Final · 4 setsSun, Oct 11, 2026Watch on B1G+

Michigan St. def. Iowa 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Michigan St. 92.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 11, 11:56 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Michigan St. beat visiting Iowa 3-1 (25-27, 25-22, 25-22, 25-23) on Sun, Oct 11, 2026. Michigan St.'s Madi Andrews led with 16 kills, and Lia Schneider added 8 digs.

Data through · final Oct 11

Set1234Sets
IOWA272222231
MICHST252525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Michigan St. won it at the net: 14 blocks, led by Zora Hardison.

2 stretches decided it. Percentages are Michigan St.'s RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Michigan St. went in as RallyIQ's 93% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Iowa 18–21 Michigan St.

    Iowa scored 4 straight to turn an 18–21 deficit into a 22–21 lead.

    Michigan St. 84% → 66%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 2 · Iowa 22–21 Michigan St.

    Michigan St. won 4 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 25–22 and level the match at 1–1.

    Michigan St. 66% → 87%

Michigan St. above 50Iowa belowMax swing 7.7%

IowaMichigan St.

Sideout %
Iowa 55.6·Michigan St. 58.9
Break %
Iowa 41.1·Michigan St. 44.4
Hitting
Iowa .211·Michigan St. .279
Longest run
Iowa 6·Michigan St. 5
Blocks
Iowa 9·Michigan St. 140 BS · 18 BA vs 4 BS · 20 BA

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Michigan St. above 50 · Iowa below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+7.7% IOWArally 194 · set 4

Biggest swing: 7.7% to Iowa — set 2, IOWA 22-21 MICHST. Ace by Jaimie Marquardt on Lia Schneider. MICHST win probability 73% → 66%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

IOWA 9.0%91.0% MICHST

Iowa wins

3-0
1.2%
3-1
2.7%
3-2
5.1%

Michigan St. wins

3-0
46.2%
3-1
31.5%
3-2
13.4%
IOWA break %
37.0% vs this opp
MICHST break %
47.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Ace by Jaimie Marquardt on Lia Schneider

    Set 2 · IOWA 22-21 MICHST · IOWA 27% → 34%

  2. 02

    Rosa Vesty stuffed by Zora Hardison & Madi Andrews

    Set 2 · IOWA 22-23 MICHST · MICHST 71% → 78%

  3. 03

    Kill by Hannah Whittingstall (set by Jenna Meitzler)

    Set 1 · IOWA 27-25 MICHST · IOWA 15% → 21%

  4. 04
    Madi AndrewsKill+6.0%

    Kill by Madi Andrews (set by Malayah Long)

    Set 2 · IOWA 22-24 MICHST · MICHST 78% → 84%

  5. 05

    Kill by Marichka Hoshylyk (set by Jaimie Marquardt)

    Set 2 · IOWA 21-21 MICHST · IOWA 21% → 27%

  6. 06
    Zora HardisonBlock+5.5%

    Liv Mogridge stuffed by Zora Hardison

    Set 1 · IOWA 24-24 MICHST · MICHST 83% → 89%

  7. 07
    Jaimie MarquardtService error+5.0%

    Service error by Jaimie Marquardt

    Set 2 · IOWA 22-22 MICHST · MICHST 66% → 71%

  8. 08
    Liv MogridgeKill+4.6%

    Kill by Liv Mogridge (set by Lia Schneider)

    Set 1 · IOWA 24-22 MICHST · IOWA 14% → 18%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Iowaaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411322.3640002002112
48116.43810010052.510.5
48418.2220001004210
45110.4003700500216
37416.188000100429
3339.000100100003
4000–243550004
4000–120930002
4000–100510000
4000–000100000
36618.000310400007
2135-.40000010010.51.5
Team totals4925114.21146733611018994
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416945.1560314102120
414421.47612220233.519.5
47215.33300000275.512.5
47214.35710010031.58.5
4205.4003912400214
4000–012000001
412527.25900044031.513.5
4000–1022810002
3000–310100001
2000–011100001
1112.000003200001
Team totals5923129.27954111327742014100

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 IOWA · MICHST 5

Set 1

27-25

Longest run 6 IOWAMICHST 4

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 5 IOWAMICHST 4

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 3 IOWAMICHST 4

Set 4

23-25

Longest run 5 IOWAMICHST 5

Bars above the line = Michigan St. leads, below = Iowa leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Iowa

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%8/14
33%4/12
2
44%7/16
58%11/19
3
58%7/12
22%2/9
4
46%6/13
36%4/11
5
55%6/11
50%6/12
6
86%6/7
0%0/6
All
55%40/73
39%27/69

Michigan St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%9/15
36%4/11
2
42%8/19
33%4/12
3
78%7/9
53%8/15
4
67%6/9
57%8/14
5
55%6/11
54%7/13
6
100%6/6
25%2/8
All
61%42/69
45%33/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

194 rallies

#IOWA-MICHSTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MICHSTIOWAKillRosa Vestyset Jenna Meitzler+0.7
22-0IOWAIOWAAceJaimie Marquardtaced Alanna Bankston+1.1
32-1IOWAMICHSTServe errJaimie Marquardt+0.7
43-1MICHSTIOWAServe errMichigan St.+0.8
53-2IOWAMICHSTBlockedKsenija Tomicblk Zora Hardison, Hayley Ogden+0.7
64-2MICHSTIOWA×3Serve errMichigan St.+0.9
75-2IOWAIOWA×3Attack errZora Hardison+1.3
86-2IOWAIOWA×3KillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+1.4
96-3IOWAMICHSTKillTaylah Holdemset Malayah Long+0.8
107-3MICHSTIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+1.1
117-4IOWAMICHSTBad setKsenija Tomic+0.8
127-5MICHSTMICHSTKillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long+1.2
138-5MICHSTIOWAServe errMichigan St.+1.1
148-6IOWAMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Lia Schneider+0.9
158-7MICHSTMICHSTAceMichigan St.aced Allison Berent+1.3
169-7MICHSTIOWAKillCarmel Varesset Jenna Meitzler+1.1
179-8IOWAMICHSTKillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+0.9
189-9MICHSTMICHSTKillCarmen Waye+1.2
1910-9MICHSTIOWAKillCarmel Varesset Jenna Meitzler+1.0
2010-10IOWAMICHST×4KillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long+0.9
2110-11MICHSTMICHST×4KillMadi Andrewsset Carmen Waye+1.2
2210-12MICHSTMICHST×4KillZora Hardisonset Malayah Long+1.0
2310-13MICHSTMICHST×4KillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+0.8
2411-13MICHSTIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+0.6
2511-14IOWAMICHSTKillMadi Andrewsset Malayah Long+0.6
2612-14MICHSTIOWAServe errMichigan St.+0.6
2713-14IOWAIOWABlockedMadi Andrewsblk Jenna Meitzler, Hannah Whittingstall+1.1
2813-15IOWAMICHST×3KillZora Hardisonset Malayah Long+0.8
2913-16MICHSTMICHST×3AceMichigan St.aced Jaimie Marquardt+1.0
3013-17MICHSTMICHST×3KillZora Hardisonset Malayah Long+0.7
3114-17MICHSTIOWAKillJenna Meitzlerset Ksenija Tomic+0.4
3215-17IOWAIOWAAttack errTaylah Holdem+0.9
3315-18IOWAMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Lia Schneider+0.7
3416-18MICHSTIOWAKillCarmel Varesset Jenna Meitzler+0.7
3516-19IOWAMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Lia Schneider+0.8
3617-19MICHSTIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Henlee Moszkowicz+0.7
3718-19IOWAIOWAAttack errHayley Ogden+1.4
3818-20IOWAMICHST×3KillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long+1.1
3918-21MICHST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.2
4018-22MICHSTMICHST×3Attack errRosa Vesty+0.8
4119-22MICHSTIOWA×6KillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+0.3
4220-22IOWAIOWA×6BlockedMadi Andrewsblk Rosa Vesty, Liv Mogridge+0.9
4321-22IOWAIOWA×6Attack errCarmen Waye+1.6
4422-22IOWAIOWA×6KillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+2.8
4523-22IOWAIOWA×6Attack errMadi Andrews+4.0
4624-22IOWAIOWA×6KillLiv Mogridgeset Lia Schneider+4.6
4724-23IOWAMICHSTKillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long+1.8
4824-24MICHSTMICHSTBlockedLiv Mogridgeblk Zora Hardison+5.5
4925-24MICHSTIOWAKillRosa Vestyset Jenna Meitzler+3.8
5025-25IOWAMICHSTKillZora Hardisonset Malayah Long+3.8
5126-25MICHSTIOWAServe errMichigan St.+3.8
5227-25IOWAIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+6.6
Set 2
11-0IOWAIOWAAttack errCarmen Waye+2.2
21-1IOWAMICHSTKillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long+1.4
32-1MICHSTIOWAServe errMichigan St.+1.7
42-2IOWAMICHST×4Serve errJaimie Marquardt+1.5
52-3MICHSTMICHST×4KillMadi Andrewsset Hayley Ogden+2.0
62-4MICHSTMICHST×4AceMichigan St.aced Henlee Moszkowicz+1.7
72-5MICHSTMICHST×4Bad setJenna Meitzler+1.4
83-5MICHSTIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+1.0
93-6IOWAMICHSTBlockedKsenija Tomicblk Zora Hardison, Hayley Ogden+1.0
103-7MICHSTMICHSTBlockedRosa Vestyblk Zora Hardison, Madi Andrews+1.2
114-7MICHSTIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+0.8
124-8IOWAMICHST×3KillMadi Andrewsset Malayah Long+0.9
134-9MICHSTMICHST×3BlockedHannah Whittingstallblk Alanna Bankston, Zora Hardison+1.0
144-10MICHSTMICHST×3Attack errKsenija Tomic+0.7
155-10MICHSTIOWAKillMarichka Hoshylykset Jenna Meitzler+0.4
165-11IOWAMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+0.5
176-11MICHSTIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+0.4
186-12IOWAMICHSTKillMalayah Longset Sarah Vellucci+0.5
197-12MICHSTIOWAServe errMichigan St.+0.4
207-13IOWAMICHSTKillCarmen Waye+0.5
217-14MICHSTMICHSTAceMichigan St.aced Henlee Moszkowicz+0.5
228-14MICHSTIOWA×5Attack errHayley Ogden+0.3
239-14IOWAIOWA×5Attack errAlanna Bankston+0.6
2410-14IOWAIOWA×5Attack errCarmen Waye+0.9
2511-14IOWAIOWA×5AceJaimie Marquardt+1.3
2612-14IOWAIOWA×5KillMarichka Hoshylykset Jenna Meitzler+1.9
2712-15IOWAMICHSTKillMadi Andrewsset Lia Schneider+1.4
2813-15MICHSTIOWAKillMarichka Hoshylykset Jenna Meitzler+1.4
2913-16IOWAMICHSTKillMadi Andrewsset Malayah Long+1.5
3014-16MICHSTIOWAKillRosa Vestyset Jenna Meitzler+1.5
3114-17IOWAMICHSTKillMadi Andrewsset Lia Schneider+1.6
3215-17MICHSTIOWAServe errMichigan St.+1.5
3315-18IOWAMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Lia Schneider+1.7
3416-18MICHSTIOWABlockedCarmen Wayeblk Carmel Vares+1.5
3516-19IOWAMICHSTKillMadi Andrewsset Malayah Long+1.7
3617-19MICHSTIOWAKillCarmel Varesset Jenna Meitzler+1.6
3718-19IOWAIOWAAttack errAlanna Bankston+3.2
3818-20IOWAMICHSTKillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long+2.6
3918-21MICHSTMICHSTBlockedCarmel Varesblk Carmen Waye+2.8
4019-21MICHSTIOWA×4Serve errMichigan St.+1.5
4120-21IOWAIOWA×4Attack errMadi Andrews+3.6
4221-21IOWAIOWA×4KillMarichka Hoshylykset Jaimie Marquardt+5.6
4322-21IOWAIOWA×4AceJaimie Marquardtaced Lia Schneider+7.7
4422-22IOWAMICHST×4Serve errJaimie Marquardt+5.0
4522-23MICHSTMICHST×4BlockedRosa Vestyblk Zora Hardison, Madi Andrews+7.6
4622-24MICHSTMICHST×4KillMadi Andrewsset Malayah Long+6.0
4722-25MICHSTMICHST×4BlockedMarichka Hoshylykblk Zora Hardison, Hayley Ogden+2.7
Set 3
10-1MICHSTMICHSTAttack errMarichka Hoshylyk+1.6
20-2MICHSTMICHSTKillMadi Andrewsset Malayah Long+1.4
31-2MICHSTIOWA×3KillJenna Meitzlerset Allison Berent+1.1
42-2IOWAIOWA×3KillCarmel Varesset Jenna Meitzler+1.8
53-2IOWAIOWA×3Attack errAlanna Bankston+2.1
63-3IOWAMICHSTKillMadi Andrewsset Lia Schneider+1.3
74-3MICHSTIOWAAttack errMadi Andrews+1.6
84-4IOWAMICHSTKillZora Hardisonset Malayah Long+1.4
95-4MICHSTIOWAKillHallie Steponaitisset Jenna Meitzler+1.6
105-5IOWAMICHST×3Attack errHallie Steponaitis+1.4
115-6MICHSTMICHST×3BlockedMarichka Hoshylykblk Malayah Long, Zora Hardison+1.9
125-7MICHSTMICHST×3AceMadi Andrewsaced Jaimie Marquardt+1.7
136-7MICHSTIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+1.3
147-7IOWAIOWABlockedAlanna Bankstonblk Hannah Whittingstall, Hallie Steponaitis+2.1
157-8IOWAMICHST×4KillZora Hardisonset Malayah Long+1.4
167-9MICHSTMICHST×4AceLia Schneideraced Jaimie Marquardt+1.8
177-10MICHSTMICHST×4AceLia Schneider+1.5
187-11MICHSTMICHST×4BlockedHallie Steponaitisblk Alanna Bankston, Carmen Waye+1.2
198-11MICHSTIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+0.8
208-12IOWAMICHSTBlockedMarichka Hoshylykblk Malayah Long, Carmen Waye+0.8
219-12MICHSTIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+0.8
229-13IOWAMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+0.9
2310-13MICHSTIOWABad setMalayah Long+0.8
2410-14IOWAMICHSTKillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+0.9
2511-14MICHSTIOWAServe errCarmen Waye+0.8
2611-15IOWAMICHSTBlockedLiv Mogridgeblk Zora Hardison+0.9
2712-15MICHSTIOWABlockedMadi Andrewsblk Carmel Vares, Liv Mogridge+0.9
2813-15IOWAIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+1.7
2913-16IOWAMICHSTKillMadi Andrewsset Malayah Long+1.3
3014-16MICHSTIOWAKillJenna Meitzlerset Marichka Hoshylyk+1.3
3114-17IOWAMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Sarah Vellucci+1.4
3215-17MICHSTIOWAKillMarichka Hoshylykset Jenna Meitzler+1.3
3315-18IOWAMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Lia Schneider+1.5
3416-18MICHSTIOWAServe errMalayah Long+1.3
3516-19IOWAMICHSTKillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long+1.5
3616-20MICHSTMICHSTAttack errCarmel Vares+1.5
3717-20MICHSTIOWAKillJenna Meitzlerset Marichka Hoshylyk+0.8
3817-21IOWAMICHSTKillMadi Andrewsset Malayah Long+1.1
3917-22MICHSTMICHSTAceKarolina Staniszewska+0.8
4018-22MICHSTIOWA×3Serve errKarolina Staniszewska+0.3
4119-22IOWAIOWA×3KillCarmel Varesset Jenna Meitzler+0.9
4220-22IOWAIOWA×3KillCarmel Varesset Marichka Hoshylyk+1.8
4320-23IOWAMICHSTKillMadi Andrewsset Lia Schneider+1.8
4421-23MICHSTIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+1.1
4522-23IOWAIOWAAttack errMadi Andrews+3.3
4622-24IOWAMICHSTKillZora Hardisonset Malayah Long+3.6
4722-25MICHSTMICHSTAceMadi Andrewsaced Jaimie Marquardt+2.4
Set 4
11-0IOWAIOWAKillCarmel Varesset Jenna Meitzler+1.4
21-1IOWAMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Lia Schneider+0.9
31-2MICHSTMICHSTBlockedJenna Meitzlerblk Carmen Waye+1.2
42-2MICHSTIOWA×3Serve errLia Schneider+0.9
53-2IOWAIOWA×3BlockedAlanna Bankstonblk Jenna Meitzler, Liv Mogridge+1.5
64-2IOWAIOWA×3KillCarmel Varesset Jenna Meitzler+1.7
74-3IOWAMICHSTKillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long+1.1
85-3MICHSTIOWAKillCarmel Varesset Jenna Meitzler+1.3
95-4IOWAMICHST×5Attack errHallie Steponaitis+1.1
105-5MICHSTMICHST×5KillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long+1.6
115-6MICHSTMICHST×5Attack errRosa Vesty+1.4
125-7MICHSTMICHST×5Attack errLiv Mogridge+1.2
135-8MICHSTMICHST×5KillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long+1.0
146-8MICHSTIOWAKillRosa Vestyset Jenna Meitzler+0.7
157-8IOWAIOWAAceJaimie Marquardtaced Alanna Bankston+1.3
167-9IOWAMICHSTKillCarmen Wayeset Malayah Long+0.9
177-10MICHSTMICHSTAceCarmen Wayeaced Henlee Moszkowicz+1.1
188-10MICHSTIOWA×5KillRosa Vestyset Jenna Meitzler+0.8
199-10IOWAIOWA×5BlockedZora Hardisonblk Hannah Whittingstall, Rosa Vesty+1.4
2010-10IOWAIOWA×5KillRosa Vestyset Hannah Whittingstall+1.7
2111-10IOWAIOWA×5AceHenlee Moszkowiczaced Madi Andrews+2.1
2212-10IOWAIOWA×5BlockedMadi Andrewsblk Hannah Whittingstall, Rosa Vesty+2.4
2312-11IOWAMICHSTKillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+1.5
2412-12MICHSTMICHSTAceSarah Vellucciaced Jaimie Marquardt+2.1
2513-12MICHSTIOWABad setMalayah Long+1.7
2613-13IOWAMICHSTKillMalayah Longset Sarah Vellucci+1.5
2714-13MICHSTIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+1.8
2814-14IOWAMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+1.6
2915-14MICHSTIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+1.9
3015-15IOWAMICHST×3KillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+1.7
3115-16MICHSTMICHST×3BlockedCarmel Varesblk Carmen Waye, Alanna Bankston+2.3
3215-17MICHSTMICHST×3Attack errLiv Mogridge+2.0
3316-17MICHSTIOWAKillJenna Meitzlerset Jenna Meitzler+1.4
3416-18IOWAMICHSTKillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+1.4
3517-18MICHSTIOWAKillCarmel Varesset Jenna Meitzler+1.5
3618-18IOWAIOWABlockedMadi Andrewsblk Rosa Vesty, Liv Mogridge+2.7
3718-19IOWAMICHSTKillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+2.0
3818-20MICHSTMICHSTAttack errMarichka Hoshylyk+2.5
3919-20MICHSTIOWAKillMarichka Hoshylykset Jaimie Marquardt+1.6
4020-20IOWAIOWAAceHenlee Moszkowiczaced Alanna Bankston+3.2
4120-21IOWAMICHSTKillHayley Ogdenset Malayah Long+2.4
4220-22MICHSTMICHSTKillMadi Andrewsset Alanna Bankston+3.0
4321-22MICHSTIOWAKillRosa Vestyset Jenna Meitzler+1.8
4421-23IOWAMICHSTKillMadi Andrewsset Malayah Long+2.3
4521-24MICHSTMICHSTAttack errMarichka Hoshylyk+2.0
4622-24MICHSTIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+0.6
4723-24IOWAIOWAAceMarichka Hoshylykaced Alanna Bankston+2.1
4823-25IOWAMICHSTKillAlanna Bankstonset Malayah Long+3.3

Score shown after each rally, Iowa first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).