Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 9, 2026Watch on B1G+

Oregon def. Michigan St. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Michigan St. 69.2% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 6:26 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Oregon won at Michigan St. 3-1 (25-22, 25-23, 21-25, 25-20) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. Oregon's Alanah Clemente and Sjakkie Donkers led with 17 kills each, and Reese Sheppard added 13 digs.

Data through · final Oct 9

Set1234Sets
OREGN252521253
MICHST222325201

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Valentina Vaulet served 4 aces, and Oregon needed every one.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are Oregon's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Michigan St. went in at 69% by RallyIQ.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Oregon 21–22 Michigan St.

    4 of the last 4 rallies went to Oregon, enough to take the set 25–22 and lead 1–0. The match swung to Oregon.

    Oregon 26% → 51%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 2 · Oregon 18–20 Michigan St.

    4 straight Oregon points turned an 18–20 deficit into a 22–20 lead. The match swung to Oregon.

    Oregon 44% → 68%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Oregon 14–13 Michigan St.

    Oregon scored 3 straight to stretch a 14–13 lead to 17–13.

    Oregon 73% → 89%

Michigan St. above 50Oregon belowMax swing 9.4%

OregonMichigan St.

Sideout %
Oregon 58.2·Michigan St. 54.7
Break %
Oregon 45.3·Michigan St. 41.8
Hitting
Oregon .250·Michigan St. .147
Longest run
Oregon 5·Michigan St. 5

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Michigan St. above 50 · Oregon below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+9.4% OREGNrally 186 · set 4

Biggest swing: 9.4% to Oregon — set 2, OREGN 25-23 MICHST. Kill by Sjakkie Donkers (set by Marina Crownover). MICHST win probability 31% → 22%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

OREGN 42.6%57.4% MICHST

Oregon wins

3-0
9.7%
3-1
15.7%
3-2
17.3%

Michigan St. wins

3-0
15.8%
3-1
21.8%
3-2
19.7%
OREGN break %
41.3% vs this opp
MICHST break %
42.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Sjakkie Donkers (set by Marina Crownover)

    Set 2 · OREGN 25-23 MICHST · OREGN 69% → 78%

  2. 02

    Alanna Bankston stuffed by Alanah Clemente & Dalia Vîrlan

    Set 1 · OREGN 24-22 MICHST · OREGN 39% → 47%

  3. 03
    Zora HardisonAttack error+7.6%

    Attack error by Zora Hardison

    Set 1 · OREGN 23-22 MICHST · OREGN 32% → 39%

  4. 04
    Zora HardisonAttack error+7.3%

    Attack error by Zora Hardison

    Set 2 · OREGN 22-20 MICHST · OREGN 60% → 68%

  5. 05

    Kill by Sjakkie Donkers (set by Marina Crownover)

    Set 2 · OREGN 21-20 MICHST · OREGN 53% → 60%

  6. 06

    Hayley Ogden stuffed by Valentina Vaulet & Alaina Pollard

    Set 4 · OREGN 19-16 MICHST · OREGN 80% → 87%

  7. 07
    OregonAce+6.2%

    Oregon ace on Alanna Bankston

    Set 2 · OREGN 24-21 MICHST · OREGN 70% → 76%

  8. 08

    Valentina Vaulet stuffed by Carmen Waye & Hayley Ogden

    Set 4 · OREGN 17-16 MICHST · MICHST 19% → 25%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Oregonaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417425.52010350031.518.5
417743.2333038310118
410833.0610407002115
46418.111012400218
4205.4004812110010.53.5
2124-.250000100001
4000–1021210000
4000–2031320000
3608.750000000428
2000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals5925136.25055615617112796
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414650.1603007112216
47419.1580001014310
44114.2141211024410
48536.0831011310219
4305.6003230600217
44315.067000000215
4001.0001121220001
4000–112400001
4000–001000000
2000–001000000
1113.000000000001
Team totals4120143.14739784464161290

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 OREGN · MICHST 5

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 5 OREGNMICHST 5

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 4 OREGNMICHST 3

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 3 OREGNMICHST 4

Set 4

25-20

Longest run 3 OREGNMICHST 3

Bars above the line = Michigan St. leads, below = Oregon leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Oregon

SlotSideout %Break %
1
45%10/22
43%6/14
2
56%10/18
44%8/18
3
67%10/15
47%9/19
4
62%8/13
44%7/16
5
62%8/13
38%5/13
6
70%7/10
53%8/15
All
58%53/91
45%43/95

Michigan St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%10/16
44%7/16
2
56%10/18
55%12/22
3
56%10/18
33%5/15
4
53%8/15
44%7/16
5
41%7/17
43%6/14
6
64%7/11
13%1/8
All
55%52/95
42%38/91

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

186 rallies

#OREGN-MICHSTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MICHSTMICHST×5AceMichigan St.aced Sjakkie Donkers+2.2
20-2MICHSTMICHST×5KillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+2.1
30-3MICHSTMICHST×5BlockedSjakkie Donkersblk Carmen Waye+1.9
40-4MICHSTMICHST×5KillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+1.7
50-5MICHSTMICHST×5AceMichigan St.aced Sjakkie Donkers+1.5
61-5MICHSTOREGN×4KillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+0.9
72-5OREGNOREGN×4KillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+1.6
83-5OREGNOREGN×4KillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+1.9
94-5OREGNOREGN×4AceOregon+2.2
104-6OREGNMICHSTKillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long+1.6
114-7MICHSTMICHSTAttack errIva Sucurovic+2.1
125-7MICHSTOREGN×3KillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+1.4
136-7OREGNOREGN×3KillMarina Crownoverset Alanah Clemente+2.3
147-7OREGNOREGN×3Attack errHayley Ogden+2.6
157-8OREGNMICHSTServe errOregon+1.8
168-8MICHSTOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+1.9
179-8OREGNOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+2.9
189-9OREGNMICHSTKillZora Hardisonset Malayah Long+1.9
1910-9MICHSTOREGNKillIva Sucurovicset Marina Crownover+2.1
2010-10OREGNMICHST×3KillZora Hardisonset Malayah Long+2.0
2110-11MICHSTMICHST×3KillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+2.9
2210-12MICHSTMICHST×3KillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+2.7
2311-12MICHSTOREGNServe errMichigan St.+1.9
2412-12OREGNOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+3.0
2512-13OREGNMICHSTAttack errSjakkie Donkers+2.2
2613-13MICHSTOREGNServe errMichigan St.+2.2
2714-13OREGNOREGNKillValentina Vaulet+3.5
2814-14OREGNMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Karolina Staniszewska+2.3
2915-14MICHSTOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+2.6
3015-15OREGNMICHST×4KillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+2.5
3115-16MICHSTMICHST×4BlockedValentina Vauletblk Carmen Waye, Hayley Ogden+3.6
3215-17MICHSTMICHST×4KillHayley Ogden+3.4
3315-18MICHSTMICHST×4Attack errAlanah Clemente+2.9
3416-18MICHSTOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+1.7
3516-19OREGNMICHSTServe errOregon+2.1
3617-19MICHSTOREGNServe errMichigan St.+1.7
3718-19OREGNOREGNAceOregonaced Lia Schneider+3.4
3818-20OREGNMICHSTKillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+2.8
3918-21MICHSTMICHSTBlockedIva Sucurovicblk Zora Hardison+3.3
4019-21MICHSTOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Maila Ribeiro+1.7
4120-21OREGNOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+3.7
4220-22OREGNMICHSTKillZora Hardisonset Malayah Long+3.4
4321-22MICHSTOREGN×5KillDalia Vîrlanset Marina Crownover+2.7
4422-22OREGNOREGN×5AceOregon+5.8
4523-22OREGNOREGN×5Attack errZora Hardison+7.6
4624-22OREGNOREGN×5BlockedAlanna Bankstonblk Alanah Clemente, Dalia Vîrlan+7.7
4725-22OREGNOREGN×5KillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+4.5
Set 2
11-0OREGNOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+2.9
21-1OREGNMICHST×3BlockedAlanah Clementeblk Karolina Staniszewska, Carmen Waye+2.0
31-2MICHSTMICHST×3KillKarolina Staniszewskaset Alanna Bankston+2.8
41-3MICHSTMICHST×3KillKarolina Staniszewskaset Carmen Waye+2.7
52-3MICHSTOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+1.9
62-4OREGNMICHST×3Serve errOregon+1.9
72-5MICHSTMICHST×3KillZora Hardisonset Malayah Long+2.5
82-6MICHSTMICHST×3AceMichigan St.aced Sjakkie Donkers+2.2
93-6MICHSTOREGNServe errMichigan St.+1.4
103-7OREGNMICHSTKillKarolina Staniszewskaset Alanna Bankston+1.6
114-7MICHSTOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+1.5
124-8OREGNMICHSTKillMalayah Longset Taylah Holdem+1.6
134-9MICHSTMICHSTAttack errDalia Vîrlan+1.9
145-9MICHSTOREGNKillDalia Vîrlanset Marina Crownover+1.2
155-10OREGNMICHSTServe errOregon+1.4
166-10MICHSTOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+1.2
176-11OREGNMICHSTKillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long+1.4
187-11MICHSTOREGNServe errMichigan St.+1.2
198-11OREGNOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+2.1
208-12OREGNMICHSTServe errOregon+1.7
219-12MICHSTOREGNKillAlaina Pollardset Marina Crownover+1.5
229-13OREGNMICHSTKillZora Hardisonset Malayah Long+1.8
239-14MICHSTMICHSTAttack errValentina Vaulet+2.0
2410-14MICHSTOREGNBad setZora Hardison+1.2
2511-14OREGNOREGNAceOregonaced Lia Schneider+2.2
2611-15OREGNMICHSTBlockedSjakkie Donkersblk Zora Hardison, Malayah Long+1.8
2712-15MICHSTOREGN×4Attack errZora Hardison+1.6
2813-15OREGNOREGN×4KillDalia Vîrlanset Marina Crownover+2.9
2914-15OREGNOREGN×4KillSjakkie Donkersset Reese Sheppard+3.6
3015-15OREGNOREGN×4KillDalia Vîrlanset Marina Crownover+4.3
3115-16OREGNMICHSTKillKarolina Staniszewskaset Malayah Long+3.1
3216-16MICHSTOREGNKillMarina Crownoverset Sjakkie Donkers+3.2
3316-17OREGNMICHSTServe errOregon+3.3
3417-17MICHSTOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+3.4
3517-18OREGNMICHSTServe errOregon+3.6
3618-18MICHSTOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+3.6
3718-19OREGNMICHSTKillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+3.8
3818-20MICHSTMICHSTAttack errAlanah Clemente+5.2
3919-20MICHSTOREGN×4BlockedHayley Ogdenblk Sjakkie Donkers+3.2
4020-20OREGNOREGN×4KillAlaina Pollardset Malayah Long+6.0
4121-20OREGNOREGN×4KillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+7.1
4222-20OREGNOREGN×4Attack errZora Hardison+7.3
4322-21OREGNMICHSTKillKarolina Staniszewskaset Malayah Long+3.9
4423-21MICHSTOREGNKillAlaina Pollardset Marina Crownover+5.9
4524-21OREGNOREGNAceOregonaced Alanna Bankston+6.2
4624-22OREGNMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+1.6
4724-23MICHSTMICHSTBlockedValentina Vauletblk Zora Hardison, Alanna Bankston+5.3
4825-23MICHSTOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+9.4
Set 3
11-0MICHSTOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+1.8
21-1OREGNMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+1.7
31-2MICHSTMICHSTAceMichigan St.aced Maila Ribeiro+2.4
42-2MICHSTOREGNServe errMichigan St.+1.7
52-3OREGNMICHST×3KillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long+1.7
62-4MICHSTMICHST×3KillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+2.3
72-5MICHSTMICHST×3AceMichigan St.aced Reese Sheppard+2.1
83-5MICHSTOREGNAttack errCarmen Waye+1.4
93-6OREGNMICHST×3KillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long+1.5
103-7MICHSTMICHST×3Attack errSjakkie Donkers+1.9
113-8MICHSTMICHST×3Attack errValentina Vaulet+1.6
124-8MICHSTOREGNKillDalia Vîrlanset Marina Crownover+1.0
134-9OREGNMICHSTKillKarolina Staniszewskaset Malayah Long+1.1
145-9MICHSTOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+1.0
155-10OREGNMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+1.1
165-11MICHSTMICHSTBlockedValentina Vauletblk Malayah Long, Zora Hardison+1.3
176-11MICHSTOREGNBlockedKarolina Staniszewskablk Alanah Clemente, Dalia Vîrlan+0.7
186-12OREGNMICHSTServe errOregon+0.9
197-12MICHSTOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+0.7
207-13OREGNMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+0.9
218-13MICHSTOREGNBad setMalayah Long+0.7
229-13OREGNOREGNBlockedAlanna Bankstonblk Alaina Pollard, Marina Crownover+1.4
239-14OREGNMICHSTBad setMarina Crownover+1.2
2410-14MICHSTOREGNKillAlaina Pollardset Marina Crownover+1.0
2510-15OREGNMICHSTBad setDalia Vîrlan+1.2
2610-16MICHSTMICHSTAttack errSjakkie Donkers+1.3
2711-16MICHSTOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+0.6
2812-16OREGNOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Reese Sheppard+1.3
2912-17OREGNMICHST×4BlockedAlanah Clementeblk Karolina Staniszewska, Carmen Waye+1.2
3012-18MICHSTMICHST×4AceMichigan St.+1.2
3112-19MICHSTMICHST×4AceMichigan St.aced Reese Sheppard+0.7
3212-20MICHSTMICHST×4KillKarolina Staniszewskaset Malayah Long+0.4
3313-20MICHSTOREGN×3KillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+0.1
3414-20OREGNOREGN×3Attack errKarolina Staniszewska+0.3
3515-20OREGNOREGN×3KillAlanah Clementeset Sjakkie Donkers+0.6
3615-21OREGNMICHSTServe errOregon+0.7
3716-21MICHSTOREGN×3KillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+0.3
3817-21OREGNOREGN×3Attack errAlanna Bankston+0.9
3918-21OREGNOREGN×3BlockedKarolina Staniszewskablk Alanah Clemente, Alaina Pollard+1.5
4018-22OREGNMICHSTKillKarolina Staniszewskaset Malayah Long+1.6
4119-22MICHSTOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+0.9
4219-23OREGNMICHSTServe errOregon+1.6
4320-23MICHSTOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+0.7
4420-24OREGNMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+1.4
4521-24MICHSTOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+0.4
4621-25OREGNMICHSTServe errOregon+0.9
Set 4
11-0OREGNOREGNAttack errZora Hardison+4.0
21-1OREGNMICHST×3Serve errOregon+2.7
31-2MICHSTMICHST×3BlockedDalia Vîrlanblk Alanna Bankston, Zora Hardison+3.8
41-3MICHSTMICHST×3KillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+3.6
52-3MICHSTOREGN×3Attack errAlanna Bankston+2.5
63-3OREGNOREGN×3KillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+4.0
74-3OREGNOREGN×3KillAlanah Clementeset Reese Sheppard+4.3
84-4OREGNMICHSTKillMalayah Longset Lia Schneider+2.9
95-4MICHSTOREGN×3KillDalia Vîrlanset Marina Crownover+3.1
106-4OREGNOREGN×3KillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+4.6
117-4OREGNOREGN×3Bad setMalayah Long+4.6
127-5OREGNMICHSTServe errOregon+2.9
138-5MICHSTOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+3.4
149-5OREGNOREGNAttack errKarolina Staniszewska+4.5
159-6OREGNMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+2.7
1610-6MICHSTOREGNServe errMichigan St.+3.3
1711-6OREGNOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+4.2
1811-7OREGNMICHSTAttack errValentina Vaulet+2.4
1912-7MICHSTOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+3.0
2012-8OREGNMICHSTKillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+2.4
2112-9MICHSTMICHSTKillZora Hardison+4.0
2213-9MICHSTOREGNServe errMichigan St.+3.5
2313-10OREGNMICHST×3Serve errOregon+2.8
2413-11MICHSTMICHST×3Attack errValentina Vaulet+4.7
2513-12MICHSTMICHST×3BlockedDalia Vîrlanblk Alanna Bankston+5.2
2614-12MICHSTOREGNAttack errAlanna Bankston+4.2
2714-13OREGNMICHSTKillMalayah Longset Alanna Bankston+3.8
2815-13MICHSTOREGN×3KillSjakkie Donkersset Ky Clayton+4.4
2916-13OREGNOREGN×3Attack errAlanna Bankston+6.0
3017-13OREGNOREGN×3KillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+5.4
3117-14OREGNMICHST×3Attack errDalia Vîrlan+2.8
3217-15MICHSTMICHST×3BlockedSjakkie Donkersblk Carmen Waye+5.1
3317-16MICHSTMICHST×3BlockedValentina Vauletblk Carmen Waye, Hayley Ogden+6.1
3418-16MICHSTOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Sjakkie Donkers+5.1
3519-16OREGNOREGNBlockedHayley Ogdenblk Valentina Vaulet, Alaina Pollard+6.8
3619-17OREGNMICHSTKillBianca Mumcularset Malayah Long+3.7
3720-17MICHSTOREGN×3KillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+5.1
3821-17OREGNOREGN×3BlockedBianca Mumcularblk Alaina Pollard, Valentina Vaulet+5.7
3922-17OREGNOREGN×3KillAlaina Pollardset Marina Crownover+3.7
4022-18OREGNMICHSTServe errOregon+1.2
4123-18MICHSTOREGNAttack errKarolina Staniszewska+2.3
4224-18OREGNOREGNAceOregonaced Karolina Staniszewska+1.3
4324-19OREGNMICHSTKillZora Hardisonset Malayah Long+0.2
4424-20MICHSTMICHSTAttack errSjakkie Donkers+0.6
4525-20MICHSTOREGNKillAlaina Pollardset Marina Crownover+1.0

Score shown after each rally, Oregon first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).