FinalWed, Sep 2, 2026

AwayBIG-TEN

3:0

HomeSEC

Michigan St. def. South Carolina 3–0

(25-14, 25-12, 25-13)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
MICHST	25	25	25	3
S CAR	14	12	13	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

S CAR above 50 · MICHST below

Biggest swing: 1.3% to Michigan St. — set 1, MICHST 2-1 S CAR. Kill by Alanna Bankston (set by Malayah Long). S CAR win probability 13% → 11%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

MICHST 87.4%12.6% S CAR

Michigan St. wins

3-0

40.3%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

15.5%

South Carolina wins

3-0

1.8%

3-1

4.0%

3-2

6.9%

MICHST break %: 44.0% vs this opp
S CAR break %: 35.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Alanna BankstonKill+1.3%
Kill by Alanna Bankston (set by Malayah Long)
Set 1 · MICHST 2-1 S CAR · MICHST 87% → 89%
02
Alanna BankstonKill+1.2%
Kill by Alanna Bankston (set by Lia Schneider)
Set 1 · MICHST 3-1 S CAR · MICHST 89% → 90%
03
Olivia BorgmanAttack error+1.0%
Olivia Borgman stuffed by Malayah Long & Carmen Waye
Set 1 · MICHST 4-1 S CAR · MICHST 90% → 91%
04
MICHST serverService error+1.0%
Michigan St. service error
Set 1 · MICHST 0-1 S CAR · S CAR 13% → 14%
05
Alanna BankstonKill+0.9%
Kill by Alanna Bankston (set by Malayah Long)
Set 1 · MICHST 1-1 S CAR · MICHST 86% → 87%
06
Carmen WayeKill+0.8%
Kill by Carmen Waye (set by Malayah Long)
Set 1 · MICHST 5-1 S CAR · MICHST 91% → 92%
07
Alanna BankstonKill+0.8%
Kill by Alanna Bankston (set by Malayah Long)
Set 2 · MICHST 2-0 S CAR · MICHST 94% → 95%
08
Alanna BankstonKill+0.7%
Kill by Alanna Bankston (set by Malayah Long)
Set 2 · MICHST 3-0 S CAR · MICHST 95% → 96%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Michigan St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
28Alanna BankstonOH	3	18	1	31	.548	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	19
22Carmen WayeMB	3	11	0	16	.688	0	0	2	2	0	0	5	2.5	13.5
7Malayah LongS	3	1	0	2	.500	35	5	2	7	0	1	4	3	9
2Karolina StaniszewskaOH	3	6	3	17	.176	2	1	2	14	1	0	2	1	8
15Zora HardisonMB	3	3	0	7	.429	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	3	6
13Sarah VellucciL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	8	0	0	0	0	0
19Hayley OgdenMB	3	4	1	9	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
1Lia SchneiderL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	2	1	5	0	0	0	0	2
5Ky ClaytonL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		43	5	82	.463	40	10	8	36	2	2	18	11	75

South Carolinahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
21Olivia BorgmanOH	3	5	5	26	.000	1	0	0	2	3	1	0.5	5.5
7Ava LeahyMB	3	5	2	11	.273	0	0	1	2	0	1	0.5	5.5
13Elise MarchalOPP	3	3	2	14	.071	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	4
5Sydney DavisMB	3	0	2	5	-.400	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	1
20Kiana DinnS	3	1	1	2	.000	12	0	1	3	0	0	0	1
19Elizabeth McElveenDS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0
1Ceci VanceOH	3	7	5	17	.118	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	8
2Ally CavanaughOH	3	2	1	6	.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
14Kaia PixlerS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	8	1	0	6	0	0	0	1
18Lilly GillespieL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	11	1	0	0	0
10Madisyn CrnjacOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0
3Maggie PennL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		23	19	83	.048	23	2	3	28	10	6	3	39

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 8 MICHST · S CAR 3

Set 1

25-14

Longest run 8 MICHSTS CAR 3

Set 2

25-12

Longest run 4 MICHSTS CAR 2

Set 3

25-13

Longest run 6 MICHSTS CAR 2

Bars above the line = South Carolina leads, below = Michigan St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Michigan St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	86%6/7	44%4/9
2	75%6/8	74%17/23
3	75%6/8	60%9/15
4	83%5/6	58%7/12
5	83%5/6	44%4/9
6	80%4/5	33%2/6
All	80%32/40	58%43/74

South Carolina

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	55%6/11	20%1/5
2	23%6/26	14%1/7
3	60%6/10	25%2/8
4	42%5/12	33%3/9
5	63%5/8	0%0/5
6	43%3/7	17%1/6
All	42%31/74	20%8/40

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

114 rallies

Rally log

#	MICHST-S CAR	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	MICHST	S CAR	Serve err	MICHST server		+1.0
2	1-1	S CAR	MICHST×8	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+0.9
3	2-1	MICHST	MICHST×8	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+1.3
4	3-1	MICHST	MICHST×8	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Lia Schneider	+1.2
5	4-1	MICHST	MICHST×8	Attack err	Olivia Borgman	blk Malayah Long, Carmen Waye	+1.0
6	5-1	MICHST	MICHST×8	Kill	Carmen Waye	set Malayah Long	+0.8
7	6-1	MICHST	MICHST×8	Attack err	Olivia Borgman		+0.7
8	7-1	MICHST	MICHST×8	Ace	MICHST server	aced Elise Marchal	+0.5
9	8-1	MICHST	MICHST×8	Kill	Malayah Long	set Karolina Staniszewska	+0.4
10	8-2	MICHST	S CAR	Serve err	MICHST server		+0.2
11	9-2	S CAR	MICHST	Kill	Carmen Waye	set Malayah Long	+0.2
12	9-3	MICHST	S CAR	Kill	Ava Leahy	set Kaia Pixler	+0.2
13	9-4	S CAR	S CAR	Kill	Ceci Vance	set Lilly Gillespie	+0.4
14	10-4	S CAR	MICHST	Kill	Carmen Waye	set Malayah Long	+0.3
15	10-5	MICHST	S CAR	Serve err	MICHST server		+0.3
16	11-5	S CAR	MICHST	Attack err	Sydney Davis		+0.3
17	11-6	MICHST	S CAR	Serve err	MICHST server		+0.3
18	11-7	S CAR	S CAR	Attack err	Karolina Staniszewska	blk Sydney Davis, Elise Marchal	+0.6
19	12-7	S CAR	MICHST	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Malayah Long	+0.5
20	13-7	MICHST	MICHST	Attack err	Sydney Davis	blk Zora Hardison	+0.5
21	13-8	MICHST	S CAR	Kill	Elise Marchal	set Kiana Dinn	+0.3
22	14-8	S CAR	MICHST	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Malayah Long	+0.3
23	14-9	MICHST	S CAR	Serve err	MICHST server		+0.3
24	14-10	S CAR	S CAR	Kill	Ava Leahy	set Kiana Dinn	+0.6
25	15-10	S CAR	MICHST×6	Kill	Zora Hardison	set Malayah Long	+0.5
26	16-10	MICHST	MICHST×6	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+0.5
27	17-10	MICHST	MICHST×6	Kill	Carmen Waye	set Malayah Long	+0.3
28	18-10	MICHST	MICHST×6	Ace	MICHST server	aced Elizabeth McElveen	+0.2
29	19-10	MICHST	MICHST×6	Attack err	Olivia Borgman	blk Malayah Long, Carmen Waye	+0.1
30	20-10	MICHST	MICHST×6	Kill	Carmen Waye		+0.0
31	20-11	MICHST	S CAR×3	Attack err	Alanna Bankston	blk Ava Leahy, Elise Marchal	+0.0
32	20-12	S CAR	S CAR×3	Ace	S CAR server	aced Karolina Staniszewska	+0.0
33	20-13	S CAR	S CAR×3	Attack err	Karolina Staniszewska		+0.1
34	21-13	S CAR	MICHST×4	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+0.1
35	22-13	MICHST	MICHST×4	Attack err	Olivia Borgman	blk Hayley Ogden, Carmen Waye	+0.0
36	23-13	MICHST	MICHST×4	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Karolina Staniszewska	+0.0
37	24-13	MICHST	MICHST×4	Ace	MICHST server	aced Lilly Gillespie	+0.0
38	24-14	MICHST	S CAR	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Kaia Pixler	+0.0
39	25-14	S CAR	MICHST	Kill	Carmen Waye	set Malayah Long	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	S CAR	MICHST×3	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+0.6
2	2-0	MICHST	MICHST×3	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+0.8
3	3-0	MICHST	MICHST×3	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+0.7
4	3-1	MICHST	S CAR	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Kiana Dinn	+0.5
5	4-1	S CAR	MICHST×4	Kill	Carmen Waye	set Malayah Long	+0.4
6	5-1	MICHST	MICHST×4	Ace	MICHST server	aced Madisyn Crnjac	+0.6
7	6-1	MICHST	MICHST×4	Ace	MICHST server	aced Madisyn Crnjac	+0.5
8	7-1	MICHST	MICHST×4	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Lia Schneider	+0.4
9	7-2	MICHST	S CAR	Kill	Kiana Dinn	set Olivia Borgman	+0.2
10	8-2	S CAR	MICHST	Attack err	Kaia Pixler		+0.2
11	8-3	MICHST	S CAR	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Kaia Pixler	+0.2
12	9-3	S CAR	MICHST	Kill	Hayley Ogden	set Malayah Long	+0.2
13	9-4	MICHST	S CAR	Kill	Ceci Vance	set Kaia Pixler	+0.2
14	10-4	S CAR	MICHST	Attack err	Ally Cavanaugh		+0.2
15	10-5	MICHST	S CAR	Kill	Ally Cavanaugh	set Kaia Pixler	+0.2
16	11-5	S CAR	MICHST	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+0.2
17	12-5	MICHST	MICHST	Attack err	Ceci Vance	blk Malayah Long, Zora Hardison	+0.3
18	12-6	MICHST	S CAR	Kill	Elise Marchal	set Kiana Dinn	+0.1
19	13-6	S CAR	MICHST	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+0.2
20	14-6	MICHST	MICHST	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+0.2
21	14-7	MICHST	S CAR	Bad set	Malayah Long		+0.1
22	15-7	S CAR	MICHST×4	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+0.1
23	16-7	MICHST	MICHST×4	Ace	MICHST server	aced Team	+0.1
24	17-7	MICHST	MICHST×4	Kill	Carmen Waye	set Malayah Long	+0.0
25	18-7	MICHST	MICHST×4	Ace	MICHST server	aced Olivia Borgman	+0.0
26	18-8	MICHST	S CAR	Kill	Ava Leahy	set Kiana Dinn	+0.0
27	19-8	S CAR	MICHST	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+0.0
28	20-8	MICHST	MICHST	Kill	Hayley Ogden	set Lia Schneider	+0.0
29	20-9	MICHST	S CAR	Kill	Ally Cavanaugh	set Kaia Pixler	+0.0
30	20-10	S CAR	S CAR	Attack err	Karolina Staniszewska		+0.0
31	21-10	S CAR	MICHST	Kill	Hayley Ogden	set Malayah Long	+0.0
32	22-10	MICHST	MICHST	Attack err	Ceci Vance	blk Zora Hardison, Hayley Ogden	+0.0
33	22-11	MICHST	S CAR	Serve err	MICHST server		+0.0
34	23-11	S CAR	MICHST	Kill	Hayley Ogden	set Malayah Long	+0.0
35	23-12	MICHST	S CAR	Kill	Ceci Vance	set Kaia Pixler	+0.0
36	24-12	S CAR	MICHST	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Malayah Long	+0.0
37	25-12	MICHST	MICHST	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	MICHST	MICHST	Attack err	Ceci Vance		+0.4
2	1-1	MICHST	S CAR	Kill	Ceci Vance	set Lilly Gillespie	+0.3
3	2-1	S CAR	MICHST	Attack err	Elise Marchal		+0.3
4	3-1	MICHST	MICHST	Attack err	Ceci Vance	blk Malayah Long, Carmen Waye	+0.4
5	3-2	MICHST	S CAR	Kill	Ceci Vance	set Kiana Dinn	+0.3
6	4-2	S CAR	MICHST	Attack err	Ceci Vance	blk Malayah Long	+0.2
7	4-3	MICHST	S CAR	Serve err	MICHST server		+0.3
8	4-4	S CAR	S CAR	Ace	S CAR server	aced Team	+0.5
9	5-4	S CAR	MICHST	Serve err	S CAR server		+0.3
10	6-4	MICHST	MICHST	Attack err	Ava Leahy	blk Karolina Staniszewska, Carmen Waye	+0.4
11	6-5	MICHST	S CAR	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Kiana Dinn	+0.3
12	7-5	S CAR	MICHST	Serve err	S CAR server		+0.3
13	7-6	MICHST	S CAR	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Kiana Dinn	+0.3
14	8-6	S CAR	MICHST	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Malayah Long	+0.3
15	9-6	MICHST	MICHST	Attack err	Elise Marchal	blk Zora Hardison, Karolina Staniszewska	+0.4
16	9-7	MICHST	S CAR	Kill	Elise Marchal	set Kiana Dinn	+0.2
17	9-8	S CAR	S CAR	Kill	Ceci Vance	set Kiana Dinn	+0.5
18	10-8	S CAR	MICHST	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+0.3
19	11-8	MICHST	MICHST	Ace	MICHST server	aced Olivia Borgman	+0.4
20	11-9	MICHST	S CAR	Kill	Ceci Vance	set Kiana Dinn	+0.3
21	12-9	S CAR	MICHST	Kill	Zora Hardison	set Malayah Long	+0.3
22	13-9	MICHST	MICHST	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+0.3
23	13-10	MICHST	S CAR	Kill	Ava Leahy	set Kiana Dinn	+0.2
24	14-10	S CAR	MICHST	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Malayah Long	+0.2
25	14-11	MICHST	S CAR	Serve err	MICHST server		+0.2
26	15-11	S CAR	MICHST×6	Kill	Carmen Waye	set Malayah Long	+0.2
27	16-11	MICHST	MICHST×6	Ace	MICHST server	aced Team	+0.2
28	17-11	MICHST	MICHST×6	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Malayah Long	+0.2
29	18-11	MICHST	MICHST×6	Kill	Carmen Waye	set Malayah Long	+0.1
30	19-11	MICHST	MICHST×6	Attack err	Kiana Dinn		+0.0
31	20-11	MICHST	MICHST×6	Attack err	Ava Leahy		+0.0
32	20-12	MICHST	S CAR	Kill	Ava Leahy	set Kaia Pixler	+0.0
33	21-12	S CAR	MICHST×4	Kill	Carmen Waye	set Malayah Long	+0.0
34	22-12	MICHST	MICHST×4	Ace	MICHST server	aced Olivia Borgman	+0.0
35	23-12	MICHST	MICHST×4	Attack err	Olivia Borgman	blk Zora Hardison, Hayley Ogden	+0.0
36	24-12	MICHST	MICHST×4	Kill	Zora Hardison	set Malayah Long	+0.0
37	24-13	MICHST	S CAR	Attack err	Hayley Ogden	blk Olivia Borgman, Sydney Davis	+0.0
38	25-13	S CAR	MICHST	Serve err	S CAR server		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Michigan St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.