FinalSat, Sep 12, 2026

Michigan St. def. Morehead St. 3–0

Michigan St. won at Morehead St. 3-0 (25-22, 25-22, 25-19) on Sat, Sep 12, 2026. Carmen Waye and Alanna Bankston led Michigan St. with 11 kills each; Morehead St.'s Ella Warrick had a match-high 13.

Data through · final Sep 12

Set123Sets
MICHST2525253
MOREST2222190

Win probability

Morehead St. above 50 · Michigan St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 138 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Michigan St. stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MICHST 99.0%1.0% MOREST

Michigan St. wins

3-0
73.9%
3-1
21.3%
3-2
3.8%

Morehead St. wins

3-0
0.1%
3-1
0.2%
3-2
0.7%
MICHST break %
52.3% vs this opp
MOREST break %
34.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311015.7330010006314
311531.19430280031.512.5
37016.43810240010.57.5
3203.6673110300003
3000–000400000
1104.25000000010.51.5
36317.1760204004210
3011-1.0002021400000
27212.417001610007
22021.00000000010.52.5
2203.667001200002
2011-1.000801300000
2000–001100000
1000–200000000
Team totals4912105.35247311492016875
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313432.2811008200013
39422.2270103002111
3108.12510010010.51.5
3000–1100800000
3000–101200000
2135-.400000000001
310741.0730002002111
3000–611310001
3000–1301800000
2305.600000100003
2003.000001100211
1000–101200000
1000–000000000
Team totals3718116.1643425393073.563

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 MICHST · MOREST 4

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 5 MICHSTMOREST 4

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 3 MICHSTMOREST 3

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 3 MICHSTMOREST 4

Bars above the line = Morehead St. leads, below = Michigan St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Michigan St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%5/7
50%4/8
2
83%5/6
55%6/11
3
63%5/8
64%9/14
4
56%5/9
0%0/5
5
63%5/8
29%2/7
6
100%4/4
0%0/4
All
69%29/42
43%21/49

Morehead St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%5/10
29%2/7
2
36%5/14
17%1/6
3
56%5/9
0%0/5
4
100%5/5
55%6/11
5
67%4/6
17%1/6
6
80%4/5
43%3/7
All
57%28/49
31%13/42

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

138 rallies

#MICHST-MORESTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
10-1MICHSTMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa
21-1MORESTMICHSTKillMalayah Longset Bianca Mumcular
31-2MICHSTMORESTKillElla Warrickset Tinsley Brown
42-2MORESTMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long
53-2MICHSTMICHSTKillBianca Mumcularset Malayah Long
63-3MICHSTMORESTServe errMichigan St.
74-3MORESTMICHSTKillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long
85-3MICHSTMICHSTKillZora Hardisonset Malayah Long
95-4MICHSTMOREST×3Serve errMichigan St.
105-5MORESTMOREST×3KillHollan Everettset Courtney Fitzgerald
115-6MORESTMOREST×3KillHollan Everettset Ella Warrick
126-6MORESTMICHST×5KillBianca Mumcularset Malayah Long
137-6MICHST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

148-6MICHSTMICHST×5Attack errHollan Everett
159-6MICHSTMICHST×5AceMichigan St.aced Ella Warrick
1610-6MICHSTMICHST×5Attack errHollan Everett
1710-7MICHSTMORESTKillRiley McCloskeyset Josie Certa
1811-7MORESTMICHSTServe errMorehead St.
1911-8MICHSTMOREST×4Serve errMichigan St.
2011-9MORESTMOREST×4Attack errLia Schneider
2111-10MORESTMOREST×4Attack errAlanna Bankston
2211-11MORESTMOREST×4Attack errAlanna Bankston
2312-11MORESTMICHSTServe errMorehead St.
2412-12MICHSTMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa
2513-12MORESTMICHST×3KillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long
2614-12MICHSTMICHST×3Attack errAmelia Nott
2715-12MICHSTMICHST×3KillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long
2815-13MICHSTMORESTKillElla Warrickset Courtney Fitzgerald
2916-13MORESTMICHSTKillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long
3016-14MICHSTMORESTServe errMichigan St.
3117-14MORESTMICHSTKillBianca Mumcularset Alanna Bankston
3217-15MICHSTMORESTBlockedHayley Ogdenblk Hollan Everett, Haidyn Carter
3318-15MORESTMICHSTKillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long
3418-16MICHSTMORESTKillHollan Everettset Courtney Fitzgerald
3519-16MORESTMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long
3619-17MICHSTMORESTServe errMichigan St.
3720-17MORESTMICHSTAttack errRiley McCloskey
3820-18MICHSTMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa
3920-19MORESTMORESTBlockedAlanna Bankstonblk Amelia Nott, Anna Schiltz
4021-19MORESTMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long
4121-20MICHSTMORESTKillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett
4222-20MORESTMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long
4323-20MICHSTMICHSTKillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long
4423-21MICHSTMORESTServe errMichigan St.
4524-21MORESTMICHSTKillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long
4624-22MICHSTMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett
4725-22MORESTMICHSTBlockedHollan Everettblk Hayley Ogden, Zora Hardison
Set 2
11-0MORESTMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long
22-0MICHSTMICHSTBlockedRiley McCloskeyblk Alanna Bankston, Carmen Waye
32-1MICHSTMORESTKillElla Warrickset Josie Certa
42-2MORESTMORESTKillElla Warrickset Courtney Fitzgerald
53-2MORESTMICHSTKillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long
64-2MICHSTMICHSTKillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long
74-3MICHSTMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett
85-3MORESTMICHSTKillMadi Andrewsset Malayah Long
95-4MICHSTMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett
105-5MORESTMORESTAttack errHayley Ogden
116-5MORESTMICHSTKillBreccan Scheckset Malayah Long
126-6MICHSTMORESTServe errMichigan St.
137-6MORESTMICHSTKillMadi Andrewsset Kalea Norton
147-7MICHSTMORESTKillHaidyn Carterset Josie Certa
158-7MORESTMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Kalea Norton
169-7MICHSTMICHSTKillAlanna Bankston
179-8MICHSTMOREST×3Serve errMichigan St.
189-9MORESTMOREST×3Attack errAlanna Bankston
199-10MORESTMOREST×3KillAmelia Nott
2010-10MORESTMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Kalea Norton
2111-10MICHSTMICHSTAttack errRiley McCloskey
2211-11MICHSTMORESTKillElla Warrickset Josie Certa
2312-11MORESTMICHST×3Serve errMorehead St.
2413-11MICHSTMICHST×3KillMadi Andrewsset Malayah Long
2514-11MICHSTMICHST×3Attack errElla Warrick
2614-12MICHSTMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett
2715-12MORESTMICHSTKillMadi Andrewsset Malayah Long
2815-13MICHSTMOREST×3BlockedMadi Andrewsblk Amelia Nott, Hollan Everett, Anna Schiltz
2915-14MORESTMOREST×3AceMorehead St.aced Madi Andrews
3015-15MORESTMOREST×3Attack errHayley Ogden
3116-15MORESTMICHSTBlockedHollan Everettblk Hayley Ogden, Breccan Scheck
3216-16MICHSTMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett
3317-16MORESTMICHSTKillBianca Mumcularset Kalea Norton
3417-17MICHSTMORESTKillKylie Sharpset Courtney Fitzgerald
3518-17MORESTMICHSTKillBianca Mumcularset Kalea Norton
3618-18MICHSTMORESTKillElla Warrickset Haidyn Carter
3719-18MORESTMICHSTBlockedElla Warrickblk Bianca Mumcular, Carmen Waye
3819-19MICHSTMORESTKillElla Warrickset Josie Certa
3920-19MORESTMICHST×3KillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long
4021-19MICHSTMICHST×3BlockedElla Warrickblk Hayley Ogden, Carmen Waye
4122-19MICHSTMICHST×3KillMadi Andrewsset Malayah Long
4222-20MICHSTMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett
4323-20MORESTMICHSTKillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long
4423-21MICHSTMORESTServe errMichigan St.
4524-21MORESTMICHSTKillMalayah Longset Alanna Bankston
4624-22MICHSTMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett
4725-22MORESTMICHSTServe errMorehead St.
Set 3
11-0MICHSTMICHSTAttack errAmelia Nott
22-0MICHSTMICHSTKillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long
32-1MICHSTMORESTKillElla Warrickset Courtney Fitzgerald
43-1MORESTMICHST×3KillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long
54-1MICHSTMICHST×3KillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long
65-1MICHSTMICHST×3BlockedAmelia Nottblk Carmen Waye, Alanna Bankston
75-2MICHSTMORESTKillKylie Sharpset Sydney Sennett
86-2MORESTMICHST×3KillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long
97-2MICHSTMICHST×3Attack errHollan Everett
108-2MICHSTMICHST×3Attack errHollan Everett
118-3MICHSTMOREST×4KillKylie Sharpset Sydney Sennett
128-4MORESTMOREST×4Attack errMadi Andrews
138-5MORESTMOREST×4Attack errAlanna Bankston
148-6MORESTMOREST×4KillHollan Everettset Josie Certa
159-6MORESTMICHSTKillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long
169-7MICHSTMORESTKillHollan Everettset Josie Certa
1710-7MORESTMICHSTKillMadi Andrewsset Alanna Bankston
1811-7MICHSTMICHSTKillBreccan Scheckset Kalea Norton
1911-8MICHSTMORESTKillElla Warrickset Josie Certa
2012-8MORESTMICHSTKillBianca Mumcularset Lia Schneider
2112-9MICHSTMORESTServe errMichigan St.
2213-9MORESTMICHSTAttack errElla Warrick
2314-9MICHSTMICHSTBlockedAmelia Nottblk Alanna Bankston, Carmen Waye
2414-10MICHSTMORESTServe errMichigan St.
2515-10MORESTMICHST×3KillCarmen Wayeset Kalea Norton
2616-10MICHSTMICHST×3KillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long
2717-10MICHSTMICHST×3AceMichigan St.aced Courtney Fitzgerald
2817-11MICHSTMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett
2918-11MORESTMICHST×3BlockedHollan Everettblk Hayley Ogden, Carmen Waye
3019-11MICHSTMICHST×3KillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long
3120-11MICHSTMICHST×3KillHayley Ogdenset Cam Berger
3220-12MICHSTMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett
3321-12MORESTMICHSTServe errMorehead St.
3421-13MICHSTMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett
3521-14MORESTMORESTBad setCam Berger
3622-14MORESTMICHSTKillMadi Andrewsset Cam Berger
3723-14MICHSTMICHSTKillTaylah Holdemset Kalea Norton
3823-15MICHSTMOREST×4KillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett
3923-16MORESTMOREST×4Attack errKalea Norton
4023-17MORESTMOREST×4KillElla Warrickset Kennedy Tinch
4123-18MORESTMOREST×4AceMorehead St.
4224-18MORESTMICHSTKillBianca Mumcularset Lia Schneider
4324-19MICHSTMORESTKillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett
4425-19MORESTMICHSTKillTaylah Holdemset Kalea Norton

Score shown after each rally, Michigan St. first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).