FinalTue, Sep 1, 2026

AwayBIG-TEN

3:0

HomeSEC

Michigan St. def. LSU 3–0

(25-21, 25-20, 25-19)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
MICHST	25	25	25	3
LSU	21	20	19	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

LSU above 50 · MICHST below

Biggest swing: 2.8% to Michigan St. — set 1, MICHST 15-14 LSU. Attack error by Jessica Jones. LSU win probability 21% → 18%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

MICHST 80.8%19.2% LSU

Michigan St. wins

3-0

32.3%

3-1

30.4%

3-2

18.1%

LSU wins

3-0

3.1%

3-1

6.4%

3-2

9.8%

MICHST break %: 42.5% vs this opp
LSU break %: 36.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Jessica JonesAttack error+2.8%
Attack error by Jessica Jones
Set 1 · MICHST 15-14 LSU · MICHST 79% → 82%
02
LSU serverAce+2.6%
LSU ace on Karolina Staniszewska
Set 1 · MICHST 7-10 LSU · LSU 24% → 27%
03
Jurnee RobinsonKill+2.5%
Kill by Jurnee Robinson (set by Takyla Brown)
Set 1 · MICHST 7-9 LSU · LSU 22% → 24%
04
MICHST serverAce+2.5%
Michigan St. ace on Emilee Prochaska
Set 1 · MICHST 11-11 LSU · MICHST 77% → 79%
05
Takyla BrownAttack error+2.5%
Takyla Brown stuffed by Carmen Waye
Set 1 · MICHST 16-14 LSU · MICHST 82% → 84%
06
Zora HardisonKill+2.5%
Kill by Zora Hardison (set by Malayah Long)
Set 1 · MICHST 10-11 LSU · MICHST 74% → 77%
07
Alanna BankstonAttack error+2.4%
Attack error by Alanna Bankston
Set 1 · MICHST 17-16 LSU · LSU 15% → 17%
08
Samara ColemanKill+2.4%
Kill by Samara Coleman (set by Takyla Brown)
Set 1 · MICHST 5-7 LSU · LSU 21% → 24%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Michigan St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Karolina StaniszewskaOH	3	14	9	38	.132	0	1	1	4	2	0	1	0.5	15.5
22Carmen WayeMB	3	4	1	6	.500	0	3	1	2	0	1	2	2	9
15Zora HardisonMB	3	6	3	15	.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	2.5	8.5
28Alanna BankstonOH	3	7	5	22	.091	0	0	1	4	0	0	2	1	8
19Hayley OgdenMB	3	3	2	8	.125	0	0	3	1	0	0	2	1	4
7Malayah LongS	3	2	1	4	.250	29	0	0	6	0	0	2	1	3
1Lia SchneiderL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	2	9	0	0	0	0	0
13Sarah VellucciL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		36	21	93	.161	32	4	8	29	3	1	14	8	75

LSUhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Jurnee RobinsonOH	3	15	10	40	.125	0	1	1	2	0	1	1	1.5	17.5
7Jessica JonesMB	3	4	1	9	.333	0	0	2	2	0	0	2	1	5
23Sanaa DonaieMB	3	1	3	8	-.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	2.5
2Tireh SmithOH	2	1	3	9	-.222	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	2
25Takyla BrownS	2	0	1	1	-1.000	12	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	1
10Emilee ProchaskaL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	2	2	0	0	0	0
12Samara ColemanOH	3	4	3	10	.100	0	0	3	2	0	1	0	1	5
1Kiley BrooksL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	2	9	1	0	0	0	1
8Ella HemmingsL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	0
9Camryn JefferyOH	2	2	2	8	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3
15Lauren BrookerS	2	0	0	1	.000	14	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	0
3Aly KirkhoffL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
22Katie RaymerL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		27	23	86	.047	27	3	11	29	4	2	10	7	60

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 MICHST · LSU 4

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 4 MICHSTLSU 3

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 3 MICHSTLSU 3

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 5 MICHSTLSU 4

Bars above the line = LSU leads, below = Michigan St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Michigan St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	57%8/14	56%9/16
2	67%8/12	43%6/14
3	54%7/13	50%7/14
4	75%6/8	54%7/13
5	75%6/8	45%5/11
6	83%5/6	17%1/6
All	66%40/61	47%35/74

LSU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%8/16	0%0/6
2	53%8/15	50%8/16
3	46%6/13	38%5/13
4	43%6/14	33%3/9
5	75%6/8	25%2/8
6	63%5/8	33%3/9
All	53%39/74	34%21/61

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

135 rallies

Rally log

#	MICHST-LSU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	MICHST	MICHST	Attack err	Tireh Smith	blk Karolina Staniszewska, Zora Hardison	+1.7
2	1-1	MICHST	LSU×3	Serve err	MICHST server		+1.2
3	1-2	LSU	LSU×3	Ace	LSU server	aced Karolina Staniszewska	+2.0
4	1-3	LSU	LSU×3	Attack err	Karolina Staniszewska		+2.1
5	2-3	LSU	MICHST	Serve err	LSU server		+1.2
6	3-3	MICHST	MICHST	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Malayah Long	+2.0
7	3-4	MICHST	LSU	Serve err	MICHST server		+1.4
8	4-4	LSU	MICHST	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Malayah Long	+1.3
9	4-5	MICHST	LSU	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Takyla Brown	+1.4
10	5-5	LSU	MICHST	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+1.3
11	5-6	MICHST	LSU	Serve err	MICHST server		+1.4
12	5-7	LSU	LSU	Kill	Samara Coleman	set Takyla Brown	+2.4
13	6-7	LSU	MICHST	Serve err	LSU server		+1.4
14	7-7	MICHST	MICHST	Attack err	Sanaa Donaie	blk Carmen Waye, Alanna Bankston	+2.2
15	7-8	MICHST	LSU×3	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Takyla Brown	+1.5
16	7-9	LSU	LSU×3	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Takyla Brown	+2.5
17	7-10	LSU	LSU×3	Ace	LSU server	aced Karolina Staniszewska	+2.6
18	8-10	LSU	MICHST	Kill	Hayley Ogden	set Malayah Long	+1.4
19	8-11	MICHST	LSU	Attack err	Carmen Waye		+1.8
20	9-11	LSU	MICHST×3	Serve err	LSU server		+1.5
21	10-11	MICHST	MICHST×3	Kill	Zora Hardison	set Malayah Long	+2.5
22	11-11	MICHST	MICHST×3	Ace	MICHST server	aced Emilee Prochaska	+2.5
23	11-12	MICHST	LSU	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Takyla Brown	+1.8
24	12-12	LSU	MICHST	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Lia Schneider	+1.6
25	12-13	MICHST	LSU	Serve err	MICHST server		+1.9
26	13-13	LSU	MICHST	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Malayah Long	+1.7
27	13-14	MICHST	LSU	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Takyla Brown	+2.0
28	14-14	LSU	MICHST×4	Kill	Zora Hardison	set Malayah Long	+1.8
29	15-14	MICHST	MICHST×4	Attack err	Jessica Jones		+2.8
30	16-14	MICHST	MICHST×4	Attack err	Takyla Brown	blk Carmen Waye	+2.5
31	17-14	MICHST	MICHST×4	Attack err	Samara Coleman	blk Carmen Waye, Malayah Long	+2.1
32	17-15	MICHST	LSU	Kill	Jessica Jones	set Takyla Brown	+1.2
33	17-16	LSU	LSU	Attack err	Alanna Bankston		+2.4
34	18-16	LSU	MICHST	Serve err	LSU server		+1.8
35	18-17	MICHST	LSU	Attack err	Hayley Ogden	blk Samara Coleman	+1.7
36	19-17	LSU	MICHST	Attack err	Tireh Smith		+1.9
37	20-17	MICHST	MICHST	Attack err	Samara Coleman		+2.4
38	20-18	MICHST	LSU	Kill	Tireh Smith	set Takyla Brown	+1.2
39	21-18	LSU	MICHST×3	Serve err	LSU server		+1.5
40	22-18	MICHST	MICHST×3	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Malayah Long	+1.5
41	23-18	MICHST	MICHST×3	Attack err	Jurnee Robinson		+0.7
42	23-19	MICHST	LSU	Attack err	Karolina Staniszewska	blk Sanaa Donaie, Tireh Smith	+0.2
43	23-20	LSU	LSU	Attack err	Hayley Ogden	blk Jurnee Robinson	+0.6
44	24-20	LSU	MICHST	Kill	Zora Hardison	set Malayah Long	+0.8
45	24-21	MICHST	LSU	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Takyla Brown	+0.2
46	25-21	LSU	MICHST	Kill	Zora Hardison	set Malayah Long	+0.5
Set 2
1	1-0	LSU	MICHST	Serve err	LSU server		+0.8
2	2-0	MICHST	MICHST	Ace	MICHST server	aced Emilee Prochaska	+1.2
3	2-1	MICHST	LSU	Attack err	Karolina Staniszewska		+0.8
4	3-1	LSU	MICHST	Attack err	Jurnee Robinson		+0.8
5	4-1	MICHST	MICHST	Attack err	Tireh Smith		+1.1
6	4-2	MICHST	LSU	Kill	Jessica Jones	set Takyla Brown	+0.7
7	5-2	LSU	MICHST	Serve err	LSU server		+0.7
8	6-2	MICHST	MICHST	Attack err	Jurnee Robinson		+0.9
9	6-3	MICHST	LSU	Attack err	Alanna Bankston		+0.6
10	7-3	LSU	MICHST	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+0.6
11	8-3	MICHST	MICHST	Attack err	Jurnee Robinson		+0.8
12	8-4	MICHST	LSU	Kill	Samara Coleman	set Takyla Brown	+0.4
13	9-4	LSU	MICHST	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+0.5
14	9-5	MICHST	LSU	Kill	Sanaa Donaie	set Takyla Brown	+0.4
15	9-6	LSU	LSU	Attack err	Alanna Bankston		+0.9
16	10-6	LSU	MICHST×3	Kill	Carmen Waye	set Malayah Long	+0.6
17	11-6	MICHST	MICHST×3	Attack err	Sanaa Donaie		+0.8
18	12-6	MICHST	MICHST×3	Attack err	Jurnee Robinson		+0.6
19	12-7	MICHST	LSU	Serve err	MICHST server		+0.3
20	13-7	LSU	MICHST	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Malayah Long	+0.4
21	13-8	MICHST	LSU	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Lauren Brooker	+0.3
22	13-9	LSU	LSU	Attack err	Karolina Staniszewska	blk Jessica Jones, Tireh Smith	+0.6
23	14-9	LSU	MICHST	Serve err	LSU server		+0.5
24	14-10	MICHST	LSU	Serve err	MICHST server		+0.4
25	14-11	LSU	LSU	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Kiley Brooks	+0.9
26	15-11	LSU	MICHST	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Malayah Long	+0.7
27	16-11	MICHST	MICHST	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+0.8
28	16-12	MICHST	LSU	Attack err	Karolina Staniszewska	blk Jurnee Robinson	+0.4
29	17-12	LSU	MICHST×3	Serve err	LSU server		+0.5
30	18-12	MICHST	MICHST×3	Kill	Alanna Bankston		+0.5
31	19-12	MICHST	MICHST×3	Kill	Alanna Bankston		+0.3
32	19-13	MICHST	LSU	Kill	Samara Coleman	set Lauren Brooker	+0.1
33	20-13	LSU	MICHST	Serve err	LSU server		+0.2
34	20-14	MICHST	LSU	Kill	Samara Coleman	set Lauren Brooker	+0.1
35	21-14	LSU	MICHST	Attack err	Camryn Jeffery		+0.1
36	21-15	MICHST	LSU	Attack err	Karolina Staniszewska		+0.1
37	22-15	LSU	MICHST	Kill	Carmen Waye	set Malayah Long	+0.1
38	22-16	MICHST	LSU	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Lauren Brooker	+0.0
39	22-17	LSU	LSU	Attack err	Zora Hardison		+0.1
40	23-17	LSU	MICHST	Attack err	Jurnee Robinson	blk Hayley Ogden, Zora Hardison	+0.2
41	24-17	MICHST	MICHST	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Malayah Long	+0.1
42	24-18	MICHST	LSU×3	Kill	Camryn Jeffery	set Lauren Brooker	+0.0
43	24-19	LSU	LSU×3	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Lauren Brooker	+0.0
44	24-20	LSU	LSU×3	Attack err	Karolina Staniszewska		+0.1
45	25-20	LSU	MICHST	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Malayah Long	+0.1
Set 3
1	0-1	MICHST	LSU	Kill	Jessica Jones	set Lauren Brooker	+0.5
2	0-2	LSU	LSU	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Lauren Brooker	+0.8
3	1-2	LSU	MICHST×5	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Malayah Long	+0.5
4	2-2	MICHST	MICHST×5	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Malayah Long	+0.7
5	3-2	MICHST	MICHST×5	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Lauren Brooker	+0.7
6	4-2	MICHST	MICHST×5	Attack err	Jurnee Robinson	blk Malayah Long, Zora Hardison	+0.6
7	5-2	MICHST	MICHST×5	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Malayah Long	+0.5
8	5-3	MICHST	LSU	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Lauren Brooker	+0.3
9	5-4	LSU	LSU	Attack err	Karolina Staniszewska	blk Sanaa Donaie, Camryn Jeffery	+0.6
10	6-4	LSU	MICHST×5	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Malayah Long	+0.4
11	7-4	MICHST	MICHST×5	Attack err	Camryn Jeffery		+0.6
12	8-4	MICHST	MICHST×5	Kill	Malayah Long		+0.5
13	9-4	MICHST	MICHST×5	Attack err	Jurnee Robinson	blk Alanna Bankston, Zora Hardison	+0.4
14	10-4	MICHST	MICHST×5	Ace	MICHST server	aced Kiley Brooks	+0.3
15	10-5	MICHST	LSU	Serve err	MICHST server		+0.2
16	11-5	LSU	MICHST×3	Attack err	Sanaa Donaie		+0.2
17	12-5	MICHST	MICHST×3	Kill	Carmen Waye	set Malayah Long	+0.2
18	13-5	MICHST	MICHST×3	Attack err	Samara Coleman		+0.1
19	13-6	MICHST	LSU	Serve err	MICHST server		+0.1
20	14-6	LSU	MICHST	Kill	Malayah Long	set Sarah Vellucci	+0.1
21	15-6	MICHST	MICHST	Bad set	Lauren Brooker		+0.1
22	15-7	MICHST	LSU	Kill	Camryn Jeffery	set Lauren Brooker	+0.0
23	16-7	LSU	MICHST	Kill	Hayley Ogden	set Malayah Long	+0.0
24	16-8	MICHST	LSU	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Lauren Brooker	+0.0
25	17-8	LSU	MICHST×3	Serve err	LSU server		+0.0
26	18-8	MICHST	MICHST×3	Ace	MICHST server	aced Aly Kirkhoff	+0.0
27	19-8	MICHST	MICHST×3	Attack err	Jurnee Robinson	blk Hayley Ogden, Zora Hardison	+0.0
28	19-9	MICHST	LSU×3	Attack err	Zora Hardison		+0.0
29	19-10	LSU	LSU×3	Attack err	Zora Hardison		+0.0
30	19-11	LSU	LSU×3	Attack err	Malayah Long		+0.0
31	20-11	LSU	MICHST	Kill	Zora Hardison	set Malayah Long	+0.0
32	20-12	MICHST	LSU	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Lauren Brooker	+0.0
33	20-13	LSU	LSU	Attack err	Karolina Staniszewska		+0.0
34	21-13	LSU	MICHST	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Sarah Vellucci	+0.0
35	22-13	MICHST	MICHST	Kill	Zora Hardison	set Malayah Long	+0.0
36	22-14	MICHST	LSU×4	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Lauren Brooker	+0.0
37	22-15	LSU	LSU×4	Ace	LSU server	aced Sarah Vellucci	+0.0
38	22-16	LSU	LSU×4	Bad set	Malayah Long		+0.0
39	22-17	LSU	LSU×4	Attack err	Alanna Bankston	blk Sanaa Donaie, Camryn Jeffery	+0.1
40	23-17	LSU	MICHST	Attack err	Jurnee Robinson		+0.1
41	23-18	MICHST	LSU	Attack err	Alanna Bankston		+0.0
42	24-18	LSU	MICHST	Kill	Carmen Waye	set Malayah Long	+0.1
43	24-19	MICHST	LSU	Kill	Jessica Jones	set Lauren Brooker	+0.0
44	25-19	LSU	MICHST	Kill	Hayley Ogden	set Malayah Long	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Michigan St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.