Michigan St. def. Central Mich. 3–0
(25-18, 25-10, 25-19)| Set | 1* | 2 | 3* | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MICHST | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| C MICH | 18 | 10 | 19 | 0 |
- * Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
- * Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 0.0% to Central Mich. — set 1, MICHST 11-12 C MICH. Kill by Karla Sanchez george (set by Brytn Lyon). C MICH win probability 0% → 0%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Michigan St. wins
Central Mich. wins
- MICHST break %
- 55.7% vs this opp
- C MICH break %
- 28.4% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Karla Sanchez georgeKill+0.0%
Kill by Karla Sanchez george (set by Brytn Lyon)
Set 1 · MICHST 11-12 C MICH · C MICH 0% → 0%
- 02Karolina StaniszewskaKill+0.0%
Kill by Karolina Staniszewska (set by Malayah Long)
Set 1 · MICHST 13-12 C MICH · MICHST 100% → 100%
- 03Lilly MullholandKill+0.0%
Kill by Lilly Mullholand (set by Taylor Cripe)
Set 1 · MICHST 13-13 C MICH · C MICH 0% → 0%
- 04Karolina StaniszewskaKill+0.0%
Kill by Karolina Staniszewska (set by Malayah Long)
Set 1 · MICHST 12-12 C MICH · MICHST 100% → 100%
- 05Carmen WayeKill+0.0%
Kill by Carmen Waye (set by Malayah Long)
Set 1 · MICHST 15-13 C MICH · MICHST 100% → 100%
- 06Jaliyah CohnesKill+0.0%
Kill by Jaliyah Cohnes (set by Brytn Lyon)
Set 1 · MICHST 8-9 C MICH · C MICH 0% → 0%
- 07Taylor CripeKill+0.0%
Kill by Taylor Cripe (set by Addison Samolinski)
Set 3 · MICHST 9-13 C MICH · C MICH 0% → 0%
- 08Breccan ScheckAttack error+0.0%
Attack error by Breccan Scheck
Set 3 · MICHST 14-16 C MICH · C MICH 0% → 0%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 13 | 0 | 24 | .542 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | |
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | .182 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| 3 | 5 | 0 | 9 | .556 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| 3 | 4 | 0 | 9 | .444 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | .667 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| 3 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 6.5 | |
| 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | .375 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | .400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 43 | 5 | 87 | .437 | 38 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 75 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 8 | 1 | 15 | .467 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | |
| 3 | 7 | 7 | 31 | .000 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | |
| 3 | 4 | 1 | 11 | .273 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | .200 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 5 | 2 | 11 | .273 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 3 | 4 | 2 | 10 | .200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 31 | 15 | 91 | .176 | 27 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 47 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1*
25-18
Set 2
25-10
Set 3*
25-19
Bars above the line = Central Mich. leads, below = Michigan St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Michigan St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100%2/2 | 80%4/5 |
| 2 | 100%2/2 | 33%1/3 |
| 3 | 100%2/2 | 0%0/2 |
| 4 | 100%2/2 | 0%0/2 |
| 5 | 100%2/2 | 0%0/2 |
| 6 | 100%1/1 | 90%9/10 |
| All | 100%11/11 | 58%14/24 |
Central Mich.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 67%2/3 | 0%0/2 |
| 2 | 100%2/2 | 0%0/2 |
| 3 | 100%2/2 | 0%0/2 |
| 4 | 100%2/2 | 0%0/2 |
| 5 | 10%1/10 | 0%0/2 |
| 6 | 20%1/5 | 0%0/1 |
| All | 42%10/24 | 0%0/11 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
122 rallies
Rally log
| # | MICHST-C MICH | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | MICHST | MICHST | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +0.0 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | MICHST | C MICH | Kill | Brenna Storz | set Brytn Lyon | +0.0 |
| 3 | 2-1 | C MICH | MICHST | Kill | Breccan Scheck | set Malayah Long | +0.0 |
| 4 | 3-1 | MICHST | MICHST | Kill | Karolina Staniszewska | set Malayah Long | +0.0 |
| 5 | 3-2 | MICHST | C MICH | Attack err | Lilly Mullholand | set Brytn Lyon | +0.0 |
| 6 | 4-2 | C MICH | MICHST | Serve err | C MICH server | +0.0 | |
| 7 | 5-2 | MICHST | MICHST | Attack err | Taylor Cripe | +0.0 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | MICHST | C MICH×4 | Serve err | MICHST server | +0.0 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | C MICH | C MICH×4 | Kill | Lilly Mullholand | +0.0 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | C MICH | C MICH×4 | Kill | Karla Sanchez george | set Brytn Lyon | +0.0 |
| 11 | 5-6 | C MICH | C MICH×4 | Ace | C MICH server | aced Karolina Staniszewska | +0.0 |
| 12 | 6-6 | C MICH | MICHST | Kill | Karolina Staniszewska | set Lia Schneider | +0.0 |
| 13 | 6-7 | MICHST | C MICH | Kill | Lilly Mullholand | set Brytn Lyon | +0.0 |
| 14 | 7-7 | C MICH | MICHST | Serve err | C MICH server | +0.0 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | MICHST | C MICH | Kill | Jaliyah Cohnes | set Brytn Lyon | +0.0 |
| 16 | 8-8 | C MICH | MICHST | Kill | Alanna Bankston | set Lia Schneider | +0.0 |
| 17 | 8-9 | MICHST | C MICH | Kill | Jaliyah Cohnes | set Brytn Lyon | +0.0 |
| 18 | 9-9 | C MICH | MICHST | Kill | Alanna Bankston | set Malayah Long | +0.0 |
| 19 | 10-9 | MICHST | MICHST | Attack err | Taylor Cripe | blk Hayley Ogden, Breccan Scheck | +0.0 |
| 20 | 10-10 | MICHST | C MICH | Kill | Brenna Storz | set Brytn Lyon | +0.0 |
| 21 | 11-10 | C MICH | MICHST | Kill | Alanna Bankston | set Lia Schneider | +0.0 |
| 22 | 11-11 | MICHST | C MICH | Kill | Brytn Lyon | set Ceci Bustamante | +0.0 |
| 23 | 11-12 | C MICH | C MICH | Kill | Karla Sanchez george | set Brytn Lyon | +0.0 |
| 24 | 12-12 | C MICH | MICHST | Kill | Karolina Staniszewska | set Malayah Long | +0.0 |
| 25 | 13-12 | MICHST | MICHST | Kill | Karolina Staniszewska | set Malayah Long | +0.0 |
| 26 | 13-13 | MICHST | C MICH | Kill | Lilly Mullholand | set Taylor Cripe | +0.0 |
| 27 | 14-13 | C MICH | MICHST×3 | Attack err | Lilly Mullholand | blk Carmen Waye | +0.0 |
| 28 | 15-13 | MICHST | MICHST×3 | Kill | Carmen Waye | set Malayah Long | +0.0 |
| 29 | 16-13 | MICHST | MICHST×3 | Kill | Carmen Waye | set Malayah Long | +0.0 |
| 30 | 16-14 | MICHST | C MICH | Kill | Jaliyah Cohnes | +0.0 | |
| 31 | 17-14 | C MICH | MICHST | Attack err | Jaliyah Cohnes | set Brytn Lyon | +0.0 |
| 32 | 17-15 | MICHST | C MICH | Serve err | MICHST server | +0.0 | |
| 33 | 18-15 | C MICH | MICHST | Kill | Alanna Bankston | +0.0 | |
| 34 | 19-15 | MICHST | MICHST | Attack err | Taylor Cripe | blk Malayah Long, Breccan Scheck | +0.0 |
| 35 | 19-16 | MICHST | C MICH | Kill | Cheyenne Gunner | +0.0 | |
| 36 | 20-16 | C MICH | MICHST×3 | Kill | Alanna Bankston | set Karolina Staniszewska | +0.0 |
| 37 | 21-16 | MICHST | MICHST×3 | Attack err | Taylor Cripe | +0.0 | |
| 38 | 22-16 | MICHST | MICHST×3 | Attack err | Taylor Cripe | +0.0 | |
| 39 | 22-17 | MICHST | C MICH | Kill | Taylor Cripe | set Brytn Lyon | +0.0 |
| 40 | 23-17 | C MICH | MICHST | Serve err | C MICH server | +0.0 | |
| 41 | 24-17 | MICHST | MICHST | Kill | Hayley Ogden | set Malayah Long | +0.0 |
| 42 | 24-18 | MICHST | C MICH | Serve err | MICHST server | +0.0 | |
| 43 | 25-18 | C MICH | MICHST | Serve err | C MICH server | +0.0 | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | C MICH | MICHST | Kill | Hayley Ogden | set Malayah Long | +0.0 |
| 2 | 1-1 | MICHST | C MICH | Kill | Jaliyah Cohnes | set Brytn Lyon | +0.0 |
| 3 | 2-1 | C MICH | MICHST | Attack err | Karla Sanchez george | blk Karolina Staniszewska | +0.0 |
| 4 | 2-2 | MICHST | C MICH | Kill | Lilly Mullholand | set Brytn Lyon | +0.0 |
| 5 | 3-2 | C MICH | MICHST | Kill | Zora Hardison | +0.0 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | MICHST | C MICH | Kill | Taylor Cripe | set Brytn Lyon | +0.0 |
| 7 | 4-3 | C MICH | MICHST | Kill | Bianca Mumcular | set Kalea Norton | +0.0 |
| 8 | 4-4 | MICHST | C MICH | Attack err | Alanna Bankston | set Lia Schneider | +0.0 |
| 9 | 5-4 | C MICH | MICHST×7 | Kill | Alanna Bankston | set Kalea Norton | +0.0 |
| 10 | 6-4 | MICHST | MICHST×7 | Kill | Alanna Bankston | set Malayah Long | +0.0 |
| 11 | 7-4 | MICHST | MICHST×7 | Ace | MICHST server | aced Ceci Bustamante | +0.0 |
| 12 | 8-4 | MICHST | MICHST×7 | Ball handling | Jaliyah Cohnes | +0.0 | |
| 13 | 9-4 | MICHST | MICHST×7 | Ace | MICHST server | aced Rainey Weidman | +0.0 |
| 14 | 10-4 | MICHST | MICHST×7 | Attack err | Brenna Storz | +0.0 | |
| 15 | 11-4 | MICHST | MICHST×7 | Ace | MICHST server | aced TEAM | +0.0 |
| 16 | 11-5 | MICHST | C MICH | Kill | Jaliyah Cohnes | set Brytn Lyon | +0.0 |
| 17 | 12-5 | C MICH | MICHST×5 | Kill | Malayah Long | set Karolina Staniszewska | +0.0 |
| 18 | 13-5 | MICHST | MICHST×5 | Attack err | Jaliyah Cohnes | blk Hayley Ogden, Breccan Scheck | +0.0 |
| 19 | 14-5 | MICHST | MICHST×5 | Kill | Breccan Scheck | +0.0 | |
| 20 | 15-5 | MICHST | MICHST×5 | Kill | Breccan Scheck | set Malayah Long | +0.0 |
| 21 | 16-5 | MICHST | MICHST×5 | Kill | Hayley Ogden | set Malayah Long | +0.0 |
| 22 | 16-6 | MICHST | C MICH | Serve err | MICHST server | +0.0 | |
| 23 | 17-6 | C MICH | MICHST | Attack err | Karla Sanchez george | set Addison Samolinski | +0.0 |
| 24 | 18-6 | MICHST | MICHST | Attack err | Taylor Cripe | +0.0 | |
| 25 | 18-7 | MICHST | C MICH | Serve err | MICHST server | +0.0 | |
| 26 | 19-7 | C MICH | MICHST | Kill | Hayley Ogden | +0.0 | |
| 27 | 19-8 | MICHST | C MICH | Attack err | Taylah Holdem | blk Lilly Mullholand | +0.0 |
| 28 | 20-8 | C MICH | MICHST | Serve err | C MICH server | +0.0 | |
| 29 | 20-9 | MICHST | C MICH | Serve err | MICHST server | +0.0 | |
| 30 | 21-9 | C MICH | MICHST | Kill | Zora Hardison | set Kalea Norton | +0.0 |
| 31 | 21-10 | MICHST | C MICH | Kill | Cheyenne Gunner | set Brytn Lyon | +0.0 |
| 32 | 22-10 | C MICH | MICHST×4 | Kill | Taylah Holdem | set Kalea Norton | +0.0 |
| 33 | 23-10 | MICHST | MICHST×4 | Kill | Taylah Holdem | set Malayah Long | +0.0 |
| 34 | 24-10 | MICHST | MICHST×4 | Kill | Taylah Holdem | set Malayah Long | +0.0 |
| 35 | 25-10 | MICHST | MICHST×4 | Kill | Hayley Ogden | set Malayah Long | +0.0 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | MICHST | C MICH | Kill | Taylor Cripe | +0.0 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | C MICH | MICHST | Kill | Alanna Bankston | set Kalea Norton | +0.0 |
| 3 | 1-2 | MICHST | C MICH×3 | Kill | Lilly Mullholand | set Brytn Lyon | +0.0 |
| 4 | 1-3 | C MICH | C MICH×3 | Kill | Lilly Mullholand | set Brytn Lyon | +0.0 |
| 5 | 1-4 | C MICH | C MICH×3 | Attack err | Breccan Scheck | +0.0 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | C MICH | MICHST | Bad set | Brytn Lyon | +0.0 | |
| 7 | 2-5 | MICHST | C MICH | Kill | Lilly Mullholand | set Brytn Lyon | +0.0 |
| 8 | 2-6 | C MICH | C MICH | Kill | Cheyenne Gunner | set Addison Samolinski | +0.0 |
| 9 | 3-6 | C MICH | MICHST | Kill | Zora Hardison | set Kalea Norton | +0.0 |
| 10 | 3-7 | MICHST | C MICH×3 | Kill | Brenna Storz | set Audrey Hackney | +0.0 |
| 11 | 3-8 | C MICH | C MICH×3 | Kill | Madi Andrews | +0.0 | |
| 12 | 3-9 | C MICH | C MICH×3 | Kill | Taylor Cripe | set Karla Sanchez george | +0.0 |
| 13 | 4-9 | C MICH | MICHST | Serve err | C MICH server | +0.0 | |
| 14 | 4-10 | MICHST | C MICH | Kill | Taylor Cripe | set Audrey Hackney | +0.0 |
| 15 | 5-10 | C MICH | MICHST×5 | Serve err | C MICH server | +0.0 | |
| 16 | 6-10 | MICHST | MICHST×5 | Kill | Alanna Bankston | set Kalea Norton | +0.0 |
| 17 | 7-10 | MICHST | MICHST×5 | Kill | Alanna Bankston | set Kalea Norton | +0.0 |
| 18 | 8-10 | MICHST | MICHST×5 | Kill | Alanna Bankston | set Lia Schneider | +0.0 |
| 19 | 9-10 | MICHST | MICHST×5 | Kill | Breccan Scheck | +0.0 | |
| 20 | 9-11 | MICHST | C MICH×3 | Serve err | MICHST server | +0.0 | |
| 21 | 9-12 | C MICH | C MICH×3 | Kill | Taylor Cripe | set Brytn Lyon | +0.0 |
| 22 | 9-13 | C MICH | C MICH×3 | Kill | Taylor Cripe | set Addison Samolinski | +0.0 |
| 23 | 10-13 | C MICH | MICHST | Kill | Breccan Scheck | set Kalea Norton | +0.0 |
| 24 | 11-13 | MICHST | MICHST | Kill | Bianca Mumcular | set Lia Schneider | +0.0 |
| 25 | 11-14 | MICHST | C MICH | Serve err | MICHST server | +0.0 | |
| 26 | 12-14 | C MICH | MICHST×3 | Kill | Alanna Bankston | set Kalea Norton | +0.0 |
| 27 | 13-14 | MICHST | MICHST×3 | Kill | Alanna Bankston | set Kalea Norton | +0.0 |
| 28 | 14-14 | MICHST | MICHST×3 | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +0.0 | |
| 29 | 14-15 | MICHST | C MICH | Attack err | Madi Andrews | set Bianca Mumcular | +0.0 |
| 30 | 14-16 | C MICH | C MICH | Attack err | Breccan Scheck | +0.0 | |
| 31 | 15-16 | C MICH | MICHST×5 | Kill | Madi Andrews | set Kalea Norton | +0.0 |
| 32 | 16-16 | MICHST | MICHST×5 | Attack err | Cheyenne Gunner | +0.0 | |
| 33 | 17-16 | MICHST | MICHST×5 | Ace | MICHST server | aced Taylor Cripe | +0.0 |
| 34 | 18-16 | MICHST | MICHST×5 | Attack err | Michigan St | blk Zora Hardison, Bianca Mumcular | +0.0 |
| 35 | 19-16 | MICHST | MICHST×5 | Attack err | Taylor Cripe | +0.0 | |
| 36 | 19-17 | MICHST | C MICH | Kill | Lilly Mullholand | set Brytn Lyon | +0.0 |
| 37 | 19-18 | C MICH | C MICH | Kill | Cheyenne Gunner | set Audrey Hackney | +0.0 |
| 38 | 20-18 | C MICH | MICHST×4 | Kill | Bianca Mumcular | set Kalea Norton | +0.0 |
| 39 | 21-18 | MICHST | MICHST×4 | Ace | MICHST server | aced Taylor Cripe | +0.0 |
| 40 | 22-18 | MICHST | MICHST×4 | Attack err | Cheyenne Gunner | +0.0 | |
| 41 | 23-18 | MICHST | MICHST×4 | Kill | Zora Hardison | set Kalea Norton | +0.0 |
| 42 | 23-19 | MICHST | C MICH | Serve err | MICHST server | +0.0 | |
| 43 | 24-19 | C MICH | MICHST | Kill | Zora Hardison | set Kalea Norton | +0.0 |
| 44 | 25-19 | MICHST | MICHST | Kill | Zora Hardison | +0.0 | |
Score shown after each rally, Michigan St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.