FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

AwayNEC

0:3

HomeBIG-TEN

Michigan St. def. LIU 3–0

(25-13, 25-14, 25-12)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
LIU	13	14	12	0
MICHST	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

MICHST above 50 · LIU below

Biggest swing: 0.0% to LIU — set 1, LIU 3-2 MICHST. Kill by Mia Rojas-Avila (set by Dilara Elmacioglu). MICHST win probability 100% → 100%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

LIU 0.1%99.9% MICHST

LIU wins

3-0

0.0%

3-1

0.0%

3-2

0.1%

Michigan St. wins

3-0

88.1%

3-1

11.0%

3-2

0.9%

LIU break %: 29.9% vs this opp
MICHST break %: 53.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Mia Rojas-AvilaKill+0.0%
Kill by Mia Rojas-Avila (set by Dilara Elmacioglu)
Set 1 · LIU 3-2 MICHST · LIU 0% → 0%
02
MICHST serverAce+0.0%
Michigan St. ace on Miabella Musignac
Set 1 · LIU 3-4 MICHST · MICHST 100% → 100%
03
Mia Rojas-AvilaKill+0.0%
Kill by Mia Rojas-Avila (set by Dilara Elmacioglu)
Set 1 · LIU 2-1 MICHST · LIU 0% → 0%
04
Daniela De Los Santos CastilloKill+0.0%
Kill by Daniela De Los Santos Castillo (set by Dilara Elmacioglu)
Set 1 · LIU 1-0 MICHST · LIU 0% → 0%
05
Zora HardisonKill+0.0%
Kill by Zora Hardison (set by Malayah Long)
Set 1 · LIU 3-3 MICHST · MICHST 100% → 100%
06
MICHST serverAce+0.0%
Michigan St. ace on Miabella Musignac
Set 1 · LIU 3-5 MICHST · MICHST 100% → 100%
07
LIU serverService error+0.0%
LIU service error
Set 1 · LIU 2-2 MICHST · MICHST 100% → 100%
08
Hayley OgdenKill+0.0%
Kill by Hayley Ogden (set by Malayah Long)
Set 1 · LIU 1-1 MICHST · MICHST 100% → 100%

Official NCAA box

Box score

LIUaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
23Sara van GisterenOH	3	8	8	23	.000	0	0	1	3	0	1	0.5	8.5
13Bella CorreiaOH	3	5	5	17	.000	1	0	1	3	2	0	0	5
3Mia Rojas-AvilaOH	3	5	4	16	.063	0	0	1	2	6	0	0	5
7Dilara ElmaciogluS	3	1	2	4	-.250	16	1	1	6	0	1	0.5	2.5
15Yasmeen MuhammadMB	3	1	2	6	-.167	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.5	1.5
26Daniela De Los Santos CastilloMB	3	1	0	2	.500	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.5	1.5
5Miabella MusignacL/DS	3	0	1	2	-.500	2	1	1	3	3	0	0	1
9Reese TevesL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1
2Neela FelibertyL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27Rodaina MohamedS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		21	22	70	-.014	21	3	7	19	13	4	2	39

Michigan St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
19Hayley OgdenOPP	3	8	0	11	.727	0	2	2	1	0	0	6	3	13
3Bianca MumcularOH	3	4	2	13	.154	0	2	2	2	0	1	2	2	8
15Zora HardisonMB	3	3	0	7	.429	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
2Karolina StaniszewskaOH	2	6	0	7	.857	1	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	7
7Malayah LongS	2	1	0	1	1.000	16	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	2
22Carmen WayeMB	1	1	2	3	-.333	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	3
4Madi AndrewsOH	3	5	1	11	.364	1	0	0	3	1	0	1	0.5	5.5
1Lia SchneiderL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	2	0	5	0	0	0	0	2
18Breccan ScheckMB	2	3	2	6	.167	1	1	1	0	0	0	5	2.5	6.5
16Kalea NortonS	2	0	0	1	.000	10	3	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
13Sarah VellucciL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0
23Cam BergerS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
5Ky ClaytonL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		31	7	60	.400	31	13	7	20	3	1	20	11	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 LIU · MICHST 8

Set 1

13-25

Longest run 2 LIUMICHST 5

Set 2

14-25

Longest run 3 LIUMICHST 4

Set 3

12-25

Longest run 4 LIUMICHST 8

Bars above the line = Michigan St. leads, below = LIU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

LIU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	38%6/16	50%4/8
2	30%6/20	0%0/6
3	50%5/10	14%1/7
4	45%5/11	17%1/6
5	50%4/8	17%1/6
6	33%3/9	43%3/7
All	39%29/74	25%10/40

Michigan St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	100%6/6	71%12/17
2	86%6/7	57%8/14
3	100%5/5	67%10/15
4	71%5/7	50%5/10
5	80%4/5	50%4/8
6	40%4/10	60%6/10
All	75%30/40	61%45/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

114 rallies

Rally log

#	LIU-MICHST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	MICHST	LIU	Kill	Daniela De Los Santos Castillo	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
2	1-1	LIU	MICHST	Kill	Hayley Ogden	set Malayah Long	+0.0
3	2-1	MICHST	LIU	Kill	Mia Rojas-Avila	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
4	2-2	LIU	MICHST	Serve err	LIU server		+0.0
5	3-2	MICHST	LIU	Kill	Mia Rojas-Avila	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
6	3-3	LIU	MICHST×5	Kill	Zora Hardison	set Malayah Long	+0.0
7	3-4	MICHST	MICHST×5	Ace	MICHST server	aced Miabella Musignac	+0.0
8	3-5	MICHST	MICHST×5	Ace	MICHST server	aced Miabella Musignac	+0.0
9	3-6	MICHST	MICHST×5	Kill	Zora Hardison	set Malayah Long	+0.0
10	3-7	MICHST	MICHST×5	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Malayah Long	+0.0
11	4-7	MICHST	LIU	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Miabella Musignac	+0.0
12	4-8	LIU	MICHST	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Malayah Long	+0.0
13	5-8	MICHST	LIU	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
14	5-9	LIU	MICHST×5	Serve err	LIU server		+0.0
15	5-10	MICHST	MICHST×5	Attack err	Dilara Elmacioglu		+0.0
16	5-11	MICHST	MICHST×5	Attack err	Sara van Gisteren		+0.0
17	5-12	MICHST	MICHST×5	Ace	MICHST server	aced Mia Rojas-Avila	+0.0
18	5-13	MICHST	MICHST×5	Ace	MICHST server	aced Mia Rojas-Avila	+0.0
19	6-13	MICHST	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
20	7-13	LIU	LIU	Attack err	Carmen Waye		+0.0
21	7-14	LIU	MICHST×3	Attack err	Bella Correia		+0.0
22	7-15	MICHST	MICHST×3	Attack err	Sara van Gisteren	blk Carmen Waye, Hayley Ogden	+0.0
23	7-16	MICHST	MICHST×3	Attack err	Sara van Gisteren	blk Carmen Waye, Hayley Ogden	+0.0
24	8-16	MICHST	LIU	Serve err	MICHST server		+0.0
25	8-17	LIU	MICHST	Kill	Hayley Ogden	set Malayah Long	+0.0
26	8-18	MICHST	MICHST	Ace	MICHST server	aced Miabella Musignac	+0.0
27	9-18	MICHST	LIU	Serve err	MICHST server		+0.0
28	10-18	LIU	LIU	Attack err	Carmen Waye	blk Yasmeen Muhammad, Sara van Gisteren	+0.0
29	10-19	LIU	MICHST×4	Kill	Carmen Waye	set Malayah Long	+0.0
30	10-20	MICHST	MICHST×4	Ace	MICHST server	aced Mia Rojas-Avila	+0.0
31	10-21	MICHST	MICHST×4	Attack err	Mia Rojas-Avila		+0.0
32	10-22	MICHST	MICHST×4	Attack err	Yasmeen Muhammad		+0.0
33	11-22	MICHST	LIU	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
34	11-23	LIU	MICHST	Kill	Madi Andrews	set Malayah Long	+0.0
35	12-23	MICHST	LIU	Serve err	MICHST server		+0.0
36	13-23	LIU	LIU	Attack err	Madi Andrews		+0.0
37	13-24	LIU	MICHST	Serve err	LIU server		+0.0
38	13-25	MICHST	MICHST	Kill	Bianca Mumcular	set Malayah Long	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	LIU	MICHST	Kill	Hayley Ogden	set Malayah Long	+0.0
2	1-1	MICHST	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
3	1-2	LIU	MICHST×4	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Malayah Long	+0.0
4	1-3	MICHST	MICHST×4	Attack err	Sara van Gisteren		+0.0
5	1-4	MICHST	MICHST×4	Ace	MICHST server	aced Bella Correia	+0.0
6	1-5	MICHST	MICHST×4	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Breccan Scheck	+0.0
7	2-5	MICHST	LIU	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
8	2-6	LIU	MICHST	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Malayah Long	+0.0
9	3-6	MICHST	LIU	Serve err	MICHST server		+0.0
10	3-7	LIU	MICHST×3	Kill	Malayah Long	set Lia Schneider	+0.0
11	3-8	MICHST	MICHST×3	Attack err	Sara van Gisteren	blk Bianca Mumcular, Zora Hardison	+0.0
12	3-9	MICHST	MICHST×3	Ace	MICHST server	aced Mia Rojas-Avila	+0.0
13	4-9	MICHST	LIU	Kill	Yasmeen Muhammad	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
14	4-10	LIU	MICHST	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Malayah Long	+0.0
15	4-11	MICHST	MICHST	Kill	Bianca Mumcular	set Karolina Staniszewska	+0.0
16	5-11	MICHST	LIU	Kill	Mia Rojas-Avila	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
17	5-12	LIU	MICHST	Bad set	Dilara Elmacioglu		+0.0
18	5-13	MICHST	MICHST	Ace	MICHST server	aced Bella Correia	+0.0
19	6-13	MICHST	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
20	6-14	LIU	MICHST	Kill	Breccan Scheck	set Malayah Long	+0.0
21	7-14	MICHST	LIU	Serve err	MICHST server		+0.0
22	7-15	LIU	MICHST×4	Serve err	LIU server		+0.0
23	7-16	MICHST	MICHST×4	Attack err	Mia Rojas-Avila	blk Zora Hardison, Hayley Ogden	+0.0
24	7-17	MICHST	MICHST×4	Kill	Hayley Ogden	set Malayah Long	+0.0
25	7-18	MICHST	MICHST×4	Kill	Hayley Ogden	set Malayah Long	+0.0
26	8-18	MICHST	LIU	Serve err	MICHST server		+0.0
27	8-19	LIU	MICHST	Kill	Hayley Ogden	set Kalea Norton	+0.0
28	8-20	MICHST	MICHST	Attack err	Yasmeen Muhammad		+0.0
29	9-20	MICHST	LIU	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
30	10-20	LIU	LIU	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Miabella Musignac	+0.0
31	10-21	LIU	MICHST	Serve err	LIU server		+0.0
32	11-21	MICHST	LIU	Kill	Mia Rojas-Avila	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
33	11-22	LIU	MICHST	Attack err	Bella Correia		+0.0
34	11-23	MICHST	MICHST	Attack err	Dilara Elmacioglu	blk Bianca Mumcular	+0.0
35	12-23	MICHST	LIU×3	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
36	13-23	LIU	LIU×3	Attack err	Bianca Mumcular	blk Dilara Elmacioglu, Daniela De Los Santos Castillo	+0.0
37	14-23	LIU	LIU×3	Ace	LIU server	aced Sarah Vellucci	+0.0
38	14-24	LIU	MICHST	Attack err	Bella Correia		+0.0
39	14-25	MICHST	MICHST	Ace	MICHST server	aced Mia Rojas-Avila	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	MICHST	MICHST×8	Attack err	Miabella Musignac		+0.0
2	0-2	MICHST	MICHST×8	Kill	Breccan Scheck	set Kalea Norton	+0.0
3	0-3	MICHST	MICHST×8	Ace	MICHST server	aced Mia Rojas-Avila	+0.0
4	0-4	MICHST	MICHST×8	Kill	Madi Andrews	set Kalea Norton	+0.0
5	0-5	MICHST	MICHST×8	Ace	MICHST server	aced Team	+0.0
6	0-6	MICHST	MICHST×8	Attack err	Sara van Gisteren	blk Breccan Scheck, Hayley Ogden	+0.0
7	0-7	MICHST	MICHST×8	Attack err	Bella Correia	blk Breccan Scheck, Bianca Mumcular	+0.0
8	0-8	MICHST	MICHST×8	Kill	Bianca Mumcular	set Lia Schneider	+0.0
9	1-8	MICHST	LIU	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
10	1-9	LIU	MICHST×8	Kill	Hayley Ogden	set Kalea Norton	+0.0
11	1-10	MICHST	MICHST×8	Attack err	Mia Rojas-Avila	blk Breccan Scheck, Hayley Ogden	+0.0
12	1-11	MICHST	MICHST×8	Kill	Bianca Mumcular	set Kalea Norton	+0.0
13	1-12	MICHST	MICHST×8	Attack err	Sara van Gisteren	blk Madi Andrews, Breccan Scheck	+0.0
14	1-13	MICHST	MICHST×8	Attack err	Mia Rojas-Avila	blk Breccan Scheck, Hayley Ogden	+0.0
15	1-14	MICHST	MICHST×8	Kill	Hayley Ogden	set Madi Andrews	+0.0
16	1-15	MICHST	MICHST×8	Ace	MICHST server	aced Reese Teves	+0.0
17	1-16	MICHST	MICHST×8	Kill	Madi Andrews	set Kalea Norton	+0.0
18	2-16	MICHST	LIU	Attack err	Breccan Scheck		+0.0
19	2-17	LIU	MICHST	Serve err	LIU server		+0.0
20	2-18	MICHST	MICHST	Bad set	Rodaina Mohamed		+0.0
21	3-18	MICHST	LIU	Serve err	MICHST server		+0.0
22	3-19	LIU	MICHST	Kill	Zora Hardison	set Kalea Norton	+0.0
23	4-19	MICHST	LIU	Kill	Dilara Elmacioglu	set Neela Feliberty	+0.0
24	4-20	LIU	MICHST	Kill	Madi Andrews	set Kalea Norton	+0.0
25	4-21	MICHST	MICHST	Attack err	Bella Correia	blk Zora Hardison, Kalea Norton	+0.0
26	5-21	MICHST	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Reese Teves	+0.0
27	6-21	LIU	LIU	Ace	LIU server	aced Ky Clayton	+0.0
28	6-22	LIU	MICHST	Attack err	Sara van Gisteren		+0.0
29	7-22	MICHST	LIU×4	Attack err	Breccan Scheck		+0.0
30	8-22	LIU	LIU×4	Bad set	Kalea Norton		+0.0
31	9-22	LIU	LIU×4	Ace	LIU server	aced Madi Andrews	+0.0
32	10-22	LIU	LIU×4	Attack err	Bianca Mumcular		+0.0
33	10-23	LIU	MICHST	Serve err	LIU server		+0.0
34	11-23	MICHST	LIU	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Bella Correia	+0.0
35	11-24	LIU	MICHST	Kill	Breccan Scheck	set Kalea Norton	+0.0
36	12-24	MICHST	LIU	Kill	Mia Rojas-Avila	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
37	12-25	LIU	MICHST	Kill	Madi Andrews	set Kalea Norton	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, LIU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.