Final · 4 setsSun, Sep 27, 2026Watch on BTN

Michigan St. def. Penn St. 3–1

Michigan St. beat visiting Penn St. 3-1 (25-19, 25-21, 22-25, 25-19) on Sun, Sep 27, 2026. Hayley Ogden and Madi Andrews led Michigan St. with 13 kills each; Penn St.'s Kennedy Martin had a match-high 19.

Data through · final Sep 27

Set1234Sets
PENNST192125191
MICHST252522253

Win probability

Michigan St. above 50 · Penn St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+5.4% PENNSTrally 181 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.4% to Penn St. — set 3, PENNST 23-22 MICHST. Kill by Kennedy Martin. MICHST win probability 88% → 83%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

PENNST 51.1%48.9% MICHST

Penn St. wins

3-0
13.0%
3-1
19.2%
3-2
18.9%

Michigan St. wins

3-0
12.0%
3-1
18.3%
3-2
18.6%
PENNST break %
41.8% vs this opp
MICHST break %
41.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Kennedy Martin

    Set 3 · PENNST 23-22 MICHST · PENNST 12% → 17%

  2. 02
    Carmen WayeAttack error+5.1%

    Attack error by Carmen Waye

    Set 3 · PENNST 24-22 MICHST · PENNST 17% → 22%

  3. 03
    Kennedy MartinAttack error+4.6%

    Attack error by Kennedy Martin

    Set 3 · PENNST 21-22 MICHST · MICHST 87% → 91%

  4. 04
    Carmen WayeBlock+3.9%

    Ryla Jones stuffed by Carmen Waye

    Set 2 · PENNST 14-16 MICHST · MICHST 71% → 75%

  5. 05
    Danielle WhitmireBad set+3.9%

    Bad set by Danielle Whitmire

    Set 3 · PENNST 21-21 MICHST · MICHST 83% → 87%

  6. 06
    Carmen WayeKill+3.8%

    Kill by Carmen Waye (set by Malayah Long)

    Set 2 · PENNST 13-14 MICHST · MICHST 67% → 71%

  7. 07
    Whitney LauensteinAttack error+3.8%

    Attack error by Whitney Lauenstein

    Set 4 · PENNST 6-9 MICHST · MICHST 82% → 86%

  8. 08

    Emmi Sellman stuffed by Hayley Ogden & Zora Hardison

    Set 4 · PENNST 3-4 MICHST · MICHST 74% → 78%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
419855.2000008006322
49429.17200071111.510.5
45415.067000001649
4102.500101320001
3116.00010210052.53.5
2012-.5001011100001
49227.25900130010.59.5
4102.5002403400423
4000–5011810000
4000–000420000
3000–100400000
2237-.14300000010.52.5
1000–011000001
1011-1.000000000000
Team totals4724146.158422105372241484
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413325.40000020031.514.5
48419.21112130334.514.5
413844.1141029000013
410116.56320000132.512.5
481045-.044000111233.511.5
43031.00040301100006
4000–021100002
4000–6022110000
4000–102500000
Team totals5526152.19151786326121297

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 PENNST · MICHST 7

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 5 PENNSTMICHST 5

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 4 PENNSTMICHST 7

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 4 PENNSTMICHST 7

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 4 PENNSTMICHST 3

Bars above the line = Michigan St. leads, below = Penn St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Penn St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
41%7/17
22%2/9
2
60%6/10
46%6/13
3
75%6/8
54%7/13
4
60%6/10
25%2/8
5
33%6/18
25%2/8
6
63%5/8
67%10/15
All
51%36/71
44%29/66

Michigan St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%8/12
63%10/16
2
41%7/17
36%4/11
3
67%6/9
40%4/10
4
86%6/7
25%2/8
5
56%5/9
45%5/11
6
42%5/12
67%10/15
All
56%37/66
49%35/71

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

181 rallies

#PENNST-MICHSTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MICHSTPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+1.8
21-1PENNSTMICHST×3KillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+1.8
31-2MICHSTMICHST×3Attack errWhitney Lauenstein+2.6
41-3MICHSTMICHST×3BlockedGabrielle Nicholsblk Zora Hardison+2.6
52-3MICHSTPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+1.8
63-3PENNSTPENNSTKillEmmi Sellmanset Alexis Stucky+2.6
73-4PENNSTMICHSTKillMadi Andrewsset Lia Schneider+1.9
83-5MICHSTMICHSTKillZora Hardisonset Malayah Long+2.7
94-5MICHSTPENNSTServe errMichigan St.+1.9
104-6PENNSTMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+2.0
115-6MICHSTPENNSTServe errMichigan St.+1.9
125-7PENNSTMICHST×5Attack errKennedy Martin+2.0
135-8MICHSTMICHST×5KillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+2.7
145-9MICHSTMICHST×5AceMichigan St.aced Jocelyn Nathan+2.5
155-10MICHSTMICHST×5KillAlanna Bankstonset Lia Schneider+2.2
165-11MICHSTMICHST×5KillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+1.8
176-11MICHSTPENNSTKillEmmi Sellmanset Alexis Stucky+1.0
186-12PENNSTMICHST×3KillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+1.3
196-13MICHSTMICHST×3KillMadi Andrewsset Lia Schneider+1.4
206-14MICHSTMICHST×3KillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+1.0
217-14MICHSTPENNSTServe errMichigan St.+0.5
227-15PENNSTMICHSTKillMalayah Longset Madi Andrews+0.7
238-15MICHSTPENNSTServe errMichigan St.+0.5
249-15PENNSTPENNSTAcePenn St.aced Alanna Bankston+0.9
259-16PENNSTMICHST×4KillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+0.9
269-17MICHST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.9
279-18MICHSTMICHST×4KillMadi Andrewsset Malayah Long+0.5
289-19MICHSTMICHST×4KillMadi Andrewsset Malayah Long+0.3
2910-19MICHSTPENNST×3KillGabrielle Nicholsset Danielle Whitmire+0.1
3011-19PENNSTPENNST×3Bad setMalayah Long+0.2
3112-19PENNSTPENNST×3Attack errAlanna Bankston+0.4
3212-20PENNSTMICHSTKillMadi Andrewsset Zora Hardison+0.4
3313-20MICHSTPENNST×5KillKennedy Martinset Danielle Whitmire+0.2
3414-20PENNSTPENNST×5KillKennedy Martinset Danielle Whitmire+0.5
3515-20PENNSTPENNST×5BlockedAlanna Bankstonblk Ryla Jones, Kennedy Martin+0.8
3616-20PENNSTPENNST×5Attack errAlanna Bankston+1.4
3717-20PENNSTPENNST×5BlockedZora Hardisonblk Emmi Sellman, Ryla Jones+2.1
3817-21PENNSTMICHSTServe errPenn St.+2.2
3918-21MICHSTPENNSTBlockedAlanna Bankstonblk Ryla Jones, Kennedy Martin+1.4
4018-22PENNSTMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Lia Schneider+2.2
4119-22MICHSTPENNSTKillEmmi Sellmanset Danielle Whitmire+1.2
4219-23PENNSTMICHST×3KillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+2.1
4319-24MICHSTMICHST×3AceMichigan St.aced Whitney Lauenstein+1.3
4419-25MICHSTMICHST×3AceMichigan St.aced Haley Burgdorf+0.3
Set 2
11-0PENNSTPENNSTBlockedHayley Ogdenblk Gabrielle Nichols+2.6
21-1PENNSTMICHSTKillMadi Andrewsset Carmen Waye+1.8
31-2MICHSTMICHSTAceMichigan St.+2.6
42-2MICHSTPENNST×3KillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+1.9
53-2PENNSTPENNST×3BlockedAlanna Bankstonblk Gabrielle Nichols, Kennedy Martin+2.7
64-2PENNSTPENNST×3KillGabrielle Nicholsset Alexis Stucky+2.7
74-3PENNSTMICHSTKillMadi Andrewsset Malayah Long+1.8
85-3MICHSTPENNSTServe errMichigan St.+1.9
95-4PENNSTMICHSTKillZora Hardisonset Malayah Long+1.9
106-4MICHSTPENNSTServe errMichigan St.+2.0
116-5PENNSTMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+1.9
127-5MICHSTPENNSTKillRyla Jonesset Alexis Stucky+2.0
137-6PENNSTMICHSTKillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long+2.0
148-6MICHSTPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+2.1
159-6PENNSTPENNSTKillGabrielle Nichols+2.8
169-7PENNSTMICHSTKillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long+1.8
179-8MICHSTMICHSTBlockedKennedy Martinblk Carmen Waye+2.9
1810-8MICHSTPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Ava Falduto+2.2
1910-9PENNSTMICHSTServe errPenn St.+2.1
2011-9MICHSTPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Haley Burgdorf+2.3
2111-10PENNSTMICHSTKillZora Hardisonset Malayah Long+2.2
2212-10MICHSTPENNSTKillEmmi Sellmanset Alexis Stucky+2.4
2312-11PENNSTMICHSTKillMadi Andrewsset Malayah Long+2.2
2413-11MICHSTPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+2.4
2513-12PENNSTMICHST×3Attack errAlexis Stucky+2.3
2613-13MICHSTMICHST×3KillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long+3.6
2713-14MICHSTMICHST×3KillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long+3.8
2814-14MICHSTPENNSTServe errMichigan St.+2.7
2914-15PENNSTMICHST×7Serve errPenn St.+2.8
3014-16MICHSTMICHST×7BlockedRyla Jonesblk Carmen Waye+3.9
3114-17MICHSTMICHST×7BlockedKennedy Martinblk Carmen Waye, Alanna Bankston+3.6
3214-18MICHSTMICHST×7AceMichigan St.aced Haley Burgdorf+3.0
3314-19MICHSTMICHST×7BlockedCaroline Jureviciusblk Carmen Waye, Alanna Bankston+2.3
3414-20MICHSTMICHST×7AceMichigan St.aced Ava Falduto+1.5
3514-21MICHSTMICHST×7KillCarmen Waye+0.9
3615-21MICHSTPENNST×4KillWhitney Lauensteinset Danielle Whitmire+0.3
3716-21PENNSTPENNST×4KillWhitney Lauensteinset Ryla Jones+0.7
3817-21PENNSTPENNST×4BlockedHayley Ogdenblk Whitney Lauenstein, Gabrielle Nichols+1.2
3918-21PENNSTPENNST×4Attack errCarmen Waye+2.0
4018-22PENNSTMICHSTServe errPenn St.+2.2
4119-22MICHSTPENNSTAttack errMadi Andrews+1.2
4220-22PENNSTPENNSTAttack errMadi Andrews+2.9
4320-23PENNSTMICHSTKillMadi Andrewsset Malayah Long+3.3
4420-24MICHSTMICHSTBlockedWhitney Lauensteinblk Zora Hardison, Hayley Ogden+2.6
4521-24MICHSTPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Danielle Whitmire+0.5
4621-25PENNSTMICHSTKillZora Hardisonset Malayah Long+1.3
Set 3
10-1MICHSTMICHST×7BlockedGabrielle Nicholsblk Carmen Waye+1.7
20-2MICHSTMICHST×7BlockedEmmi Sellmanblk Carmen Waye, Hayley Ogden+1.7
30-3MICHSTMICHST×7KillCarmen Waye+1.6
40-4MICHSTMICHST×7KillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+1.5
50-5MICHSTMICHST×7KillHayley Ogdenset Lia Schneider+1.4
60-6MICHSTMICHST×7KillMadi Andrewsset Malayah Long+1.2
70-7MICHSTMICHST×7Attack errGabrielle Nichols+1.0
81-7MICHSTPENNSTBlockedMadi Andrewsblk Gabrielle Nichols, Kennedy Martin+0.6
92-7PENNSTPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Danielle Whitmire+1.0
102-8PENNSTMICHSTKillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+0.9
113-8MICHSTPENNST×4KillKennedy Martinset Danielle Whitmire+0.7
124-8PENNSTPENNST×4KillEmmi Sellmanset Ava Falduto+1.2
135-8PENNSTPENNST×4BlockedMadi Andrewsblk Ryla Jones, Danielle Whitmire+1.5
146-8PENNSTPENNST×4KillEmmi Sellmanset Danielle Whitmire+1.7
156-9PENNSTMICHSTKillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+1.3
166-10MICHSTMICHSTKillZora Hardisonset Malayah Long+1.7
177-10MICHSTPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Ava Falduto+1.1
187-11PENNSTMICHSTKillMadi Andrewsset Malayah Long+1.2
198-11MICHSTPENNSTBlockedAlanna Bankstonblk Danielle Whitmire, Ryla Jones+1.1
208-12PENNSTMICHSTServe errPenn St.+1.3
219-12MICHSTPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Danielle Whitmire+1.1
229-13PENNSTMICHSTServe errPenn St.+1.3
2310-13MICHSTPENNSTBlockedAlanna Bankstonblk Kennedy Martin, Gabrielle Nichols+1.1
2410-14PENNSTMICHSTKillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+1.3
2511-14MICHSTPENNSTBlockedMadi Andrewsblk Kennedy Martin, Gabrielle Nichols+1.1
2612-14PENNSTPENNSTAttack errCarmen Waye+1.9
2712-15PENNSTMICHSTKillMadi Andrewsset Lia Schneider+1.6
2812-16MICHSTMICHSTAttack errKendall Northern+1.9
2913-16MICHSTPENNST×4KillKennedy Martinset Danielle Whitmire+1.1
3014-16PENNSTPENNST×4Attack errMadi Andrews+2.0
3115-16PENNSTPENNST×4KillEmmi Sellmanset Danielle Whitmire+2.4
3216-16PENNSTPENNST×4KillKennedy Martinset Danielle Whitmire+2.7
3316-17PENNSTMICHSTKillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+2.1
3417-17MICHSTPENNST×3Serve errMichigan St.+2.0
3518-17PENNSTPENNST×3BlockedMadi Andrewsblk Kendall Northern, Danielle Whitmire+3.1
3619-17PENNSTPENNST×3KillWhitney Lauensteinset Danielle Whitmire+3.0
3719-18PENNSTMICHSTKillMalayah Longset Taylah Holdem+1.9
3819-19MICHSTMICHSTAttack errKennedy Martin+3.3
3920-19MICHSTPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Danielle Whitmire+2.6
4021-19PENNSTPENNSTAttack errAlanna Bankston+3.5
4121-20PENNSTMICHST×3Serve errPenn St.+2.1
4221-21MICHSTMICHST×3Bad setDanielle Whitmire+3.9
4321-22MICHSTMICHST×3Attack errKennedy Martin+4.6
4422-22MICHSTPENNST×4KillGabrielle Nicholsset Danielle Whitmire+3.1
4523-22PENNSTPENNST×4KillKennedy Martin+5.4
4624-22PENNSTPENNST×4Attack errCarmen Waye+5.1
4725-22PENNSTPENNST×4KillKennedy Martinset Madi Andrews+2.8
Set 4
10-1PENNSTMICHSTServe errPenn St.+2.4
20-2MICHSTMICHSTKillHayley Ogden+3.4
31-2MICHSTPENNST×3KillKennedy Martinset Ky Clayton+2.4
42-2PENNSTPENNST×3Attack errHayley Ogden+3.5
53-2PENNSTPENNST×3KillKennedy Martinset Danielle Whitmire+3.6
63-3PENNSTMICHST×3KillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long+2.5
73-4MICHSTMICHST×3BlockedEmmi Sellmanblk Hayley Ogden, Zora Hardison+3.7
83-5MICHSTMICHST×3AceMichigan St.aced Jocelyn Nathan+3.6
94-5MICHSTPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Danielle Whitmire+2.5
104-6PENNSTMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+2.7
115-6MICHSTPENNSTKillEmmi Sellmanset Ava Falduto+2.6
125-7PENNSTMICHSTAttack errKendall Northern+2.7
136-7MICHSTPENNSTKillKendall Northernset Danielle Whitmire+2.6
146-8PENNSTMICHST×3KillZora Hardisonset Malayah Long+2.8
156-9MICHSTMICHST×3Attack errWhitney Lauenstein+3.8
166-10MICHSTMICHST×3Attack errWhitney Lauenstein+3.4
177-10MICHSTPENNSTKillDanielle Whitmireset Lexi Gin+2.1
187-11PENNSTMICHSTKillMadi Andrewsset Malayah Long+2.5
198-11MICHSTPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Danielle Whitmire+2.2
208-12PENNSTMICHSTServe errPenn St.+2.6
219-12MICHSTPENNSTBlockedMadi Andrewsblk Whitney Lauenstein+2.2
229-13PENNSTMICHSTKillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long+2.6
239-14MICHSTMICHSTKillZora Hardisonset Malayah Long+3.1
2410-14MICHSTPENNSTKillGabrielle Nicholsset Danielle Whitmire+1.7
2511-14PENNSTPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Danielle Whitmire+3.1
2611-15PENNSTMICHSTKillZora Hardisonset Malayah Long+2.7
2711-16MICHSTMICHSTKillZora Hardisonset Malayah Long+3.1
2812-16MICHSTPENNSTKillEmmi Sellmanset Danielle Whitmire+1.7
2912-17PENNSTMICHSTKillMalayah Longset Zora Hardison+2.2
3012-18MICHSTMICHSTBlockedKendall Northernblk Zora Hardison, Alanna Bankston+2.3
3113-18MICHSTPENNSTKillHaley Burgdorfset Ava Falduto+1.0
3214-18PENNSTPENNSTKillKendall Northernset Danielle Whitmire+2.1
3314-19PENNSTMICHST×3KillZora Hardisonset Malayah Long+2.2
3414-20MICHSTMICHST×3KillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+2.0
3514-21MICHSTMICHST×3BlockedKennedy Martinblk Alanna Bankston+1.1
3615-21MICHSTPENNST×4KillKennedy Martinset Danielle Whitmire+0.4
3716-21PENNSTPENNST×4BlockedAlanna Bankstonblk Gabrielle Nichols, Danielle Whitmire+0.9
3817-21PENNSTPENNST×4Attack errCarmen Waye+1.6
3918-21PENNSTPENNST×4AcePenn St.aced Lia Schneider+2.6
4018-22PENNSTMICHST×3Serve errPenn St.+2.9
4118-23MICHSTMICHST×3Attack errGabrielle Nichols+2.3
4218-24MICHSTMICHST×3KillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+0.9
4319-24MICHSTPENNSTAttack errAlanna Bankston+0.1
4419-25PENNSTMICHSTBlockedKennedy Martinblk Alanna Bankston+0.3

Score shown after each rally, Penn St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).