Final · 5 setsFri, Aug 28, 2026

AwayBIG-12

3:2

HomeBIG-TEN

Cincinnati def. Illinois 3–2

(17-25, 22-25, 25-16, 25-23, 15-12)

Set	1	2	3	4	5	Sets
CINCY	17	22	25	25	15	3
ILL	25	25	16	23	12	2

RallyIQ model

Win probability

ILL above 50 · CINCY below

Biggest swing: 14.3% to Cincinnati — set 5, CINCY 14-11 ILL. Kill by Andrea Simovski (set by Kate Lijic). ILL win probability 20% → 6%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

CINCY 30.5%69.5% ILL

Cincinnati wins

3-0

5.8%

3-1

10.7%

3-2

13.9%

Illinois wins

3-0

22.9%

3-1

26.7%

3-2

19.9%

CINCY break %: 39.6% vs this opp
ILL break %: 43.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Andrea SimovskiKill+14.3%
Kill by Andrea Simovski (set by Kate Lijic)
Set 5 · CINCY 14-11 ILL · CINCY 80% → 94%
02
Andrea SimovskiKill+13.8%
Kill by Andrea Simovski (set by Kate Lijic)
Set 4 · CINCY 25-23 ILL · CINCY 29% → 42%
03
Sydney NolanKill+13.7%
Kill by Sydney Nolan (set by Kate Lijic)
Set 5 · CINCY 13-11 ILL · CINCY 66% → 80%
04
Sydney NolanAttack error+12.5%
Sydney Nolan stuffed by Paityn Chapman & Kristina Starostenko
Set 5 · CINCY 11-10 ILL · ILL 24% → 37%
05
Taylor de BoerAttack error+12.2%
Taylor de Boer stuffed by Lilian Entenmann & Nina Scrucca
Set 5 · CINCY 8-6 ILL · CINCY 53% → 65%
06
Paityn ChapmanAttack error+12.1%
Attack error by Paityn Chapman
Set 5 · CINCY 12-10 ILL · CINCY 63% → 75%
07
Sydney NolanKill+12.1%
Kill by Sydney Nolan (set by Lilian Entenmann)
Set 5 · CINCY 10-7 ILL · CINCY 67% → 79%
08
CINCY serverAce+10.1%
Cincinnati ace on Maya Harris
Set 5 · CINCY 4-3 ILL · CINCY 41% → 51%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Cincinnatiaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Sydney NolanOH	5	25	5	58	.345	0	1	4	9	1	0	0	0	26
11Nina ScruccaOPP	5	11	2	22	.409	0	5	3	6	0	0	1	0.5	16.5
7Andrea SimovskiOH	5	13	2	32	.344	0	0	2	13	4	0	1	0.5	13.5
8Ligia WilliamsOH	5	8	1	15	.467	0	0	1	2	0	1	2	2	10
6Kate LijicS	5	1	2	15	-.067	54	2	2	5	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
4Audrey RomeMB	2	1	0	4	.250	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
21Viktoria NinovaL/DS	5	0	0	3	.000	1	4	3	15	0	0	0	0	4
1Ava LedebuhrL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	7	0	0	0	0	0
9Kayla HostetlerL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
5Lilian EntenmannMB	4	2	2	6	.000	1	0	3	1	0	1	1	1.5	3.5
16Izzy BusignaniOH	1	2	3	13	-.077	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
18Tatjana SimeunovicMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		63	17	168	.274	58	12	21	62	7	2	6	5	104

Illinoishome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
19Alyssa AguayoOH	5	15	3	42	.286	1	0	3	6	0	0	1	0.5	15.5
4Paityn ChapmanOH	5	11	5	32	.188	0	3	2	15	0	0	3	1.5	15.5
5Taylor de BoerOH	5	14	3	36	.306	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.5	14.5
11Kristina StarostenkoMB	5	10	2	16	.500	1	0	0	3	0	1	3	2.5	12.5
14Lindsay OldendorfMB	5	5	1	14	.286	1	0	0	2	0	1	3	2.5	7.5
7Kenna PhelanS	5	1	1	8	.000	42	1	0	8	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
8Maya HarrisOH	5	0	2	2	-1.000	0	2	2	15	2	0	0	0	2
18Talita GoncalvesL/DS	5	0	0	1	.000	1	0	0	8	0	0	0	0	0
17Vivian CampbellS	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
2Taryn KirschL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	0	1	3	4	7	0	0	0	1
10Sophi RandallS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		56	17	152	.257	49	7	11	64	12	2	12	8	101

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 CINCY · ILL 6

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 4 CINCYILL 6

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 CINCYILL 3

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 6 CINCYILL 2

Set 4

25-23

Longest run 5 CINCYILL 3

Set 5

15-12

Longest run 2 CINCYILL 2

Bars above the line = Illinois leads, below = Cincinnati leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Cincinnati

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	63%12/19	31%4/13
2	57%12/21	40%8/20
3	71%12/17	45%10/22
4	69%11/16	42%8/19
5	53%8/15	31%4/13
6	50%7/14	50%8/16
All	61%62/102	41%42/103

Illinois

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%12/20	33%5/15
2	63%12/19	37%7/19
3	63%12/19	40%8/20
4	64%9/14	25%4/16
5	45%9/20	47%8/17
6	64%7/11	53%8/15
All	59%61/103	39%40/102

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

205 rallies

Rally log

#	CINCY-ILL	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	ILL	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kenna Phelan	+2.1
2	1-1	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+1.6
3	1-2	CINCY	ILL	Kill	Kristina Starostenko	set Kenna Phelan	+1.5
4	2-2	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+1.6
5	3-2	CINCY	CINCY	Ace	CINCY server	aced Maya Harris	+2.4
6	3-3	CINCY	ILL×3	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Kenna Phelan	+1.6
7	3-4	ILL	ILL×3	Ace	ILL server	aced Andrea Simovski	+2.3
8	3-5	ILL	ILL×3	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Kenna Phelan	+2.2
9	4-5	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+1.5
10	4-6	CINCY	ILL	Kill	Lindsay Oldendorf	set Kenna Phelan	+1.6
11	5-6	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Izzy Busignani	set Kate Lijic	+1.6
12	5-7	CINCY	ILL×5	Serve err	CINCY server		+1.6
13	5-8	ILL	ILL×5	Kill	Taylor de Boer	set Lindsay Oldendorf	+2.1
14	5-9	ILL	ILL×5	Kill	Taylor de Boer	set Kenna Phelan	+1.8
15	5-10	ILL	ILL×5	Kill	Taylor de Boer	set Kenna Phelan	+1.5
16	5-11	ILL	ILL×5	Attack err	Izzy Busignani	blk Taylor de Boer, Lindsay Oldendorf	+1.2
17	6-11	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Kate Lijic	+0.7
18	6-12	CINCY	ILL	Kill	Lindsay Oldendorf	set Kate Lijic	+0.9
19	7-12	ILL	CINCY	Attack err	Kristina Starostenko		+0.7
20	7-13	CINCY	ILL	Kill	Taylor de Boer	set Kenna Phelan	+0.9
21	8-13	ILL	CINCY×4	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Kate Lijic	+0.7
22	9-13	CINCY	CINCY×4	Ace	CINCY server	aced Taryn Kirsch	+1.3
23	10-13	CINCY	CINCY×4	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+1.7
24	11-13	CINCY	CINCY×4	Ace	CINCY server	aced Taryn Kirsch	+2.2
25	11-14	CINCY	ILL×3	Kill	Kristina Starostenko	set Kenna Phelan	+1.7
26	11-15	ILL	ILL×3	Ace	ILL server	aced Team	+2.1
27	11-16	ILL	ILL×3	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Kenna Phelan	+1.6
28	12-16	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+0.9
29	13-16	CINCY	CINCY	Attack err	Alyssa Aguayo		+1.7
30	13-17	CINCY	ILL	Attack err	Kate Lijic	blk Kristina Starostenko	+1.5
31	14-17	ILL	CINCY	Serve err	ILL server		+1.2
32	14-18	CINCY	ILL	Attack err	Sydney Nolan		+1.5
33	15-18	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Audrey Rome	set Kate Lijic	+1.2
34	15-19	CINCY	ILL	Kill	Lindsay Oldendorf	set Kenna Phelan	+1.6
35	16-19	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Izzy Busignani	set Kate Lijic	+1.2
36	17-19	CINCY	CINCY	Ace	CINCY server	aced Taryn Kirsch	+2.4
37	17-20	CINCY	ILL×6	Kill	Kenna Phelan	set Kate Lijic	+2.2
38	17-21	ILL	ILL×6	Attack err	Ligia Williams	blk Kenna Phelan, Kristina Starostenko	+2.3
39	17-22	ILL	ILL×6	Kill	Taylor de Boer	set Kenna Phelan	+1.3
40	17-23	ILL	ILL×6	Kill	Taylor de Boer	set Kenna Phelan	+0.6
41	17-24	ILL	ILL×6	Attack err	Izzy Busignani		+0.2
42	17-25	ILL	ILL×6	Attack err	Izzy Busignani		+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	CINCY	ILL	Kill	Kristina Starostenko	set Kenna Phelan	+1.3
2	1-1	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Lilian Entenmann	set Kate Lijic	+1.3
3	1-2	CINCY	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kenna Phelan	+1.3
4	2-2	ILL	CINCY×3	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+1.3
5	3-2	CINCY	CINCY×3	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+2.0
6	4-2	CINCY	CINCY×3	Ace	CINCY server	aced Taryn Kirsch	+2.1
7	4-3	CINCY	ILL	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Kenna Phelan	+1.4
8	5-3	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+1.5
9	6-3	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Kate Lijic	+2.2
10	6-4	CINCY	ILL	Serve err	CINCY server		+1.4
11	7-4	ILL	CINCY	Serve err	ILL server		+1.6
12	7-5	CINCY	ILL×3	Serve err	CINCY server		+1.4
13	7-6	ILL	ILL×3	Kill	Taylor de Boer	set Kenna Phelan	+2.1
14	7-7	ILL	ILL×3	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kenna Phelan	+2.2
15	8-7	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Ava Ledebuhr	+1.6
16	8-8	CINCY	ILL	Kill	Taylor de Boer	set Kenna Phelan	+1.6
17	9-8	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Ava Ledebuhr	+1.7
18	9-9	CINCY	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kenna Phelan	+1.6
19	10-9	ILL	CINCY	Attack err	Paityn Chapman		+1.8
20	10-10	CINCY	ILL	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Kenna Phelan	+1.7
21	10-11	ILL	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman		+2.4
22	11-11	ILL	CINCY	Serve err	ILL server		+1.7
23	11-12	CINCY	ILL	Serve err	CINCY server		+1.7
24	12-12	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Kate Lijic	+1.8
25	12-13	CINCY	ILL	Kill	Lindsay Oldendorf	set Kenna Phelan	+1.8
26	13-13	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Kate Lijic	+1.9
27	13-14	CINCY	ILL	Serve err	CINCY server		+1.9
28	14-14	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Kate Lijic	+1.9
29	15-14	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+3.0
30	15-15	CINCY	ILL	Kill	Taylor de Boer	set Kenna Phelan	+2.0
31	16-15	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Kate Lijic	+2.3
32	16-16	CINCY	ILL×3	Serve err	CINCY server		+2.2
33	16-17	ILL	ILL×3	Ace	ILL server	aced Team	+3.1
34	16-18	ILL	ILL×3	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Kenna Phelan	+2.9
35	17-18	ILL	CINCY	Serve err	ILL server		+1.9
36	17-19	CINCY	ILL	Kill	Kristina Starostenko	set Kenna Phelan	+2.2
37	17-20	ILL	ILL	Attack err	Nina Scrucca		+2.6
38	18-20	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Kate Lijic	+1.4
39	19-20	CINCY	CINCY	Ace	CINCY server	aced Team	+2.9
40	19-21	CINCY	ILL	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Kenna Phelan	+2.6
41	20-21	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+2.2
42	21-21	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Kate Lijic	+4.3
43	21-22	CINCY	ILL×3	Serve err	CINCY server		+3.5
44	21-23	ILL	ILL×3	Attack err	Andrea Simovski		+4.5
45	21-24	ILL	ILL×3	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Kenna Phelan	+3.0
46	22-24	ILL	CINCY	Serve err	ILL server		+0.8
47	22-25	CINCY	ILL	Serve err	CINCY server		+1.9
Set 3
1	1-0	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+0.8
2	2-0	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+1.1
3	2-1	CINCY	ILL	Kill	Kristina Starostenko	set Kenna Phelan	+0.7
4	3-1	ILL	CINCY×3	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Kenna Phelan	+0.8
5	4-1	CINCY	CINCY×3	Attack err	Paityn Chapman		+1.1
6	5-1	CINCY	CINCY×3	Kill	Ligia Williams		+1.1
7	5-2	CINCY	ILL	Serve err	CINCY server		+0.7
8	6-2	ILL	CINCY	Attack err	Maya Harris		+0.8
9	6-3	CINCY	ILL	Attack err	Sydney Nolan		+0.7
10	6-4	ILL	ILL	Ace	ILL server	aced Andrea Simovski	+1.1
11	7-4	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Kate Lijic	+0.9
12	7-5	CINCY	ILL	Serve err	CINCY server		+0.8
13	7-6	ILL	ILL	Kill	Taylor de Boer	set Kenna Phelan	+1.2
14	8-6	ILL	CINCY×6	Serve err	ILL server		+0.9
15	9-6	CINCY	CINCY×6	Serve err	CINCY server		+1.3
16	10-6	CINCY	CINCY×6	Ace	CINCY server	aced Taylor de Boer	+1.2
17	11-6	CINCY	CINCY×6	Attack err	Taylor de Boer		+1.1
18	12-6	CINCY	CINCY×6	Attack err	Taylor de Boer		+1.0
19	13-6	CINCY	CINCY×6	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+0.8
20	13-7	CINCY	ILL	Serve err	CINCY server		+0.4
21	13-8	ILL	ILL	Kill	Kristina Starostenko		+0.7
22	14-8	ILL	CINCY×3	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+0.7
23	15-8	CINCY	CINCY×3	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+0.8
24	16-8	CINCY	CINCY×3	Attack err	Kristina Starostenko	blk Lilian Entenmann	+0.5
25	16-9	CINCY	ILL	Kill	Kristina Starostenko	set Kenna Phelan	+0.2
26	16-10	ILL	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Talita Goncalves	+0.5
27	17-10	ILL	CINCY×3	Attack err	Maya Harris		+0.5
28	18-10	CINCY	CINCY×3	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+0.5
29	19-10	CINCY	CINCY×3	Kill	Sydney Nolan		+0.3
30	19-11	CINCY	ILL	Serve err	CINCY server		+0.1
31	19-12	ILL	ILL	Kill	Kristina Starostenko		+0.2
32	20-12	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+0.3
33	21-12	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+0.2
34	21-13	CINCY	ILL	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Sophi Randall	+0.0
35	21-14	ILL	ILL	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Sophi Randall	+0.1
36	22-14	ILL	CINCY×3	Serve err	ILL server		+0.2
37	23-14	CINCY	CINCY×3	Ace	CINCY server	aced Taryn Kirsch	+0.1
38	24-14	CINCY	CINCY×3	Attack err	Paityn Chapman		+0.0
39	24-15	CINCY	ILL	Serve err	CINCY server		+0.0
40	24-16	ILL	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Sophi Randall	+0.0
41	25-16	ILL	CINCY	Serve err	ILL server		+0.0
Set 4
1	0-1	CINCY	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kristina Starostenko	+1.8
2	1-1	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+1.9
3	1-2	CINCY	ILL	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Kenna Phelan	+1.9
4	2-2	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+1.9
5	3-2	CINCY	CINCY	Ace	CINCY server	aced Taryn Kirsch	+2.9
6	3-3	CINCY	ILL×3	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Kenna Phelan	+2.0
7	3-4	ILL	ILL×3	Ace	ILL server	aced Andrea Simovski	+2.8
8	3-5	ILL	ILL×3	Ace	ILL server	aced Andrea Simovski	+2.6
9	4-5	ILL	CINCY	Attack err	Alyssa Aguayo	blk Ligia Williams, Kate Lijic	+1.9
10	5-5	CINCY	CINCY	Attack err	Kenna Phelan	blk Ligia Williams	+2.9
11	5-6	CINCY	ILL	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Kenna Phelan	+2.1
12	5-7	ILL	ILL	Attack err	Kate Lijic		+2.8
13	6-7	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Kate Lijic	set Kate Lijic	+2.0
14	6-8	CINCY	ILL	Kill	Taylor de Boer	set Kenna Phelan	+2.0
15	7-8	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Viktoria Ninova	+2.0
16	7-9	CINCY	ILL	Kill	Taylor de Boer	set Kenna Phelan	+2.1
17	8-9	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+2.1
18	9-9	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+3.2
19	9-10	CINCY	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kenna Phelan	+2.3
20	10-10	ILL	CINCY	Serve err	ILL server		+2.4
21	11-10	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+3.7
22	11-11	CINCY	ILL	Serve err	CINCY server		+2.5
23	11-12	ILL	ILL	Attack err	Nina Scrucca	blk Lindsay Oldendorf, Alyssa Aguayo	+3.6
24	12-12	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+2.6
25	12-13	CINCY	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Alyssa Aguayo	+2.6
26	13-13	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+2.7
27	14-13	CINCY	CINCY	Attack err	Paityn Chapman	blk Andrea Simovski, Ligia Williams	+4.1
28	14-14	CINCY	ILL	Serve err	CINCY server		+2.8
29	15-14	ILL	CINCY×5	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Kate Lijic	+3.1
30	16-14	CINCY	CINCY×5	Ace	CINCY server	aced Team	+4.5
31	17-14	CINCY	CINCY×5	Ace	CINCY server	aced Taryn Kirsch	+4.4
32	18-14	CINCY	CINCY×5	Kill	Lilian Entenmann	set Kate Lijic	+3.8
33	19-14	CINCY	CINCY×5	Attack err	Lindsay Oldendorf		+3.0
34	19-15	CINCY	ILL	Serve err	CINCY server		+1.4
35	20-15	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Kate Lijic	+2.1
36	20-16	CINCY	ILL	Kill	Taylor de Boer	set Kenna Phelan	+1.3
37	20-17	ILL	ILL	Attack err	Lilian Entenmann	blk Paityn Chapman, Kristina Starostenko	+2.7
38	21-17	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+2.9
39	21-18	CINCY	ILL	Serve err	CINCY server		+1.7
40	21-19	ILL	ILL	Kill	Kristina Starostenko	set Kenna Phelan	+3.7
41	22-19	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+4.0
42	22-20	CINCY	ILL×3	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Kenna Phelan	+2.5
43	22-21	ILL	ILL×3	Attack err	Sydney Nolan		+5.4
44	22-22	ILL	ILL×3	Attack err	Sydney Nolan	blk Paityn Chapman, Lindsay Oldendorf	+7.3
45	23-22	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+6.6
46	23-23	CINCY	ILL	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Kenna Phelan	+6.1
47	24-23	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+8.2
48	25-23	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Kate Lijic	+13.8
Set 5
1	0-1	ILL	ILL	Attack err	Lilian Entenmann		+8.3
2	0-2	ILL	ILL	Ace	ILL server	aced Sydney Nolan	+7.9
3	1-2	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+5.4
4	2-2	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+8.7
5	2-3	CINCY	ILL	Kill	Kristina Starostenko	set Kenna Phelan	+6.3
6	3-3	ILL	CINCY	Attack err	Alyssa Aguayo		+6.6
7	4-3	CINCY	CINCY	Ace	CINCY server	aced Maya Harris	+10.1
8	4-4	CINCY	ILL	Serve err	CINCY server		+6.9
9	5-4	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+7.6
10	5-5	CINCY	ILL	Attack err	Andrea Simovski	blk Lindsay Oldendorf	+7.2
11	6-5	ILL	CINCY	Serve err	ILL server		+8.0
12	6-6	CINCY	ILL	Serve err	CINCY server		+7.6
13	7-6	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Kate Lijic	+8.5
14	8-6	CINCY	CINCY	Attack err	Taylor de Boer	blk Lilian Entenmann, Nina Scrucca	+12.2
15	8-7	CINCY	ILL	Serve err	CINCY server		+7.6
16	9-7	ILL	CINCY	Serve err	ILL server		+9.4
17	10-7	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Lilian Entenmann	+12.1
18	10-8	CINCY	ILL	Kill	Taylor de Boer	set Kenna Phelan	+6.4
19	11-8	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+9.1
20	11-9	CINCY	ILL	Serve err	CINCY server		+6.3
21	11-10	ILL	ILL	Attack err	Sydney Nolan	blk Paityn Chapman, Kristina Starostenko	+12.5
22	12-10	ILL	CINCY	Attack err	Paityn Chapman		+12.1
23	12-11	CINCY	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kenna Phelan	+9.2
24	13-11	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+13.7
25	14-11	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Kate Lijic	+14.3
26	14-12	CINCY	ILL	Kill	Lindsay Oldendorf	set Kenna Phelan	+3.8
27	15-12	ILL	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Kate Lijic	+9.5

Score shown after each rally, Cincinnati first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.