Michigan State def. Northwestern 3-1 Volleyball (Oct 17)

Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 17, 2026B1G+

3:1

RallyIQ pre-match: Michigan St. 90.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 6:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Michigan St. won at Northwestern 3-1 (25-16, 21-25, 25-21, 25-19) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. Michigan St.'s Madi Andrews led with 17 kills, and Lia Schneider added 23 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 7:55 PM CT · final Oct 17

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
MICHST	25	21	25	25	3
NW	16	25	21	19	1

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Michigan St. led in all four phases.

Win probability never moved more than 6.1 points on one rally; Northwestern topped out at 36% in Set 3. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Michigan St. at 90%.

Michigan St.Northwestern

Break %+10.3 pts
43.232.9
Points won on own serve: 41 of 95 vs 27 of 82. Northwestern sided out 56.8% of the time.
Hitting+.101
.313.212
Kills and errors: 59–18 vs 48–19.
Longest run+3
74
7 straight Michigan St. points in the third set turned an 18–21 deficit into a 25–21 lead. The set finished 25–21.

Northwestern above 50Michigan St. belowMax swing 6.1%

Michigan St.Northwestern

Aces: Michigan St. 10·Northwestern 4
Serve err: Michigan St. 10·Northwestern 8
Blocks: Michigan St. 11·Northwestern 40 BS · 22 BA vs 0 BS · 8 BA
Digs: Michigan St. 59·Northwestern 41

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Northwestern above 50 · Michigan St. below

Biggest swing: 6.1% to Michigan St. — set 3, MICHST 22-21 NW. Mara Stiglic stuffed by Carmen Waye & Malayah Long. NW win probability 22% → 15%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MICHST 90.5%9.5% NW

Michigan St. wins

3-0

45.2%

3-1

31.5%

3-2

13.7%

Northwestern wins

3-0

1.3%

3-1

2.9%

3-2

5.4%

MICHST break %: 46.8% vs this opp
NW break %: 36.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Carmen Waye&Malayah LongBlock+6.1%
Mara Stiglic stuffed by Carmen Waye & Malayah Long
Set 3 · MICHST 22-21 NW · MICHST 78% → 85%
02
Carmen Waye&Malayah LongBlock+5.9%
Mara Stiglic stuffed by Carmen Waye & Malayah Long
Set 3 · MICHST 21-21 NW · MICHST 72% → 78%
03
Alanna BankstonKill+5.1%
Kill by Alanna Bankston (set by Malayah Long)
Set 3 · MICHST 20-21 NW · MICHST 67% → 72%
04
Carmen WayeKill+5.0%
Kill by Carmen Waye
Set 3 · MICHST 23-21 NW · MICHST 85% → 90%
05
Ava PrattAce+4.3%
Ace by Ava Pratt on Alanna Bankston
Set 3 · MICHST 14-18 NW · NW 30% → 35%
06
Mara StiglicKill+4.2%
Kill by Mara Stiglic (set by Ellie Stiernagle)
Set 3 · MICHST 18-21 NW · NW 31% → 35%
07
Isabella BullingtonKill+3.9%
Kill by Isabella Bullington (set by Ellie Stiernagle)
Set 3 · MICHST 17-20 NW · NW 30% → 34%
08
Madi AndrewsKill+3.9%
Kill by Madi Andrews (set by Malayah Long)
Set 3 · MICHST 17-19 NW · MICHST 66% → 70%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Michigan St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
4Madi AndrewsOH	4	17	3	35	.400	1	2	4	6	1	2	1	20
15Zora HardisonMB	4	9	1	15	.533	0	0	0	0	0	5	2.5	11.5
22Carmen WayeMB	4	7	3	15	.267	1	1	1	1	0	6	3	11
7Malayah LongS	4	3	1	7	.286	46	3	1	5	0	4	2	8
13Sarah VellucciL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	4	0	0	0	1
28Alanna BankstonOH	3	13	4	31	.290	0	0	0	2	3	2	1	14
3Bianca MumcularOH	4	7	3	15	.267	1	1	1	9	0	1	0.5	8.5
5Ky ClaytonL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	1
26Alana WhitfieldL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	0
1Lia SchneiderL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	23	0	0	0	0
19Hayley OgdenOPP	2	1	3	5	-.400	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
2Karolina StaniszewskaOH	1	1	0	7	.143	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	2
18Breccan ScheckMB	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	2
Team totals		59	18	131	.313	53	10	10	59	4	22	11	96

Northwesternhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
12Mara StiglicOH	4	12	5	31	.226	0	0	2	5	0	1	0.5	12.5
17Maya StillwellMB	4	7	1	15	.400	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
11Ellie StiernagleS	4	4	1	14	.214	38	1	0	8	0	2	1	6
24Cate SchnellOH	4	0	0	2	.000	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
25Campbell ParisOH	3	5	2	13	.231	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	5
4Kayla KauffmanMB	3	3	2	9	.111	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
22Isabella BullingtonOH	4	13	7	35	.171	0	0	1	6	2	1	0.5	13.5
23Gigi NavarreteL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	1	2	4	2	0	0	1
2Drew WrightL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	8	1	0	0	0
16Ava PrattOH	3	0	0	1	.000	1	1	1	4	0	0	0	1
7Lauren DignanL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	4	2	0	0	1
9Hayley SchaafMB	1	2	0	5	.400	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
6Clara SchrammOH	1	2	1	8	.125	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
20Lily WagnerOH	1	0	0	4	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
Team totals		48	19	137	.212	42	4	8	41	10	8	4	81

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 MICHST · NW 4

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 6 MICHSTNW 2

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 3 MICHSTNW 3

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 7 MICHSTNW 4

Set 4

25-19

Longest run 3 MICHSTNW 2

Bars above the line = Northwestern leads, below = Michigan St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Michigan St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	73%11/15	36%5/14
2	56%10/18	41%7/17
3	63%10/16	41%7/17
4	62%8/13	55%11/20
5	73%8/11	43%6/14
6	89%8/9	38%5/13
All	67%55/82	43%41/95

Northwestern

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	73%11/15	9%1/11
2	50%10/20	39%7/18
3	50%9/18	44%8/18
4	57%8/14	33%4/12
5	53%8/15	43%6/14
6	62%8/13	11%1/9
All	57%54/95	33%27/82

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

177 rallies

#	MICHST-NW	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	MICHST	NW	Serve err	Madi Andrews		+0.9
2	1-1	NW	MICHST	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+0.8
3	1-2	MICHST	NW	Kill	Campbell Paris	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.9
4	2-2	NW	MICHST	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+0.8
5	2-3	MICHST	NW	Kill	Ellie Stiernagle		+0.9
6	2-4	NW	NW	Blocked	Alanna Bankston	blk Kayla Kauffman, Ellie Stiernagle	+1.4
7	3-4	NW	MICHST×6	Serve err	Northwestern		+0.9
8	4-4	MICHST	MICHST×6	Attack err	Isabella Bullington		+1.2
9	5-4	MICHST	MICHST×6	Attack err	Kayla Kauffman		+1.1
10	6-4	MICHST	MICHST×6	Kill	Hayley Ogden	set Malayah Long	+1.0
11	7-4	MICHST	MICHST×6	Ace	Ky Clayton	aced Gigi Navarrete	+0.8
12	8-4	MICHST	MICHST×6	Kill	Carmen Waye	set Malayah Long	+0.7
13	8-5	MICHST	NW	Attack err	Hayley Ogden		+0.5
14	8-6	NW	NW	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Madi Andrews	+0.8
15	9-6	NW	MICHST	Kill	Madi Andrews	set Lia Schneider	+0.6
16	10-6	MICHST	MICHST	Ace	Carmen Waye	aced Gigi Navarrete	+0.7
17	10-7	MICHST	NW	Kill	Maya Stillwell	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.5
18	11-7	NW	MICHST	Kill	Madi Andrews	set Malayah Long	+0.5
19	12-7	MICHST	MICHST	Kill	Madi Andrews	set Malayah Long	+0.6
20	12-8	MICHST	NW	Kill	Maya Stillwell	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.4
21	13-8	NW	MICHST×3	Kill	Madi Andrews	set Malayah Long	+0.4
22	14-8	MICHST	MICHST×3	Ace	Madi Andrews	aced Drew Wright	+0.4
23	15-8	MICHST	MICHST×3	Ace	Madi Andrews		+0.3
24	15-9	MICHST	NW	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.1
25	16-9	NW	MICHST	Kill	Madi Andrews	set Malayah Long	+0.2
26	16-10	MICHST	NW	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.1
27	16-11	NW	NW	Attack err	Carmen Waye		+0.3
28	17-11	NW	MICHST	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Madi Andrews	+0.3
29	17-12	MICHST	NW	Kill	Kayla Kauffman	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.2
30	18-12	NW	MICHST	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+0.3
31	18-13	MICHST	NW	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.2
32	18-14	NW	NW	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.4
33	19-14	NW	MICHST×4	Kill	Breccan Scheck	set Malayah Long	+0.4
34	20-14	MICHST	MICHST×4	Ace	Breccan Scheck	aced Lauren Dignan	+0.4
35	21-14	MICHST	MICHST×4	Kill	Madi Andrews	set Malayah Long	+0.2
36	22-14	MICHST	MICHST×4	Kill	Bianca Mumcular	set Malayah Long	+0.1
37	22-15	MICHST	NW	Serve err	Breccan Scheck		·
38	23-15	NW	MICHST	Attack err	Isabella Bullington		·
39	24-15	MICHST	MICHST	Blocked	Isabella Bullington	blk Madi Andrews, Zora Hardison	·
40	24-16	MICHST	NW	Attack err	Bianca Mumcular		·
41	25-16	NW	MICHST	Kill	Madi Andrews	set Malayah Long	·
Set 2
1	1-0	NW	MICHST	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+0.5
2	1-1	MICHST	NW	Kill	Campbell Paris	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.5
3	1-2	NW	NW	Ace	Lauren Dignan	aced Alanna Bankston	+0.8
4	2-2	NW	MICHST	Kill	Malayah Long	set Bianca Mumcular	+0.5
5	2-3	MICHST	NW×3	Serve err	Malayah Long		+0.6
6	2-4	NW	NW×3	Attack err	Hayley Ogden		+1.0
7	2-5	NW	NW×3	Attack err	Hayley Ogden		+1.1
8	3-5	NW	MICHST	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Carmen Waye	+0.6
9	3-6	MICHST	NW	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.8
10	4-6	NW	MICHST	Kill	Madi Andrews	set Malayah Long	+0.7
11	4-7	MICHST	NW	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.8
12	4-8	NW	NW	Attack err	Alanna Bankston		+1.2
13	5-8	NW	MICHST	Kill	Madi Andrews	set Malayah Long	+0.7
14	6-8	MICHST	MICHST	Kill	Malayah Long	set Drew Wright	+1.0
15	6-9	MICHST	NW	Serve err	Bianca Mumcular		+0.9
16	7-9	NW	MICHST	Kill	Zora Hardison	set Malayah Long	+0.7
17	7-10	MICHST	NW	Serve err	Madi Andrews		+0.9
18	8-10	NW	MICHST	Serve err	Northwestern		+0.7
19	8-11	MICHST	NW	Serve err	Alana Whitfield		+1.0
20	9-11	NW	MICHST	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+0.8
21	10-11	MICHST	MICHST	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Cate Schnell	+1.1
22	10-12	MICHST	NW	Attack err	Alanna Bankston		+1.0
23	11-12	NW	MICHST×3	Kill	Carmen Waye	set Malayah Long	+0.8
24	12-12	MICHST	MICHST×3	Kill	Carmen Waye	set Malayah Long	+1.2
25	13-12	MICHST	MICHST×3	Ace	Sarah Vellucci	aced Lauren Dignan	+1.1
26	13-13	MICHST	NW	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.8
27	14-13	NW	MICHST	Kill	Madi Andrews	set Sarah Vellucci	+0.8
28	15-13	MICHST	MICHST	Attack err	Kayla Kauffman		+1.0
29	15-14	MICHST	NW×3	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.7
30	15-15	NW	NW×3	Blocked	Madi Andrews	blk Maya Stillwell, Ellie Stiernagle	+1.2
31	15-16	NW	NW×3	Kill	Isabella Bullington		+1.5
32	16-16	NW	MICHST	Kill	Zora Hardison	set Malayah Long	+1.0
33	16-17	MICHST	NW	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.2
34	16-18	NW	NW	Ace	Ellie Stiernagle	aced Madi Andrews	+1.8
35	17-18	NW	MICHST	Kill	Madi Andrews	set Malayah Long	+1.1
36	17-19	MICHST	NW	Kill	Maya Stillwell	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.4
37	18-19	NW	MICHST	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Lia Schneider	+1.1
38	18-20	MICHST	NW	Kill	Campbell Paris	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.6
39	18-21	NW	NW	Serve err	Northwestern		+2.1
40	19-21	NW	MICHST	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+1.0
41	19-22	MICHST	NW	Kill	Campbell Paris	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.6
42	19-23	NW	NW	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.7
43	20-23	NW	MICHST	Kill	Bianca Mumcular	set Malayah Long	+0.5
44	21-23	MICHST	MICHST	Kill	Carmen Waye		+1.3
45	21-24	MICHST	NW	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.8
46	21-25	NW	NW	Attack err	Madi Andrews		+1.1
Set 3
1	0-1	MICHST	NW×4	Kill	Maya Stillwell	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.6
2	0-2	NW	NW×4	Kill	Campbell Paris	set Drew Wright	+2.5
3	0-3	NW	NW×4	Attack err	Alanna Bankston		+2.7
4	0-4	NW	NW×4	Attack err	Malayah Long		+2.9
5	1-4	NW	MICHST	Kill	Zora Hardison	set Malayah Long	+1.7
6	1-5	MICHST	NW	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+2.2
7	1-6	NW	NW	Blocked	Carmen Waye	blk Mara Stiglic, Isabella Bullington	+3.0
8	2-6	NW	MICHST	Serve err	Northwestern		+1.7
9	3-6	MICHST	MICHST	Ace	Malayah Long	aced Isabella Bullington	+2.6
10	3-7	MICHST	NW	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Ellie Stiernagle	+2.3
11	3-8	NW	NW	Kill	Kayla Kauffman		+3.1
12	4-8	NW	MICHST	Serve err	Northwestern		+1.8
13	4-9	MICHST	NW	Kill	Kayla Kauffman	set Ellie Stiernagle	+2.4
14	5-9	NW	MICHST	Blocked	Isabella Bullington	blk Carmen Waye, Bianca Mumcular	+1.8
15	6-9	MICHST	MICHST	Attack err	Isabella Bullington		+2.8
16	6-10	MICHST	NW	Kill	Ellie Stiernagle	set Drew Wright	+2.5
17	7-10	NW	MICHST	Kill	Zora Hardison	set Malayah Long	+1.9
18	7-11	MICHST	NW	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Ellie Stiernagle	+2.6
19	8-11	NW	MICHST	Kill	Madi Andrews	set Malayah Long	+2.0
20	9-11	MICHST	MICHST	Blocked	Campbell Paris	blk Alanna Bankston, Zora Hardison	+3.0
21	9-12	MICHST	NW	Serve err	Madi Andrews		+2.7
22	10-12	NW	MICHST	Kill	Malayah Long	set Lia Schneider	+2.2
23	10-13	MICHST	NW×3	Attack err	Carmen Waye		+2.8
24	10-14	NW	NW×3	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+3.8
25	10-15	NW	NW×3	Ace	Gigi Navarrete	aced Alanna Bankston	+3.6
26	11-15	NW	MICHST×3	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+1.8
27	12-15	MICHST	MICHST×3	Ace	Malayah Long		+3.1
28	13-15	MICHST	MICHST×3	Ace	Malayah Long		+3.4
29	13-16	MICHST	NW	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+3.2
30	14-16	NW	MICHST	Kill	Carmen Waye	set Malayah Long	+2.4
31	14-17	MICHST	NW	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Ellie Stiernagle	+3.3
32	14-18	NW	NW	Ace	Ava Pratt	aced Alanna Bankston	+4.3
33	15-18	NW	MICHST	Kill	Carmen Waye	set Malayah Long	+2.2
34	15-19	MICHST	NW	Kill	Maya Stillwell	set Ellie Stiernagle	+3.3
35	16-19	NW	MICHST	Kill	Zora Hardison	set Malayah Long	+2.1
36	17-19	MICHST	MICHST	Kill	Madi Andrews	set Malayah Long	+3.9
37	17-20	MICHST	NW	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Ellie Stiernagle	+3.9
38	18-20	NW	MICHST	Kill	Zora Hardison	set Malayah Long	+2.7
39	18-21	MICHST	NW	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+4.2
40	19-21	NW	MICHST×7	Serve err	Northwestern		+2.7
41	20-21	MICHST	MICHST×7	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+5.1
42	21-21	MICHST	MICHST×7	Blocked	Mara Stiglic	blk Carmen Waye, Malayah Long	+5.9
43	22-21	MICHST	MICHST×7	Blocked	Mara Stiglic	blk Carmen Waye, Malayah Long	+6.1
44	23-21	MICHST	MICHST×7	Kill	Carmen Waye		+5.0
45	24-21	MICHST	MICHST×7	Kill	Alanna Bankston	set Malayah Long	+3.0
46	25-21	MICHST	MICHST×7	Blocked	Campbell Paris	blk Alanna Bankston, Carmen Waye	+1.0
Set 4
1	0-1	NW	NW	Attack err	Madi Andrews		+1.6
2	1-1	NW	MICHST	Blocked	Clara Schramm	blk Madi Andrews, Carmen Waye	+1.1
3	1-2	MICHST	NW	Serve err	Carmen Waye		+1.2
4	1-3	NW	NW	Kill	Clara Schramm	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.9
5	2-3	NW	MICHST	Kill	Madi Andrews	set Malayah Long	+1.2
6	2-4	MICHST	NW	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.4
7	3-4	NW	MICHST	Serve err	Northwestern		+1.2
8	3-5	MICHST	NW	Serve err	Madi Andrews		+1.5
9	3-6	NW	NW	Kill	Ellie Stiernagle	set Drew Wright	+2.2
10	4-6	NW	MICHST	Kill	Zora Hardison	set Malayah Long	+1.3
11	4-7	MICHST	NW	Kill	Hayley Schaaf	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.7
12	5-7	NW	MICHST	Kill	Karolina Staniszewska	set Malayah Long	+1.4
13	5-8	MICHST	NW	Kill	Maya Stillwell	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.7
14	6-8	NW	MICHST	Kill	Bianca Mumcular	set Malayah Long	+1.4
15	7-8	MICHST	MICHST	Kill	Madi Andrews	set Malayah Long	+2.0
16	7-9	MICHST	NW	Serve err	Sarah Vellucci		+1.7
17	8-9	NW	MICHST	Kill	Bianca Mumcular	set Malayah Long	+1.5
18	8-10	MICHST	NW	Kill	Ellie Stiernagle	set Ava Pratt	+1.8
19	9-10	NW	MICHST×3	Kill	Madi Andrews	set Malayah Long	+1.5
20	10-10	MICHST	MICHST×3	Blocked	Mara Stiglic	blk Malayah Long, Zora Hardison	+2.1
21	11-10	MICHST	MICHST×3	Kill	Zora Hardison	set Ellie Stiernagle	+2.0
22	11-11	MICHST	NW	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.5
23	12-11	NW	MICHST×3	Kill	Madi Andrews	set Malayah Long	+1.4
24	13-11	MICHST	MICHST×3	Attack err	Mara Stiglic		+1.8
25	14-11	MICHST	MICHST×3	Blocked	Mara Stiglic	blk Malayah Long, Zora Hardison	+1.5
26	14-12	MICHST	NW	Kill	Hayley Schaaf	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.0
27	15-12	NW	MICHST	Kill	Zora Hardison	set Malayah Long	+1.1
28	15-13	MICHST	NW	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.0
29	16-13	NW	MICHST	Serve err	Northwestern		+1.1
30	17-13	MICHST	MICHST	Blocked	Isabella Bullington	blk Karolina Staniszewska, Carmen Waye	+1.2
31	17-14	MICHST	NW	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.7
32	18-14	NW	MICHST	Kill	Bianca Mumcular	set Lia Schneider	+0.9
33	19-14	MICHST	MICHST	Kill	Bianca Mumcular	set Malayah Long	+0.8
34	19-15	MICHST	NW	Kill	Maya Stillwell	set Malayah Long	+0.4
35	20-15	NW	MICHST	Serve err	Northwestern		+0.6
36	21-15	MICHST	MICHST	Attack err	Maya Stillwell		+0.4
37	21-16	MICHST	NW	Kill	Clara Schramm	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.2
38	21-17	NW	NW	Blocked	Bianca Mumcular	blk Lily Wagner, Hayley Schaaf	+0.5
39	22-17	NW	MICHST	Kill	Bianca Mumcular	set Malayah Long	+0.5
40	23-17	MICHST	MICHST	Ace	Bianca Mumcular	aced Isabella Bullington	+0.3
41	23-18	MICHST	NW	Attack err	Bianca Mumcular		+0.1
42	23-19	NW	NW	Attack err	Zora Hardison		+0.3
43	24-19	NW	MICHST	Attack err	Isabella Bullington		+0.3
44	25-19	MICHST	MICHST	Blocked	Ellie Stiernagle	blk Zora Hardison, Karolina Staniszewska	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Michigan St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Michigan St. def. Northwestern 3–1

Michigan St. led in all four phases.