FinalSat, Sep 12, 2026

AwayBIG-TEN

3:0

HomeOVC

Michigan St. def. Morehead St. 3–0

(25-22, 25-22, 25-19)

Set	1*	2	3	Sets
MICHST	25	25	25	3
MOREST	22	22	19	0

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

MOREST above 50 · MICHST below

Biggest swing: 0.6% to Morehead St. — set 1, MICHST 20-19 MOREST. Alanna Bankston stuffed by Amelia Nott & Anna Schiltz. MOREST win probability 2% → 2%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

MICHST 98.1%1.9% MOREST

Michigan St. wins

3-0

67.7%

3-1

24.8%

3-2

5.6%

Morehead St. wins

3-0

0.2%

3-1

0.5%

3-2

1.2%

MICHST break %: 50.1% vs this opp
MOREST break %: 34.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Alanna BankstonAttack error+0.6%
Alanna Bankston stuffed by Amelia Nott & Anna Schiltz
Set 1 · MICHST 20-19 MOREST · MOREST 2% → 2%
02
Alanna BankstonKill+0.5%
Kill by Alanna Bankston (set by Malayah Long)
Set 1 · MICHST 22-20 MOREST · MICHST 98% → 98%
03
Carmen WayeKill+0.5%
Kill by Carmen Waye (set by Malayah Long)
Set 1 · MICHST 23-20 MOREST · MICHST 98% → 99%
04
Alanna BankstonKill+0.5%
Kill by Alanna Bankston (set by Malayah Long)
Set 1 · MICHST 21-19 MOREST · MICHST 98% → 98%
05
Ella WarrickKill+0.5%
Kill by Ella Warrick (set by Sydney Sennett)
Set 1 · MICHST 21-20 MOREST · MOREST 2% → 2%
06
Alanna BankstonAttack error+0.4%
Attack error by Alanna Bankston
Set 1 · MICHST 11-11 MOREST · MOREST 2% → 2%
07
Ella WarrickAttack error+0.4%
Ella Warrick stuffed by Hayley Ogden & Carmen Waye
Set 2 · MICHST 21-19 MOREST · MICHST 99% → 99%
08
Hollan EverettKill+0.4%
Kill by Hollan Everett (set by Ella Warrick)
Set 1 · MICHST 5-6 MOREST · MOREST 2% → 2%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Michigan St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
22Carmen WayeMB	3	11	0	15	.733	0	0	1	0	0	6	3	14
28Alanna BankstonOH	3	11	5	31	.194	3	0	2	8	0	3	1.5	12.5
3Bianca MumcularOH	3	7	0	16	.438	1	0	2	4	0	1	0.5	7.5
7Malayah LongS	3	2	0	3	.667	31	1	0	3	0	0	0	3
13Sarah VellucciL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
15Zora HardisonMB	1	1	0	4	.250	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
19Hayley OgdenOPP	3	6	3	17	.176	0	2	0	4	0	4	2	10
1Lia SchneiderL/DS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	2	0	2	14	0	0	0	0
4Madi AndrewsOH	2	7	2	12	.417	0	0	1	6	1	0	0	7
18Breccan ScheckMB	2	2	0	2	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
14Taylah HoldemOH	2	2	0	3	.667	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	2
16Kalea NortonS	2	0	1	1	-1.000	8	0	1	3	0	0	0	0
5Ky ClaytonL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
23Cam BergerS	1	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		49	12	105	.352	47	3	11	49	2	16	8	75

Morehead St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
5Ella WarrickOH	3	13	4	32	.281	1	0	0	8	2	0	0	13
9Amelia NottMB	3	9	4	22	.227	0	1	0	3	0	2	1	11
2Haidyn CarterMB	3	1	0	8	.125	1	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	1.5
12Josie CertaS	3	0	0	0	–	11	0	0	8	0	0	0	0
3Tinsley BrownDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	2	0	0	0	0
1Riley McCloskeyOH	2	1	3	5	-.400	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
14Hollan EverettMB	3	10	7	41	.073	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	11
6Courtney FitzgeraldDS	3	0	0	0	–	6	1	1	3	1	0	0	1
17Sydney SennettS	3	0	0	0	–	13	0	1	8	0	0	0	0
7Kylie SharpMB	2	3	0	5	.600	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3
15Anna SchiltzMB	2	0	0	3	.000	0	0	1	1	0	2	1	1
10Kennedy TinchDS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	2	0	0	0	0
22Reagan BaxterMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		37	18	116	.164	34	2	5	39	3	7	3.5	63

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 MICHST · MOREST 4

Set 1*

25-22

Longest run 5 MICHSTMOREST 4

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 3 MICHSTMOREST 3

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 3 MICHSTMOREST 4

Bars above the line = Morehead St. leads, below = Michigan St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Michigan St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	71%5/7	50%4/8
2	83%5/6	55%6/11
3	63%5/8	64%9/14
4	56%5/9	0%0/5
5	63%5/8	29%2/7
6	100%4/4	0%0/4
All	69%29/42	43%21/49

Morehead St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%5/10	29%2/7
2	36%5/14	17%1/6
3	56%5/9	0%0/5
4	100%5/5	55%6/11
5	67%4/6	17%1/6
6	80%4/5	43%3/7
All	57%28/49	31%13/42

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

138 rallies

Rally log

#	MICHST-MOREST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	MICHST	MOREST	Kill	Amelia Nott	set Josie Certa	+0.2
2	1-1	MOREST	MICHST	Kill	Malayah Long	set Bianca Mumcular	+0.2
3	1-2	MICHST	MOREST	Kill	Ella Warrick	set Tinsley Brown	+0.3
4	2-2	MOREST	MICHST	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+0.2
5	3-2	MICHST	MICHST	Kill	Bianca Mumcular	set Malayah Long	+0.3
6	3-3	MICHST	MOREST	Serve err	MICHST server		+0.2
7	4-3	MOREST	MICHST	Kill	Hayley Ogden	set Malayah Long	+0.2
8	5-3	MICHST	MICHST	Kill	Zora Hardison	set Malayah Long	+0.2
9	5-4	MICHST	MOREST×3	Serve err	MICHST server		+0.2
10	5-5	MOREST	MOREST×3	Kill	Hollan Everett	set Courtney Fitzgerald	+0.3
11	5-6	MOREST	MOREST×3	Kill	Hollan Everett	set Ella Warrick	+0.4
12	6-6	MOREST	MICHST×5	Kill	Bianca Mumcular	set Malayah Long	+0.3
13	7-6	MICHST	MICHST×5	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.3
14	8-6	MICHST	MICHST×5	Attack err	Hollan Everett		+0.3
15	9-6	MICHST	MICHST×5	Ace	MICHST server	aced Ella Warrick	+0.2
16	10-6	MICHST	MICHST×5	Attack err	Hollan Everett		+0.2
17	10-7	MICHST	MOREST	Kill	Riley McCloskey	set Josie Certa	+0.1
18	11-7	MOREST	MICHST	Serve err	MOREST server		+0.1
19	11-8	MICHST	MOREST×4	Serve err	MICHST server		+0.1
20	11-9	MOREST	MOREST×4	Attack err	Lia Schneider		+0.2
21	11-10	MOREST	MOREST×4	Attack err	Alanna Bankston		+0.3
22	11-11	MOREST	MOREST×4	Attack err	Alanna Bankston		+0.4
23	12-11	MOREST	MICHST	Serve err	MOREST server		+0.3
24	12-12	MICHST	MOREST	Kill	Amelia Nott	set Josie Certa	+0.4
25	13-12	MOREST	MICHST×3	Kill	Carmen Waye	set Malayah Long	+0.3
26	14-12	MICHST	MICHST×3	Attack err	Amelia Nott		+0.4
27	15-12	MICHST	MICHST×3	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+0.3
28	15-13	MICHST	MOREST	Kill	Ella Warrick	set Courtney Fitzgerald	+0.2
29	16-13	MOREST	MICHST	Kill	Carmen Waye	set Malayah Long	+0.2
30	16-14	MICHST	MOREST	Serve err	MICHST server		+0.2
31	17-14	MOREST	MICHST	Kill	Bianca Mumcular	set Alanna Bankston	+0.2
32	17-15	MICHST	MOREST	Attack err	Hayley Ogden	blk Hollan Everett, Haidyn Carter	+0.2
33	18-15	MOREST	MICHST	Kill	Hayley Ogden	set Malayah Long	+0.2
34	18-16	MICHST	MOREST	Kill	Hollan Everett	set Courtney Fitzgerald	+0.2
35	19-16	MOREST	MICHST	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+0.3
36	19-17	MICHST	MOREST	Serve err	MICHST server		+0.2
37	20-17	MOREST	MICHST	Attack err	Riley McCloskey		+0.3
38	20-18	MICHST	MOREST	Kill	Amelia Nott	set Josie Certa	+0.3
39	20-19	MOREST	MOREST	Attack err	Alanna Bankston	blk Amelia Nott, Anna Schiltz	+0.6
40	21-19	MOREST	MICHST	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+0.5
41	21-20	MICHST	MOREST	Kill	Ella Warrick	set Sydney Sennett	+0.5
42	22-20	MOREST	MICHST	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+0.5
43	23-20	MICHST	MICHST	Kill	Carmen Waye	set Malayah Long	+0.5
44	23-21	MICHST	MOREST	Serve err	MICHST server		+0.2
45	24-21	MOREST	MICHST	Kill	Hayley Ogden	set Malayah Long	+0.3
46	24-22	MICHST	MOREST	Kill	Hollan Everett	set Sydney Sennett	+0.1
47	25-22	MOREST	MICHST	Attack err	Hollan Everett	blk Hayley Ogden, Zora Hardison	+0.3
Set 2
1	1-0	MOREST	MICHST	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+0.1
2	2-0	MICHST	MICHST	Attack err	Riley McCloskey	blk Alanna Bankston, Carmen Waye	+0.1
3	2-1	MICHST	MOREST	Kill	Ella Warrick	set Josie Certa	+0.1
4	2-2	MOREST	MOREST	Kill	Ella Warrick	set Courtney Fitzgerald	+0.2
5	3-2	MOREST	MICHST	Kill	Carmen Waye	set Malayah Long	+0.1
6	4-2	MICHST	MICHST	Kill	Carmen Waye	set Malayah Long	+0.1
7	4-3	MICHST	MOREST	Kill	Amelia Nott	set Sydney Sennett	+0.1
8	5-3	MOREST	MICHST	Kill	Madi Andrews	set Malayah Long	+0.1
9	5-4	MICHST	MOREST	Kill	Amelia Nott	set Sydney Sennett	+0.1
10	5-5	MOREST	MOREST	Attack err	Hayley Ogden		+0.2
11	6-5	MOREST	MICHST	Kill	Breccan Scheck	set Malayah Long	+0.1
12	6-6	MICHST	MOREST	Serve err	MICHST server		+0.2
13	7-6	MOREST	MICHST	Kill	Madi Andrews	set Kalea Norton	+0.1
14	7-7	MICHST	MOREST	Kill	Haidyn Carter	set Josie Certa	+0.2
15	8-7	MOREST	MICHST	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Kalea Norton	+0.1
16	9-7	MICHST	MICHST	Kill	Alanna Bankston		+0.2
17	9-8	MICHST	MOREST×3	Serve err	MICHST server		+0.1
18	9-9	MOREST	MOREST×3	Attack err	Alanna Bankston		+0.2
19	9-10	MOREST	MOREST×3	Kill	Amelia Nott		+0.3
20	10-10	MOREST	MICHST	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Kalea Norton	+0.2
21	11-10	MICHST	MICHST	Attack err	Riley McCloskey		+0.3
22	11-11	MICHST	MOREST	Kill	Ella Warrick	set Josie Certa	+0.2
23	12-11	MOREST	MICHST×3	Serve err	MOREST server		+0.2
24	13-11	MICHST	MICHST×3	Kill	Madi Andrews	set Malayah Long	+0.2
25	14-11	MICHST	MICHST×3	Attack err	Ella Warrick		+0.2
26	14-12	MICHST	MOREST	Kill	Amelia Nott	set Sydney Sennett	+0.1
27	15-12	MOREST	MICHST	Kill	Madi Andrews	set Malayah Long	+0.1
28	15-13	MICHST	MOREST×3	Attack err	Madi Andrews	blk Amelia Nott, Hollan Everett, Anna Schiltz	+0.1
29	15-14	MOREST	MOREST×3	Ace	MOREST server	aced Madi Andrews	+0.3
30	15-15	MOREST	MOREST×3	Attack err	Hayley Ogden		+0.4
31	16-15	MOREST	MICHST	Attack err	Hollan Everett	blk Hayley Ogden, Breccan Scheck	+0.2
32	16-16	MICHST	MOREST	Kill	Hollan Everett	set Sydney Sennett	+0.3
33	17-16	MOREST	MICHST	Kill	Bianca Mumcular	set Kalea Norton	+0.3
34	17-17	MICHST	MOREST	Kill	Kylie Sharp	set Courtney Fitzgerald	+0.3
35	18-17	MOREST	MICHST	Kill	Bianca Mumcular	set Kalea Norton	+0.3
36	18-18	MICHST	MOREST	Kill	Ella Warrick	set Haidyn Carter	+0.3
37	19-18	MOREST	MICHST	Attack err	Ella Warrick	blk Bianca Mumcular, Carmen Waye	+0.3
38	19-19	MICHST	MOREST	Kill	Ella Warrick	set Josie Certa	+0.4
39	20-19	MOREST	MICHST×3	Kill	Hayley Ogden	set Malayah Long	+0.4
40	21-19	MICHST	MICHST×3	Attack err	Ella Warrick	blk Hayley Ogden, Carmen Waye	+0.4
41	22-19	MICHST	MICHST×3	Kill	Madi Andrews	set Malayah Long	+0.3
42	22-20	MICHST	MOREST	Kill	Amelia Nott	set Sydney Sennett	+0.1
43	23-20	MOREST	MICHST	Kill	Carmen Waye	set Malayah Long	+0.2
44	23-21	MICHST	MOREST	Serve err	MICHST server		+0.1
45	24-21	MOREST	MICHST	Kill	Malayah Long	set Alanna Bankston	+0.2
46	24-22	MICHST	MOREST	Kill	Hollan Everett	set Sydney Sennett	+0.1
47	25-22	MOREST	MICHST	Serve err	MOREST server		+0.2
Set 3
1	1-0	MICHST	MICHST	Attack err	Amelia Nott		+0.1
2	2-0	MICHST	MICHST	Kill	Carmen Waye	set Malayah Long	+0.1
3	2-1	MICHST	MOREST	Kill	Ella Warrick	set Courtney Fitzgerald	+0.0
4	3-1	MOREST	MICHST×3	Kill	Carmen Waye	set Malayah Long	+0.0
5	4-1	MICHST	MICHST×3	Kill	Carmen Waye	set Malayah Long	+0.0
6	5-1	MICHST	MICHST×3	Attack err	Amelia Nott	blk Carmen Waye, Alanna Bankston	+0.0
7	5-2	MICHST	MOREST	Kill	Kylie Sharp	set Sydney Sennett	+0.0
8	6-2	MOREST	MICHST×3	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+0.0
9	7-2	MICHST	MICHST×3	Attack err	Hollan Everett		+0.0
10	8-2	MICHST	MICHST×3	Attack err	Hollan Everett		+0.0
11	8-3	MICHST	MOREST×4	Kill	Kylie Sharp	set Sydney Sennett	+0.0
12	8-4	MOREST	MOREST×4	Attack err	Madi Andrews		+0.0
13	8-5	MOREST	MOREST×4	Attack err	Alanna Bankston		+0.0
14	8-6	MOREST	MOREST×4	Kill	Hollan Everett	set Josie Certa	+0.1
15	9-6	MOREST	MICHST	Kill	Carmen Waye	set Malayah Long	+0.0
16	9-7	MICHST	MOREST	Kill	Hollan Everett	set Josie Certa	+0.0
17	10-7	MOREST	MICHST	Kill	Madi Andrews	set Alanna Bankston	+0.0
18	11-7	MICHST	MICHST	Kill	Breccan Scheck	set Kalea Norton	+0.0
19	11-8	MICHST	MOREST	Kill	Ella Warrick	set Josie Certa	+0.0
20	12-8	MOREST	MICHST	Kill	Bianca Mumcular	set Lia Schneider	+0.0
21	12-9	MICHST	MOREST	Serve err	MICHST server		+0.0
22	13-9	MOREST	MICHST	Attack err	Ella Warrick		+0.0
23	14-9	MICHST	MICHST	Attack err	Amelia Nott	blk Alanna Bankston, Carmen Waye	+0.0
24	14-10	MICHST	MOREST	Serve err	MICHST server		+0.0
25	15-10	MOREST	MICHST×3	Kill	Carmen Waye	set Kalea Norton	+0.0
26	16-10	MICHST	MICHST×3	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+0.0
27	17-10	MICHST	MICHST×3	Ace	MICHST server	aced Courtney Fitzgerald	+0.0
28	17-11	MICHST	MOREST	Kill	Amelia Nott	set Sydney Sennett	+0.0
29	18-11	MOREST	MICHST×3	Attack err	Hollan Everett	blk Hayley Ogden, Carmen Waye	+0.0
30	19-11	MICHST	MICHST×3	Kill	Hayley Ogden	set Malayah Long	+0.0
31	20-11	MICHST	MICHST×3	Kill	Hayley Ogden	set Cam Berger	+0.0
32	20-12	MICHST	MOREST	Kill	Hollan Everett	set Sydney Sennett	+0.0
33	21-12	MOREST	MICHST	Serve err	MOREST server		+0.0
34	21-13	MICHST	MOREST	Kill	Hollan Everett	set Sydney Sennett	+0.0
35	21-14	MOREST	MOREST	Bad set	Cam Berger		+0.0
36	22-14	MOREST	MICHST	Kill	Madi Andrews	set Cam Berger	+0.0
37	23-14	MICHST	MICHST	Kill	Taylah Holdem	set Kalea Norton	+0.0
38	23-15	MICHST	MOREST×4	Kill	Ella Warrick	set Sydney Sennett	+0.0
39	23-16	MOREST	MOREST×4	Attack err	Kalea Norton		+0.0
40	23-17	MOREST	MOREST×4	Kill	Ella Warrick	set Kennedy Tinch	+0.0
41	23-18	MOREST	MOREST×4	Ace	MOREST server	aced Team	+0.0
42	24-18	MOREST	MICHST	Kill	Bianca Mumcular	set Lia Schneider	+0.0
43	24-19	MICHST	MOREST	Kill	Ella Warrick	set Sydney Sennett	+0.0
44	25-19	MOREST	MICHST	Kill	Taylah Holdem	set Kalea Norton	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Michigan St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.