Final · 5 setsFri, Aug 28, 2026

Michigan St. def. Miami (FL) 3–2

Michigan St. beat visiting Miami (FL) 3-2 (25-19, 24-26, 23-25, 25-19, 15-6) on Fri, Aug 28, 2026. Michigan St.'s Karolina Staniszewska led with 23 kills.

Data through · final Aug 28

Set12345Sets
MIAMI1926251962
MICHST25242325153

Win probability

Michigan St. above 50 · Miami (FL) below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+14.4% MIAMIrally 207 · set 5

Biggest swing: 14.4% to Miami (FL) — set 3, MIAMI 25-23 MICHST. Attack error by Alanna Bankston. MICHST win probability 62% → 48%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MIAMI 16.5%83.5% MICHST

Miami (FL) wins

3-0
2.5%
3-1
5.3%
3-2
8.6%

Michigan St. wins

3-0
35.3%
3-1
31.1%
3-2
17.1%
MIAMI break %
38.7% vs this opp
MICHST break %
46.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Alanna BankstonAttack error+14.4%

    Attack error by Alanna Bankston

    Set 3 · MIAMI 25-23 MICHST · MIAMI 38% → 52%

  2. 02
    Ruth MartinezKill+12.1%

    Kill by Ruth Martinez (set by Billie Reiter)

    Set 3 · MIAMI 24-23 MICHST · MIAMI 26% → 38%

  3. 03
    Asia HarveyKill+8.0%

    Kill by Asia Harvey

    Set 3 · MIAMI 23-23 MICHST · MIAMI 18% → 26%

  4. 04
    Zora HardisonKill+7.4%

    Kill by Zora Hardison (set by Ky Clayton)

    Set 5 · MIAMI 0-1 MICHST · MICHST 66% → 73%

  5. 05

    Kill by Karolina Staniszewska (set by Malayah Long)

    Set 5 · MIAMI 0-2 MICHST · MICHST 73% → 80%

  6. 06
    Asia HarveyKill+6.6%

    Kill by Asia Harvey (set by Billie Reiter)

    Set 2 · MIAMI 26-24 MICHST · MIAMI 16% → 22%

  7. 07
    Michigan St.Ace+5.8%

    Michigan St. ace on Sonja Danilovic

    Set 5 · MIAMI 0-3 MICHST · MICHST 80% → 86%

  8. 08
    Miami (FL)Ace+5.5%

    Miami (FL) ace on Sarah Vellucci

    Set 2 · MIAMI 25-24 MICHST · MIAMI 10% → 16%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
517738.26300667010.517.5
511840.0750128122315
511320.40002192010.513.5
59213.53810020010.59.5
5107.143001001434
5001.0003811110010.51.5
5000–601800000
4000–000200000
3000–000000000
1011-1.000000000000
Team totals4921120.233454124610310895
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
523750.3203149002125
514122.59101320010.515.5
59118.44400021334.513.5
512935.086103101010.512.5
58013.61512410031.511.5
5314.5005235500217
5000–6121010001
5000–010410001
3000–111100001
1000–000000000
Team totals6919142.3526410224443129112

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 MIAMI · MICHST 9

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 3 MIAMIMICHST 5

Set 2

26-24

Longest run 5 MIAMIMICHST 3

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 4 MIAMIMICHST 3

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 3 MIAMIMICHST 4

Set 5

6-15

Longest run 2 MIAMIMICHST 9

Bars above the line = Michigan St. leads, below = Miami (FL) leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Miami (FL)

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%13/26
41%7/17
2
46%11/24
38%8/21
3
58%11/19
21%3/14
4
61%11/18
21%3/14
5
82%9/11
41%7/17
6
64%9/14
25%3/12
All
57%64/112
33%31/95

Michigan St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
81%13/16
31%5/16
2
63%12/19
59%17/29
3
73%11/15
48%10/21
4
73%11/15
31%5/16
5
64%9/14
33%5/15
6
50%8/16
40%6/15
All
67%64/95
43%48/112

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

207 rallies

#MIAMI-MICHSTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MICHSTMICHSTAceMichigan St.aced Asia Harvey+1.4
21-1MICHSTMIAMIKillLogan Wileyset Billie Reiter+1.1
31-2MIAMIMICHSTServe errMiami (FL)+1.1
42-2MICHSTMIAMIServe errMichigan St.+1.2
52-3MIAMIMICHST×4Serve errMiami (FL)+1.1
62-4MICHSTMICHST×4KillKarolina Staniszewskaset Alanna Bankston+1.4
72-5MICHSTMICHST×4AceMichigan St.aced Asia Harvey+1.2
82-6MICHSTMICHST×4KillKarolina Staniszewskaset Malayah Long+1.0
93-6MICHSTMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Billie Reiter+0.7
103-7MIAMIMICHSTKillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+0.8
113-8MICHSTMICHSTAttack errRuth Martinez+0.9
124-8MICHSTMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Billie Reiter+0.6
135-8MIAMIMIAMIBlockedZora Hardisonblk Denitsa Angelova+1.0
145-9MIAMIMICHSTKillKarolina Staniszewskaset Olivia Durst+0.8
155-10MICHSTMICHSTAceMichigan St.aced Sonja Danilovic+0.9
166-10MICHSTMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Billie Reiter+0.6
176-11MIAMIMICHST×5KillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+0.7
186-12MICHSTMICHST×5KillKarolina Staniszewskaset Malayah Long+0.7
196-13MICHSTMICHST×5BlockedRuth Martinezblk Carmen Waye, Alanna Bankston+0.5
206-14MICHSTMICHST×5AceMichigan St.aced Asia Harvey+0.3
216-15MICHSTMICHST×5KillMalayah Longset Karolina Staniszewska+0.2
227-15MICHSTMIAMIKillLogan Wileyset Billie Reiter+0.1
238-15MIAMIMIAMIKillLogan Wileyset Billie Reiter+0.2
248-16MIAMIMICHSTServe errMiami (FL)+0.2
258-17MICHSTMICHSTAceMichigan St.aced Asia Harvey+0.2
269-17MICHSTMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Billie Reiter+0.1
279-18MIAMIMICHSTServe errMiami (FL)+0.1
2810-18MICHSTMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Olivia Durst+0.1
2910-19MIAMIMICHSTKillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long+0.1
3011-19MICHSTMIAMI×3Serve errMichigan St.+0.1
3112-19MIAMIMIAMI×3AceMiami (FL)aced Alanna Bankston+0.1
3213-19MIAMIMIAMI×3KillSonja Danilovic+0.2
3313-20MIAMIMICHSTServe errMiami (FL)+0.3
3414-20MICHSTMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Billie Reiter+0.1
3514-21MIAMIMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+0.2
3615-21MICHSTMIAMIBlockedKarolina Staniszewskablk Denitsa Angelova, Asia Harvey+0.1
3716-21MIAMIMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Billie Reiter+0.3
3816-22MIAMIMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+0.3
3916-23MICHSTMICHSTBlockedLogan Wileyblk Carmen Waye, Malayah Long+0.2
4017-23MICHSTMIAMIServe errMichigan St.·
4118-23MIAMIMIAMIAttack errKarolina Staniszewska+0.1
4218-24MIAMIMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+0.2
4319-24MICHSTMIAMIServe errMichigan St.·
4419-25MIAMIMICHSTServe errMiami (FL)+0.1
Set 2
10-1MIAMIMICHST×3KillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+0.8
20-2MICHSTMICHST×3Attack errAsia Harvey+1.0
30-3MICHSTMICHST×3Attack errRuth Martinez+0.9
41-3MICHSTMIAMI×3Serve errMichigan St.+0.6
52-3MIAMIMIAMI×3Attack errHayley Ogden+1.0
63-3MIAMIMIAMI×3KillLogan Wiley+1.2
73-4MIAMIMICHSTBlockedSonja Danilovicblk Hayley Ogden, Carmen Waye+0.8
83-5MICHSTMICHSTBlockedRuth Martinezblk Zora Hardison+1.0
94-5MICHSTMIAMIKillLogan Wileyset Billie Reiter+0.8
104-6MIAMIMICHSTKillKarolina Staniszewskaset Malayah Long+0.8
114-7MICHSTMICHSTKillKarolina Staniszewskaset Malayah Long+0.9
125-7MICHSTMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Billie Reiter+0.7
135-8MIAMIMICHSTServe errMiami (FL)+0.7
146-8MICHSTMIAMIServe errMichigan St.+0.7
156-9MIAMIMICHSTAttack errAsia Harvey+0.7
167-9MICHSTMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Billie Reiter+0.7
177-10MIAMIMICHSTKillMalayah Longset Karolina Staniszewska+0.7
188-10MICHSTMIAMIAttack errAlanna Bankston+0.7
198-11MIAMIMICHSTKillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long+0.8
208-12MICHSTMICHSTKillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+0.9
219-12MICHSTMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Billie Reiter+0.6
2210-12MIAMIMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Olivia Durst+1.0
2310-13MIAMIMICHSTServe errMiami (FL)+0.8
2411-13MICHSTMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Billie Reiter+0.8
2511-14MIAMIMICHSTKillZora Hardisonset Malayah Long+0.8
2612-14MICHSTMIAMIServe errMichigan St.+0.8
2712-15MIAMIMICHSTKillMalayah Longset Lia Schneider+0.9
2812-16MICHSTMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+1.0
2913-16MICHSTMIAMIServe errMichigan St.+0.6
3013-17MIAMIMICHSTKillZora Hardisonset Malayah Long+0.7
3114-17MICHSTMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Billie Reiter+0.6
3214-18MIAMIMICHSTServe errMiami (FL)+0.7
3315-18MICHSTMIAMIServe errMichigan St.+0.6
3416-18MIAMIMIAMIAttack errAlanna Bankston+1.2
3516-19MIAMIMICHSTKillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long+1.0
3616-20MICHSTMICHSTAttack errRuth Martinez+1.1
3717-20MICHSTMIAMIKillLogan Wileyset Billie Reiter+0.6
3817-21MIAMIMICHSTServe errMiami (FL)+0.8
3918-21MICHSTMIAMI×3KillSonja Danilovicset Billie Reiter+0.5
4019-21MIAMIMIAMI×3BlockedKarolina Staniszewskablk Ruth Martinez, Denitsa Angelova+1.2
4120-21MIAMIMIAMI×3KillSonja Danilovicset Olivia Durst+1.9
4220-22MIAMIMICHSTKillZora Hardisonset Malayah Long+1.8
4320-23MICHSTMICHSTAceMichigan St.aced Ruth Martinez+1.7
4421-23MICHSTMIAMIServe errMichigan St.+0.8
4521-24MIAMIMICHSTKillKarolina Staniszewskaset Malayah Long+1.3
4622-24MICHSTMIAMI×5BlockedAlanna Bankstonblk Billie Reiter, Denitsa Angelova+0.5
4723-24MIAMIMIAMI×5AceMiami (FL)aced Zora Hardison+1.8
4824-24MIAMIMIAMI×5KillAsia Harveyset Billie Reiter+4.6
4925-24MIAMIMIAMI×5AceMiami (FL)aced Sarah Vellucci+5.5
5026-24MIAMIMIAMI×5KillAsia Harveyset Billie Reiter+6.6
Set 3
11-0MICHSTMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Olivia Durst+2.0
22-0MIAMIMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Logan Wiley+2.9
32-1MIAMIMICHSTServe errMiami (FL)+1.9
42-2MICHSTMICHSTAceMichigan St.aced Asia Harvey+2.6
53-2MICHSTMIAMIServe errMichigan St.+2.1
63-3MIAMIMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Lia Schneider+1.9
73-4MICHSTMICHSTKillHayley Ogdenset Karolina Staniszewska+2.5
84-4MICHSTMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Billie Reiter+2.0
94-5MIAMIMICHSTKillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long+1.9
104-6MICHSTMICHSTAttack errSonja Danilovic+2.4
115-6MICHSTMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Billie Reiter+1.8
125-7MIAMIMICHSTKillZora Hardisonset Malayah Long+1.7
136-7MICHSTMIAMIAttack errMalayah Long+1.8
146-8MIAMIMICHSTKillKarolina Staniszewskaset Malayah Long+1.8
157-8MICHSTMIAMIServe errMichigan St.+1.9
168-8MIAMIMIAMIAttack errAlanna Bankston+3.0
178-9MIAMIMICHSTKillZora Hardisonset Malayah Long+2.1
189-9MICHSTMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Olivia Durst+2.3
1910-9MIAMIMIAMIAttack errAlanna Bankston+3.5
2010-10MIAMIMICHSTAttack errAsia Harvey+2.4
2111-10MICHSTMIAMIKillLogan Wileyset Billie Reiter+2.7
2211-11MIAMIMICHST×3KillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+2.5
2311-12MICHSTMICHST×3KillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+3.3
2411-13MICHSTMICHST×3KillKarolina Staniszewskaset Lia Schneider+3.0
2512-13MICHSTMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Billie Reiter+2.2
2612-14MIAMIMICHSTKillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long+2.3
2713-14MICHSTMIAMIServe errMichigan St.+2.3
2814-14MIAMIMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Billie Reiter+3.8
2914-15MIAMIMICHSTKillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+2.8
3015-15MICHSTMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Billie Reiter+3.0
3115-16MIAMIMICHSTKillKarolina Staniszewskaset Malayah Long+2.9
3216-16MICHSTMIAMIKillLogan Wileyset Billie Reiter+3.1
3316-17MIAMIMICHSTKillZora Hardisonset Malayah Long+3.1
3417-17MICHSTMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Billie Reiter+3.3
3517-18MIAMIMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+3.3
3618-18MICHSTMIAMIServe errMichigan St.+3.6
3718-19MIAMIMICHSTKillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+3.6
3819-19MICHSTMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Billie Reiter+3.8
3919-20MIAMIMICHSTKillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+3.9
4019-21MICHSTMICHSTKillKarolina Staniszewskaset Ky Clayton+4.9
4120-21MICHSTMIAMIServe errMichigan St.+3.1
4220-22MIAMIMICHSTKillZora Hardisonset Malayah Long+3.9
4321-22MICHSTMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Billie Reiter+3.3
4421-23MIAMIMICHSTKillKarolina Staniszewskaset Malayah Long+4.4
4522-23MICHSTMIAMI×4KillRuth Martinezset Billie Reiter+3.3
4623-23MIAMIMIAMI×4KillAsia Harvey+8.0
4724-23MIAMIMIAMI×4KillRuth Martinezset Billie Reiter+12.1
4825-23MIAMIMIAMI×4Attack errAlanna Bankston+14.4
Set 4
10-1MIAMIMICHSTKillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+2.6
20-2MICHSTMICHSTKillKarolina Staniszewskaset Malayah Long+3.3
31-2MICHSTMIAMI×3KillLogan Wileyset Billie Reiter+2.5
42-2MIAMIMIAMI×3BlockedKarolina Staniszewskablk Ruth Martinez+3.8
53-2MIAMIMIAMI×3Attack errKarolina Staniszewska+4.3
63-3MIAMIMICHSTKillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+3.0
74-3MICHSTMIAMIServe errMichigan St.+3.3
84-4MIAMIMICHSTKillKarolina Staniszewskaset Malayah Long+3.1
95-4MICHSTMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Billie Reiter+3.4
106-4MIAMIMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Billie Reiter+5.0
116-5MIAMIMICHST×4KillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+3.3
126-6MICHSTMICHST×4KillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long+4.5
136-7MICHSTMICHST×4KillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long+4.3
146-8MICHSTMICHST×4KillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+3.9
157-8MICHSTMIAMIKillDenitsa Angelovaset Billie Reiter+2.9
167-9MIAMIMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+2.9
178-9MICHSTMIAMIAttack errAlanna Bankston+3.0
188-10MIAMIMICHSTKillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+3.0
199-10MICHSTMIAMIServe errMichigan St.+3.1
209-11MIAMIMICHST×4KillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+3.1
219-12MICHSTMICHST×4KillKarolina Staniszewskaset Carmen Waye+3.8
229-13MICHSTMICHST×4BlockedAsia Harveyblk Karolina Staniszewska, Zora Hardison+3.1
239-14MICHSTMICHST×4AceMichigan St.aced Asia Harvey+2.4
2410-14MICHSTMIAMIServe errMichigan St.+1.5
2510-15MIAMIMICHSTKillKarolina Staniszewskaset Malayah Long+1.7
2611-15MICHSTMIAMIBlockedKarolina Staniszewskablk Logan Wiley, Ruth Martinez+1.5
2711-16MIAMIMICHSTKillKarolina Staniszewskaset Lia Schneider+1.7
2812-16MICHSTMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Billie Reiter+1.4
2912-17MIAMIMICHSTBlockedSonja Danilovicblk Zora Hardison, Malayah Long+1.7
3013-17MICHSTMIAMIBlockedKarolina Staniszewskablk Sonja Danilovic, Denitsa Angelova+1.4
3113-18MIAMIMICHSTServe errMiami (FL)+1.7
3213-19MICHSTMICHSTAttack errAsia Harvey+1.6
3314-19MICHSTMIAMI×3Serve errMichigan St.+0.8
3415-19MIAMIMIAMI×3Bad setMalayah Long+1.7
3516-19MIAMIMIAMI×3Attack errAlanna Bankston+2.7
3616-20MIAMIMICHSTKillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+2.6
3717-20MICHSTMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Billie Reiter+1.9
3817-21MIAMIMICHSTKillKarolina Staniszewskaset Lia Schneider+2.6
3918-21MICHSTMIAMIServe errMichigan St.+1.8
4019-21MIAMIMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Olivia Durst+4.1
4119-22MIAMIMICHST×4KillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+4.1
4219-23MICHSTMICHST×4KillKarolina Staniszewskaset Malayah Long+3.4
4319-24MICHSTMICHST×4AceMichigan St.aced Asia Harvey+1.4
4419-25MICHSTMICHST×4KillKarolina Staniszewskaset Malayah Long+0.7
Set 5
10-1MICHSTMICHST×3KillZora Hardisonset Ky Clayton+7.4
20-2MICHSTMICHST×3KillKarolina Staniszewskaset Malayah Long+6.8
30-3MICHSTMICHST×3AceMichigan St.aced Sonja Danilovic+5.8
41-3MICHSTMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Billie Reiter+4.1
51-4MIAMIMICHST×9KillZora Hardisonset Malayah Long+4.3
61-5MICHSTMICHST×9KillKarolina Staniszewskaset Malayah Long+4.9
71-6MICHSTMICHST×9Attack errAsia Harvey+3.6
81-7MICHSTMICHST×9BlockedLogan Wileyblk Zora Hardison+2.5
91-8MICHSTMICHST×9KillKarolina Staniszewska+1.6
101-9MICHSTMICHST×9Attack errRuth Martinez+0.9
111-10MICHSTMICHST×9Attack errRuth Martinez+0.4
121-11MICHSTMICHST×9BlockedLal Akinblk Zora Hardison+0.2
131-12MICHSTMICHST×9Attack errAsia Harvey+0.1
142-12MICHSTMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Billie Reiter·
153-12MIAMIMIAMIAceMiami (FL)aced Lia Schneider·
163-13MIAMIMICHSTBlockedRuth Martinezblk Karolina Staniszewska, Zora Hardison+0.1
174-13MICHSTMIAMIServe errMichigan St.·
184-14MIAMIMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Lia Schneider·
195-14MICHSTMIAMIServe errMichigan St.·
206-14MIAMIMIAMIBlockedAlanna Bankstonblk Ruth Martinez·
216-15MIAMIMICHSTKillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long·

Score shown after each rally, Miami (FL) first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).