FinalFri, Oct 2, 2026Watch on B1G+

Michigan St. def. UCLA 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: UCLA 50.3% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 8:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Michigan St. won at UCLA 3-0 (25-16, 25-19, 25-14) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. Michigan St.'s Alanna Bankston led with 15 kills, and Lia Schneider added 13 digs.

Data through · final Oct 2

Set123Sets
MICHST2525253
UCLA1619140

Match story · written from the play-by-play

15 kills in 3 sets for Alanna Bankston. Michigan St. swept UCLA.

The biggest single-rally swing was 4.0 points, and UCLA's high was 53% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. RallyIQ had UCLA at 50% before first serve.

Michigan St.UCLA
  • Break %+24.6 pts
    52.127.5

    38 of 73 on serve vs 14 of 51, so UCLA's sideout was 47.9%.

  • Hitting+.245
    .284.039

    40 kills, 15 errors vs 28 kills, 24 errors.

UCLA above 50Michigan St. belowMax swing 4.0%

Michigan St.UCLA

Aces
Michigan St. 4·UCLA 1
Serve err
Michigan St. 5·UCLA 7
Blocks
Michigan St. 10·UCLA 72 BS · 16 BA vs 3 BS · 8 BA
Digs
Michigan St. 39·UCLA 31

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UCLA above 50 · Michigan St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+4.0% MICHSTrally 124 · set 3

Biggest swing: 4.0% to Michigan St. — set 2, MICHST 20-17 UCLA. Maggie Li stuffed by Malayah Long & Carmen Waye. UCLA win probability 23% → 19%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MICHST 54.6%45.4% UCLA

Michigan St. wins

3-0
14.5%
3-1
20.7%
3-2
19.4%

UCLA wins

3-0
10.7%
3-1
16.8%
3-2
17.9%
MICHST break %
42.1% vs this opp
UCLA break %
41.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Maggie Li stuffed by Malayah Long & Carmen Waye

    Set 2 · MICHST 20-17 UCLA · MICHST 77% → 81%

  2. 02
    Michigan St.Ace+3.9%

    Michigan St. ace on Ava Utterback

    Set 2 · MICHST 16-14 UCLA · MICHST 72% → 76%

  3. 03

    Kill by Marianna Singletary (set by Lola Schumacher)

    Set 2 · MICHST 18-17 UCLA · UCLA 22% → 26%

  4. 04
    Zora HardisonKill+3.7%

    Kill by Zora Hardison (set by Malayah Long)

    Set 2 · MICHST 18-15 UCLA · MICHST 76% → 80%

  5. 05
    Ava UtterbackKill+3.6%

    Kill by Ava Utterback (set by Ava Sarafa)

    Set 2 · MICHST 13-13 UCLA · UCLA 27% → 31%

  6. 06
    Carmen WayeKill+3.5%

    Kill by Carmen Waye (set by Malayah Long)

    Set 2 · MICHST 12-11 UCLA · MICHST 68% → 71%

  7. 07
    Carmen WayeBlock+3.4%

    Maggie Li stuffed by Carmen Waye

    Set 2 · MICHST 13-11 UCLA · MICHST 71% → 75%

  8. 08
    UCLAService error+3.2%

    UCLA service error

    Set 2 · MICHST 19-17 UCLA · MICHST 74% → 77%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315531.32300051031.516.5
38110.7000220014313
34311.091000101437
36523.04300180010.56.5
3507.714000000216
3216.1673201500213
3000–2101300001
3000–111600001
3000–000100000
Team totals401588.28435453912161075
UCLAhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37518.11110100031.58.5
38632.063100400008
34310.100000001226
32213.000001211013
3000–003300000
21011.000100030010.51.5
3000–0011310000
23411-.091000000214
23210.100001200003
2003.0001410201012
1013-.333000100000
1012-.500000000000
1000–000110000
Team totals2824103.039261731438749

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 MICHST · UCLA 4

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 3 MICHSTUCLA 3

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 4 MICHSTUCLA 4

Set 3

25-14

Longest run 4 MICHSTUCLA 2

Bars above the line = UCLA leads, below = Michigan St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Michigan St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
70%7/10
62%8/13
2
86%6/7
54%7/13
3
75%6/8
33%3/9
4
75%6/8
50%6/12
5
55%6/11
54%7/13
6
86%6/7
54%7/13
All
73%37/51
52%38/73

UCLA

SlotSideout %Break %
1
58%7/12
40%4/10
2
46%6/13
0%0/7
3
55%6/11
33%3/9
4
50%6/12
25%2/8
5
50%6/12
14%1/7
6
31%4/13
40%4/10
All
48%35/73
27%14/51

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

124 rallies

#MICHST-UCLASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UCLAUCLAAttack errAlanna Bankston+2.6
21-1UCLAMICHST×3KillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long+1.8
32-1MICHSTMICHST×3KillMadi Andrewsset Lia Schneider+2.6
43-1MICHSTMICHST×3Attack errBrooke Harwood+2.6
53-2MICHSTUCLABlockedMadi Andrewsblk Kate Duffey, Brooke Harwood+1.8
64-2UCLAMICHSTKillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long+1.9
75-2MICHSTMICHSTBlockedMaggie Liblk Zora Hardison, Hayley Ogden+2.6
85-3MICHSTUCLAKillMaggie Liset Kate Duffey+1.7
96-3UCLAMICHST×3BlockedMarianna Singletaryblk Zora Hardison+1.8
107-3MICHSTMICHST×3KillZora Hardisonset Kate Duffey+2.4
118-3MICHSTMICHST×3Attack errEliana Urzua+2.1
128-4MICHSTUCLABlockedZora Hardisonblk Marianna Singletary, Eliana Urzua+1.3
139-4UCLAMICHSTKillMadi Andrewsset Malayah Long+1.5
1410-4MICHSTMICHSTAttack errMarianna Singletary+1.8
1510-5MICHSTUCLAKillEliana Urzuaset Kate Duffey+1.0
1611-5UCLAMICHST×3BlockedEliana Urzuablk Zora Hardison, Alanna Bankston+1.3
1712-5MICHSTMICHST×3KillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+1.4
1813-5MICHSTMICHST×3Attack errBrooke Harwood+1.1
1913-6MICHSTUCLAKillBrooke Harwoodset Kate Duffey+0.5
2014-6UCLAMICHST×3KillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+0.7
2115-6MICHSTMICHST×3KillAlanna Bankston+0.7
2216-6MICHSTMICHST×3Attack errAva Utterback+0.4
2316-7MICHSTUCLAServe errMichigan St.+0.2
2417-7UCLAMICHSTServe errUCLA+0.3
2517-8MICHSTUCLAAttack errMadi Andrews+0.1
2618-8UCLAMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+0.2
2718-9MICHSTUCLAKillMaggie Liset Kate Duffey+0.1
2818-10UCLAUCLAAttack errMadi Andrews+0.3
2919-10UCLAMICHST×3KillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+0.3
3020-10MICHSTMICHST×3KillZora Hardisonset Malayah Long+0.2
3121-10MICHSTMICHST×3Attack errMarianna Singletary+0.1
3221-11MICHSTUCLA×3KillMarianna Singletaryset Kate Duffey·
3321-12UCLAUCLA×3Attack errZora Hardison+0.1
3421-13UCLAUCLA×3BlockedMadi Andrewsblk Eliana Urzua, Marianna Singletary+0.1
3522-13UCLAMICHSTKillZora Hardisonset Malayah Long+0.1
3623-13MICHSTMICHSTKillMalayah Longset Taylah Holdem+0.1
3723-14MICHSTUCLAServe errMichigan St.·
3823-15UCLAUCLAAttack errZora Hardison·
3924-15UCLAMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long·
4024-16MICHSTUCLABlockedMalayah Longblk Ava Utterback·
4125-16UCLAMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long·
Set 2
10-1MICHSTUCLAKillEliana Urzuaset Kate Duffey+1.8
21-1UCLAMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+1.8
32-1MICHSTMICHSTKillCarmen Wayeset Kate Duffey+2.6
42-2MICHSTUCLAKillMarianna Singletaryset Kate Duffey+1.8
53-2UCLAMICHSTKillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long+1.9
63-3MICHSTUCLAServe errMichigan St.+1.9
74-3UCLAMICHSTServe errUCLA+1.9
84-4MICHSTUCLAServe errMichigan St.+1.9
95-4UCLAMICHSTKillMadi Andrewsset Malayah Long+2.0
106-4MICHSTMICHSTBlockedBrooke Harwoodblk Zora Hardison, Alanna Bankston+2.8
116-5MICHSTUCLA×4BlockedMadi Andrewsblk Brooke Harwood+1.9
126-6UCLAUCLA×4KillMarianna Singletaryset Kate Duffey+2.9
136-7UCLAUCLA×4BlockedAlanna Bankstonblk Marianna Singletary, Brooke Harwood+3.0
146-8UCLAUCLA×4Attack errAlanna Bankston+2.9
157-8UCLAMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+2.0
167-9MICHSTUCLAKillKate Duffeyset Maggie Li+2.1
177-10UCLAUCLAKillMarianna Singletaryset Kate Duffey+2.9
188-10UCLAMICHST×3KillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long+1.8
199-10MICHSTMICHST×3KillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+2.9
2010-10MICHSTMICHST×3Attack errEliana Urzua+3.2
2110-11MICHSTUCLAKillMaggie Liset Kate Duffey+2.3
2211-11UCLAMICHST×3KillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+2.3
2312-11MICHSTMICHST×3KillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long+3.5
2413-11MICHSTMICHST×3BlockedMaggie Liblk Carmen Waye+3.4
2513-12MICHSTUCLAKillEliana Urzuaset Ava Sarafa+2.3
2613-13UCLAUCLAKillAva Utterbackset Ava Sarafa+3.6
2714-13UCLAMICHSTServe errUCLA+2.6
2814-14MICHSTUCLAKillAva Utterbackset Ava Sarafa+2.6
2915-14UCLAMICHSTAttack errAva Utterback+2.8
3016-14MICHSTMICHSTAceMichigan St.aced Ava Utterback+3.9
3116-15MICHSTUCLAAttack errAlanna Bankston+2.5
3217-15UCLAMICHSTKillMadi Andrewsset Malayah Long+2.9
3318-15MICHSTMICHSTKillZora Hardisonset Malayah Long+3.7
3418-16MICHSTUCLAKillBrooke Harwoodset Ava Sarafa+2.1
3518-17UCLAUCLAKillMarianna Singletaryset Lola Schumacher+3.9
3619-17UCLAMICHST×4Serve errUCLA+3.2
3720-17MICHSTMICHST×4BlockedMaggie Liblk Malayah Long, Carmen Waye+4.0
3821-17MICHSTMICHST×4KillMalayah Long+3.1
3922-17MICHSTMICHST×4AceMichigan St.+1.9
4022-18MICHSTUCLAKillMija Bendziuteset Ava Sarafa+0.6
4123-18UCLAMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+1.2
4223-19MICHSTUCLAKillMaggie Liset Ava Sarafa+0.4
4324-19UCLAMICHSTKillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+0.9
4425-19MICHSTMICHSTAttack errEliana Urzua+0.3
Set 3
10-1UCLAUCLAKillMarianna Singletaryset Ava Sarafa+1.7
21-1UCLAMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+1.2
31-2MICHSTUCLAKillMaggie Liset Madi Andrews+1.3
42-2UCLAMICHSTBlockedHazel Alevokblk Madi Andrews, Carmen Waye+1.2
52-3MICHSTUCLAKillMaggie Liset Ava Sarafa+1.3
62-4UCLAUCLAKillMija Bendziuteset Marianna Singletary+1.8
73-4UCLAMICHSTKillMadi Andrewsset Lia Schneider+1.2
84-4MICHSTMICHSTBlockedMija Bendziuteblk Malayah Long, Zora Hardison+1.9
94-5MICHSTUCLAKillBrooke Harwoodset Ava Sarafa+1.3
105-5UCLAMICHSTServe errUCLA+1.3
116-5MICHSTMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+2.0
126-6MICHSTUCLAKillBrooke Harwoodset Ava Sarafa+1.4
137-6UCLAMICHSTServe errUCLA+1.4
148-6MICHSTMICHSTKillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long+2.0
158-7MICHSTUCLABlockedCarmen Wayeblk Ava Sarafa+1.3
169-7UCLAMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+1.4
1710-7MICHSTMICHSTKillCarmen Waye+2.0
1810-8MICHSTUCLAKillMaggie Liset Ava Sarafa+1.2
1910-9UCLAUCLAAceAva Sarafaaced Alanna Bankston+2.0
2011-9UCLAMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+1.5
2112-9MICHSTMICHSTBlockedMaggie Liblk Hayley Ogden, Carmen Waye+2.1
2212-10MICHSTUCLAKillMarianna Singletaryset Ava Sarafa+1.3
2313-10UCLAMICHST×3KillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+1.5
2414-10MICHSTMICHST×3AceMichigan St.aced Lola Schumacher+1.9
2515-10MICHSTMICHST×3AceMichigan St.aced Sakura Codling+1.6
2615-11MICHSTUCLAServe errMichigan St.+0.8
2716-11UCLAMICHSTKillMadi Andrewsset Malayah Long+1.1
2816-12MICHSTUCLAAttack errAlanna Bankston+0.8
2917-12UCLAMICHST×3Serve errUCLA+1.1
3018-12MICHSTMICHST×3Attack errMija Bendziute+1.1
3119-12MICHSTMICHST×3KillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+0.7
3219-13MICHSTUCLAKillMija Bendziuteset Ava Sarafa+0.3
3320-13UCLAMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+0.5
3421-13MICHSTMICHSTAttack errJordyn Johnson+0.3
3521-14MICHSTUCLAKillMaggie Liset Ava Sarafa+0.1
3622-14UCLAMICHST×4BlockedMarianna Singletaryblk Alanna Bankston, Carmen Waye+0.2
3723-14MICHSTMICHST×4Attack errMaggie Li+0.1
3824-14MICHSTMICHST×4Attack errMaggie Li·
3925-14MICHSTMICHST×4Attack errMarianna Singletary·

Score shown after each rally, Michigan St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).