Michigan St. def. Penn St. 3–1
Michigan St. beat visiting Penn St. 3-1 (25-19, 25-21, 22-25, 25-19) on Sun, Sep 27, 2026. Hayley Ogden and Madi Andrews led Michigan St. with 13 kills each; Penn St.'s Kennedy Martin had a match-high 19.
Data through · final Sep 27
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PENNST | 19 | 21 | 25 | 19 | 1 |
| MICHST | 25 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 5.4% to Penn St. — set 3, PENNST 23-22 MICHST. Kill by Kennedy Martin. MICHST win probability 88% → 83%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Penn St. wins
Michigan St. wins
- PENNST break %
- 41.8% vs this opp
- MICHST break %
- 41.6% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01
- 02Carmen WayeAttack error+5.1%
Attack error by Carmen Waye
Set 3 · PENNST 24-22 MICHST · PENNST 17% → 22%
- 03Kennedy MartinAttack error+4.6%
Attack error by Kennedy Martin
Set 3 · PENNST 21-22 MICHST · MICHST 87% → 91%
- 04Carmen WayeBlock+3.9%
Ryla Jones stuffed by Carmen Waye
Set 2 · PENNST 14-16 MICHST · MICHST 71% → 75%
- 05Danielle WhitmireBad set+3.9%
Bad set by Danielle Whitmire
Set 3 · PENNST 21-21 MICHST · MICHST 83% → 87%
- 06Carmen WayeKill+3.8%
Kill by Carmen Waye (set by Malayah Long)
Set 2 · PENNST 13-14 MICHST · MICHST 67% → 71%
- 07Whitney LauensteinAttack error+3.8%
Attack error by Whitney Lauenstein
Set 4 · PENNST 6-9 MICHST · MICHST 82% → 86%
- 08Hayley Ogden&Zora HardisonBlock+3.7%
Emmi Sellman stuffed by Hayley Ogden & Zora Hardison
Set 4 · PENNST 3-4 MICHST · MICHST 74% → 78%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 19 | 8 | 55 | .200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 22 | |
| 4 | 9 | 4 | 29 | .172 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 10.5 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | .067 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 9 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .500 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -.500 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 9 | 2 | 27 | .259 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 9.5 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .500 | 24 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -.143 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 47 | 24 | 146 | .158 | 42 | 2 | 10 | 53 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 84 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 13 | 3 | 25 | .400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 14.5 | |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 19 | .211 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4.5 | 14.5 | |
| 4 | 13 | 8 | 44 | .114 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | |
| 4 | 10 | 1 | 16 | .563 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 12.5 | |
| 4 | 8 | 10 | 45 | -.044 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3.5 | 11.5 | |
| 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1.000 | 40 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 55 | 26 | 152 | .191 | 51 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 97 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
19-25
Set 2
21-25
Set 3
25-22
Set 4
19-25
Bars above the line = Michigan St. leads, below = Penn St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Penn St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 41%7/17 | 22%2/9 |
| 2 | 60%6/10 | 46%6/13 |
| 3 | 75%6/8 | 54%7/13 |
| 4 | 60%6/10 | 25%2/8 |
| 5 | 33%6/18 | 25%2/8 |
| 6 | 63%5/8 | 67%10/15 |
| All | 51%36/71 | 44%29/66 |
Michigan St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 67%8/12 | 63%10/16 |
| 2 | 41%7/17 | 36%4/11 |
| 3 | 67%6/9 | 40%4/10 |
| 4 | 86%6/7 | 25%2/8 |
| 5 | 56%5/9 | 45%5/11 |
| 6 | 42%5/12 | 67%10/15 |
| All | 56%37/66 | 49%35/71 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
181 rallies
| # | PENNST-MICHST | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | MICHST | PENNST | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Alexis Stucky | +1.8 |
| 2 | 1-1 | PENNST | MICHST×3 | Kill | Hayley Ogden | set Malayah Long | +1.8 |
| 3 | 1-2 | MICHST | MICHST×3 | Attack err | Whitney Lauenstein | +2.6 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | MICHST | MICHST×3 | Blocked | Gabrielle Nichols | blk Zora Hardison | +2.6 |
| 5 | 2-3 | MICHST | PENNST | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Alexis Stucky | +1.8 |
| 6 | 3-3 | PENNST | PENNST | Kill | Emmi Sellman | set Alexis Stucky | +2.6 |
| 7 | 3-4 | PENNST | MICHST | Kill | Madi Andrews | set Lia Schneider | +1.9 |
| 8 | 3-5 | MICHST | MICHST | Kill | Zora Hardison | set Malayah Long | +2.7 |
| 9 | 4-5 | MICHST | PENNST | Serve err | Michigan St. | +1.9 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | PENNST | MICHST | Kill | Alanna Bankston | set Malayah Long | +2.0 |
| 11 | 5-6 | MICHST | PENNST | Serve err | Michigan St. | +1.9 | |
| 12 | 5-7 | PENNST | MICHST×5 | Attack err | Kennedy Martin | +2.0 | |
| 13 | 5-8 | MICHST | MICHST×5 | Kill | Hayley Ogden | set Malayah Long | +2.7 |
| 14 | 5-9 | MICHST | MICHST×5 | Ace | Michigan St. | aced Jocelyn Nathan | +2.5 |
| 15 | 5-10 | MICHST | MICHST×5 | Kill | Alanna Bankston | set Lia Schneider | +2.2 |
| 16 | 5-11 | MICHST | MICHST×5 | Kill | Hayley Ogden | set Malayah Long | +1.8 |
| 17 | 6-11 | MICHST | PENNST | Kill | Emmi Sellman | set Alexis Stucky | +1.0 |
| 18 | 6-12 | PENNST | MICHST×3 | Kill | Alanna Bankston | set Malayah Long | +1.3 |
| 19 | 6-13 | MICHST | MICHST×3 | Kill | Madi Andrews | set Lia Schneider | +1.4 |
| 20 | 6-14 | MICHST | MICHST×3 | Kill | Hayley Ogden | set Malayah Long | +1.0 |
| 21 | 7-14 | MICHST | PENNST | Serve err | Michigan St. | +0.5 | |
| 22 | 7-15 | PENNST | MICHST | Kill | Malayah Long | set Madi Andrews | +0.7 |
| 23 | 8-15 | MICHST | PENNST | Serve err | Michigan St. | +0.5 | |
| 24 | 9-15 | PENNST | PENNST | Ace | Penn St. | aced Alanna Bankston | +0.9 |
| 25 | 9-16 | PENNST | MICHST×4 | Kill | Hayley Ogden | set Malayah Long | +0.9 |
| 26 | 9-17 | MICHST | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.9 | |||
| 27 | 9-18 | MICHST | MICHST×4 | Kill | Madi Andrews | set Malayah Long | +0.5 |
| 28 | 9-19 | MICHST | MICHST×4 | Kill | Madi Andrews | set Malayah Long | +0.3 |
| 29 | 10-19 | MICHST | PENNST×3 | Kill | Gabrielle Nichols | set Danielle Whitmire | +0.1 |
| 30 | 11-19 | PENNST | PENNST×3 | Bad set | Malayah Long | +0.2 | |
| 31 | 12-19 | PENNST | PENNST×3 | Attack err | Alanna Bankston | +0.4 | |
| 32 | 12-20 | PENNST | MICHST | Kill | Madi Andrews | set Zora Hardison | +0.4 |
| 33 | 13-20 | MICHST | PENNST×5 | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Danielle Whitmire | +0.2 |
| 34 | 14-20 | PENNST | PENNST×5 | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Danielle Whitmire | +0.5 |
| 35 | 15-20 | PENNST | PENNST×5 | Blocked | Alanna Bankston | blk Ryla Jones, Kennedy Martin | +0.8 |
| 36 | 16-20 | PENNST | PENNST×5 | Attack err | Alanna Bankston | +1.4 | |
| 37 | 17-20 | PENNST | PENNST×5 | Blocked | Zora Hardison | blk Emmi Sellman, Ryla Jones | +2.1 |
| 38 | 17-21 | PENNST | MICHST | Serve err | Penn St. | +2.2 | |
| 39 | 18-21 | MICHST | PENNST | Blocked | Alanna Bankston | blk Ryla Jones, Kennedy Martin | +1.4 |
| 40 | 18-22 | PENNST | MICHST | Kill | Alanna Bankston | set Lia Schneider | +2.2 |
| 41 | 19-22 | MICHST | PENNST | Kill | Emmi Sellman | set Danielle Whitmire | +1.2 |
| 42 | 19-23 | PENNST | MICHST×3 | Kill | Alanna Bankston | set Malayah Long | +2.1 |
| 43 | 19-24 | MICHST | MICHST×3 | Ace | Michigan St. | aced Whitney Lauenstein | +1.3 |
| 44 | 19-25 | MICHST | MICHST×3 | Ace | Michigan St. | aced Haley Burgdorf | +0.3 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | PENNST | PENNST | Blocked | Hayley Ogden | blk Gabrielle Nichols | +2.6 |
| 2 | 1-1 | PENNST | MICHST | Kill | Madi Andrews | set Carmen Waye | +1.8 |
| 3 | 1-2 | MICHST | MICHST | Ace | Michigan St. | +2.6 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | MICHST | PENNST×3 | Kill | Whitney Lauenstein | set Alexis Stucky | +1.9 |
| 5 | 3-2 | PENNST | PENNST×3 | Blocked | Alanna Bankston | blk Gabrielle Nichols, Kennedy Martin | +2.7 |
| 6 | 4-2 | PENNST | PENNST×3 | Kill | Gabrielle Nichols | set Alexis Stucky | +2.7 |
| 7 | 4-3 | PENNST | MICHST | Kill | Madi Andrews | set Malayah Long | +1.8 |
| 8 | 5-3 | MICHST | PENNST | Serve err | Michigan St. | +1.9 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | PENNST | MICHST | Kill | Zora Hardison | set Malayah Long | +1.9 |
| 10 | 6-4 | MICHST | PENNST | Serve err | Michigan St. | +2.0 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | PENNST | MICHST | Kill | Alanna Bankston | set Malayah Long | +1.9 |
| 12 | 7-5 | MICHST | PENNST | Kill | Ryla Jones | set Alexis Stucky | +2.0 |
| 13 | 7-6 | PENNST | MICHST | Kill | Carmen Waye | set Malayah Long | +2.0 |
| 14 | 8-6 | MICHST | PENNST | Kill | Whitney Lauenstein | set Alexis Stucky | +2.1 |
| 15 | 9-6 | PENNST | PENNST | Kill | Gabrielle Nichols | +2.8 | |
| 16 | 9-7 | PENNST | MICHST | Kill | Carmen Waye | set Malayah Long | +1.8 |
| 17 | 9-8 | MICHST | MICHST | Blocked | Kennedy Martin | blk Carmen Waye | +2.9 |
| 18 | 10-8 | MICHST | PENNST | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Ava Falduto | +2.2 |
| 19 | 10-9 | PENNST | MICHST | Serve err | Penn St. | +2.1 | |
| 20 | 11-9 | MICHST | PENNST | Kill | Whitney Lauenstein | set Haley Burgdorf | +2.3 |
| 21 | 11-10 | PENNST | MICHST | Kill | Zora Hardison | set Malayah Long | +2.2 |
| 22 | 12-10 | MICHST | PENNST | Kill | Emmi Sellman | set Alexis Stucky | +2.4 |
| 23 | 12-11 | PENNST | MICHST | Kill | Madi Andrews | set Malayah Long | +2.2 |
| 24 | 13-11 | MICHST | PENNST | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Alexis Stucky | +2.4 |
| 25 | 13-12 | PENNST | MICHST×3 | Attack err | Alexis Stucky | +2.3 | |
| 26 | 13-13 | MICHST | MICHST×3 | Kill | Carmen Waye | set Malayah Long | +3.6 |
| 27 | 13-14 | MICHST | MICHST×3 | Kill | Carmen Waye | set Malayah Long | +3.8 |
| 28 | 14-14 | MICHST | PENNST | Serve err | Michigan St. | +2.7 | |
| 29 | 14-15 | PENNST | MICHST×7 | Serve err | Penn St. | +2.8 | |
| 30 | 14-16 | MICHST | MICHST×7 | Blocked | Ryla Jones | blk Carmen Waye | +3.9 |
| 31 | 14-17 | MICHST | MICHST×7 | Blocked | Kennedy Martin | blk Carmen Waye, Alanna Bankston | +3.6 |
| 32 | 14-18 | MICHST | MICHST×7 | Ace | Michigan St. | aced Haley Burgdorf | +3.0 |
| 33 | 14-19 | MICHST | MICHST×7 | Blocked | Caroline Jurevicius | blk Carmen Waye, Alanna Bankston | +2.3 |
| 34 | 14-20 | MICHST | MICHST×7 | Ace | Michigan St. | aced Ava Falduto | +1.5 |
| 35 | 14-21 | MICHST | MICHST×7 | Kill | Carmen Waye | +0.9 | |
| 36 | 15-21 | MICHST | PENNST×4 | Kill | Whitney Lauenstein | set Danielle Whitmire | +0.3 |
| 37 | 16-21 | PENNST | PENNST×4 | Kill | Whitney Lauenstein | set Ryla Jones | +0.7 |
| 38 | 17-21 | PENNST | PENNST×4 | Blocked | Hayley Ogden | blk Whitney Lauenstein, Gabrielle Nichols | +1.2 |
| 39 | 18-21 | PENNST | PENNST×4 | Attack err | Carmen Waye | +2.0 | |
| 40 | 18-22 | PENNST | MICHST | Serve err | Penn St. | +2.2 | |
| 41 | 19-22 | MICHST | PENNST | Attack err | Madi Andrews | +1.2 | |
| 42 | 20-22 | PENNST | PENNST | Attack err | Madi Andrews | +2.9 | |
| 43 | 20-23 | PENNST | MICHST | Kill | Madi Andrews | set Malayah Long | +3.3 |
| 44 | 20-24 | MICHST | MICHST | Blocked | Whitney Lauenstein | blk Zora Hardison, Hayley Ogden | +2.6 |
| 45 | 21-24 | MICHST | PENNST | Kill | Whitney Lauenstein | set Danielle Whitmire | +0.5 |
| 46 | 21-25 | PENNST | MICHST | Kill | Zora Hardison | set Malayah Long | +1.3 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | MICHST | MICHST×7 | Blocked | Gabrielle Nichols | blk Carmen Waye | +1.7 |
| 2 | 0-2 | MICHST | MICHST×7 | Blocked | Emmi Sellman | blk Carmen Waye, Hayley Ogden | +1.7 |
| 3 | 0-3 | MICHST | MICHST×7 | Kill | Carmen Waye | +1.6 | |
| 4 | 0-4 | MICHST | MICHST×7 | Kill | Hayley Ogden | set Malayah Long | +1.5 |
| 5 | 0-5 | MICHST | MICHST×7 | Kill | Hayley Ogden | set Lia Schneider | +1.4 |
| 6 | 0-6 | MICHST | MICHST×7 | Kill | Madi Andrews | set Malayah Long | +1.2 |
| 7 | 0-7 | MICHST | MICHST×7 | Attack err | Gabrielle Nichols | +1.0 | |
| 8 | 1-7 | MICHST | PENNST | Blocked | Madi Andrews | blk Gabrielle Nichols, Kennedy Martin | +0.6 |
| 9 | 2-7 | PENNST | PENNST | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Danielle Whitmire | +1.0 |
| 10 | 2-8 | PENNST | MICHST | Kill | Hayley Ogden | set Malayah Long | +0.9 |
| 11 | 3-8 | MICHST | PENNST×4 | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Danielle Whitmire | +0.7 |
| 12 | 4-8 | PENNST | PENNST×4 | Kill | Emmi Sellman | set Ava Falduto | +1.2 |
| 13 | 5-8 | PENNST | PENNST×4 | Blocked | Madi Andrews | blk Ryla Jones, Danielle Whitmire | +1.5 |
| 14 | 6-8 | PENNST | PENNST×4 | Kill | Emmi Sellman | set Danielle Whitmire | +1.7 |
| 15 | 6-9 | PENNST | MICHST | Kill | Hayley Ogden | set Malayah Long | +1.3 |
| 16 | 6-10 | MICHST | MICHST | Kill | Zora Hardison | set Malayah Long | +1.7 |
| 17 | 7-10 | MICHST | PENNST | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Ava Falduto | +1.1 |
| 18 | 7-11 | PENNST | MICHST | Kill | Madi Andrews | set Malayah Long | +1.2 |
| 19 | 8-11 | MICHST | PENNST | Blocked | Alanna Bankston | blk Danielle Whitmire, Ryla Jones | +1.1 |
| 20 | 8-12 | PENNST | MICHST | Serve err | Penn St. | +1.3 | |
| 21 | 9-12 | MICHST | PENNST | Kill | Whitney Lauenstein | set Danielle Whitmire | +1.1 |
| 22 | 9-13 | PENNST | MICHST | Serve err | Penn St. | +1.3 | |
| 23 | 10-13 | MICHST | PENNST | Blocked | Alanna Bankston | blk Kennedy Martin, Gabrielle Nichols | +1.1 |
| 24 | 10-14 | PENNST | MICHST | Kill | Hayley Ogden | set Malayah Long | +1.3 |
| 25 | 11-14 | MICHST | PENNST | Blocked | Madi Andrews | blk Kennedy Martin, Gabrielle Nichols | +1.1 |
| 26 | 12-14 | PENNST | PENNST | Attack err | Carmen Waye | +1.9 | |
| 27 | 12-15 | PENNST | MICHST | Kill | Madi Andrews | set Lia Schneider | +1.6 |
| 28 | 12-16 | MICHST | MICHST | Attack err | Kendall Northern | +1.9 | |
| 29 | 13-16 | MICHST | PENNST×4 | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Danielle Whitmire | +1.1 |
| 30 | 14-16 | PENNST | PENNST×4 | Attack err | Madi Andrews | +2.0 | |
| 31 | 15-16 | PENNST | PENNST×4 | Kill | Emmi Sellman | set Danielle Whitmire | +2.4 |
| 32 | 16-16 | PENNST | PENNST×4 | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Danielle Whitmire | +2.7 |
| 33 | 16-17 | PENNST | MICHST | Kill | Hayley Ogden | set Malayah Long | +2.1 |
| 34 | 17-17 | MICHST | PENNST×3 | Serve err | Michigan St. | +2.0 | |
| 35 | 18-17 | PENNST | PENNST×3 | Blocked | Madi Andrews | blk Kendall Northern, Danielle Whitmire | +3.1 |
| 36 | 19-17 | PENNST | PENNST×3 | Kill | Whitney Lauenstein | set Danielle Whitmire | +3.0 |
| 37 | 19-18 | PENNST | MICHST | Kill | Malayah Long | set Taylah Holdem | +1.9 |
| 38 | 19-19 | MICHST | MICHST | Attack err | Kennedy Martin | +3.3 | |
| 39 | 20-19 | MICHST | PENNST | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Danielle Whitmire | +2.6 |
| 40 | 21-19 | PENNST | PENNST | Attack err | Alanna Bankston | +3.5 | |
| 41 | 21-20 | PENNST | MICHST×3 | Serve err | Penn St. | +2.1 | |
| 42 | 21-21 | MICHST | MICHST×3 | Bad set | Danielle Whitmire | +3.9 | |
| 43 | 21-22 | MICHST | MICHST×3 | Attack err | Kennedy Martin | +4.6 | |
| 44 | 22-22 | MICHST | PENNST×4 | Kill | Gabrielle Nichols | set Danielle Whitmire | +3.1 |
| 45 | 23-22 | PENNST | PENNST×4 | Kill | Kennedy Martin | +5.4 | |
| 46 | 24-22 | PENNST | PENNST×4 | Attack err | Carmen Waye | +5.1 | |
| 47 | 25-22 | PENNST | PENNST×4 | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Madi Andrews | +2.8 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | PENNST | MICHST | Serve err | Penn St. | +2.4 | |
| 2 | 0-2 | MICHST | MICHST | Kill | Hayley Ogden | +3.4 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | MICHST | PENNST×3 | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Ky Clayton | +2.4 |
| 4 | 2-2 | PENNST | PENNST×3 | Attack err | Hayley Ogden | +3.5 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | PENNST | PENNST×3 | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Danielle Whitmire | +3.6 |
| 6 | 3-3 | PENNST | MICHST×3 | Kill | Carmen Waye | set Malayah Long | +2.5 |
| 7 | 3-4 | MICHST | MICHST×3 | Blocked | Emmi Sellman | blk Hayley Ogden, Zora Hardison | +3.7 |
| 8 | 3-5 | MICHST | MICHST×3 | Ace | Michigan St. | aced Jocelyn Nathan | +3.6 |
| 9 | 4-5 | MICHST | PENNST | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Danielle Whitmire | +2.5 |
| 10 | 4-6 | PENNST | MICHST | Kill | Alanna Bankston | set Malayah Long | +2.7 |
| 11 | 5-6 | MICHST | PENNST | Kill | Emmi Sellman | set Ava Falduto | +2.6 |
| 12 | 5-7 | PENNST | MICHST | Attack err | Kendall Northern | +2.7 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | MICHST | PENNST | Kill | Kendall Northern | set Danielle Whitmire | +2.6 |
| 14 | 6-8 | PENNST | MICHST×3 | Kill | Zora Hardison | set Malayah Long | +2.8 |
| 15 | 6-9 | MICHST | MICHST×3 | Attack err | Whitney Lauenstein | +3.8 | |
| 16 | 6-10 | MICHST | MICHST×3 | Attack err | Whitney Lauenstein | +3.4 | |
| 17 | 7-10 | MICHST | PENNST | Kill | Danielle Whitmire | set Lexi Gin | +2.1 |
| 18 | 7-11 | PENNST | MICHST | Kill | Madi Andrews | set Malayah Long | +2.5 |
| 19 | 8-11 | MICHST | PENNST | Kill | Whitney Lauenstein | set Danielle Whitmire | +2.2 |
| 20 | 8-12 | PENNST | MICHST | Serve err | Penn St. | +2.6 | |
| 21 | 9-12 | MICHST | PENNST | Blocked | Madi Andrews | blk Whitney Lauenstein | +2.2 |
| 22 | 9-13 | PENNST | MICHST | Kill | Carmen Waye | set Malayah Long | +2.6 |
| 23 | 9-14 | MICHST | MICHST | Kill | Zora Hardison | set Malayah Long | +3.1 |
| 24 | 10-14 | MICHST | PENNST | Kill | Gabrielle Nichols | set Danielle Whitmire | +1.7 |
| 25 | 11-14 | PENNST | PENNST | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Danielle Whitmire | +3.1 |
| 26 | 11-15 | PENNST | MICHST | Kill | Zora Hardison | set Malayah Long | +2.7 |
| 27 | 11-16 | MICHST | MICHST | Kill | Zora Hardison | set Malayah Long | +3.1 |
| 28 | 12-16 | MICHST | PENNST | Kill | Emmi Sellman | set Danielle Whitmire | +1.7 |
| 29 | 12-17 | PENNST | MICHST | Kill | Malayah Long | set Zora Hardison | +2.2 |
| 30 | 12-18 | MICHST | MICHST | Blocked | Kendall Northern | blk Zora Hardison, Alanna Bankston | +2.3 |
| 31 | 13-18 | MICHST | PENNST | Kill | Haley Burgdorf | set Ava Falduto | +1.0 |
| 32 | 14-18 | PENNST | PENNST | Kill | Kendall Northern | set Danielle Whitmire | +2.1 |
| 33 | 14-19 | PENNST | MICHST×3 | Kill | Zora Hardison | set Malayah Long | +2.2 |
| 34 | 14-20 | MICHST | MICHST×3 | Kill | Alanna Bankston | set Malayah Long | +2.0 |
| 35 | 14-21 | MICHST | MICHST×3 | Blocked | Kennedy Martin | blk Alanna Bankston | +1.1 |
| 36 | 15-21 | MICHST | PENNST×4 | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Danielle Whitmire | +0.4 |
| 37 | 16-21 | PENNST | PENNST×4 | Blocked | Alanna Bankston | blk Gabrielle Nichols, Danielle Whitmire | +0.9 |
| 38 | 17-21 | PENNST | PENNST×4 | Attack err | Carmen Waye | +1.6 | |
| 39 | 18-21 | PENNST | PENNST×4 | Ace | Penn St. | aced Lia Schneider | +2.6 |
| 40 | 18-22 | PENNST | MICHST×3 | Serve err | Penn St. | +2.9 | |
| 41 | 18-23 | MICHST | MICHST×3 | Attack err | Gabrielle Nichols | +2.3 | |
| 42 | 18-24 | MICHST | MICHST×3 | Kill | Hayley Ogden | set Malayah Long | +0.9 |
| 43 | 19-24 | MICHST | PENNST | Attack err | Alanna Bankston | +0.1 | |
| 44 | 19-25 | PENNST | MICHST | Blocked | Kennedy Martin | blk Alanna Bankston | +0.3 |
Score shown after each rally, Penn St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).