Final · 4 setsSat, Nov 7, 2026Watch on B1G+

Michigan def. Maryland 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Michigan 71.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 7, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Michigan won at Maryland 3-1 (25-22, 25-19, 19-25, 28-26) on Sat, Nov 7, 2026. Michigan's Ella Demetrician led with 20 kills, and Meredith Martin added 19 digs.

Data through · final Nov 7

Set1234Sets
MICH252519283
MD221925261

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Michigan needed all of Ella Demetrician's 23 points to get by Maryland.

The match turned twice. Numbers are Michigan's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. RallyIQ gave Michigan 71% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 4 · Michigan 16–14 Maryland

    Maryland scored 4 straight to turn a 14–16 deficit into an 18–16 lead.

    Michigan 90% → 74%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · Michigan 25–25 Maryland

    Michigan won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 28–26 and win the match 3–1.

    Michigan 80% → >99%

Maryland above 50Michigan belowMax swing 11.7%

MichiganMaryland

Sideout %
Michigan 63.4·Maryland 60.4
Break %
Michigan 39.6·Maryland 36.6
Hitting
Michigan .326·Maryland .263
Longest run
Michigan 4·Maryland 5

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Maryland above 50 · Michigan below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+11.7% MICHrally 189 · set 4

Biggest swing: 11.7% to Michigan — set 4, MICH 24-24 MD. Kill by Ella Demetrician (set by Morgan Burke). MD win probability 32% → 20%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MICH 70.8%29.2% MD

Michigan wins

3-0
23.8%
3-1
27.2%
3-2
19.8%

Maryland wins

3-0
5.5%
3-1
10.2%
3-2
13.5%
MICH break %
42.0% vs this opp
MD break %
37.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Ella Demetrician (set by Morgan Burke)

    Set 4 · MICH 24-24 MD · MICH 68% → 80%

  2. 02

    Ace by Meredith Martin on Haley Melby

    Set 4 · MICH 26-25 MD · MICH 80% → 91%

  3. 03

    Kill by Ella Demetrician (set by Camille Edwards)

    Set 4 · MICH 28-26 MD · MICH 91% → 100%

  4. 04

    Cymarah Gordon stuffed by Marlee Sivak & Ioanna Dimitriou

    Set 4 · MICH 22-24 MD · MD 26% → 35%

  5. 05

    Ella Demetrician stuffed by Ava Brown & Ioanna Dimitriou

    Set 4 · MICH 21-22 MD · MD 17% → 24%

  6. 06
    Ava BrownKill+7.7%

    Kill by Ava Brown (set by Sara Toth)

    Set 4 · MICH 24-25 MD · MD 20% → 28%

  7. 07

    Kill by Cymarah Gordon (set by Morgan Burke)

    Set 4 · MICH 25-25 MD · MICH 72% → 80%

  8. 08
    Sydney SchnichelsAttack error+6.9%

    Attack error by Sydney Schnichels

    Set 4 · MICH 26-26 MD · MD 9% → 16%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
420645.31112213310123
412432.2500001004214
411328.2860035102112
48112.583000000219
4205.40000220094.56.5
4001.00027001000000
49119.4210001016413
41011.0002710300002
4011-1.0006101910001
4000–000100000
1000–001000000
Team totals6316144.326614855522313.597
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4151045.11112040010.517.5
416334.38200020031.517.5
414123.5650013000014
412736.13900020010.512.5
4217.14300000153.55.5
4103.33351121000002
4000–020800002
4000–102720000
4000–5011400000
2204.500000400002
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals6222152.2635856544110692

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 MICH · MD 5

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 3 MICHMD 3

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 3 MICHMD 2

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 3 MICHMD 5

Set 4

28-26

Longest run 4 MICHMD 4

Bars above the line = Maryland leads, below = Michigan leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Michigan

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%12/17
38%6/16
2
65%11/17
40%8/20
3
63%10/16
41%7/17
4
83%10/12
29%4/14
5
53%8/15
53%9/17
6
50%8/16
33%4/12
All
63%59/93
40%38/96

Maryland

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%12/17
41%7/17
2
55%11/20
27%4/15
3
59%10/17
45%9/20
4
56%9/16
23%3/13
5
53%8/15
25%3/12
6
73%8/11
50%8/16
All
60%58/96
37%34/93

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

189 rallies

#MICH-MDSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MDMICHBlockedSydney Bryantblk Jenna Hanes, Cymarah Gordon+1.4
21-1MICHMDKillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+1.5
32-1MDMICHAttack errAva Brown+1.5
42-2MICHMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+1.5
53-2MDMICH×3KillSydney Schnichelsset Camille Edwards+1.5
64-2MICHMICH×3KillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+2.1
75-2MICHMICH×3KillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+2.0
85-3MICHMD×3Serve errSydney Schnichels+1.2
95-4MDMD×3KillMarlee Sivakset Sara Toth+2.1
105-5MDMD×3AceElayna Davidsonaced Meredith Martin+2.4
116-5MDMICH×3KillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+1.6
127-5MICHMICH×3Bad setSara Toth+2.3
138-5MICHMICH×3Bad setElayna Davidson+2.1
148-6MICHMD×3Serve errEce Senyapici+1.3
158-7MDMD×3AceMarlee Sivakaced Ella Demetrician+2.3
168-8MDMD×3AceMarlee Sivakaced Ella Demetrician+2.6
179-8MDMICHKillJenna Hanesset Camille Edwards+1.8
189-9MICHMDKillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+1.8
1910-9MDMICH×3KillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+1.8
2011-9MICHMICH×3AceElla Demetrician+2.6
2112-9MICHMICH×3KillSydney Schnichelsset Meredith Martin+2.3
2212-10MICHMDServe errElla Demetrician+1.4
2312-11MDMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+2.6
2413-11MDMICHServe errSara Toth+1.8
2513-12MICHMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+1.8
2614-12MDMICHServe errHaley Melby+1.9
2714-13MICHMDKillMarlee Sivakset Sara Toth+1.9
2815-13MDMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+2.0
2915-14MICHMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+1.9
3016-14MDMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+2.1
3116-15MICHMDKillMarlee Sivakset Sara Toth+2.0
3216-16MDMDKillSydney Bryantset Raina Chwialkowski+3.6
3317-16MDMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+2.5
3418-16MICHMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+3.5
3518-17MICHMDKillSara Tothset Marlee Sivak+2.2
3619-17MDMICHServe errEva Rohrbach+2.5
3719-18MICHMDServe errElla Demetrician+2.2
3820-18MDMICHKillJenna Hanesset Morgan Burke+2.6
3920-19MICHMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+2.3
4021-19MDMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Meredith Martin+2.9
4122-19MICHMICHAttack errAva Brown+3.4
4222-20MICHMDKillMarlee Sivakset Sara Toth+1.4
4322-21MDMDKillEva Rohrbach+3.7
4423-21MDMICHBlockedMarlee Sivakblk Lydia Johnson+3.5
4523-22MICHMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+2.5
4624-22MDMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+4.1
4725-22MICHMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+3.0
Set 2
11-0MICHMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+1.8
22-0MICHMICHAttack errIoanna Dimitriou+1.7
32-1MICHMDKillMarlee Sivakset Haley Melby+1.1
43-1MDMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Meredith Martin+1.1
54-1MICHMICHAceElla Demetricianaced Haley Melby+1.6
64-2MICHMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+1.0
74-3MDMDKillMarlee Sivakset Sara Toth+1.7
85-3MDMICHAttack errMarlee Sivak+1.2
96-3MICHMICHBlockedMarlee Sivakblk Ece Senyapici, Cymarah Gordon+1.6
106-4MICHMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+1.0
117-4MDMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+1.1
127-5MICHMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+1.0
138-5MDMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Camille Edwards+1.1
149-5MICHMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+1.5
159-6MICHMDKillMarlee Sivakset Sara Toth+0.9
169-7MDMDBlockedLydia Johnsonblk Ioanna Dimitriou, Sydney Bryant+1.6
1710-7MDMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+1.2
1810-8MICHMDServe errEce Senyapici+1.1
1911-8MDMICHKillJenna Hanesset Camille Edwards+1.2
2011-9MICHMDKillMarlee Sivakset Raina Chwialkowski+1.1
2112-9MDMICHKillJenna Hanesset Morgan Burke+1.2
2213-9MICHMICHAttack errMarlee Sivak+1.6
2313-10MICHMDKillMarlee Sivakset Sara Toth+0.9
2414-10MDMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+1.1
2514-11MICHMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+0.9
2615-11MDMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+1.1
2715-12MICHMDKillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+0.9
2816-12MDMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Camille Edwards+1.1
2917-12MICHMICHBlockedSydney Bryantblk Lydia Johnson, Ece Senyapici+1.2
3017-13MICHMDKillSydney Bryantset Raina Chwialkowski+0.6
3117-14MDMDKillSydney Bryantset Raina Chwialkowski+1.3
3218-14MDMICHKillEce Senyapiciset Camille Edwards+1.1
3318-15MICHMDKillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+0.9
3419-15MDMICHServe errHaley Melby+1.2
3519-16MICHMDKillIoanna Dimitriouset Sara Toth+0.9
3620-16MDMICHServe errRaina Chwialkowski+1.2
3720-17MICHMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+0.8
3821-17MDMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+1.2
3921-18MICHMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+0.7
4022-18MDMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+1.1
4122-19MICHMDKillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+0.6
4223-19MDMICH×3KillSydney Schnichelsset Camille Edwards+1.1
4324-19MICHMICH×3KillSydney Schnichelsset Camille Edwards+0.7
4425-19MICHMICH×3BlockedSydney Bryantblk Lydia Johnson, Ece Senyapici+0.1
Set 3
11-0MDMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+0.7
22-0MICHMICHAttack errMarlee Sivak+1.0
32-1MICHMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+0.6
43-1MDMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.6
53-2MICHMD×4KillAva Brownset Sara Toth+0.6
63-3MDMD×4KillMarlee Sivakset Sara Toth+1.1
73-4MDMD×4KillMarlee Sivakset Sara Toth+1.2
83-5MDMD×4Attack errSydney Schnichels+1.2
94-5MDMICHBlockedMarlee Sivakblk Cymarah Gordon, Ece Senyapici+0.8
104-6MICHMDKillMarlee Sivakset Sara Toth+0.8
115-6MDMICH×3KillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+0.8
126-6MICHMICH×3KillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+1.2
137-6MICHMICH×3KillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+1.2
147-7MICHMDServe errSydney Schnichels+0.8
158-7MDMICH×3KillCamille Edwardsset Meredith Martin+0.8
169-7MICHMICH×3KillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+1.1
1710-7MICHMICH×3BlockedSydney Bryantblk Lydia Johnson, Jenna Hanes+1.0
1810-8MICHMDKillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+0.6
1911-8MDMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+0.7
2011-9MICHMDBlockedCymarah Gordonblk Ioanna Dimitriou+0.6
2111-10MDMDKillIoanna Dimitriouset Sara Toth+1.2
2212-10MDMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+0.8
2312-11MICHMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+0.8
2412-12MDMDKillEva Rohrbach+1.4
2513-12MDMICHKillJenna Hanesset Morgan Burke+0.9
2614-12MICHMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+1.4
2714-13MICHMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+0.9
2814-14MDMDAttack errElla Demetrician+1.5
2915-14MDMICHBlockedMarlee Sivakblk Sydney Schnichels, Cymarah Gordon, Ece Senyapici+1.0
3015-15MICHMDKillMarlee Sivakset Sara Toth+1.1
3116-15MDMICHAttack errEva Rohrbach+1.1
3216-16MICHMDKillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+1.1
3317-16MDMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+1.2
3417-17MICHMD×5KillBrooklynne Brassset Sara Toth+1.2
3517-18MDMD×5KillSydney Bryantset Raina Chwialkowski+2.0
3617-19MDMD×5BlockedElla Demetricianblk Ava Brown, Ioanna Dimitriou+2.1
3717-20MDMD×5Attack errElla Demetrician+1.9
3817-21MDMD×5BlockedElla Demetricianblk Ava Brown, Ioanna Dimitriou+1.5
3918-21MDMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+0.6
4018-22MICHMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+1.0
4118-23MDMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+0.9
4219-23MDMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+0.2
4319-24MICHMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+0.4
4419-25MDMDKillMarlee Sivakset Sara Toth+0.2
Set 4
10-1MICHMD×3KillAva Brownset Sara Toth+1.9
20-2MDMD×3Attack errMeredith Martin+2.9
30-3MDMD×3KillAva Brownset Morgan Burke+3.0
41-3MDMICH×4Attack errMarlee Sivak+1.8
52-3MICHMICH×4KillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+2.8
63-3MICHMICH×4KillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+2.9
74-3MICHMICH×4KillEce Senyapiciset Ella Demetrician+2.8
84-4MICHMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+1.9
95-4MDMICH×4KillSydney Schnichelsset Morgan Burke+1.9
106-4MICHMICH×4BlockedMarlee Sivakblk Sydney Schnichels, Ece Senyapici+2.7
117-4MICHMICH×4BlockedMarlee Sivakblk Ece Senyapici, Lydia Johnson+2.4
128-4MICHMICH×4AceCamille Edwards+2.1
138-5MICHMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+1.3
148-6MDMDKillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+2.3
159-6MDMICHBlockedSydney Bryantblk Ece Senyapici, Lydia Johnson+1.7
169-7MICHMDServe errSydney Schnichels+1.6
1710-7MDMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+1.7
1810-8MICHMDAttack errSydney Schnichels+1.6
1910-9MDMDAceSara Tothaced Ella Demetrician+2.9
2011-9MDMICHServe errSara Toth+2.0
2112-9MICHMICHKillJenna Hanesset Morgan Burke+2.8
2212-10MICHMD×4KillAva Brownset Sara Toth+1.7
2312-11MDMD×4Attack errJenna Hanes+3.1
2412-12MDMD×4Attack errElla Demetrician+3.6
2512-13MDMD×4KillAva Brownset Sara Toth+4.0
2613-13MDMICHKillJenna Hanesset Morgan Burke+2.6
2714-13MICHMICHKillJenna Hanesset Morgan Burke+3.9
2814-14MICHMDKillMarlee Sivakset Sara Toth+2.6
2915-14MDMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Meredith Martin+2.7
3016-14MICHMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+3.8
3116-15MICHMD×4KillAva Brownset Sara Toth+2.4
3216-16MDMD×4Bad setMorgan Burke+4.3
3316-17MDMD×4Attack errCymarah Gordon+4.9
3416-18MDMD×4AceElayna Davidsonaced Sydney Schnichels+5.1
3517-18MDMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Morgan Burke+2.9
3617-19MICHMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+3.7
3718-19MDMICH×3KillLydia Johnsonset Camille Edwards+3.1
3819-19MICHMICH×3Attack errSydney Bryant+5.4
3920-19MICHMICH×3KillElla Demetricianset Meredith Martin+5.7
4020-20MICHMDKillBrooklynne Brassset Sara Toth+3.8
4121-20MDMICHBlockedSydney Bryantblk Lydia Johnson, Ece Senyapici+4.1
4221-21MICHMDServe errEllie White+4.2
4321-22MDMDBlockedElla Demetricianblk Ava Brown, Ioanna Dimitriou+7.7
4422-22MDMICHKillLydia Johnsonset Ella Demetrician+4.8
4522-23MICHMDAttack errCymarah Gordon+6.2
4622-24MDMDBlockedCymarah Gordonblk Marlee Sivak, Ioanna Dimitriou+9.3
4723-24MDMICHBlockedAva Brownblk Ella Demetrician+3.2
4824-24MICHMICHKillElla Demetricianset Morgan Burke+11.7
4924-25MICHMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+7.7
5025-25MDMICHKillCymarah Gordonset Morgan Burke+7.7
5126-25MICHMICHAceMeredith Martinaced Haley Melby+10.5
5226-26MICHMDAttack errSydney Schnichels+6.9
5327-26MDMICHKillSydney Schnichelsset Morgan Burke+6.9
5428-26MICHMICHKillElla Demetricianset Camille Edwards+9.5

Score shown after each rally, Michigan first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).