Michigan State def. Cincinnati 3-0 Volleyball (Sep 11)

FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026 · Neutral site

3:0

Michigan St. beat Cincinnati 3-0 (25-20, 25-17, 25-14) on Fri, Sep 11, 2026 at a neutral site. Michigan St.'s Karolina Staniszewska led with 12 kills, and Malayah Long added 9 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 1:45 PM CT · final Sep 11

Set	1	2	3	Sets
MICHST	25	25	25	3
CINCY	20	17	14	0

Win probability

Cincinnati above 50 · Michigan St. below

Biggest swing: 2.3% to Michigan St. — set 1, MICHST 13-12 CINCY. Izzy Busignani stuffed by Carmen Waye & Malayah Long. CINCY win probability 20% → 18%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MICHST 81.5%18.5% CINCY

Michigan St. wins

3-0

33.1%

3-1

30.6%

3-2

17.8%

Cincinnati wins

3-0

2.9%

3-1

6.1%

3-2

9.5%

MICHST break %: 45.9% vs this opp
CINCY break %: 39.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Carmen Waye&Malayah LongBlock+2.3%
Izzy Busignani stuffed by Carmen Waye & Malayah Long
Set 1 · MICHST 13-12 CINCY · MICHST 80% → 82%
02
CincinnatiAce+2.3%
Cincinnati ace on Karolina Staniszewska
Set 1 · MICHST 9-10 CINCY · CINCY 19% → 21%
03
Izzy BusignaniKill+2.2%
Kill by Izzy Busignani (set by Kate Lijic)
Set 1 · MICHST 16-15 CINCY · CINCY 15% → 17%
04
Carmen WayeKill+2.2%
Kill by Carmen Waye
Set 1 · MICHST 15-13 CINCY · MICHST 82% → 85%
05
Michigan St.Ace+2.0%
Michigan St. ace on Izzy Busignani
Set 1 · MICHST 18-15 CINCY · MICHST 85% → 87%
06
Nina ScruccaKill+2.0%
Kill by Nina Scrucca (set by Kate Lijic)
Set 1 · MICHST 8-8 CINCY · CINCY 17% → 19%
07
Sydney NolanKill+1.9%
Kill by Sydney Nolan (set by Kate Lijic)
Set 1 · MICHST 0-2 CINCY · CINCY 20% → 22%
08
Carmen Waye&Alanna BankstonBlock+1.9%
Ligia Williams stuffed by Carmen Waye & Alanna Bankston
Set 1 · MICHST 16-13 CINCY · MICHST 85% → 86%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Michigan St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
2Karolina StaniszewskaOH	3	12	5	34	.206	4	3	2	5	1	1	0.5	15.5
28Alanna BankstonOH	3	10	1	17	.529	0	3	1	4	0	2	1	14
15Zora HardisonMB	3	6	1	9	.556	0	0	0	1	0	7	3.5	9.5
22Carmen WayeMB	3	5	1	9	.444	0	1	2	1	0	2	1	7
19Hayley OgdenOPP	3	5	1	11	.364	0	0	2	2	0	3	1.5	6.5
7Malayah LongS	3	3	0	5	.600	25	0	0	9	0	2	1	4
1Lia SchneiderL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	1	2	8	0	0	0	1
13Sarah VellucciL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	7	1	0	0	1
16Kalea NortonS	1	1	1	2	.000	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
3Bianca MumcularOH	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Taylah HoldemOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		42	10	88	.364	38	9	10	37	2	18	9	75

Cincinnatihome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Sydney NolanOH	3	11	6	41	.122	0	0	1	7	0	1	0	1	12
11Nina ScruccaOPP	3	6	5	16	.063	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	7
8Ligia WilliamsOH	3	4	1	8	.375	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
6Kate LijicS	3	3	0	3	1.000	20	0	0	5	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
16Izzy BusignaniOH	2	3	3	11	.000	0	0	1	2	3	0	0	0	3
4Audrey RomeMB	2	1	1	4	.000	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
21Viktoria NinovaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	0	5	1	0	0	0	1
1Ava LedebuhrL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	5	2	0	0	0	0
5Lilian EntenmannMB	2	0	1	2	-.500	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
7Andrea SimovskiOH	1	1	1	4	.000	0	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	1
18Tatjana SimeunovicMB	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		29	18	90	.122	24	2	5	31	9	1	2	2	51

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 MICHST · CINCY 3

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 4 MICHSTCINCY 2

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 6 MICHSTCINCY 3

Set 3

25-14

Longest run 6 MICHSTCINCY 3

Bars above the line = Cincinnati leads, below = Michigan St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Michigan St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	54%7/13	57%8/14
2	78%7/9	42%5/12
3	78%7/9	65%13/20
4	86%6/7	50%6/12
5	71%5/7	29%2/7
6	71%5/7	44%4/9
All	71%37/52	51%38/74

Cincinnati

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	44%7/16	50%5/10
2	47%7/15	30%3/10
3	44%7/16	36%4/11
4	60%6/10	0%0/7
5	71%5/7	25%2/8
6	40%4/10	17%1/6
All	49%36/74	29%15/52

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

126 rallies

#	MICHST-CINCY	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	MICHST	CINCY	Serve err	Michigan St.		+1.3
2	0-2	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+1.9
3	1-2	CINCY	MICHST×3	Kill	Zora Hardison	set Malayah Long	+1.3
4	2-2	MICHST	MICHST×3	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Lia Schneider	+1.7
5	3-2	MICHST	MICHST×3	Kill	Zora Hardison	set Malayah Long	+1.6
6	3-3	MICHST	CINCY	Serve err	Michigan St.		+1.3
7	4-3	CINCY	MICHST	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Malayah Long	+1.2
8	4-4	MICHST	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Ava Ledebuhr	+1.3
9	5-4	CINCY	MICHST	Serve err	Cincinnati		+1.3
10	5-5	MICHST	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+1.4
11	6-5	CINCY	MICHST	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+1.3
12	6-6	MICHST	CINCY	Kill	Kate Lijic	set Kate Lijic	+1.4
13	7-6	CINCY	MICHST	Kill	Hayley Ogden	set Malayah Long	+1.3
14	8-6	MICHST	MICHST	Ace	Michigan St.	aced Izzy Busignani	+1.7
15	8-7	MICHST	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+1.3
16	8-8	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+2.0
17	9-8	CINCY	MICHST	Kill	Carmen Waye	set Malayah Long	+1.4
18	9-9	MICHST	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Viktoria Ninova	+1.5
19	9-10	CINCY	CINCY	Ace	Cincinnati	aced Karolina Staniszewska	+2.3
20	10-10	CINCY	MICHST	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Malayah Long	+1.6
21	10-11	MICHST	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+1.8
22	11-11	CINCY	MICHST	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Malayah Long	+1.7
23	11-12	MICHST	CINCY	Serve err	Michigan St.		+1.9
24	12-12	CINCY	MICHST	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+1.7
25	13-12	MICHST	MICHST	Blocked	Izzy Busignani	blk Carmen Waye, Malayah Long	+2.3
26	13-13	MICHST	CINCY	Serve err	Michigan St.		+1.8
27	14-13	CINCY	MICHST×3	Serve err	Cincinnati		+1.7
28	15-13	MICHST	MICHST×3	Kill	Carmen Waye		+2.2
29	16-13	MICHST	MICHST×3	Blocked	Ligia Williams	blk Carmen Waye, Alanna Bankston	+1.9
30	16-14	MICHST	CINCY	Kill	Izzy Busignani	set Kate Lijic	+1.3
31	16-15	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Izzy Busignani	set Kate Lijic	+2.2
32	17-15	CINCY	MICHST×4	Kill	Carmen Waye	set Malayah Long	+1.8
33	18-15	MICHST	MICHST×4	Ace	Michigan St.	aced Izzy Busignani	+2.0
34	19-15	MICHST	MICHST×4	Kill	Hayley Ogden	set Lia Schneider	+1.6
35	20-15	MICHST	MICHST×4	Attack err	Nina Scrucca		+1.0
36	20-16	MICHST	CINCY	Serve err	Michigan St.		+0.5
37	21-16	CINCY	MICHST	Kill	Hayley Ogden	set Karolina Staniszewska	+0.7
38	21-17	MICHST	CINCY	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Kate Lijic	+0.4
39	21-18	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Viktoria Ninova	+1.0
40	22-18	CINCY	MICHST	Blocked	Nina Scrucca	blk Karolina Staniszewska, Zora Hardison	+1.1
41	22-19	MICHST	CINCY	Serve err	Michigan St.		+0.7
42	23-19	CINCY	MICHST	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Malayah Long	+1.1
43	23-20	MICHST	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+0.5
44	24-20	CINCY	MICHST	Kill	Zora Hardison	set Malayah Long	+0.9
45	25-20	MICHST	MICHST	Ace	Michigan St.	aced Ava Ledebuhr	+0.4
Set 2
1	0-1	CINCY	CINCY×3	Attack err	Carmen Waye		+1.3
2	0-2	CINCY	CINCY×3	Attack err	Karolina Staniszewska		+1.4
3	0-3	CINCY	CINCY×3	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+1.5
4	1-3	CINCY	MICHST×3	Serve err	Cincinnati		+1.0
5	2-3	MICHST	MICHST×3	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska		+1.4
6	3-3	MICHST	MICHST×3	Blocked	Sydney Nolan	blk Hayley Ogden, Zora Hardison	+1.3
7	3-4	MICHST	CINCY	Blocked	Karolina Staniszewska	blk Ligia Williams, Kate Lijic	+1.1
8	4-4	CINCY	MICHST×6	Attack err	Lilian Entenmann		+1.0
9	5-4	MICHST	MICHST×6	Kill	Malayah Long	set Lia Schneider	+1.3
10	6-4	MICHST	MICHST×6	Attack err	Sydney Nolan		+1.2
11	7-4	MICHST	MICHST×6	Ace	Michigan St.	aced Ava Ledebuhr	+1.1
12	8-4	MICHST	MICHST×6	Blocked	Sydney Nolan	blk Zora Hardison, Malayah Long	+0.9
13	9-4	MICHST	MICHST×6	Kill	Zora Hardison	set Malayah Long	+0.7
14	9-5	MICHST	CINCY	Serve err	Michigan St.		+0.5
15	9-6	CINCY	CINCY	Blocked	Zora Hardison	blk Sydney Nolan	+0.8
16	10-6	CINCY	MICHST	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Malayah Long	+0.7
17	10-7	MICHST	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+0.6
18	11-7	CINCY	MICHST	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+0.7
19	11-8	MICHST	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Lilian Entenmann	+0.7
20	11-9	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca		+1.1
21	12-9	CINCY	MICHST	Kill	Carmen Waye	set Malayah Long	+0.9
22	12-10	MICHST	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+0.9
23	13-10	CINCY	MICHST	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Karolina Staniszewska	+0.9
24	13-11	MICHST	CINCY	Attack err	Karolina Staniszewska		+0.9
25	14-11	CINCY	MICHST	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Malayah Long	+0.9
26	15-11	MICHST	MICHST	Ace	Michigan St.	aced Andrea Simovski	+1.1
27	15-12	MICHST	CINCY	Attack err	Hayley Ogden		+0.7
28	16-12	CINCY	MICHST	Kill	Hayley Ogden	set Malayah Long	+0.8
29	17-12	MICHST	MICHST	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Malayah Long	+0.8
30	17-13	MICHST	CINCY	Kill	Kate Lijic	set Kate Lijic	+0.5
31	17-14	CINCY	CINCY	Attack err	Karolina Staniszewska		+0.9
32	18-14	CINCY	MICHST×3	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+0.8
33	19-14	MICHST	MICHST×3	Ace	Michigan St.	aced Andrea Simovski	+0.8
34	20-14	MICHST	MICHST×3	Blocked	Nina Scrucca	blk Zora Hardison, Alanna Bankston	+0.5
35	20-15	MICHST	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+0.2
36	21-15	CINCY	MICHST	Kill	Malayah Long	set Karolina Staniszewska	+0.3
37	21-16	MICHST	CINCY	Serve err	Michigan St.		+0.2
38	22-16	CINCY	MICHST	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Malayah Long	+0.3
39	22-17	MICHST	CINCY	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Kate Lijic	+0.1
40	23-17	CINCY	MICHST×3	Serve err	Cincinnati		+0.2
41	24-17	MICHST	MICHST×3	Attack err	Andrea Simovski		+0.1
42	25-17	MICHST	MICHST×3	Ace	Michigan St.	aced Andrea Simovski	·
Set 3
1	1-0	MICHST	MICHST×5	Blocked	Sydney Nolan	blk Zora Hardison, Hayley Ogden	+0.6
2	2-0	MICHST	MICHST×5	Blocked	Sydney Nolan	blk Hayley Ogden, Zora Hardison	+0.5
3	3-0	MICHST	MICHST×5	Attack err	Nina Scrucca		+0.5
4	4-0	MICHST	MICHST×5	Kill	Hayley Ogden		+0.4
5	5-0	MICHST	MICHST×5	Attack err	Nina Scrucca		+0.3
6	5-1	MICHST	CINCY	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Kate Lijic	+0.2
7	6-1	CINCY	MICHST	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Malayah Long	+0.3
8	6-2	MICHST	CINCY×3	Kill	Audrey Rome	set Kate Lijic	+0.2
9	6-3	CINCY	CINCY×3	Ace	Cincinnati	aced Sarah Vellucci	+0.4
10	6-4	CINCY	CINCY×3	Attack err	Karolina Staniszewska		+0.5
11	7-4	CINCY	MICHST×6	Attack err	Audrey Rome		+0.4
12	8-4	MICHST	MICHST×6	Ace	Michigan St.	aced Izzy Busignani	+0.4
13	9-4	MICHST	MICHST×6	Kill	Zora Hardison	set Malayah Long	+0.4
14	10-4	MICHST	MICHST×6	Ace	Michigan St.	aced Viktoria Ninova	+0.3
15	11-4	MICHST	MICHST×6	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+0.2
16	12-4	MICHST	MICHST×6	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+0.1
17	12-5	MICHST	CINCY	Serve err	Michigan St.		+0.1
18	13-5	CINCY	MICHST×3	Kill	Malayah Long	set Karolina Staniszewska	+0.1
19	14-5	MICHST	MICHST×3	Kill	Carmen Waye	set Malayah Long	+0.1
20	15-5	MICHST	MICHST×3	Attack err	Izzy Busignani		+0.1
21	15-6	MICHST	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	·
22	16-6	CINCY	MICHST	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Sarah Vellucci	·
23	16-7	MICHST	CINCY	Kill	Izzy Busignani	set Kate Lijic	·
24	17-7	CINCY	MICHST	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Kalea Norton	·
25	17-8	MICHST	CINCY	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Kate Lijic	·
26	17-9	CINCY	CINCY	Attack err	Kalea Norton		·
27	18-9	CINCY	MICHST	Serve err	Cincinnati		·
28	19-9	MICHST	MICHST	Bad set	Kate Lijic		·
29	19-10	MICHST	CINCY	Serve err	Michigan St.		·
30	20-10	CINCY	MICHST	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Kalea Norton	·
31	20-11	MICHST	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	·
32	21-11	CINCY	MICHST×3	Blocked	Sydney Nolan	blk Zora Hardison, Kalea Norton	·
33	22-11	MICHST	MICHST×3	Attack err	Izzy Busignani		·
34	23-11	MICHST	MICHST×3	Kill	Zora Hardison	set Kalea Norton	·
35	23-12	MICHST	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	·
36	24-12	CINCY	MICHST	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Kalea Norton	·
37	24-13	MICHST	CINCY	Kill	Kate Lijic	set Viktoria Ninova	·
38	24-14	CINCY	CINCY	Attack err	Alanna Bankston		·
39	25-14	CINCY	MICHST	Kill	Kalea Norton	set Lia Schneider	·

Score shown after each rally, Michigan St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Michigan St. def. Cincinnati 3–0