Final · 5 setsThu, Nov 5, 2026Watch on B1G+

Rutgers def. Michigan 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Michigan 79.7% · upsetLocked before first serve (Nov 5, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Rutgers beat visiting Michigan 3-2 (25-20, 25-21, 15-25, 19-25, 15-11) on Thu, Nov 5, 2026. Malia Romes led Rutgers with 18 kills; Michigan's Ella Demetrician had a match-high 25.

Data through · final Nov 5

Set12345Sets
MICH20212525112
RUTGER25251519153

Match story · written from the play-by-play

18 kills from Malia Romes, and Rutgers got past Michigan.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Rutgers's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Michigan went in at 80% by RallyIQ.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Michigan 21–21 Rutgers

    Rutgers closed it, 4 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 25–21 and lead 2–0. The match swung to Rutgers.

    Rutgers 43% → 70%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · Michigan 6–5 Rutgers

    3 straight Rutgers points turned a 5–6 deficit into an 8–6 lead. The match swung to Rutgers.

    Rutgers 30% → 62%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Michigan 9–9 Rutgers

    From 9–9, Rutgers scored 5 straight to lead 14–9. The match swung to Rutgers.

    Rutgers 43% → 99%

Rutgers above 50Michigan belowMax swing 16.2%

MichiganRutgers

Sideout %
Michigan 60.2·Rutgers 58.3
Break %
Michigan 41.7·Rutgers 39.8
Hitting
Michigan .287·Rutgers .233
Longest run
Michigan 4·Rutgers 5

Avery Jesewitz
10 kills on .192, 10.5 points; 4 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Rutgers above 50 · Michigan below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+16.2% RUTGERrally 201 · set 5

Biggest swing: 16.2% to Rutgers — set 5, MICH 9-11 RUTGER. Kill by Skylar George (set by Lily Bolen). RUTGER win probability 53% → 69%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MICH 79.6%20.4% RUTGER

Michigan wins

3-0
31.2%
3-1
30.1%
3-2
18.4%

Rutgers wins

3-0
3.3%
3-1
6.8%
3-2
10.2%
MICH break %
43.4% vs this opp
RUTGER break %
37.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Skylar GeorgeKill+16.2%

    Kill by Skylar George (set by Lily Bolen)

    Set 5 · MICH 9-11 RUTGER · RUTGER 53% → 69%

  2. 02
    Sydney SchnichelsAttack error+14.5%

    Attack error by Sydney Schnichels

    Set 5 · MICH 9-12 RUTGER · RUTGER 69% → 84%

  3. 03
    Avery JesewitzKill+12.9%

    Kill by Avery Jesewitz (set by Skylar George)

    Set 5 · MICH 6-8 RUTGER · RUTGER 49% → 62%

  4. 04
    Natalie RobinsonAttack error+12.4%

    Attack error by Natalie Robinson

    Set 5 · MICH 8-8 RUTGER · MICH 46% → 58%

  5. 05
    Ella DemetricianAttack error+12.0%

    Attack error by Ella Demetrician

    Set 5 · MICH 6-7 RUTGER · RUTGER 37% → 49%

  6. 06
    Avery JesewitzKill+10.5%

    Kill by Avery Jesewitz (set by Lily Bolen)

    Set 5 · MICH 9-10 RUTGER · RUTGER 43% → 53%

  7. 07
    Malia RomesKill+10.2%

    Kill by Malia Romes (set by Lily Bolen)

    Set 5 · MICH 9-13 RUTGER · RUTGER 84% → 94%

  8. 08
    RutgersAce+9.7%

    Rutgers ace

    Set 5 · MICH 2-3 RUTGER · RUTGER 35% → 45%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5251155.25530112002126
520337.4590001002121
5609.6670113006310
56114.357000202239
58631.06520260010.58.5
5000–31001100000
56117.294000400217
5002.0008021910000
5001.0002404300000
3000–000100000
1011-1.00000110010.50.5
1000–100000000
1000–000000000
Team totals7123167.2876911163421610102
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
518540.32500010010.518.5
513535.229101110010.513.5
58220.30011020010.59.5
53114.143100102447
5001.0002310600001
5000–1031000000
57519.1050011032411
510526.19210011010.510.5
51011.0005201300003
5000–24001000000
4000–000100000
1003.000000000000
Team totals6023159.23357455715101099

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 MICH · RUTGER 5

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 4 MICHRUTGER 5

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 2 MICHRUTGER 5

Set 3

25-15

Longest run 4 MICHRUTGER 2

Set 4

25-19

Longest run 4 MICHRUTGER 3

Set 5

11-15

Longest run 2 MICHRUTGER 5

Bars above the line = Rutgers leads, below = Michigan leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Michigan

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%12/18
41%7/17
2
61%11/18
43%9/21
3
67%10/15
52%11/21
4
53%9/17
29%4/14
5
47%9/19
40%6/15
6
73%8/11
40%6/15
All
60%59/98
42%43/103

Rutgers

SlotSideout %Break %
1
55%12/22
23%3/13
2
48%11/23
50%12/24
3
63%10/16
29%4/14
4
59%10/17
38%6/16
5
82%9/11
44%7/16
6
57%8/14
47%7/15
All
58%60/103
40%39/98

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

201 rallies

#MICH-RUTGERSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0RUTGERMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+1.2
21-1MICHRUTGER×3Serve errMichigan+1.2
31-2RUTGERRUTGER×3KillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+2.0
41-3RUTGERRUTGER×3KillSkylar Georgeset Lily Bolen+2.2
52-3RUTGERMICH×4KillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+1.3
63-3MICHMICH×4BlockedMalia Romesblk Ece Senyapici, Sydney Schnichels+2.0
74-3MICHMICH×4Attack errSkylar George+1.9
85-3MICHMICH×4KillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+1.7
95-4MICHRUTGERServe errMichigan+1.2
105-5RUTGERRUTGERKillKaris Willow+2.0
116-5RUTGERMICHKillEce Senyapiciset Camille Edwards+1.3
126-6MICHRUTGER×4KillSkylar Georgeset Brooke Baldwin+1.4
136-7RUTGERRUTGER×4KillKaris Willowset Brooke Baldwin+2.3
146-8RUTGERRUTGER×4BlockedElla Demetricianblk Karis Willow, Zharia Harris-Waddy+2.5
156-9RUTGERRUTGER×4KillZharia Harris-Waddyset Brooke Baldwin+2.6
167-9RUTGERMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+1.5
178-9MICHMICHKillElla Demetricianset Sydney Schnichels+2.4
188-10MICHRUTGER×3KillAvery Jesewitzset Brooke Baldwin+1.8
198-11RUTGERRUTGER×3AceRutgers+2.7
208-12RUTGERRUTGER×3BlockedJenna Hanesblk Natalie Robinson+2.7
219-12RUTGERMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+1.4
229-13MICHRUTGERKillKaris Willowset Brooke Baldwin+1.9
2310-13RUTGERMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+1.5
2410-14MICHRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+1.9
2511-14RUTGERMICH×3KillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+1.5
2612-14MICHMICH×3KillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+2.6
2713-14MICHMICH×3BlockedSkylar Georgeblk Cymarah Gordon, Ece Senyapici+2.8
2813-15MICHRUTGER×5Attack errSydney Schnichels+2.3
2913-16RUTGERRUTGER×5KillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+3.2
3013-17RUTGERRUTGER×5AceRutgersaced Meredith Martin+3.0
3113-18RUTGERRUTGER×5KillZharia Harris-Waddyset Lily Bolen+2.5
3213-19RUTGERRUTGER×5KillSkylar Georgeset Jenna DeLaMater+1.9
3314-19RUTGERMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Morgan Burke+0.7
3414-20MICHRUTGER×3KillZharia Harris-Waddyset Lily Bolen+1.2
3514-21RUTGERRUTGER×3Attack errSydney Schnichels+1.0
3614-22RUTGERRUTGER×3Attack errLeni Stanton-Parker+0.5
3715-22RUTGERMICHBlockedKaris Willowblk Ece Senyapici, Leni Stanton-Parker+0.1
3815-23MICHRUTGERServe errMichigan+0.2
3916-23RUTGERMICH×4KillEce Senyapiciset Avery Jesewitz+0.1
4017-23MICHMICH×4Attack errAvery Jesewitz+0.2
4118-23MICHMICH×4Attack errKaris Willow+0.3
4219-23MICHMICH×4Attack errAvery Jesewitz+0.7
4319-24MICHRUTGERAttack errElla Demetrician+1.0
4420-24RUTGERMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+0.2
4520-25MICHRUTGERKillAvery Jesewitzset Brooke Baldwin+0.6
Set 2
10-1MICHRUTGERKillNatalie Robinsonset Lily Bolen+2.0
21-1RUTGERMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+1.9
32-1MICHMICHAttack errMalia Romes+2.7
42-2MICHRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+1.9
53-2RUTGERMICHAttack errKaris Willow+1.8
63-3MICHRUTGERKillZharia Harris-Waddyset Brooke Baldwin+2.0
74-3RUTGERMICHServe errRutgers+1.9
84-4MICHRUTGERKillAvery Jesewitzset Brooke Baldwin+2.0
95-4RUTGERMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+1.9
106-4MICHMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+2.7
116-5MICHRUTGERKillAvery Jesewitzset Brooke Baldwin+1.8
126-6RUTGERRUTGERBlockedLydia Johnsonblk Natalie Robinson, Avery Jesewitz+3.1
137-6RUTGERMICHServe errRutgers+2.1
148-6MICHMICHAceEce Senyapiciaced Avery Jesewitz+2.9
158-7MICHRUTGERServe errEce Senyapici+1.9
168-8RUTGERRUTGERAttack errElla Demetrician+3.3
179-8RUTGERMICHServe errRutgers+2.2
189-9MICHRUTGERBlockedCymarah Gordonblk Skylar George, Natalie Robinson+2.4
199-10RUTGERRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Kenzie Dyrstad+3.8
2010-10RUTGERMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Morgan Burke+2.5
2110-11MICHRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+2.8
2211-11RUTGERMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+2.5
2311-12MICHRUTGERKillZharia Harris-Waddyset Brooke Baldwin+2.9
2412-12RUTGERMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+2.6
2512-13MICHRUTGERKillKaris Willowset Brooke Baldwin+3.0
2613-13RUTGERMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+2.8
2713-14MICHRUTGERKillAvery Jesewitzset Brooke Baldwin+3.1
2814-14RUTGERMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+2.9
2915-14MICHMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Sydney Schnichels+4.3
3015-15MICHRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+3.0
3116-15RUTGERMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+3.0
3216-16MICHRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+3.2
3316-17RUTGERRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Avery Jesewitz+5.3
3417-17RUTGERMICHKillJenna Hanesset Morgan Burke+3.4
3518-17MICHMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Meredith Martin+5.1
3618-18MICHRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+3.6
3719-18RUTGERMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+3.7
3820-18MICHMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Meredith Martin+5.0
3920-19MICHRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Kenzie Dyrstad+3.0
4020-20RUTGERRUTGERBlockedElla Demetricianblk Karis Willow+6.0
4121-20RUTGERMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+4.5
4221-21MICHRUTGER×5Serve errMichigan+4.6
4321-22RUTGERRUTGER×5Attack errElla Demetrician+8.5
4421-23RUTGERRUTGER×5KillAvery Jesewitzset Zharia Harris-Waddy+9.0
4521-24RUTGERRUTGER×5Serve errRutgers+6.9
4621-25RUTGERRUTGER×5BlockedElla Demetricianblk Karis Willow, Natalie Robinson+2.8
Set 3
11-0RUTGERMICHServe errRutgers+1.7
21-1MICHRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Natalie Robinson+1.8
32-1RUTGERMICHKillJenna Hanesset Morgan Burke+1.7
43-1MICHMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+2.4
53-2MICHRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Kenzie Dyrstad+1.6
64-2RUTGERMICH×3Attack errZharia Harris-Waddy+1.6
75-2MICHMICH×3Attack errKaris Willow+2.2
86-2MICHMICH×3Attack errSkylar George+1.9
96-3MICHRUTGERKillKaris Willowset Brooke Baldwin+1.2
106-4RUTGERRUTGERKillZharia Harris-Waddyset Brooke Baldwin+2.1
117-4RUTGERMICHAttack errAvery Jesewitz+1.5
128-4MICHMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+1.9
138-5MICHRUTGERKillZharia Harris-Waddyset Brooke Baldwin+1.2
149-5RUTGERMICHBlockedAvery Jesewitzblk Ece Senyapici, Lydia Johnson+1.3
1510-5MICHMICHKillJenna Hanesset Camille Edwards+1.6
1610-6MICHRUTGERKillAvery Jesewitzset Brooke Baldwin+0.9
1711-6RUTGERMICHAttack errSkylar George+1.1
1811-7MICHRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+0.9
1912-7RUTGERMICHServe errRutgers+1.1
2012-8MICHRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+0.9
2113-8RUTGERMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+1.1
2213-9MICHRUTGERServe errMichigan+0.9
2314-9RUTGERMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+1.1
2414-10MICHRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Brooke Baldwin+0.9
2515-10RUTGERMICHKillEce Senyapiciset Camille Edwards+1.1
2615-11MICHRUTGERKillZharia Harris-Waddyset Brooke Baldwin+0.9
2715-12RUTGERRUTGERKillNatalie Robinsonset Brooke Baldwin+1.9
2816-12RUTGERMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+1.5
2916-13MICHRUTGERKillNatalie Robinsonset Brooke Baldwin+1.3
3017-13RUTGERMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+1.6
3118-13MICHMICHAttack errMalia Romes+1.7
3218-14MICHRUTGERBlockedSydney Schnichelsblk Natalie Robinson+0.8
3319-14RUTGERMICH×3KillJenna Hanesset Morgan Burke+1.1
3420-14MICHMICH×3KillCymarah Gordonset Meredith Martin+1.0
3521-14MICHMICH×3KillCymarah Gordonset Ella Demetrician+0.5
3621-15MICHRUTGERAttack errCymarah Gordon+0.2
3722-15RUTGERMICH×4KillJenna Hanesset Morgan Burke+0.3
3823-15MICHMICH×4KillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+0.1
3924-15MICHMICH×4KillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke·
4025-15MICHMICH×4KillEce Senyapiciset Morgan Burke·
Set 4
11-0MICHMICHBlockedAvery Jesewitzblk Cymarah Gordon, Jenna Hanes+3.8
21-1MICHRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+2.7
32-1RUTGERMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+2.6
43-1MICHMICHKillElla Demetricianset Meredith Martin+3.6
53-2MICHRUTGERServe errMichigan+2.5
64-2RUTGERMICH×4KillJenna Hanesset Morgan Burke+2.4
75-2MICHMICH×4KillEce Senyapiciset Morgan Burke+3.3
86-2MICHMICH×4KillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+2.8
97-2MICHMICH×4KillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+2.3
107-3MICHRUTGERKillKaris Willowset Brooke Baldwin+1.4
117-4RUTGERRUTGERAttack errElla Demetrician+2.6
128-4RUTGERMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+1.9
139-4MICHMICHBlockedSkylar Georgeblk Ece Senyapici, Lydia Johnson+2.4
149-5MICHRUTGERServe errMichigan+1.4
1510-5RUTGERMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+1.6
1610-6MICHRUTGER×3Serve errMichigan+1.4
1710-7RUTGERRUTGER×3AceRutgers+2.7
1810-8RUTGERRUTGER×3KillMalia Romesset Kenzie Dyrstad+3.5
1911-8RUTGERMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Camille Edwards+2.5
2012-8MICHMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+3.2
2112-9MICHRUTGERAttack errElla Demetrician+1.9
2212-10RUTGERRUTGERAttack errElla Demetrician+3.6
2313-10RUTGERMICH×3KillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+2.7
2414-10MICHMICH×3KillSydney Schnichelsset Ella Demetrician+3.3
2515-10MICHMICH×3Bad setLily Bolen+2.5
2615-11MICHRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Kenzie Dyrstad+1.4
2716-11RUTGERMICHBlockedZharia Harris-Waddyblk Jenna Hanes+1.7
2816-12MICHRUTGERServe errMichigan+1.3
2917-12RUTGERMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Meredith Martin+1.7
3017-13MICHRUTGERAttack errElla Demetrician+1.3
3118-13RUTGERMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+1.6
3218-14MICHRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Brooke Baldwin+1.2
3319-14RUTGERMICHBlockedKaris Willowblk Ece Senyapici, Ella Demetrician+1.6
3419-15MICHRUTGER×3BlockedSydney Schnichelsblk Karis Willow+1.1
3519-16RUTGERRUTGER×3KillSkylar Georgeset Lily Bolen+2.6
3619-17RUTGERRUTGER×3KillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+4.1
3720-17RUTGERMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Camille Edwards+3.5
3821-17MICHMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Camille Edwards+3.7
3921-18MICHRUTGERKillKenzie Dyrstad+1.6
4021-19RUTGERRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Lily Bolen+4.0
4122-19RUTGERMICH×4KillSydney Schnichelsset Meredith Martin+3.8
4223-19MICHMICH×4KillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+3.4
4324-19MICHMICH×4Serve errMichigan+1.3
4425-19MICHMICH×4Attack errMalia Romes+1.1
Set 5
10-1MICHRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+6.2
21-1RUTGERMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Ella Demetrician+5.7
32-1MICHMICHBlockedMalia Romesblk Ella Demetrician, Jenna Hanes+8.4
42-2MICHRUTGERAttack errCymarah Gordon+5.9
52-3RUTGERRUTGERAceRutgers+9.7
63-3RUTGERMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+6.2
73-4MICHRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Lily Bolen+7.1
84-4RUTGERMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Meredith Martin+6.5
95-4MICHMICHKillElla Demetricianset Meredith Martin+9.6
105-5MICHRUTGERServe errMichigan+6.8
116-5RUTGERMICHKillEce Senyapiciset Camille Edwards+6.7
126-6MICHRUTGER×3KillAvery Jesewitzset Brooke Baldwin+7.1
136-7RUTGERRUTGER×3Attack errElla Demetrician+12.0
146-8RUTGERRUTGER×3KillAvery Jesewitzset Skylar George+12.9
157-8RUTGERMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Camille Edwards+7.4
168-8MICHMICHAttack errNatalie Robinson+12.4
178-9MICHRUTGERKillKaris Willowset Brooke Baldwin+9.6
189-9RUTGERMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+8.8
199-10MICHRUTGER×5KillAvery Jesewitzset Lily Bolen+10.5
209-11RUTGERRUTGER×5KillSkylar Georgeset Lily Bolen+16.2
219-12RUTGERRUTGER×5Attack errSydney Schnichels+14.5
229-13RUTGERRUTGER×5KillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+10.2
239-14RUTGERRUTGER×5Attack errNatalie Robinson+4.9
2410-14RUTGERMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.7
2511-14MICHMICHKillElla Demetricianset Ellie White+2.5
2611-15MICHRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Lily Bolen+4.4

Score shown after each rally, Michigan first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).