0.9
3217-15MICHNEBKillTeraya Siglerset Bergen Reilly+0.9
3318-15NEBNEBKillTeraya Sigler+1.1
3418-16NEBMICHServe errCampbell Flynn+0.6
3519-16MICHNEBBlockedCymarah Gordonblk Teraya Sigler, Manaia Ogbechie+0.7
3620-16NEBNEBBlockedCymarah Gordonblk Teraya Sigler, Manaia Ogbechie+0.7
3720-17NEBMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+0.4
3821-17MICHNEBAttack errElla Demetrician+0.4
3921-18NEBMICHServe errTeraya Sigler+0.3
4022-18MICHNEBKillHarper Murrayset Bergen Reilly+0.4
4122-19NEBMICHAttack errHarper Murray+0.3
4223-19MICHNEBKillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly+0.4
4323-20NEBMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Camille Edwards+0.2
4424-20MICHNEBKillHarper Murrayset Bergen Reilly+0.4
4525-20NEBNEBAttack errElla Demetrician+0.1
Set 4
11-0NEBNEB×4KillManaia Ogbechieset Bergen Reilly+0.5
22-0NEBNEB×4KillAndi Jackson+0.4
33-0NEBNEB×4BlockedSydney Schnichelsblk Andi Jackson, Virginia Adriano+0.3
44-0NEBNEB×4Attack errCymarah Gordon+0.3
54-1NEBMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.2
65-1MICHNEBKillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly+0.2
76-1NEBNEBAttack errSydney Schnichels+0.2
86-2NEBMICH×3KillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+0.1
96-3MICHMICH×3KillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+0.3
106-4MICHMICH×3KillSydney Schnichelsset Camille Edwards+0.4
117-4MICHNEBKillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly+0.2
128-4NEBNEBBad setCamille Edwards+0.3
138-5NEBMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Camille Edwards+0.2
148-6MICHMICHServe errMichigan+0.4
159-6MICHNEB×5KillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly+0.3
1610-6NEBNEB×5KillTeraya Siglerset Bergen Reilly+0.3
1711-6NEBNEB×5Bad setCamille Edwards+0.2
1812-6NEBNEB×5KillManaia Ogbechieset Bergen Reilly+0.2
1913-6NEBNEB×5AceAndi Jackson+0.1
2013-7NEBMICHServe errAndi Jackson+0.1
2114-7MICHNEBKillManaia Ogbechieset Bergen Reilly+0.1
2214-8NEBMICHKillElla Demetricianset Carly Greskovics+0.1
2315-8MICHNEBKillManaia Ogbechieset Bergen Reilly+0.1
2415-9NEBMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke·
2516-9MICHNEBKillVirginia Adrianoset Bergen Reilly+0.1
2616-10NEBMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Morgan Burke·
2717-10MICHNEB×3KillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly+0.1
2818-10NEBNEB×3AceLaney Choboyaced Ella Demetrician·
2919-10NEBNEB×3BlockedElla Demetricianblk Andi Jackson, Harper Murray·
3019-11NEBMICHBlockedHarper Murrayblk Ece Senyapici, Cymarah Gordon·
3120-11MICHNEBKillTeraya Siglerset Bergen Reilly·
3220-12NEBMICHKillElla Demetricianset Ellie White·
3321-12MICHNEBKillTeraya Siglerset Bergen Reilly·
3422-12NEBNEBKillGabby DiVitaset Bergen Reilly·
3522-13NEBMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Ellie White·
3623-13MICHNEBServe errMichigan·
3723-14NEBMICHServe errBergen Reilly·
3824-14MICHNEBKillHarper Murrayset Bergen Reilly·
3925-14NEBNEBKillManaia Ogbechieset Bergen Reilly·

Score shown after each rally, Nebraska first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).